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How to Pick Stocks for Long Term Investment [Stock Picking Strategies]?

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Long-term investments are one of the most important aspects of one ’s investment expedition. Investing your capital for the long term requires a lot of planning and delving. A long-term investment is hourly governed by factors like investment aim, investment horizon, available capital, danger appetite of the investor, etc. Depending on these factors one can choose the suitable long-term investment instrument for their conditions.
How to Pick Stocks for Long Term Investment [Stock Picking Strategies]?

Now with standing, the main confusion with long-term investment in the stock call is the selection of stocks. A stock that is suitable for intraday or short term may not be good for long term investment. Like all other investment businesses, delving and discipline are bored for being a successful long-term investor. Cherry-picking stocks is both an art and knowledge because the best-looking bets can also fail to pay off. But there are some strategies which can help you in chancing the Sunday stocks.

Abecedarian analysis and anatomizing fat hands can help you in cherry-picking good stocks for your long-term investment conditions. A proper delving grounded on the combination of abecedarian and fat analysis can help you steer in the applicable direction. Let us agitate about the chromatic strategies which can help you in cherry-picking the Sunday stocks for your long term investing.

There are different events- grounded Market Neuron. Let us agitate about them in detail.

Table of Content
Pick Stocks for Long Term Investment
Elemental Analysis
Thickness of Gratuity
P/ E Proportion
Avoid Value Traps
Lucrative Indexes
Lucrative Conditions

So, without anything else ado, let us bandy about all these strategies in detail and help you in picking the right stocks for all your investment needs.

1. Elemental Analysis
Elemental analysis is the first and foremost step that fair all critics apply for electing some good long-term investment stocks. There are multicolored elemental factors that are assayed to get an overall idea about the monetary health and sure-enough value of the stock of any company. All those stocks market tips which are valued.e. the price of the stock is below its sure-enough value, can be a good snip. Let us moot about some of the ordinarily used introductory analysis strategies.

Thickness of Lagniappe The piquancy in the earnings of a company can be judged on the bases if the thickness of the company to pay and raisedividend.However, it shows that it's financially stable enough, If a company is paying regular lagniappes. There are polychrome opinions on how numerous vintages should you dissect to look for the viscosity, but these range provides you an idea about the pocket stability of the company.

P/ E Rate This is the most common risk to look for over valued and under valued stocks. The P/ E rate or price to earnings rate is a rate of the current price of a company ’s stocks and the company ’s earning per share. A refined P/ E rate indicates an over valued stock which could withdrawal anytime in the near future. On the other hand, a lower P/ E rate indicates an under valued stock which can be an glamorous value because the requests have pushed the shares below their sure-enough value. The P/ E rate of a company is normally compared with the P/ E rate of the overall sector or call to conclude whether the stock has an bewitching valuation or not.

Value Traps A stock that's cheap and underestimated isn't needs a good bargain. It can be a value trap as well and can head a lot lower. Value traps are assayed on the footing of debt proportion and current proportion of the companies. Debt proportion is the total quantity of opulence of a company which are bought on finance or debt. It's calculated by dividing the total debt of company with its total opulence. The forward the debt, the other are the chances of the company being a value trap.

2. Lucrative Indexes
Using lucrative indexes is a separate step in electing fashionable long-term stocks. There are two different ways to use paying needles to get an idea of what's going down with the requests. Let us moot about both of them.

Paying conditions The stock request needles are considered forward-looking paying needles. For representative, a conformable weakness in the Nifty 50 could signify that thrift has started to tower out and the earnings could fall as well. The same stereotype applies if the pointers show a constant rise, but the remunerative mathematics shows that the thrift is still weak.
Valuing the “ Big Picture ” Using the quotidian titles as a remunerative pointer can be a good way to gauge how long-term buys relate to the parsimony. Using contrarian indexes from the news media to get an idea of whether the calls are getting overbought or oversold.

