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Stock Market-Research report-21-3-2018

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Topic :- Share Market Closing Note


Sensex, Nifty rose on Wednesday, with financial stocks accounting for nearly half the gains, while investors awaited the outcome of the US Federal Reserve policy meet later in the day.


The Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates at its first policy meeting under Chairman Jerome Powell and may signal more hikes are coming in response to tax cuts and government spending that could further stoke a robust US economy.


The US central bank projected late last year that it would lift rates three times in 2018, but some investors believe the fiscal stimulus and recent hints of inflation pressures will push policymakers to add an additional increase to the mix.



In the global markets, a hush settled over financial markets on Wednesday as investors waited to hear how often the Federal Reserve might hike interest rates this year, while the currencies of exporting nations were rattled by fears of a full-blown trade war.


MSCIs broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was barely changed after four straight days of losses. Japans Nikkei was closed for a local holiday.


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Topic :- Time:3.05 PM


Nifty spot close above 10160 will result in some more pull back in coming trading session and if it closes below above mentioned level then some sluggish movement is expected. Avoid open positions for tomorrow.


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Topic :- Time:2.30 PM


NATURALGAS Trading View:

NATURALGAS is trading at 175.20. If it manages to trade and sustain above 175.60 level then expect further upmove in it and below 174.50 level some profit booking can be seen in it.


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Topic :- Time:2.00 PM


Nifty spot if breaks and trade below 10155 level then further decline can be seen in the market and if it manages to trade and sustain above 10180 level then some upmove can be seen in it.


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Topic :- Time:1.30 PM


CRUDEOIL Trading View:

CRUDEOIL is trading at 4166. It will find its resistance at 4205. If it holds below 4205 level then it is likely to show some profit booking and is expected to test 4120-4100 levels quite soon. Sell on every rise till it holds below 4205 is recommended in it.


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Topic :- Time:1.20 PM


Indias Cotton area may fall 12% as pests scare farmers:


ndia, the worlds top producer of Cotton, likely to witness a 12% decline in planting area in the 2018/19 crop year as infestation by the pink bollworm has slashed farmers incomes and prompted them to choose other crops, industry officials said.


The reduction in planting area could cut into export supply from India and further bolster global cotton prices, which earlier this month hit their highest since June 2014.


We are expecting lower sowing in Maharashtra and Telangana due to pink bollworm attacks. Many farmers in these states are likely to switch to other crops like soybeans, the Cotton Association of India (CAI) said.


Infestations slashed crop yields and forced farmers to increase pesticide costs in Maharashtra and Telangana in the south, both key cotton producers.


The area under cotton could fall to 10.8 million hectares in the 2018/19 marketing season that starts at the beginning of October, down from 12.26 million hectares in the current year, CAI estimated.


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Topic :- Time:1.00 PM


Nifty spot if manages to trade and sustain above 10180 level then expect some upmove and if it breaks and trade below 10160 level then some profit booking can be seen in it.


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Topic :- Time:12.30 PM


COPPER Trading View:

COPPER is trasding at 439.60. If it breaks and trade below 438.80 level then expect some further decline in it and if it manages to trade and sustain above 440.60 level then some upmove can follow in it.


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Topic :- Time:12.20 PM


PNB fraud: Rs 2,000 cr routed back into country via hawala, say ED sources


The Enforcement Directorate has evidence suggesting that Gitanjali Gems and Nirav Modi companies routed Rs 2,000 crore back into the country through the hawala route, a senior official who did not want to be named, told Moneycontrol.


Gitanjali Gems and Nirav Modi companies are at the centre of a Rs 13,000 crore-plus scam in which Punjab National Bank was defrauded through unauthorised  letters of understanding (LoUs).


The two jewellery firms had raised money from overseas branches of Indian banks, on the basis of the unauthorised LoUs.


The ED says that a part of that money was then brought back into the country.



The agency has also found evidence of inter-state money transfers by one of the biggest hawala operators in the country. This operator was very active in a Mumbai-based steel company whose promoters had siphoned off money, and is being investigated by the ED.


