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President Trump speech ignites equities even as US$ sees selling with Oil rising sharply

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Major headlines:

·         Government hopeful of achieving disinvestment target

·         Demonestisation to have positive impact next fiscal

·         Key Indian equity indices open higher

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Indices

Support

Resistanes

Sensex

8338

8430

Nifty

27020

27295

 

Asian markets traded in the green ex Japan where the 'Nikkei' index was down almost 1% after the yen rallied against the US$. OIl prices saw a sharp pullback with the greenback seeing selling while bond yields also traded flat. President Trump sounded cautious on Pharma& biotech & vowed to bring back jobs to the US which should be ominous warning to global Pharma& IT outsourcing. 


Nifty crossed the 200 DMA in style with 8400 being within reach today. Banks lead the from the front with the Bank Nifty gaining almost 2.25%.Metals were the other big outperformer with the Metal index up over 4%.For today expect consolidation around 8400 on the Nifty while mid caps should see more action & participation.


The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 27239.03, up by 98.62 points or 0.36% after trading in a range of 27166.69 and 27278.93. There were 16 stocks advancing against 14 stocks declining on the index. The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.01%, while Small cap index was up by 0.02%. The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 8404.15, up by 23.50 points or 0.28% after trading in a range of 8382.30 and 8417.20. There were 24 stocks advancing against 27 stocks declining on the index.

 

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Group ATopGainers

 

 

Company

Price (Rs)

% chg

Power grid

198.50

4.61

MMTC

72.50

4.54

Godrejprop

336.00

3.72

Cyient

510.00

3.64

Group ATopLosers

 

 

OIL

346.30

-4.32

Jubilant

684.00

-3.14

IDEA

72.75

-2.48

SRTRANSFI

942.00

-2.56

Market Statistics

 

 

 

BSE

NSE

Advances

1052

1168

Declines

1152

307

 

Technical view: Nifty will now find support around 8289 which is the 200DMA while resistance now comes @ 8446 which is the 100 DMA. Bank Nifty now finds support @ 18258 which isn the 200 DMA while the 100 DMA @ 19068 will act as resistance.


Market Sentiment:

The market breadth on BSE was negative in the ratio of 1052:1152, while 116 scrips remained unchanged.

 

Trading ideas IBREALEST (Buy above Rs 82.5 for target of Rs 86.5, SL at Rs 80.5): Stock has given a flag breakout on daily charts, after consolidating for the past 4 trading sessions between Rs 78.5 and Rs 81.5. The momentum seen in yesterday's trade along with stock sustaining above its 200-DMA would augur well in near term. On daily chart, stock looks a perfect price volume breakout candidate. We advise to Buy IBREALEST above Rs 82.5, stop loss at Rs 80.5 and Target of Rs 86.5.

 

MacroeconomicFront: According to sources, the first-ever policy to set the tone for water management in the Indian Railways is likely to be finalised by the end of this month. Commenting on the issue, Additional Member, Mechanical, K Swaminathan told the media, "We are rolling out a water policy by the end of this month which will set the tone for water management in the Indian Railways."


Corporate Snippets:

Lupin has received final approval from the US health regulator to market its Desoximetasone cream, used for treatment of skin disease, in the American market.

 

MRF Ltd said it will invest around Rs 45 bn in a phased manner over a period of ten years to set up a manufacturing unit in Gujarat.

 

Royal Orchid Hotels has acquired Amartara Hospitality by buying additional 24.9% stake in it.

 

NTPC’s board has approved an investment of Rs 10.53 bnDulanga coal mining project with rated production of 7 mtpa.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:  The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Power up by 2.09%, IT up by 1.20%, Capital Goods up by 0.98%, PSU up by 0.98% and TECK up by 0.94%, while Metal down by 0.83%, FMCG down by 0.33%, Realty down by 0.18% and Consumer Durables down by 0.06% were the losing indices on BSE.

Nifty Movers:The top gainers on Nifty were Power Grid up by 4.74%, NTPC up by 2.71%, Infosys up by 2.23%, Tata Power up by 2.21% and Tech Mahindra up by 1.96%.  On the flip side, Idea Cellular down by 2.08%, Coal India down by 1.56%, AurobindoPharma down by 1.50%, IndusInd Bank down by 1.44% and BHEL down by 1.20% were the top losers.

 

 

 

On the global front:On the global front, Asian shares were trading mostly in green, with investors eyeing the first full press conference by President-elect Donald Trump since the November election. Trump has vowed to label China a currency manipulator on his first day in office and has threatened to slap huge tariffs on imports from China. Hong Kong shares extended their recent rally into a fifth successive day as investors brushed off another loss on Wall Street.

 

Global Signals:The Asian markets were trading mostly in green; FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI increased 3.52 points or 0.21% to 1,678.73, KOSPI Index increased 3.64 points or 0.18% to 2,078.81, Shanghai Composite increased 3.77 points or 0.12% to 3,140.52, Jakarta Composite increased 11.71 points or 0.22% to 5,312.95 and Taiwan Weighted increased 69.03 points or 0.74% to 9,414.77.On the other hand, Nikkei 225 decreased 188.43 points or 0.97% to 19,176.24 and Hang Seng decreased 90.05 points or 0.39% to 22,845.30.

 

Nifty ends at 8289, Sensex jumps 173 pts: auto rally

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Major headlines

·         India’s December domestic passenger vehicle sales down 1.36%

·         India’s fuel demand rose 4.3 percent Y/Y in December

·         Reforms, Policy effectiveness to decide India rating

 

Indian Indices: Indian equity indices maintained the upbeat mood in late afternoon session and extended their gains on the back of healthy buying in Metal, Oil & Gas and Consumer Durables stocks. Sentiments got support with Moody’s report which maintained positive outlook on India and said beyond the short-term negative impact on growth, demonetisation has the potential to raise government revenues and provide some fiscal space to support growth if required. Positive opening in European market too aided the sentiments. European markets were trading in green despite concerns over the Italian banking system and the implementation of an OPEC deal. Back home, buying in Tata Motors and Tata Steel too supported the markets uptrend. Tata Motors was trading higher after the company’s arm reported 12% rise in December retail sales. Tata steel was trading in green after company reported 27% jump in Q3FY17 sales to 2.9 MT.

The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 26885.20, up by 158.65 points or 0.59% after trading in a range of 26804.17 and 26914.95. There were 24 stocks advancing against 6 stocks declining on the index.The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.35%, while Small cap index was up by 0.59%.

The CNX Nifty is currently closed at 8236.05, up by -7.75 points or 0.09% after trading in a range of 8227.75 and 8263.00. There were 27 stocks advancing against 24 stocks declining on the index.

