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Global indices in consolidation as Chinese Yuan sees huge volatility with US$ seeing profit booking on every rally

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Major headlines:

·         Asset deterioration a challenge for Indian banks.

·         Money has lost secrecy post demonetization

·         Key Indian equity indices open in green

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Indices

Support

Resistanes

Sensex

26454

26725

Nifty

8138

8215

 

Indian IndicesAsian markets opened flat to positive as US$ volatility versus Chinese yuan saw currency moves dominate recent market behaviour. The US$ is witnessing profit booking at every rally while the Chinese yuan had a very strong rally from oversold levels. The Dow Jones also hit 19999.63 as positive jobs report saw the US$ strengthen with equities jumping.


Nifty failed to cross the 200 DMA @ first attempt & late hour profit booking saw Nifty retreat to close below 8250. Bank Nifty however saw huge short covering & closed above its 200 DMA on value buying. For today expect another day of consolidation even as bulls make another attempt to cross 8280-8300 for Nifty to resume further uptrend. Weakness in IT stocks was the main culprit for Nifty under performance which saw banks being the best performing sector in rotation.


The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 26737.88, down by 21.35 points or 0.08% after trading in a range of 26720.09 and 26860.88. There were 12 stocks advancing against 18 stocks declining on the index.The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.24%, while Small cap index was up by 0.43%.The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 8237.15, down by 6.65 points or 0.08% after trading in a range of 8233.45 and 8263.00. There were 23 stocks advancing against 28 stocks declining on the index.

 

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Group ATopGainers

 

 

Company

Price (Rs)

% chg

BEML

1135.15

14.7

MMTC

68.30

9.72

Fortis

203.10

5.62

KPIT

140.70

4.45

Group ATopLosers

 

 

Cadila

367.55

-3.10

DRreddy

3072.05

-2.80

HCC

40.90

-1.68

PIIND

827.10

-1.50

Market Statistics

 

 

 

BSE

NSE

Advances

1131

1168

Declines

1047

307

 

Technical view: Nifty will find support around 8181 which was the low for last 3 days while 8280 will act as first resistance. Bank Nifty now finds strong support @ 18000 while 18350 will act as resistance.


Market Sentiment:

The market breadth on BSE was positive in the ratio of 1354:828, while 98 scrips remained unchanged.

 

Trading ideas :YESBANK (Buy above Rs 1250 for target of Rs 1300, SL at Rs 1224): Stock has witnessed a double bottom breakout on daily charts post the two days smart rally. Near term trend turned positive for the stock on close above both its 50 and 100 DMA in last weeks trade. Price volume breakout would lead to sustained momentum for the stock in coming sessions. We advise to Buy YESBANK above Rs 1250, stop loss at Rs 1224 and Target of Rs 1300.

 

MacroeconomicFront: Finance Minister ArunJaitley has said that the colour of funds has not changed by merely depositing them in banks as the money has now lost its 'anonymity' and can be identified with the owner. Commenting on the issue, Finance Minister ArunJaitley told the media, "When 86 per cent of a country's currency, constituting 12.2 per cent of its GDP, is squeezed out of the market and sought to be replaced by a new currency.

Corporate Snippets:SpiceJet is expected to order at least 92 Boeing Co 737 jetliners, as it looks to bolster its presence in the world's fastest growing aerospace market.

 

SBIwill take the lead among state-run lenders to launch branch less banking. The latest launch from the lender - SBI Digi Bank will have a financial superstore, a market place and end to end digitisation for all products and services. 

 

Pokarna Ltd has announced Pokarna Engineered Stone Ltd, its wholly-owned subsidiary, has partnered Swedish home furnishing products retailer IKEA in India, to serve as its exclusive quartz surfaces supplier and installation partner.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:  The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were FMCG up by 0.65%, Realty up by 0.33%, Capital Goods up by 0.22%, Bankex up by 0.21% and Metal up by 0.14%, while Oil & Gas down by 0.52%, Power down by 0.45%, Consumer Durables down by 0.35%, PSU down by 0.19% and Auto down by 0.17% were the losing indices on BSE.

Nifty Movers:The top gainers on Nifty were AurobindoPharma up by 1.65%, HCL Tech up by 1.56%, Eicher Motors up by 1.51%, Idea Cellular up by 1.51% and ITC up by 1.17%. On the flip side, Dr. Reddy’s Lab down by 2.22%, BPCL down by 1.56%, Mahindra & Mahindra down by 1.37%, Coal India down by 1.31% and ACC down by 1.26% were the top losers.

 

 

 

On the global front: On the global front, Asian shares were trading mixed, as investors focused on policymaker remarks later this week for direction. Chinese Vice Finance Minister Zhu Guangyao said that the country is confident to have reached an economic growth of 6.7 percent in 2016, within a targeted range set earlier in the year. China, which had been aiming for a 6.5-7 percent economic growth for 2016, boosted government spending, saw a housing rally and record high levels of bank lending last year.

 

Global Signals:The Asian markets were trading mixed; KOSPI Index increased 3.22 points or 0.16% to 2,052.34, Shanghai Composite increased 14.96 points or 0.47% to 3,169.28 and Hang Seng increased 39.55 points or 0.18% to 22,542.56. On the other hand, Taiwan Weighted decreased 34.71 points or 0.37% to 9,337.51, Jakarta Composite decreased 22.68 points or 0.42% to 5,324.34 and FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI decreased 4.36 points or 0.26% to 1,671.13.

 

Market Timing Signals for Stock Market Investing

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The stock market is a very important and appealing starting point of returns for commonly companies and share holders. The stock market formulates it feasible for a very large number of investors to procure stakes at a party that they tell the difference and swear by. Populace who have been trading in corporation shares have perceived it growing to be a tradition and then in many instances, their standard basis of revenue. It is an exceedingly productive industry also for the share holder just the once he becomes acclimatized to the decrees of the business. He can monitor his well-merited wealth nurturing in manifolds if he is persistent and committed enough. Let us have a look at the market timing signals for stock market investing. However immediately resembling each added action that anybody can imagine, there is an explicit time to be active in the stock market. There is a plain equation that every acquainted patron will swear by. You should know the simple equation for investing in the share market. This is the fair decree- Comprehend it perfectly! Be familiar with the BULLS from the BEARS.

