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Global markets consolidate as oil rally sees Asian stocks gain with US Dollar weakness adding to currency gains.

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Indian Indices: Asian indices opened in the green ignoring the North Korean missile test and US internal probe uncertainty as ‘risk on’ trade continued to see equities being bought aggressively. OIl prices climbed above US $ 50 which saw energy stocks rebound as the US Dollar weakness saw flows buy into Asian currencies which aided the sentiment.


Nifty saw huge intraday volatility as the GST rates finalization gave FMCG bell weathers like ITC and HUL huge boost that saw Nifty scale 9500 on opening bell. However, big selling by foreign investors pushed the Nifty to below 9400 as rupee weakness saw selling intensify. Positive results which beat estimates by SBI lifted the sentiment near close to see a sharp pullback help the index close in the green. For today expect volatility to be the buzzword as we enter derivative contract expiry week. 


The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 30589.97, up by 125.05 points or 0.41% after trading in a range of 30582.82 and 30712.15. There were 15 stocks advancing against 14 stocks declining on the index, while one stock remained unchanged. The broader indices were trading mixed; the BSE Mid cap index declined 0.21%, while Small cap index was up by 0.16%.

The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 9462.25, up by 34.35 points or 0.36% after trading in a range of 9457.10 and 9498.65. There were 24 stocks advancing against 27 stocks declining on the index.

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Group ATopGainers

 

 

Company

Price (Rs)

% chg

Unitdspr

2067.95

7.99

ITC

297.15

4.28

Suzlon

21.20

3.16

UBL

798.05

3.09

Group ATopLosers

 

 

VRLLOG

310.00

-7.10

Cumminsind

922.00

-4.73

Justdial

488.00

-4.20

Jetairways

499.00

-3.89

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Indices

Support

Resistanes

Sensex

30430

30660

Nifty

9475

9535

 

Technical view: Nifty will find support around Friday's low around 9390 which if broken can see weakness accelerate, while 9500/9520 will act as resistance on the upside. Bank Nifty also finds support around 22628 while 22850 will act as resistance on the upside.


 

MothersonSumi (Buy Above 424 with Stop Loss at 416 for Target of 440): The stock has gained strong momentum in the previous trading session snapping a three day losing streak. Motherson found support at its 15-DMA and has bounced sharply. The smart upswing is also accompanied with credible uptick in volumes. In addition, other momentum oscillators also point towards an extended rally in the stock.


Derivative Snippets

The joint venture between Larsen & Toubro (L&T) and Mitsubishi Hitachi Power Systems Ltd, L&T-MHPS Boilers Private Limited (LMB), has secured export orders worth around Rs3bn from the Japanese thermal power generation company.

In the last trading session, markets ended on a flat note after witnessing volatile intraday swings. Long unwinding was seen in Nifty 9300 PE while short selling was witnessed in 9500CE indicating of a likely close for Nifty between these two strikes during this expiry week. 

FIIs were net sellers in cash market segment to the tune of Rs 989 Cr.FIIs index future long short ratio at 2x vs 1.9x.

 

Nifty Movers: The top gainers on Nifty were ITC up by 3.93%, BhartiInfratel up by 2.07%, Kotak Mahindra Bank up by 1.69%, Indiabulls Housing up by 1.46% and Adani Ports up by 1.45%. On the flip side, Tata Power down by 3.27%, Sun Pharma down by 2.17%, GAIL India down by 1.73%, SBI down by 1.59% and Lupin down by 1.58% were the top losers.

 

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening: The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were FMCG up by 1.94%, Telecom up by 0.87%, Capital Goods up by 0.73%, IT up by 0.73% and Realty up by 0.72%, while PSU down by 0.84%, Oil & Gas down by 0.66%, Healthcare down by 0.60%, Utilities down by 0.56% and Energy down by 0.26% were the losing indices on BSE.

 

 

On the global front: On the global front, Asian shares were trading mostly in green, amid political turmoil in Brazil. Indonesia’s central bank governor said its policy stance remained neutral and that it was monitoring global risks ranging from the big chance of a rate hike in the United States in June to tension in the Korean peninsula. At a policy meeting, Bank Indonesia kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 4.75 percent, saying its decision was consistent with its efforts to maintain stability at a time of recovery for Southeast Asia’s largest economy.

 

Global Signals:Asian markets were trading mostly in green; FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI gained 2.92 points or 0.17% to 1,771.20, KOSPI Index increased 11.41 points or 0.5% to 2,299.89, Taiwan Weighted rose 30.47 points or 0.31% to 9,978.09, Jakarta Composite jumped 32.87 points or 0.57% to 5,824.75, Nikkei 225 added 89.02 points or 0.45% to 19,679.78 and Hang Seng was up by 237.39 points or 0.94% to 25,412.26.

On the flip side, Shanghai Composite was down by 7.52 points or 0.24% to 3,083.11.

 

Weekly Nifty Trading View for the Week May 22, 2017–May 28, 2017

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Events to watch this week

  • Special counsel appointed in Russia probe

  • UK’s May unveils election manifesto

  • Merkel’s prospects bright after state elections

  • Corruption scandal touches Brazil’s president

The Week ahead:

  • Flash manufacturing purchasing managers’ indices are released globally on Tuesday, 23 May

  • The Bank of Canada meets to set interest rates on Wednesday, 24 May

  • The minutes of the US Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting are released on Wednesday, 24 May

  • Preliminary UK gross domestic product data are released on Thursday, 25 May

  • Preliminary US GDP data and durable goods orders are reported on Friday, 26 May

  • The G7 summit begins in Taormina, Sicily, on Friday, 26 May

For the week,Global equities saw little net change this week, but there was a good bit of volatility midweek as political chaos intensified in Washington. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note fell to 2.25% from 2.34% a week earlier while West Texas Intermediate crude oil rose to $50.30 a barrel from $47.50 last week amid signs OPEC and major producers such as Russia will retain output curbs through March of 2018. Volatility, as measured by the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX), jumped as high as 15.50 at midweek before slipping to 11.90 on Friday. The week began at a placid 10.80.

NIFTY- 9,427.90
CRUDE OIL-Rs 3,276barrel
GOLD-Rs 28,644 gram
Rs/$-Rs 64.64

MARKET ROUND UP 
Key indices clocked modest gains in the week ended Friday, 19 May 2017 as hopes rose for a possible interest rate cut by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) after the latest data showed a sharp fall in headline retail inflation and after reports suggested monsoon rains are expected to arrive on the southern Kerala coast two days ahead of schedule boosting sentiment. Good monsoon rains will further ease inflation going forward. 

Goods and services tax (GST) Council finalising GST rates for the goods and services further aided sentiment. The Sensex gained in four out of five sessions of the week. The Sensex and the Nifty, both hit fresh record highs on intraday as well as on closing basis during the fortnight. 

The S&P BSE Sensex gained 276.77 points or 0.91% to settle at 30,464.92. The Nifty 50 index rose 27 points or 0.28% to settle at 9,427.90. The gains of Nifty were less compared with Sensex's gains in percentage terms.
The Mid-Cap index fell 1.41%. The Small-Cap index dropped 1.93%. Both these indices underperformed the Sensex.

