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Global markets rebound as US jobs data meets estimates. Rise in bond yields continues to because of concern with markets misplacing risk as danger of carry trade unwinding gets higher.

10. July 2017 Rohit Stock Market Research (0)

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Indian Indices: Asian indices opened in the green with most indices trading higher as Friday's US jobs data improves sentiment. The rise in bond yields however is the near term risk as danger of higher cost of carry would see unwinding of carry trades hurt equity markets globally.

Nifty saw a flat close on Friday spurred by fresh bout of buying in heavyweight Reliance, which singlehandedly spurred the Nifty out of losses. Foreign investors continue to book profit even as local funds buy any fall aggressively. For today expect another day of consolidation with select mid cap sector outperformance continuing.

In its ‘Q1 FY18 Results Outlook,’ CRISIL said that the growth in the sectors, accounting for 61% of the market capitalisation of companies listed on the National Stock Exchange, was hemmed in by factors such as a rise in input costs, an appreciating rupee and output cuts ahead of the GST regime rollout from July 1.

The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 31568.26, up by 207.63 points or 0.66% after trading in a range of 31471.41 and 31602.50. There were 26 stocks advancing against 5 stocks declining on the index.

The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.36%, while Small cap index was up by 0.56%.

MARKET INDICATORS			·
*Group ATopGainers*
*Company*	Price (Rs)	% chg
*Unitech*	8.38	7.16
*Rcom*	24.00	5.49
*PNB*	150.20	4.20
*Videoind*	27.65	4.93
*Group ATopLosers*
*Shriramcit*	1024.70	-6.05
*Biocon*	322.10	-4.44
*IDFC*	58.00	-3.17
*Mindtree*	528.00	-2.09

INDEX PERFORMANCE
*Indices*	*Support*	*Resistanes*
*Sensex*	*31070*	*31315*
*Nifty*	*9565*	*9645*

Technical view: Nifty finds strong support around 9600 while 9700 will act as resistance on the upside. Bank Nifty also finds support around 23250 while 23650 will act as resistance.

Prestige (Buy Above 282 with Stop Loss at 275 for Target of 298): After consolidating for over five weeks, the stock has broken out from a classic Cup and Handle pattern on the daily charts. The price breakout has been accompanied with smart uptick in volumes. Other oscillators also indicate that the current momentum is here to stay. We expect Prestige to surge higher towards its potential target of Rs 298 in near term.

EconomicSnippets

The G20 Summit began on Friday in this port city as world leaders assembled to discuss fight against terrorism and ways to improve open trade while Prime Minister NarendraModi met his counterparts from the BRICS bloc. (BS)

The Finance Ministry on Friday said that education will become cheaper with the goods and services tax (GST) and instead some items such as school bags have now become cheaper.

The finance ministry is likely to approve aRs 2,500 crore package for the leather and footwear industry, a move that is expected to boost exports, generate employment and make the sector competitive globally.

The Jammu and Kashmir legislative assembly passed the state GST Bill 2017 amid boycott by opposition, making it the last state of the country to join the new tax regime.

Nifty Movers: The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Telecom up by 2.22%, TECK up by 1.65%, IT up by 1.59%, Realty up by 1.27% and PSU up by 1.03%, while Consumer Durables down by 0.21% and FMCG down by 0.10% were the only losing indices on BSE.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Telecom up by 2.22%, TECK up by 1.65%, IT up by 1.59%, Realty up by 1.27% and PSU up by 1.03%, while Consumer Durables down by 0.21% and FMCG down by 0.10% were the only losing indices on BSE.

On the global front: On the global front, Asian shares were trading mostly in green, lifted by Wall Street’s strong performance on Friday. China’s producer price inflation was unchanged in June and remained well off highs seen earlier this year, amid lingering oversupply issues in the steel sector and as signs of economic weakness weighed on the outlook for prices.

Global Signals:The Asian markets were trading mostly in green; Taiwan Weighted increased 0.64 points or 0.01% to 10,297.89, KOSPI Index increased 5.32 points or 0.22% to 2,385.19, Nikkei 225 increased 129.13 points or 0.65% to 20,058.22 and Hang Seng increased 265.71 points or 1.05% to 25,606.56.On the other hand, Jakarta Composite decreased 15.4 points or 0.26% to 5,799.39, Shanghai Composite decreased 7.09 points or 0.22% to 3,210.87 and FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI decreased 3.11 points or 0.18% to 1,756.82.

SENSEX CLOSES FLAT AFTER NARROW RANGE TRADE BUT NIFTY ENDS WEEK WITH 1.5% GAIN

7. July 2017 Rohit Stock Market Research (0)

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Indian Indices: Indian equity markets traded in a narrow range throughout the day and ended the session with modest cut. The equity benchmarks recouped losses in afternoon trade turning in positive terrain driven by index heavyweight Reliance Industries that rallied to hit a fresh 52-week high, but it was short lived. The equity benchmarks made a negative start and traded slightly in red in early deals tracking weak global cues and profit booking. Investors took note of Nobel laureate Paul Krugman’s statement that he was puzzled by demonetization and that it was a blunt instrument to tackle the problem of black money and corruption.

He said that Prime Minister NarendraModi’s performance is a bit below expectations and called on the government and RBI to spur economic growth by cutting rates and increasing fiscal spending. Meanwhile, former Union Finance Minister P Chidambaram said that the aim was for one indirect tax to subsume all the other indirect taxes, but this GST fails to achieve that. Some concerns also came with the report that India slipped by one spot to become the fourth-largest foreign investor into the UK.