 

 

Market Sentiment:

The market breadth on BSE was positive in the ratio of 1397: 1190, while 159 scrips remained unchanged.

Crporate Front:

Government’s capacity to implement reforms and policy effectiveness will decide India’s rating going forward, Moody’s Investors Service said. The US-based agency said that ongoing implementation of reforms is likely to boost India’s medium-term growth.

Macroeconomic front:

Ministries of environment and textiles will soon meet to find long-term as well as short-term solutions to the challenges being faced by domestic handicrafts exporters, said the media report.  A meeting to resolve the issues of Indian handicrafts exporters will soon be convened, Textiles Minister SmritiIrani has said.

 

On the global front:

On the global front, European markets were trading mostly in red, as investors remained on sidelines ahead of fresh data from the euro zone and volatility in oil markets. Asian markets were trading mostly in red. Back home, value buying in Realty, Auto and FMCG stocks also supported the markets.


 

Commodity Updates:

Commodity Prices (MCX):

Commodity

Rs

% Chang

Gold

28062.00

0.04

Silver

40630.00

-0.14

Crude oil

3567.00

-0.2

Natural Gas

215.50

1.32

Alluminium

118.45

0.85

Copper

387.25

1.12

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Metal up by 0.96%, Oil & Gas up by 0.94%, Consumer Durables up by 0.88%, Auto up by 0.78% and FMCG up by 0.69% , while Realty down by 0.42% was the sole losing index on BSE.

Top Nifty Movers:The top gainers on Nifty were Hindalco up by 3.77%, Adani Ports &Special up by 3.00%, Tata Motors up by 2.58%, Asian Paints up by 1.82% and Tata Motors - DVR up by 1.68%. On the flip side, Axis Bank down by 1.12%, Grasim Industries down by 1.06%, Ambuja Cement down by 0.66%, HDFC down by 0.65% and Indusind Bank down by 0.63% were the top losers.

 

Global Signals:

Asian markets were trading mostly in red; Nikkei 225 decreased 152.89 points or 0.79% to 19,301.44, Jakarta Composite decreased 12.35 points or 0.23% to 5,304.02, Shanghai Composite decreased 9.56 points or 0.3% to 3,161.67, KOSPI Index decreased 3.66 points or 0.18% to 2,045.12 and FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI decreased 0.46 points or 0.03% to 1,667.44. On the flip side, Taiwan Weighted increased 7.22 points or 0.08% to 9,349.64 and Hang Seng increased 186.16 points or 0.83% to 22,744.85.

All European markets were trading in green; France’s CAC increased 8.73 points or 0.18% to 4,896.30, UK’s FTSE 100 increased 13.63 points or 0.19% to 7,251.40 and Germany’s DAX increased 26.98 points or 0.23% to 11,590.97.

 

 

Markets react to Brexit concerns as US$ regains strength with bond yields falling while gold rises & oil falls

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Major headlines:

·         DoT to meet telcos to discuss call drops:

·         Value buying lifts bourses

·         Full and fitting reply will be given, say sources close to Mistry

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Indices

Support

Resistanes

Sensex

26454

26725

Nifty

8138

8215

 

Indian Indices:

Asian indices opened flat with further consolidation as US stocks lost ground on fresh brexit worries over UK's trading role with Europe. This saw safe haven buying in US$, gold & bonds while oil prices dropped sharply. With 20000 being the near term target on the Dow Jones profit booking around these pivot levels could see some more consolidation before the Trump swearing in later this month.

Nifty had a very quiet session with only a 40 point intraday move on low volumes. IT stocks rebounded on value buying while Pharma stocks continued to under perform the market with fresh selling seeing stocks lose ground. For today expect energy, financials & industrials to attract buying while Metals & FMCG could see profit booking.


The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 26854.11, up by 127.56 points or 0.48% after trading in a range of 26804.17 and 26902.05. There were 22 stocks advancing against 8 stocks declining on the index.The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.48%, while Small cap index was up by 0.62%.The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 8271.95, up by 35.90 points or 0.44% after trading in a range of 8261.00 and 8288.10. There were 34 stocks advancing against 17 stocks declining on the index.

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Group ATopGainers

 

 

Company

Price (Rs)

% chg

Punjlloyd

21.30

5.97

MRPL

113.40

5.15

Renuka

16.04

5.04

BEL

1522.45

4.69

Group ATopLosers

 

 

MMTC

68.50

-2.70

Petronet

363.75

-2.64

Justdial

381.05

-1.77

Unitech

4.54

-1.73

Market Statistics

 

 

 

BSE

NSE

Advances

1131

1168

Declines

1047

307

 

Technical view: Nifty is seeing strong resistance around 8280 while 8180 acts as support, break either side will see further direction. Bank Nifty needs to cross 18300 for further upmove while 18230 which is the 200 DMA will act as strong support.


Market Sentiment:

The market breadth on BSE was positive in the ratio of 1354:828, while 98 scrips remained unchanged.

 

Trading ideas :PHILIPCARB (Buy above Rs 243 for Target of Rs 253, SL at Rs 238): Stock has witnessed a breakout from a base building pattern closing above the crucial resistance zone of Rs 236 and Rs 238. This coincided with a close above the important 50 and 100-DMA. It’s an ideal price volume breakout, with volumes higher than the past 12 trading sessions. We advise to Buy PHILIPCARB above Rs 243, stop loss at Rs 238 and Target of Rs 253.

 

MacroeconomicFront: Global brokerage Citigroup has said that it has lowered India's growth forecast to 6.8 per cent for this fiscal from 7.2 per cent earlier, as cash crunch has affected pick-up in consumption while uncertainty around demonetisation may further delay any recovery in private investments.


Corporate Snippets:Jaiprakash Power Ventures has sought its shareholders not through postal and electronic ballot, to convert part of its outstanding debt of Rs 30.58 bn into 3.06 bn equity shares.

 

Divis Lab has filed a detailed response with in the permitted time to the observations made by the US health regulator after inspection of the drug firm’s manufacturing plant at Visakhapatnam in Andhra Pradesh.

 

Oil and Natural Gas Corporation is close to finalizing ways to complete its USD 800 mn projects stuck midway after the contractor, Singapore’s Swiber Holding Ltd, collapsed last year following an oil slump.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:  The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Oil & Gas up by 1.56%, Metal up by 1.19%, PSU up by 0.90%, Auto up by 0.80% and Consumer Durables up by 0.55%, while there were no losers.

Nifty Movers:The top gainers on Nifty were Hindalco up by 4.05%, BPCL up by 3.01%, Tata Motors up by 2.47%, Tata Motors - DVR up by 1.98% and GAIL India up by 1.77%.  On the flip side, Axis Bank down by 0.86%, Ambuja Cement down by 0.76%, ACC down by 0.70%, IndusInd Bank down by 0.63% and Tech Mahindra down by 0.63% were the top losers.