Macro Economic Front: 
On the Economic Front,Macroeconomic data, Q4 results of India Inc., trend in global markets, investment by foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) and domestic institutional investors (DIIs), the movement of rupee against the dollar and crude oil price movement will dictate trend on the bourses in week ahead. 
The market may remain volatile as traders roll over positions in the futures & options (F&O) segment from the near month May 2017 series to June 2017 series. The near month May 2017 derivatives contract expire on Thursday, 25 May 2017.

Major Action &Announcement:
Maruti Suzuki India rose 0.89%. The company launched new Dzire sedan nationally on 16 May 2017. The announcement was made during market hours on Tuesday, 16 May 2017. The petrol variant of the vehicle is priced between Rs 5.45 lakhs to Rs 8.41 lakhs and diesel variant between Rs 6.45 lakhs to Rs 9.41 lakhs ex-showroom Delhi.

Bajaj Auto fell 0.73%. The company's consolidated net profit fell 13.44% to Rs 862.25 crore on 8.7% decline in total revenue from operations to Rs 5212.83 crore in Q4 March 2017 over Q4 March 2016. The result was announced during market hours on Thursday, 18 May 2017.

Tata Steel surged 12.05%. The stock was the biggest gainer from the Sensex pack. The company reported consolidated net loss of Rs 1168.02 crore in Q4 March 2017, lower than net loss of Rs 3041.88 crore in Q4 March 2016. The company's consolidated net sales rose 29.6% to Rs 33424.09 crore in Q4 March 2017 over Q4 March 2016. The result was announced after market hours on Tuesday, 16 May 2017.

Lupin rose 4.84%. The company launched Cialis (tadalafil), an oral PDE5 inhibitor, for the treatment of erectile dysfunction (ED) in adult males. Cialis was shown to improve erectile function compared to placebo upto 36 hours following dosing. The product is currently marketed in over 100 countries. The announcement was made after market hours on Tuesday, 16 May 2017.

Hindustan Unilever gained 2.81%. The company's net profit rose 6.19% to Rs 1183 crore on 6.39% rise in total income to Rs 8969 crore in Q4 March 2017 over Q4 March 2016. The result was announced after market hours on Wednesday, 17 May 2017.

State Bank of India rose 3.7%. The bank's net profit rose 122.72% to Rs 2814.82 crore on 7.83% increase in total income to Rs 57720.10 crore in Q4 March 2017 over Q4 March 2016. The result was announced during trading hours on Friday, 19 May 2017. 
Gross non-performing assets (NPAs) stood at Rs 112342.99 crore as on 31 March 2017 as against Rs 108172.32 crore as on 30 December 2016 and Rs 98172.80 crore as on 31 March 2016. The ratio of gross NPAs to gross advances stood at 6.9% as on 31 March 2017 as against 7.23% as on 31 December 2016 and 6.5% as on 31 March 2016. The ratio of net NPAs to net advances stood at 3.71% as on 31 March 2017 as against 4.24% as on 31 December 2016 and 3.81% as on 31 March 2016. 

Global Front: 
In Overseas Markets,data on Markit flash Eurozone composite purchasing managers' index (PMI) for May, indicating health of the combined manufacturing and services sectors for that month will be announced on Tuesday, 23 May 2017. Markit Flash US Composite PMI for May will be announced on the same day. Nikkei Flash Japan Manufacturing PMI for May, indicating health of the manufacturing sector will also be announced on that day. Data on new home sales in US for April, measuring the number of newly constructed homes with a committed sale for that month will be announced on Tuesday, 23 May 2017.
The Federal Open Market Committee will issue minutes of its previous policy meet held early this month on Thursday, 24 May 2017. The Federal Reserve had left its influential interest rate unchanged at the conclusion of its two-day meeting on 3 May 2017, citing a recent slowdown in growth that it said was likely transitory. The preliminary figures of US' Q1 gross Domestic Product will be announced on Friday, 26 May 2017.


Global Economic News:

Trump visits allies as pressure builds at home
US president Donald Trump embarked on his first overseas trip as president today, leaving behind a swirl of controversy in Washington. Trump will visit Saudi Arabia, Israel and the Vatican before a stop in Sicily for the G7 summit. On Wednesday, the US Department of Justice appointed former FBI director Robert Mueller as special counsel to investigate Russia’s intervention in the 2016 presidential election as well as any improper contact between Russian agents and the Trump campaign. Revelations that Trump disclosed extremely sensitive intelligence to the Russian foreign minister and ambassador during an Oval Office visit last week added to the firestorm.


Tory platform says no Brexit deal better than bad one
UK prime minister Theresa May unveiled the Conservative Party manifesto on Thursday, setting the stage for the general election on 8 June. On Brexit, the manifesto says that no deal is better than a bad one and that the United Kingdom seeks an agreement with the European Union that would take the UK out of the single market and customs union but continue close ties through a comprehensive trade and customs agreement. Meanwhile, the UK this week reported that its unemployment rate stands at 4.6%, its lowest level since 1975.


Merkel’s party flexes muscles
German chancellor Angela Merkel’s party, the Christian Democratic Union, has performed extremely well in German state elections in recent months. This potentially paves the way for Merkel to retain her post when Germany holds federal elections in late September. The CDU won the regional vote in Germany’s most populous state, North Rhine-Westphalia, last weekend, unseating the Social Democrats in state elections for the third time since March. Earlier concerns over Merkel’s unpopular immigration stance appear to have faded amid a solid German economic recovery.


Brazil’s Supreme Court authorizes Temer bribery investigation 
Brazilian president Michel Temer, who came to office after the impeachment and removal from office of his predecessor, DilmaRousseff, was placed under investigation by the nation’s Supreme Court this week after allegations surfaced that Temer was taped condoning the bribery of a witness in a major corruption scandal. Temer, in a nationwide address, vowed not to resign, saying he did not buy anyone’s silence. In the wake of the allegations, stocks and the Brazilian real both plunged on fears the recent economic rebound could stall amid fresh political uncertainty.

GLOBAL CORPORATE NEWS

Macron appoints center-right PM, pledges to overhaul Europe
After being sworn in on Sunday, French president Emmanuel Macron on Monday appointed Édouard Philippe as prime minister. Phillipe is a member of the Republicans, and his appointment is an effort to woo support from the center-right in case Macron’s En Marche! party fails to secure a majority in next month’s parliamentary elections. Later in the week, during a meeting with European Council president Donald Tusk, Macron vowed to work for the overhaul of Europe. Tusk praised Macron, saying Europe needs his energy, imagination and courage.


Japan’s growth picks up steam
Japan’s economy grew 2.2% in the first quarter of the year, its fifth straight quarter of growth, the longest string of gains in over a decade. Exports and domestic demand were both solid.
As of 17 May, with 458 companies in the S&P 500 Index having reported, Q1 earnings are expected to increase 15% from a year ago. Excluding energy, earnings are seen growing 10.7%. Revenues growth is estimated at 7.2%, falling to 5.3% ex energy.


