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You have got to be on familiar terms with the fact that no enormous accomplishment has been consummated devoid of research. A first round research is vital to reap luscious profits from any business, not only the stock market. A form of investment market is a kind of a fair-play market. A type of investment market is an open market for the trading of company-owned form of investment as well as their derivatives at a consented price. The stock market is vast and intimidating. It is a huge cash-flow jungle with all the big and accomplished players just knowing what to hunt for and getting their right kill! One wrong step and you can fall at the jaws of failure. However you need not fail, need you? Especially if you are armed to the teeth with extensive research outcomes and what to do’s and what not to do’s! It is a huge and all-inclusive network of quite a lot of thousands of economic transactions. It dos not have a physical existence as an entity. However at the same time the form of investments are listed on a physically existing entity known as the form of investment exchange. All stock exchanges also deal in form of investments traded confidentially. So research is the important thing in stock market

Non liquid securities

This basically points to a definite value. In addition to all this, the large proportion of derivatives nullify each other which only means that a derivative wager on the possibility of an event occurring or not occurring is pitted against a comparable lacking in originality ante on the event not in point of fact happening. A lot of such comparatively non liquid securities are valued as per the specific model in place of an actual price in the share market. The stock markets are lucrative, are a lot more safe and sound than stocks, and for the most part a great deal more logical thing to do for investors than painstakingly investing in the market. The stock markets actually reroute your hard earned money through numerous channels and a more than enough blend of sundry ventures, in conjunction with stocks, bonds, intercontinental ventures, in addition to new securities that in cooperation bring about an enormously extra defensive fortification than the share bazaar perhaps will for ever warranty.

The stock market provides a very good chance for form of investment investors to quickly make money as well as grow their made money. There is practically no better way around to making such easy money! Yet the reality remains that at the same time, the stock market is also very unpredictable and very precarious.

How to take home a first-class turnover from your investments?

Fulfill scores of research and research-related studies. A dead ringer for what they say spend a lot more time to perfect your tools of the trade and one hour to use the tools, in the same way you are wealthy and wise if you devote the maximum of your time to research rather than action. Construct a graphic representation of the major companies. Cram their form of investment market history. Zero in on companies that have the best record of form of investment market winnings – there are many of them out there! Moreover be on the look out for the silent ones. Some of them may not have come under the public eye yet the reality remains that have been doing rather well for themselves in the form of investment market. Make the most of on such opportunities if you happen to come across some. You need on no account be hard line in the form of investment market. Being hard line may give you big gains upon a period of time, yet the reality remains that at the same time, they also bring in big risks! Thus, for all intents and purposes, have patience and play it safe. Your income may not be something to brag about yet the reality remains that it will at least be consistent and you will have that all important gain in the haggle serenity. Peacefulness is the leading ingredient or conclusion in the stock market; and it is one of the toughest things to get your hands on.

This was a small session on how research is the important thing in stock market.

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OMCs reported decent results in Q3 driven by strong volume growth and inventory gains. Core earnings of OMCs adjusted for inventory gains/losses came in at Rs12.7/12.1/7.6/share for BPCL/HPCL/IOCL versus reported EPS of Rs15.7/15.7/8.4.

Marketing margin of BPCL/IOCL improved by 2.3%/2% qoq to Rs4,143/3,860/mt. However, HPCL’s margin contracted qoq by 13.1% to Rs4,058/mt. Total debt declined by 8.3% qoq but interest cost increased by 42% qoq to Rs11.8bn due to capitalization of IOCL’s Paradip refinery which led to increase in interest cost.

Adjusting for refining inventory gain, GRM for Q3FY17 for BPCL/HPCL/IOCL came in at $3.9/4.08/5.1/bbl. Gross UR on kerosene came in at Rs16bn which was entirely compensated by the government and thus there was no burden on OMCs.

After adjusting for one-offs, core earnings of IOCL & BPCL came in-line with our estimates but HPCL missed the mark on this metric as marketing margins disappointed. However, broadly reported earnings of all three OMCs were in-line.

Hence, we expect upgrades to FY17E EPS by 20-25% with FY18 EPS following suit. Also, the OMCs look attractive on a dividend yield basis (c5% on CMP). So, we maintain our buy BUY recommendation on all the three OMCs with IOCL being our most preferred pick.

