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Events to watch this week

• United Kingdom triggers Article 50

• Trump’s agenda questioned after health care defeat

• US economic growth revised up slightly

• South Africa sacks finance minister

• NAFTA changes may be modest

The Week ahead:

• The Bank of Japan releases its Tankan report on Monday, 3 April

• Global manufacturing purchasing managers’ indices are released on Monday, 3 April

• Euro-area retail sales are reported on Tuesday, 4 April

• Global service sector PMIs are released on Wednesday, 5 April

• The US Federal Reserve releases the minutes of its March Federal Open Market Committee meeting on Wednesday, 5 April

• Trump and Chinese president Xi meet in Palm Beach on Thursday–Friday, 6–7 April

• The United States releases its March employment report on Friday, 7 April

For the week,Global equities rose this week as did oil prices, while yields on 10-year US Treasury notes held steady at 2.41%. West Texas Intermediate crude advanced to $50 from $47.80 last Friday, while global Brent rallied to $52.70 from $50.60 last week. Volatility, as measured by the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX), held steady near 12.

NIFTY- 9,173.75
CRUDE OIL-Rs 3,286barrel
GOLD-Rs 28,450 gram
Rs/$-Rs 64.85

MARKET ROUND UP 
Key benchmark indices logged modest gains in the week ended Friday, 31 March 2017 as the sentiment was buoyed after the LokSabha cleared four bills related to the Goods and Services Tax (GST), one of the biggest reforms, on 29 March 2017. The overall sentiment in the broader market was upbeat during the week with the BSE Small-Cap and the Mid-Cap indices outperforming the Sensex.

In the week ended Friday, 31 March 2017, the Sensex rose 199.10 or 0.68% to settle at 29,620.50. The Nifty 50 index rose 65.75 points or 0.72% to settle at 9,173.75. The BSE Mid-Cap index rose 247.47 points or 1.79% to settle at 14,096.65. The BSE Small-Cap index gained 356.25 points or 2.53% to settle at 14,433.86. Both these indices outperformed the Sensex.
Trading for first day of the week began on a subdued note as the key benchmark indices settled with modest losses on Monday, 27 March 2017 on negative global stocks. The Sensex lost 187.96 points or 0.64% to settle at 29,233.44, its lowest closing level since 22 March 2017. 

Macro Economic Front: 
On the Economic Front,the LokSabha cleared four bills related to the Goods and Services Tax (GST) on 29 March 2017, setting the stage for 28 states, along with Delhi and Puducherry, to enact state laws over the next three months to roll out the new tax regime from July 2017.

The four bills Integrated GST, Central GST, Union Territory GST and Compensation Bill will be followed by work in the GST council, comprising FM ArunJaitley and state finance ministers, to finalise rules and product- and service-wise rates by the end of April.
GST will replace central excise, service tax and state VAT and several other levies, in addition to subsuming existing cesses and surcharges.

Major Action &Announcement:
IT major Infosys fell 1.07% to Rs 1,020.80. The company announced during trading hours on 30 March 2017, that it has achieved Cloud Elite status in the Oracle PartnerNetwork (OPN). With this designation, Infosys is well positioned to help customers achieve cloud transformation, and provide sophisticated capabilities and next-generation services on Oracle Cloud. With strategic specialization and training programs, innovative joint solutions, and a clearly defined solutions roadmap, Infosys' Cloud Elite status will help clients derive better business value, it said in a statement.

TCS rose 0.18% to Rs 2,431.10. TCS said that the company has collaborated with SATS (SATS), Asia's leading provider of airport ground handling and food solutions services, to develop a smart watch solution that is believed to be the world's first mobile solution for airport Technical Ramp operations. The Technical Ramp Smart Watch solution is now supporting SATS' operations at Singapore's Changi Airport, a leading global hub of travel, technology adoption and efficiency. The announcement was made after market hours on 30 March 2017.

NTPC rose 1.1%. NTPC said that consequent upon testing and commissioning, 260 megawatts (MW) capacity (4x65 MW) of Bhadla solar PV project at BhadlaRajasthan, is declared on commercial operation on 25 March 2017. With this, the commercial capacity of NTPC and NTPC group has become 40,522 MW and 47,293 MW respectively. The announcement was made after market hours on 30 March 2017.