NEW 52-WEEK HIGH BSE (A):

ADANITRANS

106.25

HINDUNILVR

1022.00

ITC

295.50

NEW 52-WEEK LOWS BSE (A):


CRISIL

1853.35

DIVISLAB

603.90

GLENMARK

658.00

RCOM

30.30

MAJOR WEEKLY GAINERS IN BSE A CATEGORY(%):


ADANI TRANSMISSION

17.80

tATA STEEL

12.05

CEAT LTD

9.17

MAJOR WEEKLY LOSERS IN BSE A CATEGORY:


GLENMARK

-13.10

BHARAT FINANCIAL

-12.62

SREI INFRA

-11.69



Eyes will be set on the certain US economic data releases are: 
Monday (22May)
Month Bill Auction
Tuesday (23 May)
New Home Sales 
Wednesday (24May)
MBA Mortgage Applications& Existing Home Sales
Thursday (25May)
Natural Gas Report
Friday (26May)
Consumer Sentiment


Fundamental Pick of the week:

Buy Zee Entertainment Enterprises Ltd For Target Rs.542.00

After a strong up move, ZEEL has retraced closer to its support zone of moving averages on daily chart and consolidating around the same. Traders should not miss this chance and utilize to initiate fresh longs in the given range.


Recommendation 
Buy Zee Entertainment Enterprises Limited  @520-524  Stoploss 510 Target 542.


Domestic Market Overview 
Markets may see some recovery, GST rate specific actions to be in limelight 
The Indian markets reeling under global pressure slumped and major benchmarks dropped close to a percent in the last session. Today, the start is likely to be mildly in green and some recovery can be seen after the sharp fall of last trade. Traders will be cheering the GST Council finalising tax rates of goods and services under the four-slab structure with essential items of daily use being kept in the lowest bracket of 5 percent. The Council fixed the rates for over 1200 items under the Goods and Services tax. Lots of daily consumption items such as milk, fruit and vegetables, jaggery or gur, foodgrain and cereals have been exempted from tax, while others such as sugar, tea, coffee, edible oil, mithai, and newsprint have been placed in the lowest slab of 5 per cent. Luxury cars will attract 28 per cent GST plus a cess of 15 per cent, while small petrol cars will face 28 per cent plus 1 per cent cess, and diesel small cars 28 per cent tax plus 3 per cent cess. Consumer durables, which now face a total tax of about 32 per cent, will be taxed in the 28 per cent slab.


The panel will discuss tax rates for gold and some other items today and could meet one more time if necessary to decide rates on remaining items. There will be sector specific buzz based on GST rates and steel stocks may see some uptrend as the GST rate on coal has been fixed at 5 percent. The move will bring down the input cost and would lead to stabilisation of prices. There will be some buzz in banking sector too, as the RBI has eased the norms of setting up bank branches and said branches manned by either bank’s staff or its business correspondents where services are provided for a minimum of four hours per day for at least five days a week will be called a banking outlet. There will be lots of important earnings announcements too to keep the markets in action.

TECHNICAL VIEW:


S3

S2

S1

NIFTY

R1

R2

R3

9,300

9,338

9,365

9,427.90

9,468

9,520

9,600

Nifty loose firm momentum and tanks around 100 points from previous session’s close. It tested support of upward sloping trend channel and closed near the same in the end. The trend strength indicator (RSI) came out of an overbought state now on the daily scale.A breach below 9400 could distort the firmness & hence could seen as a strong support area. Momentum traders should maintained as a trailing stop strategy for existing shorts.
Bank Nifty: Low made  was 22660 and close was at 22700 so bulls were able to hold the low of gann angles, holding the same we can bounce back towards 22820/22940/23110. Bearish below 22600 for a move towards 22500/22350. Bank Nifty made high of 22900 doing our target as discussed. Also Low made was 22628, so bulls were able to protect 22600 and close above 22700 suggesting bulls are still in game as bank nifty holding on to gann angles, Bulls above 22800 can see next move towards 22940/23110. Bearish below 22600 only, As per time analysis expect a trending move in next 2 days. 

Conclusion: 
Markets, in line with global peers, reacted sharply to the news that the US President tried to influence federal investigation, raising doubts over his policies ahead. Mostly sectoral indices, barring IT, ended lower and settled around the day’s low. Besides, caution ahead of the beginning of the two-day GST meet also induced the participants to book some profit.
Markets are slightly overheated after the recent rally and finally got the reason to lighten up. We feel 9350 would be crucial mark in Nifty ahead and any decisive slide below that level will derail the momentum. However, traders should see this as intermediate correction, which is normal and healthy for sustainability of the broader trend.

US markets manage to end with marginal gains even as Brazil enters fresh crisis with markets tanking over 10%.

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Indian Indices: Asian indices opened flat to mildly positive after seeing a huge selloff on Thursday. The undertone remains weak as weekend blues will see caution prevail as emerging markets could be under pressure due to Brazilian crisis. The selloff in Brazilian bonds and equities could see collateral damage spill over to other emerging markets as index re-balancing takes place by large institutional investors.


Nifty finally succumbed to global cues and closed down almost 100 points as selloff in Banks, Metals and Industrials gathered momentum. The Rupee which has been an outperformer in emerging markets also fell sharply to close @ 64.88 almost down 70 paise. For today expect mild bouts of pullback with mid caps witnessing selling on rallies as investors book profits. 


The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 30634.70, up by 199.91 points or 0.66% after trading in a range of 30539.65 and 30712.35. There were 19 stocks advancing against 11 stocks declining on the index.

The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.75%, while Small cap index was up by 1.02%.

The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 9483.35, up by 53.90 points or 0.57% after trading in a range of 9465.15 and 9505.75. There were 32 stocks advancing against 19 stocks declining on the index.

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Group ATopGainers

 

 

Company

Price (Rs)

% chg

GMDCLTD

135.30

6.54

CESC

867.10

4.50

ITC

289.50

4.12

Colpal

1014.75

3.61

Group ATopLosers

 

 

UPL

766.70

-6.09

Suntv

820.90

-5.92

Unitdspr

1966.95

-3.68

OFSS

3675.75

-2.53

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Indices

Support

Resistanes

Sensex

30430

30660

Nifty

9475

9535

 

Technical view: Nifty will find support around 9370 while yesterday's high of 9489 will act as resistance on the upside. Bank Nifty also finds support around 22550 while 22834 which was yesterday's high will act as resistance on the upside.


 

Colpal (BUY Above 981 with Stop Loss at 965 for Target of 1020): The stock has been witnessing selling pressure in the past four weeks. However, Colpal has reached its crucial support of 100-DMA and is showing signs of a reversal. Even momentum oscillators are making an attempt to reverse from the oversold zone indicating a meaningful bounce from here.


Derivative Snippets

In the last trading session, markets tumbled as around 90% of stocks in Nifty50 index closed in red. Nifty and Bank Nifty OTM call option strikes added fresh short positions while put option strikes added fresh long position with rise in implied volatility, indicating further pain for market going forward. 

