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Omicron poses limited downside to Indian economy, say economists: Poll

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Asia’s third-largest economy is in the midst of a resurgence in coronavirus cases driven by the new variant that has forced most states to impose localised restrictions.

Omicron Poses Limited Downside To Indian Economy, Say Economists: Poll

There is scant downside risk to the Indian economy in the last months of this financial year from the Omicron coronavirus variant, according to economists polled by Reuters who said New Delhi should focus on fiscal prudence in its February budget.

Asia’s third-largest economy is in the midst of a resurgence in coronavirus cases driven by the new variant that has forced most states to impose localised restrictions.

The January 11-18 poll of over 45 economists forecast 5.0% economic growth this quarter, a sharp downgrade from the 6.0% given in December, finishing the year at 9.2% compared with 9.5% in the previous month’s poll.

But nearly two-thirds of those responding to an additional question, 21 of 32, said there was limited downside to the outlook for the rest of this fiscal year which ends in March.

Nine said it was at risk of downgrades, and two said it was prone to upgrades. The median growth projection for the next fiscal year was upgraded to 8.0% from 7.5% a month ago.

The current phase of restrictions is not as harsh as it was during the previous waves. So, I think Omicron and the economic damage it inflicts is a Jan-March story and will only be limited to this fiscal year," said Madhavi Arora, lead economist at Emkay Global Financial Services.

Arora reckons the first quarter of the next financial year starting in April will get an extra boost once the third wave passes, assuming it does.

The latest poll also estimated economic growth at 14.7% for the same quarter.

Inflation was expected to peak at 5.8% this quarter and then fall, remaining under the Reserve Bank of India’s 6.0% upper threshold until at least the end of fiscal 2023-24, taking pressure off the Bank for future interest rate rises.

India’s finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman will present the country’s 2022/2023 federal budget on February 1, providing new targets for government spending, tax receipts, economic growth and fiscal deficits.

When asked what the government should focus on, 16 of 23 respondents said fiscal prudence rather than expansion, despite pandemic-related risks.

"India and other emerging markets will have to start thinking about consolidating their COVID-19 year budget deficits in a global monetary environment where the U.S. Fed is starting to normalise policy," said Miguel Chanco, senior Asia economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics.

"We are expecting quite aggressive tightening from the Fed this year and that is going to raise borrowing costs not just for India but for most EMs."

The country’s federal fiscal deficit surged to 135.1% in the April-November period of the last financial year but in the current year it narrowed to 46.2% for the same period, helped by a rise in tax collections.

The fiscal deficit target for next financial year was predicted to be 6.0%, and 5.5% for FY 2023/2024, both lower than this year’s 6.8%.

"They will be pretty conservative with spending and revenue projections," said Robert Carnell, head of Asia Pacific research at ING.

"It is really more of a revenue worry from Omicron, so I do not think you should be spending on the off-chance that Omicron is bad. Because that sort of bakes in the fact that the targets get missed at that point."

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How Can You Stay Away From Panic While Investing?

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The most dreaded situation that an investor must aim to avoid is a panic crisis. It is, however, easier said than done. When it comes to avoiding panic, it's important to understand how investments work. 



The business cycle and the market cycle are discussed. When we try to understand these cycles, we see that they come in a variety of forms. The emotional cycle of an investor, not the market cycle, is what requires our attention here. We're all humans, so we have feelings. When it comes to trading, though, it is usually our emotions that cost us. This article explains the emotional investing cycle.

An investor goes through a series of psychological stages. Assume that an investor takes a long position at the start of the curve. We can see that the trader begins with a favourable viewpoint, and that he or she has a positive outlook on the market in general. When the market is rising, his optimism transforms into exhilaration, as he feels the market will continue to favour his investments. His exhilaration develops into thrill as the market rises. He is overjoyed with his investment and believes he has landed a terrific deal. The stock in which he invested is now all over the headlines. He is overjoyed with his investments. This is the time in the cycle where the financial risk is highest.

