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Weekly Nifty Trading View for the Week April 16, 2017–April 23, 2017

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Events to watch this week

  • Trump may nominate Yellen to second term

  • Geopolitical tensions rise

  • Four candidates in French presidential mix

  • Fed chair: Economy healthy now

  • Canadian central bank head warns on house prices

The Week ahead:

  • China reports GDP, retail sales and industrial production on Monday, 17 April

  • The United States releases industrial production data on Tuesday, 18 April

  • The eurozone releases its consumer price index on Wednesday, 19 April

  • The Fed’s Beige Book is published on Wednesday, 19 April

  • The United Kingdom reports retail sales data on Friday, 21 April

  • US existing home sales data are released on Friday, 21 April

For the week,Global equities dipped this week with the intensification of geopolitical jitters over rising tensions on the Korean peninsula and the possibility of a stronger US commitment to oust Syria’s Russian-backed leader Bashar al-Assad. A safe-haven bid pushed the yield on the US 10-year Treasury note down to its lowest point of the year at 2.25%. Oil prices continued their rebound, with West Texas Intermediate crude rising to $53.25 from $52 a week ago. Volatility, as measured by the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility index, jumped to 16 from 12.8 last week.


NIFTY- 9,150.80
CRUDE OIL-Rs 3,423 barrel
GOLD-Rs 28,418 gram
Rs/$-Rs 64.41

MARKET ROUND UP 
Indian equity markets registered modest losses in the week ended Thursday, 13 April 2017, weighed by weak global cues. The barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex lost 245.16 points or 0.82% to settle at 29,461.45. The Nifty 50 index fell 47.50 points or 0.51% to settle at 9,150.80. 

The BSE Mid-Cap index rose 0.82%. The BSE Small-Cap index advanced 1.36%. Both these indices outperformed the Sensex. 
Domestic bourses remain shut on Friday, 14 April 2017, on account of Dr. Baba SahebAmbedkarJayanti and Good Friday. 
Sentiment in global markets remained subdued during the week as investors were cautious amid geopolitical tensions in Syria and North Korea. US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson met with the Russian counterpart Sergei Lavrov to discuss the civil war in Syria and nuclear capabilities of North Korea. In recent days, the trading mood has been dented by heightened geopolitical tensions. 

Key benchmark indices suffered modest losses on Wednesday, 12 April 2017, amid volatile session of trade ahead of the release of key domestic economic data later in the day. The Sensex fell 144.87 points or 0.49% to settle at 29,643.48, its lowest closing level since 10 April 2017.

Key benchmark indices wrapped the trading week with moderate losses on Thursday, 13 April 2017, as sentiment was subdued after domestic data showed that industrial production contracted in February and consumer price inflation edged up in March. The Sensex declined 182.03 points or 0.61% to settle at 29,461.45, its lowest closing level since 28 March 2017. 

Macro Economic Front: 
On the Economic Front,industrial production declined 1.2% in February 2017 over February 2016, snapping 3.3% growth recorded in January 2017. The manufacturing sector's production dipped 2% in February 2017, mainly contributing to the dip in industrial production. 

The inflation based on consumer price index (CPI) increased to 3.81% in March 2017 (new base 2012=100), compared with 3.65% in February 2017. The CPI and IIP data was announced after market hours on Wednesday, 12 April 2017. 

Major Action &Announcement:
BhartiAirtel was down 1.15%. The company said its DTH arm Airtel Digital TV launched Internet TV India's first hybrid STB, powered by Android TV, which brings the best of online content to the TV screen along with a bouquet of over 500 plus satellite TV channels. The announcement was made during market hours on Wednesday, 12 April 2017.

Tata Motors declined 3.22%. The company said group global wholesales including Jaguar Land Rover rose 9% at 1.29 lakh units in March 2017 over March 2016. Global wholesales of all Tata Motors' commercial vehicles and Tata Daewoo range fell 6% at 42,596 units in March 2017 over March 2016.

Maruti Suzuki India lost 2.79%. The company said its total production rose 10.29% to 1.53 lakh units in March 2017 over March 2016. The announcement was made after market hours on Friday, 7 April 2017. 

L&T fell 0.5%. The company said the power transmission and distribution business of L&T Construction has won its single largest order in the Middle East from their esteemed customer Kahramaa' - Qatar General Electricity & Water Corporation - for its ongoing Qatar Electricity Transmission Network Expansion Plan-Phase XIII. 

NTPC declined 1.85%. The company said that Bangladesh India Friendship Power Company (BIFPCL), a 50:50 joint venture company between NTPC and Bangladesh Power Development Board (BPDB) has achieved financial closure on 10 April 2017 to set up 1320 megawatts (MW) (2 x 660 MW) coal based Maitree Super Thermal Power Project at Rampal in Bagerhat District of Khulna division, Bangladesh. The announcement was made during market hours on Tuesday, 11 April 2017.

Infosys slumped 5.08%. The company said that consolidated net profit as per International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) fell 2.8% to Rs 3603 crore on 0.9% decline in revenue to Rs 17120 crore in Q4 March 2017 over Q3 December 2016. The result was announced before market hours on Thursday, 13 April 2017.

Wipro lost 3.27%. The company said it has completed the acquisition of Brazilian IT service provider InfoSERVER. The impact of the buyout will reflect in the financials of the company from the Q1 June 2017, it added. The announcement was made after market hours on Tuesday, 11 April 2017.

Reliance Industries (RIL) fell 2.93%. RIL's subsidiary, Reliance JioInfocomm (Jio) announced that the Jio Summer Surprise has been fully withdrawn, following the advice of Telecom Regulatory authority of India (TRAI). The announcement was made after market hours on Tuesday, 11 April 2017.

Global Front: 
In Overseas Markets,China's consumer inflation rebounded slightly in March after slipping to a more than two-year low in the previous month, official data showed. China's consumer price index increased 0.9% in March from a year earlier, compared with a 0.8% gain in February, the National Bureau of Statistics said.

Japan's current account surplus stood at 2.81 trillion yen ($25.26 billion) in February, finance ministry data showed, the biggest surplus since March 2016. The result is the 32nd straight month of current account surpluses. This February's current account surplus was the largest on record for February.

Meanwhile, industrial production in the eurozone dropped unexpectedly in February from the month before, led by falling energy output, the European Union's statistics agency said. Output of the eurozone's factory, mines and utilities decreased by 0.3% from the month before, but rose by 1.2% from February last year, Eurostat said.

Global Economic News:

Trump shifts tone
US president Donald Trump sounded decidedly more moderate than he did during last fall’s campaign in an interview with the Wall Street Journal on Wednesday. The president reversed course on multiple fronts. First, Trump said he may nominate US Federal Reserve Board chair Janet Yellen to a second term after saying last fall that she was "toast" and he would replace her at the end of her term. He also reversed his opposition to the US Export-Import Bank, which finances US exports. Critics cite the bank as an example of “corporate welfare.” Additionally, the president shifted gears on NATO, saying the alliance is no longer obsolete because it has begun to fight terrorism. Finally, Trump said the United States will not label China a currency manipulator, thus breaking another campaign vow. The reversal may represent an attempt to entice China to increase pressure on North Korea to abandon its nuclear program.

