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US stocks sell off as Trump led rally sees signs of fatigue. Oil prices weaken, bond yields also decline

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Indian Indices: Asian indices saw big cuts with the Japanese 'Nikkei' falling over 300 points after the Dow Jones had its biggest fall since President Trump got elected. US Dollar weakness, coupled with sell off in Banks and Energy saw the Brazilian 'Bovespa' index lead the losers with a fall of over 3%.


Nifty will also see opening below 9100 as foreign flows start to ebb even as domestic funds book profit aggressively. Bank stocks witnessed selling with Pharma being the big party pooper as Dr Reddy hit nearly 3 year lows after strong FDA observations. For today expect the euphoria over the 100% return in the new IPO to die down as the near term overbought market sees correction.   


The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 29236.90, down by 248.55 points or 0.84% after trading in a range of 29219.59 and 29341.41. There were 2 stocks advancing against 28 stocks declining on the index.

The broader indices were trading in red; the BSE Mid cap index was down by 1.07%, while Small cap index was down by 0.63%.

The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 9042.95, down by 78.55 points or 0.86% after trading in a range of 9036.15 and 9072.90. There were 4 stocks advancing against 46 stocks declining, while 1 stock remained unchanged on the index.

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Group ATopGainers

 

 

Company

Price (Rs)

% chg

Deltacorp

180.35

6.62

Sobha

337.80

6.38

NLINDIA

116.15

4.69

GMDCLTD

118.20

4.38

Group ATopLosers

 

 

RTNPower

7.63

-3.54

BEL

154.00

-3.39

Titan

448.25

-3.33

IIFL

375.90

-3.19

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Indices

Support

Resistanes

Sensex

29385

29585

Nifty

9090

9150

 

Technical view: Nifty did see a breach of 9119 intraday and that will today act as initial resistance on the upside while 9050 should act as strong support. Bank Nifty also broke the swing bottom of 21042, which will now act as resistance on the upside while 20850 will act as support.


 

Trading ideas :RECLTD (Buy above 167.5, for Target of 172, Stop Loss at 165.5): Stock last week broke out from a rising trend line on daily charts connecting previous two peaks. Stock couldn't convert the breakout with follow up buying and instead retested the trend line on the daily charts. In yesterday's trade REC witnessed smart recovery in second half with increase in traded volumes. This accentuates our bullish stance on the stock. We advise to Buy REC above Rs 167.5, Stop Loss at Rs 165.5 and Target of Rs 172.


Derivative Snippets: Nifty remains resilient as support level of 9100 holds for the 4 thday in a row. Index ATM/OTM call and put option strikes continue to remain under selling pressure as a long weekend before the March F&O nears.

D-Mart shimmered all day along, posting 117% gains on debut.

FIIs were net buyers in cash market segment to the tune of Rs 1663 crore.

FII’s index future long/short ratio at 3.3x.

Nifty Movers: The top gainers on Nifty were Axis Bank up by 1.72%, HCL Technologies up by 0.67%, Idea Cellular up by 0.11% and Power Grid up by 0.10%.

On the flip side, Hindalco down by 2.95%, BhartiAirtel down by 2.60%, BHEL down by 2.49%, Tata Motors down by 1.94% and Ultratech Cement down by 1.92% were the top losers.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:  The losing sectoral indices on the BSE were Metal down by 1.71%, Consumer Durables down by 1.65%, Telecom down by 1.59%, Basic Materials down by 1.32% and Auto down by 1.29%, while there were no gainers.

The top gainers on the Sensex were Axis Bank up by 1.68% and Power Grid up by 0.05%.

 

 

 On the global front: On the global front, Asian shares were trading in red, as growing doubts about US President Donald Trump’s economic growth agenda prompted investors to dump risky assets and to rush to safe havens such as gold and government bonds.

 

Global Signals:The Asian markets were trading in red; Nikkei 225 decreased 366.24 points or 1.88% to 19,089.64, Hang Seng decreased 355.79 points or 1.45% to 24,237.33, Taiwan Weighted decreased 68.68 points or 0.69% to 9,903.81, Jakarta Composite decreased 30.07 points or 0.54% to 5,513.03, Shanghai Composite decreased 25 points or 0.77% to 3,236.61, FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI decreased 15.08 points or 0.86% to 1,739.59 and KOSPI Index decreased 12.21 points or 0.56% to 2,166.17.

 

Global markets in consolidation mode as oil weakness hurts energy stocks, even as Japanese yen strengthens against the US Dollar.

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Indian Indices: Asian indices opened flat with the Japanese 'Nikkei' losing over 130 points as Yen strengthens. With drop in oil prices, exporters face the brunt as energy stocks decline. Consolidation for this week could be the theme as markets digest the recent gains.


Nifty faced selling pressure from opening bell and closed below the 9150 mark as domestic profit booking was the order of the day. With a big IPO listing today expect market focus on stock/sector to continue as indices may remain range bound. For today expect IT, Auto and Metals to be under pressure with FMCG and Pharma stocks witnessing buying,


The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 29483.12, down by 35.62 points or 0.12% after trading in a range of 29458.03 and 29585.05. There were 12 stocks advancing against 18 stocks declining on the index.

The broader indices were trading in red; the BSE Mid cap index was down by 0.58%, while Small cap index was down by 0.27%.

The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 9116.90, down by 9.95 points or 0.11% after trading in a range of 9107.90 and 9147.75. There were 20 stocks advancing against 31 stocks declining on the index.

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Group ATopGainers

 

 

Company

Price (Rs)

% chg

NLCIndia

104.10

7.57

JKlakshmi

455.00

5.72

Cox & Kings

207.95

2.51

Repcohome

689.00

2.02

Group ATopLosers

 

 

Divislab

650.00

-17.79

Idea

90.75

-7.02

Drreddy

2630.

-4.10

Axisbank

489.50

-2.94

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Indices

Support

Resistanes

Sensex

29559

29780

Nifty

9130

9205

 

Technical view: Nifty finds strong support around 9080 with 9218 acting as resistance on the upside. Bank Nifty also faces resistance @ 21350 on the upside with 21042 acting as first support, followed by 20850 on the downside.