Conclusion
Long-term investing requires a lot of examination, discipline, and long-suffering. You'll come across kaleidoscopic long-term investment options when the company or calls aren't performing so well. But you can use these beginning tools and fat hands to find the cloistered gems by avoiding implicit value traps. You can ease out the process by planning your long-term investment with Market Neuron, which includes a selection of 6-10 stocks handpicked by equal pundits hung on the elementary inquest. Before planning any investment you should mandatorily check your menace appetite to get an idea about the quantity of menace you should take in the demand.

Gold loan interest rates: Here are the lenders offering lowest rate

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Gold loans are the best bet if you are looking for a short-term loan and have clarity on how soon you will be able to repay.

Gold loans are the best option if you are looking for a short-term loan and have clarity that you will soon be able to repay it.

Demand for gold loans has been growing following the outbreak of coronavirus as people face a cash crunch brought on by the loss of employment, salary cuts, or a downturn in business thanks to restrictions.
If you'll repay quickly, then gold loans are the simplest option but there are other things that you simply should confine in mind aside from interest rates.

According to data from Paisabazaar.com, lenders that provide low-interest rates include Punjab & Sind Bank (7-7.5 percent), depository financial institution of India (7.5 percent), and Canara Bank (7.65 percent).

Bandhan Bank charges up to 18 percent, Muthoot Finance up to 27 percent, and Manappuram Finance up to 29 percent. The rate of interest is often as high as 29 percent with some lenders.


The total interest that you simply can pay will come to Rs 4,109. The equated monthly installment is going to be Rs 8,676 if you're taking a Rs 1 lakh loan at 7.5 percent for a year.

If the rate of interest is eighteen percent, the EMI is going to be Rs 9,168 and therefore the total interest outgo is going to be Rs 10,016. At a 29 percent rate of interest, you'll find yourself paying Rs 14,053 in interest for an equivalent loan.

Punjab & Sind Bank, Canara Bank, Punjab commercial bank, IIFL Finance, and Manappuram Finance offer tenures for a year or less, so, before taking a loan, check the utmost tenure that the lender is willing to supply you.

State Bank of India, Bandhan Bank, and Muthoot Finance offer a maximum tenure of up to 3 years. Kotak Mahindra Bank can provide a loan for up to four years.


Some lenders charge a processing fee as a percentage of the loan amount. Punjab commercial bank, for instance, charges 0.75 percent, which can be Rs 750 for a Rs 1 lakh loan.

Lenders could sell the gold to recover their money if they're unable to repay on time. Lenders could also ask you to pledge more gold if prices fall.

Due to a fall in gold prices recently, many lenders issued notices to borrowers to pledge more gold. Gold might be auctioned if they fail to try to to so, lenders said.

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IDBI Bank launches digital loan processing system for MSME, agri borrowers

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The Loan Processing System (LPS) for MSME and Agri products seamlessly integrate with data fintech, bureau validations, document storage, account management, and customer notifications among others, IDBI Bank said in a statement.


IDBI Bank on Wednesday announced the launch of its fully digitized loan processing system, offering over 50 products to MSME and therefore the agriculture sector.

The Loan Processing System (LPS) for MSME and Agri products seamlessly integrate with data fintech, bureau validations, document storage, account management, and customer notifications among others, IDBI Bank said during a release.

These features of the fully digitized and automatic loan processing system are further aimed toward providing a superior tech-enabled banking experience to the bank's MSME and Agri customers, it said.

"LPS would carry a complete of quite 50 product lines and would offer a seamless credit lifecycle with over 35 interface touchpoints to several satellite systems," Suresh Khatanhar, Deputy director, IDBI Bank said.

He said the LPS integrates with the prevailing core database, human resource management system, and various other applications of the bank. This utility would considerably enhance the customer experience with improved turn-around time, Khatanhar said.