FIIs were net sellers in cash market segment to the tune of Rs 361 Cr.

FIIs index future long short ratio at 1.9x. Long positions to the tune of ~26k contracts were created in Index put options.

 

Nifty Movers: The top gainers on Nifty were ITC up by 5.15%, Bank of Baroda up by 2.72%, Yes Bank up by 2.57%, Grasim Industries up by 2.32% and Hindustan Unilever up by 2.10%. On the flip side, Asian Paints down by 1.28%, TCS down by 1.20%, Wipro down by 1.18%, Eicher Motors down by 1.10% and Infosys down by 1.05% were the top losers.

 

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening: The gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were FMCG up by 3.44%, Realty up by 1.88%, Power up by 1.55%, Telecom up by 1.25% and Metal up by 1.21%, while IT down by 0.77%, TECK down by 0.43% and Consumer Durables down by 0.06% were the only losing indices on BSE.

 

 

On the global front: On the global front, Asian shares were trading mostly in green, amid political turmoil in Brazil. Indonesia’s central bank governor said its policy stance remained neutral and that it was monitoring global risks ranging from the big chance of a rate hike in the United States in June to tension in the Korean peninsula. At a policy meeting, Bank Indonesia kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 4.75 percent, saying its decision was consistent with its efforts to maintain stability at a time of recovery for Southeast Asia’s largest economy.

 

Global Signals:The Asian markets were trading mostly in green; FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI increased 3.23 points or 0.18% to 1,770.40, KOSPI Index increased 4.19 points or 0.18% to 2,291.01, Jakarta Composite increased 22.12 points or 0.39% to 5,667.57, Nikkei 225 increased 28.78 points or 0.15% to 19,582.64 and Hang Seng increased 82.54 points or 0.33% to 25,219.06.

On the other hand, Taiwan Weighted decreased 16.26 points or 0.16% to 9,953.19 and Shanghai Composite decreased 1.29 points or 0.04% to 3,088.85.

 

SENSEX CLOSES OVER 200 POINTS LOWER, NIFTY BELOW 9500; IT STOCKS GAIN

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Indian Indices: The Indian equity benchmarks continued their sluggish trade in late afternoon session, tracking bearish global cues and heavy selling pressure in Consumer Durables, Realty and Basic Materials stocks. Investors remained cautious over the ongoing two-day Good and Services Tax (GST) Council's meet, which will finalise tax slabs on services and commodities in the country. Some concerns also came with India Ratings and Research’s report that corporate and small & medium enterprise (SME) loans aggregating to Rs 2.60 lakh crore, which is 3.2 percent of total bank credit, could potentially be recognized as stressed loans by FY19. 

It further noted that Indian banks are sitting on unrecognized stressed loans worth of Rs 7.7 lakh crore. It also pegs stressed corporate and SME debt at 22 percent of total bank credit. Meanwhile, the railways will launch shortly its redesigned e-tendering system with more user-friendly new features to facilitate digital participation of over 60,000 vendors.

The BSE Sensex is currently closed at 30434.79, down by 223.98 points or 0.73% after trading in a range of 30436.56 and 30575.83. There were 10 stocks advancing against 19 stocks declining on the index, while 1 stock remained unchanged.

The broader indices were trading in red; the BSE Mid cap index was down by 1.25%, while Small cap index was down by 0.94%.

The CNX Nifty is currently shut down at 9429.45, down by 96.30 points or 1.01% after trading in a range of 9445.25 and 9489.10. There were 11 stocks advancing against 40 stocks declining on the index.

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Top Movers (Group A)

 

 

Company

Cmp

% chg

Gainers

 

 

JPassociat

12.99

4.42

Wipro

523.60

3.47

Cumminsin

1052.55

3.45

TCS

2534.10

3.38

Losers

 

 

CESC

829.80

-15.10

IDBI

70.00

-7.77

JSWSteel

191.40

-7.38

BhartFin

725.80

-6.91

INDEX PERFORANCE

 

 

Index

Close

% Chg

Sensex

30,434.79

-0.73

Nifty

9,429.45

-1.01

 

Crporate Front:

Regrob, a top real estate brokerage company in India, announced the launch of its 21st branch in Vijayawada Andhra Pradesh. "With every new branch, the roots of Regrob are growing deeper and stronger in the industry", said CEO Vivek Raman.Rated as the easiest state to do business, Andhara Pradesh is now a new home for Regrob, a company with the second highest market share in the technology based real-estate brokerage sector.


 

Macroeconomic front:

The Union Cabinet has approved the signing and ratifying of an agreement between India and Tajikistan on cooperation and sharing of intelligence in the area of Customs. The agreement will help in availability of information for the prevention and investigation of Customs offences, an official statement said.

 

On the global front:

On the global front, European markets were trading in red as mounting political uncertainty in the U.S. exacerbated concerns among investors as to whether President Donald Trump would be able to deliver on key pro-growth policies. Asian markets were also trading in red. Back home, in scrip specific development, Hindustan Copper traded jubilantly after the company received an approval on fund raising plan. 


The board has recommended issues of fresh equity shares through Further Public Offer (FPO) or Institutional Placement Programme (IIP) or Qualified Institutional Placement (QIP) or a combination of the routes as per extend guidelines, to a extend of 9.25 crore equity shares (10% of existing paid up equity capital). 

Commodity Updates:

Commodity Prices (MCX):

Commodity

Rs

% Chang

Gold

28895.00

0.96

Silver

39176.00

-0.06

Crude oil

3128.00

-0.89

Natural Gas

206.90

1.07

Alluminium

123.70

0.0

Copper

359.10

-1.12

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:The top gainers on the Sensex were TCS up by 3.47%, Wipro up by 2.89%, Lupin up by 1.54%, Infosys up by 0.98% and ICICI Bank up by 0.90%. On the flip side, Mahindra & Mahindra down by 1.76%, Tata Motors down by 1.69%, Larsen & Toubro down by 1.68%, Hindustan Unilever down by 1.41% and Reliance Industries down by 1.29% were the top losers.

Top Nifty Movers:The top gainers on Nifty were TCS up by 3.21%, Wipro up by 2.20%, Lupin up by 1.37%, Adani Ports & SEZ up by 1.10% and Infosys up by 0.94%. On the flip side, Yes Bank down by 3.06%, Ultratech Cement down by 2.71%, BhartiInfratel down by 2.47%, Hindalco down by 2.44% and Grasim Industries down by 2.42% were the top losers.

 

Global Signals:

Asian markets were trading mostly in red; Nikkei 225 decreased 261.02 points or 1.32% to 19,553.86, Hang Seng decreased 157.11 points or 0.62% to 25,136.52, Taiwan Weighted decreased 44.22 points or 0.44% to 9,969.45, Shanghai Composite decreased 14.3 points or 0.46% to 3,090.14, FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI decreased 10.91 points or 0.61% to 1,764.74 and KOSPI Index decreased 6.26 points or 0.27% to 2,286.82. On the flip side, Jakarta Composite increased 19.3 points or 0.34% to 5,634.79.

