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WEEKLY NIFTY TRADING VIEW FOR THE WEEK JAN09, 2016–JAN15, 2016

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Events to watch this week

  • US adds 156,000 jobs, wages up most since 2009
  • Yuan volatility causes concern amid tight liquidity
  • Global growth uptick persisted in December
  • 2016 US auto sales set record

The Week ahead:

  • The eurozone releases unemployment figures on Monday, 9 January
  • The minutes of the December meeting of the ECB Governing Council are released on Thursday, 12 January
  • China releases December trade figures on Friday, 13 January
  • US retail sales figures for December are reported on Friday, 13 January

For the week,Global equities extended gains this week amid upbeat economic data and continued hopes for US fiscal stimulus. So far, US markets continue to hold just below record levels, with the 20,000 mark in the Dow Jones Industrial Average yet to be breached as of this writing, though the FTSE 100 set all-time highs this week. Ten-year US Treasury note yields fell to 2.40% from a pre-Christmas level of 2.53%. Oil prices firmed modestly, with West Texas Intermediate crude rising to $53.90 from $53.25 before the holidays. Global Brent rose to $56.90 from $55.80. The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX) was little changed at 11.45.

NIFTY- 8,243.80
CRUDE OIL-Rs 3,678barrel
GOLD-Rs 27,875/10 gram
Rs/$-Rs 67.96

MARKET ROUND UP

Key benchmark indices logged small gains in first week of calendar year 2017. Key indices edged lower in three out of five trading sessions during the week. Gains were triggered as buying of equities by domestic institutional investors outpaced selling by foreign portfolio investors. The S&P BSE Small and Mid-Cap indices outperformed the Sensex during the week.

In the week ended Friday, 6 January 2017, the Sensex rose 132.77 points or 0.5% to settle at 26,759.23. The Nifty 50 index rose 58 points or 0.71% to settle at 8,243.80.

The BSE Mid-Cap index gained 290.38 points or 2.41% to settle at 12,321.72. The BSE Small-Cap index gained 394.20 points or 3.27% to settle at 12,440.33. Both these indices outperformed the Sensex.

Macro Economic Front:

On the Economic Front,manufacturing PMI in India fell to 49.60 in December 2016 from 52.30 in November. A reading above 50 indicates economic expansion, while a reading below 50 points toward contraction. The reading pointed to the first contraction since December 2015, as output, new orders and new export orders fell amid cash shortages in the economy. Data was announced during trading hours on Monday, 2 January 2017.

Major Action &Announcement:

Wipro fell 0.86%. The company announced that its Digital TV Middleware solution has successfully enabled Hisense 4K TVs in Japan. Hisense Co. is a multinational white goods, brown goods and electronics manufacturer. The Wipro solution supports Hisense 4k TV product features ISDB-T/S Broadcast and HD-PVR to enable a premium viewing experience for customers. The announcement was made before market hours on Thursday, 5 January 2017.

According to reports, the new bill would require workers on the H-1B visa pay a minimum of $100,000, up from $60,000 currently. The bill also removes the Master's degree exemption to the cap on the number of visas available, as per reports. The bill comes after companies such as Disney and Southern California Edison have come under fire for outsourcing their IT operations to Indian companies.

Sun Pharmaceutical Industriesrose 1.78%. The company announced successful phase 3 confirmatory clinical trial results for Seciera (cyclosporine A, 0.09% ophthalmic solution), for the treatment of dry eye disease. Seciera is a patented, novel, proprietary nanomicellar formulation of cyclosporine A 0.09%. It is a clear, preservative-free, aqueous solution. Seciera is being developed by Ocular Technologies, a company recently acquired by Sun Pharma. Following this acquisition, Sun Pharma owns exclusive, worldwide rights to Secier and is developing it to commercialize for global markets including US, Europe, and Japan, as well as several emerging markets.

Tata Motors gained 5.61%. The company's British luxury unit Jaguar Land Rover (JLR) reported a 30% jump in retail sales in US in December 2016. JLR on Wednesday, 4 January 2017, announced its US retail sales for the month of December 2016. JLR's US sales rose 30% to 12,573 units in December 2016 over December 2015. Jaguar sales jumped 259% to 4,294 units in December 2016 over December 2015. Land Rover sales declined 2% to 8,279 units in December 2016 over December 2015.

Maruti Suzuki India rose 5.45%. The company said its total sales fell 1% to 1.17 lakh units in December 2016 over December 2015. The company announced the monthly sales volume on Sunday, 1 January 2017.

Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M) rose 3.49%. The company said its total tractor sales rose 9% to 14,047 units in December 2016 over December 2015. The company's total auto sales declined 4% to 36,363 units in December 2016 over December 2015. The company announced the monthly sales volume during market hours on Monday, 2 January 2017.

Global Front:

In Overseas Markets,China's Caixin Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' index (PMI) rose 51.9, compared to 50.9 in November on the back of increased demand. A reading above 50 represents expansion in a sector, whereas a reading below 50 represents contraction. The private manufacturing survey results come after figures at the weekend showed China's official PMI fell to 51.4 in December.

Activity in China's service sector expanded at a faster pace in December, a private gauge showed on Thursday, 5 January 2016, adding to recent signs of firmness in China's economy. The Caixin China services purchasing managers' index rose to 53.4 in December from 53.1 in November, Caixin Media Co. and research firm Markit said. A reading above 50 indicates a month-to-month expansion, while a reading below that points to a contraction.

Global Economic News:

December US payrolls solid but unspectacular
The United States added 156,000 new jobs in December while the unemployment rate edged up to 4.7%. A 2.9% annual rise in average hourly earnings was the most attention-grabbing aspect of Friday’s report. It was the largest yearly gain in wages since 2009. Rising wages, unless offset by gains in worker productivity, could negatively impact corporate earnings down the road. Wage increases may also keep the US Federal Reserve on guard for additional rate hikes in the months ahead. The US reported a wider trade deficit on Friday, with a fall in exports likely to trim economic growth estimates for the fourth quarter. The deficit expanded to $45.2 billion in November, a nine-month high, from $42.4 billion in October.

Global growth rebound continues
Solid purchasing managers’ surveys from December were reported early this week, suggesting that the uptick in global growth seen in recent months continued through year-end. The US reported its 91st consecutive month of manufacturing growth, with the Institute for Supply management index rising to 54.7 from 53.2. The United Kingdom’s manufacturing purchasing managers' index rose to 56.1, the highest in two and a half years, despite the looming specter of Article 50 being invoked later this year.

US auto sales set record
Global auto manufacturers sold a record-setting 17.55 million new cars and light trucks in the US in 2016, according to research firm Autodata. Sixty percent of the sales were classified as light trucks since SUVs fall into that category. In 2015, 17.48 million units were sold, 56% of them light trucks.

Australian trade returns to surplus
For the first time in nearly three years, Australia recorded a trade surplus in November. Rebounding commodity prices helped lift the trade account into the black, and the data suggest that the economy might avoid a technical recession after shrinking by 0.5% in Q3.

Unhappy holidays for many US retailers
Many US retailers struggled this holiday season as sales continued to migrate to the Internet. Two notable cases were Macy’s and Sears, traditional anchor tenants of US shopping malls, which each announced the closure of more than 100 stores. Additionally, Sears announced the sale of its iconic Craftsman tool brand to Stanley Black & Decker for $900 million.

