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US Fed Meeting LIVE: Global investors expect the last rate hike in current cycle

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US Federal Reserve Meeting Today: Following a pause on rate hikes in June, it is highly probable that the US Federal Reserve will opt for an increase in benchmark rates by 25 basis points, bringing them to a range of 5.25% to 5.50% on Wednesday (July 26). Global investors will be paying close attention to the Federal Reserve's position on inflation and its forthcoming strategies concerning the trajectory of rate hikes.


It is expected that Federal Reserve might indicate the conclusion of the ongoing rate hike phase. According to a Reuters poll of 106 economists, a majority of them hold the belief that the rate hike in July will mark the final step in the current tightening cycle.


Rice may hit decade-high as India’s curbs rock world market

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Rice prices are set to surge after top exporter India banned a large chunk of shipments, adding to stresses on global food markets that have already been roiled by bad weather and the worsening conflict in Ukraine.



As it stands, the rules could impact flows to China, Malaysia, the Philippines, Indonesia, and a host of African nations.
“In the short term, the price is going up, it’s just a question of how high up it will go,” said Chookiat Ophaswongse, honorary president of the Thai Rice Exporters Association, one of the world’s biggest shippers of the grain. “And it will be a spike, it’s not going to be increasing incrementally.”

Rice is vital to the diets of billions in Asia and Africa, and a surge in prices would add to inflationary pressures and jack up the import bills for buyers. India’s restriction, which applies to shipments of non-basmati white rice, is aimed at controlling domestic prices. The move comes as concerns escalate about the impact on farm supplies of the El Niño weather pattern, soaring temperatures in Europe, and Russian attacks against Ukrainian export facilities.

“India’s export ban needs to be seen in the light of this ominous setting,” said Peter Timmer, Professor Emeritus at Harvard University, who’s studied food security for decades. “There is considerably more reason for concern now that rice prices in Asia could spiral out of control pretty quickly.”

With Vietnam, another major rice shipper, already quoting supplies at $600 a ton for 5% white rice, Thailand may follow that, Chookiat said in an interview. A jump to that level would push Thai prices to the highest since 2012, and compares with the current level of $534 a ton, near a two-year high.

A surge in rice — plus the gains in wheat, corn and other agricultural commodities seen so far this month — looks set to spur a rebound in global food costs after a long run of declines. The UN’s World Food Price Index hit its lowest since April 2021 in June following five quarterly declines.

India’s latest move, plus an earlier curb on broken rice, affects 30% to 40% of the nation’s total shipments, although Nomura Holdings Inc. warned restrictions could be extended to cover other categories in the event of uneven rainfall and rising domestic inflation. As it stands, the rules could impact flows to China, Malaysia, the Philippines, Indonesia, and a host of African nations.

Still, shipments could be allowed based on permission from India to other countries to meet their food-security needs, depending on requests from their governments. In addition, exports of non-basmati parboiled rice and basmati rice are still clear to be shipped and that could soften the blow.

The extent to which Asian and African imports will be affected by India’s ban depends on the duration of the prohibition, and the extent to which these countries can arrange purchases through diplomatic channels, said Shirley Mustafa, an economist at the United Nations’ Food and Agriculture Organization.

Importers could also diversify the origin of their purchases, provided that the export restrictions don’t result in price hikes from these places that could depress demand, especially for price-sensitive buyers, said Mustafa. “This is in fact where the concerns lie,” she said.

Reliance-JFSL demerger: What is the new demerged Jio Financial Services — explained

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Reliance-JFSL demerger: After demerger of Jio Financial Services Ltd (JFSL) from its core Reliance Industries Ltd (RIL), Jio Financial Services share price is expected to list on NSE at ₹273 per share ( ₹2,853 - ₹2,580). This is ₹140 higher from the softly accepted JFSL share price of ₹133 by Reliance Industries Ltd while declaring the cost of acquisition details for RIL and JFSL. However, valuations of the Jio Financial Services shares are coming at ₹261.45 per share levels after demerger. 



After strong than expected looking debut of Jio Financial Services shares, stock market experts are highly bullish on this new Reliance entity on Dalal Street. They believe that JFSL would be a pure financial company that will be in lending, investing and other financial business'. Appointment of two banking pioneers KV Kamath and Hitesh Sethi is a glaring example of it.