This is the point at which the market plummets. Because the stock is saturated, the market swings against the investor's wishes. At first glance, we can deduce that he is concerned about his profession. He believes, however, that this is a temporary effect and that the market will soon resume its upward trend. The market continues to move against his wishes. The investor is now denial about the abrupt drop in the value of his investment. When the market fails to recover, he becomes fearful of the market and his investment. Then there's the point of no return. The investor has gotten himself into a pickle. He's at a loss for what to do and is on the verge of panic.


The investor is emotionally stimulated in the panic zone, and his emotions cause him to want to close a position regardless of the present market price or market scenario. This is the cycle's most susceptible stage. He reaches a point of pessimism, where he has lost all hope and is depressed. As a result of this, the investor feels helpless and panicked, he shorts his position and exits the transaction. He cuts his losses and exits his transaction when the financial potential is at its peak.

Because he lacks a risk management strategy, the trader finds himself in this situation. He would have set a stop-loss at a level he could manage if he had designed his strategy around the risk he was willing to take. However, because there was no stop-loss in place, the trader believes the investment will recover and that he can always make up for the loss he has already suffered. It has been scientifically shown that when you are emotionally charged, a separate portion of your brain is active, and you stop thinking properly.


Conclusion


We're all terrified, which is understandable. When certain risk management strategies are implemented, however, the damage caused by the panic situation can be reduced. In high-value trades, even the tiniest absence in the risk management approach might result in the loss of the entire trading account. For many investors, this may mean losing all of their money and possibly jeopardising their careers.


It's hardly rocket science to devise risk management solutions. To use a risk management technique to the benefit of your assets and total portfolio, all you need is a strong grasp of the market. A Certified Investment Advisor can assist you in determining your risk tolerance and planning your investments to line with your long-term financial goals.

Records show Bihar doctor took 5 COVID-19 vaccine shots, probe ordered

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The civil surgeon, Dr Vibha Kumari Singh, however, said she had taken the jab thrice as per rules.

Bihar Doctor Took 5 Covid Vaccine Doses, Show Records

The Bihar government has ordered an investigation after records showed that a Patna-based civil surgeon was administered five shots of the COVID-19 vaccine.The civil surgeon, Dr Vibha Kumari Singh, however, said she had taken the jab thrice as per rules.Singh also claimed that someone else managed to get vaccine shots using her PAN card details, and called for a probe.According to the CoWIN portal, she received the first dose on January 28, 2021 and was fully vaccinated by March last year.

Follow our LIVE blog for latest updates on Omicron variant of coronavirus 

Government records showed Singh was also jabbed on February 6, 2021 using her PAN card information, and for the fourth time on June 17 that year.She then took a precautionary dose on January 13, 2022. Patna District Magistrate Chandrashekhar Singh on Monday said the administration has started an investigation. Strict action will be taken against those found guilty, he said. Earlier this month, an 84-year-old man in the north Bihar district of Madhepura caused a flutter with the claim that he has taken a dozen shots of the coronavirus vaccine.Earlier this month, an 84-year-old man in the north Bihar district of Madhepura caused a flutter with the claim that he has taken a dozen shots of the coronavirus vaccine.

"I have used my Aadhaar card and my voter ID card on different occasions to get myself registered Every single dose has helped relieve my chronic back pain. I have never caught a cold since I took the first shot 11 months ago," the octogenarian Brahmadeo Mandal had said.

Best Long-Term Investment Strategies to Follow in 2022

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Every household discusses long-term investing strategies. The family's breadwinners must budget for a variety of expenses throughout their lives, such as retirement, children's education, healthcare, emergency circumstances, home purchases, and so on. Almost everyone's first plan is to make the most of their savings or to invest in assets. However, they are time-tested strategies that may be less risky, but wealth does not rise as quickly as it could. The times have changed, and so have the alternatives for long-term investment planning. Are you one of those that still invests in the traditional way, or are you a savvy investor?


What Does It Mean to Invest Long-Term?