Obtain when the market is LOW

Test out for the sensitive index. If for any raisin d'Arezzo it continues illustrating a descending inclination, it typically indicates that now is the right time to procure shares. As this is the time a tremendous figure of corporation shares would have gone down the drain. Memorize: a prodigious figure of businesses, not each and every one of them! Several companies in all earthly probability will illustrate a differing tendency and could essentially stay put or in all earthly probability will yet demonstrate an aloft movement even at the same time as the bazaar is declining. Those are the exemptions you could act fit to pass up. As for the shares illustrating a ‘typical’ diminishing tendency with the stock market in a cry off, it only means that now is the time to procure some of those shares!

Put on the market when the market is FAR ABOVE TYPICAL

This is the opposite case panorama. Provided you have already previously invested in certain number of shares and you see the index rising as a trend. Classically it only means that in a very large number of probability, your shares would have also grown in value (in all earthly probability will not forever be the case, as a result be vigilant).  If as a result, it is selling time galore!

Word of warning:

Whilst following the mentioned equation, more and more be greatly vigilant and exceedingly tolerant. Such as, if the shares that you had purchased some days ago begin demonstrating an augment in worth, do not vend instantaneously! Hang around really tolerantly and monitor if the shares would realize in worth any more. This show of endurance will forever prove gratifying since you will be waiting for your shares to realize in worth to their utmost probable ‘far above typical’ before you swiftly sell them. In a similar way goes the procuring scenery. On no account procure just as soon as the market sinks. Stay, since it might go downward some (or in all earthly probability will be even a whole lot!) points further before you consider procuring. This patience will certainly pay off. At the moment, suppose a condition where you have purchased shares for a cost which you sensed was pretty competitive. Yet the simple proposition remains that you now detect that share prices have plummeted after your procurement of those shares. Do not be alarmed and trade off your shares. Dread and the consequential rushed vacillations would merely formulate issues shoddier for you. What you ought to fairly accomplish is hang around. There will positively appear a time when the stock prices of the company you bought shares of, will climb again. Therefore simply stay unwearyingly.

Timing the market

Be of the knowledge that it is improbable for anybody to time the stock market. It is a subject of utter opportunity. Several issues – financial, opinionated, Acts of God and societal factors have an imperative role to play in instigating the sudden ups and downs that the stock market goes through. All things measured, having the acquaintance and taking a careful step will definitely bear out gratifying and assist you to discover a perfect sense of timing in the stock market.

Thus, we have learn a lot about market timing signals for stock market investing.

 

WEEKLY NIFTY TRADING VIEW FOR THE WEEK JAN09, 2016–JAN15, 2016

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Events to watch this week

  • US adds 156,000 jobs, wages up most since 2009
  • Yuan volatility causes concern amid tight liquidity
  • Global growth uptick persisted in December
  • 2016 US auto sales set record

The Week ahead:

  • The eurozone releases unemployment figures on Monday, 9 January
  • The minutes of the December meeting of the ECB Governing Council are released on Thursday, 12 January
  • China releases December trade figures on Friday, 13 January
  • US retail sales figures for December are reported on Friday, 13 January

For the week,Global equities extended gains this week amid upbeat economic data and continued hopes for US fiscal stimulus. So far, US markets continue to hold just below record levels, with the 20,000 mark in the Dow Jones Industrial Average yet to be breached as of this writing, though the FTSE 100 set all-time highs this week. Ten-year US Treasury note yields fell to 2.40% from a pre-Christmas level of 2.53%. Oil prices firmed modestly, with West Texas Intermediate crude rising to $53.90 from $53.25 before the holidays. Global Brent rose to $56.90 from $55.80. The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX) was little changed at 11.45.

NIFTY- 8,243.80
CRUDE OIL-Rs 3,678barrel
GOLD-Rs 27,875/10 gram
Rs/$-Rs 67.96

MARKET ROUND UP

Key benchmark indices logged small gains in first week of calendar year 2017. Key indices edged lower in three out of five trading sessions during the week. Gains were triggered as buying of equities by domestic institutional investors outpaced selling by foreign portfolio investors. The S&P BSE Small and Mid-Cap indices outperformed the Sensex during the week.

In the week ended Friday, 6 January 2017, the Sensex rose 132.77 points or 0.5% to settle at 26,759.23. The Nifty 50 index rose 58 points or 0.71% to settle at 8,243.80.

The BSE Mid-Cap index gained 290.38 points or 2.41% to settle at 12,321.72. The BSE Small-Cap index gained 394.20 points or 3.27% to settle at 12,440.33. Both these indices outperformed the Sensex.

Macro Economic Front:

On the Economic Front,manufacturing PMI in India fell to 49.60 in December 2016 from 52.30 in November. A reading above 50 indicates economic expansion, while a reading below 50 points toward contraction. The reading pointed to the first contraction since December 2015, as output, new orders and new export orders fell amid cash shortages in the economy. Data was announced during trading hours on Monday, 2 January 2017.

Major Action &Announcement:

Wipro fell 0.86%. The company announced that its Digital TV Middleware solution has successfully enabled Hisense 4K TVs in Japan. Hisense Co. is a multinational white goods, brown goods and electronics manufacturer. The Wipro solution supports Hisense 4k TV product features ISDB-T/S Broadcast and HD-PVR to enable a premium viewing experience for customers. The announcement was made before market hours on Thursday, 5 January 2017.

According to reports, the new bill would require workers on the H-1B visa pay a minimum of $100,000, up from $60,000 currently. The bill also removes the Master's degree exemption to the cap on the number of visas available, as per reports. The bill comes after companies such as Disney and Southern California Edison have come under fire for outsourcing their IT operations to Indian companies.