North Korea, Syria in spotlight
Tensions continued to mount on the Korean peninsula as the North Korean regime threatened a nuclear strike in response to any US aggression. North Korea is believed to be trying to develop intercontinental ballistic missiles capable of reaching the US mainland. This week, the US navy dispatched a carrier task force to the western Pacific in a show of force, while Chinese president Xi Jinping said that China is committed to the denuclearization of the Korean peninsula. President Trump called on China to do more to rein in its nuclear-armed neighbor, saying if China won’t help, the US could act alone. Meanwhile, the US and other G7 nations continue to pressure Russia to abandon its support of Syria’s Bashar al-Assad in the wake of last week’s chemical weapons attack on Syrian rebels which led to a cruise missile strike on a Syrian airbase by US forces.

Poloz: House prices can go down as well as up
Bank of Canada governor Stephen Poloz warned of the growing role of speculation in the recent acceleration in Toronto-area house prices. The central banker said that prices had accelerated from percentages in the high teens to the 30% zone, adding there is no fundamental story that can explain the rise. “I think it is timely to remind folks that prices of houses can go down as well as up,” he said. Poloz also said that further rate cuts in Canada are no longer on the table.

EM debt issuance boomed in Q1
Borrowers in emerging markets raised a record $181 billion during the first quarter of the year. Corporates raised $119.1 billion, beating the Q1 2013 record, while sovereigns raised $61.5 billion, topping the year-ago quarter by over $16 billion, according to data from J.P. Morgan. Total emerging market debt rose to $55 trillion in 2016, equal to 215% of the collective GDP of emerging nations.

GLOBAL CORPORATE NEWS

Four contenders vie for two spots in French runoff
For months, there have been three candidates in contention for the two spots in the second round of the French presidential election. Marine Le Pen, the populist firebrand, has consistently led recent polls, trailed closely by centrist Emmanuel Macron. François Fillon, hampered by an ethics scandal, has held the third position most of the time. Now a fourth candidate, leftist Jean-Luc Mélenchon, has entered the fray and is in a virtual tie for third place with Fillon. The conventional wisdom is that Le Pen will be beaten handily in the second round by either Macron or Fillon, who are more centrist. But the emergence of Mélenchon could put an unexpected wrinkle into the process. First-round voting takes place on 23 April.

Yellen: Fed allowing economy to coast
Speaking at the University of Michigan, Fed chair Yellen said that the US economy is healthy and that the Fed is now shifting its focus, taking its foot off the accelerator and allowing the economy to “coast” for a while, saying a gradual path of interest rate increases can get us where we need to go. Yellen also opined on several bills that are working their way through Congress, expressing concern that the Fed could become subject to political pressure if the bills are signed into law.

NEW 52-WEEK HIGH BSE (A):

ABB

1467.65

ATUL

2532.00

BAJAJFINSV

4634.85

NEW 52-WEEK LOWS BSE (A):


NOT YET IN (A) CAT

-------

MAJOR WEEKLY GAINERS IN BSE A CATEGORY:


 INDIABULLS REAL

19.13

PIRAMAL ENT.

16.68

RURAL ELECTRIFIC

12.57

MAJOR WEEKLY LOSERS IN BSE A CATEGORY:


ADANI POWER

-24.66

SOBHA

-9.71

VEDANTA

-9.16



Eyes will be set on the certain US economic data releases are: 
Monday (17 Mar)
Labor Market Conditions 
Tuesday (18 Mar)
Housing Market Index
Wednesday (19 Mar)
Housing Starts
Thursday (20 Mar)
MBA Mortgage Applications 
Friday (21 Mar)
Jobless Claims


Fundamental Pick of the week:
Buy Bajaj Auto Ltd For Target Rs.2950.00 -

Derivative Ideas
The stock is consolidating after forming a bottom at 2755 levels with positive price action in the past few days confirming an uptrend. The key technical indicators has also reversed turning upwards and as the stock has closed above its short term averages
* The stock has strong support on its weekly charts holding the short and medium term averages and the positive divergence in the last few weeks candle confirms the up move.
*Thus, long position can be initiated at Rs. 2810 for target of Rs 2950 with a stop loss of Rs 2740.

Indian Market Outlook:
The Nifty opened on a flat note today and traded with a downward bias. It has reached near the lower end of the 9180-9150 support range. On the hourly chart, the fall is appearing as a corrective one. In terms of price pattern, the Nifty seems to have formed a wedge on the hourly chart, whose implications are likely to be bullish. Thus, the next leg up could be around the corner. We are maintaining our positive view on the Nifty with a cautious approach. On the downside, the 61.8% retracement of the previous rise, ie 9120 will be the subsequent support, with 9000-8980 being a major support area. On the way up, 9340 and 9500 are the short-term and medium-term targets, respectively.  

TECHNICAL VIEW:


S3

S2

S1

NIFTY

R1

R2

R3

9,000

9,060

9,110

9,150.80

9,180

9,250

9,310

Nifty, after trading range bound for most part of the week, ended lower and lost nearly half a percent and finally settled at 9150.80.
* Existence of major hurdle around 9300 mark combined with weak global cues and anxiety ahead of earnings season capped upside; however, buying interest was witnessed in select index major amid volatility.
* In the coming week, we expect volatility to remain high due to ongoing earnings season and lingering geo-political issue.
* Considering all, we suggest participants maintaining stock specific approach and keep a check on the leveraged positions.

Conclusion:

Bank Nifty made low of  21551 so bulls held on to 21500 in today’s correction so we can continue the upmove towards 21850/21990 as we have weekly closing tomorrow, Friday being an holiday. Bearish below 21500 for a move towards 21400/21350. Bank Nifty continue to hold on to its gann angle suggesting bulls are holding the grip. Holding the low of 21600 BUlls can continue to see upmove towards 21800/21920/22000. Bearish on close below 21520 for a move towards 21400/21350/21230. New time cycle is starting from coming week (More Details in Weekly Analysis) so we can see good trending move in next 1-2 days.

Weekly Nifty Trading View for the Week April 10, 2017–April 16, 2017

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Events to watch this week

  • US March nonfarm payrolls rise 98,000

  • US launches missile attack against Syria

  • Trump, Xi hold summit

  • Fed to begin shrinking balance sheet

  • European manufacturing speeds up

  • South Africa suffers credit downgrade

The Week ahead:

  • Fed chair Janet Yellen participates in a discussion at the University of Michigan on Monday, 10 April
  • The UK consumer price index is released on Tuesday, 11 April
  • UK unemployment data are reported on Wednesday, 12 April
  • The Bank of Canada’s interest rate decision is announced on Wednesday, 12 April
  • China reports its trade balance on Thursday, 13 April
  • The United States releases retail sales and consumer price data on Friday, April 14

For the week,Global equities were little changed this week despite an uptick in geopolitical jitters following the US missile strike on a Syrian airbase and a potential shift in tactics by the US Federal Reserve later this year. The lackluster employment report, coupled with the attack against Syria, helped push US 10-year Treasury notes to 2.28%, their lowest intraday yield of 2017, on Friday morning. Oil prices firmed after the attack, with West Texas Intermediate crude rising to $51.94, up from $50 a week ago. Volatility, as measured by the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX), remained subdued, at 12.8 on Friday versus 12 a week ago.


