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Global markets consolidate as UK elections, EU meet and locally RBI policy holds centre stage this week. US bond yields fall to 2.14% as protection buying sees yields fall.

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Indian Indices: Asian indices opened flat as overnight US indices closed in the red as most investors stayed on the sidelines ahead of an event heavy week. The RBI policy meet in India today coupled with UK elections, EU Meet and Comey testimony on Thursday all could be the drivers for markets’ direction going forward.


Nifty hit 9700 only to see selling dominate the session and closed near the low of the day. The bout of profit booking saw very weak advance/decline ratio and mid-caps fall more as broader market corrected sharply. IT, select private Banks witnessed buying while FMCG, PSU banks and Auto bore the brunt of the selloff. Today all eyes will be on the RBI Governor on rates as near term consensus seems no change in policy.


The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 31326.41, up by 135.85 points or 0.44% after trading in a range of 31229.25 and 31346.99. There were 21 stocks advancing against 9 stocks declining on the index.

The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.46%, while Small cap index was up by 0.87%.

The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 9671.50, up by 34.35 points or 0.36% after trading in a range of 9648.00 and 9678.55. There were 35 stocks advancing against 16 stocks declining on the index.

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Group ATopGainers

 

 

Company

Price (Rs)

% chg

IIFL

607.35

10.31

Cadilahc

526.80

7.42

Edelweiss

195.50

5.50

Naukri

1112.00

5.39

Group ATopLosers

 

 

Videoind

31.60

-4.96

RCOM

19.55

-2.74

Hexaware

251.75

-2.61

RTNPower

6.80

-1.88

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Indices

Support

Resistanes

Sensex

31195

31350

Nifty

9636

9675

 

Technical view: Nifty now finds resistance around 9700 while 9580 will act as strong support. Bank Nifty also finds strong support around 23250 while 23700 will act as resistance on the upside.


 

Union Bank Jun FUT (Sell Below 155 with Stop Loss at 158 for Target of 149): The stock has rallied for the past five sessions and has finally shown signs of a reversal. Union bank found stiff resistance at its 50-DMA which is placed at Rs 160. Other oscillators also indicate that the momentum is fading away further accentuating our short term bearish stance on the stock.


Derivative Snippets    

Adani Power has approached Gujarat UrjaVikas Nigam (GUVNL) to bail out its Mundra power plant, which stares at financial unviability after the Supreme Court in April quashed the company's plea for tariffs that would have compensated escalations in Indonesian coal costs.

In the last trading session, markets traded in a narrow range awaiting the credit policy on June 7, 2017. Huge short covering to the tune of ~3.25 lakh shares was witnessed in Bank Nifty 23500 monthly call option strike along with fresh short build-up in ATM/OTM put option strikes, indicating of a big surge of ~200 points in the Banking index above the resistance level of 23500.

FIIs were net buyers in cash market segment to the tune of Rs 61 Cr.FIIs index future long short ratio at 6.2x vs 6.3x.


Nifty Movers: The top gainers on Nifty were Mahindra & Mahindra up by 2.30%, Vedanta up by 2.05%, ICICI Bank up by 1.63%, Hindustan Unilever up by 1.62% and GAIL India up by 1.62%.

On the flip side, BPCL down by 1.18%, TCS down by 0.98%, Yes Bank down by 0.92%, Wipro down by 0.89% and Indiabulls Housing Finance down by 0.70% were the top losers.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Healthcare up by 1.29%, Telecom up by 1.00%, FMCG up by 0.98%, Metal up by 0.82% and Consumer Disc up by 0.64%, while IT down by 0.18% and TECK down by 0.05% were the only losing indices on BSE.

 

 

On the global front: On the global front, Asian shares were trading mostly in green, as investors remained noticeably risk averse. The street cautiously awaited a trio of potential major risk events on Thursday, including the UK election, a European Central bank review and former FBI director James Comey’s testimony to the Senate stateside.

 

Global Signals:The Asian markets were trading mostly in green; Hang Seng increased 1.28 points or 0% to 25,998.42, Nikkei 225 increased 14.59 points or 0.07% to 19,994.49, Jakarta Composite increased 18.17 points or 0.32% to 5,726.01 and Shanghai Composite increased 34.42 points or 1.11% to 3,136.55.On the other hand, Taiwan Weighted decreased 5.62 points or 0.06% to 10,200.56, KOSPI Index decreased 2.96 points or 0.12% to 2,365.66 and FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI decreased 1.52 points or 0.08% to 1,789.49.

 

Global markets consolidate as UK elections, EU meet and locally RBI policy holds centre stage this week. US bond yields fall to 2.14% as protection buying sees yields fall.

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Indian Indices: Asian indices opened flat as overnight US indices closed in the red as most investors stayed on the sidelines ahead of an event heavy week. The RBI policy meet in India today coupled with UK elections, EU Meet and Comey testimony on Thursday all could be the drivers for markets’ direction going forward.


Nifty hit 9700 only to see selling dominate the session and closed near the low of the day. The bout of profit booking saw very weak advance/decline ratio and mid-caps fall more as broader market corrected sharply. IT, select private Banks witnessed buying while FMCG, PSU banks and Auto bore the brunt of the selloff. Today all eyes will be on the RBI Governor on rates as near term consensus seems no change in policy.


The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 31326.41, up by 135.85 points or 0.44% after trading in a range of 31229.25 and 31346.99. There were 21 stocks advancing against 9 stocks declining on the index.

The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.46%, while Small cap index was up by 0.87%.

The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 9671.50, up by 34.35 points or 0.36% after trading in a range of 9648.00 and 9678.55. There were 35 stocks advancing against 16 stocks declining on the index.

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Group ATopGainers

 

 

Company

Price (Rs)

% chg

IIFL

607.35

10.31

Cadilahc

526.80

7.42

Edelweiss

195.50

5.50

Naukri

1112.00

5.39

Group ATopLosers

 

 

Videoind

31.60

-4.96

RCOM

19.55

-2.74

Hexaware

251.75

-2.61

RTNPower

6.80

-1.88

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Indices

Support

Resistanes

Sensex

31195

31350

Nifty

9636

9675

 

Technical view: Nifty now finds resistance around 9700 while 9580 will act as strong support. Bank Nifty also finds strong support around 23250 while 23700 will act as resistance on the upside.


 

Union Bank Jun FUT (Sell Below 155 with Stop Loss at 158 for Target of 149): The stock has rallied for the past five sessions and has finally shown signs of a reversal. Union bank found stiff resistance at its 50-DMA which is placed at Rs 160. Other oscillators also indicate that the momentum is fading away further accentuating our short term bearish stance on the stock.


Derivative Snippets    

Adani Power has approached Gujarat UrjaVikas Nigam (GUVNL) to bail out its Mundra power plant, which stares at financial unviability after the Supreme Court in April quashed the company's plea for tariffs that would have compensated escalations in Indonesian coal costs.

In the last trading session, markets traded in a narrow range awaiting the credit policy on June 7, 2017. Huge short covering to the tune of ~3.25 lakh shares was witnessed in Bank Nifty 23500 monthly call option strike along with fresh short build-up in ATM/OTM put option strikes, indicating of a big surge of ~200 points in the Banking index above the resistance level of 23500.

FIIs were net buyers in cash market segment to the tune of Rs 61 Cr.FIIs index future long short ratio at 6.2x vs 6.3x.

