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WEEKLY NIFTY TRADING VIEW FOR THE WEEK FEB 13, 2016 – FEB19, 2016

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Events to watch this week

  • IMF questions Greek debt sustainability
  • Trump promises “big league” tax reform
  • France’s Le Pen calls for return of the franc
  • China’s FX reserves extend drop
  • Brexit bill clears UK House of Commons
  • DOL rule survives court challenge

The Week ahead:

  • Japan reports Q4 preliminary gross domestic product on Monday, 13 February
  • The eurozone reports preliminary Q4 GDP on Tuesday, 14 February
  • The United Kingdom releases consumer price data on Tuesday, 14 February
  • The United States reports retail sales, industrial production and consumer price data on Wednesday, 15 February
  • The UK releases January employment data on Friday 17, February

For the week,Global equities extended gains this week as reflationary hopes were rekindled by talk of US tax cuts. Major US indices all reached record highs late in the week while yields on 10-year US Treasury notes, at 2.43%, changed little. Oil prices were steady too, with West Texas Intermediate crude holding at $54.10 per barrel and global Brent dipping to $56.66 per barrel from $57.10 a week ago. Volatility, as measured by the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX) fell to 10.9 from 11.15 last week.

NIFTY- 8,793.55
CRUDE OIL-Rs 3,608barrel
GOLD-Rs 29,198 gram
Rs/$-Rs 66.88

MARKET ROUND UP

The market rose last week on firm global stocks. Buying ahead of December IIP data due on Friday, 10 February 2017, and optimism about corporate earnings steered the domestic market higher. A positive trend in Asia and Europe also boosted sentiment in the domestic market.

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) after its sixth bi-monthly monetary policy meeting on Wednesday, 8 February 2017, decided to keep the policy repo rate under the liquidity adjustment facility (LAF) unchanged at 6.25%. Consequently, the reverse repo rate under the LAF remains unchanged at 5.75%, and the marginal standing facility (MSF) rate and the bank rate at 6.75%.

In the week ended Friday, 10 February 2017, the Sensex rose 93.73 points or 0.33% to settle at 28,334.25. The Nifty 50 index rose 52.60 points or 0.60% to settle at 8,793.55.

The BSE Mid-Cap index gained 183 points or 1.38% to settle at 13,468.41. The BSE Small-Cap index rose 179.21 points or 1.34% to settle at 13601.31. Both these indices outperformed the Sensex.

Macro Economic Front:

On the Economic Front,The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) after its sixth bi-monthly monetary policy meeting on Wednesday, 8 February 2017, decided to keep the policy repo rate under the liquidity adjustment facility (LAF) unchanged at 6.25%. Consequently, the reverse repo rate under the LAF remains unchanged at 5.75%, and the marginal standing facility (MSF) rate and the bank rate at 6.75%.

Major Action &Announcement:

Dr Reddy's Laboratories was the top Sensex loser last week. The stock fell 5.30% to Rs 2,975.20. The company's consolidated net profit fell 15.95% to Rs 492.30 crore on 5.43% fall in total income to Rs 3763.50 crore in Q3 December 2016 over Q3 December 2015. The result was announced on Saturday, 4 February 2017.Dr Reddy's Laboratories (DRL's) consolidated earnings before interest, taxation, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) declined 13.07% to Rs 8793 crore in Q3 December 2016 over Q3 December 2015. EBITDA margin contracted to 23.7% in Q3 December 2016, from 25.5% in Q3 December 2015.

Cipla fell 4.77% to Rs 579.35. The company's Q3 net profit was boosted by other income on account of gain on sale of investment. Cipla's consolidated net profit rose 43.85% to Rs 374.83 crore on 18.08% rise in total income to Rs 3800.70 crore in Q3 December 2016 over Q3 December 2015. Cipla had divested its 16.7% stake in Chase Pharmaceutical Corporation to Allergan Plc. The Q3 December 2016 result includes gain on sale of investment of Rs 121 crore. The result was announced after market hours on Wednesday, 8 February 2017.

Lupin fell 1.75% to Rs 1,464.60. The company's consolidated net profit rose 20.69% to Rs 633.11 crore on 26.91% increase in total income to Rs 4586.45 crore in Q3 December 2016 over Q3 December 2015. The result was announced during hours on Thursday, 9 February 2017.