All the European markets were trading in red; Germany’s DAX decreased 67.72 points or 0.54% to 12,563.89, UK’s FTSE 100 decreased 59.09 points or 0.79% to 7,444.38 and France’s CAC decreased 34.33 points or 0.65% to 5,283.56.

 

US indices record huge 350 plus point fall as Trump policies are in danger of execution. US Dollar falls along with bond yields while gold hits a 3 month high.

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Indian Indices: Asian indices opened in red with the Japanese 'Nikkei" falling over 350 points as stronger ‘Yen’ hurt exporters. With US bond yields falling by 2.22% there was a scramble to buy bonds as ‘risk off’ trade gathered momentum after the Trump/Comey rhetoric saw negative overtones. Globally, markets are perched atop huge highs and any correction will be sharp as paper profits turn to actual.


Nifty refused to correct as all intraday dips are turning to be buying opportunities. Today may be different and if the crucial support gets broken during the day then it will lead to profit booking as overbought market likely to witness sharper than expected corrections. Mid-caps are seeing huge profit booking and could be susceptible today as leveraged players exit long positions.


The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 30500.82, down by 157.95 points or 0.52% after trading in a range of 30436.56 and 30567.82. There were 6 stocks advancing against 24 stocks declining on the index.

The broader indices were trading in red; the BSE Mid cap index declined by 1.01%, while Small cap index was down by 0.86%.

The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 9465.60, down by 60.15 points or 0.63% after trading in a range of 9448.75 and 9489.10. There were 9 stocks advancing against 42 stocks declining on the index.

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Group ATopGainers

 

 

Company

Price (Rs)

% chg

Hindcopper

70.30

5.32

MRPL

139.40

3.18

Wipro

520.55

2.87

Edelweiss

183.00

2.21

Group ATopLosers

 

 

JKLakshmi

481.25

-6.57

Network18

49.25

-4.74

DEN

97.75

-4.07

Unitech

5.79

-3.98

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Indices

Support

Resistanes

Sensex

30430

30660

Nifty

9475

9535

 

Technical view: Nifty will see support initially around 9450 which was the previous resistance and if that is broken then 9370 can be tested, while 9550 on the upside will act as resistance. Bank Nifty will see 23000 act as resistance on the upside while 22550 will act as support.


 

Ashok Leyland (Buy Above 88.5 with Stop Loss at 86 for Target of 93): After consolidating for over six weeks, the stock has finally broken out from a double bottom pattern on the daily charts. The price outburst has been accompanied with smart uptick in volumes. Ashok Leyland has also closed above its long term 200-DMA further accentuating our bullish stance on the stock.

Derivative Snippets

In the last trading session, markets traded in a narrow range for almost entire day. Nifty 9500 PE added fresh open interest to the tune of ~15 lakhs shares making 9500 as strong resistance level going forward.

FIIs were net sellers in cash market segment to the tune of Rs 731 Cr.FIIs index future long short ratio at 1.9x v/s 2x.

Cabinet OKs policy to auction coal linkages to power producers

Skymet says monsoon to hit Kerala May 29; IMD sees onset on May 30 

GST plan enters last stage; Council meets to decide on tax rates

 

Nifty Movers: The top gainers on Nifty were Bank of Baroda up by 0.99%, TCS up by 0.97%, Tech Mahindra up by 0.93%, Wipro up by 0.86% and Sun Pharma up by 0.48%. On the flip side, Hindalco down by 2.62%, Yes Bank down by 2.56%, Axis Bank down by 1.65%, Indiabulls Housing down by 1.54% and Ambuja Cement down by 1.40% were the top losers.

 

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening: The only gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were IT up by 0.40% and TECK up by 0.25%, while Realty down by 2.07%, Metal down by 1.31%, Industrials down by 1.24%, Basic Materials down by 1.22%, Capital Goods down by 1.21% were the top losing indices on BSE.

 

 

On the global front: On the global front, Global cues too remained somber with most of the Asian counters were trading in red at this point of time. The Japanese market was down by over a percent as the yen strengthened against the dollar. The US markets slumped in the last session and the tech-heavy Nasdaq which has been on a record breaking spree pulled back well off its record closing high.

 

Global Signals:Asian markets were trading mostly in red; Nikkei 225 declined 316.94 points or 1.6% to 19,497.94, Hang Seng slipped 59.29 points or 0.23% to 25,234.34, Taiwan Weighted decreased 51.84 points or 0.52% to 9,961.83, KOSPI Index shed 10.6 points or 0.46% to 2,282.48, FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI fell 9.52 points or 0.54% to 1,766.13 and Shanghai Composite was down by 5.84 points or 0.19% to 3,098.60. On the flip side, Jakarta Composite was up by 9.38 points or 0.17% to 5,624.88.

 

SENSEX, NIFTY MANAGE TO END SESSION AT A RECORD CLOSING HIGH, TATA GROUP COS GAIN

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Indian Indices: Reversing initial losses, Indian equity benchmarks added gains in late afternoon session to hover near intraday highs, as investors remained optimistic ahead of the two-day Good and Services Tax (GST) Council's meet that is scheduled to start on Thursday and healthy buying in metal, realty and automobile stocks also buoyed investors' sentiments. 

Some support also came with the report that India has overtaken the US to be at second place in this year's 'Renewable energy country attractiveness index' released by EY and this is primarily due to a combination of strong government support and increasingly attractive economics. 

Meanwhile, power stocks gained traction after the CCEA approved a new coal linkage policy to ensure adequate supply of the fuel to power plants through reverse auction. Shares of some steel companies were trading higher with India Ratings and Research’s report that the National Steel Policy 2017 announced by the Ministry of Steel will give a boost to the struggling Indian steel industry and is betting on higher spending on infrastructure and construction sector through government initiatives to push steel demand and increase utilization.

The BSE Sensex is currently closed at 30658.77, up by 76.17 points or 0.25% after trading in a range of 30519.14 and 30692.45. There were 20 stocks advancing against 10 stocks declining on the index. The broader indices were trading mixed; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.17%, while Small cap index was down by 0.04%.

The CNX Nifty is currently shut up at 9525.75, up by 13.50 points or 0.14% after trading in a range of 9486.10 and 9529.30. There were 28 stocks advancing against 23 stocks declining on the index.

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Top Movers (Group A)

 

 

Company

Cmp

% chg

Gainers

 

 

Tata Steel

493.35

7.95

Ceatltd

1832.45

7.85

Sobha

429.60

4.28

Welcorp

94.25

4.66

Losers

 

 

Edelweiss

179.05

-5.66

PNB

165.05

-5.44

Religare

182.95

-4.56

Network18

51.50

-4.28

INDEX PERFORANCE

 

 

Index

Close

% Chg

Sensex

30,658.77

0.25

Nifty

9,525.75

0.14

Crporate Front:

Pharmaceutical and petrochemical industries can help India and Belgium to diversify their bilateral trade beyond the diamond sector, the country's Secretary of State for Foreign Trade Pieter De Crem has said."Bilateral trade between India and Belgium is already strong. This is mainly thanks to the diamond sector and trade between Mumbai and Antwerp. I believe there is scope for diversifying to other sectors," De Crem told IANS on a recent visit to India.

