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US$ falls to 2 month lows as emerging markets rebound with stocks & currencies seeing pullback.

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Major headlines:

·         Buying support lifts Indian equities

·         HCL Tech Q3 net rises 7.8 % at Rs 2070 cr

·         Government to use geo spatial tech to build smart cities

 

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Indices

Support

Resistanes

Sensex

8389

8488

Nifty

27380

27504

 

Indian Indices: Asian indices ex Japan opened in the green as the US$ weakness saw the Dow Jones close in the red albeit marginally. This US$ weakness saw emerging markets bounce very strongly with the Brazilian 'Bovespa" hitting fresh 52 week highs. The Bovespa has in this month moved up over 13% as value buying emerges in emerging markets.


Nifty saw a smart pullback from the 8350 levels as short covering coupled with fresh buying emerged at lower levels. Metals lead the rally with energy stocks as the Nifty closed near the high point of the day @ 8400.For today expect another gap up opening with Nifty attempting to hit 8450 as the Rupee strength improves sentiment.


The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 27240.98, up by 123.64 points or 0.46% after trading in a range of 27140.85 and 27254.39. There were 26 stocks advancing against 4 stocks declining on the index.The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.53%, while Small cap index was up by 0.54%.The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 8433.75, up by 42.25 points or 0.50% after trading in a range of 8398.15 and 8437.50. There were 43 stocks advancing against 8 stocks declining on the index.

 

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Group ATopGainers

 

 

Company

Price (Rs)

% chg

Trent

223.60

6.37

Fortis

191.50

5.22

Tatacomm

703.70

4.67

Cyient

483.80

3.83

Group ATopLosers

 

 

GSFC

107.35

-6.77

KTKBANK

113.50

-5.26

DEN

89.25

-3.15

Voltas

328.20

-3.04

Market Statistics

 

 

 

BSE

NSE

Advances

1426

1168

Declines

706

307

 

Technical view: Nifty has rebounded from the 200 DMA @ 8317 which now acts as strong support while resistance comes @ 8428 which is the 100 DMA. Bank Nifty is the under perfomer& finds support @ 18723 which was the yesterday low & will face resistance @ 19042 which is the 100 DMA.


Market Sentiment:

The market breadth on BSE was positive in the ratio of 1426:706, while 125 scrips remained unchanged.

 

Trading ideas: SAIL (Buy above Rs 61.5 for target of Rs 65, SL at Rs 59.5): The stock has broken out from a rising channel rectangle pattern on the weekly chart. The price outburst is accompanied with expansion in trading volumes. The stock has also breached past its immediate previous peak of Rs60.55. Other momentum oscillators are also indicating strength in the current up move. We advise to Buy SAIL above Rs 61.5, stop loss at Rs 59.5 and Target of Rs 65.

 

MacroeconomicFront: The Commerce Ministry has said that the online portal launched for government purchases of goods and services would result in savings of Rs 40,000 crore annually for the exchequer. Commenting on the issue, a Commerce Ministry Official told the media, "Demand aggregation for most of the common use goods and services is estimated to result in annual savings to the tune of Rs 40,000 crore per annum."


Corporate Snippets: Reliance Industries is in talks to raise as much as USD2.25bn (Rs153bn) in what could be one of the biggest offshore debt issues by an Indian corporate as the energy-to-retail conglomerate seeks to replace existing high-cost borrowings as well as build a war chest for its aggressive expansion strategy in telecom.

 

Manpasand Beverages Ltdis planning to increase its production capacity to more than double in the next 12-18 months. The company will set up four new manufacturing plants having total production capacity of 0.2mn cases per day as against the current 0.17mn cases per day.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:  The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Capital Goods up by 1.25%, Consumer Durables up by 1.01%, Power up by 0.99%, PSU up by 0.91% and Metal up by 0.88%, while IT down by 0.55%, TECK down by 0.41% and FMCG down by 0.11% were the losing indices on BSE.

Nifty Movers: The top gainers on Nifty were Idea Cellular up by 2.66%, BHEL up by 2.26%, Coal India up by 1.99%, IndusInd Bank up by 1.97% and Larsen & Toubro up by 1.97%.  On the flip side, Hindustan Unilever down by 1.86%, HCL Technologies down by 1.67%, BhartiAirtel down by 1.41%, Infosys down by 1.12% and TCS down by 0.24% were the top losers.

 

 


On the global front: On the global front, Asian shares were trading mostly in green, as investors continue to digest what Donald Trump means to their holdings. Japanese equities are a noted laggard as the yen leads broad currency gains in the dollar, rising nearly a full yen from late-Friday levels in the US.

 

Global Signals:The Asian markets were trading mostly in green; Shanghai Composite increased 2.74 points or 0.09% to 3,139.51, FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI increased 6.49 points or 0.39% to 1,677.80, Jakarta Composite increased 29.6 points or 0.56% to 5,280.56, Taiwan Weighted increased 34.8 points or 0.37% to 9,458.85 and Hang Seng increased 76.5 points or 0.33% to 22,975.02. On the other hand, Nikkei 225 decreased 83.47 points or 0.44% to 18,807.56 and KOSPI Index decreased 3.65 points or 0.18% to 2,062.34.