IOCL outperformed on GRM

GRM for Q3FY17 for BPCL/HPCL/IOCL came in at $5.9/6.4/7.7/bbl which implies an increase of 90% qoq on an average. Increase in GRM was mainly driven by widening of product crack spreads due to tighter demand/supply dynamics in the market and inventory gains across the OMC pack with IOCL achieving the highest GRM.

 Blended marketing margin declined

The OMC pack witnessed a decline in marketing margins on a qoq/yoy by 3.5%/9.2% yoy to Rs4,020/mt (avg. of OMCs) as HPCL’s marketing margin fell by 13.1%. Petrol’s marketing margin during YTDFY17 averaged Rs1.54/ltr while diesel’s averaged Rs1.42/ltr.

Interest cost increased qoq

Overall borrowings of all the three OMCs on a qoq basis declined by 8.3% to Rs695bn. However, interest cost increased by 42% qoq to Rs11.8bn mainly due to capitalization of IOCL’s Paradip refinery which led to increase in interest cost

Overall market share increased

For Q3FY17, IOCL lost market share by 44bps to 42.92% and HPCL/BPCL gained market share by 66/6bps to 18.67%/19.65%. Combined market share of the OMC increased by 28bps qoq to 81.2%.

Reason for lower GRM in Q3 due to commissioning of Kochi refinery’s new units, the impact (around $1/bbl) of which will be there in Q4FY17 as well. Management has indicated 80% utilisation in FY18 of the incremental 6MT capacity in Kochi refinery. Incremental benefit in terms of GRM on entire 15Mt volume is expected to be around $2/bbl while opex will increase by $0.5/bbl. The FCCU will get commissioned in Q1FY18. Kochi Tax deferral on a sustainable basis is Rs2.5bn. p.a. for 15 years.

Kochi refinery’s GRM stood at $6.1/bbl while the GRM of Mumbai refinery was at $5.75/bbl

during the quarter.

PSU market share in petrol & diesel was c95% & slightly less than 95% respectively.

Loss due to discount of 0.75%on digital payments was about Rs.180-190mn. till Dec.

2016.

Increase in other operating expenditurewas largely on account of higher transportation

expense and no one-off items.

There was a 2% increase in diesel volume growthin 9MFY17 for the oil PSUs. However, due to competition private players have grown at a faster rate versus oil PSUs.

Digital paymentsaccount for around 28% of total marketing sales currently a bulk of which comes from the loyalty program.

9MFY17 capex was Rs120bn.out which Rs60bn. was spent on the Russian acquisition. Capex for FY17 is guided at Rs125bn. excluding the Russian acquisition. FY18 capex is guided at Rs80bn. and for FY19 it is Rs105bn.

FY18 regular maintenance capexshould be Rs30bn., refining capex should be Rs.25bn., marketing capex is Rs7.5bn. & E&P capex is guided at Rs15bn.

Consolidated debt stood at Rs300-320bn. Standalone debt is Rs160bn, BPRL is

Rs140bn. and Bina debt is at Rs40bn. $ denominated debt is 90%+ of the total d

ebt balance. Debt repayment in FY17 is around $300mn. which is due in March 2017 and another $250mn. in Nov.-Dec. FY18.

Scheduled maintenanceof Kochi refinery is scheduled for Oct.-Nov. 2017.

Petchem plant-It is expected to be commissioned by the end of

2018. Out of the total capex budget of Rs46bn., Rs.4.15bn. has already been spent.

Paradip refinery-It has fully stabilised as of now with all units including secondary units

currently operating. Utilisation was 80% in the last couple of months while the full year

averageutilisation stood at 63%. Product evacuation and pipeline dispatches have also

started. VAT deferment for Paradip would be cRs18bn. on an annual basis. Interest cost

expensed would be around Rs9.5bn. p.a. going forward while depreciation should be

Rs.12bn. p.a. Opex for Paradip refinery is $2/bbl which is in-line with the opex of IOCL’s

other refineries at $1.92/bbl. Going forward, GRM will improve significantly as the Paradip refinery processes 100% high sulphur crude from FY18.

GRM-Core GRM (ex. Paradip& inventory gains) was $5.47/bbl for Q3 ($4.79/bbl in

Q2FY17) while including inventory gains, GRM (ex. Paradip) stood at $7.67/bbl. Core GRM excluding inventory gain was $4.92/bbl in 9MFY17 ($7.95 including inventory gains).