 

Trading ideas :BFUTILITIE (Buy above 417, for Target of 435, SL at 407): Stock has broken out of a symmetrical triangle pattern on daily charts. The breakout is witnessed post the stock making a good base with spurt in volumes. Oscillators indicate strength in the current momentum to continue. We advise to Buy BF Utilities above Rs 417, Stop Loss at Rs 407 and Target of Rs 435.


Derivative Snippets: Markets consolidate and trade with a negative bias in the last trading session. Index ATM/OTM call and put option strikes were under selling pressure as markets traded in a narrow range throughout the day.

Idea 90PE(March 30 Expiry) saw a huge build-up of long positions with rising implied volatility, indicating a continued selling pressure throughout this F&O series.

FIIs were net buyers in cash market segment to the tune of Rs 57 crore.

FII’s index future long/short ratio at 3.3x vs 3.1x.

Nifty Movers: The top gainers on Nifty were Idea Cellular up by 3.33%, Grasim Industries up by 1.74%, BhartiInfratel up by 1.42%, HCL Tech up by 1.40% and Tech Mahindra was up by 0.84%. On the flip side, Infosys down by 1.99%, ICICI Bank down by 1.94%, Axis Bank down by 1.42%, TCS down by 1.29% and Tata Steel was down by 1.28% were the top losers.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:  The top gainers on the Sensex were Lupin up by 0.84%, Adani Ports &Special up by 0.74%, Cipla up by 0.59%, ONGC up by 0.58% and Hero MotoCorp was up by 0.44%. On the flip side, ICICI Bank down by 1.96%, Infosys down by 1.92%, Axis Bank down by 1.40%, TCS down by 1.27% and Tata Steel was down by 1.19% were the top losers.

 

 

 

On the global front: On the global front, Asian shares were trading mostly in green, while the dollar and US bond yields were on the back foot on the prospect of a less-hawkish Federal Reserve policy trajectory. Japan’s Nikkei was trading in red weighed by financial stocks, which were hurt by lower US yields and exporter stocks, which fell on the yen’s gains against the dollar.

 

Global Signals:The Asian markets were trading mostly in green; FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI increased 3.36 points or 0.19% to 1,752.77, Shanghai Composite increased 8.08 points or 0.25% to 3,258.88, Jakarta Composite increased 12.44 points or 0.22% to 5,546.43, KOSPI Index increased 21.73 points or 1.01% to 2,178.74, Taiwan Weighted increased 49.58 points or 0.5% to 9,962.55 and Hang Seng increased 50.74 points or 0.21% to 24,552.73.On the other hand, Nikkei 225 decreased 67.29 points or 0.34% to 19,454.30.

 

Indian benchmarks snap two days winning streak; Nifty ends below 9,150 mark-Research report-Sharetipsinfo

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Indian equity markets commenced the week on a sluggish note as the benchmarks showcased an unenthusiastic performance on Monday and settled with moderate cuts of over quarter percent. Marketmen turned cautious over the Centre's future reform policies in view of appointment of Yogi Adityanath as the Chief Minister of the country's most populous state. The MP from Gorakhpur, who lacks administrative experience, was unanimously elected the BJP legislature party leader at a meeting of the newly elected MLAs, in a move that took many by surprise. Sentiments remained subdued with a report that the all India Consumer Sentiments Index, measured by the BSE and CMIE, has hit a one-year low at 92.25 compared to 99.65 a year ago. This comes even as the wholesale price index based inflation jumped up to a 39-month high of 6.55%. However, losses remained capped with the report that the Cabinet approved four bills to implement a planned Goods and Services Tax (GST) bills, paving the way for Prime Minister NarendraModi to implement the landmark tax reform from July. The four bills are likely to be taken up by Parliament this week and a separate state GST bill in state assemblies later. Some support also came with the report that the implementation of GST is likely to be fiscally neutral and its impact on inflation is expected to be less than 20 basis points. Further, India has begun the process of dismantling some of the last remaining controls in the foreign direct investment (FDI) framework. The department of economic affairs (DEA) has floated a draft Cabinet note for inter-ministerial consultation to scrap the Foreign Investment Promotion Board (FIPB), in line with a plan announced by finance minister ArunJaitley in his February 1 budget.

The benchmark got off to a sedate opening tracking the dismal leads prevailing in Asian markets following Wall Street's declines and the G20's decision to drop a pledge to avoid trade protectionism. Thereafter, the indices traded in tight range below neutral line with moderate losses for most part of the session. Finally, the NSE Nifty, took a cut of over quarter percent to settle below the crucial 9,150 support level, while BSE Sensex slipped by over hundred points and closed above the psychological 29,500 mark.

 

Global Market Overview 

Asian markets made a mixed closing on Monday

Asian equity markets ended mixed on Monday following Wall Street's decline and the G20's decision to drop a pledge to avoid trade protectionism, while the Federal Reserve's less hawkish-thanexpected comments continued to weigh on the dollar. Chinese stocks bucked the weak trend to close higher, as gains among energy stocks offset declines in the realty sector. China's property market picked pace in February despite the government announcing a raft of measures to temper speculative demand, data showed on Saturday. Japanese markets were closed for the Vernal Equinox holiday.

 

US markets closed mostly lower on Monday

The US markets closed mostly lower on Monday, as investors were reluctant to make big bets without major economic or corporate news. Chicago Fed President Charles Evans said that the Federal Reserve is on track to raise interest rates twice more this year after a policy tightening last week and it could be more or less aggressive depending on inflation and fiscal policies from the Trump administration. The public comments from Evans were among the first since the US central bank lifted its policy rate a notch last week, as expected. It also forecast roughly two more moves in 2017 in a nod to low unemployment and some inflation pressures. Evans, who is a voter on the Fed’s policy-setting committee this year and supported last week’s move, also echoed a comment from Fed Chair Janet Yellen that suggested the central bank could try to push inflation, now at 1.7 percent, above a 2-percent target. Evans added that while that level of growth could be reached in any given year, he said it was hard to imagine given the economy is already doing well, the labor market is very strong, and sectors like automobile sales are at all-time highs. There is room to get inflation up to 2 percent and in fact going beyond 2 percent a little bit to make sure we get there, and that it’s a symmetric inflation objective.