The BSE Sensex ended at 31358.58, down by 10.76 points or 0.03% after trading in a range of 31286.62 and 31426.29. There were 15 stocks advancing against 16 stocks declining on the index. The broader indices ended mixed; the BSE Mid cap index was down by 0.03%, while Small cap index was up by 0.28%. (Provisional)

The CNX Nifty ended at 9663.30, down by 11.25 points or 0.12% after trading in a range of 9642.65 and 9684.25. There were 20 stocks advancing against 31 stocks declining on the index. (Provisional)

*MARKET INDICATORS*			·
*Top Movers (Group A)*
*Company*	Cmp	% chg
*Gainers*
*Renuka*	15.56	20.00
*Unitech*	7.85	19.94
*Tubeinvest*	745.85	6.66
*Prestige*	281.85	5.52
*Losers*
*Religare*	142.45	-5.66
*Intellect*	122.40	-4.56
*Pageind*	16582.30	-3.08
*Edelweiss*	192.85	-3.04

INDEX PERFORANCE
*Index*	*Close*	*% Chg*
*Sensex*	*31,360.63*	*-0.03*
*Nifty*	*9,665.80*	*-0.09*

Crporate Front:

Ministry of Railways on Friday said that it has reformed its recruitment process through induction of digital technology in a big way. “This has brought transparency & efficiency,” said Ministry of Railways. The Ministry said that Railway Recruitment Boards (RRBs) have conducted the world’s largest computer based test for about 92 lakh candidates.

Macroeconomic front: The pan-India Goods and Services Tax (GST) regime is likely to be implemented in Jammu and Kashmir from Friday midnight ending all suspense and speculations on whether the state would become part of the 'one country, one tax' system.
The presidential order extending Amendment 101 to the state was received here earlier on Friday.

On the global front:

On the global front, Asian markets closed mostly in red. The Bank of Japan offered to buy an unlimited amount of JGBs on Friday, as it sought to put a lid on domestic interest rates pushed higher by the broad sell-off in developed market bonds. Its aggressive bond buying operations sent most Japanese government bond yields lower and weakened the yen. European markets were trading in red as investors look out for fresh economic data, a G-20 meeting in Hamburg and continue to mull the possible end of monetary stimulus from central banks.

Commodity Updates:

*Commodity Prices (MCX):*
*Commodity*	Rs	*% Chang*
*Gold*	*27992.00*	*-0.44*
*Silver*	*37039.00*	*-1.1*
*Crude oil*	*2858.00*	*-3.0*
*Natural Gas*	*188.90*	*1.29*
*Alluminium*	*124.70*	*-0.48*
*Copper*	*380.25*	*-0.54*

Top Sectoral& Stock ScreeningThe top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Realty up by 1.74%, Energy up by 1.63%, Healthcare up by 1.04%, Telecom up by 0.64% and Oil & Gas up by 0.48%, while IT down by 0.73%, TECK down by 0.47%, Consumer Durables down by 0.38%, FMCG down by 0.30% and Bankex down by 0.24% were the top losing indices on BSE.

Top Nifty Movers: The top gainers on Nifty were Lupin up by 3.58%, Reliance Industries up by 3.29%, AurobindoPharma up by 2.23%, BhartiAirtel up by 1.64% and Zee Entertainment up by 1.41%. On the flip side, BhartiInfratel down by 2.34%, Indiabulls Housing down by 1.73%, ONGC down by 1.61%, Asian P

Global Signals:

Asian markets were trading mostly in red; Hang Seng decreased 124.37 points or 0.49% to 25,340.85, Taiwan Weighted decreased 70.95 points or 0.68% to 10,297.25, Nikkei 225 decreased 64.97 points or 0.32% to 19,929.09, Jakarta Composite decreased 30.23 points or 0.52% to 5,819.35, FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI decreased 9.71 points or 0.55% to 1,760.82 and KOSPI Index decreased 7.94 points or 0.33% to 2,379.87. On the flip side, Shanghai Composite increased 5.51 points or 0.17% to 3,217.96.

All European markets were trading in red; Germany’s DAX decreased 18.14 points or 0.15% to 12,363.11, UK’s FTSE 100 slipped 17.94 points or 0.24% to 7,319.34 and France’s CAC was down by 16.66 points or 0.32% to 5,135.74.

US stocks witness fall as bond rout deepens with US 10 year yields hitting 2.38%. Globally higher yields signal higher cost of money will see unwinding of carry trade with equities seeing weakness in the near term.

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Indian Indices: Asian indices opened in the red as US stocks saw losses to hit month lows while Nasdaq hit almost 3 month lows. The US 10 year bond hit 2.38%, while German 'bunds' also hit 18 month highs at 0.56%. Oil and gold prices also saw flat trade as money exits equities and chases fixed income.

Nifty hit 9700 before seeing profit booking in last hour of trade. The 'risk on' trade has seen mid caps also join the rally as market breadth turns positive. For today expect mid caps to continue outperformance while the Nifty takes a breather closer to 9700.

The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 31321.42, down by 47.92 points or 0.15% after trading in a range of 31286.62 and 31394.16. There were 16 stocks advancing against 15 stocks declining on the index.

The broader indices were trading mixed; the BSE Mid cap index was down by 0.01%, while Small cap index was up by 0.16%.

The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 9655.15, down by 19.40 points or 0.20% after trading in a range of 9642.65 and 9672.70. There were 20 stocks advancing against 31 stocks declining on the index.

MARKET INDICATORS			·
*Group ATopGainers*
*Company*	Price (Rs)	% chg
*Unitech*	7.78	19.33
*Trent*	256.10	5.50
*Videoind*	26.35	4.98
*Lupin*	1129.00	4.42
*Group ATopLosers*
*Shriramcit*	2399.90	-4.76
*Intellect*	123.00	-4.09
*Edelweiss*	193.55	-2.49
*Pageind*	17000.00	-2.24

INDEX PERFORMANCE
*Indices*	*Support*	*Resistanes*
*Sensex*	*31070*	*31315*
*Nifty*	*9565*	*9645*

Technical view: Nifty finds strong support around 9600 while 9709 act as strong resistance on the upside. Bank Nifty also sees support around 23350 while 23650 will act as strong resistance on the upside.