Nifty Movers: The top gainers on Nifty were Mahindra & Mahindra up by 2.30%, Vedanta up by 2.05%, ICICI Bank up by 1.63%, Hindustan Unilever up by 1.62% and GAIL India up by 1.62%.

On the flip side, BPCL down by 1.18%, TCS down by 0.98%, Yes Bank down by 0.92%, Wipro down by 0.89% and Indiabulls Housing Finance down by 0.70% were the top losers.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Healthcare up by 1.29%, Telecom up by 1.00%, FMCG up by 0.98%, Metal up by 0.82% and Consumer Disc up by 0.64%, while IT down by 0.18% and TECK down by 0.05% were the only losing indices on BSE.

 

 

On the global front: On the global front, Asian shares were trading mostly in green, as investors remained noticeably risk averse. The street cautiously awaited a trio of potential major risk events on Thursday, including the UK election, a European Central bank review and former FBI director James Comey’s testimony to the Senate stateside.

 

Global Signals:The Asian markets were trading mostly in green; Hang Seng increased 1.28 points or 0% to 25,998.42, Nikkei 225 increased 14.59 points or 0.07% to 19,994.49, Jakarta Composite increased 18.17 points or 0.32% to 5,726.01 and Shanghai Composite increased 34.42 points or 1.11% to 3,136.55.On the other hand, Taiwan Weighted decreased 5.62 points or 0.06% to 10,200.56, KOSPI Index decreased 2.96 points or 0.12% to 2,365.66 and FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI decreased 1.52 points or 0.08% to 1,789.49.

 

US indices ignore weak jobs data to hit fresh lifetime highs as bull market in equities gathers momentum.

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Indian Indices: Asian indices opened flat as after last week's stellar rally most indices consolidate. The 'yen" weakness saw the Japanese 'Nikkei" hold over 20000 as the new fresh highs see more ETF flows chase returns. Gold prices also saw buying as fresh geopolitical risk in London saw defensive buying emerge.


Nifty gave up most gains of morning trade as profit booking above 9650 was the dominant theme for Friday. The Nifty large cap stocks saw profit booking while the midcaps saw value buying with sectoral outperformance continuing. For today expect another bout of profit booking above 9650 as both foreign & local mutual funds sell while Nifty consolidates.

The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 31271.41, down by 1.88 points or 0.01% after trading in a range of 31198.22 and 31275.35. There were 18 stocks advancing against 12 stocks declining on the index.

The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index gained 0.53%, while Small cap index was up by 0.70%.

The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 9665.60, up by 12.10 points or 0.13% after trading in a range of 9640.70 and 9665.70. There were 35 stocks advancing against 16 stocks declining on the index.

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Group ATopGainers

 

 

Company

Price (Rs)

% chg

Titan

534.55

13.19

Redington

149.35

5.21

Unitdspr

2458.40

4.91

Vakrangee

409.25

4.90

Group ATopLosers

 

 

Videoind

34.95

-4.92

Sintex

24.35

-4.13

Kpit

113.50

-2.60

Marksans

44.00

-2.55

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Indices

Support

Resistanes

Sensex

31195

31350

Nifty

9636

9675

 

Technical view: Nifty now finds strong support around 9550 while 9700 will act as resistance on the upside. Bank Nifty also finds resistance around 23500 while 23250 will act as support.

 

 

Godrej Properties (BUY Above 521 with Stop Loss at 512.5 for Target of 538): After correcting ~20% in past five weeks, the stock has finally shown signs of a recovery and has broken out from a declining trend-line breakout on the daily charts. The upthrust has also been accompanied with smart uptick in volumes. Other oscillators are also indicating the recovery is likely to extend further.


Derivative Snippets:    

Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Ltd (APSEZ), has started construction of the first berth at the country's international transhipment project of deep-water multi-cargo port at Vizhinjam in Kerala.


In the last trading session, Nifty ended on a positive note. Huge short covering to the tune of ~5 lakh shares was witnessed in Nifty 9500 call strike, making 9500 as the new floor for Nifty during the June F&O expiry series. Bank Nifty OTM put option strikes continue to remain the selling pressure, indicating of a continued uptrend.


FIIs were net sellers in cash market segment to the tune of Rs 59 Cr.FIIs index future long short ratio at 5.8x vs 6x.


Nifty Movers: The top gainers on Nifty were Bajaj Auto up by 2.17%, Indiabulls Housing up by 1.50%, BhartiInfratel up by 1.47%, BPCL up by 1.45% and Yes Bank up by 1.36%. On the flip side, ITC down by 1.07%, Lupin down by 0.87%, Coal India down by 0.73%, Infosys down by 0.38% and HDFC down by 0.32% were the top losers.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:The top gainers on the Sensex were Bajaj Auto up by 2.25%, Cipla up by 1.19%, Tata Steel up by 1.04%, Sun Pharma up by 0.82% and Axis Bank up by 0.77%. On the flip side, ITC down by 1.07%, Coal India down by 0.73%, Lupin down by 0.70%, HDFC down by 0.63% and Infosys down by 0.37% were the top losers.

 

 

On the global front: On the global front, Asian counters were exhibiting mixed trend at this point of time with some indices trading in red, as the most recent US data is testing bets on improving global growth that has helped drive the value of equities worldwide. The US markets extended their gains in last session, overlooking a weaker than expected jobs data, as the World Bank forecasted a modest pickup in growth despite uncertainty about monetary policy and concern among bond traders that inflation is waning.

 

Global Signals: Asian markets were trading mixed; KOSPI Index rose 2.18 points or 0.09% to 2,373.90, FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI increased 8.19 points or 0.46% to 1,785.14, Jakarta Composite gained 15.7 points or 0.27% to 5,758.15 and Taiwan Weighted was up by 39.39 points or 0.39% to 10,197.54.

On the flip side, Hang Seng decreased 85.84 points or 0.33% to 25,838.21, Shanghai Composite shed 14.53 points or 0.47% to 3,091.01 and Nikkei 225 was down by 6.39 points or 0.03% to 20,170.89.

 

WEEKLY NIFTY TRADING VIEW FOR THE WEEK JUNE05, 2017-JUNE 11, 2017

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Events to watch this week

  • US nonfarm payrolls rose 138,000; March/April revised down
  • Merkel: We have to fight for our own future ourselves
  • Draghi suggests no immediate policy shift ahead
  • UK polls show narrower lead for Conservatives
  • US quits Paris agreement

The Week ahead:

Mon, 5 June

global

Service sector purchasing managers indices

Tues, 6 June

Australia

Reserve Bank of Australia interest rate decision

Tues, 6 June

eurozone

Retail sales

Wed, 7 June

China

Foreign exchange reserves

Wed, 7 June

eurozone

Gross domestic product

Thurs, 8 June

Japan

Gross domestic product

Thurs, 8 June

United Kingdom

General election

Thurs, 8 June

China

Trade balance

Thurs, 8 June

eurozone

European Central Bank rate decision

Fri, 9 June

Canada

Unemployment rate

For the week,Led by the United States, global equities extended gains this week amid moderate global growth and restrained inflation data. All three major US indices set all-time highs. After disappointing US employment data, the yield on the 10-year Treasury note slipped to 2.17% compared with 2.24% last Friday. Oil continued its drop as well, with West Texas Intermediate crude falling to $47.35 a barrel from $48.95 a week ago. Volatility, as measured by the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX), remained historically muted, falling to 9.9 from 10.8 last week.

