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Sebi mulls easing 'open offer' pricing formula for PSU disinvestment

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Pricing formula to discover open offer price may be eased

sebi

The Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) has proposed to ease the pricing formula used for determining the ‘open offer’ price in the case of public sector undertaking (PSU) disinvestments. The move will potentially benefit the acquirers and could give a fillip to the  activity.

Under the takeover norms, an acquirer has to launch the so-called open offer to buy a 26 per cent stake from the public on acquisition of a 25 per cent or more stake in a listed company. The rationale behind this is to provide an exit opportunity to shareholders in the event of a takeover or change in control.

The open offer price is determined by various parameters laid down by the market regulator which include the actual price paid by the acquirer to existing promoters. This price, however, has to be higher than the volume-weighted average price for the past 52 weeks or 26 weeks or 60 days before the decision to acquire the stake is announced in the public domain or when the acquisition is actually signed – earlier date of the two.

Sebi, in a discussion paper, has said the 60-day rule for discovering the open offer price could be dispensed with in the case of . The relaxation will also be given in the case of  that get triggered indirectly on account of PSU disinvestments.

Typically, shares of PSUs rally after the government announces plans to divest its stake in it. This makes it unattractive for the acquirer to carry out the acquisition as the  formulae takes into account recent price spikes. The proposed relaxation could help tackle this problem, say experts.

“Given that in case of PSU disinvestment, acquirer shall be identified only after the shortlisting of bidders, which may be month(s) or year(s) late since the date when the information was first in public domain, the prospective acquirer shall be chasing a

moving open offer price as the market price tends to rise pursuant to announcement of the divestment and various stages thereafter and thus its liability for open offer obligations may constantly increase till the execution of agreement of the PSU with the acquirer,”  said in the discussion paper.

The regulator said in the case of private transactions, the announcement is typically made after the execution of binding agreements. As a result, the traded price of the target company isn’t impacted much. However, in the case of PSU strategic disinvestment, information comes in public domain at the time of Cabinet approval and subsequent announcements are also made at different stages and thus the market price of the PSU concerned gets highly susceptible to such developments,  said.

A final decision on easing the open offer formula will be taken by Sebi once it gathers public feedback on the issue.


India eyes deal with Mercosur to import crude sunflower oil: Report

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Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has disrupted imports from Europe's second-largest nation, spiking edible oil pricesRussia-Ukraine war: India eyes Mercosur deal to import crude sunflower oil  | Business Standard News

In a bid to contain the rising edible oil prices, India is looking to sign long-term contracts with Mercosur countries to import crude sunflower oil, Business Standard reported on March 26. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has disrupted imports from Europe's second-largest nation, which has resulted in a sharp spike in edible oil prices.

India may need to slash the import duty on sunflower oil originating from Mercosur countries and relax testing requirements under the existing preferential tariff agreement (PTA) with the grouping, the report said citing sources privy to the development.

Mercosur, a Latin American trading bloc, is composed of sovereign member states: Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay and Uruguay. India had signed the PTA with Mercosur in 2004.

“We have had two-three rounds of discussions with Mercosur countries. We need to sign long-term contracts because in agriculture, you need to plan well ahead to meet demands. So far, Mercosur was targeting only China for sunflower oil exports since India has export restrictions. We have tariff quota restrictions as well as plant quarantine restrictions. We have to open the existing PTA with Mercosur and include the tariff reduction on sunflower oil under the trade deal,” a government official told Business Standard on condition of anonymity.

The official said India was also exploring reviving sunflower plantations in South India to be able to partially meet domestic demand in the long run.

According to the report, India imports 60 per cent of its edible oil requirements, and sunflower oil constitutes around 14 per cent of such imports. In 2021, India imported 90 per cent of the $2.4 billion worth of crude sunflower oil from Ukraine and Russia, and only $233 million worth of sunflower oil from Argentina.

Since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine almost a month ago, the domestic price of sunflower oil has spiked to Rs 190 from Rs 140-150 per litre.

Without Cold War competition, India would not have had such a significant and resilient public sector: Historian Mircea Raianu

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Author of Tata: The Global Corporation that built Indian Capitalism spoke of how India and its old business houses managed to work the earlier geopolitical minefield to their advantageWithout Cold War competition, India would not have had such a significant  and resilient public sector: Historian Mircea Raianu

Once again the western countries are at loggerheads with Russia. This time over Ukraine. Once again, India is placed in a tight spot–in having to choose between new opportunities and old allies.