We are investigating all aspects in this case and the hawala transfer is one such area. Our leads so far will help us further investigate this, the above-mentioned official told Moneycontrol.


The agency is also investigating 17 overseas companies which received funds from the fraudulent LoUs issued by Punjab National Bank. Of these companies, five were mentioned in the second FIR of the Central Bureau of Investigation.


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Topic :- Time:12.05 PM


Nifty is sliding from its day high. Nifty spot immediate support is at 10180 if it breaks and trades below it then it can slide further down towards 10140 level and if it holds then more upmove is on cards.


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Topic :- Time:11.30 AM


News Wrap Up:

1. Sensex up over 300 pts, Nifty above 10,200; PSU banks gain

2. Resolution professional alleges fraud by Binani Cement promoters

3. 600 railway stations may bear the stamp of Indias top architects soon

4. LIC bails out Rs 42-billion Hindustan Aeronautics IPO

5. Nirav Modi scam: Diamond traders now courting firms with long-term credit

6. ICICI Bank raises Rs 4000 crore AT-I capital

7. Sugar stocks gain as Govt scraps export duty

8. MCX plans spot commodity trading in industrial & precious metals and energy

9. Sebi bars Remac Realty, 5 directors for illegal fund raising schemes

10. Global Markets: Caution creeps into Asian trading ahead of Fed decision


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Topic :- Time:10.40 AM


After positive opening nifty is still trading in positive zone. Nifty spot if manages to trade and sustain above 10220 level then further more upmove is expected and below 10200 level some softness can be seen. Currently nifty is trading at 10216.


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Topic :- Nifty Opening Note


Indian Stock Market Trading View For 21 March,2018:


Positive opening expected. Nifty to trade volatile and is expected to follow global cues. Trade as per market trend.


Nifty spot if manages to trade and sustain above 10160 level then expect some upmove and if it breaks and trade below 10060 level then some further decline can be seen in the market. Please note this is just opening view and should not be considered as the view for the whole day.


PSUs, state-run lenders should focus on fraud prevention

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Public sector enterprises and state-run lenders need to focus on strengthening fraud prevention mechanism and risk management policies in the wake of the recent banking fraud, SCOPE Chairman Ved Prakash said today.

He noted that corrective measures are being taken by the government to plug the loopholes.

"Sometimes it becomes very difficult to stop a fraud by an individual or by a group of people. I think that is one major area where all PSUs and banks have to focus on fraud prevention and risk management policy," the chairman of the apex body of PSEs said at a press conference here.

Prakash said the role and responsibility of independent directors have been considerably enhanced to prevent bank frauds to some extent.

When asked about the proposed merger of trading firms MMTC and STC, Prakash, who is also the MMTC CMD said: "We do not have any definite information from the government on this." However, he added that pooling of resources of the two firms shall definitely reduce the cost and increase efficiency.

"Definitely it (merger) is a move in the right direction but when it happens, how it happens that the government will be working out," he said.

Sharing views on the dividend policy for PSUs framed by the government, Prakash said the government wants PSUs having sizeable profits to invest in infrastructure projects, undertake buy-back of shares or invest in government schemes so that the surplus funds can be put to good use.

Regarding ownership and corporate governance, he said government's initiative involving merger of various entities like insurance companies, banks or similar PSUs and list them on "our exchange is a very good step".

Prakash said merger of entities and their resources increases their efficiency and reduces the cost. Moreover, the bigger company post merger can grow and survive in the global onslaught of competition which may not be possible otherwise.

He said various initiatives have been taken on corporate governance and autonomy, and more powers given to PSU Boards so that they need not refer every decision to the government.

Prakash was here to launch the SCOPE YouTube channel.

"The basic objective of the channel is to highlight the performance of PSUs and also provide( a platform) to the respective PSUs by projecting their image, vision, strategy and overall achievements," he said.

Prakash said the channel would showcase innovative practices being followed in some PSUs so that they can be emulated by other state-owned firms for development and growth of the country's public sector.

"The channel would bring out various informative videos about PSEs. It will highlight the performance, initiatives of the public sector, national economy, achievement and contribution of members.

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