NIFTY- 9,653.50
CRUDE OIL-Rs 3,080barrel
GOLD-Rs 28,905 gram
Rs/$-Rs 64.44

MARKET ROUND UP

Market jumped on hopes of timely arrival of southwest monsoon rains. Global markets remained mixed following a better-than-expected employment data in the US, which triggered concerns that the US Federal Reserve may soon hike rates this year. While commentary by foreign brokerages on India and benchmark indices lifted investors' sentiment.

India's key reforms, including the impending Goods and Services Tax (GST) and sticky loan resolution, may improve the country's credit profile, Moody's Investors Service said on Thursday, 1 June 2017. A foreign broker, meanwhile, rolled forward its Sensex target to 32,200 by March 2018 as against the earlier target of 31,500 for December 2017. The broker said that implementation of the GST, strong flows from domestic mutual funds and foreign investors are positives, but a lot seems to be getting priced in with valuations at 18 times estimated FY18 earnings.

In the week ended Friday, 2 June 2017, the Sensex jumped 245.08 points or 0.79% to settle at 31,273.29, a record closing high. The index hit record high of 31,332.56 in intraday trade on Friday, 2 June 2017. The Nifty 50 index surged 58.40 points or 0.61% to settle at 9,653.50, a record closing high. The index hit record high of 9,673.50 in intraday trade on Friday, 2 June 2017.

The S&P BSE Mid-Cap index rose 281.58 points or 1.94% to settle at 14,801.48. The S&P BSE Small-Cap index rose 224.91 points or 1.49% to settle at 15,311.17. Both these indices outperformed the Sensex.

Macro Economic Front:

On the Economic Front,data released by Markit Economics during market hours on Thursday, 1 June 2017, showed that Indian manufacturing sector stayed in expansion mode in May as a further upturn in new business supported output growth. That said, the headline Nikkei India Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) dropped to a 3-month low of 51.6 in May from 52.5 in April.

India's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) rose at moderated pace of 6.1% in Q4 March 2017, which is the lowest pace of growth in last nine quarters. The GDP growth decelerated sharply from 7% growth recorded in the preceding last quarter and 8.7% surge posted in the corresponding quarter last year. The data was released by the government after market hours on Wednesday, 31 May 2017.

The Eight core infrastructure industries have showed 2.5% growth in output for April 2017 over April 2016. Its cumulative output growth had stood at 4.8% in FY 2017. The Base Year of the Index of Eight Core Industries has been revised from the year 2004-05 to 2011-12 from April 2017. The shift is in line with the new base year of Index of Industrial Production (IIP). The data was released by the government after market hours on Wednesday, 31 May 2017.

Major Action &Announcement:

Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M) rose 6.13% to Rs 1,423. The company's total tractor sales rose 11% to 25,599 units in May 2017 over May 2016. M&M's total auto sales rose 3% to 41,895 units in May 2017 over May 2016. Total domestic sales grew by 11% to 40,602 units in May 2017 over May 2016. Exports fell 68% to 1,293 units in May 2017 over May 2016. The announcement was made during market hours on Friday, 1 June 2017.

Bajaj Auto rose 1.06% to Rs 2,846.10. The company's total sales declined 10% to 3.13 lakh units in May 2017 over May 2016. Domestic sales fell 15% to 1.74 lakh units. Exports declined 3% to 1.39 lakh units. The announcement was made during market hours today, 2 June 2017.

Maruti Suzuki India rose 0.58% to Rs 7,114.25. The company's total sales rose 11.3% to 1.36 lakh units in May 2017 over May 2016. Domestic sales grew by 15.5% to 1.30 lakh units in May 2017 over May 2016. Export sales declined 36.3% to 6,286 units in May 2017 over May 2016. The announcement was made during market hours on Thursday, 1 June 2017.

Housing finance major HDFC rose 4.02% to Rs 1,610.10. The company said that HDFC Investments, a wholly owned subsidiary of the company subscribed 3.27 crore shares or 15% of share capital of First Housing Finance (Tanzania), Tanzania's first housing finance company. Cost of acquisition is equivalent to $1.5 million. The announcement was made after market hours on Thursday, 1 June 2017.

Coal India rose 0.17% to Rs 268.80. The company's consolidated net profit declined 38.25% to Rs 2716.09 crore on 8.01% increase in total income to Rs 25027.35 crore in Q4 March 2017 over Q4 March 2016. The result was announced after market hours on Monday, 29 May 2017.

ONGC fell 1.08% to Rs 173.90 after net profit declined 6.14% to Rs 4340.18 crore on 26.81% rise in total income to Rs 26233.56 crore in Q4 March 2017 over Q4 March 2016. The result was announced after market hours on Friday, 26 May 2017.

Global Front:

In Overseas Markets,data released by the private payroll firm ADP on Thursday, 1 June 2017, showed that private US companies hired at a blistering pace in May, accelerating from the pause in April. Non-farm private employment surged 253,000 in May. An improving labor market will likely support investors' expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates further in the coming months.

Global Economic News:

US adds fewer jobs than forecast
The May employment report was a disappointment save for a continued drop in the unemployment rate. 138,000 new jobs were added last month, while revisions to March and April data trimmed 66,000 from pervious totals. Economists had expected a rise of 184,000 nonfarm payrolls. Wage gains were steady at 2.5% versus a year ago. The bright spot in the report was the continued fall in the unemployment rate, which edged down to a 16 year low of 4.3%. While weaker than expected, the data likely won’t dissuade the US Federal Reserve from hiking rates later this month.

Merkel downplays past partnerships
Speaking at a campaign event inside a Bavarian beer tent shortly after the Nato and G7 summits, German chancellor Angela Merkel said the times when Europe could rely on others were over. She said while friendly relations with the US and UK are needed, she added that “we have to fight for our own future ourselves”. The German federal election takes place on 24 September.

Draghi: Not ready to unwind stimulus
Appearing before the European Parliament’s committee on economic affairs this week, European Central Bank president Mario Draghi downplayed the odds of any shift in policy at next week’s rate-setting meeting. Economic growth is improving but inflation remains subdued, the central banker said, adding that the economy still requires substantial stimulus. Some analysts had expected the ECB to signal that it will begin tapering bond purchases later this year. Very subdued eurozone inflation data (+1.4% year over year) released later in the week further tamped down expectations of a policy shift.

UK polls tighten
Opinion polls ahead of next week’s UK general election have been all over the map, with some showing the Conservatives with a lead as small as 3% and others indicating a lead as wide as 15%. What is not in doubt is that the race has tightened. Recall that the Conservatives held a 22% advantage on the day the election was called back in April. Not helping the Conservatives, Prime Minister Theresa May was criticized for skipping a BBC-sponsored debate, choosing instead to send a surrogate. Labour Party leader Jeremy Corbyn pounced on the decision. May tried to keep the focus on Brexit, saying Corbyn is ill suited to lead those negotiations with the European Union.

US pulls out of Paris Agreement
Saying he was elected to represent the voters of Pittsburgh, not Paris, US president Donald Trump this week announced that the United States would pull out of the Paris climate deal. The agreement put the US at a disadvantage, Trump said, highlighting its lack of enforcement mechanisms. Trump offered to renegotiate the deal, though Germany, France and Italy balked at the notion.