Although many people use the term "long-term investment" to describe their intentions for securing their family's financial needs, it is a frequent misunderstanding that has led to inadequate financial planning. Insurance is the finest alternative to pursue in order to assure financial stability. Long-term investment plans, on the other hand, will help you establish the greatest and most effective financial strategy if you want to make your money work for you and expand your wealth.

Any investment that is made for more than three years is called a long term investment. Some investors keep their money for up to ten years. Trading techniques that have been successful in the past have always focused on making a move when the conditions are right for the investment. This has different ramifications for different people. While some may require shorter investment sprints, others may be forced to hang on to their assets for extended periods of time. It all boils down to how much danger you're willing to take.


Typical Long-Term Financial Goals

There could be a variety of motivations for long-term investment planning. However, the most typical goals are usually as follows:


• Children's education

• Making preparations for a child's marriage

• Purchasing a home, apartment, or parcel of land

• Making preparations for retirement

The fact that all anticipated and unplanned expenses are paid from the funds available is a crucial motivator for long-term investment planning. You won't have to pay interest or other fees, as you would if you had obtained the funds through a loan. Still debating whether or not to make a long-term investment?


The Best Long-Term Investment Strategies to Implement in 2022

If you haven't already started planning for long-term investing, you should do so right away. For those who have already invested, now is the moment to reconsider your plan.

Check out the following long-term financial methods to help you make better financial decisions.


• Set up a PPF account.

Public provident funds are one of the most conventional long-term investing techniques. You must have overheard the seniors in the house discussing their retirement plans. PPF is one of the most tax-efficient and secure investment solutions. This investment carries no risk, and a fixed return is guaranteed at maturity. According to statistics, the PPF interest rate for the first quarter of 2022 - 23 is 8% per annum.

When it comes to PPF, you'll have to wait 15 years (which is the lock-in term) before you can withdraw your money. In the fifth year, partial withdrawal is permitted, but only under specified conditions. You can claim a deduction for PPF contributions up to Rs.1.50 lakhs under Section 80 C of the Income Tax Act.


• Make a gold investment

If you've ever been around elders in the house, you'll notice that their approach to investing is primarily concentrated on gold purchases (in the form of gold coins, biscuits, or ornaments). Currently, one can invest in gold through mechanisms such as Gold ETFs, Gold Mutual Funds, Gold Deposit Schemes, and so on. Despite the fact that the price of gold fluctuates, many people still see it as a profitable investment. The easiest method to get the most out of your gold investment is to keep track of market demand and supply and buy gold when the moment is perfect.


Consider Real Estate Investing

Another conventional and popular investing method is real estate. One can buy a house or piece of land for personal use or rent it out. In any event, the long-term rewards of these expenditures are considerable. However, it is critical that the investor waits until the conditions are ideal before making a move. Property values can fluctuate dramatically over time or take years to appreciate significantly.

Real estate investments necessitate a large sum of money, and the rewards are rarely immediate. Furthermore, there are a number of con artists that lure individuals in with attractive deals only to take their money and leave them with nothing. Make certain you're prepared.


• Put money into mutual funds

People have grown rather familiar with mutual funds when it comes to investments, thanks to considerable marketing by numerous service providers. Mutual fund investments have become more popular because to companies like HDFC, ICICI, and Reliance. AMCs (Asset Management Companies) are the companies that handle these funds, and they are governed by SEBI. As a result, there is a level of trust in these services in terms of adherence to criteria and the manner in which investment advice is offered.

It is possible to take money out of mutual fund investments for a shorter period of time. Long-term investments, on the other hand, are recommended for better returns. In order to choose the most appropriate sort of mutual fund, one should be aware of the numerous types accessible. Equity mutual funds, for example, are riskier than debt mutual funds. However, if you are willing to take that risk, you can invest in an equity mutual fund.


Invest in the Stock Market

Many people may not have discussed the possibility of stock market investments being seen as a long-term investment. However, if the investment is managed properly, it might be a very good option. Investing correctly can not only increase your financial holdings, but it will also provide you with tax benefits. However, be cautious about how you make your investments. When market dynamics are not analysed before making a move, the stock market can bring significant rewards while also causing losses.