On the economy front, the Chicago Fed national activity index rose more-than-expected last month. Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago said that Chicago Fed National Activity Index rose to a seasonally adjusted 0.34, from -0.02 in the preceding month whose figure was revised up from -0.05.

Technical Overview 

MARKET SYNOPSIS

* Yesterday, NSE-NIFTY witnessed sharp decline in the initial trade and later spent entire session oscillating in narrow range. Finally after registering high of 9,168 and low of 9,116 levels closed the day at 9,127 mark with loss of 33 points.

* NSE Cash segment has reported turnover of Rs22,650crore as compared to Rs31,890 crore earlier.Overall market breadth turned negative, where 787 stocks advanced against 860 declined stocks.

* Mixed trend was observed across all the sectoral indices during the day, where none of the sectoral indices reported gain of more than 0.5%. However, IT index emerged as a top loser with the decrease of 1.1%. 

NSE-NIFTY OUTLOOK

NSE-NIFTY slipped to three day low as index failed to continue prior daily up-trend. As mentioned earlier, our technical view will remain positive on NIFTY, but some decline or sideways movement cannot be ruled out before index resumes the uptrend and records fresh high, as (i) negative market breadth, (ii) overbought indicators and (iii) lack of positive trigger in market are signaling the same. On the lower side, NIFTY will find immediate support around break-out line (i.e. placed around 9,120 level) and in case of further fall, psychological mark-9,000 will continue to work as key support level. On the higher side, index major resistance observed around 9,200 and then at 9,500 levels.

As for the day, support is placed at around 9,050 and then at 9,000 levels, while resistance is observed at 9,170 and then around at 9,220 levels.

Vivimed labs Hyderabad company-Research Report- Sharetipsinfo

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Text Box: Company Overview:Vivimed Labs is a Hyderabad based manufacturer focused on pharmaceutical and speciality chemical sector. Company has 11 manufacturing plants (eight domestic and three overseas) across three continents. The healthcare vertical is engaged in the custom manufacturing, APIs and formulations for leading generics-manufacturing companies. The specialty chemicals segment produces active ingredients for a range of home, personal care and industrial products. In our recent interaction, management sounded optimistic about pharma driven revenue growth and maintaining lighter balance sheet.

 

Devlopment Growth:

Divestment to deleverage and refocus

In FY16, Vivimed divested a part of its Specialty Chemical business (comprising Home and Personal Care segments) to Clariant India for consideration of INR 3.25bn. This divestment was to reduce debt and to refocus on pharma and speciality chemical segments. With this divestment, Vivimed plans to focus on growing Pharmaceutical API, CMO and Finished Dosage formulations businesses in regulated markets. In speciality chemicals, company has retained niche business like photochromic, imaging chemicals, anti-microbial, hair colour etc. to drive growth and profitability. Divested product lines had a revenue of INR 1,450 mn with an EBIDTA margin of 20%. Vivimed has managed to reduce net debt from INR 9850 mn in FY15 to INR 8075 mn in H1FY17 and further decline is expected till INR 7000 mn by Q4FY17. Vivimed also sold branded ophthalmic formulations business (KlarSehenPvt ltd) for consideration of INR 730 mn in H1FY17 which will further help in debt reduction.

 

Performance highlights:.

Sector Line:

Pharmaceutical segment

Company manufactures APIs and formulations across diverse therapeutic segments and has a strong marketing presence across regulated and emerging markets. Vivimed partners with leading global pharmaceutical companies for custom manufacturing (CMO) assignments for APIs and generic formulations. It is associated with companies like Novartis, CIPLA, Wockhardt etc. and ~55-60% manufacturing capacity is used for contract manufacturing (gets fixed margins). Company is planning to reduce exposure of CMO (currently ~30% of pharma revenue; EBITDAM 16-18%) and focus on high margin API/formulation business.

Company manufactures APIs across 15+ therapeutic segments from three facilities (in Spain and Mexico). Anti-ulcer is a key therapeutic segment followed by anthelmintic, antidepressants, anti-infectives, anti-HIV etc. Company has relationships with 100+ customers across 70 countries and has filed 50+ DMFs with the USFDA and 150+ active DMFs worldwide. Vivimed has received ANDA for five products in US and it has commercialized 4 products namely Losartan, Donepezil, Amlodipine and Metronidazole. With increasing ANDA product launches, Alathur capacity utilization is expected to jump ~55-60% by FY18 vizaviz current ~35% utilization. In spite of competitive market, management expects steady (10- 15%) growth from formulation business. Vivimed plans to focus on molecules going off patent in FY18-19 and has 5-6 molecules in pipeline which will be commercialized in next 2-3 years.

 

Speciality Chemicals

The company had two facilities for Speciality Chemicals, Hyderabad and Bidar, of which Hyderabad facility will be transferred to Clariant post the sale of a portion of a speciality chemical business. Company has retained niche business like photochromic, imaging chemicals, anti-microbial, hair colour etc. Vivimed is in advanced talks with Japanese client for supplying key photochromic products. Company expects significant revenue contribution from photochromic with premium margins (~45-50%) in coming years. Vivimed has long standing relationships with companies like P&G, L'Oreal, Johnson& Johnson etc. for hair dyes and microbial segment. Company is working on complete range of photochromic products and other hair/shampoo related products to expand product/consumer base in coming years.


 

Highlights the fact:

1)Company has 11 manufacturing plants (eight domestic and three overseas) across three continents.

2)In speciality chemicals, company has retained niche business like photochromic, imaging chemicals, anti-microbial, hair colour etc. to drive growth and profitability.

3)Company is planning to reduce exposure of CMO (currently ~30% of pharma revenue; EBITDAM 16-18%) and focus on high margin API/formulation business.

4)Vivimed has received ANDA for five products in US and it has commercialized 4 products namely Losartan, Donepezil, Amlodipine and Metronidazole.

5)Vivimed plans to focus on molecules going off patent in FY18-19 and has 5-6 molecules in pipeline which will be commercialized in next 2-3 years.