In the fifties, when India had to take a position in the Cold War period, its political leaders managed to stay ‘non-aligned’ and help state-run businesses benefit from the US-Soviet Union stand-off. Competing business houses used their political connections on either side to gain an advantage over each other. Despite the hard circumstances, Indian political and business leaders scored big wins, according to Mircea Raianu.

This time, there are other factors muddying the waters.

In an interview with Moneycontrol, the historian of modern South Asia and author of Tata: The Global Corporation that Built Indian Capitalism, spoke about India’s history with non-alignment and why that political stand may not work as well this time.

India’s continuing economic and military links with Russia can be directly traced back to the first decade after independence. As the Cold War split the world into competing power blocs, Prime Minister Jawaharlal Nehru adopted a posture of non-alignment alongside many other ex-colonial nations such as Egypt, Indonesia, and Ghana (but also European socialist countries like Yugoslavia that broke with Stalin). This was done for both pragmatic and ideological reasons, in order to benefit materially by attracting capital and expertise from both West and East (for example in the construction of state-owned steel plants), and due to Nehru’s orientation toward socialism in a democratic political context. Military aid from the Soviet Union eventually became more important, particularly after the 1971 war for Bangladeshi independence and growing US ties with Pakistan.

 What have been the benefits India has got from this relationship over the years, and what has it given in return?

 I’ll speak more about the economic aspects since I am not an expert on the military side. At first, the Indian state benefited considerably from Soviet aid for projects such as the steel plants at Bhilai and Bokaro. These were very successful in increasing steel output and technical training at low cost, while avoiding dependence on foreign exchange (in short supply in the late 1950s and early 60s). The technology was older but free of the patent protections insisted on by German and British private partners. Meanwhile, the US mainly directed aid toward agriculture rather than heavy industry. Seeking assistance from both sides (and in different sectors) created a vital space of maneuver for the Indian state to implement its desired industrial policy. In return, the Soviets obtained additional markets for export of grain and other commodities. As Oscar Sanchez-Sibony has pointed out in the excellent book Red Globalization, they were far from a dominant partner, merely using India to widen their participation in the global economy beyond the Iron Curtain. It was a win-win scenario but not for long.

 With the thawing of the Cold War, did Russia's interest in India weaken and therefore its investments in India reduce? 

 The shift to primarily military aid in the 1970s accompanied both détente (thawing) in the Cold War and stagnation in the Soviet economy. India, too, was undergoing a period of economic instability in the aftermath of the oil crisis of 1973. Under those conditions the relationship weakened. With limited liberalisation by Indira and Rajiv Gandhi in the 1980s, a more pronounced shift toward the US occurred (especially in the technology sector). But during this time India faced another balance of payments crisis (just as in the late 50s) and took advantage of oil purchases in rupees pegged to the ruble. The spike in oil prices due to the Gulf War and the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991 together led to the well-known liberalising reforms under Prime Minister Narasimha Rao and Finance Minister Manmohan Singh.

Also read: Share Market Closing Note - Sharetipsinfo

 Which are the old business houses that thrived thanks to India's friendship with the Soviet Union? 

 As I discuss in my book, Tata: The Global Corporation That Built Indian Capitalism, Indian business houses were in conflict with each other and with the Nehruvian state after independence. American and Soviet connections were leveraged to fight those battles. Tata had long been associated with the US, from the early days of building the Tata Iron and Steel Company (TISCO) and the hydro-electric power plants in Western India. Chairman J.R.D. Tata was planning to expand production at TISCO with American help in the 1950s in order to counterbalance Nehru’s insistence on steel as a reserved sector for the state. When news of the Soviet offer for the plant at Bhilai broke, Tata feared the loss of an essential “open door” to the American steel industry. But President Einsenhower and his advisers were even more alarmed about the threat of Communism and pushed through a much-needed World Bank loan to fund TISCO’s expansion. Meanwhile, the Birlas and Lalbhais represented India in negotiations to purchase Soviet equipment for the oil and aluminium industries. This was in keeping with their calculated proximity to Nehru and the Congress. The benefits of trade with the Soviets went mostly to the Indian state, specifically to certain ministries like the Production Ministry (rather than Commerce and Industry). Without Cold War competition, India would not have had such a significant and long-lasting public sector.