NIFTY- 9,198.30
CRUDE OIL-Rs 3,362barrel
GOLD-Rs 28,665 gram
Rs/$-Rs 68.08

MARKET ROUND UP 
The market rose last week in line with overall positive sentiment in the market which has been riding on the passage of Goods and Services Tax (GST) Bill and the strengthened position of government after the assembly elections. The improved macroeconomic numbers, such as sharp reduction in current account deficit, resulted in a lot of funds flowing into Indian equities - both from domestic and global institutions. The buying interest was not only in large-caps, but in mid and small-caps as well. 
In the week ended Friday, 7 April 2017, the Sensex rose 86.11 points, or 0.29% to settle at 29,706.61. The Nifty 50 index rose 24.55 points, or 0.27% to settle at 9,198.30. The BSE Mid-Cap index rose 136.51 points, or 0.97% to settle at 14,233.16. The BSE Small-Cap index rose 350.17 points, or 2.44% to settle at 14,681.42.

Trading for the week began on a positive note. Market registered modest gains in the first trading session of the week on Monday, 3 April 2017. The Sensex had risen 289.72 points or 0.98% to settle at 29,910.22. Domestic bourses were closed on Tuesday, 4 April 2017 on account of Ram Navami.

Market registered decent gains in a volatile trade on Wednesday, 5 April 2017. The Sensex had risen 64.02 points or 0.21% to settle at 29,974.24, its record closing high. 

Key benchmark indices registered small losses on weak global cues on Thursday, 6 April 2017. The Sensex fell 46.90 points or 0.16% to settle at 29,927.34, its lowest closing level since 3 April 2017.

Macro Economic Front: 
On the Economic Front,The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on Thursday, 6 April 2017, kept the policy repo under the liquidity adjustment facility (LAF) unchanged at 6.25%. On the basis of an assessment of the current and evolving macroeconomic situation at its meeting on Thursday, 6 April 2017, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) decided to keep the policy repo rate under the LAF unchanged at 6.25%.

Consequent upon the narrowing of the LAF corridor as elaborated in the accompanying Statement on Developmental and Regulatory Policies, the reverse repo rate under the LAF is at 6% per cent, and the marginal standing facility (MSF) rate and the Bank Rate are at 6.5%. The decision of the MPC is consistent with a neutral stance of monetary policy in consonance with the objective of achieving the medium-term target for consumer price index (CPI) inflation of 4% within a band of plus/minus 2%, while supporting growth, the RBI said.

Meanwhile, data released by Markit Economics during market hours on Thursday, 6 April 2017 showed that the Indian service sector moved further away from the demonetisation-related contractions seen towards the end of 2016 and beginning of 2017. The seasonally adjusted Nikkei India composite PMI output index increased to 52.3 in March, from 50.7 in February, signalling a quicker rise in private sector activity across the country.

Major Action &Announcement:
L&T said that the first 150 megawatts (MW) gas turbine for Bangladesh Power Development Board (BPDB)'s 225 MW combined cycle (dual fuel) power plant at Sikalbaha in Chittagong district was synchronised with the national grid on 25 March 2017. The second 280 MW gas turbine for North West Power Generation Co (NWPGCL) combined cycle power plant of 360 MW capacity development project at Bheramara in Kushtia district was synchronised with the grid on 31 March 2017. Both these power plants are being executed by gas based power projects business unit of L&T Power based in Baroda, India. L&T Power is also executing an engineering, procurement and construction subcontract for another 400 MW gas based power plant at Bibiyana in Sylhet district, Bangladesh. It will be ready for commissioning in 2018-19.

Index pivotal Reliance Industries (RIL) rose 6.55% to Rs 1,405.55. RIL said that the Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (TRAI) has advised its telecom unit Reliance JioInfocomm (Jio) to withdraw the 3 months complementary benefits of Jio Summer Surprise. Jio accepted this decision. It is in the process of fully complying with the regulator's advice, and will be withdrawing the 3 months complimentary benefits of Jio Summer Surprise as soon as operationally feasible, over the next few days. 

Car major Maruti Suzuki India rose 3.98% to Rs 6,263.95 after the company announced 8.1% rise in total sales to 1.39 lakh units in March 2017 over March 2016. Total domestic sales rose 7.7% to 1.27 lakh units in March 2017 over March 2016. Exports grew by 12.6% to 11,764 units in March 2017 over March 2016. The announcement was made on Saturday, 1 April 2017.

Sate-run NTPC rose 1.05% to Rs 167.70. The company announced that Unit#1 of 660 megawatts (MW) of Solapur Super Thermal Power Project has been commissioned. With this, the commissioned capacity of NTPC and NTPC Group has become 44,194 MW and 51,410 MW respectively. The announcement was made during market hours on Friday, 7 April 2017.

Global Front: 
In Overseas Markets,Overseas, geopolitical tensions intensified after the US military struck a Syrian airfield near Homs. US President Donald Trump said he ordered the missile strikes following the deadly chemical attack that took place earlier in the week.

Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve policy minutes, which were released on Wednesday, 5 April 2017. The minutes had a slightly hawkish tone, as policymakers noted upside risk to the US economy. However, policymakers remain divided on whether inflation will rise to the Fed target of 2.0%. The minutes also stated FOMC members were in favor of taking steps to trim the $4.5 trillion balance sheet, which has ballooned since the Fed implemented its aggressive quantitative easing program back in 2008. 

Global Economic News:

US nonfarm payrolls up less than expected
US payrolls expanded by 98,000 in March, well below the 180,000 consensus forecast. In addition, both January and February payrolls were downwardly revised. However, the unemployment rate dipped 0.2% to 4.5%, the lowest level since May 2007, while average hourly earnings rose 2.7% versus a year ago, down from 2.8% in February.

US attacks Syrian airbase 
In response to a chemical weapons attack in Syria by the regime of Bashar al-Assad, the United States launched nearly five dozen Tomahawk cruise missiles targeted at the airfield from which the attack is believed to have been launched. The missiles struck infrastructure at the airfield, according to the administration, but did not target chemical weapons storage facilities because of the potential for civilian casualties.

Trade, North Korea top Trump–Xi agenda
US president Donald Trump and Xi Jinping, China’s president, held talks at Trump’s Mar-a-Lago Club in Palm Beach, Florida, late this week. The leaders discussed trade relations between the world’s two largest economies as well as security concerns, particularly over North Korea.

European manufacturing hits highest reading in nearly six years
Theeurozone purchasing managers’ index in March rose to its highest level in nearly six years, reaching 56.2 from 55.4. That’s the highest since April of 2011. European retail sales rose solidly for the second month in a row in February, rising 0.7%. In the United States, the Institute for Supply Management’s manufacturing index eased to 57.2 in March from February’s 57.7.

GLOBAL CORPORATE NEWS

Fed eyes balance sheet, stock valuations
The minutes of Federal Open Market Committee meetings rarely make much news, but the summary of the March meeting did so on several fronts. The committee discussed shrinking the Fed’s mammoth $4.5 trillion balance sheet beginning late this year by allowing some of the assets it acquired in the wake of the financial crisis to mature. However, the committee did not outline specifically how it will change its reinvestment policy. Those specifics are expected later in 2017. Also newsworthy was that members of the committee opined on asset valuations more directly than usual: “Some participants viewed equity prices as quite high relative to standard valuation measures. It was observed that prices of other risk assets, such as emerging market stocks, high-yield corporate bonds, and commercial real estate, had also risen significantly in recent months.”