Consolidated net sales rose 31.5% to Rs 4404.90 crore in Q3 December 2016 over Q3 December 2015. US formulation sales increased by 53.4% to $316 million in Q3 December 2016 over Q3 December 2015. Japan sales increased by 20.3% to Rs 449.20 crore in Q3 December 2016 over Q3 December 2015.

Power Grid Corporation of India fell 0.92% to Rs 199.85. The company's net profit rose 20.16% to Rs 1930.02 crore on 23.94% increase in total income to Rs 6787.51 crore in Q3 December 2016 over Q3 December 2015. The result was announced after market hours on Thursday, 9 February 2017.

NTPC fell 0.90% to Rs 170.40. The company's net profit fell 7.49% to Rs 2468.72 crore on 10.84% rise in total income to Rs 19646.09 crore in Q3 December 2016 over Q3 December 2015. The result was announced during market hours on Wednesday, 8 February 2017.

Tata Steel fell 0.89% to Rs 467.75. The company reported consolidated net profit of Rs 231.90 crore in Q3 December 2016 as compared with net loss of Rs 2747.72 crore in Q3 December 2015. The result was announced after market hours on Tuesday, 7 February 2017. Total income rose 13.64% to Rs 28143.51 crore in Q3 December 2016 over Q3 December 2015.

Global Front:

In Overseas Markets,an official gauge of China's factory activity edged lower in January, though it stayed in expansionary territory, official data showed on Wednesday, 1 February 2017. China's official manufacturing purchasing managers' index fell to 51.3 in January from 51.4 in the previous month, pointing to a slight slowing of momentum.UK manufacturing PMI was reported at 55.9 in January 2017 compared with 56.1 in December 2016. Eurozone manufacturing PMI was reported at 55.2 in January 2017, highest since 2011.

Global Economic News:

Greek debt drama rekindled
Once again Greece faces a deadline to receive much-needed bailout funds from its international backers, but so far it has not fulfilled the terms of its prior commitments. With heavy debts coming due in April and July, Greece hopes to strike a deal at the last EU summit before the European election calendar kicks off in March. Finance ministers meet on 20 February, with Greece near the top of their to-do list. There is mounting concern that several European partners will not participate in the bailout any longer if the International Monetary Fund doesn't. The IMF this week called Greece’s debt burden unsustainable and called for debt forgiveness.

Le Pen lays out economic vision
Populist French presidential candidate Marine Le Pen formally kicked off her campaign this week, laying out her economic agenda. Le Pen called for pulling France out of the eurozone, reintroducing the franc and drastically curbing immigration. Le Pen has consistently led the polling in the first round of France’s two-round system but trails a variety of centrist challengers in the second round.

China’s reserves slip
Having peaked in 2015 at over $4 trillion, China’s foreign exchange reserves slipped below $3 trillion in January, according to government data. Beijing has been selling down reserve assets for the past 18 months to try to stem capital outflows from the Chinese mainland.

Commons backs Brexit
The UK House of Commons voted on Wednesday to allow the government to begin negotiations with the European Union. The bill now goes before the House of Lords, which can delay but not halt the triggering of Article 50.

Euro too low for Germany
German finance minister Wolfgang Schaüble this week acknowledged that the euro’s exchange rate with the US dollar is too low for Germany’s competitive condition but said that the European Central Bank must make policy for all of Europe, not just Germany. Tensions were inflamed both inside and outside the eurozone as Germany posted a record annual trade surplus, in excess of €250 billion. US president Donald Trump’s principal trade advisor commented recently that Germany has been manipulating the euro exchange rate in order to gain competitive advantage.

GLOBAL CORPORATE NEWS

Trump consults with Asian leaders
US president Donald Trump spoke by phone for the first time with Chinese president Xi Jinping and reaffirmed the US commitment to the One China policy. That policy was called into question during the presidential transition, when Trump had direct contact with Taiwanese president Tsai Ing-wen, an apparent breach of protocol. Trump urged closer US–China ties in the call, according to the White House.

US earnings rebound
As of 7 February, Thomson Reuters reports that fourth-quarter earnings for the S&P 500 Index are expected to increase 8.2% from the fourth quarter of 2015. Of the 300 companies in the S&P 500 that have reported to date for the fourth quarter of 2016, 68% have reported earnings above analyst expectations. The Q4 2016 blended revenue growth estimate is 4.3%. The forward four-quarter (1Q17– 4Q17) P/E ratio for the S&P 500 is 17.4.