Dabur (Buy Above 301 with Stop Loss at 294.5 for Target of 314): After consolidating for over four weeks, the stock has broken out from a classic Cup and Handle pattern on the daily charts. The price breakout has been accompanied with smart uptick in volumes. Other oscillators also indicate that the current momentum is here to stay. We expect Dabur to surge higher towards its potential target of Rs 314 in near term.

EconomicSnippets

The government should permit wider utilisation of duty credit scrips by exporters as any limited use would impact liquidity situation of exporters, FIEO said. (NDTV Profit)

DynamaticTechnologies Ltd (DTL), Israel Aerospace Industries Ltd. (IAI), and Elcom Systems announced their strategic cooperation, to jointly address the needs of the Indian UAV market, under the “Make in India” initiative of the Indian Government.

Keen to make India a global manufacturing hub for its high-tech defence systems, Israeli firm Rafael Advanced Defence Systems is “speaking” to several Indian companies.

Nifty Movers: The top gainers on Nifty were Lupin up by 4.69%, Dr. Reddy’s Lab up by 2.09%, AurobindoPharma up by 1.48%, Zee Entertainment up by 1.37% and Cipla up by 1.23%. On the flip side, BhartiInfratel down by 1.98%, HDFC down by 1.26%, Hero MotoCorp down by 0.98%, Asian Paints down by 0.98% and GAIL India down by 0.91% were the top losers.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Healthcare up by 1.34%, Realty up by 1.01%, Capital Goods up by 0.24%, Power up by 0.10% and PSU up by 0.06%, while Consumer Durables down by 0.30%, FMCG down by 0.28%, IT down by 0.26%, Bankex down by 0.24% and Auto down by 0.22% were the top losing indices on BSE

On the global front:On the global front, Asian shares were trading in red, following a weaker close overnight. The dollar gained in Asian trading on Friday, getting a leg up against the yen after the Bank of Japan increased its purchases of Japanese government bonds in a move aimed at stemming a rise in yields.

Global Signals:The Asian markets were trading in red; Hang Seng decreased 97.93 points or 0.38% to 25,367.29, Nikkei 225 decreased 84.22 points or 0.42% to 19,909.84, Taiwan Weighted decreased 63.71 points or 0.61% to 10,304.49, FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI decreased 8.97 points or 0.51% to 1,761.56, KOSPI Index decreased 7.01 points or 0.29% to 2,380.80, Shanghai Composite decreased 6.24 points or 0.19% to 3,206.20 and Jakarta Composite decreased 0.33 points or 0.01% to 5,849.25.

US stocks close flat as Techs rally while Energy stocks fall with oil prices witness weakness after huge rally. Bond yields at 2.35% are raising concern as cost of money rises with Federal Reserve adamant on another rate hike.

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Indian Indices: Asian indices opened with minor losses as markets saw profit booking after yesterday's strong comeback rally. Technology stocks staged a comeback while energy stocks weakened with oil prices falling. Expect another range bound day as markets consolidate the recent moves with caution prevailing against rising geopolitical risk.

Nifty traded in a small zone with 9650 being tested, while 9600 being defended. Banks and Financials saw strong buying as foreign investors turned marginal buyers. Pharma, Banks and Metals led from the front while Telecom, IT and FMCG saw profit booking. For today expect consolidation as Nifty attempts 9700 while defending 9600 with the broader market outperforming.

The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 31383.07, up by 137.51 points or 0.44% after trading in a range of 31264.86 and 31398.19. There were 21 stocks advancing against 10 stocks declining on the index.

The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.51%, while Small cap index was up by 0.77%.

The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 9671.35, up by 33.75 points or 0.35% after trading in a range of 9639.95 and 9676.35. There were 30 stocks advancing against 21 stocks declining on the index.

MARKET INDICATORS			·
*Group ATopGainers*
*Company*	Price (Rs)	% chg
*Prestige*	263.60	5.52
*Indianb*	294.50	5.05
*Sobha*	400.00	4.81
*Videoind*	25.10	4.80
*Group ATopLosers*
*Pageind*	17675.55	-1.56
*Bajajauto*	2730.00	-1.51
*Rajeshexpo*	667.85	-1.45
*Apollohosp*	1260.00	-1.34

INDEX PERFORMANCE
*Indices*	*Support*	*Resistanes*
*Sensex*	*31070*	*31315*
*Nifty*	*9565*	*9645*

Technical view: Nifty finds strong support around 9570 while 9700 will act as resistance on the upside. Bank Nifty also finds strong support around 23200 while 23550 will act as strong resistance on the upside.

Tata Chem (Buy Above 645 with Stop Loss at 635 for Target of 665): The stock has been in a consolidation mode for the past two months and was stuck in a trading range. Finally, Tata Chem has reversed and has broken out from a symmetrical triangle pattern on the daily chart with credible volumes. Once the stock surpasses a minor hurdle of Rs 648, we expect Tata Chem to move higher towards its potential target of Rs 665 in near term.

EconomicSnippets:

The telecom regulator’s proposal to have an ombudsman for the sector to address consumer woes may again come to nought as the department of telecommunications, which has to ensure that such an office be set up, is unlikely to accept the idea.

The Nikkei/IHS Markit Services Purchasing Managers' Index climbed to 53.1 in June from the previous month's 52.2. June was the fifth consecutive month the index has been above the 50 mark that separates growth from contraction.