 

INDIAN STOCK MARKET VIEW FOR THE WEEK JAN 23, 2016 – JAN 29, 2016

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Events to watch this week

  • Trump sworn in as US president
  • China’s Xi: No one will win a trade war
  • IMF sees fast US growth
  • Draghi: ECB rates to stay low for an extended period

The Week ahead:

  • Global flash purchasing managers’ indices are released on Tuesday, 24 January
  • US existing home sales data are reported on Tuesday, 24 January
  • The UK Q4 gross domestic product is released on Thursday, 26 January
  • The US Q4 GDP is released on Friday, 27 January

For the week,Global equities were little changed on the week as markets awaited clearer policy signals from the incoming US administration. Steady US 10-year-note yields of 2.42% greeted the new president, virtually the same yield that prevailed when Barack Obama was first sworn in eight years ago. West Texas Intermediate crude fell slightly from a week ago, to $52.60 per barrel from $53, while global Brent crude dropped to $55.40 from $56. Volatility, as measured by the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX), rose to 12.4 from 11.20 a week ago.

NIFTY- 8,349.35
CRUDE OIL-Rs 3,642barrel
GOLD-Rs 28,612 gram
Rs/$-Rs 68.18

MARKET ROUND UP

Indian equity benchmark indices the S&P BSE Sensex and the Nifty 50 index closed the week ended Friday, 20 January 2017 on sour note. The trading for the week was lacklustre during four trading sessions from Monday, 16 January to Thursday, 19 January 2017, with a range-bound trading, amid mixed global cues. Albeit, a noticeable slide on the bourses on Friday, 20 January 2017, pulled key indices lower.

The slide on the last trading session of the week is attributable to the caution ahead of US President-elect Donald Trump's inauguration later in the global day on Friday, 20 January 2017. Markets across the globe await a clear cut direction from Trump on US' economic policies.

The Sensex lost 203.56 points or 0.74% to settle at 27,034.50. The Nifty declined 51 points or 0.6% to settle at 8,349.35.

In the broader market, the BSE Mid-Cap index shed 0.43%, with the decline in this index lower than the Sensex's decline in percentage terms. The BSE Small-Cap index bucked the market trend by advancing 0.56% during the week.

Macro Economic Front:

On the Economic Front,data showed during market hours on Monday, 16 January 2017 that inflation based on wholesale price index (WPI) rose 3.39% in December 2016 from 3.15% in November 2016. Another data showed after market hours on Friday, 13 January 2017 that India's trade deficit declined 9.9% to $10.37 billion in December 2016 over December 2015.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) on Monday, 16 January 2017, cut India's economic growth estimate for 2016-17 to 6.6% from its earlier projection of 7.6% due to the impact of the government's move to scrap some high value currency notes in early November.

Major Action &Announcement:

TCS rose 1.57%. The company announced a partnership with Aurus, Inc., a global leader in innovative payments technology, to deliver payment solutions for retailers using TCS OmniStore, a first of its kind unified store commerce platform. The announcement was made after market hours on Monday, 16 January 2017.

Infosys declined 2.7%. The company announced its internal carbon price at $10.5 per ton of CO2e, at an event organized by the Carbon Pricing Leadership Coalition (CPLC) in Zurich. A significant milestone for Infosys, the price will be applicable for a period of two years and will represent the cost of decarbonizing 1 ton of CO2e. The announcement was made after market hours on Monday, 16 January 2017.

State Bank of India (SBI) advanced 0.04%. The bank said that it concluded the issue of $500 million fixed rate senior unsecured notes having a maturity of 5 years at a coupon of 3.25% payable semi-annually. The announcement was made after market hours on Tuesday, 17 January 2017.

Maruti Suzuki India fell 0.51%. The company launched the much awaited premium urban compact vehicle for the millennials, IGNIS. The announcement was made after market hours on Friday, 13 January 2017.

Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M) lost 2.1%. The company announced its foray into Turkey, through the acquisition of HisarlarMakinaSanayiveTicaretAnonimSirketi (Hisarlar), a farm equipment company based in Turkey. The announcement was made during market hours on Friday, 20 January 2017.

Coal India lost 3.51%. The board of directors of Central Coalfields, a subsidiary of Coal India approved revision of coking coal prices on 14 January 2017. The increase in price is done by subsuming the washery recovery charge (WRC) which was being charged separately in the case of non-linked washery grade coking coal keeping in view the observation of ADRM. The announcement was made on Saturday, 14 January 2017.

NTPC fell 0.32%. The company said that first unit of 250 megawatts (MW) of Nabinagar Thermal Power Project of 1000 MW capacity of Bhartiya Rail Bijlee Company, BRBCL-a subsidiary of NTPC was declared on commercial operation from 15 January 2017. The announcement was made during market hours on Monday, 16 January 2017.

Tata Steel advanced 1.84%. CARE Ratings downgraded the credit ratings of the company's unsecured non-convertible debentures (NCDs), long term unsecured rupee loan and unsecured subordinated perpetual securities by 1 notch citing uncertainties relating to the disposal/restructuring of Tata Steel UK business. The announcement was made at the fag end of market hours on Thursday, 19 January 2017.

Global Front:

In Overseas Markets,UK Prime Minister Theresa May in a speech on Tuesday, 17 January 2017, indicated Britain will press for a firm exit from the European Union. May said she'll put the terms of the country's exits from the EU to a parliamentary vote. Setting out a vision that could determine Britain's future for generations and the shape of the EU itself, May answered criticism that she has been coy about her strategy with a 12-point plan for what has been dubbed a hard Brexit.

Among economic data in US, industrial output accelerated last month at its strongest pace in two years. The housing-market index from the National Association of Homebuilders showed that builder sentiment slipped in January after notching its highest reading of the business cycle in December. Despite the drop, the January number was the second-highest reading of the cycle.

