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US indices rally for another day even as Trump reforms seem untenable till 2018. Globally equity rally seems unstoppable with all negative news being ignored as power of liquidity buys every fall.

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Indian Indices: Asian indices opened in the green as overnight most US indices hit new highs with the power of liquidity ignoring all negative news. The market will watch for monetary policy action from the BOJ(Bank of Japan) & the ECB today which will indicate the way forward for equities & fixed income.


Nifty recovered most of the losses of Tuesday with a smart pullback which took the Nifty back to 9900.Bank Nifty hit new highs as financials, metals &Pharma powered the Nifty back with gusto. For today new highs on the Nifty are on the cards with stock specific action as results season plays out with heavyweights Reliance, Kotak Bank & Bajaj Auto declaring results today.


The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 31974.67, up by 19.32 points or 0.06% after trading in a range of 31928.01 and 32057.12. There were 13 stocks advancing against 18 stocks declining on the index. The broader indices were trading mixed; the BSE Mid cap index was down by 0.12%, while Small cap index was up by 0.27%.

The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 9897.10, down by 2.50 points or 0.03% after trading in a range of 9888.55 and 9922.55. There were 20 stocks advancing against 31 stocks declining on the index..

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Group ATopGainers

 

 

Company

Price (Rs)

% chg

Strtech

194.20

12.71

Justdial

386.15

8.94

Renuka

16.33

8.79

GPPL

147.85

3.36

Group ATopLosers

 

 

Canbk

353.90

-4.61

Videoind

24.85

-4.97

Wabag

641.40

-4.26

MRPL

126.65

-3.14

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Indices

Support

Resistanes

Sensex

31680

31950

Nifty

9765

9850

 

Technical view: Nifty finds support around 9850 which was the resistance yesterday while 9930 will act as resistance on the upside. Bank Nifty now finds strong support around 24000 while 24350 will act as resistance on the upside.


 

Britannia (Buy Above 3810 with SL at 3750 for Target of 3930): It is a solid trending stock and after consolidating for over four months Britannia has broken out from an Ascending Triangle pattern on the daily charts. The breakout has been accompanied with credible uptick in traded volumes. The stock has also convincingly bounced from its 21-DMA which further accentuates our bullish stance on the stock.


EconomicSnippets      

CBEC Chairperson VanajaSarna has said that the government has taken a corrective measure and compensation cess hike will not result in rise in cigarette prices.

Import of coking coal from Canada is likely to rise in future keeping pace with the increase in steelmaking capacity in India, the Steel Ministry said in a statement.  

The parliamentary panel on finance is likely to finalise its report on demonetisation of high value currency notes on July 20.

The government may impose anti- dumping duty of up to USD 266 per tonne on a certain type of rubber, used in items like footwear and conveyor belts, from EU, Korea and Thailand.


Nifty Movers:  The top gainers on Nifty were Axis Bank up by 2.92%, ONGC up by 2.33%, Ambuja Cement up by 2.04%, Kotak Mahindra Bank up by 1.62% and Coal India up by 1.20%. On the flip side, Tata Steel down by 1.86%, BhartiInfratel down by 1.22%, Hero MotoCorp down by 1.10%, Infosys down by 1.06% and Asian Paints down by 1.04% were the top losers.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Realty up by 0.62%, Bankex up by 0.56%, Energy up by 0.30%, Capital Goods up by 0.29% and Power up by 0.21%, while IT down by 0.56%, Metal down by 0.45%, TECK down by 0.42%, Auto down by 0.32% and Healthcare down by 0.21% were the top losing indices on BSE.

 

 

On the global front:On the global front, Asian shares were trading mostly in green. The Bank of Japan kept monetary policy steady and pushed back again the timing for achieving its 2 percent inflation target, reinforcing expectations it will lag well behind major global central banks in dialing back its massive stimulus programme.

Global Signals:The Asian markets were trading mostly in green; Shanghai Composite increased 7.09 points or 0.22% to 3,238.07, KOSPI Index increased 7.21 points or 0.3% to 2,437.15, Jakarta Composite increased 9.29 points or 0.16% to 5,815.98, Hang Seng increased 67.04 points or 0.25% to 26,739.20 and Nikkei 225 increased 123.54 points or 0.62% to 20,144.40. On the other hand, Taiwan Weighted decreased 9.6 points or 0.09% to 10,496.50 and FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI decreased 2 points or 0.11% to 1,755.27.