Sun Pharmaceutical Industriesrose 1.78%. The company announced successful phase 3 confirmatory clinical trial results for Seciera (cyclosporine A, 0.09% ophthalmic solution), for the treatment of dry eye disease. Seciera is a patented, novel, proprietary nanomicellar formulation of cyclosporine A 0.09%. It is a clear, preservative-free, aqueous solution. Seciera is being developed by Ocular Technologies, a company recently acquired by Sun Pharma. Following this acquisition, Sun Pharma owns exclusive, worldwide rights to Secier and is developing it to commercialize for global markets including US, Europe, and Japan, as well as several emerging markets.

Tata Motors gained 5.61%. The company's British luxury unit Jaguar Land Rover (JLR) reported a 30% jump in retail sales in US in December 2016. JLR on Wednesday, 4 January 2017, announced its US retail sales for the month of December 2016. JLR's US sales rose 30% to 12,573 units in December 2016 over December 2015. Jaguar sales jumped 259% to 4,294 units in December 2016 over December 2015. Land Rover sales declined 2% to 8,279 units in December 2016 over December 2015.

Maruti Suzuki India rose 5.45%. The company said its total sales fell 1% to 1.17 lakh units in December 2016 over December 2015. The company announced the monthly sales volume on Sunday, 1 January 2017.

Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M) rose 3.49%. The company said its total tractor sales rose 9% to 14,047 units in December 2016 over December 2015. The company's total auto sales declined 4% to 36,363 units in December 2016 over December 2015. The company announced the monthly sales volume during market hours on Monday, 2 January 2017.

Global Front:

In Overseas Markets,China's Caixin Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' index (PMI) rose 51.9, compared to 50.9 in November on the back of increased demand. A reading above 50 represents expansion in a sector, whereas a reading below 50 represents contraction. The private manufacturing survey results come after figures at the weekend showed China's official PMI fell to 51.4 in December.

Activity in China's service sector expanded at a faster pace in December, a private gauge showed on Thursday, 5 January 2016, adding to recent signs of firmness in China's economy. The Caixin China services purchasing managers' index rose to 53.4 in December from 53.1 in November, Caixin Media Co. and research firm Markit said. A reading above 50 indicates a month-to-month expansion, while a reading below that points to a contraction.

Global Economic News:

December US payrolls solid but unspectacular
The United States added 156,000 new jobs in December while the unemployment rate edged up to 4.7%. A 2.9% annual rise in average hourly earnings was the most attention-grabbing aspect of Friday’s report. It was the largest yearly gain in wages since 2009. Rising wages, unless offset by gains in worker productivity, could negatively impact corporate earnings down the road. Wage increases may also keep the US Federal Reserve on guard for additional rate hikes in the months ahead. The US reported a wider trade deficit on Friday, with a fall in exports likely to trim economic growth estimates for the fourth quarter. The deficit expanded to $45.2 billion in November, a nine-month high, from $42.4 billion in October.

Global growth rebound continues
Solid purchasing managers’ surveys from December were reported early this week, suggesting that the uptick in global growth seen in recent months continued through year-end. The US reported its 91st consecutive month of manufacturing growth, with the Institute for Supply management index rising to 54.7 from 53.2. The United Kingdom’s manufacturing purchasing managers' index rose to 56.1, the highest in two and a half years, despite the looming specter of Article 50 being invoked later this year.

US auto sales set record
Global auto manufacturers sold a record-setting 17.55 million new cars and light trucks in the US in 2016, according to research firm Autodata. Sixty percent of the sales were classified as light trucks since SUVs fall into that category. In 2015, 17.48 million units were sold, 56% of them light trucks.

Australian trade returns to surplus
For the first time in nearly three years, Australia recorded a trade surplus in November. Rebounding commodity prices helped lift the trade account into the black, and the data suggest that the economy might avoid a technical recession after shrinking by 0.5% in Q3.

Unhappy holidays for many US retailers
Many US retailers struggled this holiday season as sales continued to migrate to the Internet. Two notable cases were Macy’s and Sears, traditional anchor tenants of US shopping malls, which each announced the closure of more than 100 stores. Additionally, Sears announced the sale of its iconic Craftsman tool brand to Stanley Black & Decker for $900 million.

GLOBAL CORPORATE NEWS

 

China forced to defend yuan amid outflows
It was a wild week for China’s yuan. On Thursday, overnight offshore deposit rates were ratcheted up to 80% in an attempt to squeeze out speculative short positions in the currency. That move set off a frantic short-covering rally, but the rally was largely reversed on Friday. In a further attempt to keep funds from leaving China, the government introduced additional capital controls effective 1 January and encouraged state-owned enterprises to sell foreign currencies. China is believed to be trying to stabilize the currency in advance of US president-elect Donald Trump’s inauguration on 20 January.

 

NEW 52-WEEK HIGH BSE (A):

 

COROMANDEL

319.00

EIDPARRY

289.20

IOC

355.00

NEW 52-WEEK LOWS BSE (A):

DIVISLAB

735.50

MAJOR WEEKLY GAINERS IN BSE A CATEGORY:

JPAssociates

10.39

MMTC ltd

62.25

Unitech

4.64

MAJOR WEEKLY LOSERS IN BSE A CATEGORY:

jsw steel

89.21

mphasis ltd

-6.99

lic housing

-6.23


Eyes will be set on the certain US economic data releases are:

Monday (09 Jan)
Consumer Credit
Tuesday(10 Jan)
NFIB Small Business & Wholesale Trade

Wednesday(11 Jan)
MBA Mortgage Applications
Thursday(12 Jan)
Jobless Claims
Friday(13 Jan)
Retail Sales

Fundamental Pick of the week:

BUY Tata Motors Ltd For Target Rs. 600.00

TATAMOTORS is a well know Indian MNC and a flagship company of the Tata Group. After acquiring Jaguar Land Rover, it gained global recognition as well.Technically, it is a sound stock and is on recovery mode after retracing 50% as per Fibonacci levels of the rise 265-598 levels.

We firmly believe; it has potential to outperform its peers as well as broader markets. Hence, we advocate buying this stock in range 480-490 with 440 stop loss for 600 targets.