The European Central Bank held rates and its bond-buying program steady at its Thursday's (19 January 2017) meeting. The bank's President Mario Draghi said the governing body stood ready to intervene further if conditions worsened.

Global Economic News:

Trump vows to restore America’s promise
In his inaugural address, President Donald Trump pledged to transfer power from Washington, D.C., back to the American people. He called for defending the US’s borders while rebuilding its infrastructure. Every decision, whether on trade, taxes or immigration, will be made to benefit American workers and families, he said. While he expects other nations to put their interests first as well, he said the United States will reinforce old alliances and build new ones.

China’s Xi warns on trade war risks
In the first appearance by a Chinese leader at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, President Xi Jinping defended globalization. He cautioned other countries against pursuing protectionist policies, adding that no one will emerge as a winner in a trade war. On the domestic front, Xi said that the economy has entered a new normal, driven by household consumption. He affirmed a 6.7% 2016 economic growth target, in the middle of the government’s 6.5%–7% range, but the slowest since 1990.

IMF ups US growth forecast
The US economy will grow 2.3% this year and 2.5% in 2018, according to freshly revised International Monetary Fund forecasts. The IMF raised its forecast by 0.1% for 2017 and 0.4% for 2018. The global growth outlook remained steady from October estimates of 3.4% this year and 3.6% in 2018. The fund estimates that the global economy expanded 3.1% in 2016.

Banks heading for the Brexit?
This week, several banks announced plans to move staff out of London in the wake of Brexit, including HSBC and UBS. Meanwhile, Germany’s Handelsblatt reported that Goldman Sachs may relocate half of its London staff of 6,500. Some jobs will move to New York, while approximately 1,000 could move to Frankfurt, the paper reported. UK prime minister Theresa May this week outlined her plan to put Brexit to a vote in Parliament before triggering Article 50. She said she expects the United Kingdom to leave both the European Union’s single market and its customs union.

GLOBAL CORPORATE NEWS

Draghi says rates to stay very low even after halting asset sales
Interest rates will stay low or head even lower for an extended period, European Central Bank president Mario Draghi said on Thursday, after the Governing Council left its monetary policy unchanged. Draghi looked past a recent uptick in European inflation measures and said the ECB is ready to increase the size of its quantitative easing program, if needed. The Bank of Canada too held policy steady this week, though Governor Stephen Poloz maintained that a rate cut is an option if the Canadian economy takes a hit from more protectionist US policies. Poloz’s dovish tone sent the Canadian dollar lower. US Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen said Thursday that the Fed is close to its goals and that she expects to hike rates "a few times” this year. Futures markets have just over two 25-basis-point hikes priced in at present. Yellen added that allowing the economy to run persistently hot would be risky and unwise.

NEW 52-WEEK HIGH BSE (A):

 

Adani Power

38.95

CESC

703.00

GAIL

471.20


NEW 52-WEEK LOWS BSE (A):

RCOM

30.85

DIVISLAB

710.10


MAJOR WEEKLY GAINERS IN BSE A CATEGORY:

SUZLON

15.36

GUJARAT STATE

13.06

DEN NETOWORK

10.15


MAJOR WEEKLY LOSERS IN BSE A CATEGORY:

MMTC

-8.28

NHPC

-7.18

TV 18

-6.71



Eyes will be set on the certain US economic data releases are:

Monday (23 Jan)
No Major Data
Tuesday(24 Jan)
Existing Home Sales

Wednesday(25 Jan)
MBA Mortagage Applications
Thursday(26 Jan)
Jobless Claims& New Home Sales
Friday(27 Jan)
Consumer Sentiment

Fundamental Pick of the week:

Accumulate PTC India Financial Services Ltd For Target Rs.50.00

Investment Rationale

* PTC India Financial Services (PFS) is a non-banking finance company promoted by PTC India (60% stake). PFS has been granted the status of Infrastructure Finance Company by RBI. It offers wide range of debt and equity linked financing products meeting the financing needs of power projects and is exclusively devoted to power sector.

* PFS, initially, had the largest exposure to thermal power projects at ~60% till FY12, primarily sourced as a reference from parent company PTC India. The company is now able to garner business on its own with focus on small and medium renewable power projects, which constitute 44% of the overall loan book and garner better yields.

* NIMs (~6%), ROE (~16-20%) , ROAs(~3%) have remained stable for the company . Asset quality has deteriorated over FY15 with G/ NNPAs of 3.4/2.3% in FY16 due to slip up in a couple of accounts.

Recommendation

Accumulate PTC India Financial Services Ltd @ 41-42 Stoploss 38 Target 50 CMP 41.60


Indian Market Outlook:

The Indian markets posted modest gains in the last session despite choppy trade, as investors remained optimistic of upbeat corporate earnings results. Today, the start is likely to be soft to cautious on mostly unsupportive global cues. However, markets may see recovery in latter trade and shore up with India emerging as the 'sweet spot' along with neighbour China to rev up the global economic growth at the World Economic Forum (WEF) Annual meet in Davos. Along with China, India was also applauded as a major driving force for world growth with leaders and economists emphasising the need for increased regional cooperation. IT and pharma stocks will be under pressure ahead of Donald Trump's swearing-in as US President today. There will be caution on talks of pricing pressure on pharma, and new H1B norms for IT companies. The aviation stocks will be in action, as more than three dozen airports across India, which today do not handle a single flight, may get connected under the government’s UDAN (UdeDeshKaAamNaagrik) scheme. Bids by interested airlines have been received to connect 43 such new airports for 190 routes. There will be lots of individual result reactions too, to keep the markets buzzing for the day.


