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Sensex closes off day’s low, Nifty above 9050; ITC, HDFC, Infosys support

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Indian Indices: Indian equity indices extended their gains and were hovering near the highest point of the day in late afternoon session, on continued buying by investors in Banking, PSU, and Utilities stocks. Sentiments remained optimistic with Finance Minister ArunJaitley’s statement that the government is keen to roll out the GST on July 1 and other aspects like bringing petroleum and land under its ambit will be considered after the first year of implementation of the new system of indirect tax collection. The GST bill will be introduced in Parliament next week. 

Meanwhile, the government has exempted FIIs from taxation of indirect transfers of Indian assets made after 2011 but has left prior period cases open for interpretation. On sectoral front, stocks of some public sector undertakings (PSU) were trading in green with the Nifty PSU Bank index gaining more than 4% with the private report that Finance Minister ArunJaitley.

The BSE Sensex is currently closed at 29,233.44 down by 187.96 points or 0.64% after trading in a range of 29163.54 and 29420.70. There were 6 stocks advancing against 24 stocks declining on the index.The broader indices were trading in red; the BSE Mid cap index was down by 0.34%, while Small cap index was down by 0.13%.

The CNX Nifty is currently shut down at 9045.20, down by 62.80 points or 0.69% after trading in a range of 9024.65 and 9094.85. There were 12 stocks advancing against 39 stocks declining on the index.




Top Movers (Group A)





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Crporate Front:

India's finance minister ArunJaitley paved the way for landmark tax reforms on Monday, introducing four bills on the goods and services tax (GST) in the lower house of parliament. The legislation, which has broad support and is expected to pass parliament with ease, is part of the biggest tax reform thegovernment has undertaken since India's independence in 1947.



Macroeconomic front: State-run Indian Renewable Energy Development Agency (IREDA) has said that it will sanction Rs 13,000 crore for clean energy projects next fiscal in the country, vying for around 20 per cent of the loan market share.As per reports, with the government aiming at adding around 15 to 16 GW of clean energy projects, including solar and wind, there would be total credit market size of around Rs 65,000 crore.

On the global front:

On the global front, European markets were trading in red as investors adopted a cautious tone on the back of U.S. President Donald Trump's surprise failure to deliver swift health-care reform. Asian markets were also trading in red. Back home, in scrip specific development, Dr. Reddy's Laboratories traded higher after the company entered into an exclusive distribution agreement with Integra LifeSciences Holdings Corporation. Under the agreement, Dr. Reddy's will market and distribute DuraGen Plus and SuturableDuraGen Dural Regeneration Matrices for use in patients in India.

Commodity Updates:

Commodity Prices (MCX):



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Crude oil



Natural Gas









Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:The sole gaining sectoral index on the BSE was Consumer Durables up by 0.43%, while Metal down by 2.69%, Energy down by 1.70%, Oil & Gas down by 1.03%, Telecom down by 0.95% and Basic Materials down by 0.95% were the losing indices on BSE.

Top Nifty Movers:The top gainers on Nifty were Bank of Baroda up by 1.98%, Indusind Bank up by 1.20%, SBI up by 1.10%, BHEL up by 0.72% and Dr. Reddy’s Lab up by 0.51%. On the flip side, Idea Cellular down by 3.41%, Tata Steel down by 3.27%, Hindalco down by 2.87%, Reliance Industries down by 2.82% and AurobindoPharma down by 2.49% were the top losers..



Global Signals:

Asian markets were trading mostly in red; Nikkei 225 decreased 276.94 points or 1.44% to 18,985.59, Hang Seng decreased 164.57 points or 0.68% to 24,193.70, Jakarta Composite decreased 31.76 points or 0.57% to 5,535.37, Taiwan Weighted decreased 26.21 points or 0.26% to 9,876.77, KOSPI Index decreased 13.29 points or 0.61% to 2,155.66 and Shanghai Composite decreased 2.49 points or 0.08% to 3,266.96. On the flip side, FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI increased 0.77 points or 0.04% to 1,746.52.

All European markets were trading in red; Germany’s DAX decreased 109.81 points or 0.91% to 11,954.46, UK’s FTSE 100 decreased 75.4 points or 1.03% to 7,261.42 and France’s CAC decreased 44.9 points or 0.89% to 4,976.00.



Global markets in correction mode as US indices turn south. Oil weakness, fall in bond yields and US Dollar softness adds to equity weakness.

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Indian Indices: Asian markets opened on a weak note with the Japanese 'Nikkei' down over 300 points as US Dollar weakness witnessed a stronger Yen. Oil weakness coupled with uncertainty on the health bill in the US saw profit booking in the US indices now turn ugly as stocks sold off further.