Jio Financial Services after demerger

On companies coming under the umbrella of Jio Financial Services Ltd after demerger from Reliance Industries Ltd, Rajesh Sinha, Senior Research Analyst at Bonanza Portfolio said, "JFSL is a financial services undertaking with investments in six companies — Reliance Industrial Investments and Holdings (RIIHL), Reliance Payment Solutions, Jio Payments Bank, Reliance Retail Finance, Jio Information Aggregator Services and Reliance Retail Insurance Broking."


The Bonanza Portfolio expert said that demerger decision is basically taken to keep financial service business distinct from other businesses and may attract a different set of investors, strategic partners, lenders and other stakeholders. Post demerger, aim is to lend to consumers and merchants based on proprietary data analytics and eventually branch out to insurance, payments, digital broking and asset management.


On what Jio Financial Services Ltd would be as a company, Avinash Gorakshkar, Head of Research at Profitmart Securities said, "As the name suggests, JFSL would be a pure financial company. But, I believe they would first target the lending business because they have appointed two big names of banking business KV Kamath and Hitesh Sethi. Both are pioneer in lending business. But, they have expertise in two different area, KV Kamath has expertise of developing a lending business model whiole Hitesh Sethi has expertise of implenting that lending business model through ditial and tech advancements. So, the Jio Financial Services Ltd is expected to be a hi tech lending business company in the financial segment." However, he maintained that the new Reliance entity would definitely foray into mutual funds, insurance and other financial segments.


On how Jio Financial Services Ltd would be different from other lenders available in the Indian financial system, Vaibhav Kaushik, Research Analyst at GCL Broking said, "Most of the peers of JFSL have a business model that relies heavily on leverages whereas if we look at the track record of RIL Chairman Mukesh Ambani, he don't like leverage. Hence, I am expecting that leverage-free business model getting implemented at JFSL as well. If that happens, then it would be a big threat to existing peers in long run, especially non banking financial companies (NBFCs). In fact, it would pose a big challenge to Bajaj Finance as well in the medium to long term."


Indian Stock Market Round up for 10 July,2023

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Topic :- Share Market Closing Note


Sensex ends volatile trade 64 points higher; Nifty above 19,350; HCL Tech drops 3%, Tata Steel rises 3%



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Topic :- Time:3.00 PM


Nifty spot if holds above 19320 level on closing basis then expect some upmove in coming days and if it closes below above mentioned level of 19320 spot then expect some further decline in the market. One should avoid carrying open positions for tomorrow.


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Topic :- Time:2.55 PM


Just In:

SpiceJet board to consider raising fresh capital on July 12


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Topic :- Time:2.50 PM


Just In:

Bajaj Auto continues its winning streak, hits fresh record high on strong bookings.


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Topic :- Time:2.40 PM


Just In:

Debt mutual funds see outflow in June � liquid and ultra-short-duration categories the most hit


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Topic :- Time:2.30 PM


CRUDEOIL Trading View:

CRUDEOIL is trading at 6056.If it breaks and trade below 6040 level then expect some further decline in it and if it manages to trade and sustain above 6080 level then some upmove can be seen in it.


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Topic :- Time:2.15 PM


Nifty is hihgly rangebound and in options be it CE or PE premium decay is happening. Traders should wait for movement before taking fresh positions.


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Topic :- Time:1.42 PM


Just In:

Hindustan Zinc Share Price: Stock snaps seven-day winning streak after dividend announcement


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Topic :- Time:1.30 PM


SILVER Trading View:

SILVER is trading at 71268. If it manages to trade and sustain above 71300 level then expect some upmove in it and if it breaks and trade below 71180 level then some decline can follow in Silver.


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Topic :- Time:1.15 PM


Just In:

RIL share hits record high after Jio Financial demerger record date announcement


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Topic :- Time:1.00 PM


Nifty is trading in a range. Nifty spot if manages to trade and sustain above 19400 level then expect some upmove in the market and if it breaks and trade below 19340 level then some decline can be seen. Currently nifty spot is trading at 19380.