TECHNICAL VIEW:

S3

S2

S1

NIFTY

R1

R2

R3

8,235

8,280

8,318

8,349.35

8,454

8,499

8,540


Nifty not able to go anywhere through the week and is stuck in a small range between Gann levels 8373-8465. Imp levels to watch today are 8397-8460 either side rally will happen after a long consolidation during the week. Lower supports on breach of 8397 is 8373-8348-8301. Over all the bullish trend we got from the lows of 7893 had fizzled out and to regain strength Nifty has to close the week ab 8465. There is no major support form the Nifty components except Banking and Financials which also now looks tired. 

BankNifty support 19072 and hurdle 19220. Either side will see a rally. Yesterday saw weakness and was choppy with in a range and trying to get direction.

Conclusion:

Nifty index traded sideways for most past of the passing week but steep sell-off on Friday i.e. 20th January made it settle at the weekly lowest levels. The sell off was due to Donald Trump’s inauguration as the 45th US President. Market participants were seen taking a cautious stance ahead of the same. Overall markets bias remains in favor of the bulls; hence, dips from the current levels can be utilized to accumulate good quality stocks for medium to long-term. For the up coming week, we expect Nifty index to trade in range 8250-8500. Auto and Bankex top our preferred list of sectoral pivots.


IPO- BSE Limited issue opens on 23rd January

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The issue opens on January 23, 2017 and closes on January 25, 2017


BSE Limited is the owner and operator of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE), India's largest stock exchange by number of companies listed. The BSE was established in 1875 as the first stock exchange in Asia. Today, the BSE has more than 5,000 companies listed on it - the highest in any exchange around the world. The world's two leading global exchanges, Deutsche Bourse and Singapore Exchange are strategic partners in BSE Limited. 

The issue opens on January 23, 2017 and closes on January 25, 2017

Details of the BSE IPO

Issuer: BSE Limited

Issue opening date: January 23, 2017

Issue closing date: January 25, 2017

Price band: Rs805 to Rs806 per share

Lot size: 18 equity shares and in multiple thereafter

Issue size: Rs1,241.89 crore to Rs1,243.43 crore

Issue allocation: QIB - 50%; NIB - 15%; Retail - 35%

Mode of payment: ASBA is mandatory (cheques will not be accepted)

GCBRLMs: Edelweiss Financial Services Ltd, Axis Capital Ltd, Jefferies India Pvt Ltd and Nomura Financial Advisory and Securities (India) Pvt Ltd

BRLM: Motilal Oswal Investment Advisors Pvt Ltd, SBI Capital Markets Ltd and SMC Capitals Ltd

Registrar: Karvy Computershare Pvt Ltd

Listing: Proposed to be listed on the National Stock Exchange


Company’s competitive strengths

  • Strong brand equity with a track record of innovation
  • Diversified and integrated business model; active relationship with market participants
  • State-of-the-art infrastructure and technology
  • Financial strength and diversified sources of revenue
  • About the company

    BSE Limited is the owner and operator of the BSE, India's largest stock exchange by number of companies listed. The BSE was established in 1875 as the first stock exchange in Asia. The BSE is one of India's leading exchange groups. Today, the BSE has more than 5,000 companies listed on it - the highest in any exchange around the world. The companies listed on the BSE command a total market capitalisation of $1.64 trillion as of September 30, 2015. The world’s two leading global exchanges, Deutsche Bourse and Singapore Exchange, are strategic partners in BSE Limited.

    The BSE offers trading in Equity, Debt, Derivatives, Mutual Funds and SME Equity. The S&P BSE Sensex is India's most widely tracked stock market benchmark. The BSE also offer services such as Risk Management, Clearing, Settlement, Market Data services, IT services & solutions, and licensing index products like the S&P BSE Sensex. The BSE also provides depository services through its arm Central Depository Services Ltd (CDSL).

    Objects of the issue

    • To achieve the benefits of listing the equity shares on NSE and;
    • For the sale of equity shares by the selling shareholders.

     

    FAQs on IPO

    1. What is an IPO or public issue?

    An initial public offering (IPO)/public issue is when an unlisted company makes either a fresh issue of securities or an offer for sale of its existing securities or both for the first time to the public. This paves the way for listing and trading of the issuer’s securities.

    The shares are initially issued in the primary market at an offering price determined by the lead manager(s)/the merchant banker(s) to the IPO.

    The primary market consists of a syndicate of investment banks and broker dealers that the lead managers assemble and that allocate shares to institutional, high net worth individuals (HNI) and individual/retail investors.

    2. What is a price band?

    As far as IPOs are concerned, a price band is a value-setting method whereby a seller indicates an upper and lower cost range, between which the buyers/investors are able to place their bids. The price band's floor and cap provide guidance to the buyers.

    3. Who decides the price band?

    It is up to the company to decide on the IPO price or the price band, in consultation with the lead managers.

    The basis of IPO price is disclosed in the offer document. The issuer is required to disclose in detail about the qualitative and quantitative factors justifying the IPO price.

    4. How is the IPO price determined?

    The IPO price is normally based on such factors as the company’s financials, products and services, income stream as well as the demand for the shares and current market conditions.

    The lead managers must determine a fair offering price, which takes into consideration the need for the company to raise capital while offering the new issue at a price which represents a fair value of the shares.

    5. What is a Red Herring Prospectus?

    A Red Herring Prospectus (RHP) is a document submitted by a company (issuer) as part of a public offering or an IPO of securities (either stocks or bonds).

