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Global markets in consolidation mode as oil weakness hurts energy stocks, even as Japanese yen strengthens against the US Dollar.

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Indian Indices: Asian indices opened flat with the Japanese 'Nikkei' losing over 130 points as Yen strengthens. With drop in oil prices, exporters face the brunt as energy stocks decline. Consolidation for this week could be the theme as markets digest the recent gains.


Nifty faced selling pressure from opening bell and closed below the 9150 mark as domestic profit booking was the order of the day. With a big IPO listing today expect market focus on stock/sector to continue as indices may remain range bound. For today expect IT, Auto and Metals to be under pressure with FMCG and Pharma stocks witnessing buying,


The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 29483.12, down by 35.62 points or 0.12% after trading in a range of 29458.03 and 29585.05. There were 12 stocks advancing against 18 stocks declining on the index.

The broader indices were trading in red; the BSE Mid cap index was down by 0.58%, while Small cap index was down by 0.27%.

The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 9116.90, down by 9.95 points or 0.11% after trading in a range of 9107.90 and 9147.75. There were 20 stocks advancing against 31 stocks declining on the index.

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Group ATopGainers

 

 

Company

Price (Rs)

% chg

NLCIndia

104.10

7.57

JKlakshmi

455.00

5.72

Cox & Kings

207.95

2.51

Repcohome

689.00

2.02

Group ATopLosers

 

 

Divislab

650.00

-17.79

Idea

90.75

-7.02

Drreddy

2630.

-4.10

Axisbank

489.50

-2.94

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Indices

Support

Resistanes

Sensex

29559

29780

Nifty

9130

9205

 

Technical view: Nifty finds strong support around 9080 with 9218 acting as resistance on the upside. Bank Nifty also faces resistance @ 21350 on the upside with 21042 acting as first support, followed by 20850 on the downside.


 

Trading ideas :BFUTILITIE (Buy above 417, for Target of 435, SL at 407): Stock has broken out of a symmetrical triangle pattern on daily charts. The breakout is witnessed post the stock making a good base with spurt in volumes. Oscillators indicate strength in the current momentum to continue. We advise to Buy BF Utilities above Rs 417, Stop Loss at Rs 407 and Target of Rs 435.


Derivative Snippets: Markets consolidate and trade with a negative bias in the last trading session. Index ATM/OTM call and put option strikes were under selling pressure as markets traded in a narrow range throughout the day.

Idea 90PE(March 30 Expiry) saw a huge build-up of long positions with rising implied volatility, indicating a continued selling pressure throughout this F&O series.

FIIs were net buyers in cash market segment to the tune of Rs 57 crore.

FII’s index future long/short ratio at 3.3x vs 3.1x.

Nifty Movers: The top gainers on Nifty were Idea Cellular up by 3.33%, Grasim Industries up by 1.74%, BhartiInfratel up by 1.42%, HCL Tech up by 1.40% and Tech Mahindra was up by 0.84%. On the flip side, Infosys down by 1.99%, ICICI Bank down by 1.94%, Axis Bank down by 1.42%, TCS down by 1.29% and Tata Steel was down by 1.28% were the top losers.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:  The top gainers on the Sensex were Lupin up by 0.84%, Adani Ports &Special up by 0.74%, Cipla up by 0.59%, ONGC up by 0.58% and Hero MotoCorp was up by 0.44%. On the flip side, ICICI Bank down by 1.96%, Infosys down by 1.92%, Axis Bank down by 1.40%, TCS down by 1.27% and Tata Steel was down by 1.19% were the top losers.

 

 

 

On the global front: On the global front, Asian shares were trading mostly in green, while the dollar and US bond yields were on the back foot on the prospect of a less-hawkish Federal Reserve policy trajectory. Japan’s Nikkei was trading in red weighed by financial stocks, which were hurt by lower US yields and exporter stocks, which fell on the yen’s gains against the dollar.

 

Global Signals:The Asian markets were trading mostly in green; FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI increased 3.36 points or 0.19% to 1,752.77, Shanghai Composite increased 8.08 points or 0.25% to 3,258.88, Jakarta Composite increased 12.44 points or 0.22% to 5,546.43, KOSPI Index increased 21.73 points or 1.01% to 2,178.74, Taiwan Weighted increased 49.58 points or 0.5% to 9,962.55 and Hang Seng increased 50.74 points or 0.21% to 24,552.73.On the other hand, Nikkei 225 decreased 67.29 points or 0.34% to 19,454.30.