Entry tax-IOCL has been affected in the states of Bihar, UP and Haryana. Most of the

entry tax related cases might go against IOCL. Rs.1,923crores of provision has been

created for entry tax related charges and the management doesn’t expect any such

provisions going forward.

Capex guidance-FY18 capex has been guided at Rs196bn. while FY19 capex has been

guided atRs250bn.

Debt-Total DebtofRs370bn., 70% is in foreign currency and 30% is in INR terms.

Other pointers-1)Market share in MS increased in Q3. 2) Fuel & loss stood at 8.5% in

9MFY17 which is slightly lower compared to the same period last year.

Outlook and Valuation

After adjusting for one-offs, core earnings of IOCL & BPCL came in-line with our estimates but HPCL missed the mark on this metric as marketing margins disappointed. However, broadly reported earnings of all three OMCs were in-line. Hence, we expect upgrades to FY17E EPS by 20-25% with FY18 EPS following suit. Also, the OMCs look attractive on a dividend yield basis (c5% on CMP). So, we maintain our BUY recommendation on all the the OMCs with IOCL being our most preferred pick.

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Events to watch this week

• Upbeat US data fuel growth, inflation hopes
• Yellen: Risky to wait too long to raise rates
• Mnuchin confirmed as US Treasury Secretary
• Greek bailout deadline in doubt

The Week ahead:

• US markets are closed for President's Day on Monday, 20 February
• China reports trade data on Tuesday, 21 February
• Flash purchasing managers’ indices are released globally on Tuesday, 21 February
• Eurozone consumer price data is reported on Wednesday, 22 February
• UK Q4 gross domestic product are reported on Wednesday, 22 February
• US existing home sales data are released on Wednesday, 22 February

For the week,Global equities continued their advance on increasing evidence of improved US economic growth and rebounding inflation. Major US indices again notched record highs during the week, though bond yields held steady. Despite the strong data, the yield on the 10-year US Treasury note fell to 2.415% from 2.43% a week ago. Oil prices dipped, with West Texas Intermediate crude at $53.50 a barrel versus $54.10 last week and global Brent falling to $55.60 from $57.10. Volatility, as measured by the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX), edged up to 12 from 10.9.

NIFTY- 8,821.70
CRUDE OIL-Rs 3,607barrel
GOLD-Rs 29,355 gram
Rs/$-Rs 67.02

MARKET ROUND UP

Indian equity benchmark indices viz. the S&P BSE Sensex and the Nifty 50 index registered small gains in the week ended Friday, 17 February 2017 amid mixed global cues. However, the overall sentiment in the broader market was subdued during the week.

The Sensex rose 134.50 points or 0.47% to settle at 28,468.75. The Nifty advanced 28.15 points or 0.32% to settle at 8,821.70. The BSE Mid-Cap index fell 0.33% and the BSE Small-Cap index declined 0.98%. Both these indices underperformed the Sensex.

Key benchmark indices eked out small gains in what was a volatile first trading day of the week on Monday, 13 February 2017. The Sensex had risen 17.37 points or 0.06% to settle at 28,351.62, its highest closing level since 6 February 2017.

Key benchmark indices settled with small declines in what was a lacklustre session of trade on Tuesday, 14 February 2017. The Sensex fell 12.31 points or 0.04% to settle at 28,339.31, its lowest closing level since 10 February 2017.

Macro Economic Front:

On the Economic Front,India's industrial production declined 0.4% in December 2016 over December 2015, snapping strong 5.7% growth recorded in November 2016. The manufacturing sector's production declined 2% in December 2016, contributing to the overall decline in industrial production.

The all-India general consumer price index (CPI) inflation dipped to 3.17% in January 2017 compared with 3.41% in December 2016. The data was announced after market hours on Monday, 13 February 2017.

The monthly inflation data based on wholesale price index (WPI) rose 5.25% (provisional) for the month of January 2017 as compared to 3.39% (provisional) for December 2016 and minus 1.07% during January 2016. The data was announced during market hours on Tuesday, 14 February 2017.

India's exports rose 4.32% to $22.11 billion in January 2017 and imports rose 10.7% to $31.95 billion. The data was announced after market hours on Wednesday, 15 February 2017. The monthly trade deficit narrowed slightly to $9.8 billion.