Implementation of GST, albeit complex, will remove domestic trade barriers and help boost GDP growth over the long term, but poses significant short-term risks, Fitch Ratings said.

Nifty Movers: The top gainers on Nifty were SBI up by 1.91%, Bank of Baroda up by 1.90%, ITC up by 1.60%, Asian Paints up by 1.17% and Indiabulls Housing up by 1.09%.

On the flip side, Bajaj Auto down by 1.47%, ONGC down by 1.38%, GAIL India down by 1.07%, NTPC down by 0.88% and Sun Pharma down by 0.66% were the top losers

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:The top gainers on the Sensex were SBI up by 2.07%, ITC up by 1.60%, Asian Paints up by 1.17%, Lupin up by 0.96% and HDFC up by 0.95%.

On the flip side, Bajaj Auto down by 1.35%, ONGC down by 1.32%, NTPC down by 0.79%, Hindustan Unilever down by 0.64% and Axis Bank down by 0.54% were the top losers.

On the global front: On the global front, Asian shares were trading mostly in red, after minutes from the Federal Reserve’s last meeting showed a lack of consensus on the future pace of US interest rate increases, while oil prices inched higher following a steep decline a day earlier. Trading in Asia has been buffeted this week by tensions on the Korean peninsula after North Korea fired a missile, which US officials concluded was an intercontinental ballistic missile, into Japanese waters.

Global Signals:The Asian markets were trading mostly in red; Nikkei 225 decreased 108.35 points or 0.54% to 19,973.28, Hang Seng decreased 68.31 points or 0.27% to 25,453.66, Taiwan Weighted decreased 50.01 points or 0.48% to 10,354.78, Shanghai Composite decreased 14.54 points or 0.45% to 3,192.59, FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI decreased 1.79 points or 0.1% to 1,766.37 and KOSPI Index decreased 1 points or 0.04% to 2,387.35.On the other hand, Jakarta Composite increased 17.55 points or 0.3% to 5,842.60.

Dow Jones hits fresh all time high in short session as money rotates from Tech into Financials. North Korean missile test to raise anxiety levels as Asian indices pause.

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Indian Indices: Asian indices opened mildly positive after US indices hit fresh all time highs, however, missile tests by North Korea early today morning proved a dampener on sentiment. Positive manufacturing data saw Dow Jones power ahead in a short session ahead of the July 4 holiday as money rotated out of tech and into financials.

Nifty saw an extremely strong rally which powered the index above 9600 and in the short term has seen bullishness return technically. ITC, Maruti, Yes Bank and select Auto & Tech stocks saw resurgent buying by local mutual funds which drove the index higher. However, foreign flows remained sellers as Rupee hit fresh 3 month lows and bond yields hardened. For today expect profit booking in the second half of the session as markets digest smart pullback of last 2 sessions.

The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 31191.25, down by 30.37 points or 0.10% after trading in a range of 31174.24 and 31353.46. There were 9 stocks advancing against 22 stocks declining on the index.

The broader indices were trading in red; the BSE Mid cap index was down by 0.23%, while Small cap index was down by 0.01%.

The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 9586.85, up by 65.95 points or 0.69% after trading in a range of 9543.55 and 9612.75. There were 36 stocks advancing against 15 stocks declining on the index.

MARKET INDICATORS			·
*Group ATopGainers*
*Company*	Price (Rs)	% chg
*Videoind*	22.85	4.82
*Intellect*	131.50	4.20
*Jublfood*	1040.00	3.97
*Unitech*	6.17	3.70
*Group ATopLosers*
*JPAssociat*	18.80	-9.40
*GVKPIL*	7.86	-7.42
*GMRInfra*	18.40	-6.12
*Justdial*	364.15	-4.60

INDEX PERFORMANCE
*Indices*	*Support*	*Resistanes*
*Sensex*	*31070*	*31315*
*Nifty*	*9565*	*9645*

Technical view: Nifty finds support around 9561 while 9660 will act as resistance on the upside. Bank Nifty also finds support around 23200 while 23391 will act as resistance on the upside.

GSFC (Buy Above 123 with Stop Loss at 119.5 for Target of 130): The stock has been in a declining mode for over eight weeks and has finally broken out from a falling wedge pattern on the daily charts. The price outburst has been accompanied with credible volumes. Other momentum oscillators have also witnessed a positive crossover, which further accentuates our bullish stance on the stock.

EconomicSnippets

The Nikkei India Manufacturing Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI) slowed to 50.9 in June as against 51.6 in May. This was the weakest expansion in the survey since February this year. Consumer durables industry is expecting only a marginal price revision despite the category being placed under the highest tax slab of 28% under GST, as players look forward to the festive season in the coming months.

NSE may have to re-file papers for its Rs 10,000-crore IPO after addressing issues related to alleged preferential access given to some brokers, watchdog Sebi's Chairman Ajay Tyagi today said, terming the co-location case as "a serious matter".

The government has allowed fertiliser companies to print revised maximum retail price (MRP) by including the new GST rate on existing unsold stocks of about 10 lakh tonnes, with some riders.

Nifty Movers: The top gainers on Nifty were Reliance Industries up by 1.88%, BPCL up by 1.48%, BhartiInfratel up by 0.99%, NTPC up by 0.96% and Tata Power up by 0.87%.
On the flip side, Indiabulls Housing Finance down by 2.28%, Wipro down by 1.73%, Dr. Reddy’s Lab down by 1.66%, Hero MotoCorp down by 1.06% and Bajaj Auto down by 0.98% were the top losers.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Energy up by 1.08%, Oil & Gas up by 0.70%, Metal up by 0.31%, Basic Materials up by 0.16% and PSU up by 0.06%, while Healthcare down by 0.56%, Capital Goods down by 0.49%, Consumer Durables down by 0.46%, Auto down by 0.44% and Telecom down by 0.42% were the top losing indices on BSE.