How did the dissolution of the Soviet Union affect this bilateral relationship and trade?

 After the fall of the Soviet Union, Russia experienced a lost decade of economic decline (culminating in the financial crisis of 1998). India was comparatively on the rise and private business looked to the West. The relationship weakened further but did not break, remaining important in the military and energy sectors (both oil and nuclear).

What industries and big business houses are still dependent on this bilateral relationship?

 Very few private businesses in India today are oriented toward Russia. This is in keeping with historical precedent and is not likely to change.

 What challenges do you see to the Indian trade reducing its dependence on Russia?

India is in a precarious position, again not unlike the 1950s. Given the continuing dominance of the dollar as a global reserve currency, deepening supply chain integration (recall the signals to move manufacturing from China to India during the first year of the pandemic), and strategic partnerships to contain China (the Quad), it will be difficult to withstand Western pressure on sanctions. At the same time, breaking with Russia completely will put a dent in India’s military capabilities and freedom to assert its own foreign policy as an aspirational regional and global power.

In the Nehru and Indira Gandhi years, non-alignment made sense politically, economically, and ideologically (a dimension that is largely absent in a post-Cold War world). Today that is not so clear. One big unknown is the resilience of the Russian economy after sanctions, which will also test the prospects for self-reliance under duress. In the short term, Russia will have very little to offer for India’s broader developmental needs, which can only be achieved by continued participation in the US-centred global economic system. But in the long run, if Russia regains some degree of stability and influence, India may decide to keep that door open. Whatever happens, it will become necessary for Indian and other Global South leaders to begin articulating a more coherent vision for where they stand and what they stand for – as Nehru once did.


Share Market Closing Note - Sharetipsinfo

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 Share Market Closing Note

Benchmark indices whipsawed in trade on Thursday, the day of weekly F&O expiry, as geopolitical tensions between Ukraine and Russia remained unabated. Besides, Brent crude prices above $120 per barrel also added to investor woes. 

Sensex Nifty Share Market Close Today Latest News: Closing On Positive Note  For Sixth Consecutive Day Sensex Above 40000 - Sensex Nifty Today: लगातार  छठे दिन बाजार में तेजी, 40000 के ऊपर


The frontline S&P BSE Sensex gyrated 690 points intra-day before settling at 57,596, down 89 points or 0.15 per cent. The Nifty50, on the other hand, ended at 17,223, down 23 points or 0.13 per cent. The 50-share index had touched an intra-day high and low of 17,292 and 17,091, respectively. 

Dr Reddys Labs (up nearly 5 per cent) was the top Nifty gainer today, followed by Coal India, Hindalco, Cipla, NTPC, JSW Steel, Tech M, and RIL. On the downside, Kotak Bank, HDFC Bank, Titan, ICICI Bank, HDFC, Maruti Suzuki, Divis Labs, BPCL, Tata Consumer Products, BPCL, and M&M slipped between 1 per cent and 3 per cent, keeping a lid on the upside.

The broader markets, on the contrary, held their ground and outperformed the headline indices. The BSE MidCap and SmallCap indices added up to 0.3 per cent amid gains in Zee Entertainment, Mindtree, Jindal Steel, Mphasis, Glenmark Pharma, Suven Pharma, Ganesh Housing, Future Retail, and Dish TV.

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Topic :- Time:3.00 PM

Nifty spot close above 17260 level then expect some upmove in coming sessions and if it closes below above mentioned level then some sluggish movement is likely to be seen in the market. Avoid open positions for tomorrow.

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Topic :- Time:2.40 PM

Just In:

Moscow stock exchange partially reopens after one-month closure

Trading resumed for only around 30 of the largest companies that make up the ruble-denominated MOEX Russia Index, which saw early gains of up to 10 percent.

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Topic :- Time:2.30 PM

CRUDEOIL Trading View:

CRUDEOIL is trading at 8823.If it manages to hold above 8780 level then expect some quick upmove in it and if it breaks and trade below 8780 level then some decline can follow in it.

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Topic :- Time:2.00 PM

Nifty is likely to turn volatile now in last hours. Nifty spot if manages to trade and sustain above 17200 level then expect some quick upmove in the market and if it breaks and trade below 17160 level then some decline can follow in the Nifty. Currently Nifty is trading at 17195.