GLOBAL CORPORATE NEWS

 

China forced to defend yuan amid outflows
It was a wild week for China’s yuan. On Thursday, overnight offshore deposit rates were ratcheted up to 80% in an attempt to squeeze out speculative short positions in the currency. That move set off a frantic short-covering rally, but the rally was largely reversed on Friday. In a further attempt to keep funds from leaving China, the government introduced additional capital controls effective 1 January and encouraged state-owned enterprises to sell foreign currencies. China is believed to be trying to stabilize the currency in advance of US president-elect Donald Trump’s inauguration on 20 January.

 

NEW 52-WEEK HIGH BSE (A):

 

COROMANDEL

319.00

EIDPARRY

289.20

IOC

355.00

NEW 52-WEEK LOWS BSE (A):

DIVISLAB

735.50

MAJOR WEEKLY GAINERS IN BSE A CATEGORY:

JPAssociates

10.39

MMTC ltd

62.25

Unitech

4.64

MAJOR WEEKLY LOSERS IN BSE A CATEGORY:

jsw steel

89.21

mphasis ltd

-6.99

lic housing

-6.23


Eyes will be set on the certain US economic data releases are:

Monday (09 Jan)
Consumer Credit
Tuesday(10 Jan)
NFIB Small Business & Wholesale Trade

Wednesday(11 Jan)
MBA Mortgage Applications
Thursday(12 Jan)
Jobless Claims
Friday(13 Jan)
Retail Sales

Fundamental Pick of the week:

BUY Tata Motors Ltd For Target Rs. 600.00

TATAMOTORS is a well know Indian MNC and a flagship company of the Tata Group. After acquiring Jaguar Land Rover, it gained global recognition as well.Technically, it is a sound stock and is on recovery mode after retracing 50% as per Fibonacci levels of the rise 265-598 levels.

We firmly believe; it has potential to outperform its peers as well as broader markets. Hence, we advocate buying this stock in range 480-490 with 440 stop loss for 600 targets.

Recommendation

Buy Tata Motors Ltd  @ 480-490 Stoploss 440 Target 600 CMP 498

Indian Market Outlook:

Nifty ended marginally lower in the passing month, tracking mixed global cues and not so favorable domestic factors. After marginal bounce in the first week, it maintained its negative tone for most part of the month; however, recovery in final week of the calendar year significantly trimmed the losses. Finally, it settled at 8185.80; down by nearly half a percent.

It rebounded after retesting the crucial support mark of 7900, raising hope of sustainable recovery in January month.

TECHNICAL VIEW:

 

S3

S2

S1

NIFTY

R1

R2

R3

8,140

8,175

8,215

8,243.80

8,288

8,335

8,390

Technically, charts are in the favor of rebound but a lot depends upon the upcoming earning season. On the daily chart, the Nifty is trading above the 20- day moving average (DMA) and the 40-DMA, ie 8121 and 8195, respectively. The momentum indicator is positive on the daily chart.

On the hourly chart, the Nifty is trading between the 20-hour moving averages (HMA) and the 40-HMA, ie 8246 and 8208, respectively. The hourly momentum indicator has turned positive. The market breadth was negative, with 639 advances and 962 declines on the National Stock Exchange.

Conclusion:

Nifty has immediate hurdle at 8300 and requires participation from the banking space for further recovery. Meanwhile, stock specific movement, especially in the cash segment, is offering ample trading opportunities and we expect this trend to continue ahead also. So, traders should plan their positions keeping in mind the above factors.

Nifty ends at 8244, Sensex falls 119 pts: IT sheds 3%

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Major headlines

·         NatcoPharma gets USFDA approval for leukemia drug

·         Suzlon bags 105 MW order from Axis Energy Group

·         China nibbles at Samsung share to take 50 percent of India’s smartphone market.

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Index

Close

% Chg

Sensex

26,759.23

-0.44

Nifty

8,243.80

-0.36

Indian Indices: The key Indian equity indices continued their lackluster trade in late afternoon session as a slump in IT shares on worries over H-1B visas. Sentiments remained downbeat on account of selling in Realty, TECK and FMCG counters. Selling pressure increased after European stocks opened lower. Sentiments were also hit after President Pranab Mukherjee cautioned that the government's demonetisation decision could likely lead to a temporary slowdown in the economy and hurt the poor. Sentiments also remained dampened with a private report highlighted that India’s GDP is likely to have grown at a much slower-than-expected pace of 5 percent in the October-December period and may see a 6 percent growth in the following quarter due to a slowdown in manufacturing and services sectors post demonetization. Meanwhile, for the first time since demonetisation of high-value currency notes, President Pranab Mukherjee has cautioned that the government's demonetisation decision could likely lead to a temporary slowdown in the economy and hurt the poor. Addressing to Governors and Lieutenant Governors, President has said that demonetization.

The BSE Sensex is closed at 26,759.23, down by 119.01 points or 0.44% after trading in a range of 26822.52 and 27009.61. There were 20 stocks advancing against 10 stocks declining on the index.The broader indices were trading mixed; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.13%, while Small cap index was down by 0.05%.The CNX Nifty is shut down at 8243.80, down by 30.00 points or 0.36% after trading in a range of 8257.75 and 8306.85. There were 31 stocks advancing against 19 stocks declining on the index, while 1 stock remained unchanged.

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Top Movers (Group A)

 

 

Company

Cmp

% chg

Gainers

 

 

Jswenergy

65.35

6.00

Wockpharma

710.70

5.55

Natcopharma

624.10

4.49

Fortis

192.30

3.83

Losers

 

 

Justdial

375.75

-4.63

Mindtree

500.55

-4.39

HCC

41.60

-3.82

TECHM

469.7\5

-3.80

Market Statistics

 

 

 

BSE

NSE

Advances

1397

648

Declines

1190

811

 

Market Sentiment: The market breadth on BSE was positive in the ratio of 1397: 1190, while 159 scrips remained unchanged.

Crporate Front:

Japan has decided to assist India in the development of three cities namely - Chennai, Ahmedabad and Varanasi as smart cities, as per the government release. The Ministry of Urban Development said in a release that this was on Thursday conveyed by Japan’s Ambassador to India Kenji Hiramatsu during his meeting with Minister of M. Venkaiah Naidu.

Macroeconomic front: Union Finance Minister ArunJaitley has said that the government's initiatives, including demonetisation, to eliminate the shadow economy and tax evasion will positively impact the GDP and fiscal consolidation of the country in the long term. Commenting on the issue, Finance Minister ArunJaitley told the media.

 

On the global front: On the global front, European markets were trading in red as investors keep a close eye on commodity prices and currency movements. Asian markets were trading mixed, Chinese and Japanese shares ended in the red, tracking exchange rate fluctuations ahead of the closely-watched U.S. jobs report due tonight. While China's yuan gave up some gains after a two-day surge, the Japanese yen strengthened further against the dollar on expectations of slow pace of rate hikes in the U.S.

Commodity Updates:

Commodity Prices (MCX):

Commodity

Rs

% Chang

Gold

27905.00

-0.15

Silver

40234.00

-0.53

Crude oil

3675.00

1.07

Natural Gas

219.90

0.59

Alluminium

115.75

0.22

Copper

380.35

-0.03

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Bankex up by 1.07%, Metal up by 0.69%, PSU up by 0.56%, Power up by 0.33% and Oil & Gas up by 0.29%, while IT down by 2.38%, TECK down by 1.91%, FMCG down by 0.73%, Realty down by 0.49%, and Capital Goods down by 0.07% were the top losing indices on BSE.