On the global front: On the global front, Asian shares were trading in red. The KOSPI dropped and the South Korean won stumbled after reports that North Korea had launched a missile that could land in Japanese exclusive economic zone. South Korean President Moon Jae-in called a meeting of the National Security Council in response.

Global Signals:The Asian markets were trading in red; Hang Seng decreased 448.56 points or 1.74% to 25,335.61, Taiwan Weighted decreased 47.41 points or 0.46% to 10,365.38, Jakarta Composite decreased 38.75 points or 0.66% to 5,871.49, Nikkei 225 decreased 27.79 points or 0.14% to 20,028.01, Shanghai Composite decreased 19.48 points or 0.61% to 3,176.44, KOSPI Index decreased 16.39 points or 0.68% to 2,378.09 and FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI decreased 4.97 points or 0.28% to 1,763.70.

SENSEX ENDS ON SOMBRE NOTE, NIFTY ABOVE 9500; AXIS BANK, TATA STEEL GAIN

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Indian Indices: Indian equity benchmarks pared some of their gains but continued to trade in green in late afternoon session ahead of the derivatives expiry of June series. Sentiments remained upbeat with India Meteorological Department’s (IMD) statement that 79 percent of the country has received normal-to-above-normal rainfall. It is seeing a steady progress in rainfall in central India and expects average July rainfall at 96 percent. Besides, investments in domestic capital markets via participatory notes (P-notes) have surprisingly surged to a seven-month high of Rs 1.81 lakh crore at the end of May despite stringent norms put in place by Sebi to curb inflow of illicit funds.

Shares of oil and gas companies were trading higher as the government launched the National Data Repository (NDR) along with the Open Acreage Licensing Policy (OALP). However, the markets trimmed gains with the Fitch ratings’ latest report that loan waiver schemes being doled out to farmers could have a significant impact on state government finances and might undermine efforts to bring down general government debt.

The BSE Sensex is currently closed at 30,857.52 up by 23.20 points or 0.08% after trading in a range of 30870.58 and 31097.92. There were 21 stocks advancing against 10 stocks declining on the index. The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.55%, while Small cap index was up by 1.00%.

The CNX Nifty is currently shut up at 9504.10, up by 12.85 points or 0.14% after trading in a range of 9502.00 and 9575.80. There were 32 stocks advancing against 19 stocks declining on the index.

*MARKET INDICATORS*			·
*Top Movers (Group A)*
*Company*	Cmp	% chg
*Gainers*
*JPAssociat*	22.70	13.61
*GVKPIL*	7.41	13.13
*IIFL*	601.75	8.21
*SCI*	82.80	7.18
*Losers*
*Pageind*	16219.85	-3.73
*GSPL*	167.90	-3.12
*Monsanto*	2658.00	-2.38
*Havells*	447.30	-3.22

INDEX PERFORANCE
*Index*	*Close*	*% Chg*
*Sensex*	*30,857.52*	*0.08*
*Nifty*	*9,504.10*	*0.14*

Crporate Front: Hydro power projects of 13,363 megawatt capacity are stranded at various stages of development and reported a cost overrun of Rs 52,697 crore, a study has found. "Despite significant hydropower potential, till now, only 30 per cent of India’s total economically feasible hydropower potential has been harnessed, the ASSOCHAM-PwC study titled. Accelerating hydropower development in India for sustainable energy security said. Several hydropower projects with a cumulative capacity of about 13,363 MW are stranded at various stages of project development.

Macroeconomic front: Amidst the concerted efforts by the government and RBI to rein in the mounting bad loans issue, Sebi Chairman Ajay Tyagi cautioned mutual fund (MF) players against letting some of such money flow into the industry by way of debt funds. Non-performing assets in the banking system should not shift to mutual funds by way of debt funds. The industry should be careful about that, Tyagi told an industry summit organised by MF lobby Amfi here this morning. "Care should be taken that non-performing assets (NPAs) do not get shifted to MF portfolio by way of debt transfer.

On the global front:

On the global front, European markets were in green as investors awaited a NATO meeting of defense ministers and digested major buyback plans from some of the US’ biggest banks. Asian markets were trading in green. Back home, in scrip specific development, UCO Bank moved up on plan to raise Rs 3,000 crore in this fiscal and turn profitable by FY19. The turnaround plan will be finalised within a week.

Commodity Updates:

*Commodity Prices (MCX):*
*Commodity*	Rs	*% Chang*
*Gold*	*228533.00*	*-0.12*
*Silver*	*38774.00*	*0.18*
*Crude oil*	*2914.00*	*0.76*
*Natural Gas*	*200.80*	*0.5*
*Alluminium*	*122.65*	*0.66*
*Copper*	*381.70*	*0.77*

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Metal up by 2.06%, Telecom up by 1.34%, Basic Materials up by 1.15%, Realty up by 0.89% and TECK up by 0.87%, while Bankex down by 0.12% was the only losing index on BSE.

Top Nifty Movers:The top gainers on Nifty were Axis Bank up by 3.62%, Vedanta up by 3.11%, Tata Steel up by 2.17%, Indiabulls Housing Finance up by 2.03% and BhartiAirtel up by 1.78%. On the flip side, Kotak Mahindra Bank down by 2.28%, Indian Oil Corp. down by 1.14%, Sun Pharma down by 1.13%, Tech Mahindra down by 0.68% and Tata Power down by 0.61% were the top losers.