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Topic :- Time:1.55 PM

Just In:

1. Anil Ambanis fire sale stretches, frustrating some of his lenders.


2. Paytm shares jump 13% after freefall, still at 72% discount to issue price

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Topic :- Time:1.40 PM

GOLD Trading View:

GOLD is trading at 51850.If it manages to trade and sustain above 51900 level then expect some quick upmove in it and if it breaks and trade below 51800 level then some decline can follow. Overall Buy from dips should be the approach till evening session.

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Topic :- Time:1.10 PM

FDI inflow to India declines to $74.01 billion in 2021:

Total foreign direct investment (FDI) inflow to India declined to $74.01 billion in the calendar year 2021, which is 15 per cent lower from $87.55 billion recorded in the previous year, the Ministry of Commerce & Industry said on Wednesday.

The FDI inflow includes equity inflow, equity capital of unincorporated bodies, re-invested earnings and other capital.

FDI is largely a matter of commercial business decisions and FDI inflow depends on a host of factors such as availability of natural resource, market size, infrastructure, political and general investment climate as well as macro-economic stability and investment decision of foreign investors. In calendar year 2021, the FDI inflow decreased by 15 per cent as compared to calendar year 2020, Minister of State in the Ministry of Commerce and Industry Som Parkash said in a written reply in the Lok ..

To promote FDI, the Government has put in place an investor-friendly policy, wherein most sectors except certain strategically important sectors are open for 100 per cent FDI under the automatic route. Further, the policy on FDI is reviewed on an ongoing basis, to ensure that India remains attractive and investor-friendly destination, the minister said.

Changes are made in the policy after having consultations with stakeholders including apex industry chambers, associations, representatives of industries/groups and other organizations. The government has recently undertaken a number of reforms across sectors. In the recent past, reforms in the FDI policy have been undertaken in sectors such as Insurance, Petroleum & Natural Gas, Telecom etc, the minister added.

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Topic :- Time:1.00 PM

Nifty is likely to turn volatile now. Nifty spot if manages to trade and sustain above 17200 level then expect some quick upmove and if it breaks and trade below 17160 level then some decline can follow in it.

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Topic :- Time:12.30 PM

COPPER Trading View:

COPPER is trading at 824.If it manages to trade and sustain above 825 level then expect some quick upmove in the market and if it breaks and trade below 822.80 level then some decline can follow in Copper.

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Topic :- Time:12.10 PM


Just In:

Nirmala Sitharaman to introduce Finance Bill in Lok Sabha today.

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Topic :- Time:12.00 PM

Nifty spot is trading at 17200.If it breaks and trade below 17180 level then expect some decline in it and if it manages to trade and sustain above 17240 level then some upmove can follow in it.

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Topic :- Time:11.30 AM

News Wrap Up:

1. Sensex recovers 600pts from low, Nifty nears 17,300; IT leads

2. Invesco backs Zee, Sony merger, decides against pursuing litigation | Zee surges 15%

3. 2 years after Covid, Indian economy hopping from one crisis to another

4. No bar on Maruti to make electric vehicles: Chairman R C Bhargava

5. Rajesh Jain, pioneer of Indias dotcom era, preps IPO for second startup

6. Suven Pharma gains 5% to hit record high; stock rallies 18% in three days

7. 5-day rally halts! L&T Finance down 7% on profit-taking post L&T stake hike

8. Nelco freezes at 5% upper circuit on strategic pact with Omnispace

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Topic :- Nifty Opening Note

Indian Stock Market Trading View For 24 March,2022:

More trouble for Russia expected in the form of sanctions and more restriction. Joe Biden to meet Nato members.Russia might take more agressive stand. CRUDEOIL, NATURALGAS and Oil based stocks will remain in focus. Weekly expiry will result in volatile trend. 

Nifty spot if manages to trade and sustain above 17280 level then expect some upmove in the market and if it breaks and trade below 17200 level then some decline is expected to follow in the share market. Please note this is just opening view and should not be considered as the view for the whole day.

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Tatas-backed Nelco locked in 5% upper circuit after strategic agreement with Omnispace

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The share touched a 52-week high of Rs 968.55 and a 52-week low of Rs 178.85 on 19 October 2021 and 19 April 2021 respectively.

Tatas-backed Nelco locked in 5% upper circuit after strategic agreement  with Omnispace

Tatas-backed satellite services firm Nelco's share price locked in five percent upper circuit on March 24 after the company announced a cooperation agreement with Omnispace to enable and distribute 5G non-terrestrial network direct-to-device satellite services.