 

 

 

On the global frontOn the global front, Asian shares were trading mostly in red, as investor sentiment soured after the Dow retreated further from the 20,000 mark and oil prices plunged as much as 4 percent overnight. Investors are awaiting remarks from key US policymakers this week, including Fed Chair Janet Yellen and President-elect Donald Trump.

Global Signals:The Asian markets were trading mostly in red; Nikkei 225 decreased 132.97 points or 0.68% to 19,321.36, Jakarta Composite decreased 13.59 points or 0.26% to 5,302.78, KOSPI Index decreased 6.08 points or 0.3% to 2,042.70, Shanghai Composite decreased 0.64 points or 0.02% to 3,170.60 and Taiwan Weighted decreased 0.41 points or 0% to 9,342.01.On the other hand, FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI increased 2.44 points or 0.15% to 1,670.34 and Hang Seng increased 138.33 points or 0.61% to 22,697.02.

 

Sensex lower, Nifty ends at 8236; ONGC top losers

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Major headlines

·         India counts on Japan for ecofriendly cars logistics:

·         RBI imposes Rs 3 cr penalty on Lakshmi Vilas Bank

·         Cisco unveils initiatives to digitally empower girls in Rajasthan

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Index

Close

% Chg

Sensex

26,26.55

-0.12

Nifty

8,236.05

-0.09

Indian Indices: Indian equity benchmarks continued to trade choppy in late afternoon session, as the quarterly reporting season kicked in, with investors concerned that the government's move to ban high-value notes would hit corporate earnings. Sentiments remained dampened with domestic rating agency, ICRA’s report that the advance estimate of 7.1 per cent GDP released by Central Statistical Organisation (CSO), will have major errors as it does not include the data for the months after demonetization. The agency pegged the expected growth for 2016-17 lower at 6.8 per cent. However, some support came with the Finance Minister ArunJaitley’s statement that the currency squeeze in November and December failed to hit revenue mop up, with direct and indirect tax collection from April to December showing a double-digit increase. For the period April - December 2016, Direct Tax and Indirect tax collection have shown a growth of 12.01% and 25% respectively over the corresponding period last year.

The BSE Sensex is currently shut down at 26726.55, down by -32.68 points or 0.12% after trading in a range of 26701.18 and 26860.88. There were 15 stocks advancing against 15 stocks declining on the index.The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.29%, while Small cap index was up by 0.50%.

The CNX Nifty is currently closed at 8236.05, up by -7.75 points or 0.09% after trading in a range of 8227.75 and 8263.00. There were 27 stocks advancing against 24 stocks declining on the index.

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Top Movers (Group A)

 

 

Company

Cmp

% chg

Gainers

 

 

BEML

1157.75

16.55

MMTC

70.40

13.09

BIOCON

1013.00

5.74

STAR

1159.80

5.61

Losers

 

 

Cadila

361.20

-4.77

DRREDDY

3066.00

-3.00

ONGC

198.05

-2.17

Amarraja

903.30

-2.67

Market Statistics

 

 

 

BSE

NSE

Advances

1397

648

Declines

1190

811

 

Market Sentiment:

The market breadth on BSE was positive in the ratio of 1397: 1190, while 159 scrips remained unchanged.

Crporate Front:

Regrob, a real estate brokerage company in India, has started a new-initiative where they have turned their employees into leaders by making them CEO for a day. The idea behind the initiative is to create new business leaders from the existing team and motivating them to reach new heights. Regrob aims to tap into the strategic and entrepreneurial ideas of its team members.

Macroeconomic front:

Moody's Investors Service and its Indian affiliate, ICRA, have forecasted that they see subdued prospects for India's banks, with both identifying asset deterioration as a key challenge over the medium term. "Asset quality will remain a negative driver of the credit profiles of most rated Indian banks and the stock of impaired loans.

 

On the global front:

On the global front, European markets were trading mostly in red, as investors remained on sidelines ahead of fresh data from the euro zone and volatility in oil markets. Asian markets were trading mostly in red. Back home, value buying in Realty, Auto and FMCG stocks also supported the markets.


Commodity Updates:

Commodity Prices (MCX):

Commodity

Rs

% Chang

Gold

27905.00

0.06

Silver

40352.00

0.02

Crude oil

3625.00

-1.55

Natural Gas

221.10

-1.43

Alluminium

116.65

0.0

Copper

383.15

-0.1

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Realty up by 0.97%, Auto up by 0.40%, FMCG up by 0.37%, Bankex up by 0.33% and IT up by 0.26%, while Power down by 0.74%, Oil & Gas down by 0.60%, PSU down by 0.29%, Consumer Durables down by 0.20% and Metal down by 0.06% were the top losing indices on BSE.

Top Nifty Movers:The top gainers on Nifty were Tech Mahindra up by 1.28%, Eicher Motors up by 1.24%, Bajaj Auto up by 1.19%, HCL Tech. up by 1.18% and Indusind Bank up by 1.16%. On the flip side, Dr. Reddys Lab down by 3.02%, Coal India down by 1.86%, Asian Paints down by 1.76%, ONGC down by 1.73% and BPCL down by 1.50% were the top losers.

 

Global Signals:

Asian markets were trading mostly in red; Jakarta Composite decreased 32.53 points or 0.61% to 5,314.50, Taiwan Weighted decreased 29.8 points or 0.32% to 9,342.42, FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI decreased 5.43 points or 0.32% to 1,670.06 and KOSPI Index decreased 0.34 points or 0.02% to 2,048.78. On the flip side, Shanghai Composite increased 16.92 points or 0.54% to 3,171.24 and Hang Seng increased 55.68 points or 0.25% to 22,558.69.

European markets were trading mostly in red; Germany’s DAX decreased 24.15 points or 0.21% to 11,574.86 and France’s CAC decreased 11.69 points or 0.24% to 4,898.15. On the flip side, UK’s FTSE 100 increased 17.86 points or 0.25% to 7,227.91.

 

 

Global indices in consolidation as Chinese Yuan sees huge volatility with US$ seeing profit booking on every rally

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Major headlines:

·         Asset deterioration a challenge for Indian banks.

·         Money has lost secrecy post demonetization

·         Key Indian equity indices open in green

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Indices

Support

Resistanes

Sensex

26454

26725

Nifty

8138

8215

 

Indian IndicesAsian markets opened flat to positive as US$ volatility versus Chinese yuan saw currency moves dominate recent market behaviour. The US$ is witnessing profit booking at every rally while the Chinese yuan had a very strong rally from oversold levels. The Dow Jones also hit 19999.63 as positive jobs report saw the US$ strengthen with equities jumping.