Global Signals:

Asian markets were trading mostly in green; KOSPI Index increased 13.1 points or 0.55% to 2,395.66, Shanghai Composite increased 14.86 points or 0.47% to 3,188.06, Taiwan Weighted increased 31.1 points or 0.3% to 10,421.65, Nikkei 225 increased 89.89 points or 0.45% to 20,220.30 and Hang Seng increased 281.92 points or 1.1% to 25,965.42. On the flip side, FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI decreased 0.46 points or 0.03% to 1,770.77.

European Markets were trading mostly in green; Germany’s DAX increased 14.99 points or 0.12% to 12,662.26 and UK’s FTSE 100 increased 36.07 points or 0.49% to 7,423.87. On the flip side, France’s CAC decreased 17.08 points or 0.33% to 5,235.82.

Oil rally sees energy stocks lead Dow Jones higher even as Technology stocks witness weakness. Globally Central Banks to raise rates as bond yields rise in tandem.

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Indian Indices: Asian indices opened flat as Japanese election results, strength in ‘Yen’ and persisting pullback in oil prices saw mixed start to trading. Expect this week to see follow through of market correction as it adjusts to higher rates and could see equity markets losing at the expense of bonds.

Nifty saw a smart pullback from the lows of Friday on value buying and ‘NAV’ boosting by local mutual funds even as foreign investors remained sellers. Select heavyweights like ITC, Sun Pharma, Cipla and Bank of Baroda propelled the Index higher even as broader market remained under pressure. For today expect global cues to be dominant as Rupee weakness, expectation of weak results and implementation of GST weigh on markets.

The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 31157.54, up by 235.93 points or 0.76% after trading in a range of 31017.11 and 31258.33. There were 23 stocks advancing against 8 stocks declining on the index.

The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.72%, while Small cap index was up by 0.90%.

The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 9586.85, up by 65.95 points or 0.69% after trading in a range of 9543.55 and 9612.75. There were 36 stocks advancing against 15 stocks declining on the index.

MARKET INDICATORS			·
*Group ATopGainers*
*Company*	Price (Rs)	% chg
*RTNPower*	7.32	9.25
*ITC*	343.45	6.05
*Ashokley*	98.85	5.33
*Videoind*	21.80	4.81
*Group ATopLosers*
*JPAssociat*	21.20	-3.02
*DCBBANK*	194.75	-1.89
*IDFC*	54.30	-1.81
*Aiaeng*	1370.00	-1.76

INDEX PERFORMANCE
*Indices*	*Support*	*Resistanes*
*Sensex*	*30750*	*30950*
*Nifty*	*9460*	*9520*

Technical view: Nifty found support around 9448 on Friday which if broken on closing basis can see Nifty test 9380, while 9570 will act as strong resistance on the upside. Bank Nifty also found support around 23000 which if broken cans see the index hit 22800 while 23350 will act as resistance on the upside.

Britannia (Buy Above 3691 with Stop Loss at 3660 for Target of 3753): The stock has been stuck in a narrow trading band for the past week and has finally broken out from a Symmetrical Triangle pattern on the daily chart. The price outburst has been accompanied with smart uptick in volumes. In addition, other oscillators also indicate that the momentum is likely to extend further.

EconomicSnippets

India's fiscal deficit touched Rs. 3.73 lakh crore during April-May period or 68.3 percent of the budgeted target for the current fiscal year that ends in March. (NDTV Profit)

The government has reduced interest rates on small saving schemes, including the Public Provident Fund (PPF), NSCs and KisanVikasPatra by 10 basis points. (ET)

The Telecom regulator has suggested a cut in Universal Services Obligation Fund (USOF) levy to 3% of adjusted gross revenue (AGR) from the existing 5% and a reduction in goods and services tax (GST) rate to 8% from the government set 18% as a few remedial measures to alleviate the financial health of the ailing telecom sector.

Nifty Movers: The top gainers on Nifty were ITC up by 6.29%, Hindalco up by 3.14%, BhartiInfratel up by 2.79%, Maruti Suzuki up by 1.61% and Vedanta up by 1.59%. On the flip side, NTPC down by 2.14%, HCL Tech. down by 1.67%, Wipro down by 1.55%, Bajaj Auto down by 0.91% and Dr. Reddy’s Lab down by 0.66% were the top losers.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were FMCG up by 3.45%, Metal up by 1.53%, Basic Materials up by 1.37%, Realty up by 1.34% and Telecom up by 1.04%, while IT down by 0.26% and TECK down by 0.01% were the losing indices on BSE.On the flip side, NTPC down by 1.77%, Wipro down by 1.62%, Bajaj Auto down by 0.98%, Kotak Mahindra Bank down by 0.52% and Tata Motors down by 0.47% were the top losers.

WEEKLY NIFTY TRADING VIEW FOR THE WEEK JULY03, 2017-JULY 08, 2017

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Events to watch this week

Central bankers sing more hawkish tune
US Q1 GDP revised up
Eurozone economic sentiment soars
Brazil’s president faces corruption charges
Venezuelan crisis intensifies

The Week ahead:

Date	Country/Area	Release/Event
Mon, 3 Jul	Japan	Tankan survey, manufacturing purchasing managers' index
Mon, 3 Jul	Canada	Canada Day (observed)
Mon, 3 Jul	China	Caixin manufacturing PMI
Mon, 3 Jul	eurozone	Manufacturing PMI, unemployment report
Mon, 3 Jul	United States	Markit manufacturing PMI, ISM report
Tue, 4 Jul	United States	Independence Day
Wed, 5 Jul	eurozone	Retail sales, Markit services PMI
Wed, 5 Jul	United States	FOMC minutes
Thu, 6 Jul	eurozone	ECB minutes

For the week,Global equities fell modestly this week amid central bank chatter concerning scaling back monetary stimulus. Yields rose on the talk, with the 10-year Treasury note ending the week at 2.29%, up from 2.15% a week ago. Oil prices recovered some of their recent losses, rising to $45.40 from $42.65 last Friday. Volatility, as measured by the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index, ticked up to 10.9 from 10.6.