Nifty is trading in a range. Nifty spot if manages to trade and sustain above 19400 level then expect some upmove in the market and if it breaks and trade below 19340 level then some decline can be seen. Currently nifty spot is trading at 19380.


Nifty Future Support 19450 and Resistance 19500


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Topic :- Time:12.40 PM


Just In:

SAT refuses to let Zees Chandra, Goenka off the Sebi hook


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Topic :- Time:12.30 PM


COPPER Trading View:

COPPER is trading at 719.80. If it breaks and trade below 718 level then expect some decline in it and if it manages to trade and sustain above 720.30 level then some upmove can follow in it.


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Topic :- Time:12.10 PM


Nifty is declining and if it breaks and trade below 19380 level then expect some decline in the market and if it manages to trade and sustain above 19380 level then some upmove can follow in the market.


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Topic :- Time:11.30 AM


News Wrap Up:

1. Sensex jumps 350 points, Nifty tops 19,400

2. RIL jumps over 4%, hits 52-week high.

3. Go First lenders worried over HC ruling

4. Adani buys 30% in Trainman for Rs 3.5 cr

5. Axis AMC leases 2 floors in Mumbai tower

6. Harley-Davidson may make in India to sell globally, says CEO Jochen Zeitz

7. Cyient DLM has a cracker of a listing, rockets over 50%

8. SpiceJet plans to raise fresh capital on July 12 amid financial crisis and legal disputes

9. RVNL gains 2% on winning project worth Rs 808 crore

10. Ant to buy back shares at 70% lower valuation than at IPO


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Topic :- Nifty Opening Note


Indian Stock Market Trading View For 1 July,2023:


Gap up opening around 65 points expected in the Nifty. 


Nifty is likely to turn quite volatile as the day progresses.


Nifty spot if manages to trade and sustain above 19440 level then expect some upmove in the market and if it breaks and trade below 19360 level then some decline can be seen in the Nifty. Please note this is just opening view and should not be considered as the view for the whole day.


Reliance Industries Shares Hit 52-Week High On Jio Financial Listing, Retail Unit Buyback Plans

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Shares of Reliance Industries Ltd. hit a 52-week high after its decision to reduce equity share capital held by shareholders in Reliance Retail Ltd. and plans to separately list its financial services business. 


The shares held by minority investors, other than its promoter and the holding company Reliance Retail Ventures Ltd., in unlisted Reliance Retail Ltd. shall be cancelled and extinguished,


The company has also set the record date for the demerger of its financial services arm that will be renamed and listed as Jio Financial Services Ltd. As the downgrade cycle reverses and net debt nears peak, "rate of change" will be a key focus in RIL's earnings, according to Morgan Stanley. Beyond that, it's all about rebuilding confidence in petrochem margins, fuel demand, and monetisation of i


Nifty Trading Round Up for the 06 July,2023

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Topic :- Share Market Closing Note


Benchmark indices ended on a strong note with Nifty at 19,500 on July 6.


Biggest gainers on the Nifty included M&M, Apollo Hospitals, Power Grid Corporation, Reliance Industries and Tata Motors, while losers were Eicher Motors, HDFC Life Insurance, Maruti Suzuki, HCL Technologies and Bajaj Finance.


Among sectors, Power, Oil & Gas and Realty were up 2 percent each, while Auto and Healthcare added 1 percent each.


The BSE midcap index rose 0.8 percent and smallcap index added 0.7 percent.


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Topic :- Time:3.10 PM


Just In:

Adani Green Energy to raise up to Rs 12,300 crore via QIP; shares rise 2%


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Topic :- Time:3.00 PM


Nifty spot is trading at 19493. If it holds above 19450 on closing basis then expect some further upmove in coming sessions and close below above mentioned level will result in some sluggish movement. Avoid open positions for tomorrow.


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Topic :- Time:2.50 PM


Just In:

Piramal Pharma shares gains nearly 4% after 60 lakh shares change hands in six large deals.


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Topic :- Time:2.40 PM


SILVER Trading View:

SILVER is trading at 71450. If it manages to trade and sustain above 71500 level then expect some quick upmove in Silver and if it breaks and trade below 71280 level then some decline is possible in Silver.