This is why, before investing in the stock market, you should contact with an investment professional. There is a certain theme-based trading technique (recommended by a well-known investment advisor) that is ideal for anyone wishing to invest in the stock market for the long term. This strategy contains a number of themes and tactics that may be appropriate for specific segments. You can choose a strategy and plan your investments based on the experts' advice, depending on your desired investment style.

Not only will you be able to better control risk, but you will also have recommendations based on substantial study, making it easier to make stock market investment decisions.


A Word of Advice: Never Base Your Decisions on Assumptions.


You should never make judgments based on assumptions, whether you're investing in gold or the stock market. If you trust weather forecasts from the weather department more than the assumption that a given weather condition will occur, you shouldn't make financial decisions based on assumptions.


Make it a habit to consult with experts who are knowledgeable about the assets you're considering. To get a proper conclusion, compare their recommendations to market figures, historical data, and the experiences of persons who have made similar investments. To ensure that your decisions are based on data-driven knowledge, you should always consult with an investing advisor.

China cuts interest on 1-year medium-term loans for first time since April 2020, analysts point to more easing ahead

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In an unexpected move today, the People’s Bank of China lowered interest rate on 700 billion yuan worth of 1-year medium-term lending facility to some financial institutions by 10 bps to 2.85% from 2.95 percent

China Cuts Interest On 1-year Medium-term Loans For First Time Since April  2020, Analysts Point To More Easing Ahead

China’s central bank on January 17 unexpectedly cut the borrowing costs of its medium-term loans for the first time since April 2020, while some market analysts expect more policy easing this year to cushion an economic slowdown, Reuters reported.

The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) said it was lowering the interest rate on 700 billion yuan ($110.19 billion) worth of one-year medium-term lending facility (MLF) loans to some financial institutions by 10 basis points to 2.85 percent from 2.95 percent in previous operations, it said.

Thirty-four out of the 48 traders and analysts, or 70 percent of all participants, polled by Reuters last week predicted no change to the MLF rates in January, with the rest betting on a rate cut.

The world’s second-largest economy has shown signs of slowing after a rapid rebound from the COVID-19 slump, with concerns about the financial health of property developers and the rapid spread of the Omicron coronavirus variant clouding the outlook.

“The PBOC’s decision to ease early in January suggested that economic downward pressure intensified at end-2021 and room for improvements in the first quarter of this year is not huge,” said Ken Cheung, chief Asian FX strategist at Mizuho Bank.

Cheung expects that the PBOC could deliver more easing measures this year than previously expected by market analysts.

Such expectations were also reflected in the bond market, with China’s 10-year treasury futures rising to their highest level since June 2020 and the yield on China’s benchmark 10-year government bonds falling more than 2 basis points in early trade.

Market analysts said the size of the rate cut and the timing were a big surprise, and they believe further monetary stimulus could follow.

“The 1Y LPR signaled that another rate cut was coming,” said Carlos Casanova, senior Asia economist at Union Bancaire Privee in Hong Kong.

“However, the 10 bps cut was larger than expected, suggesting that the authorities have become more preoccupied about weakness in the economy,” he said, adding he also expects an additional 100 bps reduction to banks’ reserve requirement ratio (RRR) this year.

With 500 billion yuan worth of MLF loans maturing on January 17, the operation resulted in a net injection of 200 billion yuans into the banking system.

The central bank also lowered the borrowing costs of seven-day reverse repurchase agreements, or repos, by the same margin to 2.10 percent from 2.20 percent, when it offered another 100 billion yuan worth of reverse repos into the banking system.

Meanwhile, China posted 8.1 percent GDP growth in 2021, with the Q4 expansion at the lowest of 4 percent, government data showed on January 17. The abrupt slowdown in the second half is prompting suggestions that Beijing needs to shore up slumping growth.