NIFTY- 9,520.90
CRUDE OIL-Rs 2968barrel
GOLD-Rs 28,439gram
Rs/$-Rs 64.57.50

MARKET ROUND UP

Market declined last week amid negative global cues. The Sensex failed to hold the psychological 31,000 level, which it had surpassed during the month. Trading was volatile during the week as the June 2017 derivative contracts expired on Thursday, 29 June 2017. The week was truncated as domestic stock markets was closed on Monday, 26 June 2017, on account of Id-Ul-Fitr (Ramzan Id).

In the week ended Friday, 30 June 2017, the Sensex fell 216.60 points or 0.70% to settle at 30,921.61. The Nifty 50 index fell 54.05 points or 0.56% to settle at 9,520.90.

The S&P BSE Mid-Cap index rose 60.67 points or 0.42% to settle at 14,644.48. The S&P BSE Small-Cap index rose 28.62 points or 0.19% to settle at 15,410.52. Both these indices underperformed the Sensex.

Macro Economic Front:

On the Economic Front,the implementation of landmark tax reform GST will be closely watched. There will be a special function in the Central Hall of Parliament House tonight wherein a number of programs will be witness to the change in tax structure and implementation of GST across the country between the night of June 30 and July 1. The government expects GST to revolutionize India's taxing system and is being marketed as one nation one tax.

Major Action &Announcement:

Axis Bank rose 2.28% to Rs 516.10 after the bank announced after market hours on Wednesday, 28 June 2017, that it successfully issued Rs 3500 crore Basel III compliant additional tier 1 debentures through private placement to augment the tier 1 capital base. The perpetual debentures with a 5 year call are priced at a fine coupon rate of 8.75%.

The board of directors of the bank had yesterday, 28 June 2017, approved the allotment of 35,000 unsecured subordinated perpetual additional tier 1 Basel III compliant non-convertible debentures of the face value of Rs 10 lakh each for cash at par aggregating to Rs 3500 crore, on a private placement basis.

Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M) fell 2.06% to Rs 1,347.65. The company announced incorporating two new subsidiary companies with effect from 25 June 2017. The announcement was made on Monday, 26 June 2017, when the stock markets remained closed on account of holiday.

Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M) said that Mahindra Waste Energy Solutions is incorporated as its new subsidiary company with effect from 25 June 2017. The new company shall carry on the activities connected with renewable energy/non renewable energy. M&M has subscribed to 10,000 shares of Rs 10 each aggregating Rs 1 lakh.

Engineering and contructon major Larsen & Toubro (L&T) fell 2.05% to Rs 1,687.80. L&T said that the transportation, infrastructure and water effluent treatment business has jointly bagged an EPC order worth Rs 1223 crore from Aurangabad Industrial Township. The water and Effluent Treatment Business also won an EPC order worth Rs 1329 crore from the Mumbai Metropolitan Region Development Authority (MMRDA). The announcement was made during market hours on Tuesday, 27 June 2017.

Care major Maruti Suzuki India fell 0.27% to Rs 7217.90. A foreign brokerage house reportedly retained its buy call on Maruti Suzuki India and raised target price on the stock to Rs 8,824 from Rs 7,412 earlier. The stock will continue to trade at premium valuations due to high growth visibility and consistently improving free cash flow due to limited capex requirements, the brokerage house said.

Global Front:

In Overseas Markets,Germany Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data and UK Manufacturing PMI data for June 2017 will be unveiled on Monday, 3 July 2017.

US ISM Manufacturing PMI data for June 2017 will also be unveiled on Monday, 3 July 2017. US ISM non-manufacturing PMI data for June 2017 will be unveiled on Thursday, 6 July 2017. US ADP nonfarm employment change data for June 2017 will be unveiled on Thursday, 6 July 2017. It measures the monthly change in non-farm, private employment, based on the payroll data of approximately 400,000 US business clients. US nonfarm payrolls data for June 2017 will be unveiled on Friday, 7 July 2017. US unemployment rate data for June 2017 will also be unveiled on Friday, 7 July 2017.

Global Economic News:

Easy money epoch at an end?
Markets turned turbulent this week after a series of hawkish comments from developed-market central bankers suggested the era of ultra-loose monetary policy may be nearing its end. European Central Bank president Mario Draghi’s speech on Tuesday to a gathering of central bankers in Portugal was read as suggesting that the ECB is considering curbing its asset-buying program. The ECB pushed back on that interpretation, but the market refused to be spun. European bond yields rose sharply, as did the euro on foreign exchange markets. Bank of England governor Mark Carney, after saying only a week ago that now is not the time to raise interest rates, reversed course and said the Monetary Policy Committee will debate a rate move in the next few months. Not to be outdone, US Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen and Vice Chair Stanley Fischer both voiced concerns that equity and other asset valuations are on the rich side, which suggests that financial stability worries could keep the Fed on a tightening path, despite easing US inflation pressures.

Despite the somewhat more hawkish tone, inflation pressures remain extremely muted, except in the United Kingdom, where currency pass-through is boosting prices. To illustrate this point, the eurozone reported on Friday that consumer prices rose only 1.3% in June versus a year ago, down from 1.4% in May. That’s well below the ECB’s near-2% target.

US growth revised higher to start year
US economic growth in the hard-to-measure first quarter of the year was revised higher for a second time on Thursday. Gross domestic product expanded at a 1.4% annual rate, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis reported. That’s up from the 1.2% reading in the last revision. Improved consumer spending was the main driver of the revision, the BEA said. The initial Q1 reading, released in April, was a particularly anemic 0.7%.