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Topic :- Time:2.25 PM


LME Inventory:


COPPER DECREASED BY 2025


ALUMINIUM DECREASED BY 1825


NICKEL DECREASED BY 96


ZINC DECREASED BY 1700


LEAD INCREASED BY 550 


TIN INCREASED BY 160


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Topic :- Time:2.00 PM


Nifty is trading in a small range. Nifty spot if manages to trade and sustain above 19480 level then expect some upmove and if it breaks and trade below 19440 level then some decline can be seen.


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Topic :- Time:1.15 PM


Just In:

Rice, a staple for 3 bn, wont be spared by the price spike devil


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Topic :- Time:1.10 PM


Nifty is trading at 19465. If it manages to trade and sustain above 19480 level then expect some upmove in it and if it breaks and trade below 19440 level then some decline can be observed in the market.


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Topic :- Time:12.50 PM


Just In:

TCS to get 25,000 employees trained in Microsofts Azure Open AI



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Topic :- Time:12.30 PM


CRUDEOIL Trading View:

CRUDEOIL is trading at 5915. If it holds above 5900 level then expect some quick upmove in it towards 5950 level and if it breaks and trade below 5900 level then some decline can follow.


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Topic :- Time:12.00 PM


Nifty is trading on stronger note. Nifty spot if manages to trade and sustain above 19480 level then expect some further upmove in the market and if it breaks and trade below 19420 level then some decline can follow in Nifty.


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Topic :- Time:11.30 AM


News Wrap Up:

1. Sensex jumps 150 points, Nifty tops 19,400

2. India cant rest on laurels for it has some external forces to fight

3. HDFC Bank special FD for senior citizens to end soon

4. Haier plans ₹1,000 crore expansion push

5. DCB Bank shares rally 8% as Tata AMC gets nod to raise stake in lender

6. Greenchef Appliances SME IPO lists at a premium of 20% on NSE SME

7. Essen Speciality SME IPO lists at a premium of 31% on NSE SME

8. Hindustan Zinc to consider interim dividend for FY24; share price rises over 3%


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Topic :- Nifty Opening Note


Indian Stock Market Trading View For 06 July,2023:


Nifty is likely to turn volatile as the day progresses. Trade as per market trend.


Nifty spot if manages to trade and sustain above 19420 level then expect some upmove in the market and if it breaks and trade below 19360 level then some decline can be seen in the Nifty. Please note this is just opening view and should not be considered as the view for the whole day.


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LTI Mindtree shares touch 52-week high post its inclusion in Nifty 50 basket

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LTI Mindtree share price gained over 1% and touched a new 52-week high on Wednesday's trading session after the technology major replaced housing finance giant, Housing Development Finance Corporation Ltd (HDFC) on the Nifty 50 index on Tuesday. LTI Mindtree shares opened at ₹5,373.05 apiece on BSE. The stock hit a intraday high of ₹5,425 and low of ₹5,225.


With effect from July 13, the Index Maintenance Sub-Committee (Equity) of NSE Indices has decided to eliminate HDFC as a result of the merger and include LTI Mindtree in the Nifty 50.


"The Index Maintenance Sub-Committee (Equity) of NSE Indices Limited has decided to make replacement of stock in various indices as listed hereunder on account of scheme of amalgamation of Housing Development Finance Corporation (HDFC) with HDFC Bank. These changes shall become effective from July 13, 2023 (close of July 12, 2023)," NSE said in a notification on Tuesday.


Thus, LTI Mindtree would replace HDFC as the key benchmark of the NSE's Nifty 50, which includes 50 large-cap stocks, as of July 13, 2023. Also, the Nifty50 Equal Weight Index would fall under this. HDFC has been replaced by LTI Mindtree in the Nifty Services Sector as well.


On the technical front, as per trendlyne data, the stock price rose 33.5% and outperformed its sector by 23.3% in the past year. So far in 2023, the stock has gained 22%.


“Post the announcement of inclusion in Nifty 50 basket, the prices witnessed a strong gap up opening, however as this news was already discounted, we are seeing profit booking from higher levels, overall trend remains positive and going ahead any further dip would be a buying opportunity, 5,100 is support whereas in the near term prices have potential to move towards 5,800," said Rajesh Bhosale - Equity Technical and Derivative Analyst, Angel One.