Top Nifty Movers:The top gainers on Nifty were Yes Bank up by 2.96%, ONGC up by 2.88%, Bank of Baroda up by 1.95%, Kotak Mahindra Bank up by 1.78% and BhartiInfratel up by 1.76%. On the flip side, HCL Tech. down by 3.50%, Tech Mahindra down by 3.17%, Idea Cellular down by 2.74%, TCS down by 2.33% and Infosys down by 2.29% were the top losers.

 

Global Signals:

Asian markets were trading mostly in green; KOSPI Index increased 7.17 points or 0.35% to 2,049.12, FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI increased 11.87 points or 0.72% to 1,671.69, Taiwan Weighted increased 14.08 points or 0.15% to 9,372.22, Jakarta Composite increased 21.02 points or 0.39% to 5,346.53 and Hang Seng increased 46.32 points or 0.21% to 22,503.01. On the flip side, Nikkei 225 decreased 66.36 points or 0.34% to 19,454.33 and Shanghai Composite decreased 11.09 points or 0.35% to 3,154.32.

All European markets were trading in red; Germany’s DAX decreased 19.18 points or 0.17% to 11,565.76, France’s CAC decreased 18.79 points or 0.38% to 4,881.85 and UK’s FTSE 100 decreased 9.61 points or 0.13% to 7,185.70.

 

 

US$ falls in tandem with bonds as Trump rally falters with value buying re emerging in emerging markets

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Major headlines:

·         IATA urges government to defer higher air navigation charges

·         Key equity indices trade higher during early session

·         Australia trade surplus breaks long drought as exports boom

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Indices

Support

Resistanes

Sensex

26454

26725

Nifty

8138

8215

 

Indian Indices:Asian indices ex Japan were all trading in the green as emerging markets are starting the New Year in fine fettle as proxy to weakness to US$ with the Trump rally seeing profit booking. The US$ weakened sharply to near November 8th levels & in tandem we saw bond yields also fall to 2.36% levels last seen around the US election results.

Nifty broke the 200 DMA @ 8271 & will further exhibit strength on the back of stronger Rupee & buying by foreign investors whose selling has halted & net inflows now very much on the cards. For today expect industrials, banks & oil marketing companies to see buying while tech stocks to be under pressure due to Rupee strength. Weekly close today over the 200 DMA will see bears further scramble for cover.


The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 26887.19, up by 8.95 points or 0.03% after trading in a range of 26883.78 and 27009.61. There were 19 stocks advancing against 11 stocks declining on the index.The broader indices were trading mixed; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.24%, while Small cap index was down by 0.05%.The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 8270.30, down by 3.50 points or 0.04% after trading in a range of 8270.30 and 8306.85. There were 31 stocks advancing against 20 stocks declining on the index.

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Group ATopGainers

 

 

Company

Price (Rs)

% chg

JSWenergy

65.85

6.81

Wockpharm

718.55

6.72

Fortis

194.45

4.99

ONGC

205.60

2.98

Group ATopLosers

 

 

TEchm

471.50

-3.44

Aloktext

3.56

-3.26

HCLTECH

818.00

-3.09

HCC

41.95

-3.01

Market Statistics

 

 

 

BSE

NSE

Advances

1131

1168

Declines

1047

307

 

Technical view: Nifty broke above the 200 DMA @ 8271 & needs to sustain today with 8230 acting as support while 8330 will act as resistance. Bank Nifty also closed near the day high & will face resistance @ 18202 which is the 200 DMA while 18000 will act as strong support.


 

Market Sentiment:

The market breadth on BSE was positive in the ratio of 1131:1047, while 143 scrips remained unchanged.

 

Trading ideas: INDUSINDBK (Buy above Rs 1129 for target of Rs 1159, SL at Rs 1115): Stock has witnessed a classic double bottom breakout on the daily charts. The breakout coincides with the stock closing above the crucial 50 and 200-DMA. Volumes in yesterday's trade were stellar, and this makes Indusind Bank a perfect price volume breakout counter. We advise to Buy INDUSINDBK above Rs 1129, Stop loss at Rs 1115 and Target of Rs 1159.

 

MacroeconomicFront: Terming Banks Board Bureau (BBB) has said that consolidation in public sector banks is a long drawn process and it should gather momentum in 2-3 years. Commenting on the issue, Banks Board Bureau Chief VinodRai told the media, "Finance Minister in his Budget speech talked about consolidation of banks. Prime Minister has made references to the idea that there should be 6 or 8 large banks.


Corporate Snippets: Wockhardtsaid German regulator has issued European Union Good Manufacturing Practice certificate to the company’s Ankaleshwar facility in Gujrat.

 

Tata Motors and Castrol inked a three year agreement under which the lubricants maker would supply commercial vehicle oils to the home grown auto major in over 50 markets, including SAARC and ASEAN reqion, west Asia Africa Russia and latin America.

 

As many as 10 international offshore drilling contractors including Transocean Inc have offered best in class deepsea drilling rigs to Oil and Natural Gas Crop for its KG-D5 gas field devlopments.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:  The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Bankex up by 0.74%, PSU up by 0.52%, Oil & Gas up by 0.42%, FMCG up by 0.25% and Power up by 0.21%, while IT down by 2.85%, TECK down by 2.30%, Realty down by 0.51% and Metal down by 0.03% were the losing indices on BSE.

Nifty Movers:The top gainers on Nifty were ONGC up by 2.55%, Yes Bank up by 2.36%, Bank of Baroda up by 1.69%, IndusInd Bank up by 1.66% and GAIL India up by 1.19%. On the flip side, HCL Tech down by 4.37%, Tech Mahindra down by 4.13%, TCS down by 3.21%, Infosys down by 2.57% and Wipro down by 2.06% were the top losers.

 

 

 

On the global front: On the global front, Asian shares were trading mostly in green, as a surge in the dollar and its borrowing costs sparked by Donald Trump’s election eased, with the US 10-year yield slipping to one-month lows. In contrast, Japan’s Nikkei, one of the best performers since Republican Trump won the November 8 election, dropped as the yen gained versus the dollar. China raised the exchange rate for the yuan against the US dollar by 0.92 percent from the previous day, the biggest one-day increase in more than 11 years.

 

Global Signals:The Asian markets were trading mostly in green; Taiwan Weighted increased 4.91 points or 0.05% to 9,363.05, KOSPI Index increased 7.25 points or 0.36% to 2,049.20, FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI increased 8.58 points or 0.52% to 1,668.40, Jakarta Composite increased 13.77 points or 0.26% to 5,339.28 and Hang Seng increased 63.78 points or 0.28% to 22,520.47.On the other hand, Nikkei 225 decreased 77.07 points or 0.39% to 19,443.62 and Shanghai Composite decreased 6.2 points or 0.2% to 3,159.21.

 

Nifty, Sensex rally; IT stocks drag market

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Major headlines

·         Government not to revise coal production target

·         Synergise efforts to boost exports: Nirmala to states

·         After banknote ban, India sees 7 percent growth in first half of 2017.