 

Macroeconomic front:The Medium and Heavy Commercial Vehicle (MHCV) segment posted a 55 per cent yoy and 73 per cent mom decline in domestic sales volumes in April 2017, which is disconcerting and reflective of the possible MHCV industry downturn, says India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra). MHCV sales volumes traditionally have displayed a sharp month on month decline in the month of April, due to highest annual sales usually registered in the month of March.

 

On the global front:

On the global front, European markets were trading in red as investors reacted to fresh corporate earnings and ongoing political uncertainty in the US. Asian markets were also trading in red. Back home, in scrip specific development, Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories traded higher after the company received approval from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (USFDA) to launch Doxorubicin Hydrochloride Liposome Injection, a therapeutic equivalent generic version of Doxil (doxorubicin hydrochloride liposome injection), for intravenous use, in the United States market.

Commodity Updates:

Commodity Prices (MCX):

Commodity

Rs

% Chang

Gold

28345.00

0.89

Silver

39131.00

1.00

Crude oil

3124.00

0.03

Natural Gas

206.90

0.29

Alluminium

123.55

0.08

Copper

362.10

-0.1

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Metal up by 2.51%, Basic Materials up by 0.65%, Realty up by 0.49%, Auto up by 0.40% and Power up by 0.38%, while Consumer Durables down by 0.91%, IT down by 0.34%, Healthcare down by 0.23%, TECK down by 0.23%, and Oil & Gas down by 0.05% were the top losing indices on BSE.

Top Nifty Movers:The top gainers on Nifty were Tata Steel up by 8.64%, Indiabulls Housing Finance up by 2.96%, ICICI Bank up by 2.08%, Tata Power up by 1.73% and Tata Motors up by 1.67%. On the flip side, Tech Mahindra down by 2.54%, Bosch down by 1.69%, ACC down by 1.47%, Yes Bank down by 1.38% and Adani Ports & SEZ down by 1.38% were the top losers.

 

Global Signals:

All Asian markets were trading in red; Nikkei 225 decreased 104.94 points or 0.53% to 19,814.88, Hang Seng decreased 42.31 points or 0.17% to 25,293.63, Jakarta Composite decreased 25.8 points or 0.46% to 5,621.20, Taiwan Weighted decreased 17.82 points or 0.18% to 10,013.67, Shanghai Composite decreased 8.52 points or 0.27% to 3,104.44, FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI decreased 5.82 points or 0.33% to 1,772.33 and KOSPI Index decreased 2.25 points or 0.1% to 2,293.08.

European markets were trading mostly in red; Germany’s DAX decreased 22.26 points or 0.17% to 12,782.27 and France’s CAC decreased 13.96 points or 0.26% to 5,392.14. On the flip side, UK’s FTSE 100 increased 6.15 points or 0.08% to 7,528.18.

 

 

US indices close flat as political rhetoric sees sentiment turn cautious. Global markets consolidate as US Dollar weakens further with emerging market currencies seeing big gains.

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Indian Indices: Asian indices opened weak as profit booking seems on the cards after the heady run of the past few weeks. US Dollar weakness saw strength in most Asian currencies, which boosted sentiments with positive inflows into equities. There could be some more consolidation as US political rhetoric takes centre stage, which could see some more profit booking on rallies.


Nifty crossed 9500 led by Auto, Banks and FMCG as foreign flows and left out feeling witness huge buying chase stocks. With most sideline sitters also jumping in the fray expect another final bout of irrational exuberance as Nifty moves into extremely overbought zone. For today expect Tata Steel to lead from the front after posting excellent results last evening, while mid-cap housing and financials could be under pressure from profit booking.


The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 30599.56, up by 16.96 points or 0.06% after trading in a range of 30519.14 and 30642.94. There were 17 stocks advancing against 13 stocks declining on the index. The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.24%, while Small cap index was up by 0.10%.

The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 9507.50, down by 4.75 points or 0.05% after trading in a range of 9489.70 and 9521.00. There were 24 stocks advancing against 27 stocks declining on the index.

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Group ATopGainers

 

 

Company

Price (Rs)

% chg

Tata Steel

492.85

7.84

RTNPower

8.89

5.58

Sobha

433.00

5.11

Monsanto

2919.45

5.18

Group ATopLosers

 

 

Shreecem

18926.40

-5.11

Edelweiss

181.65

-4.29

PNB

167.65

-3.95

Religare

184.70

-3.65

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Indices

Support

Resistanes

Sensex

30430

30660

Nifty

9475

9535

 

Technical view: Nifty finds strong support around 9450 which was the previous support while 9600 will act as resistance on the upside. Bank Nifty will also find support now around 22750 while 23100 will act as resistance on the upside.


 

SBI (Buy Above 308 with Stop Loss at 301 for Target of 320): After consolidating for the past six weeks, the stock has finally broken out from a symmetrical triangle pattern on the daily charts. The price outburst has been accompanied with credible rise in volumes too. In addition, other momentum oscillators also indicate than the upswing is likely to extend, which further accentuates our bullish stance on the stock.


Derivative Snippets

In the last trading session, Nifty, Bank Nifty, Mid-cap Index closed on record highs. Nifty closed above 9500 level for the first time ever as huge short covering was witnessed in 9500 CE strike. Nifty ATM/OTM put option strikes continue to remain under selling pressure. Nifty 9600 CE added fresh long positions, indicating a further up move. Bank Nifty 22500 CE added fresh long positions to the tune ~95k shares.

FIIs were net buyers in cash market segment to the tune of Rs 858 Cr.

FIIs index future long short ratio at 2x.

 

Nifty Movers: The top gainers on Nifty were Tata Steel up by 5.32%, Indiabulls Housing up by 2.89%, ICICI Bank up by 1.49%, BhartiAirtel up by 1.10% and Mahindra & Mahindra up by 1.04%.  On the flip side, Tech Mahindra down by 2.59%, Yes Bank down by 1.38%, ACC down by 1.31%, Bosch down by 1.23% and Wipro down by 1.23% were the top losers.

 

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening: The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Metal up by 1.75%, Power up by 0.61%, Telecom up by 0.55%, Utilities up by 0.53% and Realty up by 0.49%, while Consumer Durables down by 0.77%, IT down by 0.55%, FMCG down by 0.38%, TECK down by 0.33% and Healthcare down by 0.16% were the losing indices on BSE.

 

 

On the global front: On the global front, Asian shares were trading in red, on the continued chaotic US political situation weighing on expectations for economic policies favoring tax cuts and higher spending. Japanese stocks dropped after the dollar eased against the yen on weak US economic data, while financials stocks underperformed hit by lower US yields.

