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US indices consolidate as rate hike certainty sees caution on stocks with bond yields rising as US Dollar gains.

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Indian Indices: Asian markets are also seeing consolidation as US indices close with minor losses with caution being the buzzword. With almost 85% probability of a rate hike by the US Federal Reserve on the March 15 markets have turned cautious and will see some more profit booking before the event to price in the same.

Nifty closed with minor losses as 8950 and above saw profit booking before the election results due this weekend. With next week being holiday, expect more volatility in the coming few days as investors book profit before the event with markets being closed on Monday. Metals, Banks and Pharma stocks could be under pressure with Energy, IT seeing buying for today.

The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 28920.60, down by 78.96 points or 0.27% after trading in a range of 28908.89 and 29022.32. There were 7 stocks advancing against 23 stocks declining on the index.

The broader indices were trading in red; the BSE Mid cap index was down by 0.31%, while Small cap index was down by 0.06%.

The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 8942.00, down by 4.90 points or 0.05% after trading in a range of 8939.85 and 8957.05. There were 22 stocks advancing against 29 stocks declining on the index.




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Technical view: Nifty finds strong support @ 8880-8900 while resistance comes around 9000. Bank Nifty sees support around 20400, which was the swing low last week while 20800 will act as resistance on the upside.


Trading ideas :IndusInd Bank (Buy above 1332 for Target of 1370 and SL 1315): After consolidating for the past five trading sessions, our analysis of the hourly time frame indicates that the stock has broken out from an inverse head and shoulder pattern, which is bullish in nature. The neckline breach has also been accompanied with credible volumes. IndusInd Bank has also closed above its short term 10-EMA, further accentuating our bullish stance on the stock.

Derivative Snippets: Markets ended yesterday’s trading session on a lackluster note. Nifty call and put options witnessed some buying interest, as the implied volatility of ATM/OTM options started to move up ahead of state election results.   

FIIs were net buyers in cash market segment to the tune of Rs 920 crore.

FII’s index future long/short ratio stands at 3.5x vs4.1x. Significant long and short positions to the tune of ~14k and ~13k contracts were added in index future.

Nifty Movers: The top gainers on Nifty were Kotak Mahindra Bank up by 1.71%, Yes Bank up by 1.70%, Power Grid up by 1.49%, ACC up by 1.34% and AurobindoPharma up by 0.87%.

On the flip side, BPCL down by 1.57%, Idea Cellular down by 1.52%, Hindalco down by 1.22%, HCL Technologies down by 1.05% and Infosys down by 0.89% were the top losers.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:  The only gainers on the BSE were Healthcare up by 0.15% and Bankex up by 0.09%, while Metal down by 1.27%, Oil & Gas down by 1.08%, Energy down by 0.88%, IT down by 0.71% and Realty down by 0.71% were the losing indices on BSE.

The top gainers on the Sensex were Power Grid up by 1.16%, HDFC up by 0.69%, NTPC up by 0.41%, Larsen & Toubro up by 0.36% and Cipla up by 0.28%.



On the global front: On the global front, Asian shares were trading mostly in green, as strong China trade data bolstered bets of a recovering global economy, though gains were capped by caution ahead of a widely expected US interest rate hike next week. Japan’s economy grew more than earlier estimated in the fourth quarter as capital expenditure grew at its fastest in almost three years, welcome news for policymakers as they begin to discuss how to wind down years of massive stimulus.


Global Signals:The Asian markets were trading mostly in green; KOSPI Index increased 0.86 points or 0.04% to 2,094.91, Shanghai Composite increased 1.05 points or 0.03% to 3,243.45, Taiwan Weighted increased 23.15 points or 0.24% to 9,761.22 and Hang Seng increased 95.21 points or 0.4% to 23,776.28.

On the other hand, Nikkei 225 decreased 111.9 points or 0.58% to 19,232.25, Jakarta Composite decreased 2.38 points or 0.04% to 5,400.23 and FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI decreased 1.96 points or 0.11% to 1,726.70.