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Index

Close

% Chg

Sensex

26,878.24

0.92

Nifty

8,273.80

1.02

Indian Indices: Indian benchmark indices continued to trade in green in late afternoon session as positive global cues, appreciation in the rupee and firm crude oil prices lifted investors' sentiments. The key indices traded with gains of around a per cent each, as healthy buying was witnessed in Metal, Oil & Gas and Auto stocks. Traders took some encouragement with Finance Minister ArunJaitley’s statement that government will exceed its budget estimate of Rs 16.3 lakh crore for both direct and indirect tax collections this year. In the Budget for 2016-17 fiscal, Jaitley had put gross tax revenue estimate at Rs 16.3 lakh crore, about 11 percent higher than gross tax receipts of Rs 14.5 lakh crore for the previous fiscal. The RBI report said that the listed non-government non-financial (NGNF) companies’ aggregate sales growth (Year-on-Year) increased by 1.9 per cent in Quarter two of 2016-17, after near stagnation seen in the first quarter of the current financial year. However, raw material expenses increased in the current quarter in line with the general pause in falling global commodity prices. This resulted in a deceleration of operating profit growth at the aggregate level.

The BSE Sensex is shut up today at 26878.24, up by 245.11 points or 0.92% after trading in a range of 26738.42 and 26896.82. There were 26 stocks advancing against 4 stocks declining on the index.The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 1.14%, while Small cap index was up by 0.95%.

The CNX Nifty is currently closed at 8273.80, up by 83.30 points or 1.02% after trading in a range of 8223.70 and 8273.60. There were 44 stocks advancing against 7 stocks declining on the index.

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Top Movers (Group A)

 

 

Company

Cmp

% chg

Gainers

 

 

Justdial

393.40

14.63

JPassociat

10.56

8.09

JSWSteel

175.50

7.67

Unitech

4.79

7.64

Losers

 

 

Cholafin

926.00

-3.72

TECHm

488.00

-2.34

Fortis

185.20

-2.22

Shriramcit

1815.00

-2.86

Market Statistics

 

 

 

BSE

NSE

Advances

1397

648

Declines

1190

811

 

Market Sentiment:

The market breadth on BSE was positive in the ratio of 1397: 1190, while 159 scrips remained unchanged.

Crporate Front:

Commerce and Industry Minister NirmalaSitharaman underlined the need for synergising efforts between Centre and states to boost the country's exports on sustainable basis, reported PTI.

Macroeconomic front:

The Road Ministry has said that it has requested the Finance Ministry to allocate Rs 90,904 crore to help complete ongoing highway projects in time and compensate for the toll revenue losses following demonetisation.

 

On the global front:

On the global front, European markets were trading in red after minutes from the last U.S. Federal meeting showed a willingness to increase rates at a faster pace. Asian markets were mixed, with stocks in Hong Kong gaining, while Japanese shares pulled back. Back home, in scrip specific development Som Distilleries was trading jubilantly on plan to start brewery production in Karnataka by June-July and Steel Authority of India (SAIL) jumped higher after the company reported a 16% sales growth during the April-December 2016 period over the corresponding period last year.

Commodity Updates:

Commodity Prices (MCX):

Commodity

Rs

% Chang

Gold

27829.00

0.53

Silver

40443.00

0.44

Crude oil

3618.00

-0.08

Natural Gas

223.10

0.9

Alluminium

115.25

0.26

Copper

385.30

0.33

 

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Metal up by 3.18%, Oil & Gas up by 1.70%, Auto up by 1.64%, PSU up by 1.51% and Bankex up by 1.50%, while IT down by 0.32% and TECK down by 0.14% were the few losing indices on BSE.

Top Nifty Movers:The top gainers on Nifty were Yes Bank up by 4.69%, Adani Ports &Special up by 4.18%, Tata Steel up by 3.92%, Tata Motors - DVR up by 3.27% and Bosch up by 3.22%. On the flip side, TCS down by 1.32%, BhartiInfratel down by 1.28%, HCL Tech. down by 0.87%, Tech Mahindra down by 0.86% and Infosys down by 0.30% were the top losers.

 

Global Signals:

Asian markets were trading mostly in green; Shanghai Composite increased 6.62 points or 0.21% to 3,165.41, FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI increased 11.38 points or 0.69% to 1,658.85, Jakarta Composite increased 16.71 points or 0.32% to 5,317.89, Taiwan Weighted increased 71.18 points or 0.77% to 9,358.14 and Hang Seng increased 322.22 points or 1.46% to 22,456.69. On the flip side, Nikkei 225 decreased 73.47 points or 0.37% to 19,520.69 and KOSPI Index decreased 3.69 points or 0.18% to 2,041.95.

All European markets were trading in red; Germany’s DAX decreased 31.9 points or 0.28% to 11,552.41, France’s CAC decreased 23.57 points or 0.48% to 4,875.83 and UK’s FTSE 100 decreased 0.31 points or 0% to 7,189.43.

 

 

Escorts Ltd Agri Machinery Segment (EAM) in December 2016 sold 3,187 tractors growth of 15.8 percent against 2,751 tractors in December 2015

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 Domestic tractor sales for the month of December 2016 up by 11.6 percent at 3,043 tractors against 2,727 tractors in December 2015. Export for the month of December 2016 up by 500 percent at 144 tractors against 24 tractors in December 2015.

 

Month and YTD Sales figure are as follows:

 

Particulars

December

YTD

FY17

FY16

% Change

FY17

FY16

% Change

Domestic

   3,043

   2,727

11.6%

   48,074

   39,092

23.0%

Export

      144

         24

500.0%

         734

         540

35.9%

Total

   3,187

   2,751

15.8%

   48,808

   39,632

23.2%

Developed markets see profit booking with value buying emerging in emerging markets as year end sets in

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Major headlines:

·         GE Power zooms on wining contract worth Rs 271 cr from BHEL

·         Key Indian equity indices trade higher in early trade

·         China to relax curbs on foreign investment in banking securities state planner

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Indices

Support

Resistance

Sensex

26212

26475

Nifty

8045

8135

 

Indian IndicesMost Asian indices opened flat with the Japanese 'Nikkei" trading in the red for another day aping the decline in US indices. Year end profit booking & subsequent value buying is the order of the past few days & may continue for next few days. Fall in bond yields, weakness in US$ are prompting buying in most emerging markets with Brazil & India seeing relative gains.

   

Nifty managed to close above 8100 with derivative expiry seeing huge short covering in the last hour. With pessimism overdone around 7900 expect Nifty to see another 100 points gain before profit booking reemerges. For today expect window dressing in select sector/stocks as NAV(net asset value) boosting could see metals, banks & select infra stocks gain ground.


The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 26576.94, up by 210.79 points or 0.80% after trading in a range of 26406.53 and 26587.66. There were 25 stocks advancing against 5 stocks declining on the index.The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 1.20%, while Small cap index was up by 1.02%.

The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 8162.80, up by 59.20 points or 0.73% after trading in a range of 8114.75 and 8168.95. There were 42 stocks advancing against 9 stocks declining on the index..