Benefits of Options Trading

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Options trading can offer a number of benefits to investors, including:

·         Limited downside risk: When you buy an option, your maximum loss is limited to the premium you pay for the option. This is in contrast to buying the underlying asset, where your losses can be unlimited if the price of the asset falls.


·         Smaller commitment: Options contracts allow you to control a much larger amount of an underlying asset than you could if you bought the asset outright. This is because options contracts are typically priced in terms of cents or dollars per share, while the underlying asset may be priced in terms of hundreds or thousands of dollars per share.

·         Flexibility: Options contracts can be used to create a wide variety of trading strategies, from simple bets on the direction of the market to more complex hedging strategies. This flexibility can be a major advantage for investors who are looking to manage risk or take advantage of specific market conditions.

·         Potential for high returns: The potential for high returns is one of the most attractive benefits of options trading. If you are able to correctly predict the direction of the market, you can potentially make a much larger profit with options than you could with other types of investments.

However, it is important to note that options trading also carries a number of risks. For example, if you sell an option, your losses can be unlimited if the price of the underlying asset moves against you. Additionally, options contracts are subject to time decay, which means that their value will decrease over time as they approach expiration.

Overall, options trading can be a powerful tool for investors who are willing to take on some risk in exchange for the potential for high returns. However, it is important to understand the risks involved before you start trading options.

Here are some additional benefits of options trading:

·         Options can be used to hedge against risk: If you are concerned about the price of an underlying asset falling, you can buy a put option to give you the right to sell the asset at a specified price. This can help to protect your portfolio from losses if the price of the asset does fall.

·         Options can be used to speculate on market movements: If you believe that the price of an underlying asset is going to rise, you can buy a call option to give you the right to buy the asset at a specified price. This can allow you to profit from the rise in the price of the asset.

·         Options can be used to create complex trading strategies: Options can be combined with other options or with other types of investments to create complex trading strategies. This can allow you to fine-tune your risk exposure and maximize your potential returns.

If you are interested in learning more about options trading, there are a number of resources available online and in libraries. You can also find a number of options trading courses and tutorials offered by investment firms and online trading platforms.

It is important to remember that options trading is a complex and risky investment strategy. Before you start trading options, you should make sure that you have a good understanding of the risks involved and that you are comfortable with the level of risk that you are taking on.

Is it easy to make good and fast money online in the market?

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The stock market investment is one of the most easy and fast way of earning profit. It is a source of easy money making within a very short period of time. Though the stock market is very complex in nature but when it is understood well by the investor it becomes an interesting and easy mode of earning money. The stock market investment has always included in itself tremendous risk. It is a well known fact that for any kind of stock investment one has to take the required amount of risk in the same. Though the stock market investment contains so much of risk, it does not mean that an investor will lose his money in the same. Nevertheless it can also not be taken in to grant that the money invested will always prove to be resulting in profit. Not every time the investor will make profit of his investment, he may also lose his money sometimes this is why the risk factor comes to being. You have to know whether it is easy to make good and fast money online in the market?



How to make the best research

There are many investors who have no idea about the market and do not know about the market situation, such kind for investor has more risk in their investment. This is to be kept in mind before going for any kind of investment that research is a must in the investment process. Without the proper research of the market it will not be possible for any investor to gain or earn any kind of knowledge about the market as well as the investment that he made. For doing anything in our lives it is very essential to know about the task you want to perform. Therefore the knowledge about the market is very necessary to be earned and it can be gained only through a research of the share market. After the research is done it is the duty of the investor to study the material properly and try to know about the market and the situations which arise in the same. The study should be done in such a way that the investor becomes aware of what can happen in the market and how to react to different situations etc. One of the great importance is to be given to the quality of patience. A patient investor has always proven to be wise. Being patient can make an investor keep away from big loses. Patience can also keep an investor from not being very greedy. Greed kills and spoils the whole chapter of the investment process. A greedy investor can never become a great investor rather he would lose more. Being greedy will make him lose more money and ultimately will kick him off from the stock market investment.

 

Does luck plays an important role?