 

Technically View:

 

The stock is currently trading above 50 days and 100 days, moving average that is all about good bullish& uptrend signal on daily base. RSI &MFI is present at 66 and 74respectivally, which is sideways& showing the uptrend formation for the short term period. The stock is currently in uptrend and now someupside is expecting with major support is found 90level. MACD line is greaterthen signal line 10 day Avg Volume is very high.

 

Nifty consolidates after a new high; Idea down 4%, sugar stocks rally

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Indian Indices: After paring some of their gains in early noon session, Indian equity benchmarks showed some recovery in late afternoon session and continued their trade in green with gain of around quarter of a percent. Sentiments remained upbeat as the Goods and Services Tax (GST) Council cleared all legislations required for marking a big step forward in India's plans for a countrywide rollout of the new tax regime from July 1. 

Traders took some encouragement with the Economic Affairs Secretary ShaktikantaDas’s statement that the Indian economy is strong enough to absorb the impact of the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate hike. Meanwhile, global rating agency Crisil blamed divergent growth dataprints for WPI-CPI variance. It said the main reason for the faster growth in manufacturing GDP is that growth in the value of inputs used for production has been slower than the value of the final output.

The BSE Sensex is currently closed at 29648.99, up by 63.14 points or 0.21% after trading in a range of 29627.62 and 29824.62. There were 11 stocks advancing against 18 stocks declining on the index, while 1 stock remained unchanged.

The broader indices were trading mixed; the BSE Mid cap index was down by 0.20%, while Small cap index was up by 0.01%.

The CNX Nifty is currently shut at 9160.05, up by 6.35 points or 0.07% after trading in a range of 9147.60 and 9218.40. There were 17 stocks advancing against 34 stocks declining on the index.

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Top Movers (Group A)

 

 

Company

Cmp

% chg

Gainers

 

 

M&M Fin

311.25

5.71

Sadbhav

307.00

5.48

RTNPower

7.59

5.27

Torntpharm

1447.55

5.48

Losers

 

 

JPAssociat

14.00

-5.72

IDEA

107.90

-4.47

CRISIL

1889.70

-4.07

Wabag

601.15

-3.12

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Index

Close

% Chg

Sensex

29,648.99

0.21

Nifty

9,160.05

0.07

 

Crporate Front: The total coal imports have been consistently reducing over the last three years, said PiyushGoyal, union minister of state (I/C) for coal, power, new & renewable energy and mines in a written reply in LokSabha. The Minister said in a statement that, “In 2016-17, as on 31.12.2016, the figure has reduced to 144.87 MT as compared to 146.12 MT for the same period in 2015-16.

 

Macroeconomic front: HDFC Chairman Deepak Parekh on Friday said the Goods and Services Tax (GST) regime can push up the country's growth by as much as 150-200 basis points (bps)."If we have a good GST system, lot of experts say GDP could go up by 150-200 bps," Parekh said at the India Today Conclave here.

 

On the global front: On the global front, European markets were trading in red as they took a bit of a breather after hitting record highs during Thursday's trading and investors also awaited euro zone trade figures and a G20 finance ministers meeting in Germany. However, Asian markets were trading in green. Back home, in scrip specific development, Trent traded higher after the company redeemed Commercial Paper amounting Rs 50 crore on March 14, 2017. The said Commercial Papers were issued on September 15, 2016.


Commodity Updates:

Commodity Prices (MCX):

Commodity

Rs

% Chang

Gold

28509.00

0.34

Silver

40873.00

0.68

Crude oil

3208.00

0.5

Natural Gas

190.20

-0.94

Alluminium

124.60

0.61

Copper

389.45

0.44

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were FMCG up by 3.01%, IT up by 0.66%, TECK up by 0.16% and Realty up by 0.13%, while Telecom down by 2.07%, PSU down by 0.69%, Bankex down by 0.51%, Capital Goods down by 0.49% and Utilities down by 0.46% were the top losing indices on BSE.

Top Nifty Movers:The top gainers on Nifty were ITC up by 6.23%, Wipro up by 1.59%, Tata Power up by 1.52%, Infosys up by 1.39% and HCL Tech up by 1.30%. On the flip side, Idea Cellular down by 3.50%, BhartiAirtel down by 2.73%, Tata Motors - DVR down by 1.96%, Bank of Baroda down by 1.90% and SBI down by 1.58% were the top losers.

 

Global Signals:

Asian markets were trading mostly in green; FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI increased 11.15 points or 0.64% to 1,748.29, KOSPI Index increased 14.5 points or 0.67% to 2,164.58, Hang Seng increased 21.65 points or 0.09% to 24,309.93 and Taiwan Weighted increased 70.86 points or 0.72% to 9,908.69. On the flip side, Nikkei 225 decreased 68.55 points or 0.35% to 19,521.59, Shanghai Composite decreased 31.49 points or 0.96% to 3,237.45 and Jakarta Composite decreased 16.19 points or 0.29% to 5,502.05.

European markets were trading mostly in red; Germany’s DAX decreased 51.36 points or 0.43% to 12,031.82 and France’s CAC decreased 5.06 points or 0.1% to 5,008.32. On the flip side, UK’s FTSE 100 increased 5.12 points or 0.07% to 7,421.07.

 

Federal Reserve raises rates by 25 basis points which saw US Dollar fall while stock indices rally

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Indian Indices: Asian indices opened in the green after a strong triple digit rally overnight on the Dow Jones as the Fed rate hike got discounted by the markets. US Dollar fell even as bond yields corrected with gold prices rising as the Fed indicated gradual rise in rates over the year.


Nifty will witness new highs on opening bell as foreign flows continue to be big buyers even as domestic mutual funds book profit. Rupee strength, improving longer term macros and local liquidity, all are seeing re-rating of Indian equities. For today expect mid-cap outperformance to continue even as foreign investors buy large cap heavy weights.


The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 29590.75, up by 192.64 points or 0.66% after trading in a range of 29482.83 and 29614.79. There were 27 stocks advancing against 3 stocks declining on the index.

The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index surged 0.99%, while Small cap index was up by 0.91%.