Eurozone confidence near a 10-year high
Theeurozone economic sentiment indicator (ESI) jumped to a nearly 10-year high of 111.1 in June from 109.2 in May, with optimism on display in all sectors of the economy, according to a report by the European Commission. The ESI reached 111.8 in August 2007, just before the global financial crisis began to intensify.

GLOBAL CORPORATE NEWS

Temer charged with corruption
Brazilian president Michel Temer was formally charged this week with receiving bribes totaling $152,000. The charges come less than a year after he took office, in the wake of the impeachment of DilmaRousseff. Temer is the first sitting president of the country to be charged with a crime. In addition to the bribery count, the president may also face obstruction of justice charges, according to press reports.

Venezuelan crisis takes bizarre turn
A stolen police helicopter strafed and dropped grenades on Venezuela’s Supreme Court and Interior Ministry headquarters this week as protests against President Nicolas Maduro intensified. Some categorize the attack as an attempted coup against Maduro’s government, while others say the incident was staged by his supporters. The political tumult comes against the backdrop of a deepening economic crisis fueled by runaway inflation, food shortages and falling government revenues stemming from weak oil prices.

NEW 52-WEEK HIGH BSE (A):

ABIRLANUVO	1893.00
GRASIM	1266.75
GVKPIL	8.61
ITC	324.80

NEW 52-WEEK LOWS BSE (A):

IDBI	53.00
OIL	258.45
RELIGARE	169.00

MAJOR WEEKLY GAINERS IN BSE A CATEGORY(%):

JAIPRAKASH ASSO	16.40
UNITECH	18.18
VIDEOCON	20.93
GVK pOWER	29.86

MAJOR WEEKLY LOSERS IN BSE A CATEGORY:

GMR INFRA	-7.75
pvr ltd	-6.70
religare	-6.03

Eyes will be set on the certain US economic data releases are:

Monday (03July)

PMI Manufaturing Index

Tuesday (04 July)

Market Closed

Wednesday (05 July)

MBA Mortagage Applications& Factory Orders

Thursday (06 July)

Jobless Claims & PMI Services Index

Friday (07 July)

Natural Gas Report

FundamantelPick of the week:

Accumulate DaburIndia Ltd For Target Rs. 320.00

Investment Rationale

* Dabur India Ltd (DIL) is the second largest FMCG company in India, in terms of Product portfolio. It has a strong portfolio of brands (DaburChyawanprash, Real, Hajmola, Vatika, Amla, Fem, Honey, Meswak, Dabur Red) with the focus largely on ayurvedic& healthcare offerings.The company’s diverse product portfolio (hair care, oral care, skin care, home care, health supplements, digestives, OTC &ethicals) and presence in niche categories has aided revenue growth at a robust ~12% CAGR in FY10-17.

* After retesting lower band of its consolidation range in May 2017, it has rebounded swiftly in last one month and now reached closer to the breakout area. The prolong consolidation phase combined with indications from the chart pattern is pointing towards possibility of strong surge in near future. Thus we advise traders to accumulate in the given range of 290-293 with close below stop loss of 276 for the target of 320

Recommendation

Accumulate Dabur India Ltd @ 290-293 Stoploss 276 Target 320

MARKET OUTLOOK:

The NIFTY balance is clearly favoring the BEARS, while the EXPIRY compulsions pointed to a temporary BOUNCE-BACK. On the daily chart, Index broke its last two weeks low @ 9560 and has formed a real black body candle over the week. In addition, momentum oscillator i.e. RSI has broken 50 levels for the first time this year. All in all, Index is expected to stay under pressure and could lead to retest 9450 levels which is a confluence zone formed by (i) 50DMA, (ii) Rising trend line and (iii) 61.8 retracement level of near-term rise (9341 - 9709). A clear break below 9450 level would indicate that Index has moved into medium term bearish phase (with an immediate downside of 9280 levels).On the flip side, previous support zone around 9560 will now act as a resistance zone, as is clearly demarcated in the EXPIRY supply zone.

Other technical observations

In continuation to its sideways trend, the domestic benchmark index, Nifty slipped nearly half percent amid volatility.Participants are focusing on GST roll out and will react to the cues next week. Besides, indications from the global front, movement on currency front and further monsoon update will dictate the market trend.

* Technically, Nifty has crucial support at 9400 and any breakdown will trigger further selling pressure ahead. Having said that, the overall trend is still positive and we advise investors to utilise this corrective phase to accumulate quality index majors.

* Broadly , we expect Nifty to trade in a range of 9300-9700 in the up coming week.

Conclusion:

The Indian equity market extended its losing streak to the third consecutive week as traders and investors continued to trade cautiously ahead of the GST rollout. Outflows by foreign funds and weak global cues further added to concerns. CDSL saw a bumper debut and closed near 75% higher on the street while AU Small Finance Bank IPO was oversubscribed by over 50x times. Eris Lifesciences got listed 2% over issue price on the bourses this week, however, it closed slightly lower. Tejas Networks witnessed a tepid listing; however, the stock picked up momentum as the week progressed. Rashtriya Chemicals & Fertilizers’ (RCF) offer-for-sale was subscribed 791%. Monsoon has touched majority of Indian subcontinent and is just 1% below estimates. Government of India has in principle given an approval for sale of Air India.

Overall, volatility ruled the roost throughout the week on account of a historic F&O expiry which saw highest turnover ever. Banking stocks remained in focus following reports of an RBI order seeking hefty provisions for accounts referred to bankruptcy courts.

Mon	Tue	Wed	Thu	Fri	Sat	Sun
25	26	27	28	29	30	31
1	2	3	4	5	6	7
8	9	10	11	12	13	14
15	16	17	18	19	20	21
22	23	24	25	26	27	28
29	30	1	2	3	4	5