South Africa’s rating cut after Gordhan ousted
Credit rating agencies Standard and Poor’s and Fitch each downgraded South Africa’s sovereign credit rating one notch to BB+ in the wake of the sacking of former finance minister PravinGordhan. Weakening standards of governance and public finances were to blame.

NEW 52-WEEK HIGH BSE (A):

ADANIENT

119.35

ADANIPORTS

83.25

BAJAJFINSV

4288.00

NEW 52-WEEK LOWS BSE (A):


NOT YET IN (A) CAT

-------

MAJOR WEEKLY GAINERS IN BSE A CATEGORY:


 ADANI TRANSMISSION

26.42

SOBHA

21.43

NAVKAR

19.27

MAJOR WEEKLY LOSERS IN BSE A CATEGORY:


CONTAINER

-11.87

GSFC

-8.41

COX & KINGS

-8.08



Eyes will be set on the certain US economic data releases are: 
Monday (10 Mar)
Labor Market Conditions 
Tuesday (11 Mar)
NFIB Small Business
Wednesday (12 Mar)
MBA Mortgage Applications
Thursday (13 Mar)
Consumer Sentiment &Natural Gas Report 
Friday (14 Mar)
Consumer Price Index & Retail Sales

Fundamental Pick of the week:
Derivative Ambuja Cements Ltd For Target Rs.254.00 

Derivative Ideas
AMBUJACEM added around 7.2% of open interest as fresh long positions along with some delivery based buying in previous sessions. On charts, it has witness upside breakout from Inverted Head & Shoulder pattern on daily charts. We suggest buying AMBUJACEM as per levels given below.

Strategy:
BUY AMBUJACEM APR FUTS BETWEEN 240-242, SL 237, TARGET 254.

Indian Market Outlook:
Nifty inched marginally higher in the holiday shortened week and settled closer to 9200, tracking mixed cues from domestic and global front.

* The coming week is also a holiday shortened one and we expect some decisive moves in stocks ahead of Q4FY17 corporate earnings. Besides, recent geo-political issue between the US and Syria will also remain on participants’ radar.
* Technically, we expect Nifty to consolidate further but the overall bias would remain on positive side. We suggest traders to use further profit taking to add quality stocks while keeping the leveraged positions hedged.

TECHNICAL VIEW:


S3

S2

S1

NIFTY

R1

R2

R3

9,000

9,080

9,130

9,198.30

9,225

9,270

9,340

High made was 9268 again near the gann angles, and low made was 9218 so we made an INSIDE Bar candle today, Now plan remains the same buy above 9268 for a move towards 9312/9360/9410. Bearish below 9200 for a move towards 9130/9030. Nifty continue to trade below the gann angle as high made today was also 9250 so we are unable to close above the gann level of 9268, and we closed below 9200 so we are heading towards 9130/9070/9020 range. Bullish only on close above 9268. 

Conclusion:

The Nifty witnessed a minor setback, closing the week on a flat note. Since the last couple of sessions, the Index was taking support near the previous swing high of 9218. However, today, it has broken below 9218 and has fallen back below 9200. Structurally, the fall seems to be a retracement of the previous rise and is unlikely to develop into a larger fall. 9180-9150 is a crucial support zone from where the Nifty can start the next leg up. The overall trend continues to be positive from a short-term as well as medium-term perspective. 9340 and 9500 are short-term and medium-term targets, respectively. On the flip side, 9000-8980 is the major support area.

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You need to understand the market situation very well when you try to make stock investment in the market. If you try to make any investment in the market without any clear knowledge of the market then you would not be able to make any profit from the market. There are stocks that have shown good profit in the market and you can then try to invest in it but you should always keep in mind that there are always some risks in the market and you cannot avoid the risks. If you try to make your investment in the market and that too without any proper study then you would have to face a huge loss of money.  Making the right and profitable investment in the market is not difficult if you really try your best to make good study or research. There are concepts that make you feel that it is not important but you should know that all concepts are very important in the market. 


If you are able to get the right information of the stocks then it would not be at all difficult for you to make good money. You should take care when you try to go for online stock market because you have to find the right and genuine website because this would only help you to get the correct information of the market. When you get all the updated information of the market you would not have to worry for your investment. This is because you can get all the latest happenings in the market that would help you to make the right income. Getting the right income from the stocks is possible but it might take some time for which you need to have good patience in the market.  To be a successful trader you need to identify the profitable stocks that would help you get the maximum benefit. If you are able to take the right decision yourself then you would not have to worry but you should know that you have to know how NSE, BSE….etc functions in the market. You should also try to know the insights of the market and this would make you more knowledgeable in the market. It is important for you to know how to be responsible while investing in the market?

 

Do not dare to predict

There are some investors who try to predict the stock market because they think that they are able to know what would happen to the market. If you also think the same then it is important to clear this misconception because this would only make you a loser and you would also feel less confident in the market. It is to be noted no matter how much you try to get rod of risks, the risk factor would always be there and you would not be able to get away from it. You also need to assure yourself that you are quite patient and you have the ability to bear the risks in the market while investing in the different stocks. You can also make good income from day trading but for this you have to get the right knowledge on how you are going to invest in it.

 

Make the perfect planning for your investment

You have to make the perfect plan for your stock investment in the market and this can be done by avoiding the decision made by your friends. In other words you need to make sure that you do not take any advice from your friends as they might provide you all the wrong information and you would have to lose your cash in the market. Investing for short term can also help you gain good amount of money but you need to know the risks in it. You would be glad of your own decision when you get the best profit from your stock investment. You should make sure of the stocks that it would bring good profits to you. Thus you should try to understand how to be responsible while investing in the market?

Weekly Nifty Trading View for the Week April 03, 2017–April 09, 2017

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Events to watch this week

  • United Kingdom triggers Article 50

  • Trump’s agenda questioned after health care defeat

  • US economic growth revised up slightly

  • South Africa sacks finance minister

  • NAFTA changes may be modest

The Week ahead:

  • The Bank of Japan releases its Tankan report on Monday, 3 April

  • Global manufacturing purchasing managers’ indices are released on Monday, 3 April

  • Euro-area retail sales are reported on Tuesday, 4 April

  • Global service sector PMIs are released on Wednesday, 5 April

  • The US Federal Reserve releases the minutes of its March Federal Open Market Committee meeting on Wednesday, 5 April

  • Trump and Chinese president Xi meet in Palm Beach on Thursday–Friday, 6–7 April

  • The United States releases its March employment report on Friday, 7 April

For the week,Global equities rose this week as did oil prices, while yields on 10-year US Treasury notes held steady at 2.41%. West Texas Intermediate crude advanced to $50 from $47.80 last Friday, while global Brent rallied to $52.70 from $50.60 last week. Volatility, as measured by the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX), held steady near 12.

NIFTY- 9,173.75
CRUDE OIL-Rs 3,286barrel
GOLD-Rs 28,450 gram
Rs/$-Rs 64.85

MARKET ROUND UP 
Key benchmark indices logged modest gains in the week ended Friday, 31 March 2017 as the sentiment was buoyed after the LokSabha cleared four bills related to the Goods and Services Tax (GST), one of the biggest reforms, on 29 March 2017. The overall sentiment in the broader market was upbeat during the week with the BSE Small-Cap and the Mid-Cap indices outperforming the Sensex.