Recommendation

Buy Tata Motors Ltd  @ 480-490 Stoploss 440 Target 600 CMP 498

Indian Market Outlook:

Nifty ended marginally lower in the passing month, tracking mixed global cues and not so favorable domestic factors. After marginal bounce in the first week, it maintained its negative tone for most part of the month; however, recovery in final week of the calendar year significantly trimmed the losses. Finally, it settled at 8185.80; down by nearly half a percent.

It rebounded after retesting the crucial support mark of 7900, raising hope of sustainable recovery in January month.

TECHNICAL VIEW:

 

S3

S2

S1

NIFTY

R1

R2

R3

8,140

8,175

8,215

8,243.80

8,288

8,335

8,390

Technically, charts are in the favor of rebound but a lot depends upon the upcoming earning season. On the daily chart, the Nifty is trading above the 20- day moving average (DMA) and the 40-DMA, ie 8121 and 8195, respectively. The momentum indicator is positive on the daily chart.

On the hourly chart, the Nifty is trading between the 20-hour moving averages (HMA) and the 40-HMA, ie 8246 and 8208, respectively. The hourly momentum indicator has turned positive. The market breadth was negative, with 639 advances and 962 declines on the National Stock Exchange.

Conclusion:

Nifty has immediate hurdle at 8300 and requires participation from the banking space for further recovery. Meanwhile, stock specific movement, especially in the cash segment, is offering ample trading opportunities and we expect this trend to continue ahead also. So, traders should plan their positions keeping in mind the above factors.

Nifty ends at 8244, Sensex falls 119 pts: IT sheds 3%

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Major headlines

·         NatcoPharma gets USFDA approval for leukemia drug

·         Suzlon bags 105 MW order from Axis Energy Group

·         China nibbles at Samsung share to take 50 percent of India’s smartphone market.

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Index

Close

% Chg

Sensex

26,759.23

-0.44

Nifty

8,243.80

-0.36

Indian Indices: The key Indian equity indices continued their lackluster trade in late afternoon session as a slump in IT shares on worries over H-1B visas. Sentiments remained downbeat on account of selling in Realty, TECK and FMCG counters. Selling pressure increased after European stocks opened lower. Sentiments were also hit after President Pranab Mukherjee cautioned that the government's demonetisation decision could likely lead to a temporary slowdown in the economy and hurt the poor. Sentiments also remained dampened with a private report highlighted that India’s GDP is likely to have grown at a much slower-than-expected pace of 5 percent in the October-December period and may see a 6 percent growth in the following quarter due to a slowdown in manufacturing and services sectors post demonetization. Meanwhile, for the first time since demonetisation of high-value currency notes, President Pranab Mukherjee has cautioned that the government's demonetisation decision could likely lead to a temporary slowdown in the economy and hurt the poor. Addressing to Governors and Lieutenant Governors, President has said that demonetization.

The BSE Sensex is closed at 26,759.23, down by 119.01 points or 0.44% after trading in a range of 26822.52 and 27009.61. There were 20 stocks advancing against 10 stocks declining on the index.The broader indices were trading mixed; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.13%, while Small cap index was down by 0.05%.The CNX Nifty is shut down at 8243.80, down by 30.00 points or 0.36% after trading in a range of 8257.75 and 8306.85. There were 31 stocks advancing against 19 stocks declining on the index, while 1 stock remained unchanged.

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Top Movers (Group A)

 

 

Company

Cmp

% chg

Gainers

 

 

Jswenergy

65.35

6.00

Wockpharma

710.70

5.55

Natcopharma

624.10

4.49

Fortis

192.30

3.83

Losers

 

 

Justdial

375.75

-4.63

Mindtree

500.55

-4.39

HCC

41.60

-3.82

TECHM

469.7\5

-3.80

Market Statistics

 

 

 

BSE

NSE

Advances

1397

648

Declines

1190

811

 

Market Sentiment: The market breadth on BSE was positive in the ratio of 1397: 1190, while 159 scrips remained unchanged.

Crporate Front:

Japan has decided to assist India in the development of three cities namely - Chennai, Ahmedabad and Varanasi as smart cities, as per the government release. The Ministry of Urban Development said in a release that this was on Thursday conveyed by Japan’s Ambassador to India Kenji Hiramatsu during his meeting with Minister of M. Venkaiah Naidu.

Macroeconomic front: Union Finance Minister ArunJaitley has said that the government's initiatives, including demonetisation, to eliminate the shadow economy and tax evasion will positively impact the GDP and fiscal consolidation of the country in the long term. Commenting on the issue, Finance Minister ArunJaitley told the media.

 

On the global front: On the global front, European markets were trading in red as investors keep a close eye on commodity prices and currency movements. Asian markets were trading mixed, Chinese and Japanese shares ended in the red, tracking exchange rate fluctuations ahead of the closely-watched U.S. jobs report due tonight. While China's yuan gave up some gains after a two-day surge, the Japanese yen strengthened further against the dollar on expectations of slow pace of rate hikes in the U.S.

Commodity Updates:

Commodity Prices (MCX):

Commodity

Rs

% Chang

Gold

27905.00

-0.15

Silver

40234.00

-0.53

Crude oil

3675.00

1.07

Natural Gas

219.90

0.59

Alluminium

115.75

0.22

Copper

380.35

-0.03

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Bankex up by 1.07%, Metal up by 0.69%, PSU up by 0.56%, Power up by 0.33% and Oil & Gas up by 0.29%, while IT down by 2.38%, TECK down by 1.91%, FMCG down by 0.73%, Realty down by 0.49%, and Capital Goods down by 0.07% were the top losing indices on BSE.

Top Nifty Movers:The top gainers on Nifty were Yes Bank up by 2.96%, ONGC up by 2.88%, Bank of Baroda up by 1.95%, Kotak Mahindra Bank up by 1.78% and BhartiInfratel up by 1.76%. On the flip side, HCL Tech. down by 3.50%, Tech Mahindra down by 3.17%, Idea Cellular down by 2.74%, TCS down by 2.33% and Infosys down by 2.29% were the top losers.