Nifty failed to cross the 200 DMA @ first attempt & late hour profit booking saw Nifty retreat to close below 8250. Bank Nifty however saw huge short covering & closed above its 200 DMA on value buying. For today expect another day of consolidation even as bulls make another attempt to cross 8280-8300 for Nifty to resume further uptrend. Weakness in IT stocks was the main culprit for Nifty under performance which saw banks being the best performing sector in rotation.


The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 26737.88, down by 21.35 points or 0.08% after trading in a range of 26720.09 and 26860.88. There were 12 stocks advancing against 18 stocks declining on the index.The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.24%, while Small cap index was up by 0.43%.The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 8237.15, down by 6.65 points or 0.08% after trading in a range of 8233.45 and 8263.00. There were 23 stocks advancing against 28 stocks declining on the index.

 

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Group ATopGainers

 

 

Company

Price (Rs)

% chg

BEML

1135.15

14.7

MMTC

68.30

9.72

Fortis

203.10

5.62

KPIT

140.70

4.45

Group ATopLosers

 

 

Cadila

367.55

-3.10

DRreddy

3072.05

-2.80

HCC

40.90

-1.68

PIIND

827.10

-1.50

Market Statistics

 

 

 

BSE

NSE

Advances

1131

1168

Declines

1047

307

 

Technical view: Nifty will find support around 8181 which was the low for last 3 days while 8280 will act as first resistance. Bank Nifty now finds strong support @ 18000 while 18350 will act as resistance.


Market Sentiment:

The market breadth on BSE was positive in the ratio of 1354:828, while 98 scrips remained unchanged.

 

Trading ideas :YESBANK (Buy above Rs 1250 for target of Rs 1300, SL at Rs 1224): Stock has witnessed a double bottom breakout on daily charts post the two days smart rally. Near term trend turned positive for the stock on close above both its 50 and 100 DMA in last weeks trade. Price volume breakout would lead to sustained momentum for the stock in coming sessions. We advise to Buy YESBANK above Rs 1250, stop loss at Rs 1224 and Target of Rs 1300.

 

MacroeconomicFront: Finance Minister ArunJaitley has said that the colour of funds has not changed by merely depositing them in banks as the money has now lost its 'anonymity' and can be identified with the owner. Commenting on the issue, Finance Minister ArunJaitley told the media, "When 86 per cent of a country's currency, constituting 12.2 per cent of its GDP, is squeezed out of the market and sought to be replaced by a new currency.

Corporate Snippets:SpiceJet is expected to order at least 92 Boeing Co 737 jetliners, as it looks to bolster its presence in the world's fastest growing aerospace market.

 

SBIwill take the lead among state-run lenders to launch branch less banking. The latest launch from the lender - SBI Digi Bank will have a financial superstore, a market place and end to end digitisation for all products and services. 

 

Pokarna Ltd has announced Pokarna Engineered Stone Ltd, its wholly-owned subsidiary, has partnered Swedish home furnishing products retailer IKEA in India, to serve as its exclusive quartz surfaces supplier and installation partner.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:  The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were FMCG up by 0.65%, Realty up by 0.33%, Capital Goods up by 0.22%, Bankex up by 0.21% and Metal up by 0.14%, while Oil & Gas down by 0.52%, Power down by 0.45%, Consumer Durables down by 0.35%, PSU down by 0.19% and Auto down by 0.17% were the losing indices on BSE.

Nifty Movers:The top gainers on Nifty were AurobindoPharma up by 1.65%, HCL Tech up by 1.56%, Eicher Motors up by 1.51%, Idea Cellular up by 1.51% and ITC up by 1.17%. On the flip side, Dr. Reddy’s Lab down by 2.22%, BPCL down by 1.56%, Mahindra & Mahindra down by 1.37%, Coal India down by 1.31% and ACC down by 1.26% were the top losers.

 

 

 

On the global front: On the global front, Asian shares were trading mixed, as investors focused on policymaker remarks later this week for direction. Chinese Vice Finance Minister Zhu Guangyao said that the country is confident to have reached an economic growth of 6.7 percent in 2016, within a targeted range set earlier in the year. China, which had been aiming for a 6.5-7 percent economic growth for 2016, boosted government spending, saw a housing rally and record high levels of bank lending last year.

 

Global Signals:The Asian markets were trading mixed; KOSPI Index increased 3.22 points or 0.16% to 2,052.34, Shanghai Composite increased 14.96 points or 0.47% to 3,169.28 and Hang Seng increased 39.55 points or 0.18% to 22,542.56. On the other hand, Taiwan Weighted decreased 34.71 points or 0.37% to 9,337.51, Jakarta Composite decreased 22.68 points or 0.42% to 5,324.34 and FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI decreased 4.36 points or 0.26% to 1,671.13.

 

Market Timing Signals for Stock Market Investing

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The stock market is a very important and appealing starting point of returns for commonly companies and share holders. The stock market formulates it feasible for a very large number of investors to procure stakes at a party that they tell the difference and swear by. Populace who have been trading in corporation shares have perceived it growing to be a tradition and then in many instances, their standard basis of revenue. It is an exceedingly productive industry also for the share holder just the once he becomes acclimatized to the decrees of the business. He can monitor his well-merited wealth nurturing in manifolds if he is persistent and committed enough. Let us have a look at the market timing signals for stock market investing. However immediately resembling each added action that anybody can imagine, there is an explicit time to be active in the stock market. There is a plain equation that every acquainted patron will swear by. You should know the simple equation for investing in the share market. This is the fair decree- Comprehend it perfectly! Be familiar with the BULLS from the BEARS.

Obtain when the market is LOW

Test out for the sensitive index. If for any raisin d'Arezzo it continues illustrating a descending inclination, it typically indicates that now is the right time to procure shares. As this is the time a tremendous figure of corporation shares would have gone down the drain. Memorize: a prodigious figure of businesses, not each and every one of them! Several companies in all earthly probability will illustrate a differing tendency and could essentially stay put or in all earthly probability will yet demonstrate an aloft movement even at the same time as the bazaar is declining. Those are the exemptions you could act fit to pass up. As for the shares illustrating a ‘typical’ diminishing tendency with the stock market in a cry off, it only means that now is the time to procure some of those shares!

Put on the market when the market is FAR ABOVE TYPICAL

This is the opposite case panorama. Provided you have already previously invested in certain number of shares and you see the index rising as a trend. Classically it only means that in a very large number of probability, your shares would have also grown in value (in all earthly probability will not forever be the case, as a result be vigilant).  If as a result, it is selling time galore!