The pact will expand 5G throughout India and South Asia and focus on 5G direct-to-device communications using Omnispace’s global NGSO satellite network across various market segments, Nelco said in its press release

At 14:36 hrs NELCO was quoting at Rs 678.60, up Rs 32.30 or 5 percent on the BSE.

The share touched a 52-week high of Rs 968.55 and a 52-week low of Rs 178.85 on 19 October 2021 and 19 April 2021 respectively.

Currently, it is trading 29.94 percent below its 52-week high and 279.42 percent above its 52-week low.

Read Also:- Maruti Suzuki names Hisashi Takeuchi as new Managing Director and CEO

Maruti Suzuki names Hisashi Takeuchi as new Managing Director and CEO

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The country's largest carmaker Maruti Suzuki India (MSI) on Thursday said it has appointed Hisashi Takeuchi as the new Managing Director and CEO with effect from April 1, 2022.

Maruti Suzuki India’s royalty payments to parent Suzuki Motor Corp, which used to be investors’ concern till three years ago, touched the lowest in a decade in the financial year ended March 31.

The country's largest carmaker  India (MSI) on Thursday said it has appointed Hisashi Takeuchi as the new Managing Director and CEO with effect from April 1, 2022.

The company's board in its meeting held on Thursday, appointed Takeuchi as the Managing Director and CEO from April 1, consequent to the completion of the term of Kenichi Ayukawa on March 31, 2022, MSI said in a statement.

In order to facilitate a smooth transition, Ayukawa will continue as a whole-time Director designated as Executive Vice Chairman till September 30, 2022, and will continue to provide guidance to the auto major, it added.


Invesco backs Zee, Sony merger, decides against pursuing litigation

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Invesco will continue to monitor the proposed merger's progress. If the merger is not completed as currently proposed, Invesco retains the right to requisition a fresh EGM, it said

Zee

 Developing Markets Fund, which owns 18 per cent stake in Zee Entertainment, has backed the Zee merger with Sony and has decided not to pursue litigation against Zee.

In a statement, the company said it is pleased with the Bombay High Court’s ruling, which is an important reaffirmation of shareholder rights in India and the mechanisms under Indian law to hold Boards accountable to their shareholders. "The ruling is a boon for corporate governance in India and a win for shareholder democracy," it said.

"Since we announced our intention to requisition an EGM and add six independent directors to Zee’s Board of Directors, Zee has entered into a merger agreement with Sony. We continue to believe this deal in its current form has great potential for Zee shareholders. We also recognize that, following the merger’s consummation, the board of the newly combined company will be substantially reconstituted, which will achieve our objective of strengthening board oversight of the company. Given these developments, and our desire to facilitate the transaction, we have decided not to pursue the EGM as per our requisition dated September 11 2021," it said.

 will continue to monitor the proposed merger’s progress. If the merger is not completed as currently proposed,  retains the right to requisition a fresh EGM, it said.

Zee Entertainment, however, has three weeks time from the Bombay High Court to move the Supreme Court to appeal against Bombay HC order.

Read Also:- Indraprastha Gas hikes prices of domestic piped natural gas in Delhi-NCR: Check rates


Indraprastha Gas hikes prices of domestic piped natural gas in Delhi-NCR: Check rates

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The increase in PNG rates comes on the heels of oil marketing companies hiking petrol and diesel prices after a 137 day freeze.

Indraprastha Gas hikes prices of domestic piped natural gas in Delhi-NCR: Check  rates

Indraprastha Gas Ltd (IGL) has hiked the price of domestic piped natural gas in Delhi by Rs 1 per standard cubic metre (SCM) to Rs 36.61 per unit.

In Noida, Greater Noida, and Ghaziabad domestic PNG will now cost Rs 35.86 per SCM. In Gurugram, it will be Rs 34.42 per SCM, as per the new rates.

Also Read: Petrol, diesel retail prices raised by 80 paise in 2nd straight hike after 137-day freeze

The increase in PNG rates comes on the heels of oil marketing companies hiking petrol and diesel prices after a 137 day freeze.

Petrol and diesel prices were hiked by 80 paise a litre each for two days in a row. Petrol in Delhi now costs Rs 97.01 per litre as against Rs 96.21 previously while diesel has gone from Rs 87.47 to Rs 88.27 per litre.

