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US$ falls to 2 month lows as emerging markets rebound with stocks & currencies seeing pullback.

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Major headlines:

·         Buying support lifts Indian equities

·         HCL Tech Q3 net rises 7.8 % at Rs 2070 cr

·         Government to use geo spatial tech to build smart cities















Indian Indices: Asian indices ex Japan opened in the green as the US$ weakness saw the Dow Jones close in the red albeit marginally. This US$ weakness saw emerging markets bounce very strongly with the Brazilian 'Bovespa" hitting fresh 52 week highs. The Bovespa has in this month moved up over 13% as value buying emerges in emerging markets.

Nifty saw a smart pullback from the 8350 levels as short covering coupled with fresh buying emerged at lower levels. Metals lead the rally with energy stocks as the Nifty closed near the high point of the day @ 8400.For today expect another gap up opening with Nifty attempting to hit 8450 as the Rupee strength improves sentiment.

The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 27240.98, up by 123.64 points or 0.46% after trading in a range of 27140.85 and 27254.39. There were 26 stocks advancing against 4 stocks declining on the index.The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.53%, while Small cap index was up by 0.54%.The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 8433.75, up by 42.25 points or 0.50% after trading in a range of 8398.15 and 8437.50. There were 43 stocks advancing against 8 stocks declining on the index.





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Technical view: Nifty has rebounded from the 200 DMA @ 8317 which now acts as strong support while resistance comes @ 8428 which is the 100 DMA. Bank Nifty is the under perfomer& finds support @ 18723 which was the yesterday low & will face resistance @ 19042 which is the 100 DMA.

Market Sentiment:

The market breadth on BSE was positive in the ratio of 1426:706, while 125 scrips remained unchanged.


Trading ideas: SAIL (Buy above Rs 61.5 for target of Rs 65, SL at Rs 59.5): The stock has broken out from a rising channel rectangle pattern on the weekly chart. The price outburst is accompanied with expansion in trading volumes. The stock has also breached past its immediate previous peak of Rs60.55. Other momentum oscillators are also indicating strength in the current up move. We advise to Buy SAIL above Rs 61.5, stop loss at Rs 59.5 and Target of Rs 65.


MacroeconomicFront: The Commerce Ministry has said that the online portal launched for government purchases of goods and services would result in savings of Rs 40,000 crore annually for the exchequer. Commenting on the issue, a Commerce Ministry Official told the media, "Demand aggregation for most of the common use goods and services is estimated to result in annual savings to the tune of Rs 40,000 crore per annum."

Corporate Snippets: Reliance Industries is in talks to raise as much as USD2.25bn (Rs153bn) in what could be one of the biggest offshore debt issues by an Indian corporate as the energy-to-retail conglomerate seeks to replace existing high-cost borrowings as well as build a war chest for its aggressive expansion strategy in telecom.


Manpasand Beverages Ltdis planning to increase its production capacity to more than double in the next 12-18 months. The company will set up four new manufacturing plants having total production capacity of 0.2mn cases per day as against the current 0.17mn cases per day.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:  The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Capital Goods up by 1.25%, Consumer Durables up by 1.01%, Power up by 0.99%, PSU up by 0.91% and Metal up by 0.88%, while IT down by 0.55%, TECK down by 0.41% and FMCG down by 0.11% were the losing indices on BSE.

Nifty Movers: The top gainers on Nifty were Idea Cellular up by 2.66%, BHEL up by 2.26%, Coal India up by 1.99%, IndusInd Bank up by 1.97% and Larsen & Toubro up by 1.97%.  On the flip side, Hindustan Unilever down by 1.86%, HCL Technologies down by 1.67%, BhartiAirtel down by 1.41%, Infosys down by 1.12% and TCS down by 0.24% were the top losers.



On the global front: On the global front, Asian shares were trading mostly in green, as investors continue to digest what Donald Trump means to their holdings. Japanese equities are a noted laggard as the yen leads broad currency gains in the dollar, rising nearly a full yen from late-Friday levels in the US.


Global Signals:The Asian markets were trading mostly in green; Shanghai Composite increased 2.74 points or 0.09% to 3,139.51, FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI increased 6.49 points or 0.39% to 1,677.80, Jakarta Composite increased 29.6 points or 0.56% to 5,280.56, Taiwan Weighted increased 34.8 points or 0.37% to 9,458.85 and Hang Seng increased 76.5 points or 0.33% to 22,975.02. On the other hand, Nikkei 225 decreased 83.47 points or 0.44% to 18,807.56 and KOSPI Index decreased 3.65 points or 0.18% to 2,062.34.