The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 9145.95, up by 61.15 points or 0.67% after trading in a range of 9128.55 and 9152.90. There were 48 stocks advancing against 3 stocks declining on the index.

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Group ATopGainers

 

 

Company

Price (Rs)

% chg

PCJeweller

402.10

4.32

Jindalstel

128.20

4.31

Adaniports

321.00

3.58

Balkrisind

1427.00

3.53

Group ATopLosers

 

 

Srtransfin

1047.20

-2.28

Concor

1232.00

-1.83

Cadilahc

443.40

-1.34

Unitdspr

2235.00

-1.46

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Indices

Support

Resistanes

Sensex

29345

29550

Nifty

9055

9120

 

Technical view: Nifty finds strong support around 9050 while 9200 will act as resistance on the upside. Bank Nifty also finds strong support around 21000 while 21500 will act as resistance on the upside.


 

Trading ideas :Adani Enterprise (Buy above 101 for Target of 110 Stop Loss at 96.5): After being stuck in a narrow trading range for over 6 weeks, the stock is finally on the verge of a consolidation breakout. Volumes have already given a confirmation of the ongoing positive upswing. Other momentum oscillators also indicate strength in the current up move.


Derivative Snippets: In the yesterday’s trade, markets finally took a breather and ended the trade on a lackluster note. Nifty IT index was the biggest loser as Indian Rupee surpassed its June 2015 high. Short covering in Nifty 9000CE and short selling in 9000CE was witnessed.

FIIs were net buyers in cash market segment to the tune of Rs 1141 crore.

FII’s index future long/short ratio at 3x. Long positions were created in Index options in yesterday’s day.


Nifty Movers: The top gainers on Nifty were Adani Ports up by 3.24%, Tata Steel up by 2.61%, HCL Tech up by 1.81%, Hindalco up by 1.62% and Tata Motors - DVR was up by 1.52%. On the flip side, BhartiAirtel down by 0.80%, Hero MotoCorp down by 0.56% and Reliance Industries down by 0.38% were the few losers.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:  The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Metal up by 1.67%, Capital Goods up by 1.32%, Industrials up by 1.31%, Basic Materials up by 1.18% and IT was up by 1.12%, while Telecom down by 0.07% was the lone losing index on BSE.The top gainers on the Sensex were Adani Ports up by 3.58%, Tata Steel up by 2.41%, Larsen & Toubro up by 1.66%, Infosys up by 1.27% and Wipro was up by 1.27%. On the flip side, BhartiAirtel down by 0.67%, Hero MotoCorp down by 0.50% and Reliance Industries down by 0.31% were the few losers.

 

 

On the global front: On the global front, Global cues too provided strength to domestic bourses with Asian markets rallying at this point of time after the US Federal Reserve hiked interest rates, as expected, but signalled ‘gradual’ rises. The US markets bounced back in last session; with all the major bourses posting gains of over half a percent.

 

Global Signals:Asian markets were trading in green; KOSPI Index increased 11.64 points or 0.55% to 2,144.64, FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI gained 15.42 points or 0.9% to 1,732.78, Nikkei 225 rose 19.12 points or 0.1% to 19,596.50, Shanghai Composite jumped 21.32 points or 0.66% to 3,263.08, Jakarta Composite surged 55.77 points or 1.03% to 5,488.15, Taiwan Weighted added 88.89 points or 0.91% to 9,829.20 and Hang Seng was up by 311.21 points or 1.31% to 24,104.06.

 

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Domestic Market View :

Markets to make a positive start reacting to assembly results and IIP data

The Indian markets before going for a long weekend made a flat closing with a positive bias. Today, the start is likely to be in green and the traders will be rejoicing the assembly election outcome, which was mostly on the expected lines. A strong election win in the largest state of Uttar Pradesh has raised the probability of the BJP winning the 2019 general elections as well, putting sense of stability among investors. Traders are also likely to get support from the economy front, where the industrial production bounced back into expansion in January, kicking off the financial year’s last quarter on a positive note. The index of industrial production (IIP) rose 2.7% in January from a year ago, the second fastest monthly growth this financial year. However, there will be some cautiousness too, with the RBI warning of a possible spike in inflation and stressing the need to make digital payments “safe and secure”, even as it felt that the adverse and transient impact on the economy has “by and large” dissipated already. Traders will be eyeing the inflation data to be released later in the day for further cues. The banking stocks will keep buzzing, as the Finance Minister Arun Jaitley has discussed options on resolution of bad loans with RBI Governor Urjit Patel and other top officials in finance ministry but creation of a 'bad bank' to hold such loans seemed not on top of alternatives.

Indian benchmarks end marginally higher ahead of assembly elections results

Indian benchmark indices give up most of their early gains to close marginally higher on Friday, amid profit taking in selective frontline stocks. Today’s session largely remained characterized by consolidation as the aimless indices moved only sideways in a tight band ahead of Assembly poll results of five states on Saturday. Sentiments got some support after various exit polls suggested the Prime Minister Narendra Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) may comfortably cross the majority mark of 202 in the 403-seat UP Assembly, or come close to it. As for other states, most exit polls said the BJP was likely to retain power in Goa and wrest power from the Congress in Uttarakhand. Further, investors got some comfort with the report that the government's revenue collection from indirect tax during April-February grew by an impressive 22.2%, while that of direct tax rose by 10.7%. Total direct and indirect tax collections at February end stood at Rs 13.89 lakh crore, 81.5% of the target of Rs 16.99 lakh crore, as per the revised estimate for 2016-17. 

However, gains remained capped with CRISIL’s report that a revival in private sector investment cycle is likely to be deferred to fiscal 2019 as there is ample headroom in capacity utilization, stretched balance sheets and just a moderate pick-up in demand. In the next fiscal year ending March 2018, CRISIL predicts only a mild recovery due to an absence of fiscal and monetary stimuli and unsupportive global environment. Meanwhile, Telecom stocks gained traction on the report that the government is set to go for 5G spectrum auction this year -making an early move to initiate rollout of latest communications technologies. The government will also go for a fresh auction in 700 MHz band, which drew a blank last year as companies complained of high reserve price. Further, some auto stocks surged after the Vehicle sales across categories registered a marginal increase at 17,19,699 units in February 2017 from 17,03,736 in the same month last year. Domestic passenger vehicle sales rose by 9.01% y-o-y to 255,359 units in February, while Sales of commercial vehicles moved up 7.34% to 66,939 units in February. On the other hand, shares of gold loan companies like Manappuram Finance edged lower after the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) said NBFCs cannot lend more than Rs 20,000 in cash against gold. Earlier, NBFCs were allowed to disburse high value loans of Rs 1 lakh and above against gold only through cheque.