 

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Group ATopGainers

 

 

Company

Price (Rs)

% chg

Renuka

14.02

7.10

Arvind

351.80

5.25

HDIL

58.50

4.74

PVR

1167.45

4.00

Group ATopLosers

 

 

Enginersin

152.95

-8.58

Finolexind

436.50

-2.44

IDFC

54.25

-2.08

IFCI

27.50

-1.79

Market Statistics

 

 

 

BSE

NSE

Advances

999

1247

Declines

1021

226

 

Technical view: Nifty now finds strong support @ 8020 with 8180 being the next resistance on the upside. Bank Nifty also finds strong support @ 17829 while resistance will now come @ 18143 which was the previous support.


 

Market Sentiment:

The market breadth on BSE was positive in the ratio of 1625:453, while 101 scrips remained unchanged.

 

Trading ideas: TECHM (Buy above Rs 484.5 for target of Rs 506, SL at Rs 474): Stock in yesterday's trade broke out of a pennant formation after consolidating for a month. Prior trend being positive, the continuation pattern augurs well for the stock to move up. The stock also successfully closed above its important 200-DMA of Rs 476.5. RSI crossover is another positive trigger for the stock. We advise to Buy TechM above Rs 484.5, stop loss at Rs 474 and Target of Rs 506.

 

MacroeconomicFront: A RBI report has said that curbing of speculative activities in the realty sector after the establishment of a regulator is expected to adversely impact the housing finance companies. Commenting on the issue, a RBI Official told the media, "The push to regulate the realty sector is likely to have an impact on housing finance segments as it may help curb speculative activities significantly."

 

Corporate Snippets: Tata Steel Special Economic Zone LTd has sought more time from the Goverenment for setting up a multi product SEZ in Odisha

 

Lupinhas received tentative approval from the US health regulator to market its Balasalazide Disodium tablets used for the treatment of ulcerative colitis in the American market.

 

Reliance Industries Ltd has announced the success ful commissioning of the first phase of the paraxylene plant at its janagar petrochemicals complex in Gujarat with capacity of 2.2 mntpa.

Top Sectoral & Stock Screening: The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were FMCG up by 1.40%, Power up by 1.12%, Realty up by 1.08%, Capital Goods up by 1.03% and Bankex up by 0.95%, while there were no losing indices.

Nifty Movers: The top gainers on Nifty were AurobindoPharma up by 2.52%, BHEL up by 2.15%, ICICI Bank up by 1.81%, Tata Power up by 1.80% and Grasim Industries up by 1.77%.  On the flip side, BPCL down by 0.95%, BhartiAirtel down by 0.61%, BhartiInfratel down by 0.47%, Tata Motors down by 0.37% and Coal India down by 0.23% were the top losers.

 

 

 

 

On the global front: On the global front, Asian shares were trading mostly in green, while profit-taking weighed on the dollar and the euro held near a two-week high after spiking early in the day. China’s stock exchange was trading in green taking cues from a survey by the People’s Bank of China which showed that business confidence among entrepreneurs in China rose for the third straight quarter in October-December.

 

Global Signals: The Asian markets were trading mostly in green; Shanghai Composite increased 3.03 points or 0.1% to 3,099.13, Nikkei 225 increased 6.03 points or 0.03% to 19,151.17, Jakarta Composite increased 27.77 points or 0.52% to 5,330.34, Taiwan Weighted increased 94.79 points or 1.04% to 9,247.88 and Hang Seng increased 255.43 points or 1.17% to 22,046.34.On the other hand, FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI decreased 2.02 points or 0.12% to 1,635.91. South Korea Stock Exchange was closed on account of ‘New Year’s Eve’ holiday.

 

Global markets see year end blues as holiday season sees low volumes & range bound indices

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Major headlines:

·         Oil steady in quiet holiday season trade, supply cut deal to kick in jan 1.

·         Gold edges higher in thin trade after holiday weekend

·         Asia stocks mixed in muted session dollar recovers some losses.

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Indices

Support

Resistanes

Sensex

25705

25959

Nifty

7878

7955

 

Indian Indices:Asian indices were trading flat to mildly positive as volumes drop in the holiday season with year end blues taking over. The trade of long developed markets & short emerging markets has played out well in the last 2 months with both the Japanese 'Nikkei' & the US Dow Jones now in sight of hitting 20000.    

Nifty saw bears out in force to drive the index to the lowest since the 'brexit low' of 24th June.With expiry on Thursday& foreign flows muted expect a strong pullback from grossly oversold territory which could see the Nifty test 8100 this week. For today expect negative rhetoric on taxes to dominate opening, however domestic flows should add colour with buying in banks, metals & IT stocks.

The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 25868.74, up by 61.64 points or 0.24% after trading in a range of 25803.19 and 25898.35. There were 19 stocks advancing against 11 stocks declining on the index. The broader indices were trading mixed; the BSE Mid cap index gained 0.05%, while Small cap index was down by 0.01%.The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 7,923.50, up by 15.25 points or 0.19% after trading in a range of 7,903.70 and 7935.60. There were 31 stocks advancing against 20 stocks declining on the index.

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Group ATopGainers

 

 

Company

Price (Rs)

% chg

Welcorp

76.60

4.79

IDFC

52.50

4.06

Aloktext

3.36

4.02

Ramcocem

526.00

3.87

Group ATopLosers

 

 

IBrealest

67.40

-3.09

CEATLTD

1101.95

-2.90

TVSMotor

357.80

-2.3

Naukri

872.00

-1.74

Market Statistics

 

 

 

BSE

NSE

Advances

999

1018

Declines

1021

419

 

Technical view: Nifty to find support around 7850 with 8050 now acting as a strong top. Bank Nifty also now finds support around 17500 while 17850 will act as a resistance which was earlier a support.

 

Market Sentiment:

The market breadth on BSE was negative in the ratio of 468:1585, while 99 scrips remained unchanged.

 

Trading ideas :VEDL Dec Fut (Sell below Rs 208.5 for Target of Rs 202.5, SL at Rs 211.5): Stock on the daily charts have broken down from upward sloping trendline connecting higher lows. Last two trading session also witnessed VEDL sustaining below the 50-DMA resulting in higher increased selling pressure. The selling in this stock coincides with Nifty Metal index too giving a fresh breakdown. We advise to SELL VEDL Dec Fut below Rs 208.5, stop loss at Rs 211.5, and Target of Rs 202.5.

 

MacroeconomicFront:As per RBI data, India Inc raised USD 488.49 million via External Commercial Borrowings (ECBs) and Rupee Denominated Bonds (RDBs) in November 2016. As per reports, the Indian companies had raised USD 3.16 billion from foreign sources in the same month a year ago. However, the data is not comparable as borrowings through RDBs were included only this year.

Corporate Snippets:Jet Airways announced the deployment of higher seating capacity aircraft on two domestic and an equal number of international routes from early next year amid growing passenger demand.

 

Lupin has received tentative approval from the US health regular to sell Olmesartanmedoximil tablets, used for treating high blood pressure, in the American market.

 

NTPC LTdhas commissioned the Unit-1 of 800 MW of kudgi Super Thermal Power project on December 25.

 

L&T Construction,the construction arm of L&T has won orders worth RS 30.39 bn across its various business segments.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:  The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Consumer Durables up by 0.74%, Oil & Gas up by 0.64%, IT up by 0.44%, TECK up by 0.32% and PSU was up by 0.10%, while Realty down by 1.80%, Metal down by 0.28%, Power down by 0.16%, Capital Goods was down by 0.03% and Auto down by 0.02% were the top losing indices on BSE.