Italy moving closer to early elections
Elections could come as early as this autumn if the Italian parliament adopts a new election law resembling German’s proportional system, with a 5% cutoff for smaller parties. If the law is approved in the coming weeks, as expected, Italians could go back to the polls around the same time as Germany votes on 24 September. The ruling Democratic Party and the eurosceptic Five Star Movement are nearly tied atop the polls.

Europe continues to hog the growth spotlight
While manufacturing in the US and China moderated slightly in May, Europe continues to show strength. The eurozone manufacturing purchasing managers’ index firmed to 57.0 from 56.7 in April, the highest in six years. UK PMI stayed robust at 56.7, down from April’s 57.3, while the US ISM Manufacturing Index saw slight improvement to 54.9 In May from 54.8 in saw slight improvement to 54.9 In May from 54.8 in April. China’s official PMI stood unchanged at 51.2, though the Caixin PMI dipped to 49.6 from 50.3.

GLOBAL CORPORATE NEWS

Beige Book less upbeat
Optimism waned in a few districts, the Fed reported this week in its Beige Book. Seven of the 12 Fed districts reported growth as “modest” since the last report on 19 April, while four reported “moderate” growth and one district — New York— was flat. Markets still expect the Fed to hike rates later this month, but with inflation pressures moderating, future rate hikes are less certain than they were earlier in the year.

 

NEW 52-WEEK HIGH BSE (A):

 

ADANITRANS

132.75

BALKRISIND

1615.00

BAYERCROP

5050.00

NEW 52-WEEK LOWS BSE (A):

VIDEOIND

36.75

MAJOR WEEKLY GAINERS IN BSE A CATEGORY(%):

M&m FIN

24.34

BAYER CROPSCIENCE

16.46

ADANI TRANSMISSION

15.23

MAJOR WEEKLY LOSERS IN BSE A CATEGORY:

RELIANCE COMM

-19.96

VIDEOCON INDUSTRIES

-22.30

SINTEX INDS

-16.03


Eyes will be set on the certain US economic data releases are:

Monday (05June)

PMI Services Index & Factory Orders

Tuesday (06 June)

Week Bill Auction

Wednesday (07 June)

Consumer Credit

Thursday (08 June)

Fed Balance Sheet& Jobless Claims

Friday (09 June)

Wholesale Trade

Fundamental Pick of the week:

Buy Emami Ltd For Target Rs.1,260.00

Investment Rationale

* Emami is one of the leading players in the personal & healthcare consumer products industry in India, with portfolio of household brand names such as BoroPlus, Navratna, Fair &Handsome, Zandu Balm, MenthoPlus Balm and Fast Relief. It has a portfolio of over 300 products with presence across 40lac plus retails outlets through a network of 2,900 distributors.

* For FY18, the company is targeting double digit volume growth, likely to be driven by revival in urban and rural consumption and launches in new categories and brands extensions. Focus will remain on power brands. New products are likely to contribute 2-3% of overall sales.

* After a subdued performance in FY17, the company expects its overseas business to grow in double digits, led by ramp-up of demand in Middle East.

GST rates of 18% for personal care and 12% for Ayurveda will benefit the company. Further the company expects its debt to be re-paid by FY18.

Recommendation

Buy Emami Ltd @1135-1145 Stoploss 1065 CMP 1139.10  Target 1260

Domestic Market Overview

The Indian markets showing a lackluster trade ended marginally in red again in last session, as slew of disappointing economic reports on GDP, core sector output and manufacturing stirred concerns about the state of the economy. Today, the start is likely to see some recovery on positive global cues. Traders will be getting some support with NITI Aayog Vice Chairman ArvindPanagariya’s statement that India will regain the crown of the fastest growing major economy, overtaking China, as early as the first quarter of 2017- 18. He said that India, on an annual basis, is ahead of China and will regain the growth momentum soon on the back of host of reforms initiated by the Modi government in the last three years. Meanwhile, Finance Minister ArunJaitley while maintaining that the decline in fourth quarter GDP print cannot be attributed to demonetisation alone has said that India growing at 7-8 percent is 'fairly reasonable' in the current global context. Also, the Moody’s Investors Service has said that India’s key reforms, including the impending goods and services tax and resolution of sticky loans may improve the country’s credit profile. Realty sector may see some action, as the government has set a target of constructing 51 lakh houses by March 2018 to reach halfway towards its goal of building 1crore houses by 2019.

TECHNICAL VIEW:

S3

S2

S1

NIFTY

R1

R2

R3

9,485

9,565

9,610

9,653.50

9,688

9,720

9,800

Till we are above 9610 we can move towards 9669/9700/9767. Bearish below 9570 for a move towards 9500. Prices cannot stay near gann angles for so long so brace for a trending move. Nifty closed above 9610 on Friday and we finally had a gap up opening which did the first target of 9669 now as long as bulls held on to 9610 we can march for higher target of 9700/9779. Bearish below 9580 for a move towards 9520/9470. 

Conclusion:

Jubilation continues in the passing week as Nifty gained nearly half a percent and made a new record high above 9650.Encouraging Q4 earnings along with positive global cues and early arrival of monsoon helped the index to maintain its momentum for the sixth consecutive week.The coming week will be again a crucial week wherein RBI monetary policy is scheduled on 7th June.

Technically speaking, we‘re in a bull run and we expect the prevailing momentum to extend further. So, any intermediate dip should be considered as buying opportunity but do maintain caution in stock selection

SENSEX ENDS ON A POSITIVE NOTE, NIFTY ABOVE 9650; HERO MOTO, CIPLA GAIN

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Indian Indices: Indian equity benchmarks held firm trade in late afternoon session on optimism about a normal monsoon and healthy buying in Realty, Healthcare and Power stocks. Traders took encouragement with Moody's Investors Service’s latest report that a number of wide-ranging reforms initiated by the government would gradually ease the country's high debt burden, if implemented successfully. The agency also noted that demonetization & financial inclusion efforts will help broaden the tax base, while expenditure reforms will enhance spending efficiency and the Aadhaar identification system can help reduce fiscal leakage. 

Some support also came with NITI Aayog vice chairman ArvindPanagariya’s statement that India's 'fragile economy' has been turned around in the last three years and a sustained growth of 8 percent would now be possible within a few years. Meanwhile, markets regulator SEBI has launched an online registration mechanism for mutual funds with effect from June 1 to improve ease of doing business.

The BSE Sensex is currently closed at 31,273.29, up by 135.70 points or 0.44% after trading in a range of 31190.40 and 31332.56. There were 20 stocks advancing against 10 stocks declining on the index. The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.71%, while Small cap index was up by 0.60%.

The CNX Nifty is currently shut up at 9653.50, up by 37.40 points or 0.39% after trading in a range of 9637.45 and 9673.50. There were 35 stocks advancing against 16 stocks declining on the index.