Another important point which should always be kept in the mind is that of the luck. Luck plays an important role in every business and it plays a major role in the stock market investment. Without the favor of your luck it is not quite possible to survive as a good investor in the stock market. All the hard work and the knowledge and tricks and techniques will fail if the investor has an unfavorable luck. But at the same time it is also very important that only depending up on luck and making investment is a big blunder because not every time will the luck make you earn profit. Luck can make you earn quite a few time but if it fails then you will lose all your money at a quick succession. Therefore we can say that it is very essential for every stock investor to keep certain things in their minds in order to make an investment in the stock market. As far as the online investment markets is concerned, it is a very sophisticated and a safe and easy and even a fast mode or source of investment. The online investment system consumes lesser time, saves much of the money and also helps the investor guide to a grand success of earning more profit in the stock market investment. Thus we can say that the online stock market investment is a fast and easy way to earn more profit. You have thus known whether it is easy to make good and fast money online in the market.

 

Nifty Round Up for 23 June 2023

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 Share Market Closing Note


Sensex, Nifty Close The Week Lower After Posting Record Highs:


Indias benchmark stock indices declined through Friday to close the week and the day on a lower note. While metals and consumer durables declined the most, majority of the sectoral indices were trading lower, except pharma and private banks which were marginally higher. Adani Enterprises Ltd. dragged the indices, whereas HDFC twins and Bharti Airtel Ltd. led the positive change. The headline indi


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Topic :- Time:3.05 PM


Just In:

PKH Ventures Ltd initial public offering will open for subscription on June 30 and close on July 4.


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Topic :- Time:3.00 PM


Nifty spot if holds above 18640 level on closing basis then expect some upmove in coming sessions and if it closes below above mentioned level then some further sluggish movement can be seen. Avoid overnight open positions for Monday.


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Topic :- Time:2.55 PM


Just In:

1. Reliance Jio in talks to raise about $1.6 billion for equipment.

2. Tycoon Mistrys firm set to sell Indias biggest low-rated bond


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Topic :- Time:2.50 PM


Just In:

Shilpa Medicare approves Rs 325 crore rights issue, amalgamation of subsidiary with itself


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Topic :- Time:2.30 PM


GOLD Trading View:

GOLD is trading at 58290. If it holds above 58180 level then expect it to test 58500 level and if it breaks and trade below 58180 level then some decline can be seen in it.


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Topic :- Time:2.00 PM


Nifty is highly rangebound with negative bias. Nifty spot if breaks and trade below 18680 level then expect some decline in it and if it manages to trade and sustain above 18720 level then some upmove can follow in it.


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Topic :- Time:1.30 PM


LME INVENTORY:


COPPER DECREASED BY 1100


ALUMINIUM DECREASED BY 5400


NICKEL DECREASED BY 216


ZINC DECREASED BY 50


LEAD UNCHANGED 


TIN INCREASED BY 165


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Topic :- Time:1.00 PM


Nifty is trading volatile now. Nifty spot if manages to trade and sustain above 18740-18750 levels then expect some upmove in the market and if it breaks and trade below 18680 level then some further decline can happen in the market.


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Topic :- Time:12.45 PM


Just In:

Pakistans one of the Richest man and his Son were declared dead along with other passengers of Submarine Ocean Gate Titanic. In total there were 5 passengers. History repeated Titanic.


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Topic :- Time:12.30 PM


COPPER Trading View:

COPPER is trading at 725.20. If it breaks and trade below 724 level then expect some decline in it and if it manages to trade and sustain above 726.20 level then some upmove can follow in Copper.


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Topic :- Time:12.00 PM


Nifty spot is trading at 18721. If it breaks and trade below 18700 level then expect some decline in the market and if it manages to trade and sustain above 18740 level then some upmove can follow in the Nifty.


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Topic :- Time:11.30 AM


News Wrap Up:

1. Sensex off low, down 150 pts; Nifty tests 18,700

2. Adani may have US thorn on recovery road from Hindenburg saga

3. Adani stks drop up to 10% on regulatory probe in US

4. Bupa looks to raise stake in health JV

5. Bribes-for-jobs scandal rocks TCS, four sacked for corruption

6. Bizotic Commercial SME IPO lists at a premium but fail to sustain gains

7. Rupee opens 12 paise lower at 82.07 against the US dollar

8. Modi-Biden meeting takes India-US relations to a new high



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