In the week ended Friday, 31 March 2017, the Sensex rose 199.10 or 0.68% to settle at 29,620.50. The Nifty 50 index rose 65.75 points or 0.72% to settle at 9,173.75. The BSE Mid-Cap index rose 247.47 points or 1.79% to settle at 14,096.65. The BSE Small-Cap index gained 356.25 points or 2.53% to settle at 14,433.86. Both these indices outperformed the Sensex.
Trading for first day of the week began on a subdued note as the key benchmark indices settled with modest losses on Monday, 27 March 2017 on negative global stocks. The Sensex lost 187.96 points or 0.64% to settle at 29,233.44, its lowest closing level since 22 March 2017. 

Macro Economic Front: 
On the Economic Front,the LokSabha cleared four bills related to the Goods and Services Tax (GST) on 29 March 2017, setting the stage for 28 states, along with Delhi and Puducherry, to enact state laws over the next three months to roll out the new tax regime from July 2017.

The four bills Integrated GST, Central GST, Union Territory GST and Compensation Bill will be followed by work in the GST council, comprising FM ArunJaitley and state finance ministers, to finalise rules and product- and service-wise rates by the end of April.
GST will replace central excise, service tax and state VAT and several other levies, in addition to subsuming existing cesses and surcharges.

Major Action &Announcement:
IT major Infosys fell 1.07% to Rs 1,020.80. The company announced during trading hours on 30 March 2017, that it has achieved Cloud Elite status in the Oracle PartnerNetwork (OPN). With this designation, Infosys is well positioned to help customers achieve cloud transformation, and provide sophisticated capabilities and next-generation services on Oracle Cloud. With strategic specialization and training programs, innovative joint solutions, and a clearly defined solutions roadmap, Infosys' Cloud Elite status will help clients derive better business value, it said in a statement.

TCS rose 0.18% to Rs 2,431.10. TCS said that the company has collaborated with SATS (SATS), Asia's leading provider of airport ground handling and food solutions services, to develop a smart watch solution that is believed to be the world's first mobile solution for airport Technical Ramp operations. The Technical Ramp Smart Watch solution is now supporting SATS' operations at Singapore's Changi Airport, a leading global hub of travel, technology adoption and efficiency. The announcement was made after market hours on 30 March 2017.

NTPC rose 1.1%. NTPC said that consequent upon testing and commissioning, 260 megawatts (MW) capacity (4x65 MW) of Bhadla solar PV project at BhadlaRajasthan, is declared on commercial operation on 25 March 2017. With this, the commercial capacity of NTPC and NTPC group has become 40,522 MW and 47,293 MW respectively. The announcement was made after market hours on 30 March 2017.

Drug major Lupin fell 2.61%. The company announced the launch of Abacavir and Lamivudine tablets, 600 mg/300 mg having received an approval from the United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) earlier. The announcement was made during market hours on 29 March 2017.

Power Grid Corporation of India (PGCIL) rose 1.81%. The company announced that it has acquired Medinipur-Jeerat Transmission, the Project SPV to establish transmission system for 765kV strengthening in Eastern Region (ERSS-XVIII), on build, own, operate and maintain (BOOM) basis from PFC Consulting. The transmission system is to be progressively constructed over a period of 40 months. The announcement was made during market hours on 29 March 2017.

Axis Bank gained 0.33%. The bank said that the board of directors of the bank has passed a resolution approving the allotment of 3 year senior floating rate notes aggregating to $10 million under the MTN programme through its Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC) branch. The announcement was made after market hours on 27 March 2017.
Hero MotoCorp lost 4.52% to Rs 3,223.85. Bahadur Chand Investments (BCIPL), one of the promoters of Hero MotoCorp, raised its holding in the two-wheeler major by picking up 4.45% stake for Rs 2996 crore from another promoter firm in an open market transaction. 

Global Front: 
In Overseas Markets,Activity in China's manufacturing sector expanded to 51.8 in March, an official survey showed on Friday, 31 March 2017. The services sector rose to 55.1 from 54.2 in February. The 50-point mark separates growth from contraction.
Japan's core consumer prices rose 0.2% in February. While that is the fastest annual pace in nearly two years, it is still distant from the central bank's 2% target.

The US economy, as measured by gross domestic product, expanded at a 2.1% annualized pace in the fourth quarter, slightly faster than the previously reported 1.9% rate. Separately, jobless claims fell by 3,000 to 258,000 in the latest week, near their lowest level in decades.

Global Economic News:

Beginning of the end 
The United Kingdom formally began the process of withdrawing its European Union membership this week by triggering Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty. The UK and EU now enter into a two-year negotiation to iron out such thorny issues as the legal status of EU citizens residing in the UK and that of UK citizens living within the EU, "hard" or "soft" borders and how —and how much it will cost-- to extract the UK from the EU’s finances. EU president Donald Tusk said a free trade agreement can only be discussed once sufficient progress has been made on the divorce process. Also this week, the Scottish parliament voted 69–59 to authorize a second referendum on independence from the UK. Scotland voted to remain in the EU in last June’s Brexit referendum.

Will Trump play it safe or go big? 
After suffering a stinging defeat in his first major legislative initiative, President Donald Trump is likely to turn his focus to taxes in the hope of unifying the Republican congressional caucus. That may prove easier said than done, as the approximately $1 trillion in savings over 10 years that was expected from the repeal of Obamacare and its replacement with the American Health Care Act (AHCA) is now off the table. Trump must now decide whether to risk further political capital by advocating an ambitious comprehensive tax reform plan or to play it safe and advocate a smaller program of tax cuts. Should negotiations drag on, markets may not receive the fiscal stimulus that they’ve been expecting this year. Some fear stimulus could be smaller than expected and later in arriving, perhaps not until 2018.

US growth revised up
Q4 US gross domestic product was revised up to a 2.1% annual rate this week from an earlier 1.9% reading. Corporate profits showed healthy growth of 9.3%, though the persistent US trade deficit restrained economic growth. Sluggish growth is expected to persist into the first quarter of 2017.

US to seek modest NAFTA changes
A leaked draft of a US Department of Commerce memo this week showed that the Trump administration will seek quite modest changes to the North American Free Trade Agreement, countering more bombastic proposals made on the campaign trail by President Trump prior to his election. Trade jitters have been receding in recent weeks, but investors will keep a close eye on the first meeting between Trump and Chinese president Xi Jinping in Palm Beach, Florida, on 6–7 April.

German unemployment falls to record low
Unemployment in Germany, Europe’s largest labor market, fell to a post-reunification low of 5.8% in March, as joblessness fell by 30,000. That was more than the 10,000 that economists had predicted.

Ousted South Korean president jailed
Former South Korean president Park Geun-hye has been arrested and jailed over corruption allegations. Prosecutors have 20 days to build their case while Park is in custody. A snap election to replace Park will take place on 9 May.

GLOBAL CORPORATE NEWS

Cutting a Gordhan-ian knot
South African president Jacob Zuma fired his market-friendly finance minister PravinGordhan this week in a move that risks prompting a downgrade of the country’s sovereign debt ratings. Zuma and Gordhan are longtime political rivals and have differed sharply over South Africa’s public finances. Zuma is expected to sharply increase public expenditures now that Gordhan has been sacked. South Africa’s rand has fallen 7.5% this week against the US dollar as the battle between Zuma and Gordhan has played out.