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Top Movers (Group A)

 

 

Company

Cmp

% chg

Gainers

 

 

GVKPIL

5.94

14.45

GMRINfra

17.00

13.71

M&MFin

388.95

7.59

Bayercrop

4981.00

9.25

Losers

 

 

Sintex

25.40

-3.79

Videoind

36.75

-4.92

Intellect

120.60

-2.94

GDL

243.00

-2.86

INDEX PERFORANCE

 

 

Index

Close

% Chg

Sensex

31,273.29

0.44

Nifty

9,653.50

0.39

Crporate Front: In a view to generate awareness and educate retail partners around GST implications, ASSOCHAM and the leading consumer electronics and home appliances company, Videocon, on Thursday organized the first-of-its-kind GST Summit for traders. The daylong ASSOCHAM VIDEOCON GST Summit for traders witnessed deep discussions around GST, addressing retailers’ queries, and offering them a clearer understanding of the GST concept.

 

 

Macroeconomic front: The Union Minister for Finance, Defence and Corporate Affairs, ArunJaitley will chair the 15th Meeting of the GST Council scheduled to be held on Saturday, June 03, 2017 at VigyanBhavan in the national capital, according to a statement released by the ministry of finance. The ministry said that this meeting is important because it is likely to finalize the rates of tax and cess to be levied on the commodities remaining after the fitment exercise in the 14th GST Council Meeting.

 

On the global front:

On the global front, European markets were trading mixed, as political uncertainty took center stage once again. Asian markets were trading in red. Back home, in scrip specific development, JaiPrakash Associates jumped higher after the company executed a definitive agreement with Orient Cement (OCL), a part of CK Birla Group. The agreement is for acquisition by OCL of company's 74% equity stake in BhilaiJaypee Cement (BJCL) based on an enterprise value of Rs 1,450 crore on a cash free and debt free basis.


Commodity Updates:

Commodity Prices (MCX):

Commodity

Rs

% Chang

Gold

28650.00

-0.01

Silver

39700.00

-0.28

Crude oil

3024.00

-4.27

Natural Gas

193.70

-0.31

Alluminium

123.45

-0.6

Copper

363.10

-1.53

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Realty up by 1.39%, Healthcare up by 1.21%, Power up by 0.98%, Consumer Durables up by 0.95% and Telecom up by 0.90%, while Oil & Gas down by 0.31%, Energy down by 0.14% and Metal down by 0.13% were the top losing indices on BSE.

Top Nifty Movers:The top gainers on Nifty were Cipla up by 3.25%, Hero MotoCorp up by 3.12%, Adani Ports & SEZ up by 2.73%, Yes Bank up by 2.55% and HDFC up by 1.78%. On the flip side, GAIL India down by 2.12%, Vedanta down by 1.62%, BPCL down by 1.60%, Indiabulls Housing Finance down by 1.24% and Hindustan Unilever down by 1.13% were the top losers.

 

Global Signals:

Asian markets were trading mostly in green; Shanghai Composite increased 2.92 points or 0.09% to 3,105.54, FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI increased 13.03 points or 0.74% to 1,776.14, KOSPI Index increased 27.11 points or 1.16% to 2,371.72, Taiwan Weighted increased 65.11 points or 0.65% to 10,152.53, Hang Seng increased 114.83 points or 0.44% to 25,924.05 and Nikkei 225 increased 317.25 points or 1.6% to 20,177.28. On the flip side, Jakarta Composite decreased 3.69 points or 0.06% to 5,734.46.

All European markets were trading in green; UK’s FTSE 100 increased 25.82 points or 0.34% to 7,569.59, France’s CAC increased 33.56 points or 0.63% to 5,352.23 and Germany’s DAX increased 116.77 points or 0.92% to 12,781.69.

 

 

US indices close at new all time highs as jobs data spurs growth. Japanese ‘Nikkei’ crosses 20000 for the first time after 2015 as ‘Yen’ weakness spurs buying in exporters.

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Indian Indices: Asian indices opened in the green led by the Japanese ‘Nikkei’, which crossed 20000 for the first time as the 'Yen' weakness saw stocks rally. With the global rally in equities getting more pronounced higher risk taking seems the present norm as bond yields fall with oil and gold prices.


Nifty closed unchanged for another session due to weak macro data, however, intraday weakness got quickly bought into. The sentiment for higher return in equities is evident as all bad news is getting bought into without any correction. For today expect buying in mid-caps as they have corrected more than the market and a rebound is on the cards. 


The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 31252.40, up by 114.81 points or 0.37% after trading in a range of 31190.40 and 31332.56. There were 21 stocks advancing against 9 stocks declining on the index.

The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.62%, while Small cap index was up by 0.36%.

The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 9646.35, up by 30.25 points or 0.31% after trading in a range of 9637.45 and 9673.50. There were 32 stocks advancing against 19 stocks declining on the index.

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Group ATopGainers

 

 

Company

Price (Rs)

% chg

GMRINFRA

17.05

14.05

GVKPIL

5.61

8.09

Adanitrans

132.75

4.98

Welcorp

91.90

4.08

Group ATopLosers

 

 

Videoind

36.75

-4.92

GDL

242.80

-2.94

PFC

128.15

-1.88

Voltas

499.80

-1.79

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Indices

Support

Resistanes

Sensex

30480

30900

Nifty

9410

9560

 

Technical view: Nifty finds strong support around 9570 while 9700 will be the target on the upside. Bank Nifty also finds support around 23100 while 23700 will act as major resistance on the upside.


 

CEAT Limited (Buy Above 1791 with Stop Loss at 1766.5 for Target of 1840): After consolidating for over 10 trading sessions and correcting from highs of Rs 1897 to Rs 1635 the stock has finally broken out from a continuation Flag pattern. This indicates that a fresh up move is on the cards. The breakout is accompanied with credible volumes. The stock has also bounced back from its short term moving average, which further accentuates our bullish stance on the stock.


Derivative Snippets    

Pharma Sector: Attractive Valuations

L&T Technology Services (LTTS)has completed the acquisition of Esencia. With this, EsenciaTechnologies will become a subsidiary of L&T Technology. 

In the last trading session, Nifty ended on a flat note for the fourth trading day in a row. Nifty and Bank ATM/OTM put option strikes witnessed marginal short selling, indicating a continued uptrend for the markets.

FIIs were net sellers in cash market segment to the tune of Rs 517 Cr.FIIs index future long short ratio at 6x.

Nifty Movers: The top gainers on Nifty were BhartiAirtel up by 3.42%, Cipla up by 2.18%, Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone up by 1.85%, Hero MotoCorp up by 1.77% and Tata Motors - DVR up by 1.65%. On the flip side, Tata Steel down by 1.49%, Power Grid down by 1.06%, GAIL India down by 0.93%, Vedanta down by 0.89% and Hindustan Unilever down by 0.86% were the top losers.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening: The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Healthcare up by 2.00%, FMCG up by 1.15%, Consumer Disc up by 0.74%, Auto up by 0.66% and Realty up by 0.47%, while Oil & Gas down by 1.21%, Energy down by 0.97%, Metal down by 0.94%, Bankex down by 0.43% and PSU down by 0.38% were the losing indices on BSE.

 

 

On the global front: On the global front, Asian shares were trading mostly in green, with Shanghai bucking the trend. The offshore Chinese yuan hit its highest level since October on Thursday, a move traders believe was engineered by Chinese authorities as a show of strength to scare off yuan sellers after Moody’s downgraded China last week. South Korea’s benchmark Kospi index was higher as markets digested the release of revised Q1 GDP, which reflected the economy grew 2.9% on year compared to the 2.7%.