Major Action &Announcement:

Tata Motors tumbled 11.13%. The company's consolidated net profit fell 96.22% to Rs 111.57 crore on 4.31% decline in total income to Rs 68708.48 crore in Q3 December 2016 over Q3 December 2015. The result was announced during market hours on Tuesday, 14 February 2017.

Sun Pharmaceutical Industries (Sun Pharma) rose 3.11%. The company's consolidated net profit fell 4.72% to Rs 1471.82 crore on 10.13% rise in total income to Rs 8034.81 crore in Q3 December 2016 over Q3 December 2015. The result was announced during market hours on Tuesday, 14 February 2017.

Dr Reddy's Laboratories (DRL) declined 2.01%. The company said it received an unfavorable ruling in a US court regarding a patent infringement case. The announcement was made during market hours on Thursday, 16 February 2017.

DRL announced that the United States District Court for the District of New Jersey issued its opinion regarding Helsinn Healthcare's patent infringement claims against the company's proposed palonosetron product, pursuant to a paper NDA under section 505(b)(2) of the Food, Drug and Cosmetic Act.

Cipla advanced 2.29%. The company announced that it has launched adult Hepatitis B vaccine in India. Under a co-exclusive agreement with Serum Institute of India (SII), Cipla will market the vaccine for adults while SII will market it for adults and children. The announcement was made during trading hours on Friday, 17 February 2017.

Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone (APSEZ) fell 4.37%. The company's consolidated net profit rose 25.82% to Rs 849.75 crore on 29.48% rise in total income to Rs 2429.56 crore in Q3 December 2016 over Q3 December 2015. The result was announced during market hours on Tuesday, 14 February 2017.

TCS wasup 0.48%. The company said that its board will meet on 20 February 2017 to consider buyback of equity shares. The announcement was made after trading hours on Wednesday, 15 February 2017.

Tata Steel was up 0.04%. The company said that the National Trade Union Steel Coordinating Committee (Steel Committee) in the UK announced that its members have voted to support the company's proposals, including the proposal to close the pension scheme in the UK to future accrual. The announcement was made after trading hours on Wednesday, 15 February 2017.

Global Front:

In Overseas Markets,Japan's economy slowed again in the final quarter of 2016, as feeble spending by consumers took the shine off a pickup in exports and business investment. Japan's real gross domestic product grew 1% on an annualized basis in the three months through December for the fourth consecutive quarter of expansion, the longest stretch of gains since 2013, according to Cabinet Office data released on Monday, 13 February 2017.

China's producer price inflation picked up more than expected in January to near six-year highs. China consumer inflation also rose more than expected, nearing a three-year high as fuel and food prices jumped, data showed on Tuesday, 14 February 2017.

In US, retail sales rose 0.4% in January, a faster pace than had been expected, while the consumer price index rose 0.6% in the month, the largest amount in four years, though this was largely due to a rebound in the price of gasoline.

Global Economic News:

US economy shows signs of strength
After a run of strong economic data from the United States, hopes intensified this week that the reflationary period underway since late 2016 would prove more durable than the four prior upturns during the current business cycle, which began in early 2009. January retail sales were a major bright spot, rising a better-than-expected 0.4%, while December sales were revised up 1% versus a previously reported 0.6% advance. Firmer consumer prices at both the headline and core level, buoyant manufacturing output and upbeat regional Fed manufacturing surveys—particularly the Philadelphia Fed's manufacturing index — which soared to a 33-year high — added to investor optimism. 

Fed’s Yellen reiterates case for rate hikes
After a string of strong economic reports, markets expect the US Federal Reserve to hike rates in the first half of 2017, perhaps as soon as next month’s meeting of the Fed’s rate-setting committee. In congressional testimony this week, Chair Janet Yellen said that it would be risky to wait too long to raise interest rates and that the committee would consider hiking rates in coming meetings. Yellen holds press conferences once per quarter, and the two rate hikes this cycle have both come at meetings that were followed by press briefings. Her next press conference is scheduled for 15 March, with another on 14 June.

Mnuchin confirmed as Treasury pick
US president Donald Trump’s pick for treasury secretary, Steven Mnuchin, was confirmed by the US Senate this week and sworn into office shortly thereafter. Tax reform is expected to be Mnuchin's early focus with Trump unveiling his tax reform package in the next few weeks.