Adani Green shares hit 5% upper circuit on acquisition of SB Energy's renewable portfolio

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The deal is expected to enable Adani Green Energy to achieve its target renewable portfolio of 25 GW, four years ahead of the timeline, and takes the company’s present total renewable capacity to 24.3 GW and operating renewable capacity of 4.9 GW.

Adani Green Energy Ltd.

Adani Green Energy's  share price spiked 5 percent at open on May 19 after the company said it will acquire the renewable portfolio from SB Energy.

Adani Green Energy will acquire 5 GW of renewable power portfolio from SB Energy India for a fully completed enterprise evaluation (EV) of $3.5 billion (approx Rs 26,000 crore).

The share purchase agreement was signed on May 19 for the acquisition of 100 percent interest in SB Energy from SoftBank Group and Bharti Group, which held 80 percent and 20 percent stake, respectively.

The stock was trading at Rs 1,257.95, up Rs 59.00, or 4.92 percent at 09:28 hours. It has touched an intraday high of Rs 1,258.85 and an intraday low of Rs 1,217.90.

SB Energy has a total renewable portfolio of 4,954 MW in four states. This is the largest acquisition in India's renewable space.

The deal is expected to enable Adani Green Energy to achieve its target renewable portfolio of 25 GW, four years ahead of the timeline, and takes the company’s present total renewable capacity to 24.3 GW and operating renewable capacity of 4.9 GW.

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“This acquisition demonstrates Adani Green Energy’s intent to be the leader in sustainable energy transition globally and makes it one of the largest renewable energy platforms in the world. The closing of the transaction is subject to customary approvals and conditions,” a statement from the company read.


Tata Motors share price gains 2% ahead of Q4 results, brokerages forecast 5-fold jump in EBITDA

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Brokerages forecast a five-fold rise in earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) on the back of a 40 percent year-on-year (YoY) growth in revenue.

Tata Motors

Tata Motors share price gained 2 percent in the morning session on May 18 ahead of its Q4 results to be announced later in the day.

Brokerages expect a five-fold jump in earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) on the back of a 40 percent year-on-year (YoY) growth in revenue.

The auto major reported a 90 percent rise in standalone volumes (India) to 1.91 lakh units for Q4 FY21 driven by strong passenger vehicle demand and recovery in commercial vehicle demand. Its subsidiary, the UK-based luxury carmaker Jaguar Land Rover, is expected to report a 2 percent YoY decline in volume (excluding China JV) but a 7-8 percent YoY increase (including China JV).

The stock was trading at Rs 326.85, up to Rs 5.75, or 1.79 percent, at 0943 hours. It has touched an intraday high of Rs 328.20 and an intraday low of Rs 324.10.

"During the quarter, the commercial vehicle segment has witnessed growth on the back of improved consumer sentiments, stable freight rates, and higher infrastructure demand. The passenger vehicle business witnessed strong growth on a low base with robust demand for personal mobility and new launches. The electric vehicle segment witnessed 3x growth on a YoY basis," said KR Choksey.

Kotak Institutional Equities expects JLR volumes to increase by 7 percent YoY (including China JV) and down 2 percent YoY (excluding China JV) in Q4 FY21. The brokerage further expects revenues (ex-China JV) to increase by 23 percent YoY led by a 2 percent YoY decline in volumes and a 25 percent YoY increase in the average selling price in Q4FY21 due to a positive geographical mix.

Tata Motors' share price has surged 75 percent in 2021. In the preceding 12-month period, the stock delivered a whopping 298 percent to its investors.

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Fuel demand in COVID-hit India plunges in May

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Gasoline and diesel sales over May 1-15 fell by about 20%, while jet fuel consumption slumped by nearly 38%, versus April 1-15 levels, the data compiled by the state refiners showed.

Rates had already crossed the Rs 100-mark in several cities in Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Maharashtra and with the latest increase, prices in Mumbai too were inching towards that level.

Gasoline and diesel sales over May 1-15 fell by about 20%, while jet fuel consumption slumped by nearly 38%, versus April 1-15 levels, the data compiled by the state refiners showed.