 

Global Signals:The Asian markets were trading in red; Nikkei 225 decreased 109.98 points or 0.55% to 19,809.84, Hang Seng decreased 42.16 points or 0.17% to 25,293.78, Taiwan Weighted decreased 34.27 points or 0.34% to 9,997.22, Jakarta Composite decreased 22.05 points or 0.39% to 5,624.95, FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI decreased 6.67 points or 0.38% to 1,771.48, KOSPI Index decreased 3.33 points or 0.15% to 2,292.00 and Shanghai Composite decreased 2.45 points or 0.08% to 3,110.52.

 

US indices close flat as political rhetoric sees sentiment turn cautious. Global markets consolidate as US Dollar weakens further with emerging market currencies seeing big gains.

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Indian Indices: Asian indices opened weak as profit booking seems on the cards after the heady run of the past few weeks. US Dollar weakness saw strength in most Asian currencies, which boosted sentiments with positive inflows into equities. There could be some more consolidation as US political rhetoric takes centre stage, which could see some more profit booking on rallies.


Nifty crossed 9500 led by Auto, Banks and FMCG as foreign flows and left out feeling witness huge buying chase stocks. With most sideline sitters also jumping in the fray expect another final bout of irrational exuberance as Nifty moves into extremely overbought zone. For today expect Tata Steel to lead from the front after posting excellent results last evening, while mid-cap housing and financials could be under pressure from profit booking.


The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 30599.56, up by 16.96 points or 0.06% after trading in a range of 30519.14 and 30642.94. There were 17 stocks advancing against 13 stocks declining on the index. The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.24%, while Small cap index was up by 0.10%.

The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 9507.50, down by 4.75 points or 0.05% after trading in a range of 9489.70 and 9521.00. There were 24 stocks advancing against 27 stocks declining on the index.

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Group ATopGainers

 

 

Company

Price (Rs)

% chg

Tata Steel

492.85

7.84

RTNPower

8.89

5.58

Sobha

433.00

5.11

Monsanto

2919.45

5.18

Group ATopLosers

 

 

Shreecem

18926.40

-5.11

Edelweiss

181.65

-4.29

PNB

167.65

-3.95

Religare

184.70

-3.65

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Indices

Support

Resistanes

Sensex

30430

30660

Nifty

9475

9535

 

Technical view: Nifty finds strong support around 9450 which was the previous support while 9600 will act as resistance on the upside. Bank Nifty will also find support now around 22750 while 23100 will act as resistance on the upside.


 

SBI (Buy Above 308 with Stop Loss at 301 for Target of 320): After consolidating for the past six weeks, the stock has finally broken out from a symmetrical triangle pattern on the daily charts. The price outburst has been accompanied with credible rise in volumes too. In addition, other momentum oscillators also indicate than the upswing is likely to extend, which further accentuates our bullish stance on the stock.


Derivative Snippets

In the last trading session, Nifty, Bank Nifty, Mid-cap Index closed on record highs. Nifty closed above 9500 level for the first time ever as huge short covering was witnessed in 9500 CE strike. Nifty ATM/OTM put option strikes continue to remain under selling pressure. Nifty 9600 CE added fresh long positions, indicating a further up move. Bank Nifty 22500 CE added fresh long positions to the tune ~95k shares.

FIIs were net buyers in cash market segment to the tune of Rs 858 Cr.

FIIs index future long short ratio at 2x.

 

Nifty Movers: The top gainers on Nifty were Tata Steel up by 5.32%, Indiabulls Housing up by 2.89%, ICICI Bank up by 1.49%, BhartiAirtel up by 1.10% and Mahindra & Mahindra up by 1.04%.  On the flip side, Tech Mahindra down by 2.59%, Yes Bank down by 1.38%, ACC down by 1.31%, Bosch down by 1.23% and Wipro down by 1.23% were the top losers.

 

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening: The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Metal up by 1.75%, Power up by 0.61%, Telecom up by 0.55%, Utilities up by 0.53% and Realty up by 0.49%, while Consumer Durables down by 0.77%, IT down by 0.55%, FMCG down by 0.38%, TECK down by 0.33% and Healthcare down by 0.16% were the losing indices on BSE.

 

 

On the global front: On the global front, Asian shares were trading in red, on the continued chaotic US political situation weighing on expectations for economic policies favoring tax cuts and higher spending. Japanese stocks dropped after the dollar eased against the yen on weak US economic data, while financials stocks underperformed hit by lower US yields.

 

Global Signals:The Asian markets were trading in red; Nikkei 225 decreased 109.98 points or 0.55% to 19,809.84, Hang Seng decreased 42.16 points or 0.17% to 25,293.78, Taiwan Weighted decreased 34.27 points or 0.34% to 9,997.22, Jakarta Composite decreased 22.05 points or 0.39% to 5,624.95, FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI decreased 6.67 points or 0.38% to 1,771.48, KOSPI Index decreased 3.33 points or 0.15% to 2,292.00 and Shanghai Composite decreased 2.45 points or 0.08% to 3,110.52.

 

BULLS LIFT MARKET TO NEW CLOSING HIGH; NIFTY ABVOE 9500, SENSEX GAINS 260 PTS

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Indian Indices: Indian equity benchmarks extended their previous session gain as investors remained bullish about the prospects of a good monsoon. The benchmark indices -- BSE Sensex touched fresh all-time intra-day high of 30,590.71, while the NSE index Nifty touched a new peak of 9,517.20 in trade. The equity benchmarks made a positive start in early deals as traders took support from industry body FICCI’s latest Economic Outlook Survey which pegged India’s gross domestic product (GDP) growth at around 7.4 percent for the fiscal year 2017-18. The survey was conducted during March and April 2017 and recorded a median GDP group forecast of 7.4 percent for the current fiscal year, with a minimum and maximum level of 7 percent and 7.6 percent respectively. The pick-up in overall GDP growth will also be supported by an improvement in industry and services sector growth. Some support also came with the report that India’s monsoon rains are expected to arrive on the southern Kerala coast on May 30, two days ahead of schedule. India looks likely to receive higher monsoon rainfall than previously forecast as concern over the El Nino weather condition has eased.

The BSE Sensex ended at 30587.36, up by 265.24 points or 0.87% after trading in a range of 30363.37 and 30590.71. There were 22 stocks advancing against 8 stocks declining on the index. The broader indices ended in green; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.27%, while Small cap index was up by 0.36%.

The CNX Nifty ended at 9509.70, up by 64.30 points or 0.68% after trading in a range of 9456.35 and 9517.20. There were 36 stocks advancing against 15 stocks declining on the index

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Top Movers (Group A)

 

 

Company

Cmp

% chg

Gainers

 

 

Unitech

6.19

11.13

J&KBank

88.65

8.71

KEC

247.95

7.31

Indhotel

144.35

5.17

Losers

 

 

CholaFin

1016.95

-3.10

IL&Fstrans

114.20

-2.89

Godrejcp

1876.05

-2.61

Bharatfin

790.85

-2.36

INDEX PERFORANCE

 

 

Index

Close

% Chg

Sensex

30,582.60

0.86

Nifty

9,512.25

0.71

Crporate Front:

The Indian Government has said that it is planning to build multimodal logistic parks at 15 places across the country with an investment of Rs 33,000 crore. As per reports, the National Highways Authority of India (NHAI) inked a pact with the Tamil Nadu government for one such park. The NHAI signed anMoU with the Tamil Nadu Industrial Development Corporation Ltd (TIDCO) in New Delhi today, for the development of a multimodal logistics park in the Ponneri Industrial Node area near Kamarajar Port in Tamil Nadu.


