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Nifty still struggles below 8150; Axis Bank falls,

16. December 2016 Rohit Stock Market Research (0)

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Major headlines

· Government signs pact with Asian Development Bank

· We want discussion on Agusta Westland deal

· Aurobindo shares hit 9- month low on US price fixing lawsuit

INDEX PERFORMANCE
*Index*	*Close*	*% Chg*
*Sensex*	*26,489.56*	*-0.11*
*Nifty*	*8,139.45*	*-0.17*

Indian Indices: In late afternoon session, Indian equity benchmarks continued to trade in red on the back of selling in metal and oil and gas counters. Sentiments also remained downbeat as activities on FIIs desk started slowing down ahead of Christmas holiday and vacation. However, losses remained capped with chief economic Advisor (CEA) Arvind Subramanian’s statement that though the interest rate hike by the US Federal Reserve will bring volatility and uncertainty in capital flows into emerging market economies, but India is very well cushioned to absorb the impact. On the global front, European markets were trading in green as investors continued to digest the Federal Reserve’s most recent policy decision. However, Asian markets were showing tepid trend at this point of time. Back home, in scrip specific developments, Swan Energy jumped over five per cent after the Government of Gujarat decided to participate by investing 26% in equity of company's LNG port project in Gujarat and A2Z Infra Engineering edged higher after Delhi Metro Rail Corporation awarded three facility management services contacts to its material subsidiary.

The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 26484.00, down by 35.07 points or 0.13% after trading in a range of 26455.21 and 26594.55. The broader indices were trading in red; the BSE Mid cap index down by 0.25%, while Small cap index was down by 0.06%. The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 8137.75, down by 15.85 points or 0.19% after trading in a range of 8127.45 and 8178.70. There were 19 stocks advancing against 32 stocks declining on the index.

*MARKET INDICATORS*			·
*Top Movers (Group A)*
*Company*	Cmp	% chg
*Gainers*
*Oberoirlty*	325.10	4.45
*Bajajfinsv*	2835.65	4.40
*Biocon*	975.00	4.38
*Crisil*	2265.35	4.22
*Losers*
*Edelweiss*	83.25	-5.29
*JPPower*	3.73	-4.60
*Indianb*	232.00	-4.05
*Balkrisind*	1101.00	-3.96

*Market Statistics*
	*BSE*	*NSE*
*Advances*	1190	648
*Declines*	1397	811

Market Sentiment:

The market breadth on BSE was positive in the ratio of 1190: 1397, while 159 scrips remained unchanged.

Crporate Front:

The government on Thursday declared that the cash shortage induced by demonetization of high value currency notes would end by mid-January by which time about Rs 3.5 crore of black money would be sucked out of the economy, leaving about Rs 12 crore in cash to finance normal transactions, assures Amitabh Kant.

Macroeconomic front:

Moody's Investors Service, a global rating agency, has said that the overall asset profile of Indian banks' property retail loan portfolio is stable, although risks are rising in the non-traditional loan against property (LAP) segment. "Growth in LAP loans has outpaced overall retail credit growth in recent years, but relatively loose underwriting practices and a tightening in credit following India's demonetization would translate into higher asset quality risk .

On the global front:

On the global front, The Chinese diplomat said that mutual cooperation between the two countries has resulted in a win-win situation for both and would help increase profitability in the coming years. Co-chairman of CII Task Force on Ease of Doing Business and CMD Chemtrols Industries K. Nandakumar said that India is at the same position where China was 10 years ago and hence there is a huge potential here considering its present demographics.

Commodity Updates:

*Commodity Prices (MCX):*
*Commodity*	Rs	*% Chang*
*Gold*	*27121.00*	*0.38*
*Silver*	*39675.00*	*0.97*
*Crude oil*	*3445.00*	*-1.2*
*Natural Gas*	*230.20*	*-1.71*
*Alluminium*	*117.85*	*-0.55*
*Copper*	*387.40*	*-1.09*

Top Sectoral & Stock Screening: The top gainers on the Sensex were TCS up by 2.63%, Axis Bank up by 1.96%, Power Grid Corpn. up by 1.68%, Adani Ports &Special up by 1.30% and Wipro up by 1.18%. On the flip side, Sun Pharma down by 2.44%, Tata Motors down by 1.46%, NTPC down by 1.22%, ITC down by 1.01% and Lupin down by 0.84% were the top losers.

Top Nifty Movers: The top gainers on Nifty were TCS up by 2.58%, Axis Bank up by 2.20%, HCL Tech. up by 1.69%, Power Grid Corpn. up by 1.57% and Adani Ports &Special up by 1.20%. On the flip side, Sun Pharma Inds. down by 2.37%, Grasim Industries down by 1.69%, Tata Motors down by 1.44%, NTPC down by 1.22% and Tata Motors - DVR down by 1.10% were the top losers.

Global Signals:

Asian markets were trading mixed; Shanghai Composite increased 5.3 points or 0.17% to 3,122.98, KOSPI Index increased 5.59 points or 0.27% to 2,042.24 and Nikkei 225 increased 127.36 points or 0.66% to 19,401.15. On the flip side, Hang Seng decreased 38.65 points or 0.18% to 22,020.75, Taiwan Weighted decreased 33.57 points or 0.36% to 9,326.78, Jakarta Composite decreased 11.4 points or 0.22% to 5,242.97 and FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI decreased 2.59 points or 0.16% to 1,634.40.

European Markets were trading mostly in green; UK’s FTSE 100 increased 1.29 points or 0.02% to 7,000.30, France’s CAC increased 6.71 points or 0.14% to 4,825.94 and Germany’s DAX increased 15.86 points or 0.14% to 11,382.26.