Petrol & Diesel Rates Mar 22, 2022

Show

 

At 9:38 am, shares of Indraprastha Gas Ltd were trading 1.15 per cent higher at Rs 378 apiece on the BSE.

Indians tighten belts as Ukraine war drives up prices of necessities

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Consumers in Asia’s third-largest economy are feeling the bite as companies pass on a surge in costs since the invasion, battling the first hikes in five months this week in the prices of diesel and petrol, as well as more expensive vegetable oils.

Indians tighten belts as Ukraine war drives up prices of necessities

Many Indians are cutting down on fried food and even vegetables as the Ukraine war inflates the prices of items from edible oils to fuel, threatening a sputtering recovery in the consumption-based economy after two years battling COVID-19.

Consumers in Asia’s third-largest economy are feeling the bite as companies pass on a surge in costs since the invasion, battling the first hikes in five months this week in the prices of diesel and petrol, as well as more expensive vegetable oils.

"God only knows how we will manage this level of price rise,” said Indrani Majumder, the sole earner in a family of four in the eastern city of Kolkata, adding that the past two years of the pandemic had brought a halving in salaries.

These days her family eats more boiled food to save on the cost of edible oil, she said. It is just one of almost a dozen homes were people said they were taking similar steps.

India’s economy expanded at a pace slower than expected in the quarter from October to December, and economists forecast a further dent to growth in the current one, as high fuel prices bring a jump in inflation.

Private consumption contributes the largest share of gross domestic output, at nearly 60 percent.

But since the invasion late in February, which Russia calls a special operation, Indian firms have raised prices of milk, instant noodles, chicken and other key items by about 5 percent to 20 percent.

About 800 million of a population of nearly 1.4 billion received free government supplies of staple foods during the pandemic, and even small price rises now can mean a knock for their budgets.

Families’ finances could stay anaemic for the third year in a row, warned Pronab Sen, formerly India’s chief statistician.

”The process of rebuilding savings was only beginning post the pandemic,” he added.

"Because of this latest shock, they will have to cut back on consumption.”

DARKENING PICTURE

Surging global prices of crude have prompted companies in the import-dependent nation to raise retail prices of petrol and diesel twice this week. India imports 85 percent of its crude oil, which has seen prices rise nearly 50 percent this year.

The South Asian nation is also the world’s biggest importer of edible oil, shipping in nearly 60 percent of its needs.

But the price of palm, the country’s most widely consumed edible oil, has jumped 45 percent this year. And supplies of sunflower oil, which Ukraine and Russia produce in large quantities, have been disrupted.

Some wholesalers said their sales of edible oil had fallen by a quarter in the past month as prices rose.

These factors helped keep India’s retail inflation in February above the central bank’s comfort level of 6 percent for the second month in a row, while the wholesale rate was more than 13 percent.

”The timing of input price inflation could not have been worse in the context of a slowing consumption trend,” financial services firm Jefferies said in a note.

The central bank has said it is monitoring crude and commodity prices ahead of its next monetary policy meeting in early April. But markets do not expect the Reserve Bank of India to change key rates, as it looks to prioritise growth.

This stance compares with global central banks, which have either raised rates or are weighing whether to do so to curb inflation. For instance, policymakers of the U.S. Federal Reserve called this week for big rate hikes in May.

For consumers, there is little relief in sight.

The Confederation of All India Traders estimates input costs for makers of consumer durables and fast moving consumer goods (FMCG) to rise another 10 percent to 15 percent this month as fuel prices rise, an expense destined to be passed on to the final consumer.

In Kolkata, vegetable vendor Debashis Dhara said higher transport costs would bump up vegetable prices by a further 5 percent this week. His sales have already halved since February.

India’s Mother Dairy and Amul raised milk prices by nearly 5 percent this month, while FMCG companies such as Hindustan Unilever and Nestle are charging more for items such as instant noodles, tea and coffee.

Broiler chicken prices have jumped nearly 45 percent in six months to a record 145 rupees ($1.90) a kg this week, as key feed ingredients corn and soymeal have become costlier after supplies from the Black Sea region were affected.

Fertiliser prices have shot up to a record $150 a tonne since Russia, one of the biggest producers, rolled tanks and soldiers into Ukraine.