Top cryptocurrency news on January 15: The biggest moves in Bitcoin, crypto taxes and more

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A daily round-up of the most interesting articles on cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, Ethereum and Tether to help jump-start the day

Top Cryptocurrency News On January 5: The Biggest Moves In Crypto Taxation,  NFTs And More

Bitcoin trading above Rs 34 lakh

Cryptocurrencies traded in the green early on January 15. The global cryptocurrency market cap is $2.05 trillion, up 0.53 percent over the previous day. The total crypto market volume over the last 24 hours was $84.28 billion, marking a 16.66 percent decrease. The total volume in DeFi is $12.76 billion, 15.14 percent of the total crypto market 24-hour volume. The volume of all stable coins is $67.57 billion, a 80.17 percent of the total crypto market 24-hour volume. Bitcoin's price is Rs 34 lakh and its dominance is 39.56 percent, a decrease of 0.14 percent over the day. Read full here


Budget 2022: How will the government tax crypto-related income?


The Indian crypto community is keenly awaiting tax measures on crypto-related income in the Budget 2022 which, is set to unveil on February 1. According to reports, the government is seeking advice from various taxation experts on this matter. While the much-awaited cryptocurrency bill, which was to be presented in Parliament during the winter session in 2021, has been delayed, the Centre is seeking to define taxation of incomes earned by trading or investing in cryptocurrencies. Reportedly, the Centre is mulling whether income from crypto-related activities can be treated as business income or capital gains. The bill treats cryptocurrencies as a commodity and proposes to segregate virtual currencies on a use-case basis. Read details here.


Dogecoin value jumps after Elon Musk says it can be used to buy Tesla merchandise


A five-word tweet by billionaire Elon Musk led to a massive cryptocurrency jump in the value of meme-based cryptocurrency dogecoin. Musk said on January 14 that Tesla Inc merchandise can be bought using the dogecoin. One unit of dogecoin was trading at $0.1981 at the time of writing this report. The value had jumped by over 26 percent. “Tesla merch buyable with Dogecoin,” the electric-car maker’s Chief Executive Officer said in a tweet. In no time, #dogecoin shot to the list of top trending hashtags on Twitter. Musk is known for influencing the value of dogecoin through his remarks on social media. Take a look.


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OnePlus 9RT India launch event today at 5 PM: Where to watch the livestream

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OnePlus 9RT India price and sale date will be announced at the launch event.OnePlus 9RT India Launch Event Today At 5 PM: Where To Watch The LivestreamOnePlus 9RT launch in India is scheduled to begin at 5 PM local time. The company will unveil its premium smartphone via a virtual event. The OnePlus 9RT is launching in India days after the firm announced the OnePlus 10 Pro in China. At the OnePlus 9RT launch event in India, the company will also unveil the OnePlus Buds Z2. 

OnePlus 9RT launch in India: Where to watch the livestream

The OnePlus 9RT launch event in India will be hosted virtually. The company will host the event on its official website. Alternatively, viewers can also watch the OnePlus 9RT India launch event on the company’s official YouTube channel. 

Viewers will also be able to watch the launch event on Facebook and Twitter. To watch the OnePlus 9RT launch event on Facebook, click here. 

OnePlus 9RT India specifications 

The OnePlus smartphone was first unveiled in China in 2021. It is likely to come with the same specs in India. The phone features a Snapdragon 888 SoC, a 4500 mAh battery, and a triple-camera setup on the back. It has a 120Hz AMOLED display as well. Click here to know the OnePlus 9RT specifications and features.

OnePlus 9RT price in India

As per leaks, the OnePlus 9RT price in India will be lower than that of the OnePlus 9 (Review). The device will launch in two storage options with the base variant priced at Rs 42,999. The official pricing and availability details will be announced at the OnePlus 9RT launch event.

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Britain and India to formally launch trade talks

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Britain has made a deal with India one of its post-Brexit priorities as, free from the European Union’s common trade policy, ministers look to gear trade policy towards faster-growing economies around the Indo-Pacific region.Britain And India To Formally Launch Trade Talks

Britain and India will on Thursday formally launch free trade agreement talks in New Delhi, seeking freer movement of goods and people with a deal projected to increase bilateral trade by billions of pounds.