Drug major Lupin fell 2.61%. The company announced the launch of Abacavir and Lamivudine tablets, 600 mg/300 mg having received an approval from the United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) earlier. The announcement was made during market hours on 29 March 2017.

Power Grid Corporation of India (PGCIL) rose 1.81%. The company announced that it has acquired Medinipur-Jeerat Transmission, the Project SPV to establish transmission system for 765kV strengthening in Eastern Region (ERSS-XVIII), on build, own, operate and maintain (BOOM) basis from PFC Consulting. The transmission system is to be progressively constructed over a period of 40 months. The announcement was made during market hours on 29 March 2017.

Axis Bank gained 0.33%. The bank said that the board of directors of the bank has passed a resolution approving the allotment of 3 year senior floating rate notes aggregating to $10 million under the MTN programme through its Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC) branch. The announcement was made after market hours on 27 March 2017.
Hero MotoCorp lost 4.52% to Rs 3,223.85. Bahadur Chand Investments (BCIPL), one of the promoters of Hero MotoCorp, raised its holding in the two-wheeler major by picking up 4.45% stake for Rs 2996 crore from another promoter firm in an open market transaction. 

Global Front: 
In Overseas Markets,Activity in China's manufacturing sector expanded to 51.8 in March, an official survey showed on Friday, 31 March 2017. The services sector rose to 55.1 from 54.2 in February. The 50-point mark separates growth from contraction.
Japan's core consumer prices rose 0.2% in February. While that is the fastest annual pace in nearly two years, it is still distant from the central bank's 2% target.

The US economy, as measured by gross domestic product, expanded at a 2.1% annualized pace in the fourth quarter, slightly faster than the previously reported 1.9% rate. Separately, jobless claims fell by 3,000 to 258,000 in the latest week, near their lowest level in decades.

Global Economic News:

Beginning of the end 
The United Kingdom formally began the process of withdrawing its European Union membership this week by triggering Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty. The UK and EU now enter into a two-year negotiation to iron out such thorny issues as the legal status of EU citizens residing in the UK and that of UK citizens living within the EU, "hard" or "soft" borders and how —and how much it will cost-- to extract the UK from the EU’s finances. EU president Donald Tusk said a free trade agreement can only be discussed once sufficient progress has been made on the divorce process. Also this week, the Scottish parliament voted 69–59 to authorize a second referendum on independence from the UK. Scotland voted to remain in the EU in last June’s Brexit referendum.

Will Trump play it safe or go big? 
After suffering a stinging defeat in his first major legislative initiative, President Donald Trump is likely to turn his focus to taxes in the hope of unifying the Republican congressional caucus. That may prove easier said than done, as the approximately $1 trillion in savings over 10 years that was expected from the repeal of Obamacare and its replacement with the American Health Care Act (AHCA) is now off the table. Trump must now decide whether to risk further political capital by advocating an ambitious comprehensive tax reform plan or to play it safe and advocate a smaller program of tax cuts. Should negotiations drag on, markets may not receive the fiscal stimulus that they’ve been expecting this year. Some fear stimulus could be smaller than expected and later in arriving, perhaps not until 2018.

US growth revised up
Q4 US gross domestic product was revised up to a 2.1% annual rate this week from an earlier 1.9% reading. Corporate profits showed healthy growth of 9.3%, though the persistent US trade deficit restrained economic growth. Sluggish growth is expected to persist into the first quarter of 2017.

US to seek modest NAFTA changes
A leaked draft of a US Department of Commerce memo this week showed that the Trump administration will seek quite modest changes to the North American Free Trade Agreement, countering more bombastic proposals made on the campaign trail by President Trump prior to his election. Trade jitters have been receding in recent weeks, but investors will keep a close eye on the first meeting between Trump and Chinese president Xi Jinping in Palm Beach, Florida, on 6–7 April.

German unemployment falls to record low
Unemployment in Germany, Europe’s largest labor market, fell to a post-reunification low of 5.8% in March, as joblessness fell by 30,000. That was more than the 10,000 that economists had predicted.