"It has become very difficult to manage our monthly budget,” said Archana Pawar, a housewife in the financial capital of Mumbai.

"This kind of price rise is forcing us to cut down consumption.”

Indians tighten belts as Ukraine war drives up prices of necessities

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Consumers in Asia’s third-largest economy are feeling the bite as companies pass on a surge in costs since the invasion, battling the first hikes in five months this week in the prices of diesel and petrol, as well as more expensive vegetable oils.

Indians tighten belts as Ukraine war drives up prices of necessities

Many Indians are cutting down on fried food and even vegetables as the Ukraine war inflates the prices of items from edible oils to fuel, threatening a sputtering recovery in the consumption-based economy after two years battling COVID-19.

Consumers in Asia’s third-largest economy are feeling the bite as companies pass on a surge in costs since the invasion, battling the first hikes in five months this week in the prices of diesel and petrol, as well as more expensive vegetable oils.

"God only knows how we will manage this level of price rise,” said Indrani Majumder, the sole earner in a family of four in the eastern city of Kolkata, adding that the past two years of the pandemic had brought a halving in salaries.

These days her family eats more boiled food to save on the cost of edible oil, she said. It is just one of almost a dozen homes were people said they were taking similar steps.

India’s economy expanded at a pace slower than expected in the quarter from October to December, and economists forecast a further dent to growth in the current one, as high fuel prices bring a jump in inflation.

Private consumption contributes the largest share of gross domestic output, at nearly 60 percent.

But since the invasion late in February, which Russia calls a special operation, Indian firms have raised prices of milk, instant noodles, chicken and other key items by about 5 percent to 20 percent.

About 800 million of a population of nearly 1.4 billion received free government supplies of staple foods during the pandemic, and even small price rises now can mean a knock for their budgets.

Families’ finances could stay anaemic for the third year in a row, warned Pronab Sen, formerly India’s chief statistician.

”The process of rebuilding savings was only beginning post the pandemic,” he added.

"Because of this latest shock, they will have to cut back on consumption.”

DARKENING PICTURE

Surging global prices of crude have prompted companies in the import-dependent nation to raise retail prices of petrol and diesel twice this week. India imports 85 percent of its crude oil, which has seen prices rise nearly 50 percent this year.

The South Asian nation is also the world’s biggest importer of edible oil, shipping in nearly 60 percent of its needs.

But the price of palm, the country’s most widely consumed edible oil, has jumped 45 percent this year. And supplies of sunflower oil, which Ukraine and Russia produce in large quantities, have been disrupted.

Some wholesalers said their sales of edible oil had fallen by a quarter in the past month as prices rose.

These factors helped keep India’s retail inflation in February above the central bank’s comfort level of 6 percent for the second month in a row, while the wholesale rate was more than 13 percent.

”The timing of input price inflation could not have been worse in the context of a slowing consumption trend,” financial services firm Jefferies said in a note.

The central bank has said it is monitoring crude and commodity prices ahead of its next monetary policy meeting in early April. But markets do not expect the Reserve Bank of India to change key rates, as it looks to prioritise growth.

This stance compares with global central banks, which have either raised rates or are weighing whether to do so to curb inflation. For instance, policymakers of the U.S. Federal Reserve called this week for big rate hikes in May.

For consumers, there is little relief in sight.

The Confederation of All India Traders estimates input costs for makers of consumer durables and fast moving consumer goods (FMCG) to rise another 10 percent to 15 percent this month as fuel prices rise, an expense destined to be passed on to the final consumer.

In Kolkata, vegetable vendor Debashis Dhara said higher transport costs would bump up vegetable prices by a further 5 percent this week. His sales have already halved since February.

India’s Mother Dairy and Amul raised milk prices by nearly 5 percent this month, while FMCG companies such as Hindustan Unilever and Nestle are charging more for items such as instant noodles, tea and coffee.

Broiler chicken prices have jumped nearly 45 percent in six months to a record 145 rupees ($1.90) a kg this week, as key feed ingredients corn and soymeal have become costlier after supplies from the Black Sea region were affected.

Fertiliser prices have shot up to a record $150 a tonne since Russia, one of the biggest producers, rolled tanks and soldiers into Ukraine.

"It has become very difficult to manage our monthly budget,” said Archana Pawar, a housewife in the financial capital of Mumbai.

"This kind of price rise is forcing us to cut down consumption.”

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