Britain has made a deal with India one of its post-Brexit priorities as, free from the European Union’s common trade policy, ministers look to gear trade policy towards faster-growing economies around the Indo-Pacific region.

Indian trade minister Piyush Goyal and his British counterpart Anne-Marie Trevelyan will meet in New Delhi on Thursday, with the first round of negotiations beginning next week.

"A deal with India is a golden opportunity to put UK businesses at the front of the queue as the Indian economy continues to grow rapidly," Trevelyan said in a statement.

Britain said the deal could almost double British exports to India, and by 2035 boost total trade by 28 billion pounds ($38.3 billion) per year. Total trade in 2019 was worth 23 billion pounds, according to British statistics.

Ministers want to tap into the wealth of India’s middle classes and their appetite for premium British products like Scotch Whisky. They also hope India can become a big customer of its green technology industry, and that existing service sector trade routes can be strengthened.

India and former colonial power Britain already share strong trade ties, and more than a million people of Indian origin live in Britain after decades of migration.

Also Read:- Swing Trading in Stocks, Forex, and Cryptocurrencies

India is seeking greater opportunities for Indians to live and work in Britain, and any trade deal could be contingent on relaxing rules and lowering fees for Indian students and professionals going to Britain.

Lower-tariff access to Indian markets in exchange for freer movement is expected to form a key dynamic in the talks and will test Britain’s negotiating power, with any concession on immigration likely to face domestic opposition.

The two parties have already negotiated an enhanced trading partnership, announced last year, and could opt to sign a limited-scope interim free trade agreement while wider negotiations continue.

Swing Trading in Stocks, Forex, and Cryptocurrencies

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When it comes to entering the market, investors use a range of trading tactics to achieve a variety of objectives. Many investors want to invest for the long term, while others prefer to invest for the short term. There are many other methods available on the market, but Swing Trading is one of the most approachable for newbies.


Swing trading is a type of trading in which trades are virtually usually held overnight. Swing trading is slower in nature than day trading, which is rapid paced. Swing trading is an excellent approach to learn about market swings and volatility.

Swing Trading is a trading method in which investors purchase a stock or other asset and hold it for a short length of time in the hopes of making a profit. Individual gains may be less because the trader is focused on short-term goals and minimising losses.


Swing Investing in Stocks: 

Swing Investing in Stocks Stock traders attempt to profit from upswings and downswings in stock prices. Positions are normally held for one to six days, but some may be extended for several weeks if the trade is lucrative. Swing traders use a range of technical indicators to identify patterns, trend direction, and potential short-term charges in order to uncover trading opportunities.

Swing trading stocks can be done in five different ways:

Fibonacci retracements are a type of specialist analysis that can be used to determine support and resistance levels. Conniving vertical lines at the standard Fibonacci rates of 23.6, 38.2, and 61.8 on a stock map might show implicit reversal situations since stocks usually retrace a certain amount within a trend before reversing again.

Support and resistance lines serve as the cornerstone of specialist research, and you may build a successful stock swing trading strategy around them. A stock swing trader on the brio would look to enter a steal trade off the support line, with a stop loss below the support line.

Channel Trading: To use the swing trading approach, you must first find a stock trading that is showing a strong trend and trading within a channel.

Simple Moving Averages (SMA) smooth out price data by calculating a constantly streamlining average price that can be taken over a range of specific time ages or lengths. 10 and 20-day SMA: Simple Moving Averages (SMA) smooth out price data by calculating a constantly streamlining average price that can be taken over a range of specific time ages or lengths.

MACD crossover: The MACD crossover swing trading strategy is a simple way to spot stock swing trading opportunities.

Trading in Forex Swings

The Forex swing trading method is essentially a cross between day trading and long-term trading. Its major goal is to capture earnings in a certain currency pair over a period of days to weeks.