Ousted South Korean president jailed
Former South Korean president Park Geun-hye has been arrested and jailed over corruption allegations. Prosecutors have 20 days to build their case while Park is in custody. A snap election to replace Park will take place on 9 May.

GLOBAL CORPORATE NEWS

Cutting a Gordhan-ian knot
South African president Jacob Zuma fired his market-friendly finance minister PravinGordhan this week in a move that risks prompting a downgrade of the country’s sovereign debt ratings. Zuma and Gordhan are longtime political rivals and have differed sharply over South Africa’s public finances. Zuma is expected to sharply increase public expenditures now that Gordhan has been sacked. South Africa’s rand has fallen 7.5% this week against the US dollar as the battle between Zuma and Gordhan has played out.

NEW 52-WEEK HIGH BSE (A):

NEW 52-WEEK LOWS BSE (A):

MAJOR WEEKLY GAINERS IN BSE A CATEGORY:

MAJOR WEEKLY LOSERS IN BSE A CATEGORY:

Eyes will be set on the certain US economic data releases are: 
Monday (03 Mar)
PMI Manufacturing Index 
Tuesday (04 Mar)
Motor Vehicle Sales & Factory Orders
Wednesday (05 Mar)
PMI Services Index
Thursday (06 Mar)
Natural Gas Report 
Friday (07 Mar)
Consumer Credit & Wholesale Trade

Fundamental Pick of the week:
Buy CESC LTDFor Target Rs.900.00
CESC is in the strong up-trend as the stock reversed after taking support of Rs790 (23.6% Fibonacci Retracement level of prior up-move Rs527-876) and later rose to Rs857.
* Key technical indicators-RSI & MACD are positively poised above their neutral line, where MACD is on the verge of positive cross-over.
* As per the current daily set-up, we believe that stock will continue the northward rally and record fresh high.
* On the higher side, the stock will face major hurdle around psychological level Rs900.Thus, long position can be initiated at around Rs830 with the target of Rs900 and a strict stop loss of Rs790. 

Indian Market Outlook:

TECHNICAL VIEW:

After witnessing volatile trades last week, CNX Nifty resumed its up move supported by short covering. Good recovery was seen from lower levels tracking continuation of bearishness in USD/INR futures which helped Indian equity markets to settle at higher levels. Technically, Rise in volume and fall in open interest with both sides price movement price movement indicates sideways sentiments in current week. 9100 will be the Crucial level to watch out for the current week. Benchmark Index CNX Nifty witnessed good buying support at lower levels from traders last week which indicates support at lower levels. CNX Nifty likely to trade with volatile sentiments in current week on profit booking at higher levels from traders. If it managed to sustain above 9100 level than it may witness firm sentiments till 9330 levels. Breaking of strong support 9100 level with good volume will make Nifty bearish and down side may come due to selling pressure below that level. Traders should look for the opportunity to buy at lower levels for the week.

Conclusion:

Nifty gave Short entry on Monday which  did 1 target on Downside. Long was triggered  by Tuesday did 1 Tgt on Thursday thus both bulls and bears were rewarded following Chopad levels.  Lets Analyze how to trade Nifty as we are approach the New Financial Year.
Hourly chart was near the support line as shown in above chart and should see impulsive move towards 9200 holding 9077.
High made was 9192 so we almost did 9077 above 9077. Now for coming week break of 9200 can see fast move towards 9268/9312/9368. Bearish below 9130 for a move towards 9060/8992.Still waiting for 9312 for completion of extended abcdpattern. Bulls needs to hold 8992 for the target to come.

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 Earn good profit from Share market, Click here to know how to earn money

The places in the market that actually earn the profit are the places that give us the maximum benefit in the market place. The place is the thing that has the greater advantages and thus has the things and they have the better chances to offer. The people are always on the outlook to earn the profits and they want good players in the market and good people and knowledgeable people to deal with and the always want the people those who are there to have the better things and thus they have the actual knowledge and thus they have the better things and they have the investors who invest in the share market. The stock market is the place that will deal with the stocks and the shares and therefore they have the much awaited philosophy and thus they will be in the way that dealing with the things the people are some of the things that we have the better issues to have the near future. You should make good efforts to know how soon can you gain good profits from the market.