    6. Who is a retail investor as far as IPO is concerned?

    A retail individual investor means an investor who applies or bids for securities of or for a value of not more than Rs 2,00,000.

    7. Can a retail investor also bid in a book-built IPO?

    Yes. He can bid in a book-built IPO for a value not more than Rs 2,00,000. Any bid made in excess of this will be considered in the HNI category.

    8. Can bids in a book-built IPO be changed/revised?

    Yes. Investors can change or revise the quantity or price in the bid using the form for changing/revising the bid that is available along with the application form. However, the entire process of changing or revising the bids shall be completed before the IPO closes.

    9. How can investors know the number of shares allotted to them?

    In case of fixed price issues, investors are intimated about the CAN/Refund order within 10 days of the closure of the IPO.

    In case of book built IPOs, the basis of allotment is finalised by the book-running lead managers within two weeks from the closure of the issue. The registrar then ensures that the demat credit or refund as applicable is completed within 6 working days of the closure of the issue.

    10. Which are the reliable sources for me to get information about response to IPOs?

    In the case of book-built issues, the exchanges (Bombay Stock Exchange/National Stock Exchange) display the data regarding the bids obtained (on a consolidated basis between both these exchanges).

    The data regarding the bids is also available category-wise.

    11. How do I know if I am allotted shares? And by what timeframe will I get a refund if I am not allotted?

    Investors are entitled to receive a Confirmatory Allotment Note (CAN) in case they have been allotted shares within 6 working days from the closure of a book Built issue. The registrar has to ensure that the demat credit or refund as applicable is completed within 6 working days of the closure of the book-built issue.

    The lead managers also publish an advertisement at least in an English national daily with wide circulation, one Hindi national paper and a regional language daily circulated at the place where registered office of the issuer company is situated.

    12. How long will it take after the issue for the shares to get listed?

    The listing on the stock exchanges is done within seven days from the finalisation of the issue.

    Ideally, it would be around three weeks after the closure of the book-built issue.

    In case of fixed price issue, it would be around 10 days after closure of the issue.

Domestic currency market Vs International forex market

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Invest in the market just by understanding the condition of the market

Making money is not a very easy task and people should always be extra cautious while choosing their path to earn money. The money markets or the business market offer a golden opportunity to earn handsome returns, but are open for the people who invest smartly. People looking to earn effective returns should step ahead smartly and at the same time one need to be extremely cautious while moving in the currency market. Considering the conditions of the market and then stepping ahead in the world market is much simple as people can understand the importance of investing in a certain market. Investing in the market by seeking the support of the licensed experts ensure positive returns and people should first get clarity on where and how to invest.

Domestic market

The market is a place where most of the buying and selling takes place this may be the shares, funds, bonds and many more. The domestic market even helps investors to get an opportunity to invest for the short term of period. The domestic currency is the money, which is commonly used in regular transactions and the primary currency that helps in running the business smoothly. This is the basic money of the country where people can spend in the markets and get the essentials. The domestic currency market is a place where people can purchase and sell the shares and bonds as per the market rate and gain better benefits. The domestic money market is a place where people can deal or move ahead with the local money or the exclusive currency, which is mostly used in various transactions in the country.

Forex market

Whereas the Forex market is known for the exchange of foreign currency and people need to deposit money in banks. The foreign exchange involves dollars along with the currency of other countries and people can exchange or convert the dollars in to Indian rupees by following some rules. All the transactions are to be done in the certified places or banks and the rate depends on the foreign exchange rate.

·         There are various factors that owe an impact over the exchange price and people can only exchange the money based on the situation. The international Forex market mostly depends on the economic and political conditions which increase and decrease the value of the money during the exchange.

·         It is even true that buying and the selling rate of the US dollar varies as people  who like to increase their growth should be active in trade and need to consider even the simplest change in the country. In the forex market people need to par their currency with other and then enjoy exchanging depending on the rate.

·         Pairing of the different currency helps in earning better returns, but it is a must to choose the right currency combination. Mostly pronounced as the base currency and the quote currency they are used in the market as perthe provided market rate.

·         People need to exchange as per the pairs, but one unit based on the moment or changes in the market. One should be stable to withstand while the market is falling as earning better returns is easy for the one who patiently handle the situation.

Seek expert support

Whether it is a direct currency market or a forex market people who want to win need to seek the support of the professional expert. he expert service provider through a thorough research in the market and its changes help by offering tips one when and how to invest. People can gain better returns through both the market when they are extra cautious and at the same time move in a napt manner. Withstanding the risk is easy for an investor by following the guidance of the service provider who tips with the support of the research team. So people looking to earn better returns should communicate with the experts and explain the interest as this is the only way to become successful in the currency market. Look for a very strong firm and then make sure that you gain a better knowledge regarding the market and the activities which enhance in earning quality returns. The best part with the certified experts is that they offer complete updates regarding the session and this is one outstanding way to gain handsome profits.

Global cues turn subdued with all eyes on Trump swearing in & Federal Reserve outlook on rates!!

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Major headlines:

·         Government to infuse Rs 1894 cr in SBI.

·         BhartiAirtel plans to raise funds via debentures bonds

·         Mahindra & Mahindra acquires 75% stake in Turkish company

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Indices

Support

Resistanes

Sensex

8389

8488

Nifty

27380

27504

 

Indian Indices: Asian indices opened weak with overnight US weakness playing out as all eyes now focus on President Trump swearing in & the rhetoric of raising rates by the Federal Reserve.US$ gave up early gains as profit booking re emerged ahead of the 20th January big event. Oil & Gold prices remained subdued while stocks sold off a bit more as investors raised cash.