Greek bailout lenders at loggerheads
The International Monetary Fund and eurozone finance ministers remain at odds over the direction of the Greek bailout process. The two sides hope to iron out a deal early next week to allow the IMF to release €7 billion in aid to Greece ahead of European elections, which kick off next month. The creditors hope to keep Greece from becoming a campaign issue in elections in the Netherlands in March and in France in April and May for fear that the matter could further fuel an anti-European Union populist backlash. IMF and Eurogroup finance ministers have been unable to reach agreement on the IMF’s proposal to grant Greece some level of debt relief. Without that relief, the fund says, Greece’s debt is unsustainable.

GLOBAL CORPORATE NEWS

Comings and goings in Washington
It was an eventful week for appointees of President Trump. In addition to Mnuchin taking the helm at Treasury, the president accepted the resignation of his national security advisor, General Michael Flynn. Trump scrambled to nominate R. Alexander Acosta as labor secretary after fast food executive Andrew F. Puzder withdrew his nomination.

S&P 500 earnings on pace for back-to-back gains
With 75% of S&P 500 companies having reported (as of 15 February), aggregate earnings are up 5.2% year over year while revenues have grown 4.3%. According to Hedgeye Risk Management, if these trends hold up, the fourth quarter of 2016 will be the first time in two years that companies will have generated positive earnings for two straight quarters.

NEW 52-WEEK HIGH BSE (A):

NEW 52-WEEK LOWS BSE (A):

MAJOR WEEKLY GAINERS IN BSE A CATEGORY:

MAJOR WEEKLY LOSERS IN BSE A CATEGORY:

Eyes will be set on the certain US economic data releases are:

Monday (20 Feb)
US Holiday Market Closed

Tuesday (21 Feb)
PMI Manufacturing Index

Wednesday (22 Feb)
Existing Home Sales

Thursday (23 Feb)
Jobless Claims

Friday (24 Feb)
Consumer Sentiment

Fundamental Pick of the week:

Derivative Ideas Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Ltd For Target Rs. 980.00

After trading with bearish bias for over a week, GLENMARK posted decent recovery from day’s low on 16th February and settled near day’s high, indicating buyer’s interest at current levels. Early signs of recovery are also visible on the daily chart. Considering all, we recommend buying this stock.

Recommendation

Buy  Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Limited   @ 926-930 Stoploss 905 Target  980

Indian Market Outlook:

Markets rebounded swiftly today and gained over half a percent. The upbeat trade deficit figure aided a firm start which was supported by select index majors. Mostly sectoral indices traded in line with the benchmark and ended higher. Besides, recovery in the midcap and smallcap space added to the positivity. We feel the consolidation is not over yet and its range has slightly broadened now. A decisive move above 8850 in Nifty will trigger further up move else range bound bias will continue. Amidst all, stocks are witnessing moves on both sides so traders should focus more on trade management and maintain a balanced portfolio. .

*The Union Cabinet approved the merger of State Bank of India and its 5 associate banks - State Bank of Bikaner and Jaipur (SBBJ), State Bank of Hyderabad (SBH), State Bank of Mysore (SBM), State Bank of Patiala (SBP) and State Bank of Travancore (SBT). The listed associate banks closed up 3-4.5%.

*Bharat Forge announced signing an agreement for a Joint Venture with Israel Aerospace Industries (IAI). Kalyani Strategic Systems (KSSL) and IAI signed the MoU during the Aero-India exhibition at Bangalore. Shares of Bharat Forge closed up 6%.

*Cadila Healthcare announced that the USFDA has inspected the company's Moraiya plant and did not issue observation (483) which meant that the plant met the manufacturing norms successfully. Shares closed up by 19.8%.

TECHNICAL VIEW:

Conclusion:

The NIFTY seems to be locked in a tussle spacing 8827-8715, that’s around a 115 points. Index may now look for an immediate technical trigger to break this deadlock. Some correction towards 8640-8580 levels may set in, if prices break the low @ 8715 mark. In the medium term, the SUPPORT zone now shifts upwards to 8537, the 3 week LOW; followed by 8330, that corresponds to 5 week’s LOW. On the other hand, If 8850 gets breached convincingly, upside to the July 2016 HIGH @ 8935 would be in contention.