Global Market Overview 

Asian markets made a mixed closing on Thursday

The US markets closed mostly higher on Monday, as investors refrained from making sizable bets ahead of a Federal Reserve meeting that is widely expected to deliver an interest-rate increase. With no economic data, investors were instead focusing on the two-day Federal Open Market Committee meeting that kicks off Tuesday. Investors will be eager to glean signals about the timing and pace of future rate increases from the FOMC’s policy statement. The market is pricing in about three rate increases of a quarter of a percentage point each for 2017. The market sees an 88.6% probability that the policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee will vote for an interest-rate Wednesday, according to data from the CME Group. Expectations for a rate increase were cemented after solid February nonfarm-payroll data on Friday. According to a Federal Reserve Bank of New York survey released showed that a measure of US inflation expectations mostly flattened in February after having risen in the previous two months. The survey of consumer expectations, an increasingly influential gauge of prices for the US central bank, showed that year-ahead inflation expectations were flat at 3 percent last month. The three-year ahead reading edged up to 3 percent, from 2.9 percent in January.

The Nasdaq was up 14.05 points or 0.24 percent to 5,875.78, S&P 500 gained 0.87 points or 0.04 percent to 2,373.47, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 21.5 points or 0.10 percent to 20,881.48.

Economic Overview 

January IIP surges to 2.7% against -0.4% in December

 

In a positive surprise, industrial output rose to 2.7% in January as compared to -0.4% in December. The cumulative growth for the period April-January 2016-17 over the corresponding period of the previous year stood at 0.6 percent.

Govt releases the draft rules for security of prepaid payment instruments

 

In a bid to make electronic payments more secure, the government has released the draft rules for transactions made through prepaid payment instruments (PPIs) like mobile wallets, smart cards and paper vouchers. The draft IT (Security of Prepaid Payment Instruments) Rules 2017, formulated by the Ministry of Electronics and Information Technology (MeitY) will ensure adequate integrity, security and confidentiality of electronic payments effected through PPIs. Till date, these instruments are not governed by norms or rules, as far as cyber security issues are concerned.

 

As per the draft rules, the PPIs need to ensure end-to-end encryption of the data exchanged. Besides, the e-PPI issuers should assist customers with regard to secure use of the prepaid payment instruments and should have a privacy policy posted on its website.

 

They will also have to appoint a chief grievance officer, whose contact details will have to be prominently displayed on the website and procedure by which customers or any other person who suffers as a result of violation of these rules can make complaints to the Grievance Officer.

 

Furthermore, the PPI issuer will also need to establish a mechanism for monitoring, handling and follow-up of any cyber incidents and breaches. The rules also specify that every wallet issuer should review its security measures at least once a year, and after any major security incident or breach, or before a major change to its infrastructure or procedures. The last date for submittingcomments on the draft is March 20.

 

Indian govt continue to engage with Trump administration on H1B visa issue

 

In order to ease the worries of Indian professionals over H1B visa, the government has said that the steps taken by the US were aimed at illegal immigration and added that they would continue to engage with both members of the US administration as well as members of the US Congress on their interests and concerns pertaining to not just H1B visa but other issues as well.

 

Talking on the discussions held between Foreign Secretary S. Jaishankar with his interlocutors in the US last week, External Affairs Ministry Spokesperson Gopal Baglay has said that there was a strong recognition as well as respect for Indian skills and contribution of the Indian technological manpower to the US economy. He also said it has been India's view that the presence of skilled Indian professionals is positive for the US economy as well, particularly when the US seeks to build a stronger economy. He pointed out that there are other advantages from the presence of Indian professionals in the US like backward linkages.

 

Calling the H1B visas a trade and business issue, Baglay further said that their views have been clearly conveyed to the concerned US interlocutors. He also said that the government believes that the plans of the US Administration for the US economy present an opportunity for the two countries to further consolidate their strong economic partnership.

Sensex, Nifty close flat ahead of poll results; ICICI Bank down

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Indian Indices: Indian equity indices pared their initial gains to trade flat in late afternoon session as investors eagerly awaited results of assembly elections in five states due tomorrow and Federal Reserve policy meeting next week. Moreover, industrial production (IIP) data for January, scheduled to be released after market hours today, also influenced sentiments. Some concerns came with the ICRA’s report that higher oil and gold imports are likely to widen the current account deficit (CAD) to $30 billion or 1.2 percent of GDP in the fiscal 2017-18 from $20 billion or 0.9 percent of GDP in 2017, arresting the trend of moderation recorded for four consecutive years since fiscal 2014. 

 However, market participants got some comfort with the report that the government's revenue collection from indirect tax during April-February grew by an impressive 22.2 percent, while that of direct tax rose by 10.7 percent. Total direct and indirect tax collections at February end stood at Rs 13.89 lakh crore, 81.5 percent of the target of Rs 16.99 lakh crore, as per the revised estimate for 2016-17.

The BSE Sensex is currently closed at 28946.23, up by 17.10 points or 0.06% after trading in a range of 28937.07 and 29076.63. There were 13 stocks advancing against 17 stocks declining on the index.The broader indices were trading mixed; the BSE Mid cap index was down by 0.12%, while Small cap index was up by 0.14%.

The CNX Nifty is currently shut up at 8934.55, up by 7.55 points or 0.08% after trading in a range of 8927.05 and 8975.70. There were 24 stocks advancing against 27 stocks declining on the index.