Gaining the right income

The stock market is where the investors are always there to gain the most desired profit and at the same time they would like to earn the necessary knowledge about the things involved. The people that are dealing on a daily basis on the market understand that when we are on the out foot of a running market we should always try and understand the place at which the market is actually running and at the same time they should also like to understand the governing factors in the market that need to be governed and regulated if there is the need to have a stable and growing graph of shares in a market place. The places are such that they are the persons who are there not only to invest but at the same time to earn the profits and stabilize their earning from the market in the long run. The market place thus has the things that have a better and a new dimension to deal with.  The stock market undergoes through many a roots in the market and it at the same time is the place that have a great amount of things that are at stake when we deal with the shares and stocks at the stock market. The people are always on the outlook that they should be in a better position to understand the market and at the same tome they can have a fair view of how the market is actually running so as to get the actual idea of the functionalities and the working of the stock market place. The people are always there to look up in the market and they have the things and they are the places and the stock market is the things and they at the sane time will give the people the edge. 

Functioning of the stocks

The stock market is the place that will not only give us the shares to understand the market but they at the same time have all together a different dimension to understand the market. We see in the stock market that in the day to day basis there are many shares that fluctuate as the day evolves and ends and that as the day progresses the people at large are able to grip as to how the market will actually function. In this present world there are risks involved in every sector that we flow into be it real or the artificial one and so you should know whether day trading has too many risks involved in it. Thus we have the things that that can give us the people and they have the better advantage. They have the right summary and thus give us the people the advantage to give the right knowledge and then at the same time will be able to place us at a much better position and answer as how soon can you gain good profits from the market?

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 Decisions are one of the most important part and partial of our life. Without making decisions let it be good or bad right or wrong life is not possible. The same thing goes to the market, where decisions are the most important task to be carried on. It is very much needed in almost all the step in the market to take decisions but at the same time not all decisions are right or good one. There are a lot of decisions made by the investor which are not always right or correct rather they tend to be wrong at due course of time. It is not so easy to make decision in the investment market as because they can sometimes be a wrong one which may lead to a big loss of the investor. For an investor it is much essential to know and understand the value of the decision made in his investment and the outcome of the same decision in the future. Only knowing the value of the decision to be made will not do great but the execution of the better decision is equally needed. In order to understand how to avoid wrong decision made by you in the market an individual will have to follow the discussed points in the below.

Knowing the investment process

The most important thing which is to be kept in mind is that an investor will have to earn knowledge about the investment process of the market. Gaining knowledge about the stock market investment is the first and foremost thing to be done in the investment process. If the knowledge is not earned by the investor he will not be able to understand the rest of the things about the market and will not be able to cope with the share market situations and he will not make any profit out of his investment rather will have to beer loss. Therefore an individual has to have the knowledge to make it to a good investment process of earning more profit. The next important point is that an investor in the market should not be greedy and should not also be a gambler kind of investor because this may lead him to take bad decision at a point of time which may ultimately lead the investor to lose his money by that particular wrong decision. The greed in the mind of the investor will make him to increase the will of earning more profit and the investor may take a decision in no time which can take him to an awkward position and finally he may have to suffer for the same. One of the very important points of a safe and better investment in the market is that an investor should have the power of being very patient. A patient investor is always wise and a winner too. The investor should not lose his patience and take a quick decision because that will lead him to take a bad and a wrong decision. Having patience in an individual will make him think a lot and accordingly will make him reach to a result of making the right and the correct decision.

Having good confidence

Confidence is the best way to reach to success but at the same time over confidence is a way to ruin one’s success. Therefore it is very much essential for an investor to be very confident and not being over confident in any situation. Being over confident he will not take the right rather commit a wrong decision and will eat loads of lose. It is not always possible that an individual will make the good and the right decision. Sometimes a perfect investor can also commit some mistake and tend to take wrong decision. Therefore an investor must consult his legal advisor about the situation of the market and what would be right, good and correct for the stock investment. But it does not mean that any other person is the right one from whom advice can be taken. It is a must to be kept in mind that avoid taking advice from people and make good and right decision and let your investment be safe and success. So you have come to know how to avoid wrong decision made by you in the market.