 

Global Signals:

Asian markets were trading mostly in green; KOSPI Index increased 7.17 points or 0.35% to 2,049.12, FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI increased 11.87 points or 0.72% to 1,671.69, Taiwan Weighted increased 14.08 points or 0.15% to 9,372.22, Jakarta Composite increased 21.02 points or 0.39% to 5,346.53 and Hang Seng increased 46.32 points or 0.21% to 22,503.01. On the flip side, Nikkei 225 decreased 66.36 points or 0.34% to 19,454.33 and Shanghai Composite decreased 11.09 points or 0.35% to 3,154.32.

All European markets were trading in red; Germany’s DAX decreased 19.18 points or 0.17% to 11,565.76, France’s CAC decreased 18.79 points or 0.38% to 4,881.85 and UK’s FTSE 100 decreased 9.61 points or 0.13% to 7,185.70.

 

 

US$ falls in tandem with bonds as Trump rally falters with value buying re emerging in emerging markets

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Major headlines:

·         IATA urges government to defer higher air navigation charges

·         Key equity indices trade higher during early session

·         Australia trade surplus breaks long drought as exports boom

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Indices

Support

Resistanes

Sensex

26454

26725

Nifty

8138

8215

 

Indian Indices:Asian indices ex Japan were all trading in the green as emerging markets are starting the New Year in fine fettle as proxy to weakness to US$ with the Trump rally seeing profit booking. The US$ weakened sharply to near November 8th levels & in tandem we saw bond yields also fall to 2.36% levels last seen around the US election results.

Nifty broke the 200 DMA @ 8271 & will further exhibit strength on the back of stronger Rupee & buying by foreign investors whose selling has halted & net inflows now very much on the cards. For today expect industrials, banks & oil marketing companies to see buying while tech stocks to be under pressure due to Rupee strength. Weekly close today over the 200 DMA will see bears further scramble for cover.


The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 26887.19, up by 8.95 points or 0.03% after trading in a range of 26883.78 and 27009.61. There were 19 stocks advancing against 11 stocks declining on the index.The broader indices were trading mixed; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.24%, while Small cap index was down by 0.05%.The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 8270.30, down by 3.50 points or 0.04% after trading in a range of 8270.30 and 8306.85. There were 31 stocks advancing against 20 stocks declining on the index.

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Group ATopGainers

 

 

Company

Price (Rs)

% chg

JSWenergy

65.85

6.81

Wockpharm

718.55

6.72

Fortis

194.45

4.99

ONGC

205.60

2.98

Group ATopLosers

 

 

TEchm

471.50

-3.44

Aloktext

3.56

-3.26

HCLTECH

818.00

-3.09

HCC

41.95

-3.01

Market Statistics

 

 

 

BSE

NSE

Advances

1131

1168

Declines

1047

307

 

Technical view: Nifty broke above the 200 DMA @ 8271 & needs to sustain today with 8230 acting as support while 8330 will act as resistance. Bank Nifty also closed near the day high & will face resistance @ 18202 which is the 200 DMA while 18000 will act as strong support.


 

Market Sentiment:

The market breadth on BSE was positive in the ratio of 1131:1047, while 143 scrips remained unchanged.

 

Trading ideas: INDUSINDBK (Buy above Rs 1129 for target of Rs 1159, SL at Rs 1115): Stock has witnessed a classic double bottom breakout on the daily charts. The breakout coincides with the stock closing above the crucial 50 and 200-DMA. Volumes in yesterday's trade were stellar, and this makes Indusind Bank a perfect price volume breakout counter. We advise to Buy INDUSINDBK above Rs 1129, Stop loss at Rs 1115 and Target of Rs 1159.

 

MacroeconomicFront: Terming Banks Board Bureau (BBB) has said that consolidation in public sector banks is a long drawn process and it should gather momentum in 2-3 years. Commenting on the issue, Banks Board Bureau Chief VinodRai told the media, "Finance Minister in his Budget speech talked about consolidation of banks. Prime Minister has made references to the idea that there should be 6 or 8 large banks.


Corporate Snippets: Wockhardtsaid German regulator has issued European Union Good Manufacturing Practice certificate to the company’s Ankaleshwar facility in Gujrat.

 

Tata Motors and Castrol inked a three year agreement under which the lubricants maker would supply commercial vehicle oils to the home grown auto major in over 50 markets, including SAARC and ASEAN reqion, west Asia Africa Russia and latin America.

 

As many as 10 international offshore drilling contractors including Transocean Inc have offered best in class deepsea drilling rigs to Oil and Natural Gas Crop for its KG-D5 gas field devlopments.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:  The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Bankex up by 0.74%, PSU up by 0.52%, Oil & Gas up by 0.42%, FMCG up by 0.25% and Power up by 0.21%, while IT down by 2.85%, TECK down by 2.30%, Realty down by 0.51% and Metal down by 0.03% were the losing indices on BSE.

Nifty Movers:The top gainers on Nifty were ONGC up by 2.55%, Yes Bank up by 2.36%, Bank of Baroda up by 1.69%, IndusInd Bank up by 1.66% and GAIL India up by 1.19%. On the flip side, HCL Tech down by 4.37%, Tech Mahindra down by 4.13%, TCS down by 3.21%, Infosys down by 2.57% and Wipro down by 2.06% were the top losers.

 

 

 

On the global front: On the global front, Asian shares were trading mostly in green, as a surge in the dollar and its borrowing costs sparked by Donald Trump’s election eased, with the US 10-year yield slipping to one-month lows. In contrast, Japan’s Nikkei, one of the best performers since Republican Trump won the November 8 election, dropped as the yen gained versus the dollar. China raised the exchange rate for the yuan against the US dollar by 0.92 percent from the previous day, the biggest one-day increase in more than 11 years.