Nifty Movers:The top gainers on Nifty were Cipla up by 1.96%, AurobindoPharma up by 1.26%, Sun Pharma up by 1.25%, Tata Motors - DVR up by 1.23% and Lupin was up by 1.13%. On the flip side, Hindalco down by 1.39%, Grasim Industries down by 1.14%, BhartiAirtel down by 1.01%, GAIL India down by 0.96% and Idea Cellular was down by 0.94% were the top losers.

 

 

 

On the global front:On the global front, Asian stocks were trading flat, in thin trade and with little to guide them as most major markets were closed on Monday for Christmas holidays, while the dollar reclaimed some of its losses from Monday. Back home, traders eying the meeting of Prime Minister NarendraModi with economists and senior government officials at NITI Aayog.

 

Global Signals:Asian markets were exhibiting mixed trend; Hang Seng decreased 61.44 points or 0.28% to 21,574.76, Taiwan Weighted slipped 4.39 points or 0.05% to 9,106.15 and FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI was down by 0.24 points or 0.01% to 1,616.91. On the flip side, KOSPI Index increased 4.2 points or 0.21% to 2,041.95 and Jakarta Composite was up by 45.94 points or 0.91% to 5,073.64.

 

Global markets see year end blues as holiday season sees low volumes & range bound indices

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Major headlines:

·         Oil steady in quiet holiday season trade, supply cut deal to kick in jan 1.

·         Gold edges higher in thin trade after holiday weekend

·         Asia stocks mixed in muted session dollar recovers some losses.

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Indices

Support

Resistanes

Sensex

25705

25959

Nifty

7878

7955

 

Indian Indices:Asian indices were trading flat to mildly positive as volumes drop in the holiday season with year end blues taking over. The trade of long developed markets & short emerging markets has played out well in the last 2 months with both the Japanese 'Nikkei' & the US Dow Jones now in sight of hitting 20000.    

Nifty saw bears out in force to drive the index to the lowest since the 'brexit low' of 24th June.With expiry on Thursday& foreign flows muted expect a strong pullback from grossly oversold territory which could see the Nifty test 8100 this week. For today expect negative rhetoric on taxes to dominate opening, however domestic flows should add colour with buying in banks, metals & IT stocks.

The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 25868.74, up by 61.64 points or 0.24% after trading in a range of 25803.19 and 25898.35. There were 19 stocks advancing against 11 stocks declining on the index. The broader indices were trading mixed; the BSE Mid cap index gained 0.05%, while Small cap index was down by 0.01%.The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 7,923.50, up by 15.25 points or 0.19% after trading in a range of 7,903.70 and 7935.60. There were 31 stocks advancing against 20 stocks declining on the index.

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Group ATopGainers

 

 

Company

Price (Rs)

% chg

Welcorp

76.60

4.79

IDFC

52.50

4.06

Aloktext

3.36

4.02

Ramcocem

526.00

3.87

Group ATopLosers

 

 

IBrealest

67.40

-3.09

CEATLTD

1101.95

-2.90

TVSMotor

357.80

-2.3

Naukri

872.00

-1.74

Market Statistics

 

 

 

BSE

NSE

Advances

999

1018

Declines

1021

419

 

Technical view: Nifty to find support around 7850 with 8050 now acting as a strong top. Bank Nifty also now finds support around 17500 while 17850 will act as a resistance which was earlier a support.

 

Market Sentiment:

The market breadth on BSE was negative in the ratio of 468:1585, while 99 scrips remained unchanged.

 

Trading ideas :VEDL Dec Fut (Sell below Rs 208.5 for Target of Rs 202.5, SL at Rs 211.5): Stock on the daily charts have broken down from upward sloping trendline connecting higher lows. Last two trading session also witnessed VEDL sustaining below the 50-DMA resulting in higher increased selling pressure. The selling in this stock coincides with Nifty Metal index too giving a fresh breakdown. We advise to SELL VEDL Dec Fut below Rs 208.5, stop loss at Rs 211.5, and Target of Rs 202.5.

 

MacroeconomicFront:As per RBI data, India Inc raised USD 488.49 million via External Commercial Borrowings (ECBs) and Rupee Denominated Bonds (RDBs) in November 2016. As per reports, the Indian companies had raised USD 3.16 billion from foreign sources in the same month a year ago. However, the data is not comparable as borrowings through RDBs were included only this year.

Corporate Snippets:Jet Airways announced the deployment of higher seating capacity aircraft on two domestic and an equal number of international routes from early next year amid growing passenger demand.

 

Lupin has received tentative approval from the US health regular to sell Olmesartanmedoximil tablets, used for treating high blood pressure, in the American market.

 

NTPC LTdhas commissioned the Unit-1 of 800 MW of kudgi Super Thermal Power project on December 25.

 

L&T Construction,the construction arm of L&T has won orders worth RS 30.39 bn across its various business segments.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:  The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Consumer Durables up by 0.74%, Oil & Gas up by 0.64%, IT up by 0.44%, TECK up by 0.32% and PSU was up by 0.10%, while Realty down by 1.80%, Metal down by 0.28%, Power down by 0.16%, Capital Goods was down by 0.03% and Auto down by 0.02% were the top losing indices on BSE.

Nifty Movers:The top gainers on Nifty were Cipla up by 1.96%, AurobindoPharma up by 1.26%, Sun Pharma up by 1.25%, Tata Motors - DVR up by 1.23% and Lupin was up by 1.13%. On the flip side, Hindalco down by 1.39%, Grasim Industries down by 1.14%, BhartiAirtel down by 1.01%, GAIL India down by 0.96% and Idea Cellular was down by 0.94% were the top losers.

 

 

 

On the global front:On the global front, Asian stocks were trading flat, in thin trade and with little to guide them as most major markets were closed on Monday for Christmas holidays, while the dollar reclaimed some of its losses from Monday. Back home, traders eying the meeting of Prime Minister NarendraModi with economists and senior government officials at NITI Aayog.

 

Global Signals:Asian markets were exhibiting mixed trend; Hang Seng decreased 61.44 points or 0.28% to 21,574.76, Taiwan Weighted slipped 4.39 points or 0.05% to 9,106.15 and FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI was down by 0.24 points or 0.01% to 1,616.91. On the flip side, KOSPI Index increased 4.2 points or 0.21% to 2,041.95 and Jakarta Composite was up by 45.94 points or 0.91% to 5,073.64.

 

Global markets see year end blues as holiday season sees low volumes & range bound indices

http://sharetipsinfo.comJust get registered at Sharetipsinfo and earn positive returns

www.ShareTipsInfo.com

Major headlines:

·         Oil steady in quiet holiday season trade, supply cut deal to kick in jan 1.

·         Gold edges higher in thin trade after holiday weekend

·         Asia stocks mixed in muted session dollar recovers some losses.

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Indices

Support

Resistanes

Sensex

25705

25959

Nifty

7878

7955

 

Indian Indices:Asian indices were trading flat to mildly positive as volumes drop in the holiday season with year end blues taking over. The trade of long developed markets & short emerging markets has played out well in the last 2 months with both the Japanese 'Nikkei' & the US Dow Jones now in sight of hitting 20000.    