The usage of Bollinger bands is a well-known swing trading approach. The upper and lower bands typically reflect strong resistance and support situations separately, however when prices cross the centre line, it can be a huge sign of an approaching trend change.

The usage of Heiken Ashi maps is another important swing trading approach for Forex traders. This trading strategy entails holding a position for several days or weeks while hoping for a profitable trend.

Cryptocurrency swing trading

Crypto Swing Trading is currently popular among the most affluent investors. Longer timelines compared to other sorts of trading, as well as the volatility of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, Doge, Shiba Inu, and others, make strategies appealing. When swing trading crypto, there are a variety of tactics to use, albeit it will take some time to figure out which ones are best for you.

The following are the two different Swing Trading Crypto strategies:

Stuck in a Box: This method exercises support and resistance situations while following the request range. As a result, the request is sometimes referred to as being stuck in a box between the two lines above and below.

Catch the surge: The goal of this technique is to enter after the withdrawal has concluded and catch one move in the trending request. To catch the spike, traders look for a trend in the moving average.

Conclusion

A swing trading strategy may have a lot of trades on some days and none on others due to a discrepancy. Instead of constant monitoring, positions might be examined frequently or handled with caution when important price points are reached. This allows swing traders in all markets, including stocks, forex, and cryptocurrency, to diversify their investments while maintaining a position head.

Oil jumps nearly 4% as Omicron impact seen as short-lived

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Brent crude gained $2.85, or 3.5 percent, to $83.72 a barrel, its highest settlement since early November. The global benchmark dropped 1 percent on MondayOil Jumps Nearly 4% As Omicron Impact Seen As Short-lived

Oil soared nearly 4 percent on Tuesday, supported by tight supply and expectations that rising coronavirus cases and the spread of the Omicron variant will not derail a global demand recovery.

Brent crude gained $2.85, or 3.5 percent, to $83.72 a barrel, its highest settlement since early November. The global benchmark dropped 1 percent on Monday.

US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) rose $2.99, or 3.8 percent, to end at $81.22, also its highest price since mid-November. On Monday, it fell 0.8 percent.

United States Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said he expects the economic impact of Omicron to be short-lived, adding that ensuing quarters could be very positive for the economy after the surge driven by the variant subsides.

"Omicron has yet to wreak the havoc of the Delta variant and may never do so, keeping the global recovery on track," said Jeffrey Halley, analyst at brokerage OANDA.

Brent rose by 50 percent in 2021 and has rallied further in 2022 as demand has recovered to near pre-pandemic levels while the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, collectively known as OPEC+, slowly ease record output cuts made in 2020.

However, lack of capacity in some OPEC nations has kept supply additions below the 400,000-barrel-per-day (bpd) increase agreed to last year among the group.

Recent outages in Libya have also buoyed prices, and the National Oil Corp said it was suspending exports from the Es Sider terminal.

"Combination of facts – that demand is going to be stronger than anticipated and that OPEC's supply may not grow as fast as the demand - is why prices are climbing," said Phil Flynn, senior analyst at Price Futures Group.

US crude inventories dropped by about 1.1 million barrels last week, according to market sources citing American Petroleum Institute, less than the 2 million-barrel draw estimated in a Reuters poll. Official government data is due on Wednesday.

European refiners' crude and oil products stocks in December dropped by more than 11 percent from a year earlier, Euroilstock data showed.

Also Read:- What is OTC (over-the-counter) medicine? [The Complete Investor's Guide]

 At the same time, European jet fuel refining margins, are back to pre-pandemic levels as global aviation activity recovers despite the spread of Omicron.

Meanwhile, the US government lowered its oil output growth estimates, while raising its oil demand forecast.

Production was estimated to rise by 640,000 bpd this year, lower than last month's forecast of a 670,000 bpd increase. Total oil demand was now seen rising 840,000 bpd for the year, higher than the 700,000-bpd increase expected last month. It is estimated to rise by another 330,000 bpd in 2023. 



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