 

Global Signals:The Asian markets were trading mostly in green; Taiwan Weighted increased 4.91 points or 0.05% to 9,363.05, KOSPI Index increased 7.25 points or 0.36% to 2,049.20, FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI increased 8.58 points or 0.52% to 1,668.40, Jakarta Composite increased 13.77 points or 0.26% to 5,339.28 and Hang Seng increased 63.78 points or 0.28% to 22,520.47.On the other hand, Nikkei 225 decreased 77.07 points or 0.39% to 19,443.62 and Shanghai Composite decreased 6.2 points or 0.2% to 3,159.21.

 

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Get SURE SHOT FOREX TRADING SIGNALS FOR DAILY PROFIT


What is FOREX?

FOREX is an acronym for Foreign Exchange. A further shortened form is FX. It is nothing but a relative value of a particular form of currency.

Understanding the FOREX market

A FOREX market is a worldwide market place where the currencies of different countries are traded directly between two parties. Such a kind of trading is also called “off-exchange” or “over-the-counter (OTC)” trading. By off-exchange, we mean that this kind of trading does not utilize the medium of a stock market for its trading. The existence of a FOREX market has made it possible for various companies and entities to engage themselves in international trade. It facilitates the ease of conversion of one currency to another against standard (but regularly changing) rates of exchange of currency. The international FOREX market has now completely switched over from the traditional exchange rate system to something known as the floating exchange rate system. Whereas the traditional exchange rate system depended on many factors of the country like its monetary policy, and the currency values remained fixed more or less, a floating exchange rate system allows currencies of various countries to fluctuate in their values in the foreign exchange market. 

The FOREX market has its distinct features

Trading volumes are large in scope. Billions of dollars are traded between traders and governments on a regular basis. There is a high liquidity, which means that there is a smallest possible amount of scope for loss of value. Not to be faulted and unremitting trading: 24 hours a day, but no more than on weekdays. This is quite unlike other markets like the stock market where 24 hour business transactions are not achievable. Margin of profit (along with loss) is tapered. Lower the risks lower the gain! Debt Capital or Leverage is used as a supplement for equity capital. It allows a particular country to buy goods or services and pay in foreign currency. It has very low transaction processing costs. Unlike a stock market which operates through an exchange and involves high transaction processing costs (broker-to-broker costs, dealer costs, counter costs etc.), the Foreign Exchange market has these costs significantly reduced or eliminated.

Transaction processing time

Transaction processing time is also significantly less compared to stock markets. There is a facility called Interest Rate Rollover. By using this facility, the FOREX trader can earn overnight interests on the currencies held by him. But he is also liable to pay interest on the currencies that he has borrowed. But of course there will be, more often than not, a difference between these two interest rates. He can work out the difference between these two interest rates to his advantage. A few central banks are actively involved in the foreign exchange business.  This process is known as intervention. Central banks try to influence FOREX rates by actively buying and/or selling currencies in the market.

Timing: The all-important factor in the FOREX Market!

Consider the fact that the FOREX market is open 24 hours a day. This literally means that there is no time to sleep! What Given the condition arises that the currency values suddenly drop while you were sleeping? Here comes the need to rethink your strategy. Look out and explore better times to trade. There certainly are better hours to trade in the foreign exchange market. They are called “FOREX Hours”. Though FOREX hours will vary for different types of traders, yet the best FOREX hours are certainly those that overlap market timings for two or more foreign markets. But then again, market size plays a significant role here. We will study that now.

Market Size: Another important factor!

A particular market may prove to be more rewarding to get involved in that a combination of two or more markets. Given the condition arises that you come across such a market, it will be natural for you to dedicate the majority of your time to this market. The “overlapping market timings factor” will more or less get eliminated in this case. We can safely assert that penny stock investing is by no means an accurate discipline. You are obliged to perform your survey by construing the information sheet that the business makes obtainable to you. What’s more, you for the simple reason that a shareholder are required to be exceptionally perceptive in the sublime matters of studying press reports on the business.

These are the ways of risk free forex trading strategy.

 

 

Nifty, Sensex rally; IT stocks drag market

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Major headlines

·         Government not to revise coal production target

·         Synergise efforts to boost exports: Nirmala to states

·         After banknote ban, India sees 7 percent growth in first half of 2017.

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Index

Close

% Chg

Sensex

26,878.24

0.92

Nifty

8,273.80

1.02

Indian Indices: Indian benchmark indices continued to trade in green in late afternoon session as positive global cues, appreciation in the rupee and firm crude oil prices lifted investors' sentiments. The key indices traded with gains of around a per cent each, as healthy buying was witnessed in Metal, Oil & Gas and Auto stocks. Traders took some encouragement with Finance Minister ArunJaitley’s statement that government will exceed its budget estimate of Rs 16.3 lakh crore for both direct and indirect tax collections this year. In the Budget for 2016-17 fiscal, Jaitley had put gross tax revenue estimate at Rs 16.3 lakh crore, about 11 percent higher than gross tax receipts of Rs 14.5 lakh crore for the previous fiscal. The RBI report said that the listed non-government non-financial (NGNF) companies’ aggregate sales growth (Year-on-Year) increased by 1.9 per cent in Quarter two of 2016-17, after near stagnation seen in the first quarter of the current financial year. However, raw material expenses increased in the current quarter in line with the general pause in falling global commodity prices. This resulted in a deceleration of operating profit growth at the aggregate level.

The BSE Sensex is shut up today at 26878.24, up by 245.11 points or 0.92% after trading in a range of 26738.42 and 26896.82. There were 26 stocks advancing against 4 stocks declining on the index.The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 1.14%, while Small cap index was up by 0.95%.

The CNX Nifty is currently closed at 8273.80, up by 83.30 points or 1.02% after trading in a range of 8223.70 and 8273.60. There were 44 stocks advancing against 7 stocks declining on the index.