NEW 52-WEEK HIGH BSE (A):

ADANIENT

109.95

ADANIPORTS

342.00

AIAENG

1641.00

NEW 52-WEEK LOWS BSE (A):


NOT YET IN (A) CAT

-------

MAJOR WEEKLY GAINERS IN BSE A CATEGORY:


 ABB INDIA

7.53

BAJAJ HOLDINGS

6.86

BERGER PAINTS

5.87

MAJOR WEEKLY LOSERS IN BSE A CATEGORY:


AMTEK AUTO

-4.60

AJANTA PHARMA

-3.55

ASHOK LEYLAND

-3.15


Eyes will be set on the certain US economic data releases are: 
Monday (03 Mar)
PMI Manufacturing Index 
Tuesday (04 Mar)
Motor Vehicle Sales & Factory Orders
Wednesday (05 Mar)
PMI Services Index
Thursday (06 Mar)
Natural Gas Report 
Friday (07 Mar)
Consumer Credit & Wholesale Trade

Fundamental Pick of the week:
Buy CESC LTDFor Target Rs.900.00
CESC is in the strong up-trend as the stock reversed after taking support of Rs790 (23.6% Fibonacci Retracement level of prior up-move Rs527-876) and later rose to Rs857.
* Key technical indicators-RSI & MACD are positively poised above their neutral line, where MACD is on the verge of positive cross-over.
* As per the current daily set-up, we believe that stock will continue the northward rally and record fresh high.
* On the higher side, the stock will face major hurdle around psychological level Rs900.Thus, long position can be initiated at around Rs830 with the target of Rs900 and a strict stop loss of Rs790. 

Indian Market Outlook:

TECHNICAL VIEW:


S3

S2

S1

NIFTY

R1

R2

R3

9,000

9,060

9,110

9,173.75

9,225

9,270

9,340

After witnessing volatile trades last week, CNX Nifty resumed its up move supported by short covering. Good recovery was seen from lower levels tracking continuation of bearishness in USD/INR futures which helped Indian equity markets to settle at higher levels. Technically, Rise in volume and fall in open interest with both sides price movement price movement indicates sideways sentiments in current week. 9100 will be the Crucial level to watch out for the current week. Benchmark Index CNX Nifty witnessed good buying support at lower levels from traders last week which indicates support at lower levels. CNX Nifty likely to trade with volatile sentiments in current week on profit booking at higher levels from traders. If it managed to sustain above 9100 level than it may witness firm sentiments till 9330 levels. Breaking of strong support 9100 level with good volume will make Nifty bearish and down side may come due to selling pressure below that level. Traders should look for the opportunity to buy at lower levels for the week.

Conclusion:

Nifty gave Short entry on Monday which  did 1 target on Downside. Long was triggered  by Tuesday did 1 Tgt on Thursday thus both bulls and bears were rewarded following Chopad levels.  Lets Analyze how to trade Nifty as we are approach the New Financial Year.
Hourly chart was near the support line as shown in above chart and should see impulsive move towards 9200 holding 9077.
High made was 9192 so we almost did 9077 above 9077. Now for coming week break of 9200 can see fast move towards 9268/9312/9368. Bearish below 9130 for a move towards 9060/8992.Still waiting for 9312 for completion of extended abcdpattern. Bulls needs to hold 8992 for the target to come.

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 Earn good profit from Share market, Click here to know how to earn money

The places in the market that actually earn the profit are the places that give us the maximum benefit in the market place. The place is the thing that has the greater advantages and thus has the things and they have the better chances to offer. The people are always on the outlook to earn the profits and they want good players in the market and good people and knowledgeable people to deal with and the always want the people those who are there to have the better things and thus they have the actual knowledge and thus they have the better things and they have the investors who invest in the share market. The stock market is the place that will deal with the stocks and the shares and therefore they have the much awaited philosophy and thus they will be in the way that dealing with the things the people are some of the things that we have the better issues to have the near future. You should make good efforts to know how soon can you gain good profits from the market.

 

Gaining the right income

The stock market is where the investors are always there to gain the most desired profit and at the same time they would like to earn the necessary knowledge about the things involved. The people that are dealing on a daily basis on the market understand that when we are on the out foot of a running market we should always try and understand the place at which the market is actually running and at the same time they should also like to understand the governing factors in the market that need to be governed and regulated if there is the need to have a stable and growing graph of shares in a market place. The places are such that they are the persons who are there not only to invest but at the same time to earn the profits and stabilize their earning from the market in the long run. The market place thus has the things that have a better and a new dimension to deal with.  The stock market undergoes through many a roots in the market and it at the same time is the place that have a great amount of things that are at stake when we deal with the shares and stocks at the stock market. The people are always on the outlook that they should be in a better position to understand the market and at the same tome they can have a fair view of how the market is actually running so as to get the actual idea of the functionalities and the working of the stock market place. The people are always there to look up in the market and they have the things and they are the places and the stock market is the things and they at the sane time will give the people the edge. 

 

Functioning of the stocks

The stock market is the place that will not only give us the shares to understand the market but they at the same time have all together a different dimension to understand the market. We see in the stock market that in the day to day basis there are many shares that fluctuate as the day evolves and ends and that as the day progresses the people at large are able to grip as to how the market will actually function. In this present world there are risks involved in every sector that we flow into be it real or the artificial one and so you should know whether day trading has too many risks involved in it. Thus we have the things that that can give us the people and they have the better advantage. They have the right summary and thus give us the people the advantage to give the right knowledge and then at the same time will be able to place us at a much better position and answer as how soon can you gain good profits from the market?

 

How to avoid wrong decision made by you in the market

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 Decisions are one of the most important part and partial of our life. Without making decisions let it be good or bad right or wrong life is not possible. The same thing goes to the market, where decisions are the most important task to be carried on. It is very much needed in almost all the step in the market to take decisions but at the same time not all decisions are right or good one. There are a lot of decisions made by the investor which are not always right or correct rather they tend to be wrong at due course of time. It is not so easy to make decision in the investment market as because they can sometimes be a wrong one which may lead to a big loss of the investor. For an investor it is much essential to know and understand the value of the decision made in his investment and the outcome of the same decision in the future. Only knowing the value of the decision to be made will not do great but the execution of the better decision is equally needed. In order to understand how to avoid wrong decision made by you in the market an individual will have to follow the discussed points in the below.

          

Knowing the investment process

The most important thing which is to be kept in mind is that an investor will have to earn knowledge about the investment process of the market. Gaining knowledge about the stock market investment is the first and foremost thing to be done in the investment process. If the knowledge is not earned by the investor he will not be able to understand the rest of the things about the market and will not be able to cope with the share market situations and he will not make any profit out of his investment rather will have to beer loss. Therefore an individual has to have the knowledge to make it to a good investment process of earning more profit. The next important point is that an investor in the market should not be greedy and should not also be a gambler kind of investor because this may lead him to take bad decision at a point of time which may ultimately lead the investor to lose his money by that particular wrong decision. The greed in the mind of the investor will make him to increase the will of earning more profit and the investor may take a decision in no time which can take him to an awkward position and finally he may have to suffer for the same. One of the very important points of a safe and better investment in the market is that an investor should have the power of being very patient. A patient investor is always wise and a winner too. The investor should not lose his patience and take a quick decision because that will lead him to take a bad and a wrong decision. Having patience in an individual will make him think a lot and accordingly will make him reach to a result of making the right and the correct decision.