Word of warning:

Whilst following the mentioned equation, more and more be greatly vigilant and exceedingly tolerant. Such as, if the shares that you had purchased some days ago begin demonstrating an augment in worth, do not vend instantaneously! Hang around really tolerantly and monitor if the shares would realize in worth any more. This show of endurance will forever prove gratifying since you will be waiting for your shares to realize in worth to their utmost probable ‘far above typical’ before you swiftly sell them. In a similar way goes the procuring scenery. On no account procure just as soon as the market sinks. Stay, since it might go downward some (or in all earthly probability will be even a whole lot!) points further before you consider procuring. This patience will certainly pay off. At the moment, suppose a condition where you have purchased shares for a cost which you sensed was pretty competitive. Yet the simple proposition remains that you now detect that share prices have plummeted after your procurement of those shares. Do not be alarmed and trade off your shares. Dread and the consequential rushed vacillations would merely formulate issues shoddier for you. What you ought to fairly accomplish is hang around. There will positively appear a time when the stock prices of the company you bought shares of, will climb again. Therefore simply stay unwearyingly.

Timing the market

Be of the knowledge that it is improbable for anybody to time the stock market. It is a subject of utter opportunity. Several issues – financial, opinionated, Acts of God and societal factors have an imperative role to play in instigating the sudden ups and downs that the stock market goes through. All things measured, having the acquaintance and taking a careful step will definitely bear out gratifying and assist you to discover a perfect sense of timing in the stock market.

Thus, we have learn a lot about market timing signals for stock market investing.

 

WEEKLY NIFTY TRADING VIEW FOR THE WEEK JAN09, 2016–JAN15, 2016

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Events to watch this week

  • US adds 156,000 jobs, wages up most since 2009
  • Yuan volatility causes concern amid tight liquidity
  • Global growth uptick persisted in December
  • 2016 US auto sales set record

The Week ahead:

  • The eurozone releases unemployment figures on Monday, 9 January
  • The minutes of the December meeting of the ECB Governing Council are released on Thursday, 12 January
  • China releases December trade figures on Friday, 13 January
  • US retail sales figures for December are reported on Friday, 13 January

For the week,Global equities extended gains this week amid upbeat economic data and continued hopes for US fiscal stimulus. So far, US markets continue to hold just below record levels, with the 20,000 mark in the Dow Jones Industrial Average yet to be breached as of this writing, though the FTSE 100 set all-time highs this week. Ten-year US Treasury note yields fell to 2.40% from a pre-Christmas level of 2.53%. Oil prices firmed modestly, with West Texas Intermediate crude rising to $53.90 from $53.25 before the holidays. Global Brent rose to $56.90 from $55.80. The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX) was little changed at 11.45.

NIFTY- 8,243.80
CRUDE OIL-Rs 3,678barrel
GOLD-Rs 27,875/10 gram
Rs/$-Rs 67.96

MARKET ROUND UP

Key benchmark indices logged small gains in first week of calendar year 2017. Key indices edged lower in three out of five trading sessions during the week. Gains were triggered as buying of equities by domestic institutional investors outpaced selling by foreign portfolio investors. The S&P BSE Small and Mid-Cap indices outperformed the Sensex during the week.

In the week ended Friday, 6 January 2017, the Sensex rose 132.77 points or 0.5% to settle at 26,759.23. The Nifty 50 index rose 58 points or 0.71% to settle at 8,243.80.

The BSE Mid-Cap index gained 290.38 points or 2.41% to settle at 12,321.72. The BSE Small-Cap index gained 394.20 points or 3.27% to settle at 12,440.33. Both these indices outperformed the Sensex.

Macro Economic Front:

On the Economic Front,manufacturing PMI in India fell to 49.60 in December 2016 from 52.30 in November. A reading above 50 indicates economic expansion, while a reading below 50 points toward contraction. The reading pointed to the first contraction since December 2015, as output, new orders and new export orders fell amid cash shortages in the economy. Data was announced during trading hours on Monday, 2 January 2017.

Major Action &Announcement:

Wipro fell 0.86%. The company announced that its Digital TV Middleware solution has successfully enabled Hisense 4K TVs in Japan. Hisense Co. is a multinational white goods, brown goods and electronics manufacturer. The Wipro solution supports Hisense 4k TV product features ISDB-T/S Broadcast and HD-PVR to enable a premium viewing experience for customers. The announcement was made before market hours on Thursday, 5 January 2017.

According to reports, the new bill would require workers on the H-1B visa pay a minimum of $100,000, up from $60,000 currently. The bill also removes the Master's degree exemption to the cap on the number of visas available, as per reports. The bill comes after companies such as Disney and Southern California Edison have come under fire for outsourcing their IT operations to Indian companies.

Sun Pharmaceutical Industriesrose 1.78%. The company announced successful phase 3 confirmatory clinical trial results for Seciera (cyclosporine A, 0.09% ophthalmic solution), for the treatment of dry eye disease. Seciera is a patented, novel, proprietary nanomicellar formulation of cyclosporine A 0.09%. It is a clear, preservative-free, aqueous solution. Seciera is being developed by Ocular Technologies, a company recently acquired by Sun Pharma. Following this acquisition, Sun Pharma owns exclusive, worldwide rights to Secier and is developing it to commercialize for global markets including US, Europe, and Japan, as well as several emerging markets.

Tata Motors gained 5.61%. The company's British luxury unit Jaguar Land Rover (JLR) reported a 30% jump in retail sales in US in December 2016. JLR on Wednesday, 4 January 2017, announced its US retail sales for the month of December 2016. JLR's US sales rose 30% to 12,573 units in December 2016 over December 2015. Jaguar sales jumped 259% to 4,294 units in December 2016 over December 2015. Land Rover sales declined 2% to 8,279 units in December 2016 over December 2015.

Maruti Suzuki India rose 5.45%. The company said its total sales fell 1% to 1.17 lakh units in December 2016 over December 2015. The company announced the monthly sales volume on Sunday, 1 January 2017.

Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M) rose 3.49%. The company said its total tractor sales rose 9% to 14,047 units in December 2016 over December 2015. The company's total auto sales declined 4% to 36,363 units in December 2016 over December 2015. The company announced the monthly sales volume during market hours on Monday, 2 January 2017.

Global Front:

In Overseas Markets,China's Caixin Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' index (PMI) rose 51.9, compared to 50.9 in November on the back of increased demand. A reading above 50 represents expansion in a sector, whereas a reading below 50 represents contraction. The private manufacturing survey results come after figures at the weekend showed China's official PMI fell to 51.4 in December.