Nifty continues to trade range bound above 8400 with corporate results seeing stock specific reaction even as the broader market remains in a tight range. With Nifty trading above 8400 & Bank Nifty above 19000 we could see today the highest weekly close in over 2 months which could see further 'short' covering next week with 4 days to go for January derivative expiry.


The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 27201.63, down by 106.97 points or 0.39% after trading in a range of 27176.32 and 27264.41. There were 10 stocks advancing against 20 stocks declining on the index.The broader indices were trading in red; the BSE Mid cap index was down by 0.19%, while Small cap index was down by 0.05%.The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 8407.20, down by 27.90 points or 0.33% after trading in a range of 8397.05 and 8423.65. There were 19 stocks advancing against 32 stocks declining on the index.

 

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Group ATopGainers

 

 

Company

Price (Rs)

% chg

RTNPower

7.30

5.64

Havells

400.80

3.78

GPPl

140.70

3.61

Suzlon

17.67

2.97

Group ATopLosers

 

 

Axisbank

457.20

-5.48

Muthootfin

296.25

-2.81

Cyient

464.35

-2.73

IIFL

275.00

-2.59

Market Statistics

 

 

 

BSE

NSE

Advances

994

1168

Declines

1160

307

 

Technical view: Nifty now finds support around 8370 while 8440 continues to see resistance on the upside. Bank Nifty also needs to close over 19250 while 19000 will act as strong support.


Market Sentiment:

The market breadth on BSE was negative in the ratio of 994:1160, while 143 scrips remained unchanged.

 

Trading ideas :GAIL Limited (Buy above Rs 465 for target of Rs 482, SL at Rs 456.5): The stock has broken out from a classic rising channel pattern which indicates a beginning of a bullish phase for the stock. Other momentum oscillators indicate strength in the current up move. Impressive expansion in trading volumes accompanied with piercing of previous peaks further accentuates out bullish stance on the stock.

 

MacroeconomicFront: The Indian Government has said that it is now going to introduce a new Aadhaar-based digital payment system for the common man soon. Commenting on the issue, IT Minister Ravi Shankar Prasad said, “This unique payment initiative will be based on the thumb impression, verified through the Aadhaar identification for safety and security of the easier payment system for the common man.


Corporate Snippets:


Reliance Industries ltd has written down Rs 395.70 bn in value of its oil and gas assets including the flagging KG D6 block and US shale gas projects, in view of change in accounting policy.

 

Idea Cellular has filled a plea against the telecom regulator with the Telecom Disputes Settlement Appellate Tribunal and sought quashing of Reliance Jioinfocomm’s Happy New Year offer, mirroring market leader BhartiAirtel’s complaint filed late last year.

 

Havells India is looking at mid sized acquisition focusing on emerging markets even as it plans to expand its domestic presense by foraying into the personal grooming space.

 

.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:  The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were FMCG up by 0.21% and Realty up by 0.04%, while Bankex down by 0.76%, IT down by 0.61%, Oil & Gas down by 0.58%, PSU down by 0.53% and Power down by 0.50% were the losing indices on BSE.

Nifty Movers:The top gainers on Nifty were Idea Cellular up by 3.03%, BhartiAirtel up by 2.27%, Yes Bank up by 1.82%, Cipla up by 1.32% and Grasim Industries up by 1.09%.  On the flip side, Axis Bank down by 5.69%, Tata Motors - DVR down by 1.97%, ICICI Bank down by 1.85%, BhartiInfratel down by 1.47% and Power Grid down by 1.04% were the top losers.

 

 

On the global front: On the global front, Asian shares were trading mostly in red, even as China’s fourth-quarter economic growth beat expectations and Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen took a less hawkish policy stance. China’s economy grew a faster-than-expected 6.8 percent in the fourth quarter, boosted by higher government spending and record bank lending, giving it a solid tailwind heading into what is expected to be a turbulent 2017.

 

Global Signals: The Asian markets were trading mostly in red; Hang Seng decreased 157.25 points or 0.68% to 22,892.71, Jakarta Composite decreased 31.3 points or 0.59% to 5,267.65, KOSPI Index decreased 3.82 points or 0.18% to 2,068.97 and FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI decreased 1.26 points or 0.08% to 1,665.25.On the other hand, Taiwan Weighted increased 17.39 points or 0.19% to 9,335.51, Shanghai Composite increased 18.69 points or 0.6% to 3,119.99 and Nikkei 225 increased 71.44 points or 0.37% to 19,143.69.

 

Pull back rally in US$ with bond yields rising sharply as Federal Reserve indicates higher rates as economy on stronger footing!!

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Major headlines:

·         All aircrafts complaint with noise standard requirments:

·         FIMI seeks abolition of export duty on low grade iron

·         Strong domestic demand to help Indian companies

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Indices

Support

Resistanes

Sensex

8389

8488

Nifty

27380

27504

 

Indian Indices: Asian markets saw a sharp rebound led by the Japanese 'Nikkei" index as weakness in Yen saw stocks bounce back sharply. Overnight Janet Yellen talked up the bond yields by indicating rate hikes to be on the cards as growth returns. Gold prices fell after a solid 7 day rally while oil prices remained weak.


Nifty saw a sharp intraday reversal after scaling 8460 in the morning session. Profit booking closer to the 100 DMA saw most stocks give up gains despite both local & foreign investors being buyers. Volatility ahead of the January expiry due next Wednesday may rise as markets digest the huge rally this month. For today expect test of 8500 on the cards as 8400 holds as strong support on the Nifty.