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Top Movers (Group A)

 

 

Company

Cmp

% chg

Gainers

 

 

Centralbk

97.70

9.47

IIFL

388.55

6.42

PVR

1424.00

5.67

Jindalstel

125.50

6.13

Losers

 

 

Manappura

90.50

-4.54

Muthootfin

337.95

-3.85

Religare

215.00

-2.93

Techm

475.65

-2.74

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Index

Close

% Chg

Sensex

28,946.23

0.06

Nifty

8,934.55

0.08

 

Crporate Front: Cab-hailing app Uber will stop using its "Greyball" tool to evade law enforcement regulators, the company announced, just days after it defended the controversial programme as necessary to protect its drivers from harm."We have started a review of the different ways this technology has been used to date," The Guardian reported, citing Uber's Chief Security Officer Joe Sullivan as saying in a blog post on Wednesday. 


 

Macroeconomic front: India's current account deficit is expected to increase by $10 billion to $30 billion in the 2017-18 fiscal due to higher oil and gold imports, credit rating agency ICRA said on Thursday. However, the pressure related to the financing of a larger current account deficit would abate with the resumption of Non-Resident Indian (NRI) deposits in 2018.

 

On the global front:

On the global front, European markets were trading in green as investors awaited the all-important U.S. non-farm payrolls report due later in the day for clues into the timing of any further rate increases. Investors digested the European Central Bank's decision to keep interest rates unchanged on Thursday. President Mario Draghi also signaled that there was no longer a sense of urgency to take further monetary action. Asian markets were trading mixed.


Commodity Updates:

Commodity Prices (MCX):

Commodity

Rs

% Chang

Gold

28278.00

-0.59

Silver

40520.00

-0.77

Crude oil

3298.00

0.83

Natural Gas

200.10

1.83

Alluminium

26.20

1.2

Copper

383.45

0.46

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Telecom up by 1.19%, TECK up by 0.62%, Capital Goods up by 0.61%, IT up by 0.51% and Industrials up by 0.37%, while Metal down by 0.60%, Oil & Gas down by 0.54%, Energy down by 0.53%, Power down by 0.33% and PSU down by 0.32% were the top losing indices on BSE.

Top Nifty Movers:The top gainers on Nifty were Idea Cellular up by 2.07%, BhartiInfratel up by 1.47%, BhartiAirtel up by 1.26%, Infosys up by 1.21% and Larsen & Toubro up by 1.05%. On the flip side, Tech Mahindra down by 2.15%, BPCL down by 1.34%, ICICI Bank down by 1.13%, Power Grid down by 1.00% and Hindalco down by 0.90% were the top losers.

 

Global Signals:

Asian markets were trading mixed; KOSPI Index increased 6.29 points or 0.3% to 2,097.35, Hang Seng increased 67.11 points or 0.29% to 23,568.67 and Nikkei 225 increased 286.03 points or 1.48% to 19,604.61. On the flip side, Taiwan Weighted decreased 30.72 points or 0.32% to 9,627.89, Jakarta Composite decreased 25.19 points or 0.47% to 5,377.20, Shanghai Composite decreased 3.99 points or 0.12% to 3,212.76 and FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI decreased 0.64 points or 0.04% to 1,716.78.

All European Markets were trading in red; France’s CAC increased 13.12 points or 0.26% to 4,994.63, UK’s FTSE 100 increased 29.62 points or 0.4% to 7,344.58 and Germany’s DAX increased 41.5 points or 0.35% to 12,019.89.

 

 

Japanese ‘Nikkei’ leads Asian stocks higher as US indices close flat with all eyes on the Fed policy meet next week

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Indian Indices: Asian indices opened in the green as US Dollar’s weakness saw Japanese stocks rally with the Nikkei up over 200 points on opening bell. The week has seen profit booking globally as investors price in a rate hike expected by the Federal Reserve on the March 15. Oil prices closed below US $ 50 for the 1st time in 2017 and the trend looks weak going ahead with supply overhang hurting prices.


Nifty closed flat on Thursday as the investors awaited the exit polls later in the evening. With the exit polls indicating a clear BJP victory in UP and at least 3 other states, expect short covering to see the Nifty hit 9000. Also, as results are due on Saturday will see bears scramble for cover when markets reopen on Tuesday after the holiday for ‘Holi’ on Monday. For today expect Banks, IT and Auto stocks witness fresh buying as investors join the rally.


The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 28977.31, up by 48.18 points or 0.17% after trading in a range of 28968.27 and 29076.63. There were 17 stocks advancing against 13 stocks declining on the index.The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.07%, while Small cap index was up by 0.37%.

The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 8941.85, up by 14.85 points or 0.17% after trading in a range of 8935.80 and 8975.70. There were 32 stocks advancing against 19 stocks declining on the index.

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Group ATopGainers

 

 

Company

Price (Rs)

% chg

Jindalstel

124.20

5.03

IIFL

381.50

4.49

Escorts

512.00

2.97

GodrejInd

494.25

3.43

Group ATopLosers

 

 

Muthootfin

340.20

-3.21

Hathway

37.25

-1.84

Religare

218.00

-1.58

Manappura

91.80

-3.16

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Indices

Support

Resistanes

Sensex

28830

29010

Nifty

8890

8950

 


Technical view: Nifty finds strong support around 8880-8920 while 9000 which was the resistance on the upside looks set to be breached. Bank Nifty also saw 20450 act as strong support while 21000 will act as initial resistance on the upside.


 

Trading ideas: GlaxoSmithKline Consumer (Buy above Rs 5300 for Target of Rs 5450 and SL at Rs 5225): After consolidating for over 5 weeks, the stock has broken out from a rectangle pattern. The price outburst has been accompanied with impressive surge in volumes. GlaxoSmith has also convincingly closed above the 100-DMA. Other momentum oscillators too are suggesting that the current up move is likely to build further.


Derivative Snippets: Nifty ATM/OTM call and put strikes saw some buying interest for 3 rd day in a row, as the implied volatility and open interest continue to rise. Markets will remain volatile ahead of the state election results.  

FIIs were net buyers in cash market segment to the tune of Rs 487 crore.


FII’s index future long/short ratio at 3x vs 3.3x. From the start of this F&O series, the long short ratio of Index options stands below 1x as they continue to maintain short positions.