 

Hindustan Unilever Research report exclusively prepared by Sharetipsinfo

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Company Overview:

Hindustan Unilever Limited (HUL) is India's largest Fast Moving Consumer Goods company with a heritage of over 80 years in India. On any given day, nine out of ten Indian households use our products to feel good, look good and get more out of life – giving us a unique opportunity to build a brighter future.With over 35 brands spanning 20 distinct categories such as soaps, detergents, shampoos, skin care, toothpastes, deodorants, cosmetics, tea, coffee, packaged foods, ice cream, and water purifiers, the Company is a part of the everyday life of millions of consumers across India. Its portfolio includes leading household brands such as Lux, Lifebuoy, Surf Excel, Rin, Wheel, Fair & Lovely, Pond’s, Vaseline, Lakmé, Dove, Clinic Plus, Sunsilk, Pepsodent, Closeup, Axe, Brooke Bond, Bru, Knorr, Kissan, Kwality Wall’s and Pureit.

HUL works to create a better future every day and helps people feel good, look good and get more out of life with brands and services that are good for them and good for others.

The Company has about 18,000 employees and has a net sales of INR 33895 crores (financial year 2016-17). HUL is a subsidiary of Unilever, one of the world’s leading suppliers of Food, Home Care, Personal Care and Refreshment products with sales in over 190 countries and an annual sales turnover of €52.7 billion in 2016. Unilever has over 67% shareholding in HUL.

Key Points:

Strong improvement in margins:

* Strong quarter on profitability: Revenue grew by 4.9% yoy to Rs85.3bn, led by price hikes; EBITDA grew by 14.1% yoy to Rs18.7bn while APAT grew by 14.9% yoy to Rs12.9bn.

* Volume growth was flat, impacted by thinning of trade pipeline (CSD channel worst hit). If CSD channel was normal, volume growth would have been 2% yoy. Expect sales to normalize in the next few months. Rural growth revival is expected to be gradual.

* Gross margin expanded by 80bps to 52.1%, led by premiumisation and price increases. EBITDA margin came in strong at 21.9%, up 180bps yoy (similar to pre-2004 level). EBITDA margin was aided by lower other expenditure and reduced ad spends.

* We believe HUL is moving into a phase of strong earnings growth, driven by expansion in margins. We upgrade our earnings estimates by 0.5%/2% for FY18E/FY19E and estimate 18.9% CAGR in EPS for FY17-19E. We believe strong earnings would re-rate the stock and maintain ACCUMULATE rating. We assign a P/E of 45x and arrive at a target price of Rs1,250.

 Revenue growth steady while margin performance strong

HUL’s Q1FY18 result was ahead of our expectations on profitability front. Key highlights were: 1) Revenue at Rs85.3bn grew by 4.9% yoy with underlying volume growth flat. Domestic business witnessed a healthy growth of 6% yoy, 2) EBITDA at Rs18.7bn grew by 14.1% yoy, while gross margin was healthy at 52.1% (+80bps), aided by better mix and price. EBITDA margin increased by 180bps yoy to 21.9% on the back of prudent cost management across every line item of P&L and 3) APAT grew by 14.9% yoy to Rs12.9bn.

Volumes marred by CSD, expect things to normalize in H2FY18

Volume got impacted, as trade pipeline in Personal Care and Foods segments contracted due to destocking ahead of GST rollout, with CSD channel being the worst hit. Had CSD channel sales been normal, volume growth would have been 2% yoy. Even in the first half of July, the CSD channel continued to be affected, the same is likely to normalise in few weeks. The company expects overall channel to normalize in the next few months. Rural growth was in line with urban growth, and uptick in rural growth is expected to be gradual. After successful launch of Lever Ayush brand in South India, the company will now roll it out nationally.

Outlook and valuation:

We believe that HUL is gradually moving into a phase of strong earnings growth, driven by margin expansion. We have revised our estimates to factor in lower revenue growth, as the company passed on the benefit of GST and increased our margin estimates to factor in a 300bps improvement in margin during FY17-19E. We have our earnings estimates by 0.5%/2% for FY18E/FY19E. We maintain our ACCUMULATE rating with a price target of Rs1,250.

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