 

Having good confidence

Confidence is the best way to reach to success but at the same time over confidence is a way to ruin one’s success. Therefore it is very much essential for an investor to be very confident and not being over confident in any situation. Being over confident he will not take the right rather commit a wrong decision and will eat loads of lose. It is not always possible that an individual will make the good and the right decision. Sometimes a perfect investor can also commit some mistake and tend to take wrong decision. Therefore an investor must consult his legal advisor about the situation of the market and what would be right, good and correct for the stock investment. But it does not mean that any other person is the right one from whom advice can be taken. It is a must to be kept in mind that avoid taking advice from people and make good and right decision and let your investment be safe and success. So you have come to know how to avoid wrong decision made by you in the market.

 

WEEKLY NIFTY TRADING VIEW FOR THE WEEK MAR 26, 2017–APRIL 01, 2017

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Events to watch this week

  • Potential health care loss could hinder Trump agenda
  • United Kingdom to trigger Article 50 on March 29
  • Banks soak up last of ECB’s cheap loans
  • Eurozone showing signs of accelerating growth
  • BOJ chief says stimulus here to stay

The Week ahead:

  • The United Kingdom and Europe set clocks ahead one hour for daylight savings time on Sunday, 26 March,
  • The UK is expected to trigger Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty on Wednesday, 29 March
  • The United States reports revised Q4 gross domestic product figures on Thursday, 30 March
  • Japan reports inflation data and unemployment figures on Friday, 31 March
  • China releases purchasing managers’ indices on Friday, 31 March
  • The UK releases revised Q4 GDP figures on Friday, 31 March
  • The eurozone reports consumer inflation data on Friday, 31 March

For the week,Global equities slipped this week amid concerns that the Trump administration’s promised pro-growth policy agenda may become bogged down as GOP lawmakers struggle to repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare. US 10-year Treasury note yields fell 10 basis points from a week ago to 2.41%. West Texas Intermediate crude slumped to $47.80 from $49.25 last Friday and global Brent fell to $50.60 from $52.00 as US production continued to build. Volatility, as measured by the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX), rose to 12.4 from 11.2..

NIFTY- 9,108.00
CRUDE OIL-Rs 3,149 barrel
GOLD-Rs 28,805 gram
Rs/$-Rs 65.42

MARKET ROUND UP

Key benchmark indices edged lower as investors pocketed some cash on profit booking after the recent surge helped Nifty hit record closing high on the last session of previous week. Key indices fell in three out of five sessions of the week. Indices staged some recovery towards the closing sessions of the week after witnessing drubbing during the initial few sessions.

The barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex, fell 227.59 points or 0.76% at 29,421.40. The Nifty 50 index shed 52.05 points or 0.56% at 9,108.

The BSE Mid-Cap index shed 0.31%. The BSE Small-Cap index rose 0.46%. Both these indices outperformed the Sensex.

Macro Economic Front:

On the Economic Front,India's current account deficit (CAD) at $7.9 billion (1.4% of GDP) in Q3 of FY 2017, was higher than $7.1 billion (1.4% of GDP) in Q3 of FY 2016 and $3.4 billion (0.6% of GDP) in the preceding quarter. The data was released by government after market hours on 23 March 2017.

Despite a slightly lower trade deficit on a year-on-year (y-o-y) basis, the CAD widened primarily on account of a decline in net invisible receipts. Net services receipts moderated on a y-o-y basis, primarily owing to the fall in earnings from software, financial services and charges for intellectual property rights.

Major Action &Announcement:

Axis Bank dropped 5.38%. The bank in a clarification issued before market hours on Wednesday, 22 March 2017, stated that the information on the bank's MD & CEO Shikha Sharma's resignation is false, speculative and is being circulated with the malafide intention of misleading the investors and the general public.

Cipla declined 0.63%. In its clarification on media reports titled USFDA issued import alert on Cipla'sTadalafil drug made at Bhagwanpur unit, Cipla during market hours on Friday, 24 March 2017 said that the company neither directly or indirectly imports for sale or sell Tadalafil tables in US market nor has not authorised any third party for it. Cipla is not associated with referenced import alert of Tadalafil product or its source at Bhagwanpur site at Uttaranchal for the US market, the company said. Accordingly, this event has no impact on Cipla, it added.

Sun Pharmaceutical Industries shed 0.48%.AlmirallS.L, and the company announced the validation of the regulatory filing of tildrakizumab with the European Medicines Agency (EMA) by Almirall. Tildrakizumab is an investigational IL-23p19 inhibitor being evaluated for the treatment of moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis. The announcement was made during market hours on Friday, 24 March 2017.

BhartiAirtel declined 1.85%. The company announced that it has entered into a definitive agreement with Tikona Digital Networks (Tikona) to acquire Tikona's 4G business including broadband wireless access (BWA) spectrum and 350 sites, in five telecom circles for about Rs 1600 crore. The announcement was made after market hours on Thursday, 23 March 2017.

NTPC rose 2.53%. The company said that the second unit of 800 megawatts (MW) of Kudgi Super Thermal Power Station of 2400 MW has been commissioned. With this, the commissioned capacity of Kudgi Super Thermal Power Station, NTPC and NTPC group has become 1600 MW, 42977 MW and 49943 MW respectively. The announcement was made during market hours on Thursday, 23 March 2017.

FMCG major, Hindustan Unilever (HUL) fell 0.25%. HUL announced that it has commenced the commercial production in its new manufacturing unit at Assam on 15 March 2017. The announcement was made after market hours on Tuesday, 21 March 2017. The company had earlier informed about setting up new manufacturing unit in Assam to augment the production capacity of personal care products of the company.

Global Front:

In Overseas Markets,US Federal Reserve raised interest rates as expected without accelerating its timeline for future tightening. The Fed raised its benchmark lending rate a quarter point and continued to project two more increases this year. Fed said that it would raise the benchmark federal-funds rate to a range between 0.75% and 1%.

Global Economic News:

May sets date for beginning Brexit process
British prime minister Theresa May this week set 29 March as the day that the United Kingdom will notify the European Union of its intent to leave the EU, beginning the two-year period set out in Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty for negotiating the terms under which the UK will exit. The negotiations are expected to be thorny because the EU is loath to give the UK a “good” deal for fear of prompting additional EU members to quit.

European banks take up more cheap loans than expected
Eurozone banks took up more super-cheap loans than expected from the European Central Bank’s Targeted Longer-Term Refinancing Operation (TLTRO) this week. A total of €223.5 billion of the zero percent four-year loans were placed, far in excess of the €125 billion economists had expected. In a sign of policy normalization, the ECB announced last month that this would be its last TLTRO operation.

European economy extends uptick
Flash purchasing managers’ indices jumped to their highest level in nearly six years today as the eurozone composite PMI rose to a robust 56.7. Economists extrapolate from that data that gross domestic product growth is growing at a rate in excess of an annualized 2%. The euro strengthened on the data, as well as on hopes that a centrist candidate will derail populist Marine Le Pen in the upcoming French presidential elections.