 

Indian benchmarks snap two days winning streak; Nifty ends below 9,150 mark-Research report-Sharetipsinfo

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Indian equity markets commenced the week on a sluggish note as the benchmarks showcased an unenthusiastic performance on Monday and settled with moderate cuts of over quarter percent. Marketmen turned cautious over the Centre's future reform policies in view of appointment of Yogi Adityanath as the Chief Minister of the country's most populous state. The MP from Gorakhpur, who lacks administrative experience, was unanimously elected the BJP legislature party leader at a meeting of the newly elected MLAs, in a move that took many by surprise. Sentiments remained subdued with a report that the all India Consumer Sentiments Index, measured by the BSE and CMIE, has hit a one-year low at 92.25 compared to 99.65 a year ago. This comes even as the wholesale price index based inflation jumped up to a 39-month high of 6.55%. However, losses remained capped with the report that the Cabinet approved four bills to implement a planned Goods and Services Tax (GST) bills, paving the way for Prime Minister NarendraModi to implement the landmark tax reform from July. The four bills are likely to be taken up by Parliament this week and a separate state GST bill in state assemblies later. Some support also came with the report that the implementation of GST is likely to be fiscally neutral and its impact on inflation is expected to be less than 20 basis points. Further, India has begun the process of dismantling some of the last remaining controls in the foreign direct investment (FDI) framework. The department of economic affairs (DEA) has floated a draft Cabinet note for inter-ministerial consultation to scrap the Foreign Investment Promotion Board (FIPB), in line with a plan announced by finance minister ArunJaitley in his February 1 budget.

The benchmark got off to a sedate opening tracking the dismal leads prevailing in Asian markets following Wall Street's declines and the G20's decision to drop a pledge to avoid trade protectionism. Thereafter, the indices traded in tight range below neutral line with moderate losses for most part of the session. Finally, the NSE Nifty, took a cut of over quarter percent to settle below the crucial 9,150 support level, while BSE Sensex slipped by over hundred points and closed above the psychological 29,500 mark.

 

Global Market Overview 

Asian markets made a mixed closing on Monday

Asian equity markets ended mixed on Monday following Wall Street's decline and the G20's decision to drop a pledge to avoid trade protectionism, while the Federal Reserve's less hawkish-thanexpected comments continued to weigh on the dollar. Chinese stocks bucked the weak trend to close higher, as gains among energy stocks offset declines in the realty sector. China's property market picked pace in February despite the government announcing a raft of measures to temper speculative demand, data showed on Saturday. Japanese markets were closed for the Vernal Equinox holiday.

 

US markets closed mostly lower on Monday

The US markets closed mostly lower on Monday, as investors were reluctant to make big bets without major economic or corporate news. Chicago Fed President Charles Evans said that the Federal Reserve is on track to raise interest rates twice more this year after a policy tightening last week and it could be more or less aggressive depending on inflation and fiscal policies from the Trump administration. The public comments from Evans were among the first since the US central bank lifted its policy rate a notch last week, as expected. It also forecast roughly two more moves in 2017 in a nod to low unemployment and some inflation pressures. Evans, who is a voter on the Fed’s policy-setting committee this year and supported last week’s move, also echoed a comment from Fed Chair Janet Yellen that suggested the central bank could try to push inflation, now at 1.7 percent, above a 2-percent target. Evans added that while that level of growth could be reached in any given year, he said it was hard to imagine given the economy is already doing well, the labor market is very strong, and sectors like automobile sales are at all-time highs. There is room to get inflation up to 2 percent and in fact going beyond 2 percent a little bit to make sure we get there, and that it’s a symmetric inflation objective.

On the economy front, the Chicago Fed national activity index rose more-than-expected last month. Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago said that Chicago Fed National Activity Index rose to a seasonally adjusted 0.34, from -0.02 in the preceding month whose figure was revised up from -0.05.

Technical Overview 

MARKET SYNOPSIS

* Yesterday, NSE-NIFTY witnessed sharp decline in the initial trade and later spent entire session oscillating in narrow range. Finally after registering high of 9,168 and low of 9,116 levels closed the day at 9,127 mark with loss of 33 points.

* NSE Cash segment has reported turnover of Rs22,650crore as compared to Rs31,890 crore earlier.Overall market breadth turned negative, where 787 stocks advanced against 860 declined stocks.

* Mixed trend was observed across all the sectoral indices during the day, where none of the sectoral indices reported gain of more than 0.5%. However, IT index emerged as a top loser with the decrease of 1.1%. 

NSE-NIFTY OUTLOOK

NSE-NIFTY slipped to three day low as index failed to continue prior daily up-trend. As mentioned earlier, our technical view will remain positive on NIFTY, but some decline or sideways movement cannot be ruled out before index resumes the uptrend and records fresh high, as (i) negative market breadth, (ii) overbought indicators and (iii) lack of positive trigger in market are signaling the same. On the lower side, NIFTY will find immediate support around break-out line (i.e. placed around 9,120 level) and in case of further fall, psychological mark-9,000 will continue to work as key support level. On the higher side, index major resistance observed around 9,200 and then at 9,500 levels.

As for the day, support is placed at around 9,050 and then at 9,000 levels, while resistance is observed at 9,170 and then around at 9,220 levels.

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