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Top Movers (Group A)

 

 

Company

Cmp

% chg

Gainers

 

 

Justdial

393.40

14.63

JPassociat

10.56

8.09

JSWSteel

175.50

7.67

Unitech

4.79

7.64

Losers

 

 

Cholafin

926.00

-3.72

TECHm

488.00

-2.34

Fortis

185.20

-2.22

Shriramcit

1815.00

-2.86

Market Statistics

 

 

 

BSE

NSE

Advances

1397

648

Declines

1190

811

 

Market Sentiment:

The market breadth on BSE was positive in the ratio of 1397: 1190, while 159 scrips remained unchanged.

Crporate Front:

Commerce and Industry Minister NirmalaSitharaman underlined the need for synergising efforts between Centre and states to boost the country's exports on sustainable basis, reported PTI.

Macroeconomic front:

The Road Ministry has said that it has requested the Finance Ministry to allocate Rs 90,904 crore to help complete ongoing highway projects in time and compensate for the toll revenue losses following demonetisation.

 

On the global front:

On the global front, European markets were trading in red after minutes from the last U.S. Federal meeting showed a willingness to increase rates at a faster pace. Asian markets were mixed, with stocks in Hong Kong gaining, while Japanese shares pulled back. Back home, in scrip specific development Som Distilleries was trading jubilantly on plan to start brewery production in Karnataka by June-July and Steel Authority of India (SAIL) jumped higher after the company reported a 16% sales growth during the April-December 2016 period over the corresponding period last year.

Commodity Updates:

Commodity Prices (MCX):

Commodity

Rs

% Chang

Gold

27829.00

0.53

Silver

40443.00

0.44

Crude oil

3618.00

-0.08

Natural Gas

223.10

0.9

Alluminium

115.25

0.26

Copper

385.30

0.33

 

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Metal up by 3.18%, Oil & Gas up by 1.70%, Auto up by 1.64%, PSU up by 1.51% and Bankex up by 1.50%, while IT down by 0.32% and TECK down by 0.14% were the few losing indices on BSE.

Top Nifty Movers:The top gainers on Nifty were Yes Bank up by 4.69%, Adani Ports &Special up by 4.18%, Tata Steel up by 3.92%, Tata Motors - DVR up by 3.27% and Bosch up by 3.22%. On the flip side, TCS down by 1.32%, BhartiInfratel down by 1.28%, HCL Tech. down by 0.87%, Tech Mahindra down by 0.86% and Infosys down by 0.30% were the top losers.

 

Global Signals:

Asian markets were trading mostly in green; Shanghai Composite increased 6.62 points or 0.21% to 3,165.41, FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI increased 11.38 points or 0.69% to 1,658.85, Jakarta Composite increased 16.71 points or 0.32% to 5,317.89, Taiwan Weighted increased 71.18 points or 0.77% to 9,358.14 and Hang Seng increased 322.22 points or 1.46% to 22,456.69. On the flip side, Nikkei 225 decreased 73.47 points or 0.37% to 19,520.69 and KOSPI Index decreased 3.69 points or 0.18% to 2,041.95.

All European markets were trading in red; Germany’s DAX decreased 31.9 points or 0.28% to 11,552.41, France’s CAC decreased 23.57 points or 0.48% to 4,875.83 and UK’s FTSE 100 decreased 0.31 points or 0% to 7,189.43.

 

 

Dow Jones nears 20000 as US$ & bond yields fall, global markets see renewed strength in equities.

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Major headlines:

·         Gold hits four week high as dollar weakens.

·         Key Indian equity market indices open higher

·         GST deadlock continues over high sea taxes FM hopes resolution.

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Indices

Support

Resistanes

Sensex

26454

26725

Nifty

8138

8215

 

Indian Indices: Asian indices traded in the green even as the Japanese 'Nikkei" traded flat after yesterday's massive almost 500 point rally. Renewed bout of global growth optimism saw equities regain momentum as investors bought stocks. Emerging markets also are seeing value buying emerge as investors allocate funds to EM ETF"s.

Nifty consolidated around 8200 with banks stocks being under pressure after the recent round of rate cuts. Materials, infra & IT stocks lead from the front with huge buying seen in mid cap leveraged stocks which should be prime beneficiary of lower rates. Nifty may consolidate around 8200 with an attempt to cross the 200 DMA placed @ 8270 with the real action being in the broader market.


The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 26820.56, up by 187.43 points or 0.70% after trading in a range of 26738.42 and 26823.25. There were 28 stocks advancing against 2 stocks declining on the index. The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.84%, while Small cap index was up by 0.85%.The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 8252.55, up by 62.05 points or 0.76% after trading in a range of 8223.70 and 8253.05. There were 47 stocks advancing against 4 stocks declining on the index.

 

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Group ATopGainers

 

 

Company

Price (Rs)

% chg

Gati

123.65

6.37

IOC

345.65

5.69

TITAN

350.95

5.37

Sintex

78.90

5.06

Group ATopLosers

 

 

Hindcopper

62.45

2.27

Cholafin

930.55

-1.91

GRUH

323.40

-1.61

INFy

986.10

-1.55

Market Statistics

 

 

 

BSE

NSE

Advances

1685

1168

Declines

522

307

 

Technical view: Nifty will find support around 8150 while 8270 which is the 200 DMA will act as resistance on the upside. Bank Nifty also finds support closer to 17750 & needs to cross 18092 on closing basis decisively for any further upside.

 

Market Sentiment:

The market breadth on BSE was positive in the ratio of 1685:522, while 98 scrips remained unchanged.

 

Trading ideas :HCLTECH (Buy above Rs 858 for target of Rs 888, SL at Rs 843): Stock has given a breakout from a downward sloping trendline resistance in yesterday's trade on the daily charts. On analyzing the hourly charts too, stock successfully broke out of a bullish cup and handle pattern. HCL tech becomes an ideal price-volume breakout counter, and looks good for further upside. We advise to Buy HCLTECH above Rs 858, stop loss at Rs 843 and Target of Rs 888.

 

MacroeconomicFront: The Indian Government has said that it has asked state governments to ensure that no additional charges are levied on e-payments to urban local bodies and also consider rolling out incentives like cash back on utility bills paid through digital means. Commenting on the issue, Union minister M Venkaiah Naidu told the media, "I request you to motivate all Urban Local Bodies (ULBs) in your state to switch over to electronic transactions for their payments as well as receipts.