Nifty Movers: The top gainers on Nifty were Ultratech Cement up by 1.23%, Hero MotoCorp up by 1.05%, Infosys up by 0.94%, Tata Power up by 0.79% and HCL Technologies up by 0.79%. On the flip side, Power Grid down by 1.67%, Tech Mahindra down by 1.35%, BPCL down by 1.15%, Grasim Industries down by 1.04% and Hindalco down by 0.87% were the top losers.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:  The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Capital Goods up by 0.59%, IT up by 0.56%, TECK up by 0.48%, Industrials up by 0.36% and Realty up by 0.34%, while Oil & Gas down by 0.56%, Energy down by 0.37%, Utilities down by 0.25%, PSU down by 0.16% and Power down by 0.13% were the losing indices on BSE.

 

On the global front: On the global front, Asian shares were trading mostly in green, and the dollar rose to 1-1/2-month highs versus the yen ahead of the US non-farm payrolls report due later in the day. The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) said that China will not devalue its currency to stimulate exports. China’s exports for January and February combined rose 4.0 percent from the same period last year, while imports surged 26.4 percent, suggesting solid improvement in demand domestically and abroad.

 

Global Signals:The Asian markets were trading mostly in green; Shanghai Composite increased 0.38 points or 0.01% to 3,217.13, KOSPI Index increased 6.41 points or 0.31% to 2,097.47, Hang Seng increased 9.86 points or 0.04% to 23,511.42 and Nikkei 225 increased 275.07 points or 1.42% to 19,593.65.

On the other hand, Taiwan Weighted decreased 30.77 points or 0.32% to 9,627.84, Jakarta Composite decreased 18.19 points or 0.34% to 5,384.20 and FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI decreased 1.99 points or 0.12% to 1,715.43.

 

Oil falls to low point of 2017 as global markets consolidate with commodity weakness seeing profit booking.

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Indian Indices: Asian markets opened flat with the Japanese index seeing gains after 3 days of losses. Oil price fall saw exporting countries get hit as stocks corrected sharply. Commodities correction also saw US Dollar fall while bond yields hardened.


Nifty saw another day of range bound trade with falls being bought by foreign investors as markets will await exit poll results on the state elections due this evening. Metals, IT and Realty stocks got hit while Auto, Banks and Airline stocks saw buying, which saw the Nifty close almost flat. For today, expect oil weakness to see gains for Airline, OMC and Paint stocks as Nifty attempts pullback.    


The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 28855.93, down by 46.01 points or 0.16% after trading in a range of 28815.02 and 28911.54. There were 11 stocks advancing against 19 stocks declining on the index.

The broader indices were showing mixed trade; the BSE Mid cap index was down by 0.09%, while Small cap index was up by 0.07%.

The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 8909.75, down by 14.55 points or 0.16% after trading in a range of 8899.50 and 8918.50. There were 21 stocks advancing against 30 stocks declining on the index.

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Group ATopGainers

 

 

Company

Price (Rs)

% chg

Dishtv

105.15

5.68

HDIL

72.10

4.04

Edelweiss

138.90

2.97

MRPL

105.75

2.52

Group ATopLosers

 

 

Idea

104.10

-1.98

GVKpil

6.18

-1.59

Gail

380.80

-1.91

Raymond

640.00

-1.53

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Indices

Support

Resistanes

Sensex

28805

29010

Nifty

8890

8955

 

Technical view: Nifty finds strong support around 8880 with 8980 acting as stiff resistance on the upside. Bank Nifty finds strong support around 20450 with 20800 acting as resistance on the upside.


 

Trading ideas: YESBANK (Buy above Rs 1475, for Target of Rs 1510, SL at Rs 1458): The stock has broken out from an ascending triangle formation on daily charts along with a confirmation of breakout on hourly charts. Yes Bank's price rise is accompanied with impressive rise in volumes. Other momentum oscillators are also indicating strength in the current up move. We advise to Buy Yes Bank above Rs 1475, Stop Loss at Rs 1458 and Target of Rs 1510.


Derivative Snippets: Nifty call and put options witnessed some buying interest, as the implied volatility of ATM/OTM options started to move up. Markets will remain volatile ahead of the state election results.   

FIIs were net buyers in cash market segment to the tune of Rs 3573 crore.


FII’s index future long/short ratio stands at 3.3x vs3.5x. Significant long and short positions to the tune of ~11k and ~7k contracts were added in index future for the second day in a row, indicating a volatile trading session.


Nifty Movers: The top gainers on Nifty were Asian Paints up by 1.38%, ACC up by 1.08%, Zee Entertainment up by 0.67%, Tata Motors up by 0.57% and Axis Bank up by 0.55%. On the flip side, Dr. Reddy’s Lab down by 4.14%, GAIL India down by 3.94%, Wipro down by 1.55%, BhartiInfratel down by 1.39% and Power Grid down by 1.30% were the top losers.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:  The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Realty up by 0.49%, Consumer Durables up by 0.40%, Auto up by 0.27%, Consumer Disc up by 0.25% and Industrials up by 0.05%, while Utilities down by 0.98%, Telecom down by 0.63%, Power down by 0.60%, Metal down by 0.58% and Healthcare down by 0.47% were the top losing indices on BSE.

 

On the global front: On the global front, Asian shares were trading mostly in green, as strong China trade data bolstered bets of a recovering global economy, though gains were capped by caution ahead of a widely expected US interest rate hike next week. Japan’s economy grew more than earlier estimated in the fourth quarter as capital expenditure grew at its fastest in almost three years, welcome news for policymakers as they begin to discuss how to wind down years of massive stimulus.

 

Global Signals:The Asian markets barring Japanese Nikkei 225 which was trading up by 26.38 points or 0.14% to 19,280.41, were trading in red.

On the other hand, Hang Seng slumped by 233.16 points or 0.98% to 23,549.11, Taiwan Weighted decreased 83.58 points or 0.86% to 9,669.87, Shanghai Composite decreased by 27.51 points or 0.85% to 3,213.16, FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI was down by 3.91 points or 0.23% to 1,721.63, KOSPI Index declined by 1.74 points or 0.08% to 2,093.67 and Jakarta Composite was tad lower by 0.82 points or 0.02% to 5,392.94.

 

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