 

Macroeconomic front:The Reserve Bank of India today fixed the reference rate of the rupee at 64.0758 against the US dollar and 70.5539 for the euro. The corresponding rates were 64.1188 and 70.1332, previously. According to an RBI statement, the exchange rates for the pound and the yen against the rupee were 82.7795 and 56.52 per 100 yens, respectively, based on reference rates for the dollar and cross-currency quotes at noon.

 

On the global front:

On the global front, European markets were trading in green, as investors look beyond global cybersecurity threats and the latest North Korean missile test. Asian markets were also trading in green. Back home, in scrip specific development, Fortune Financial Services (India) edged higher after the company acquired 49,00,000 equity shares of Rs 10 each fully paid of ITI Gilts (earlier known as Crest Debt Capital Markets). The Company was already holding 51% of the paid up capital of ITI Gilts and now on acquisition of these 49,00,000 equity shares, ITI Gilts has become a wholly owned subsidiary of the company.

Commodity Updates:

Commodity Prices (MCX):

Commodity

Rs

% Chang

Gold

28028.00

0.33

Silver

38672.00

0.44

Crude oil

3153.00

0.13

Natural Gas

215.50

0.23

Alluminium

122.70

0.37

Copper

360.30

-0.35

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Telecom up by 1.90%, TECK up by 1.10%, IT up by 1.06%, FMCG up by 1.02% and Auto up by 0.99%, while Metal down by 0.61% was the sole loser on BSE.

Top Nifty Movers:The top gainers on Nifty were Hero MotoCorp up by 3.06%, ACC up by 2.86%, TCS up by 2.54%, BhartiAirtel up by 2.43% and Bank of Baroda up by 2.33%. On the flip side, Kotak Mahindra Bank down by 1.65%, Indiabulls Housing down by 1.10%, ONGC down by 0.88%, Mahindra & Mahindra down by 0.84% and Zee Entertainment down by 0.84% were the top losers.

 

 

Global Signals:

Asian markets were trading mostly in red; Hang Seng decreased 35.65 points or 0.14% to 25,335.94, Jakarta Composite decreased 22.57 points or 0.4% to 5,666.30, Taiwan Weighted decreased 5.33 points or 0.05% to 10,031.49 and FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI decreased 4.19 points or 0.24% to 1,774.46. On the flip side, KOSPI Index increased 4.68 points or 0.2% to 2,295.33, Shanghai Composite increased 22.74 points or 0.74% to 3,112.96 and Nikkei 225 increased 49.97 points or 0.25% to 19,919.82.

European markets were trading mixed; UK’s FTSE 100 increased 22.68 points or 0.3% to 7,477.05 and Germany’s DAX increased 7.96 points or 0.06% to 12,815.00. On the flip side, France’s CAC decreased 19.89 points or 0.37% to 5,397.51.

 

Auto Sector -Research Report-Sharetipsnfo

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Sector Overview:

The big getting bigger – category leaders reinforce their dominance

* Demonetization puts brakes on growth of passenger cars and motorcycles.

* Value continues to migrate toward scooters and SUVs, driven by changing customer preferences.

* Uptrading in 2Ws/4Ws continues, as reflected in the increasing share of premium motorcycles and PVs priced more than ~INR800k.

* Category leaders getting stronger as competition hurts second/third ranked players more.

We took a deep dive into granular data on the Indian 2W/PV industry, observing continuance of bigger trends in FY17, along with increased dominance of category leaders in both 2W and 4Ws. While demonetization had stalled a revival, there are early signs of a 2W export market recovery. Key highlights:

 

Sector Growth Outlook:

Demonetization puts brakes on recovery, especially of 2Ws

Demonetization had stalled the recovery in the auto sector, primarily impacting the 2W segment due to its higher exposure to the rural market and lower financing penetration. Between November 2016 and March 2017, while PV volume growth slowed to 6% (v/s +11% over Apr-Oct 2016), 2W volumes fell 6% (v/s +16% over Apr- Oct 2016). However, we note that normalcy has been restored in PVs (volumes up ~10% in March 2017) and 2Ws have recovered to record flat YoY growth.

 

 

Value migration toward scooters/SUVs continues

The structural trend of customers preferring scooters in 2Ws and SUVs in 4Ws continued in FY17. Scooters’ share increased to ~31.8% of 2W volumes (+120bp YoY). Similarly, SUVs continued to grow faster than the PV industry (32% growth in UVs v/s +9.2% in domestic PVs), increasing its share to 24.8% of domestic PVs (+420bp YoY).

Premiumization continues in both 2Ws/4Ws

The trend of premiumization continued in both 2Ws and 4Ws, with customers upgrading to relatively premium products. In 2Ws, motorcycles >150cc grew by 22%, driving up the share of premium 2Ws by 190bp to 15.4% of domestic 2W volumes. In PVs, volumes of vehicles priced INR800k & above grew ~22% YoY, translating into a higher share of products priced INR800k & above to 41% (+100bp).

Investment Rationals:

The big getting bigger: Category leaders gaining further dominance

Category leaders further strengthened their dominance in FY17, despite intensifying competition . In the executive segment, HMCL’s market share improved to 72% (v/s 61% three years back), despite the entry of TVS Victor. In scooters, HMSI’s market share expanded to ~57% (+170bp YoY), at expense of HMCL (-220bp) and TVS (- 60bp). In PVs, MSIL gained market share for the fifth consecutive year (since Manesar issue), now commanding ~47.4% share of the domestic PV industry.

New launches drive PV industry growth

FY17 domestic PV volumes grew 9.2% to 3.05m units, driven by ~30% growth in UVs and ~4% in cars. New products (including ramp-up of last year’s launches) drove entire growth, with 185% share of incremental volumes. The key volume drivers were Brezza, Baleno, Tiago, Kwid and Ignis.

2W exports showing signs of recovery; other players eating into market share of Bajaj Auto

After a prolonged period of weakness since 2HFY16, 2W exports are showing signs of recovery with ~12.5% growth in 4QFY17 (v/s -6% in FY17). With all the relevant players focusing on exports, the share of Bajaj Auto has reduced 660bp to ~52% of 2W exports (motorcycle export share shrunk by 580bp to 60%). HMSI gained the most, with a 400bp increase in exports share to ~12%.

 

Conclusion:

Valuation and view

We prefer 4Ws over 2Ws/CVs due to stronger volume growth and a stable competitive environment. Our top picks are Tata Motors, Maruti Suzuki and Amara Raja. We also believe that MM is an attractive play on a rural market recovery.

 

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