The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 27276.67, up by 19.03 points or 0.07% after trading in a range of 27219.89 and 27296.86. There were 17 stocks advancing against 13 stocks declining on the index.The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index gained 0.26%, while Small cap index was up by 0.21%.The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 8417.90, up by 0.90 points or 0.01% after trading in a range of 8405.95 and 8427.90. There were 24 stocks advancing against 27 stocks declining on the index.

 

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Group ATopGainers

 

 

Company

Price (Rs)

% chg

Hindcopper

67.50

3.69

TTKPrestig

5993.85

3.65

Vrllog

300.60

3.37

Tatacomm

691.35

2.60

Group ATopLosers

 

 

KPIT

139.75

-3.59

Deltacorp

129.20

-2.38

Balkrisind

1151.15

-2.05

CEAT ltd

1186.50

-1.90

Market Statistics

 

 

 

BSE

NSE

Advances

1308

1168

Declines

567

307

 

Technical view: Nifty finds strong resistance around 8460 which if crossed can see Nifty test 8520 in the next 2 days. Bank Nifty also has made a 'higher top, higher bottom' pattern & can extend the rally upto 19500 with 19050 being the key support.


Market Sentiment:

The market breadth indicating the overall health of the market was strong, with 1,072 shares gaining and 910 shares declining, while a total of 125 shares were unchanged.

 

Trading ideas: Sonata Software (Buy above Rs 214 for target of Rs 225, SL at Rs 208.5): The stock has shown impressive momentum in the past two days. Sonata broke out from a double bottom pattern on Monday followed by a break out above its previous all time peak of Rs 209.7. This move has been accompanied with expansion in trading volumes too. On analysing weekly chart, Sonata has also broken out from a consolidation channel pattern breakout indicating a larger move is on the card.

 

MacroeconomicFront: Small businesses in the country maintain a positive outlook for the future in terms of business confidence and employment growth, a joint report by Facebook, OECD and World Bank said as per the PTI report. Amongst the businesses surveyed, 48 per cent of the small and medium enterprises (SMEs) are positive about the current state, while 62 per cent are positive about the future.



Corporate Snippets: Reliance Industries and Russian petrochemical giant Sibur have signed an agreement to set up South Asia’s first buty rubber halogenation unit at jammnagar in Gujarat.

 

Cipla said its subsidiary GoldencrossPharma has entered into a pact to sell its entire stake in four M propack to shriji Polymers for a consideration of up to Rs 192 mn.

 

Zee Entertainment Enterprises Ltd has signed a deal for four television series with the international content distributor, Eccho Rights.

 

.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:  The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Oil & Gas up by 1.10%, Consumer Durables up by 0.72%, PSU up by 0.34%, FMCG up by 0.31% and Capital Goods was up by 0.23%, while Metal down by 0.73%, Bankex down by 0.42%, Power down by 0.17% and IT was down by 0.01% were the few losing indices on BSE.

Nifty Movers:The top gainers on Nifty were Idea Cellular up by 2.37%, BPCL up by 1.70%, Tata Motors up by 1.58%, Tata Motors - DVR up by 1.49% and BhartiAirtel up by 1.19%. On the flip side, Hindalco down by 1.58%, Ultratech Cement down by 1.16%, Axis Bank down by 1.14%, Tata Steel down by 1.04% and Indusind Bank down by 0.84% were the top losers.

 

On the global front: On the global front, Asian markets were trading mostly in red at this point of time tailing weak overnight cues from Wall Street, though the Japanese market has bounced back with yen falling against the dollar after Janet Yellen said the American economy is strong enough to warrant higher interest rates. The US markets showed a lackluster trade and ended mixed in last session, mainly due to uncertainty about President-elect Donald Trump's policies ahead of his inauguration on Friday.

 

Global Signals:Asian markets were trading mostly in red; Hang Seng declined 136.27 points or 0.59% to 22,961.99, Taiwan Weighted shed 15.82 points or 0.17% to 9,326.15, Shanghai Composite slipped 1.81 points or 0.06% to 3,111.20, FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI dipped 1.26 points or 0.08% to 1,663.76 and KOSPI Index was down by 0.1 points or 0% to 2,070.44.On the flip side, Jakarta Composite rose 7.49 points or 0.14% to 5,302.27 and Nikkei 225 was up by 134.58 points or 0.71% to 19,028.95.

 

Global cues turn volatile as developed markets see strong profit booking with US$ weakness setting in!!

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Major headlines:

·         Indian equities open in green.

·         Moody’s assigns Baa 3 rating to SBI’s US dollar denominated notes

·         Gold prices rise as Brexit worries stoke safe haven demand

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Indices

Support

Resistanes

Sensex

8338

8430

Nifty

27020

27295

 

Indian Indices: Asian markets were trading mixed on opening bell with weakness in the Japanese index keeping sentiment weak as weakness in US$ hurt Japanese exporter stocks. Globally the developed markets are seeing bouts of profit booking as US$ extends its decline ahead of the Trump swearing in on the 20th January. Gold prices inched higher for the 8th straight day as defensive buying saw prices react positively.


Nifty saw strong buying emerge in morning weakness with 8374 acting as strong support. With consensus bearishness close to 7900 the Nifty bounce of over 450 points has caught most un aware & hence any decline becomes a buying opportunity. For today expect profit booking to creep into the market in the second half as 8440 which is the 100 DMA may act as strong resistance.