NEW 52-WEEK HIGH BSE (A):


ADANITRANS

69.65

BANKINDIA

138.70

BEML

1345.75


NEW 52-WEEK LOWS BSE (A):

NOT YET

----


MAJOR WEEKLY GAINERS IN BSE A CATEGORY:

FIRSTSOUCE SOLUTION

21.55

UNITECH

16.11

JUSTDIAL

13.29


MAJOR WEEKLY LOSERS IN BSE A CATEGORY:

UNION BANK

-10.43

NATIONAL ALUMIN

-9.48

INTELLECT DESIGN

-7.51



Eyes will be set on the certain US economic data releases are:

Monday (13 Feb)
Month Bill Auction

Tuesday (14 Feb)
NFIB Small Business

Wednesday (15 Feb)
Retail Sales & MBA Mortgage Applications

Thursday (16 Feb)
Jobless Claims

Friday (17 Feb)
E-Commerece Retail Sales


Fundamental Pick of the week:

Derivative Ideas LIC Housing Finance Ltd For Target Rs.590.00

 

LICHSGFIN added around 1% of open interest as fresh long positions along with some delivery based buying in previous sessions. On charts it is holding strong above its long term as well as short term moving averages on daily charts. We suggest doing a covered call as per levels given below.


Recommendation

BUY LICHSGFIN FEB FUTS BETWEEN 557-559 SL 549, TARGET 590.


Indian Market Outlook:

The Nifty traded in a narrow range throughout the day and was unable to close above 8800. However, it did manage to close in the positive territory for the day as well as for the week. On the lower side, the immediate support is at 8770, whereas the resistance is pegged at 8830, ie the trend line joining the recent highs. The overall trend in the short-term remains positive, as the Nifty is still trading above its crucial support levels. The Bank Nifty looks weaker in the short term compared to the Nifty, but if it manages to surpass the swing high of 20407, then it will gain further upward momentum. The momentum indicator KST has gone into a ‘sell’ mode for both the Indices, which is the only concern in the short term.


TECHNICAL VIEW:

S3

S2

S1

NIFTY

R1

R2

R3

8,670

8,718

8,744

8,793.55

8,840

8,890

8,930

 

Conclusion:


we are still holding 8681 suggesting bulls are still having upper hand eventhough we are not able to cross the gann arc, as shown in below chart. Bearish only on close below 8681 and bullish above 8840 in between choppy move continue.  High made today was 8822 and low made was 8771 so we did not break 8840 on Upside and 8681 on downside forming an inside day pattern suggesting choppy move to continue, Bulls should protect 8681 and till its protected move towards 8969 and above is quiet possible. Once the Gann arc as shown below is broken bulls will shown an impulsive move on upside. 

 

Sensex, Nifty close higher amid consolidation

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Indian Indices: Indian equity benchmarks trimmed losses to trade in green in late afternoon session amid positive global cues. Sentiments got some support with report that Indian economy attracted $4.68 billion foreign direct investment (FDI) in November 2016, up 60 per cent over the corresponding period last year of $2.93 billion. During April-November period of the current fiscal, FDI in the country grew to $32.49-billion against $24.81 billion in the same period previous year. However, upside remained capped as the Reserve Bank of India decided to hold the key repo rate at 6.25% for the second time in a row, changing its stance to 'neutral' from 'accommodative'. The central bank also cut the economic growth forecast to 6.9 per cent for the current fiscal from 7.1 per cent estimated earlier.Meanwhile, continuing its protectionist approach to support the domestic steel industry hit by cheap imports, the government has extended the anti-dumping duty on certain cold-rolled flat steel products from four nations including China and South Korea, by two months.

The BSE Sensex is currently closed at 28329.70, up by 39.78 points or 0.14% after trading in a range of 28152.18 and 28469.48. There were 16 stocks advancing against 13 stocks declining on the index, while one stock remained unchanged.The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.08%, while Small cap index was up by 0.28%.

The CNX Nifty is currently shut up at 8778.40, up by 9.35 points or 0.11% after trading in a range of 8724.10 and 8821.40. There were 26 stocks advancing against 25 stocks declining on the index.