Corporate Snippets:

 

Godrej Properties LTD GPL has sold more than 300 apartments with in two months of launch at its project Godrej greens in Pune. This represents more than 75% of the 400 apartments that were opened for sale.

 

Jubilant Life Sciences subsidiary has signed long term contracts in the US for the supply of some of its diagnostic and therapeutic products.

 

BGR Energy Systems has recently won two contracts worth Rs6.50 bn for setting up water treatment plants.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:   The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Oil & Gas up by 1.57%, Metal up by 1.52%, PSU up by 1.21%, Auto up by 1.12% and Bankex up by 0.82%. The top gainers on the Sensex were Tata Motors up by 2.77%, Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone up by 2.39%, ONGC up by 2.08%, Wipro up by 1.84% and Sun Pharma up by 1.53%.

Nifty Movers:The top gainers on Nifty were Tata Motors up by 2.72%, Yes Bank up by 2.33%, Tata Motors - DVR up by 2.16%, Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone up by 2.15% and Bosch up by 1.93%. On the flip side, BhartiInfratel down by 2.20%, Mahindra & Mahindra down by 0.79%, Ambuja Cement down by 0.38% and HDFC down by 0.19% were the top losers.

 

 

On the global front: On the global front, Asian shares were trading mostly in green, with mainland China and Hong Kong gaining on a solid services PMI reading, while Japan edged down as the dollar weakened overnight and into Asia from 14-year highs against a basket of currencies as investors began to cast doubt the Fed would raise rates three times this year. The Caixin services PMI for China rose to 53.4, a tick above 53.3 expected and that followed solid manufacturing figures from China as well as Japan regionally this week

 

Global Signals: The Asian markets were trading mostly in green; Shanghai Composite increased 2.37 points or 0.08% to 3,161.17, FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI increased 6.59 points or 0.4% to 1,654.06, Jakarta Composite increased 19.79 points or 0.37% to 5,320.98, Taiwan Weighted increased 62.18 points or 0.67% to 9,349.14 and Hang Seng increased 277.94 points or 1.26% to 22,412.41. On the other hand, Nikkei 225 decreased 91.57 points or 0.47% to 19,502.59 and KOSPI Index decreased 1.58 points or 0.08% to 2,044.06.

 

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Follow the golden rules before making money through share market

Earning from the share market is easy when a trader depends on the suggestions offered by the expert in the field. Getting the tips is a must as the share marketing is a risky game and due to this investor irrespective of the experienced need to be extra cautious while investing. Understand the types of the trades, skills used, steps taken to win the market and utilizing each and every opportunity makes one   the best and  successful trader. Also, investing by considering the size of the share supports the investor to get handsome returns and with some worthy investment people can easily make money through the share market. Consider the timing and other recommendations as this support the investor in an exceptional manner and one can gain innumerable benefits.

Following the golden rules enhances the profits in the stock market as each and every investor planning to make money form share market trading need to follow the rules.

Understand

It is a must to invest in the share market by understanding the business as the stock market is one of the most volatile markets. The fluctuations are common and due to which one need to understanding the situation thoroughly before planning to invest. Investing in the market or in a company without complete idea leads to unnecessary complications and in worse cases people lose money.

Need of discipline

One needs to stay patient while investing in the market and disciplined investors who stick to a systematic strategy earn handsome returns. It is not always the luck, but the strategy works a lot in earning handsome profits and the success in stock markets always depends on the condition of the market. One who understands the situation can get better returns for every investment.   

Follow traditional methods

 Following the traditional methods is extremely crucial and the chance of increasing the profits is much with the people who follow the strategic solutions. The suggestions offered by the analyst are taken from the previous state of the market but never be a follower. Copying the act of other trader or investor may sink you in to great loss. The strategies are specially designed as per the requirement of the investor by professionals as the needs are always different.

Stick to your requirement

 Don’t waste your time thinking regarding the other procedures or tips as every plan is created as per the need of the investor. Getting hold of the most volatile share market is never easy, but the one who follow the instructions of the expert may be safe from sinking in huge debts. One with long term goals get different tips whereas the investor looking for immediate profits needs suggestions as per the   in the situation gets different tips.

Proper source

 The major concern while you try to seek the professional support is to choose the one who is experienced in the field. Not just the experience and excellence, but one must choose the experts who carry out a proper research and then suggest the investors as per their requirement. Seeking the support of such professional secures the investment and make sure that you get regular updates.

Never over look or predict

 Both predicting and overlooking causes unnecessary loss in investments. No one can predict future and due to this investing in the companies which are not very much stable in the market may land you in troubles. At the same time one should never invest all the money in the same place as this causes a great loss. Making money from share market is easy for the one who invests at different places and move smartly as this is the only way to create wealth through share market.

In order to earn money through the share market it is a must to be realistic and with normal expectations. People who plan for much always lose the investments and suffer with several debts and even sink in depression. Lose of money is losing all the hope and in the present scenario getting a better condition is not very easy.

Due to this one need to be extra cautious while making money and in order to make funds it is a must to follow the above rules and be extremely practical in your approach. Also following the guidance of the experts is extremely useful in investing and always monitors the changes very carefully.

Escorts Ltd Agri Machinery Segment (EAM) in December 2016 sold 3,187 tractors growth of 15.8 percent against 2,751 tractors in December 2015

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 Domestic tractor sales for the month of December 2016 up by 11.6 percent at 3,043 tractors against 2,727 tractors in December 2015. Export for the month of December 2016 up by 500 percent at 144 tractors against 24 tractors in December 2015.

 

Month and YTD Sales figure are as follows:

 

Particulars

December

YTD

FY17

FY16

% Change

FY17

FY16

% Change

Domestic

   3,043

   2,727

11.6%

   48,074

   39,092

23.0%

Export

      144

         24

500.0%

         734

         540

35.9%

Total

   3,187

   2,751

15.8%

   48,808

   39,632

23.2%

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