BOJ to stick to stimulus
Bank of Japan governor Haruhiko Kuroda said today that there is no reason to withdraw monetary stimulus now, or to raise the bank's bond yield target, since inflation remains well below the BOJ’s 2% goal. Recent upticks in Japanese growth and inflation have raised questions as to whether the central bank could alter its super-easy monetary policy. For now, those questions can be been laid to rest.

Brazil buffeted by meat scandal
Exports of Brazilian meat have plummeted in the wake of a food safety scandal. The meat products are now banned in China, Japan, Mexico and the European Union, while the United States has redoubled food safety inspections, according to the US Department of Agriculture. In an operation dubbed “Weak Flesh,” dozens of Brazilian food inspectors have been arrested for ignoring expired or adulterated processed foods in recent weeks.

Tighter Chinese liquidity eyed
Tightening liquidity conditions in China’s banking system are raising concerns that economic growth could be negatively impacted as the year progresses. Recently, China has been taking steps to rein in its shadow banking system amid fears that the property market could overheat. Chinese iron ore futures tumbled 19%, the largest weekly decline on record, as the People’s Bank of China introduced fresh borrowing curbs on home lending.

GLOBAL CORPORATE NEWS

Markets fear health care failure could crimp Trump’s clout
After delaying a scheduled vote on the American Health Care Act on Thursday, lawmakers have set a vote for late Friday despite apparently still not having enough votes to assure passage. If passed, the bill would be sent on to the Senate for its consideration. Observers grew concerned this week that if the Trump administration fails to advance one of its signature agenda items straight out of the gate that it may also struggle to pass market-friendly items like tax reform and infrastructure investment later in the Congressional session. A protracted fight on health care, at a minimum, would push those pieces back on the legislative calendar, delaying their economic impact. The failure to repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act would likely diminish the new administration’s political capital.

 

NEW 52-WEEK HIGH BSE (A):

 

ADANIENT

106.90

BAJAJFINANCE

1197.80

DCBBANK

168.45


NEW 52-WEEK LOWS BSE (A):

NOT YET IN (A) CAT

-------


MAJOR WEEKLY GAINERS IN BSE A CATEGORY:

Kec

21.19

nlc india

13.71

sobha

13.71


MAJOR WEEKLY LOSERS IN BSE A CATEGORY:

divi’s lab

-18.36

idea celluar

-15.80

srei infra

-10.17


Eyes will be set on the certain US economic data releases are:

Monday (27 Mar)
Week Bill Announcement

Tuesday (28 Mar)
Consumer Confidence

Wednesday (29 Mar)
Pending Home Sales

Thursday (30 Mar)
Natural Gas Report

Friday (31 Mar)
Consumer Sentiment

Fundamental Pick of the week:

Buy Glenmark Ltd For Target Rs.970.00

Glenmark Pharma reversed after taking support of its long-term moving average 200-day SMA and also its intermediate rising trend line.

* Positive cross-over in key technical indicators from their oversold zone is signaling that stock is on verge of turnaround and soon it will resume the uptrend.

* On the higher side, the stock will face hurdles around its multiple highs, which are placed in the range of Rs950-970.

* In case of major decline, recent swing low (i.e. Rs872) will work as key reversal point for the stock.

Indian Market Outlook:

Market on March 17, 2017

The Nifty traded with a bullish bias and scaled above the 9100 mark on a closing basis. A bigger picture shows that the Nifty held on to the trend line drawn from the previous swing lows. On the hourly chart, it has formed an impulse on the upside, which suggests that the larger upside potential is still intact. The range of 8980- 9000, which had earlier acted as a resistance zone, is now providing support to the Index. On the weekly chart, the Nifty has posted a negative close. Nevertheless, it can be taken as a part of a higher degree fifth wave on the upside. The short-term and medium-term targets on the upside are 9230 and 9500, respectively. 


TECHNICAL VIEW:

S3

S2

S1

NIFTY

R1

R2

R3

8,950

9,000

9,060

9,108.00

9,160

9,245

9,340


Other technical observations

Last Week we gave Chopad Levels  of 9150, Nifty gave Short entry on Monday which  did 2 target on Downside by Wednesday.Nifty for a single session was not able to close below the Chopad level of 9150 suggesting Bulls were under pressure from start of the week.  LetsAnalyze how to trade Nifty as we are approaching March Expiry and Financial Year closing.

 

Conclusion:

Nifty settled marginally lower in the passing week, tracking mixed cues. Majority of the sectoral pivots traded inline with the benchmark and failed to post any meaningful gain.

In the coming week, we expect Nifty to consolidate further within 9000-9300 band; however, volatility will inch higher on stock specific front due to expiry of March month derivatives contracts.

Considering all, traders should focus more on the trade management part and avoid over leveraging. Investors, on the other hand, should use this phase to gradually add quality stocks on every dips.

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Platform of performance

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Knowing the market

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How to care for your money in the market without any problem?

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Taking the right decision in the market is very important for you in order to get the best stocks. If you feel that you are not knowledgeable of the stock market or the presence of different stocks in the market then you should be able to get some time to understand the market very well. You need to know that the more efforts you give in the stock market the more income you can generate out of it. So in this case you have to consider how much money you are really ready to invest in the different shares and stocks in the market. If you feel that by investing in the stock market randomly can give you good profits then you are wrong. The reason is that the stocks that are present in the market is very unpredictable and so you can never know the results of the stocks. You can try to have a look at the daily stock news by watching different business news channels. You can thus come to know which stock would be really profitable for you to invest in the market. If you can make the right choice then you would not have to worry anything about the market. Thus in order to play safe in the market the best thing that you can do is to apply your own knowledge and get rid of getting any sort of advice or help from your friends. You have to make the best choice of stocks after clearly understanding the market well. If you tend to go on investing in the stocks then you would have to face bankruptcy in the due course of time. So perfect planning is quite necessary to get the best hold of good stocks in the market in order to see yourself profitable in the market. Unless you feel that the time is right for you to invest in the shares you should not invest in it. You also need to read different books on stock market because by doing so you would be able to get the right information of the market and also the different concepts that exist in it. You have to try your best to understand how to care for your money in the market without any problem?

 

Know the perfect time to invest

If you are able to know the perfect time to invest in the share market then you would not have to get worried at all regarding your profits in the stock market. Making the right efforts to know how to invest in the market would really help you to get the maximum amount of knowledge. To make the best decision you also need to know how much to invest in the shares considering your budget and requirement at the same time. There are certain possibilities that can arise from your stock investment in the market. You might get the best amount of money from your investment or might have to lose all that you invested in the stocks. So in order to get the right stocks it is very crucial to take your best foot forward to understand the stock market. Knowing the past performances of the stocks can help you a lot to get the best profits from the market and this would in turn lead you to become more confident in the stock market.

 

How to organize things in the right way

You should try to stay very calm and never lose your patience while you start investing in the stock market. If you cannot take good decision whether you would be in a good position to invest in the stocks then you have to make more study of the market so that you remain profitable and get the best money out of your investment. You can also try to invest in mutual funds which are another important investment plan to get good profits. But you need to know the risk level as well. Thus you should be able to get the right idea how to care for your money in the market without any problem?

 

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