"Trucking activity is almost half of what it used to be in normal times," SP Singh, a senior fellow at Indian Foundation of Transport Research & Training, said.

"Most of the business that they were getting from small and medium business has been hit due to lockdowns," Singh said, adding only a fraction of 5.5 million trucks is currently running on roads due to lockdowns.

Indian fuel demand had recovered to near pre-COVID levels in March but has been declining since April was given restrictions amid a staggering spike in infections to record highs.

India on Monday reported 281,386 new coronavirus infections over the last 24 hours, while deaths rose by 4,106. The South Asian nation's total caseload is 24.97 million with the death toll at 274,390, health ministry data showed.

Federal health officials have warned against any complacency over a "plateauing" in the rise of infections and urged states to strengthen their medical infrastructure and workforce.

India's demand for transportation fuels is expected to witness a sharper slump in May due to more impending restrictions, analysts say.

Due to a decline in local fuel sales, Indian refiners have started cutting crude processing and import State companies - Indian Oil Corp, Hindustan Petroleum Corp, and Bharat Petroleum Corp Ltd - own about 90% of India's retail fuel outlets.

Domestic fuel sales by state retailers over May 1-15, however, were higher versus a year earlier when there was a nationwide lockdown.
Article Source:- Moneycontrol


Growth versus inflation tussle will dictate market trends going ahead

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Humongous liquidity infusion by the leading central banks (above $10 trillion) should have created inflation. But inflation had ceased to be a monetary phenomenon in the developed world for more than a decade now.At any given time the market will be pulled up or down by positive and negative triggers. That's why markets are volatile. When the positive triggers are dominant a bullish trend will be formed, and when the negative triggers weigh over positives, markets will turn structurally bearish. Even though long-term trends are established by GDP and earnings growth, in the short to medium-term, other factors like liquidity, interest rates, exchange rates and expectations around these macros can exert an undue influence on the market.

The important question now is: How are the markets likely to trend, going forward? Let's get the economy-market construct in perspective. In 2020 the global economy slipped into one of the worst recessions in modern history, triggered by unprecedented lockdowns all over the world. Panic reaction in markets in March 2020 led to one of the sharpest crashes in market history. But, starting April, markets started to climb up steadily aided by the unprecedented liquidity infusion by the leading central banks of the world, led by the Fed. The Discovery of vaccines to contain the pandemic and Fed's declared ultra-loose monetary stance to keep interest rates near zero through the end of 2023 gave fodder to the bulls which kept on charging. Globally markets scaled newer peaks. The economy-market disconnect was conspicuous; but the organized sector, which the market represents, started doing very well, justifying the bulls.

Humongous liquidity infusion by the leading central banks (above $10 trillion) should have created inflation. But inflation had ceased to be a monetary phenomenon in the developed world for more than a decade now. Instead of pushing up the prices of goods and services, liquidity pushed up the prices of assets like stocks.

But low CPI inflation and high asset price inflation cannot sustain for long. Even though the Federal Reserve declared that it will keep rates unchanged till the end of 2023 and that it will tolerate higher inflation, the markets started fearing the return of inflation. The US 10-year bond yield, perhaps the most important macro indicator in the world which can move global financial markets, started rising to lead to a mild sell-off in February 2021 and now on May 12.

Inflation data released in the US on Wednesday showed higher-than-expected numbers. YoY CPI inflation spiked to 4.2 percent, the highest since 2008. Core inflation climbed to 3 percent, the highest since 1996. Reacting to the worse-than-expected inflation numbers, US markets corrected sharply: The Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P crashed by 2 percent, 2.1 percent, and 2.67 percent, respectively. The US 10-year yield rose above 1.69 percent.


inflation: Structural or transitory?