 

Global Signals:The Asian markets were trading mostly in green; FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI increased 9.65 points or 0.55% to 1,772.76, KOSPI Index increased 24.93 points or 1.06% to 2,369.54, Taiwan Weighted increased 33.83 points or 0.34% to 10,121.25, Hang Seng increased 93.04 points or 0.36% to 25,902.26 and Nikkei 225 increased 319.14 points or 1.61% to 20,179.17.On the other hand, Shanghai Composite decreased 9.83 points or 0.32% to 3,092.80 and Jakarta Composite decreased 6.49 points or 0.11% to 5,731.66.

 

Markets to make a somber start on weak GDP data- Research Report-Sharetipsinfo

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Domestic Market View :

Markets to make a somber start on weak GDP data

The Indian markets after a volatile day of trade ended marginally in red in the last session with traders turning cautious ahead of the GDP data. Today, the start is likely to be somber and traders will be reacting negatively to some weak economic data. India lost the tag of the world’s fastest growing major economy to China with a gross domestic product growth of 6.1 per cent in the three months through March from a year earlier, also slowing from a provisional 7 percent in the previous quarter. Growth for the year ending in March came in at 7.1 percent, in line with the official estimate. Meanwhile, India Inc. has said that the government's note ban move clearly had a debilitating impact on India's economy. Also, the growth of eight core sectors declined to 2.5 per cent in April, dragged down by lower coal, crude oil and cement production. Core sector growth was 8.7 per cent in April last year. However, there will be some solace with the government achieving the fiscal deficit target of 3.5 percent of GDP in 2016-17. As per Controller General of Accounts (CGA) data fiscal deficit was 3.51 percent of GDP or Rs 5.35 lakh crore in 2016-17. The CGA further said that revenue deficit during the last fiscal was 2.02 percent of GDP. There will be some buzz in the PSU oil marketing companies, as petrol and diesel prices were hiked on Wednesday, while Petrol price was increased by Rs. 1.23 the diesel price was hiked by Rs. 0.89. The auto companies will be in focus as they will start announcing their monthly sales numbers.

Indian benchmarks end a dull session with modest cut; broader markets outclass blue-chips

It turned out to be a lackadaisical performance from Indian benchmark indices on Wednesday, as they failed to snap the session in the green territory and settled marginally below the neutral lines. The frontline gauges took a breather, after closing at record highs for the previous sessions, as investors waited for gross domestic product (GDP) data due later in the day and searched for fresh corporate triggers with the results season coming to an end. According to India’s former chief statistician PronabSen, the country’s GDP for 2016-17 will get 50 basis points (bps) push to 7.6 percent from the government’s estimate of 7.1 percent, due to the recent revision of the base year of the Wholesale Price Index (WPI) and the Index of Industrial Production (IIP).

Further, investors around the world also turned cautious after a powerful bomb exploded in the morning rush hour in the centre of Kabul on Wednesday, killing at least 80 people, wounding hundreds and sending clouds of black smoke into the sky above the presidential palace and foreign embassies. However, losses remained capped with the Moody's Investors Service’s report stating that Indian economy will grow by 7.5 per cent in the current fiscal year, 7.7 per cent in 2018-19 and will reach to around 8 per cent in 3-4 years on the back of government's various reforms. Some support also came with report that Southwest monsoon arriving in Kerala on the expected date this year and also advancing into some parts of the Northeast India. Also, Prime Minister NarendraModi while speaking at the Indo-German Business Summit in Berlin said that India has one of the most liberal FDI policy regimes in the world and more than 90 percent of foreign investment flows are under automatic route. Meanwhile, Aviation stocks gained traction on expectations that a slide in oil prices would reduce carriers' fuel cost, which typically constitute about 50% of airlines' operating costs.

 

Global Market Overview 

Asian markets end mixed on Wednesday

Asian equity markets made a mixed closing on Wednesday as a stronger yen and a fall in oil prices ahead of weekly US industry inventory estimates later in the day offset better-than-expected manufacturing data from China. Japanese shares ended lower as the dollar hit two-week lows against the yen after mixed US data released overnight and new poll results showing that UK Conservatives could fall short of overall majority in next month's national election. Meanwhile, Chinese shares ended higher after data showed activity in China's manufacturing sector grew faster than expected in May. China's manufacturing sector continued to expand in May and at a steady pace, with a manufacturing PMI score of 51.2. That's unchanged from the April reading and surpassed expectations for 51.0. The non-manufacturing PMI came in with a score of 54.5 up from 54.0 in the previous month.

US markets closed lower for second straight day

The US markets closed lower on Wednesday, but off their worst levels of the session, notching gains for the month as a slump in bank shares and a mixed reading of economic reports weighed on investor sentiment. Coupled with the drop in oil prices and reports that former FBI Director James Comey will publicly testify that President Donald Trump pushed him to end the probe into former national-security adviser Michael Flynn also weighed on the sentiments. On the economy front, a reading for pending-home sales came in below expectations. Pending-home sales from the National Association of Realtors fell 1.3% to a level of 109.8 from a reduction in the March reading, whereas a gauge of economic health, the Chicago business barometer, or Chicago PMI, rose to 59.4 in May, its highest level in two and half years. Earlier, reporting agency MNI Indicators had mistakenly said the gauge fell to 55.2.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 20.82 points or 0.10 percent to 21,008.65, Nasdaq was down 4.67 points or 0.08 percent to 6,198.52, while S&P 500 edged lower by 1.11 points or 0.05 percent to 2,411.80.

Economy Overview 

Indian economy to grow 7.5% in current fiscal and 7.7% in 2018-19:

 

Just ahead of the release of the fourth quarter GDP numbers, the global credit rating agency, Moody's Investors Service in its latest report ‘Global Macro Outlook’ has said that Indian economy will grow by 7.5 per cent in the current fiscal year, 7.7 per cent

in 2018-19 and will reach to around 8 per cent in 3-4 years on the back of government's various reforms.

 

The agency said that the economy will strengthen as the impact of last year's demonetization fades and with the government successfully pushing through several key reforms such as liberalisation of FDI rules in a number of key sectors, July rollout of the

Goods & Service Tax (GST) and a national bankruptcy code, noting that these reforms will help reduce inefficiencies and improve trend growth over the long run.

 

However, the report has pointed that the private sector investment has remained weak despite progress on reforms. On the problem of mounting bad loans, Moody's noted that persistent banking sector weakness from a high proportion of delinquent loans on bank

balance sheets will weigh on growth, if not resolved, by constraining credit forinvestment related activity. Besides, it said that the inflation rate will rise to around 5 per cent by the end of this year and expects the Reserve Bank of India to hold the policy repo rate steady, holding a neutral stance in this growth environment.

Banks' stressed assets may increase to 15% of total loans by March 2018: S&P Ratings

 

Signaling that bad loans will continue to hurt Indian banks, credit rating agency, S&P Global ratings in its latest report has said that the credit profiles of banks are unlikely to improve over the next 12 months seeing that their total stressed assets are like

ly to increase to 15 percent of total loans by the end of March 2018. The agency further noted thatthe public sector banks will account for most of this weakness.

 

In its latest report titled 'No Quick Cure for India's Banking Blues', the rating agency has said that performance of public sector banks (PSUs) that it rated was dismal in theMarch quarter of the last fiscal, adding that year-over-year increase in non-performing loans (NPLs) led to higher provisions and lower profits. Besides, it said that the available pool of capital to absorb unexpected losses remained thin and loan growth was among the lowest in a decade.