Activity in China's service sector expanded at a faster pace in December, a private gauge showed on Thursday, 5 January 2016, adding to recent signs of firmness in China's economy. The Caixin China services purchasing managers' index rose to 53.4 in December from 53.1 in November, Caixin Media Co. and research firm Markit said. A reading above 50 indicates a month-to-month expansion, while a reading below that points to a contraction.

Global Economic News:

December US payrolls solid but unspectacular
The United States added 156,000 new jobs in December while the unemployment rate edged up to 4.7%. A 2.9% annual rise in average hourly earnings was the most attention-grabbing aspect of Friday’s report. It was the largest yearly gain in wages since 2009. Rising wages, unless offset by gains in worker productivity, could negatively impact corporate earnings down the road. Wage increases may also keep the US Federal Reserve on guard for additional rate hikes in the months ahead. The US reported a wider trade deficit on Friday, with a fall in exports likely to trim economic growth estimates for the fourth quarter. The deficit expanded to $45.2 billion in November, a nine-month high, from $42.4 billion in October.

Global growth rebound continues
Solid purchasing managers’ surveys from December were reported early this week, suggesting that the uptick in global growth seen in recent months continued through year-end. The US reported its 91st consecutive month of manufacturing growth, with the Institute for Supply management index rising to 54.7 from 53.2. The United Kingdom’s manufacturing purchasing managers' index rose to 56.1, the highest in two and a half years, despite the looming specter of Article 50 being invoked later this year.

US auto sales set record
Global auto manufacturers sold a record-setting 17.55 million new cars and light trucks in the US in 2016, according to research firm Autodata. Sixty percent of the sales were classified as light trucks since SUVs fall into that category. In 2015, 17.48 million units were sold, 56% of them light trucks.

Australian trade returns to surplus
For the first time in nearly three years, Australia recorded a trade surplus in November. Rebounding commodity prices helped lift the trade account into the black, and the data suggest that the economy might avoid a technical recession after shrinking by 0.5% in Q3.

Unhappy holidays for many US retailers
Many US retailers struggled this holiday season as sales continued to migrate to the Internet. Two notable cases were Macy’s and Sears, traditional anchor tenants of US shopping malls, which each announced the closure of more than 100 stores. Additionally, Sears announced the sale of its iconic Craftsman tool brand to Stanley Black & Decker for $900 million.

GLOBAL CORPORATE NEWS

 

China forced to defend yuan amid outflows
It was a wild week for China’s yuan. On Thursday, overnight offshore deposit rates were ratcheted up to 80% in an attempt to squeeze out speculative short positions in the currency. That move set off a frantic short-covering rally, but the rally was largely reversed on Friday. In a further attempt to keep funds from leaving China, the government introduced additional capital controls effective 1 January and encouraged state-owned enterprises to sell foreign currencies. China is believed to be trying to stabilize the currency in advance of US president-elect Donald Trump’s inauguration on 20 January.

 

NEW 52-WEEK HIGH BSE (A):

 

COROMANDEL

319.00

EIDPARRY

289.20

IOC

355.00

NEW 52-WEEK LOWS BSE (A):

DIVISLAB

735.50

MAJOR WEEKLY GAINERS IN BSE A CATEGORY:

JPAssociates

10.39

MMTC ltd

62.25

Unitech

4.64

MAJOR WEEKLY LOSERS IN BSE A CATEGORY:

jsw steel

89.21

mphasis ltd

-6.99

lic housing

-6.23


Eyes will be set on the certain US economic data releases are:

Monday (09 Jan)
Consumer Credit
Tuesday(10 Jan)
NFIB Small Business & Wholesale Trade

Wednesday(11 Jan)
MBA Mortgage Applications
Thursday(12 Jan)
Jobless Claims
Friday(13 Jan)
Retail Sales

Fundamental Pick of the week:

BUY Tata Motors Ltd For Target Rs. 600.00

TATAMOTORS is a well know Indian MNC and a flagship company of the Tata Group. After acquiring Jaguar Land Rover, it gained global recognition as well.Technically, it is a sound stock and is on recovery mode after retracing 50% as per Fibonacci levels of the rise 265-598 levels.

We firmly believe; it has potential to outperform its peers as well as broader markets. Hence, we advocate buying this stock in range 480-490 with 440 stop loss for 600 targets.

Recommendation

Buy Tata Motors Ltd  @ 480-490 Stoploss 440 Target 600 CMP 498

Indian Market Outlook:

Nifty ended marginally lower in the passing month, tracking mixed global cues and not so favorable domestic factors. After marginal bounce in the first week, it maintained its negative tone for most part of the month; however, recovery in final week of the calendar year significantly trimmed the losses. Finally, it settled at 8185.80; down by nearly half a percent.

It rebounded after retesting the crucial support mark of 7900, raising hope of sustainable recovery in January month.

TECHNICAL VIEW:

 

S3

S2

S1

NIFTY

R1

R2

R3

8,140

8,175

8,215

8,243.80

8,288

8,335

8,390

Technically, charts are in the favor of rebound but a lot depends upon the upcoming earning season. On the daily chart, the Nifty is trading above the 20- day moving average (DMA) and the 40-DMA, ie 8121 and 8195, respectively. The momentum indicator is positive on the daily chart.

On the hourly chart, the Nifty is trading between the 20-hour moving averages (HMA) and the 40-HMA, ie 8246 and 8208, respectively. The hourly momentum indicator has turned positive. The market breadth was negative, with 639 advances and 962 declines on the National Stock Exchange.

Conclusion:

Nifty has immediate hurdle at 8300 and requires participation from the banking space for further recovery. Meanwhile, stock specific movement, especially in the cash segment, is offering ample trading opportunities and we expect this trend to continue ahead also. So, traders should plan their positions keeping in mind the above factors.

Nifty ends at 8244, Sensex falls 119 pts: IT sheds 3%

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Major headlines

·         NatcoPharma gets USFDA approval for leukemia drug

·         Suzlon bags 105 MW order from Axis Energy Group

·         China nibbles at Samsung share to take 50 percent of India’s smartphone market.

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Index

Close

% Chg

Sensex

26,759.23

-0.44

Nifty

8,243.80

-0.36

Indian Indices: The key Indian equity indices continued their lackluster trade in late afternoon session as a slump in IT shares on worries over H-1B visas. Sentiments remained downbeat on account of selling in Realty, TECK and FMCG counters. Selling pressure increased after European stocks opened lower. Sentiments were also hit after President Pranab Mukherjee cautioned that the government's demonetisation decision could likely lead to a temporary slowdown in the economy and hurt the poor. Sentiments also remained dampened with a private report highlighted that India’s GDP is likely to have grown at a much slower-than-expected pace of 5 percent in the October-December period and may see a 6 percent growth in the following quarter due to a slowdown in manufacturing and services sectors post demonetization. Meanwhile, for the first time since demonetisation of high-value currency notes, President Pranab Mukherjee has cautioned that the government's demonetisation decision could likely lead to a temporary slowdown in the economy and hurt the poor. Addressing to Governors and Lieutenant Governors, President has said that demonetization.