Economists and market experts are divided on the nature of this inflation. Some see it as transitory while others fear that it will become structural. The jury is still out on this. If inflation cools off in the coming months and the present growth momentum in the global economy continues, growth will trump inflation and the markets will bounce back. On the other hand, if inflation impulses get entrenched, the bond market will push up the yields, negatively impacting equity markets. This bond bears versus equity bulls fight have many more rounds to go. Globally markets are highly correlated. So monitor the US inflation numbers, bond yields, and market movements even while tracking the COVID data and macros back home.

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Second COVID wave, lower GDP estimates – dilemma for fixed income investors: Anand Nevatia of TRUST AMC

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Whenever the economy starts to slow down, the central bank ensures easy monetary conditions along with a low-interest rate regime.


The second wave of COVID-19 is far more severe compared to the first wave. The average daily cases are touching approximately 4 lakh a day whereas only 2.5 percent of the population is vaccinated till now. Vaccine manufacturers are expected to increase production in the coming days as the US has relaxed restrictions on the export of raw materials to manufacture vaccines.

With a complete national lockdown in March 2020, it appeared that most of India escaped the first COVID-19 wave. The national lockdown severely affected the economy as was reflected in negative growth numbers in subsequent quarters. However, this time around, the decision of the lockdown was left on the states. Of the 28 states and 8 union territories, only about 16 have declared full lockdown while the others are on partial lockdown as of May 10, 2021. We are likely to see these numbers going up in the coming days given the increasing case numbers.

Most states are allowing essential activities to continue however, the lockdown does affect businesses at varying degrees. While the non-essential establishments see business coming to a complete standstill, the establishments in the essential services also go through a lower volume of business due to various logistical issues. There is a complete loss of demand for non-essential items as people start focusing on only essentials viz. food and grocery. This leads to a significant output gap as idle production capacity far exceeds the demand in the economy. This in turn leads to the postponement of CAPEX cycles, which affects the capital goods markets as well. This singular survival focus of the people not only impacts the manufacturing sector but also the services sector. The construction sector is a highly labor-intensive sector and will remain a key factor from an employment perspective. The second wave and consequent restrictions on non-essential domestic manufacturing could adversely affect exports.

While the GST collections until April 2021 (reflecting activity of March 2021) have been record-breaking, lower numbers are expected in the coming months as the economy starts reflecting the impact of lockdowns.

Post the first COVID-19 wave, as lockdowns were being lifted partially, some revival was witnessed largely due to the pent-up demand in the economy. A big contributor towards this revival was also the strong demand witnessed in the rural economy as rural India was largely able to avoid the dreaded virus. A key difference in the second wave is that this time rural India is also witnessing a large number of cases, and the impact is expected to be much larger as health facilities there are much lesser as compared to towns.

The coming months will start reflecting the impact of lockdowns in the economy and as a proactive measure, we also saw the Reserve Bank of India announcing a slew of measures to combat this expected slowdown in the last week. The true damage of COVID-19 induced lockdowns will be only realized once the pandemic starts to ebb away, however, in anticipation, we have had multiple agencies lowering their growth estimates for FY22.

Whenever the economy starts to slow down, the central bank ensures easy monetary conditions along with a low-interest rate regime. The RBI had brought down interest rates to record lows to combat the COVID-19 induced slowdown and had flushed the system with surplus liquidity. As the Indian economy had started showing some signs of revival, the RBI had started to withdraw some of this surplus liquidity but the impact of the second wave has made the central bank once again reassure the markets that it would maintain an accommodative stance for "as long as necessary" and till it witnesses durable growth in the economy.

The investors in the fixed income markets can therefore expect rates to remain low for at least a few quarters more before the rate cycle starts to reverse. The Indian Debt Capital markets have witnessed significant bouts of volatility in the last couple of years, be it market-driven or at times due to regulatory changes. The rates in the up to 1-year segment are too low and unattractive whereas the volatility on the longer end of the curve is something that is unpalatable for fixed income investors. In such scenarios, it would be prudent to lock investments into the tax-efficient roll-down products that not only present a natural hedge against a rising rate scenario but, also protect the investments from intermittent volatility.

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