Nifty managed to hold 9100 by the skin of its teeth, which indicates the markets looking top heavy and susceptible to profit booking. Nifty will see Reliance hold the key as SEBI decision to ban derivative contracts for 1 year will have a sentiment negative, which however will be used by long term investors as an opportunity to buy Metals, Commodities and Energy stocks. The markets might see selling while Pharma and FMCG may see defensive buying for today. 

The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 29258.66, down by 162.74 points or 0.55% after trading in a range of 29247.56 and 29420.70. There were 7 stocks advancing against 23 stocks declining on the index.

The broader indices were trading mixed; the BSE Mid cap index was down by 0.13%, while Small cap index was up by 0.10%.

The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 9055.55, down by 52.45 points or 0.58% after trading in a range of 9047.95 and 9094.85. There were 11 stocks advancing against 40 stocks declining on the index.




Group ATopGainers




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Technical view: Nifty will face resistance around 9133, which was Friday's high while 9030-9040 will act as resistance on the downside. Bank Nifty faces resistance around 21250 with 20800 acting as support as PSU banks continue to see buying on declines.


Federal Bank (Buy above 90, for Target of 96, Stop Loss at 87): After being stuck in a narrow trading range for past 3 weeks, the stock has broken out from an Ascending Triangle pattern on the daily chart. Federal Bank has maintained its higher lows and has finally surpassed its previous peak resuming its higher high cycle too. The breakout has also been accompanied with rise in volumes confirming the price outburst.


Derivative Snippets:

In the last trading session, Nifty ended on a lackluster note. Nifty Bank index surged higher as PSU Bank stocks shimmered. Huge short covering was seen in Nifty Bank 21000CE strike, indicating a likely close above 21000 level for Nifty Bank index in this F&O expiry series. Nifty ATM/OTM call/put option strikes were under selling pressure throughout the day.

FIIs were net buyers in cash market segment to the tune of Rs 543 crore.

FII’s index future long/short ratio at 3.5x.

Nifty Movers: The top gainers on Nifty were Bank of Baroda up by 1.24%, Infosys up by 0.85%, BhartiInfratel up by 0.60%, Power Grid up by 0.59% and SBI up by 0.45%.

On the flip side, Idea Cellular down by 3.14%, Reliance Industries down by 2.34%, Coal India down by 2.30%, Tata Steel down by 2.27% and Hindalco down by 1.90% were the top losers.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:  The gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Consumer Durables up by 0.50%, IT up by 0.19% and TECK up by 0.07%, while Metal down by 1.62%, Energy down by 1.45%, Oil & Gas down by 0.86%, Telecom down by 0.71% and Healthcare down by 0.65% were the losing indices on BSE.



On the global front: On the global front, Asian shares were trading mostly in red, after US President Donald Trump suffered a legislative defeat last Friday when Republican leaders pulled a bill to overhaul the US health care system with the dollar weaker and gold prices up. The Bank of Korea (BOK) survey showed that South Korean manufacturers are expected to spend more on capital investment this year than they did last year, although those expenditures will be conservative and mostly geared towards maintaining facilities than expansion.

Global Signals:The Asian markets were trading mostly in red; Nikkei 225 decreased 282.42 points or 1.47% to 18,980.11, Hang Seng decreased 81.99 points or 0.34% to 24,276.28, Taiwan Weighted decreased 29.03 points or 0.29% to 9,873.95, Jakarta Composite decreased 19.88 points or 0.36% to 5,547.26 and KOSPI Index decreased 13.55 points or 0.62% to 2,155.40.

On the other hand, FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI increased 3.49 points or 0.2% to 1,749.24 and Shanghai Composite increased 4.69 points or 0.14% to 3,274.14.



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Events to watch this week

  • Potential health care loss could hinder Trump agenda
  • United Kingdom to trigger Article 50 on March 29
  • Banks soak up last of ECB’s cheap loans
  • Eurozone showing signs of accelerating growth
  • BOJ chief says stimulus here to stay

The Week ahead:

  • The United Kingdom and Europe set clocks ahead one hour for daylight savings time on Sunday, 26 March,
  • The UK is expected to trigger Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty on Wednesday, 29 March
  • The United States reports revised Q4 gross domestic product figures on Thursday, 30 March
  • Japan reports inflation data and unemployment figures on Friday, 31 March
  • China releases purchasing managers’ indices on Friday, 31 March
  • The UK releases revised Q4 GDP figures on Friday, 31 March
  • The eurozone reports consumer inflation data on Friday, 31 March

For the week,Global equities slipped this week amid concerns that the Trump administration’s promised pro-growth policy agenda may become bogged down as GOP lawmakers struggle to repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare. US 10-year Treasury note yields fell 10 basis points from a week ago to 2.41%. West Texas Intermediate crude slumped to $47.80 from $49.25 last Friday and global Brent fell to $50.60 from $52.00 as US production continued to build. Volatility, as measured by the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX), rose to 12.4 from 11.2..