The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 27338.07, up by 49.90 points or 0.18% after trading in a range of 27313.10 and 27381.43. There were 18 stocks advancing against 12 stocks declining on the index. The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index gained 0.57%, while Small cap index was up by 0.72%. The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 8430.85, up by 18.05 points or 0.21% after trading in a range of 8414.35 and 8440.90. There were 32 stocks advancing against 19 stocks declining on the index.

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Group ATopGainers

 

 

Company

Price (Rs)

% chg

Balkrisind

1213.50

11.81

Renuka

15.70

3.84

SRF

1689.55

3.66

Amtekauto

34.90

3.56

Group ATopLosers

 

 

Relaince

1048.00

-2.69

EMAMILTD

1045.50

-2.60

Fortis

187.30

-2.19

Marico

253.55

-1.74

Market Statistics

 

 

 

BSE

NSE

Advances

1308

1168

Declines

567

307

 

Technical view: Nifty now sees support @ 8300 which is the 200DMA & finds resistance @ 8440 the 200 DMA. Bank Nifty closed over the 100 DMA @ 19056 & may see another 200 points rally till 19350 while any close below 19056 can see strong bout of profit booking set in.


Market Sentiment:

The market breadth indicating the overall health of the market was strong, with 1,309 shares gaining and 567 shares declining, while a total of 89 shares were unchanged.

 

Trading ideas :REC Ltd (Buy above Rs 144 for target of Rs 151, SL at Rs 140.5): The stock has broken above its previous peak which was placed at Rs140. The price outburst is also accompanied with smart expansion in trading volumes which further accentuates our bullish stance on the stock. Other momentum oscillators are also indicating that the current momentum is here to stay.

 

MacroeconomicFront: Global credit rating agency Moody's Investors Service and its Indian affiliate ICRA Ltd have said that India will remain one of the fastest growing major economies globally in 2017 and the government will likely achieve its fiscal deficit target of 3.5 per cent of GDP for the current fiscal year ending March 31.


Corporate Snippets:

 Reliance Industries is planning to invest a sum of Rs 300 in to Reliance JIO infocomm to further its development and improve its signal strength.

 

SPML Infra Ltd has bagged new orders worth Rs 8bn for various projects including developing power substaions.

 

BHEL has commissioned another 500 MW unit of Sagardighi Thermal Power Station Phase II in West Bengal.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:  The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Consumer Durables up by 0.80%, FMCG up by 0.62%, IT up by 0.61%, Realty up by 0.58% and Bankex was up by 0.54%, while Metal down by 0.38% and Oil & Gas was down by 0.13% were the only losing indices on BSE sectoral front.

Nifty Movers:The top gainers on Nifty were Asian Paints up by 1.36%, Hindustan Unilever up by 1.31%, Bank of Baroda up by 1.28%, Zee Entertainment up by 1.26% and Axis Bank was up by 1.16%. On the flip side, Reliance Industries down by 1.94%, Cipla down by 0.99%, ACC down by 0.86%, Adani Ports &Special down by 0.86% and Lupin was down by 0.72% were the top losers.

 

On the global front: On the global front, the Asian markets were trading mostly in green at this point of time, but gains remained capped as investors turned cautious ahead of U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May's speech on her government's Brexit plans later today. Back home, foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) sold shares worth a net Rs 347.25 crore, while Domestic institutional investors (DIIs) bought shares worth a net Rs 203.45 crore, on January 16, 2017.

 

Global Signals:Asian markets were trading mostly in green; FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI increased 5.41 points or 0.33% to 1,664.25, Jakarta Composite rose 5.43 points or 0.1% to 5,275.45, KOSPI Index gained 9.72 points or 0.47% to 2,073.89, Taiwan Weighted added 58.01 points or 0.62% to 9,350.34 and Hang Seng was up by 99.27 points or 0.44% to 22,817.42.On the flip side, Nikkei 225 decreased 152.43 points or 0.8% to 18,942.81 and Shanghai Composite was down by 15.52 points or 0.5% to 3,087.91.

 

Global markets head for consolidation as trepidation over recent rally & UK Pound weakness see profit booking

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Major headlines:

·         Moody’s reaffirms yes bank’s rating at Baa 3/ P-3

·         Oil prices edge up on weaker dollar expected crude output cuts

·         Government may increase FDI limit to 49% in print media sector

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Indices

Support

Resistanes

Sensex

8338

8430

Nifty

27020

27295

 


Indian Indices: Asian markets opened weak after the UK pound tumbled sharply & hurt sentiment as the UK Prime Minister indicated a 'hard brexit' coming soon. That coupled with the recent rally in equities globally saw profit booking emerge strongly as investors sold stock & raised cash. Gold prices rallied while US bond yields fell along with the US$.


Nifty seems to hit resistance around the 100 DMA placed @ 8441 with profit booking emerging after the stellar rally of last 2 weeks. With expiry due next week expect consolidation this week with 8350-8450 being the range. For today expect profit booking in metals, auto & commodities while banks, financials & materials could head higher.


The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 27275.98, up by 37.92 points or 0.14% after trading in a range of 27172.68 and 27301.38. There were 16 stocks advancing against 14 stocks declining on the index. The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.35%, while Small cap index was up by 0.50%.

The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 8403.90, up by 3.55 points or 0.04% after trading in a range of 8374.40 and 8414.95. There were 30 stocks advancing against 21 stocks declining on the index.


MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Group ATopGainers

 

 

Company

Price (Rs)

% chg

DEN

86.70

7.37

DLF

130.20

4.90

HDIL

65.20

4.24

Hindzinc

286.65

3.48

Group ATopLosers