Nifty saw bears out in force to drive the index to the lowest since the 'brexit low' of 24th June.With expiry on Thursday& foreign flows muted expect a strong pullback from grossly oversold territory which could see the Nifty test 8100 this week. For today expect negative rhetoric on taxes to dominate opening, however domestic flows should add colour with buying in banks, metals & IT stocks.

The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 25868.74, up by 61.64 points or 0.24% after trading in a range of 25803.19 and 25898.35. There were 19 stocks advancing against 11 stocks declining on the index. The broader indices were trading mixed; the BSE Mid cap index gained 0.05%, while Small cap index was down by 0.01%.The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 7,923.50, up by 15.25 points or 0.19% after trading in a range of 7,903.70 and 7935.60. There were 31 stocks advancing against 20 stocks declining on the index.

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Group ATopGainers

 

 

Company

Price (Rs)

% chg

Welcorp

76.60

4.79

IDFC

52.50

4.06

Aloktext

3.36

4.02

Ramcocem

526.00

3.87

Group ATopLosers

 

 

IBrealest

67.40

-3.09

CEATLTD

1101.95

-2.90

TVSMotor

357.80

-2.3

Naukri

872.00

-1.74

Market Statistics

 

 

 

BSE

NSE

Advances

999

1018

Declines

1021

419

 

Technical view: Nifty to find support around 7850 with 8050 now acting as a strong top. Bank Nifty also now finds support around 17500 while 17850 will act as a resistance which was earlier a support.

 

Market Sentiment:

The market breadth on BSE was negative in the ratio of 468:1585, while 99 scrips remained unchanged.

 

Trading ideas :VEDL Dec Fut (Sell below Rs 208.5 for Target of Rs 202.5, SL at Rs 211.5): Stock on the daily charts have broken down from upward sloping trendline connecting higher lows. Last two trading session also witnessed VEDL sustaining below the 50-DMA resulting in higher increased selling pressure. The selling in this stock coincides with Nifty Metal index too giving a fresh breakdown. We advise to SELL VEDL Dec Fut below Rs 208.5, stop loss at Rs 211.5, and Target of Rs 202.5.

 

MacroeconomicFront:As per RBI data, India Inc raised USD 488.49 million via External Commercial Borrowings (ECBs) and Rupee Denominated Bonds (RDBs) in November 2016. As per reports, the Indian companies had raised USD 3.16 billion from foreign sources in the same month a year ago. However, the data is not comparable as borrowings through RDBs were included only this year.

Corporate Snippets:Jet Airways announced the deployment of higher seating capacity aircraft on two domestic and an equal number of international routes from early next year amid growing passenger demand.

 

Lupin has received tentative approval from the US health regular to sell Olmesartanmedoximil tablets, used for treating high blood pressure, in the American market.

 

NTPC LTdhas commissioned the Unit-1 of 800 MW of kudgi Super Thermal Power project on December 25.

 

L&T Construction,the construction arm of L&T has won orders worth RS 30.39 bn across its various business segments.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:  The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Consumer Durables up by 0.74%, Oil & Gas up by 0.64%, IT up by 0.44%, TECK up by 0.32% and PSU was up by 0.10%, while Realty down by 1.80%, Metal down by 0.28%, Power down by 0.16%, Capital Goods was down by 0.03% and Auto down by 0.02% were the top losing indices on BSE.

Nifty Movers:The top gainers on Nifty were Cipla up by 1.96%, AurobindoPharma up by 1.26%, Sun Pharma up by 1.25%, Tata Motors - DVR up by 1.23% and Lupin was up by 1.13%. On the flip side, Hindalco down by 1.39%, Grasim Industries down by 1.14%, BhartiAirtel down by 1.01%, GAIL India down by 0.96% and Idea Cellular was down by 0.94% were the top losers.

 

 

 

On the global front:On the global front, Asian stocks were trading flat, in thin trade and with little to guide them as most major markets were closed on Monday for Christmas holidays, while the dollar reclaimed some of its losses from Monday. Back home, traders eying the meeting of Prime Minister NarendraModi with economists and senior government officials at NITI Aayog.

 

Global Signals:Asian markets were exhibiting mixed trend; Hang Seng decreased 61.44 points or 0.28% to 21,574.76, Taiwan Weighted slipped 4.39 points or 0.05% to 9,106.15 and FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI was down by 0.24 points or 0.01% to 1,616.91. On the flip side, KOSPI Index increased 4.2 points or 0.21% to 2,041.95 and Jakarta Composite was up by 45.94 points or 0.91% to 5,073.64.

 

WEEKLY NIFTY TRADING VIEW FOR THE WEEK DEC26, 2016–DEC31, 2016

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Events to watch this week

  • US Q3 annual economic growth rate revised up
  • Italian government rescues Monte deiPaschi
  • Scotland threatens to leave UK
  • BOJ upgrades assessment, leaves policy unchanged

The Week ahead:

  • Japan releases consumer price and unemployment data on Monday, 26 December
  • Japan reports retail sales data on Wednesday, 28 December
  • US November pending home sales figures are released on Wednesday, 28 December

For the week,Global equities dipped modestly this week while US indices barely budged. The venerable Dow Jones Industrial Average approached the psychologically significant 20,000 mark before pausing. US Treasury yields were down slightly on the week, falling to 2.53% from 2.58% a week ago. West Texas Intermediate crude lost about 75 cents on the week, ending around $52.50, while the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX) remains historically low, at 11.60.

NIFTY- 7,985.75
CRUDE OIL-Rs 3,595barrel
GOLD-Rs 27,002/10 gram
Rs/$-Rs 67.83

MARKET ROUND UP

Trading for the week ended on a positive note as key benchmark indices snapped a seven-day losing streak and settled with small gains after what was a volatile session of trade. The barometer index, the SandP BSE Sensex, gained 61.10 points or 0.24% to settle at 26,040.70. The Nifty 50 index rose 6.65 points or 0.08% at 7,985.75. The gains for the Nifty were lower than the Sensex's gains in percentage terms. After a subdued start to the session tracking weak Asian cues, indices reversed losses in early afternoon trade and consolidated further in the green in mid-afternoon trade. However, they pared gains in late trade, with the movement restricting within a narrow range throughout the session.

The Sensex gained 61.10 points or 0.24% to settle at 26,040.70, its highest closing level since 21 December 2016. The index rose 163.59 points or 0.62% at the day's high of 26,143.19. It lost 107.22 points or 0.41% at the day's low of 25,872.38, its lowest level since 24 November 2016.

The Nifty 50 index rose 6.65 points or 0.08% to settle at 7,985.75, its highest closing level since 21 December 2016. The index rose 43.50 points or 0.54% at the day's high of 8,022.60. It fell 37.05 points or 0.46% at the day's low of 7,942.05, its lowest level since 21 November 2016.

The BSE Mid-Cap index fell 0.4% and the BSE Small-Cap index dropped 0.04%. Both these indices underperformed the Sensex.

Macro Economic Front:

On the Economic Front,Prime Minister NarendraModi on Saturday gave the green signal to a slew of infrastructure projects in Mumbai and Pune, besides inaugurating the new campus of SEBI's National Institute of Securities Markets (NISM) during his daylong visit to Maharashtra.

Modi was received by Governor C.V. Rao, Chief Minister DevendraFadnavis and other dignitaries on his arrival around noon by an IAF aircraft at the ChhatrapatiShivajiMaharaj International Airport here.