NIFTY- 9,108.00
CRUDE OIL-Rs 3,149 barrel
GOLD-Rs 28,805 gram
Rs/$-Rs 65.42


Key benchmark indices edged lower as investors pocketed some cash on profit booking after the recent surge helped Nifty hit record closing high on the last session of previous week. Key indices fell in three out of five sessions of the week. Indices staged some recovery towards the closing sessions of the week after witnessing drubbing during the initial few sessions.

The barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex, fell 227.59 points or 0.76% at 29,421.40. The Nifty 50 index shed 52.05 points or 0.56% at 9,108.

The BSE Mid-Cap index shed 0.31%. The BSE Small-Cap index rose 0.46%. Both these indices outperformed the Sensex.

Macro Economic Front:

On the Economic Front,India's current account deficit (CAD) at $7.9 billion (1.4% of GDP) in Q3 of FY 2017, was higher than $7.1 billion (1.4% of GDP) in Q3 of FY 2016 and $3.4 billion (0.6% of GDP) in the preceding quarter. The data was released by government after market hours on 23 March 2017.

Despite a slightly lower trade deficit on a year-on-year (y-o-y) basis, the CAD widened primarily on account of a decline in net invisible receipts. Net services receipts moderated on a y-o-y basis, primarily owing to the fall in earnings from software, financial services and charges for intellectual property rights.

Major Action &Announcement:

Axis Bank dropped 5.38%. The bank in a clarification issued before market hours on Wednesday, 22 March 2017, stated that the information on the bank's MD & CEO Shikha Sharma's resignation is false, speculative and is being circulated with the malafide intention of misleading the investors and the general public.

Cipla declined 0.63%. In its clarification on media reports titled USFDA issued import alert on Cipla'sTadalafil drug made at Bhagwanpur unit, Cipla during market hours on Friday, 24 March 2017 said that the company neither directly or indirectly imports for sale or sell Tadalafil tables in US market nor has not authorised any third party for it. Cipla is not associated with referenced import alert of Tadalafil product or its source at Bhagwanpur site at Uttaranchal for the US market, the company said. Accordingly, this event has no impact on Cipla, it added.

Sun Pharmaceutical Industries shed 0.48%.AlmirallS.L, and the company announced the validation of the regulatory filing of tildrakizumab with the European Medicines Agency (EMA) by Almirall. Tildrakizumab is an investigational IL-23p19 inhibitor being evaluated for the treatment of moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis. The announcement was made during market hours on Friday, 24 March 2017.

BhartiAirtel declined 1.85%. The company announced that it has entered into a definitive agreement with Tikona Digital Networks (Tikona) to acquire Tikona's 4G business including broadband wireless access (BWA) spectrum and 350 sites, in five telecom circles for about Rs 1600 crore. The announcement was made after market hours on Thursday, 23 March 2017.

NTPC rose 2.53%. The company said that the second unit of 800 megawatts (MW) of Kudgi Super Thermal Power Station of 2400 MW has been commissioned. With this, the commissioned capacity of Kudgi Super Thermal Power Station, NTPC and NTPC group has become 1600 MW, 42977 MW and 49943 MW respectively. The announcement was made during market hours on Thursday, 23 March 2017.

FMCG major, Hindustan Unilever (HUL) fell 0.25%. HUL announced that it has commenced the commercial production in its new manufacturing unit at Assam on 15 March 2017. The announcement was made after market hours on Tuesday, 21 March 2017. The company had earlier informed about setting up new manufacturing unit in Assam to augment the production capacity of personal care products of the company.

Global Front:

In Overseas Markets,US Federal Reserve raised interest rates as expected without accelerating its timeline for future tightening. The Fed raised its benchmark lending rate a quarter point and continued to project two more increases this year. Fed said that it would raise the benchmark federal-funds rate to a range between 0.75% and 1%.

Global Economic News:

May sets date for beginning Brexit process
British prime minister Theresa May this week set 29 March as the day that the United Kingdom will notify the European Union of its intent to leave the EU, beginning the two-year period set out in Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty for negotiating the terms under which the UK will exit. The negotiations are expected to be thorny because the EU is loath to give the UK a “good” deal for fear of prompting additional EU members to quit.

European banks take up more cheap loans than expected
Eurozone banks took up more super-cheap loans than expected from the European Central Bank’s Targeted Longer-Term Refinancing Operation (TLTRO) this week. A total of €223.5 billion of the zero percent four-year loans were placed, far in excess of the €125 billion economists had expected. In a sign of policy normalization, the ECB announced last month that this would be its last TLTRO operation.