 

S&P Ratings stated that PSU banks operate with a thin capital cushion and they will have to continue to rely on external capital infusion to meet the Basel III capital requirements, or sell off their non-core assets or investments. Besides, large haircuts on loans may require resolving stressed loans. The report further said that capital shortfall and asset quality problems could pave the way for consolidation among the government-

owned banks and this consolidation needs to be accompaniedby significant improvement in risk management practices, efficiency gains, capitalisation and improvement in overall governance.

US markets see profit booking as oil price drop hurts energy stocks, while higher bonds indicate Fed on way to hike rates in June.

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Indian Indices: Asian indices opened flat as overnight US cues turned negative with bond yields rising indicate Fed rate hike in June now a certainty. Consolidation could be the key this week as markets digest the gains of the previous 6 weeks. Positive manufacturing data from China could see sentiment improve as growth slowly picks up. 


Nifty closed over 9600 for another day led by Pharma and PSU banks while FMCG stocks witnessed profit booking. The breadth is getting more skewed in favor of declines as markets punish under performers. For today expect Nifty to see range bound trade while the broader market sees stock/sector rotation.      


The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 31162.70, up by 3.30 points or 0.01% after trading in a range of 31107.48 and 31233.68. There were 14 stocks advancing against 16 stocks declining on the index. The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.64%, while Small cap index was up by 0.83%.

The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 9619.15, down by 5.40 points or 0.06% after trading in a range of 9610.80 and 9638.70.  There were 21 stocks advancing against 30 stocks declining on the index.

 

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Group ATopGainers

 

 

Company

Price (Rs)

% chg

Unitdspr

2275.05

8.86

Beml

1263.35

7.93

NlcIndia

106.45

7.10

RamCocem

730.00

6.14

Group ATopLosers

 

 

Rcom

18.45

-7.98

Videoind

40.65

-4.91

Sintex

26.90

-3.76

Hathway

40.60

-3.10

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Indices

Support

Resistanes

Sensex

30480

30900

Nifty

9410

9560

 

 

Technical view: Nifty witnessed strong support around 9548 which was the last few days low while 9640/9650 act as resistance on the upside, any break either side will trigger rise or fall. Bank Nifty also finds strong support around 23094 which was yesterday's low while 23450 will act as resistance on the upside.


 

 

The South Indian Bank (Buy Above 28 with Stop Loss at 27 for Target of 30): Our daily chart analysis indicates that South Indian Bank after consolidating for over a week has finally broken out from a Flag pattern. The stock found strong support at its 15-DMA and bounced back to break out convincingly. Other momentum oscillators also indicate that the current upswing is likely to prolong.


Derivative Snippets   


Pharma Sector: Attractive Valuations

Structurally Pharma is a sector which has high ROCE and has a significant stable demand in addition to growth opportunities. The recent fall in the stock prices by 25 to 35% in last three months provides a decent entry point from a risk reward perspective. Most of the stocks are trading at a relative discount of 40% to the index for the first time in the past two decades. Hence, we suggest doing Systematic Investment Plans (SIP) in some select Pharma stocks or in Pharma focused mutual funds.


In the last trading session, Nifty ended on a flat note. Nifty ATM/OTM put option strikes continued to see short selling, while Bank Nifty OTM call strike of 23500 saw fresh long build up, indicating a continued uptrend.FIIs were net sellers in cash market segment to the tune of Rs 217 Cr.FIIs index future long short ratio at 5.5x vs 5.7x.

 

Nifty Movers: The top gainers on Nifty were Mahindra & Mahindra up by 5.93%, Ultratech Cement up by 2.89%, Power Grid up by 2.01%, Lupin up by 1.84% and Indian Oil Corporation up by 1.64%. On the flip side, Vedanta down by 2.27%, BhartiInfratel down by 2.24%, AurobindoPharma down by 1.60%, ONGC down by 1.48% and Yes Bank down by 1.34% were the top losers.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening: The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Realty up by 1.46%, Auto up by 1.15%, Consumer Disc up by 1.05%, Utilities up by 1.02% and Power up by 0.69%, while Metal down by 0.85%, FMCG down by 0.23%, IT down by 0.21%, TECK down by 0.20% and Telecom down by 0.13% were the losing indices on BSE.

 

 

 

On the global front:On the global front, Asian shares were trading mostly in red, even as China re-opened after a two-day break and brought along some upbeat news. China’s manufacturing sector expended faster than expected in May, highlighting continued steady growth.  The National Bureau of Statistic’s official Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) came in at 51.2 higher than the 51.0 expected and even with 51.2 in April.

Global Signals:The Asian markets were trading mostly in red; Taiwan Weighted decreased 58.99 points or 0.58% to 10,042.96, Nikkei 225 decreased 50.46 points or 0.26% to 19,627.39, Hang Seng decreased 35.6 points or 0.14% to 25,666.03 and FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI decreased 0.37 points or 0.02% to 1,764.97.On the other hand, KOSPI Index increased 1.09 points or 0.05% to 2,344.77, Shanghai Composite increased 5.51 points or 0.18% to 3,115.57 and Jakarta Composite increased 10.92 points or 0.19% to 5,704.31.

 


SENSEX NIFTY CHOPPY; INVESTORS BOOK PROFITS IN FMCG STOCKS GAINS

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Indian Indices: Indian equity benchmarks traded in a narrow range throughout the day and ended the session modestly in green. Nifty closed near intraday record high as the arrival of monsoon rains kept the sentiments upbeat. The monsoon, which delivers about 70 per cent of India’s annual rainfall, arrived at the southern Kerala coast, in line with forecasts, brightening the outlook for higher farm output and robust economic growth. Pharma stocks continued to see strong gains after days of correction. The equity benchmarks despite a dismal start managed to enter into green terrain in early deals as traders got some support after World Bank in its ‘India Development Report’ increased its hopes that India, the fastest growing major economy in the world, will grow at 7.2 per cent in the current fiscal and further up to 7.7 per cent by 2019-20 on strong fundamentals, reform momentum and improving investment scenario. 

The World Bank had in January scaled down India’s growth forecast to 7 per cent for 2016-17 and had estimated growth to rebound in 2017-18 to 7.6 per cent. In its latest report it said that Economic activity ought to accelerate in 2017-18 and GDP is projected to grow at 7.2 per cent from 6.8 per cent in 2016-17.

The BSE Sensex ended at 31159.10, up by 49.82 points or 0.16% after trading in a range of 31064.04 and 31220.38. There were 20 stocks advancing against 10 stocks declining on the index.

The broader indices ended in green; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.94%, while Small cap index was up by 0.52%.

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Top Movers (Group A)

 

 

Company

Cmp

% chg

Gainers

 

 

Bhel

140.00

-8.68

MMTC

55.85

-5.58

Videoind

42.75

-4.89

ABAN

180.85

-4.61

Losers

 

 

Videoind

47.30

-9.99

Sunpharma

568.55

-3.93

IOC

426.35

-2.82

Cipla

491.60

-2.48

INDEX PERFORANCE

 

 

Index

Close

% Chg

Sensex

31,028.21

0.90

Nifty

9,624.55

0.20

Crporate Front: Markets regulator Sebi has imposed a total penalty of Rs 13 lakh on Agnite Education and three other entities for failing to provide information sought by it. It has levied a fine of Rs 8 lakh on Agnite Education (formerly known as Teledata Informatics) for making incorrect disclosure repetitively about shareholding and for failing to comply with the multiple summons issued to it, Sebi said in an order.