Major Action &Announcement:

Sun Pharmaceutical Industries rallied 2.6% after the company has informed BSE that one of the wholly owned subsidiaries of the company has acquired 13,000,000 Series B Preferred Stock of scPharmaceuticals Inc. (equivalent to 14.58% fully diluted equity stake on conversion) by way of allotment.

Wipro dipped 1%. The company announced that it has reached an agreement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to formally  resolve the previously disclosed six-year-old investigation.

Reliance Defence and Engineering Ltd rose 3.6% to Rs 55 after huge block deal. Around 12.3 million shares or 1.7% stake of the company changed hands in a single block deal. 

Welspun Enterprises plunged 4%. Welspun Enterprises a part of $2.3 billion Welspun Group, on Thursday announced plans to buy back up to 25% of its share capital at a price of Rs 62 per equity share.

Deepak Nitrite tanked 3.7% to Rs 85.80 after huge block deal. Around 3 million shares of the company changed hands in two block deal

JK Paper rose 2%.  JK Paper Ltd has now informed BSE that the Company has decided at its meeting of Committee of Directors held on December 22, 2016, to sell 20 per cent shareholding of OJPPL to OHC, one of the joint venture parties.

Suzlon Energy rose 0.29% after the company announced a joint venture with AMP Solar for the development and construction of a 15 MW solar PV project located at Achampet, Mahaboobnagar District, Telangana.

Tata Motors dropped 1.6%. The sentiments that prevailed at the Tata Motors extraordinary general meeting mirrored the EGMs at the storied group's other companies, with a majority of shareholders speaking in favour of Tata Sons' interim chairman Ratan Tata.

Global Front:

In Overseas Markets,European stocks were mixed with banks rising after two regional bellwethers settled US mortgage securities probes. Deutsche Bank's $7.2 billion settlement with the US Department of Justice over toxic mortgage securities sold in the run-up to the 2008 financial crisis was nearly half of the fine initially levied in September. Credit Suisse also agreed to pay $5.3 billion to the DOJ to settle similar charges

In another boost to European financials, the Italian government approved a decree today, 23 December 2016, to bail out Monte deiPaschi di Siena after the world's oldest bank failed to win investor backing for a desperately needed capital increase. Prime Minister Paolo Gentiloni said his Cabinet had authorised a 20 billion-euro ($20.9 billion) fund to help lenders in distress - first and foremost Monte deiPaschi.

Global Economic News:

US, UK growth revised higher
Already strong US gross domestic product figures were revised higher in the final reading for the third quarter. Originally reported at an annual rate of 3.3%, the economy grew 3.5%, according to an estimate by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis. Q4 growth looks to be somewhat less robust, with estimates in the 2.0% to 2.5% range at the moment. In the United Kingdom, Q3 growth was also revised higher. On a quarter-over-quarter basis, the UK economy expanded 0.6% in the three months following the Brexit vote, up from an earlier 0.5% estimate.

Italy rescues world’s oldest bank
Italy’s government has authorized €20 billion bailout of that country’s third-largest lender, Monte deiPaschi di Siena, after the bank failed to raise sufficient capital in the financial markets to stay afloat. Monte deiPaschi has been in operation since 1742.

Scotland threatens to bolt UK
If the United Kingdom does not remain a member of the European Union’s single market, Scotland will hold another referendum on withdrawing from it, Scottish first
minister Nicola Sturgeon said this week. Scotland voted to remain within in the EU in last June’s referendum, as did Northern Ireland, but England and Wales produced large enough majorities to win the day for the Leave campaign. In 2014, Scotland held a referendum on independence that was defeated 55% to 45%.

BOJ upgrades economic outlook
The Bank of Japan upgraded its economic assessment, noting that a moderate recovery trend had continued while exports had picked up. Improved foreign demand was credited with the export boost, along with a weaker yen, which should help solidify the recovery, the bank said. The BOJ’s super-easy monetary policy was left unchanged.

Pair of European banks settle US mortgage cases
Deutsche Bank and Credit Suisse each agreed to settle outstanding cases with the US Department of Justice involving the mis-selling of mortgage-backed securities dating back to the global financial crisis. Deutsche Bank settled for $7.2 billion, roughly half what the DOJ proposed in September. Credit Suisse agreed to pay roughly $5.3 billion. UK-based Barclays was unable to come to an agreement, and the DOJ has since filed suit in the matter.

GLOBAL CORPORATE NEWS

Praxair and Linde agree to merge
After a two-year courtship, industrial gas giants Praxair and Linde have agreed to merge their operations. The combined value of the deal is $66.6 billion.

NEW 52-WEEK HIGH BSE (A):

 

ENGINERSIN

324.25

NEW 52-WEEK LOWS BSE (A):

APOLLOHOSP

1133.00

BFUTILITIE

386.15

BLUEDART

4301.55

MAJOR WEEKLY GAINERS IN BSE A CATEGORY:

EDELWEISS FIN

17.79

CHOLAMANDALAM

12.85

ALOK INDS

12.14

MAJOR WEEKLY LOSERS IN BSE A CATEGORY:

DIVI’S LAB

-24.87

BHARAT FIN

-18.87

PIRAMAL ENT

-13.06


Eyes will be set on the certain US economic data releases are:

Monday (26 Dec)
US Holiday, Market Closed
Tuesday(27 Dec)
Consumer Confidence

Wednesday(28 Dec)
Pending Home Sales Index
Thursday(29 Dec)
Jobless Claims
Friday(30 Dec)
Chicago PMI

Fundamental Pick of the week:

Sell REC Ltd For Target Rs. 120.00

The stock is making lower tops after forming a double top pattern at 140 resisting to cross the short term averages.The key technical indicators and RSI has also reversed turning downwards and as the stock is in poised for a breakdown from current levels.

The stock has closed below its short term averages confirming the downtrend and the recent swing high will continue to act as strong resistance for the stock.

Recommendation

Short position can be initiated at Rs129-130 for target of Rs120 with a stop loss of Rs 134.

Indian Market Outlook:

Even as Nifty closed at 8000 levels this week, the Index tested levels of 7950 which is just 30 points shy of the previous month low of 7921. The benchmark Index remained weak in the last five trading sessions with FII's turning out as net sellers in the market. Nifty dropped almost 200 points from 8148 to 7953 in the course of the week's trading session.

This week the IT index was up by 2.26% expectation of growth backed by PM Mr. NarendraModi’s digital India stance post the demonetization.

TECHNICAL VIEW:

 

S3

S2

S1

NIFTY

R1

R2

R3

7,860

7,902

7,944

7,985.75

8,030

8,105

8,190

 

NIFTY OUTLOOK

Nifty index traded with negative bias for most part of the week and finally concluded with cut of over 1.5%.

Technically, charts are still pointing toward further fall wherein 7900 spot is the immediate support. Also, we have derivatives expiry for the Dec month scheduled in the coming week and it’ll largely guide the market ahead , in absence of any major event.

Conclusion:

Nifty made low of 7942 but failed to close above 8000,Till we do not see closed above 8000 Bears have upper hand and high probability we can break swing low of 7916. Range of 7880-7900 is again the important zone, break of the range on downside move towards 7800/7700. Holding the same move towards 8130/8250.

 

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