European economy extends uptick
Flash purchasing managers’ indices jumped to their highest level in nearly six years today as the eurozone composite PMI rose to a robust 56.7. Economists extrapolate from that data that gross domestic product growth is growing at a rate in excess of an annualized 2%. The euro strengthened on the data, as well as on hopes that a centrist candidate will derail populist Marine Le Pen in the upcoming French presidential elections.

BOJ to stick to stimulus
Bank of Japan governor Haruhiko Kuroda said today that there is no reason to withdraw monetary stimulus now, or to raise the bank's bond yield target, since inflation remains well below the BOJ’s 2% goal. Recent upticks in Japanese growth and inflation have raised questions as to whether the central bank could alter its super-easy monetary policy. For now, those questions can be been laid to rest.

Brazil buffeted by meat scandal
Exports of Brazilian meat have plummeted in the wake of a food safety scandal. The meat products are now banned in China, Japan, Mexico and the European Union, while the United States has redoubled food safety inspections, according to the US Department of Agriculture. In an operation dubbed “Weak Flesh,” dozens of Brazilian food inspectors have been arrested for ignoring expired or adulterated processed foods in recent weeks.

Tighter Chinese liquidity eyed
Tightening liquidity conditions in China’s banking system are raising concerns that economic growth could be negatively impacted as the year progresses. Recently, China has been taking steps to rein in its shadow banking system amid fears that the property market could overheat. Chinese iron ore futures tumbled 19%, the largest weekly decline on record, as the People’s Bank of China introduced fresh borrowing curbs on home lending.


Markets fear health care failure could crimp Trump’s clout
After delaying a scheduled vote on the American Health Care Act on Thursday, lawmakers have set a vote for late Friday despite apparently still not having enough votes to assure passage. If passed, the bill would be sent on to the Senate for its consideration. Observers grew concerned this week that if the Trump administration fails to advance one of its signature agenda items straight out of the gate that it may also struggle to pass market-friendly items like tax reform and infrastructure investment later in the Congressional session. A protracted fight on health care, at a minimum, would push those pieces back on the legislative calendar, delaying their economic impact. The failure to repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act would likely diminish the new administration’s political capital.
















nlc india





divi’s lab


idea celluar


srei infra


Eyes will be set on the certain US economic data releases are:

Monday (27 Mar)
Week Bill Announcement

Tuesday (28 Mar)
Consumer Confidence

Wednesday (29 Mar)
Pending Home Sales

Thursday (30 Mar)
Natural Gas Report

Friday (31 Mar)
Consumer Sentiment

Fundamental Pick of the week:

Buy Glenmark Ltd For Target Rs.970.00

Glenmark Pharma reversed after taking support of its long-term moving average 200-day SMA and also its intermediate rising trend line.

* Positive cross-over in key technical indicators from their oversold zone is signaling that stock is on verge of turnaround and soon it will resume the uptrend.

* On the higher side, the stock will face hurdles around its multiple highs, which are placed in the range of Rs950-970.

* In case of major decline, recent swing low (i.e. Rs872) will work as key reversal point for the stock.

Indian Market Outlook:

Market on March 17, 2017

The Nifty traded with a bullish bias and scaled above the 9100 mark on a closing basis. A bigger picture shows that the Nifty held on to the trend line drawn from the previous swing lows. On the hourly chart, it has formed an impulse on the upside, which suggests that the larger upside potential is still intact. The range of 8980- 9000, which had earlier acted as a resistance zone, is now providing support to the Index. On the weekly chart, the Nifty has posted a negative close. Nevertheless, it can be taken as a part of a higher degree fifth wave on the upside. The short-term and medium-term targets on the upside are 9230 and 9500, respectively. 
















Other technical observations

Last Week we gave Chopad Levels  of 9150, Nifty gave Short entry on Monday which  did 2 target on Downside by Wednesday.Nifty for a single session was not able to close below the Chopad level of 9150 suggesting Bulls were under pressure from start of the week.  LetsAnalyze how to trade Nifty as we are approaching March Expiry and Financial Year closing.



Nifty settled marginally lower in the passing week, tracking mixed cues. Majority of the sectoral pivots traded inline with the benchmark and failed to post any meaningful gain.

In the coming week, we expect Nifty to consolidate further within 9000-9300 band; however, volatility will inch higher on stock specific front due to expiry of March month derivatives contracts.

Considering all, traders should focus more on the trade management part and avoid over leveraging. Investors, on the other hand, should use this phase to gradually add quality stocks on every dips.

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