The BSE Sensex is closed at 26,759.23, down by 119.01 points or 0.44% after trading in a range of 26822.52 and 27009.61. There were 20 stocks advancing against 10 stocks declining on the index.The broader indices were trading mixed; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.13%, while Small cap index was down by 0.05%.The CNX Nifty is shut down at 8243.80, down by 30.00 points or 0.36% after trading in a range of 8257.75 and 8306.85. There were 31 stocks advancing against 19 stocks declining on the index, while 1 stock remained unchanged.

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Top Movers (Group A)

 

 

Company

Cmp

% chg

Gainers

 

 

Jswenergy

65.35

6.00

Wockpharma

710.70

5.55

Natcopharma

624.10

4.49

Fortis

192.30

3.83

Losers

 

 

Justdial

375.75

-4.63

Mindtree

500.55

-4.39

HCC

41.60

-3.82

TECHM

469.7\5

-3.80

Market Statistics

 

 

 

BSE

NSE

Advances

1397

648

Declines

1190

811

 

Market Sentiment: The market breadth on BSE was positive in the ratio of 1397: 1190, while 159 scrips remained unchanged.

Crporate Front:

Japan has decided to assist India in the development of three cities namely - Chennai, Ahmedabad and Varanasi as smart cities, as per the government release. The Ministry of Urban Development said in a release that this was on Thursday conveyed by Japan’s Ambassador to India Kenji Hiramatsu during his meeting with Minister of M. Venkaiah Naidu.

Macroeconomic front: Union Finance Minister ArunJaitley has said that the government's initiatives, including demonetisation, to eliminate the shadow economy and tax evasion will positively impact the GDP and fiscal consolidation of the country in the long term. Commenting on the issue, Finance Minister ArunJaitley told the media.

 

On the global front: On the global front, European markets were trading in red as investors keep a close eye on commodity prices and currency movements. Asian markets were trading mixed, Chinese and Japanese shares ended in the red, tracking exchange rate fluctuations ahead of the closely-watched U.S. jobs report due tonight. While China's yuan gave up some gains after a two-day surge, the Japanese yen strengthened further against the dollar on expectations of slow pace of rate hikes in the U.S.

Commodity Updates:

Commodity Prices (MCX):

Commodity

Rs

% Chang

Gold

27905.00

-0.15

Silver

40234.00

-0.53

Crude oil

3675.00

1.07

Natural Gas

219.90

0.59

Alluminium

115.75

0.22

Copper

380.35

-0.03

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Bankex up by 1.07%, Metal up by 0.69%, PSU up by 0.56%, Power up by 0.33% and Oil & Gas up by 0.29%, while IT down by 2.38%, TECK down by 1.91%, FMCG down by 0.73%, Realty down by 0.49%, and Capital Goods down by 0.07% were the top losing indices on BSE.

Top Nifty Movers:The top gainers on Nifty were Yes Bank up by 2.96%, ONGC up by 2.88%, Bank of Baroda up by 1.95%, Kotak Mahindra Bank up by 1.78% and BhartiInfratel up by 1.76%. On the flip side, HCL Tech. down by 3.50%, Tech Mahindra down by 3.17%, Idea Cellular down by 2.74%, TCS down by 2.33% and Infosys down by 2.29% were the top losers.

 

Global Signals:

Asian markets were trading mostly in green; KOSPI Index increased 7.17 points or 0.35% to 2,049.12, FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI increased 11.87 points or 0.72% to 1,671.69, Taiwan Weighted increased 14.08 points or 0.15% to 9,372.22, Jakarta Composite increased 21.02 points or 0.39% to 5,346.53 and Hang Seng increased 46.32 points or 0.21% to 22,503.01. On the flip side, Nikkei 225 decreased 66.36 points or 0.34% to 19,454.33 and Shanghai Composite decreased 11.09 points or 0.35% to 3,154.32.

All European markets were trading in red; Germany’s DAX decreased 19.18 points or 0.17% to 11,565.76, France’s CAC decreased 18.79 points or 0.38% to 4,881.85 and UK’s FTSE 100 decreased 9.61 points or 0.13% to 7,185.70.

 

 

US$ falls in tandem with bonds as Trump rally falters with value buying re emerging in emerging markets

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Major headlines:

·         IATA urges government to defer higher air navigation charges

·         Key equity indices trade higher during early session

·         Australia trade surplus breaks long drought as exports boom

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Indices

Support

Resistanes

Sensex

26454

26725

Nifty

8138

8215

 

Indian Indices:Asian indices ex Japan were all trading in the green as emerging markets are starting the New Year in fine fettle as proxy to weakness to US$ with the Trump rally seeing profit booking. The US$ weakened sharply to near November 8th levels & in tandem we saw bond yields also fall to 2.36% levels last seen around the US election results.

Nifty broke the 200 DMA @ 8271 & will further exhibit strength on the back of stronger Rupee & buying by foreign investors whose selling has halted & net inflows now very much on the cards. For today expect industrials, banks & oil marketing companies to see buying while tech stocks to be under pressure due to Rupee strength. Weekly close today over the 200 DMA will see bears further scramble for cover.


The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 26887.19, up by 8.95 points or 0.03% after trading in a range of 26883.78 and 27009.61. There were 19 stocks advancing against 11 stocks declining on the index.The broader indices were trading mixed; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.24%, while Small cap index was down by 0.05%.The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 8270.30, down by 3.50 points or 0.04% after trading in a range of 8270.30 and 8306.85. There were 31 stocks advancing against 20 stocks declining on the index.

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Group ATopGainers

 

 

Company

Price (Rs)

% chg

JSWenergy

65.85

6.81

Wockpharm

718.55

6.72

Fortis

194.45

4.99

ONGC

205.60

2.98

Group ATopLosers

 

 

TEchm

471.50

-3.44

Aloktext

3.56

-3.26

HCLTECH

818.00

-3.09

HCC

41.95

-3.01

Market Statistics

 

 

 

BSE

NSE

Advances

1131

1168

Declines

1047

307

 

Technical view: Nifty broke above the 200 DMA @ 8271 & needs to sustain today with 8230 acting as support while 8330 will act as resistance. Bank Nifty also closed near the day high & will face resistance @ 18202 which is the 200 DMA while 18000 will act as strong support.


 

Market Sentiment:

The market breadth on BSE was positive in the ratio of 1131:1047, while 143 scrips remained unchanged.