US $ hits fresh highs as it enters heavily overbought zone with consensus bullishness capping upside!!

16. December 2016 Rohit Stock Market Research (0)

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Major headlines:

· Ratan Tata to step down as chairman of Tata Trusts

· Oil prices rise as planned oil production cuts start to materialise

· Asia stocks tepid, dollar near 14-year peak on Fed rally

INDEX PERFORMANCE
*Indices*	*Support*	*Resistanes*
*Sensex*	*26370*	*26705*
*Nifty*	*8108*	*8212*

Indian Indices: Asian indices opened flat to positive as most currencies adjusted to the renewed bout of strength in the US$. The US$ now looks very heavily overbought as consensus bullishness makes the gains a one way street which could cap the upside in the near term. Oil rallied marginally as US equities flirted with 19500 before profit booking trimmed the gains. Gold continues to test bear market territory & could well be the casualty asset class for 2017.

Nifty saw a sharp intraday spike as smart money bought the fall closer to 8100. For today expect another day of volatile trade with Rupee weakness hurting sentiment. IT stocks could continue to see buying as under ownership could drive prices higher. Foreign selling as a collateral to US$ strength may continue albeit marginally while value buying of Indian stocks being best bet in the emerging market basket may well be the theme for the next 45 days till the Union budget.

The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 26485.14, down by 33.93 points or 0.13% after trading in a range of 26480.00 and 26594.55. There were 110 stocks advancing against 19 stocks declining on the index. The broader indices were trading in red; the BSE Mid cap index was down by 0.29%, while Small cap index was tad lower by 0.01%.

MARKET INDICATORS			·
*Group ATop Gainers*
*Company*	Price (Rs)	% chg
*Redington*	96.85	4.53
*Tatacomm*	655.00	3.83
*Biocon*	960.00	2.78
*Eidparry*	261.95	2.07
*Group ATop Losers*
*Edelweiss*	84.80	-3.53
*Auropharm*	673.20	-3.12
*Hindalco*	171.05	-2.90
*Intellect*	157.25	-2.96

Market Statistics
	BSE	NSE
*Advances*	*1021*	*1092*
*Declines*	*1016*	*333*

Technical view: Nifty finds support around 8100-8120 with 8250 being a strong resistance. Bank Nifty also finds strong support around 18250 while 18650 will act as resistance.

Market Sentiment:

The market breadth on BSE was positive in the ratio of 1021:1016, while 119 scrips remained unchanged.

Trading ideas : RBLBANK (Buy above Rs 357 for target of Rs 369, SL at Rs 351): Stock has witnessed breakout from a downward sloping trend line connecting highs attempted from first week of Nov 2016. RBL Bank also formed a bullish engulfing pattern on the daily charts with sharp surge in volumes. Stock has also seen RSI crossover from its oversold zone. We advise to Buy RBLBANK above Rs 357, stop loss at Rs 351, and Target of Rs 369.

Macroeconomic Front: As the government is promoting cashless transactions, the Payment of Wages (Amendment) Bill will amend the 1936 act, which states that payment of wages in cheque or through bank transfer can only be made after taking the employee's permission in writing, said Labour Minister Bandaru Dattatreya.

Corporate Snippets: Bajaj Auto lauched its latest sports bike Dominar 400 priced up to Rs 1.5 lakh as it looks to challenge segment leader Royal Enfield in the Rs 1-2 lakh category.

Cipla subsidiary in the Netherlands will pump in up to euro 16.8 million to form a joint venture with its Iranian distributor Aharan Tejarat Company, The JV proposes to undertake manufacturing and markting of pharmaceutical products in Iran.

Welspun India is investing Rs 600 crore for setting up a facility for manufacturing carpets, area rugs and carpet tiles here, marking the leading global home textile firms foray into flooring solutions segment.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening: The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Consumer Durables up by 0.44%, IT up by 0.39%, TECK up by 0.32% and Auto up by 0.25%, while Metal down by 1.09%, Oil & Gas down by 0.78%, PSU down by 0.63%, FMCG down by 0.52% and Power down by 0.45% were the losing indices on BSE.

Nifty Movers: The top gainers on Nifty were Tata Motors up by 1.53%, Zee Entertainment up by 1.50%, HDFC up by 1.25%, Bank of Baroda up by 1.16% and Infosys up by 1.07%.
On the flip side, Aurobindo Pharma down by 3.74%, Hindalco down by 2.61%, ONGC down by 2.28%, Sun Pharma down by 1.85% and BHEL down by 1.72% were the top losers.

On the global front: On the global front, Asian shares were trading mostly in red, after the US Federal Reserve overnight indicated it would raise interest rates faster than expected in 2017. The rate hike in US would lead outflow of money from emerging market equities into US bonds which are considered as safer investment options. This is only for the second time in a decade that the Federal Reserve has raised its rate.

Global Signals: The Asian markets were trading mostly in red; Taiwan Weighted decreased 20.85 points or 0.22% to 9,339.50, Jakarta Composite decreased 12.57 points or 0.24% to 5,241.79, Hang Seng decreased 9.69 points or 0.04% to 22,049.71, FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI decreased 3.52 points or 0.22% to 1,633.47 and Shanghai Composite decreased 2.17 points or 0.07% to 3,115.51.On the other hand, KOSPI Index increased 3.26 points or 0.16% to 2,039.91 and Nikkei 225 increased 142.11 points or 0.74% to 19,415.90.

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16. December 2016 Sharetipsinfo Trading Articles (0)

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