 

Macroeconomic front: The Reserve Bank of India today fixed the reference rate of the rupee at 64.8586 against the US dollar and 72.4730 for the euro. The corresponding rates were 64.7751 and 72.7489, yesterday. According to an RBI statement, the exchange rates for the pound and the yen against the rupee were 84.0957 and 57.96 per 100 yens, respectively, based on reference rates for the dollar and cross-currency quotes at noon. The SDR-rupee figure will be based on this rate, the statement added.

On the global front:

On the global front, Asian markets closed mostly in red, with Nikkei closing slightly in red as losses in the Financial Services, Steel and Chemical, Petroleum & Plastic sectors led shares lower. In economic news, Japan household spending dipped 1.4% for the month of April, weaker than the 0.7% forecast. Meanwhile, April retail sales rose 3.2% on year, compared to a forecast of a 2.3% rise. European stock markets were trading in red as political issues throughout the euro zone weighed on sentiments and banks were under pressure after an analyst downgrade.

Commodity Updates:

Commodity Prices (MCX):

Commodity

Rs

% Chang

Gold

28844.00

-0.19

Silver

40140.00

-0.49

Crude oil

3212.00

-1.44

Natural Gas

206.70

0.0

Alluminium

125.90

-0.04

Copper

365.30

-0.63

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Healthcare up by 2.39%, Realty up by 1.27%, Utilities up by 0.92%, Basic Materials up by 0.84% and Bankex up by 0.63%, while Telecom down by 0.97%, Consumer Durables down by 0.92%, FMCG down by 0.91%, Capital Goods down by 0.88% and Power down by 0.23% were the top losing indices on BSE.

Top Nifty Movers: The top gainers on Nifty were AurobindoPharma up by 13.58%, Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone up by 4.01%, Bank of Baroda up by 3.05%, NTPC up by 3.00% and Tech Mahindra up by 2.28%. On the flip side, Power Grid down by 2.42%, BPCL down by 1.98%, BhartiInfratel down by 1.40%, ITC down by 1.35% and IndusInd Bank down by 1.17% were the top losers.

 

Global Signals:

Asian markets were trading in red; KOSPI Index decreased 9.29 points or 0.39% to 2,343.68, Jakarta Composite dipped 6.35 points or 0.11% to 5,705.98, Nikkei 225 was down by 4.72 points or 0.02% to 19,677.85 and FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI shed 0.38 points or 0.02% to 1,764.51.

European markets were trading in red; UK’s FTSE 100 decreased 49.22 points or 0.65% to 7,498.41, France’s CAC shed 48.03 points or 0.9% to 5,284.44 and Germany’s DAX was down by 20.33 points or 0.16% to 12,608.62.

 

 

Global cues turn calm as US markets closed for holiday overnight. Asian indices see profit booking on opening bell as Euro falls with US Dollar rebounding.

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Indian Indices: Asian indices saw profit booking on opening bell as after a heady rally for last 6 weeks, markets turn cautious. Weakness in Euro against the US Dollar also saw profit booking in currencies along with equities also coming under selling pressure.


Nifty scaled 9600 with ITC, HUL, Maruti and Reliance end as top gainers while the broader markets saw deep correction led by Pharma and ADAG stocks. With breadth getting skewed heavily and losers far outnumbering gainers caution to be the buzzword as indices looking overbought. For today expect mid-cap weakness to continue and select large cap buying to be the theme as foreign investors turn big sellers. 


The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 31132.28, up by 23.00 points or 0.07% after trading in a range of 31064.04 and 31220.38. There were 19 stocks advancing against 11 stocks declining on the index. The broader indices were trading mixed; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.02%, while Small cap index was down by 0.32%.

The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 9606.25, up by 1.35 points or 0.01% after trading in a range of 9581.20 and 9631.60. There were 28 stocks advancing against 23 stocks declining on the index.

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Group ATopGainers

 

 

Company

Price (Rs)

% chg

Auropharm

557.25

8.48

Indiacem

189.60

5.36

Sparc

288.80

5.29

BataIndia

552.00

4.43

Group ATopLosers

 

 

BHel

139.05

-9.30

PFC

127.45

-5.94

MMTC

56.25

-4.90

Videqind

42.75

-4.89

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Indices

Support

Resistanes

Sensex

30480

30900

Nifty

9410

9560

 

Technical view: Nifty will see resistance around 9650 while 9550 will act as first support on the downside. Bank Nifty also sees strong resistance around 23500, while 23000 will be first support which if broken can see 22800 being tested.


 

Hero Motocorp (Buy Above 3668 with Stop Loss at 3647 for Target of 3710): After consolidating for over two weeks, the stock has broken out from a Flag Pattern on the daily charts indicating that a speedy up move is on the cards. Hero Motocorp has reversed from its 15-DMA convincingly and has also seen credible uptick in traded volumes. Other oscillators also indicate that the current momentum is here to stay.


Derivative Snippets    

The Health Products Regulatory Authority of Ireland has granted certificate of good manufacturing practices (GMP) compliance to Wockhardt's Aurangabad facility after an inspection.

In the last trading session, Nifty ended on a lacklustre note amidst huge sell-off in Pharma heavy weights. Nifty ATM call option strike continues to see short covering along with fresh long build up in the futures contract, indicating a continued uptrend up to the resistance level of 9700.

FIIs were net sellers in cash market segment to the tune of Rs 710 Cr.

FIIs index future long short ratio at 5.7x with an addition of fresh long positions to the tune of ~21k contracts

 

Nifty Movers: The top gainers on Nifty were AurobindoPharma up by 8.72%, Dr. Reddy’s Lab up by 2.72%, NTPC up by 2.65%, Lupin up by 2.23% and ICICI Bank up by 2.18%. On the flip side, BPCL down by 2.64%, Power Grid down by 2.58%, BhartiInfratel down by 2.10%, Zee Entertainment down by 1.74% and Coal India down by 1.70% were the top losers.

 

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening: The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Healthcare up by 1.63%, Bankex up by 0.32%, IT up by 0.22%, Auto up by 0.17% and Utilities up by 0.10%, while Realty down by 1.37%, Capital Goods down by 1.15%, Power down by 0.92%, FMCG down by 0.83% and Consumer Durables down by 0.80% were the losing indices on BSE.

 

 

On the global front: On the global front, Asian shares were trading mostly in red. Stocks in Japan retreated as the yen strengthened. In economic news, Japan household spending dipped 1.4% for the month of April, weaker than the 0.7% forecast. Meanwhile, April retail sales rose 3.2% on year, compared to a forecast of a 2.3% rise.

 

Global Signals:The Asian markets were trading mostly in red; Nikkei 225 decreased 19.63 points or 0.1% to 19,662.94, KOSPI Index decreased 10.83 points or 0.46% to 2,342.14 and FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI decreased 0.67 points or 0.04% to 1,764.22. On the other hand, Jakarta Composite increased 11.48 points or 0.2% to 5,723.82. Shanghai Stock Exchange, Hong Kong Stock Exchange and Taiwan Stock Exchange were closed on account of national holiday.

 

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