 

Trading ideas: INDUSINDBK (Buy above Rs 1129 for target of Rs 1159, SL at Rs 1115): Stock has witnessed a classic double bottom breakout on the daily charts. The breakout coincides with the stock closing above the crucial 50 and 200-DMA. Volumes in yesterday's trade were stellar, and this makes Indusind Bank a perfect price volume breakout counter. We advise to Buy INDUSINDBK above Rs 1129, Stop loss at Rs 1115 and Target of Rs 1159.

 

MacroeconomicFront: Terming Banks Board Bureau (BBB) has said that consolidation in public sector banks is a long drawn process and it should gather momentum in 2-3 years. Commenting on the issue, Banks Board Bureau Chief VinodRai told the media, "Finance Minister in his Budget speech talked about consolidation of banks. Prime Minister has made references to the idea that there should be 6 or 8 large banks.


Corporate Snippets: Wockhardtsaid German regulator has issued European Union Good Manufacturing Practice certificate to the company’s Ankaleshwar facility in Gujrat.

 

Tata Motors and Castrol inked a three year agreement under which the lubricants maker would supply commercial vehicle oils to the home grown auto major in over 50 markets, including SAARC and ASEAN reqion, west Asia Africa Russia and latin America.

 

As many as 10 international offshore drilling contractors including Transocean Inc have offered best in class deepsea drilling rigs to Oil and Natural Gas Crop for its KG-D5 gas field devlopments.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:  The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Bankex up by 0.74%, PSU up by 0.52%, Oil & Gas up by 0.42%, FMCG up by 0.25% and Power up by 0.21%, while IT down by 2.85%, TECK down by 2.30%, Realty down by 0.51% and Metal down by 0.03% were the losing indices on BSE.

Nifty Movers:The top gainers on Nifty were ONGC up by 2.55%, Yes Bank up by 2.36%, Bank of Baroda up by 1.69%, IndusInd Bank up by 1.66% and GAIL India up by 1.19%. On the flip side, HCL Tech down by 4.37%, Tech Mahindra down by 4.13%, TCS down by 3.21%, Infosys down by 2.57% and Wipro down by 2.06% were the top losers.

 

 

 

On the global front: On the global front, Asian shares were trading mostly in green, as a surge in the dollar and its borrowing costs sparked by Donald Trump’s election eased, with the US 10-year yield slipping to one-month lows. In contrast, Japan’s Nikkei, one of the best performers since Republican Trump won the November 8 election, dropped as the yen gained versus the dollar. China raised the exchange rate for the yuan against the US dollar by 0.92 percent from the previous day, the biggest one-day increase in more than 11 years.

 

Global Signals:The Asian markets were trading mostly in green; Taiwan Weighted increased 4.91 points or 0.05% to 9,363.05, KOSPI Index increased 7.25 points or 0.36% to 2,049.20, FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI increased 8.58 points or 0.52% to 1,668.40, Jakarta Composite increased 13.77 points or 0.26% to 5,339.28 and Hang Seng increased 63.78 points or 0.28% to 22,520.47.On the other hand, Nikkei 225 decreased 77.07 points or 0.39% to 19,443.62 and Shanghai Composite decreased 6.2 points or 0.2% to 3,159.21.

 

Risk Free Forex Trading Strategy by Sharetipsinfo.com

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Get SURE SHOT FOREX TRADING SIGNALS FOR DAILY PROFIT


What is FOREX?

FOREX is an acronym for Foreign Exchange. A further shortened form is FX. It is nothing but a relative value of a particular form of currency.

Understanding the FOREX market

A FOREX market is a worldwide market place where the currencies of different countries are traded directly between two parties. Such a kind of trading is also called “off-exchange” or “over-the-counter (OTC)” trading. By off-exchange, we mean that this kind of trading does not utilize the medium of a stock market for its trading. The existence of a FOREX market has made it possible for various companies and entities to engage themselves in international trade. It facilitates the ease of conversion of one currency to another against standard (but regularly changing) rates of exchange of currency. The international FOREX market has now completely switched over from the traditional exchange rate system to something known as the floating exchange rate system. Whereas the traditional exchange rate system depended on many factors of the country like its monetary policy, and the currency values remained fixed more or less, a floating exchange rate system allows currencies of various countries to fluctuate in their values in the foreign exchange market. 

The FOREX market has its distinct features

Trading volumes are large in scope. Billions of dollars are traded between traders and governments on a regular basis. There is a high liquidity, which means that there is a smallest possible amount of scope for loss of value. Not to be faulted and unremitting trading: 24 hours a day, but no more than on weekdays. This is quite unlike other markets like the stock market where 24 hour business transactions are not achievable. Margin of profit (along with loss) is tapered. Lower the risks lower the gain! Debt Capital or Leverage is used as a supplement for equity capital. It allows a particular country to buy goods or services and pay in foreign currency. It has very low transaction processing costs. Unlike a stock market which operates through an exchange and involves high transaction processing costs (broker-to-broker costs, dealer costs, counter costs etc.), the Foreign Exchange market has these costs significantly reduced or eliminated.

Transaction processing time

Transaction processing time is also significantly less compared to stock markets. There is a facility called Interest Rate Rollover. By using this facility, the FOREX trader can earn overnight interests on the currencies held by him. But he is also liable to pay interest on the currencies that he has borrowed. But of course there will be, more often than not, a difference between these two interest rates. He can work out the difference between these two interest rates to his advantage. A few central banks are actively involved in the foreign exchange business.  This process is known as intervention. Central banks try to influence FOREX rates by actively buying and/or selling currencies in the market.

Timing: The all-important factor in the FOREX Market!

Consider the fact that the FOREX market is open 24 hours a day. This literally means that there is no time to sleep! What Given the condition arises that the currency values suddenly drop while you were sleeping? Here comes the need to rethink your strategy. Look out and explore better times to trade. There certainly are better hours to trade in the foreign exchange market. They are called “FOREX Hours”. Though FOREX hours will vary for different types of traders, yet the best FOREX hours are certainly those that overlap market timings for two or more foreign markets. But then again, market size plays a significant role here. We will study that now.

Market Size: Another important factor!

A particular market may prove to be more rewarding to get involved in that a combination of two or more markets. Given the condition arises that you come across such a market, it will be natural for you to dedicate the majority of your time to this market. The “overlapping market timings factor” will more or less get eliminated in this case. We can safely assert that penny stock investing is by no means an accurate discipline. You are obliged to perform your survey by construing the information sheet that the business makes obtainable to you. What’s more, you for the simple reason that a shareholder are required to be exceptionally perceptive in the sublime matters of studying press reports on the business.

These are the ways of risk free forex trading strategy.

 

 

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