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Top Movers (Group A)

 

 

Company

Cmp

% chg

Gainers

 

 

Titan

425.15

8.07

JPassociat

13.92

6.67

FSL

45.95

6.61

MCleodrus

170.00

6.18

Losers

 

 

Jubilant

700.00

-6.40

Ramcocem

676.25

-5.36

Adanient

92.10

-5.20

JPassociat

13.08

-4.94

Market Statistics

 

 

 

BSE

NSE

Advances

1397

648

Declines

1190

811

 

Crporate Front: The Reserve Bank's decision not to cut key policy rates is slightly negative for Indian equities and rupee in the near term, says a Nomura report. "The surprising decision not to cut rates is slightly negative for India equities and INR in the near term; however, we maintain our medium-term view of INR outperformance and long INR position in our RV portfolio.


 

Market Sentiment:

The market breadth on BSE was positive in the ratio of 1397: 1190, while 159 scrips remained unchanged.

Macroeconomic front: Government will this week launch a portal for bringing in more transparency and speed up mining-related activities in the country. The Mines Ministry has developed a portal which would facilitate in expediting the clearances associated with the mining blocks and help all stakeholders to track status of statutory clearances, an official statement said.

 

On the global front:

On the global front, European markets were trading in green as investors focused on earnings and took a cautious approach amid rising political uncertainty. Asian markets were trading in green although Japanese markets remained under pressure owing to the yen's overnight strength. Back home, in scrip specific development, Maharashtra Seamless traded higher after the company bagged prestigious ONGC order worth Rs 421 crore ($ 61 million) for supply of seamless casings to ONGC against stiff competition from domestic as well as foreign manufactures from China, Russia, Ukraine, Romania, Argentina and others.


Commodity Updates:

Commodity Prices (MCX):

Commodity

Rs

% Chang

Gold

29362.00

0.11

Silver

42371.00

0.06

Crude oil

3542.00

0.8

Natural Gas

212.70

0.42

Alluminium

123.65

0.37

Copper

394.40

-0.01

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were IT up by 1.47%, TECK up by 1.43%, Realty up by 1.13%, Power up by 0.64% and Consumer Durables up by 0.36%, while Metal down by 0.64%, Bankex down by 0.36%, PSU down by 0.17% and Capital Goods down by 0.15% were the top losing indices on BSE.

Top Nifty Movers:The top gainers on Nifty were BhartiInfratel up by 3.77%, Tech Mahindra up by 2.30%, AurobindoPharma up by 1.89%, TCS up by 1.87% and Power Grid up by 1.72%. On the flip side, Hindalco down by 2.28%, Tata Steel down by 1.89%, Bank of Baroda down by 1.79%, Cipla down by 1.50% and Indusind Bank down by 1.22% were the top losers.

 

Global Signals:

Asian markets were trading mostly in green; KOSPI Index increased 0.8 points or 0.04% to 2,065.88, Jakarta Composite increased 6.18 points or 0.12% to 5,367.27, Shanghai Composite increased 16.2 points or 0.51% to 3,183.18, Hang Seng increased 40.01 points or 0.17% to 23,525.14 and Taiwan Weighted increased 46.93 points or 0.49% to 9,590.18. On the flip side, Nikkei 225 decreased 99.93 points or 0.53% to 18,907.67.

All European markets were trading in green; UK’s FTSE 100 increased 6.35 points or 0.09% to 7,195.17, France’s CAC increased 23.73 points or 0.5% to 4,790.33 and Germany’s DAX increased 56.34 points or 0.49% to 11,599.72.

 

US bond yields rise as expectations of large stimulus & monetary expansion on the cards!!

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Indian Indices: Asian markets traded flat to mildly negative with the Japanese 'Nikkei" again falling prey to the stronger yen which saw a brief one day bounce back. Gold prices rallied on the back of strong ETF buying as money chases defensives ahead of important monetary announcements in the US.


Nifty saw disappointment creep in as RBI maintained 'status quo' on policy rates. This saw Nifty & Bank Nifty correct sharply intraday only to recover all losses by the end of the day.With uneasiness @ 8800 expect another few days for consolidation before any break out takes place as earnings season nears its end. The RBI no change saw bond yields move up while rupee gained ground which would be the silver lining for foreign investors as the Rupee has been an outperformer in the emerging market basket.


The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 28209.97, down by 79.95 points or 0.28% after trading in a range of 28184.21 and 28469.48. There were 8 stocks advancing against 22 stocks declining on the index.The broader indices were trading in red; the BSE Mid cap index was down by 0.35%, while Small cap index was down by 0.12%.The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 8738.80, down by 30.25 points or 0.34% after trading in a range of 8729.15 and 8821.40. There were 16 stocks advancing against 35 stocks declining on the index.

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Group ATopGainers

 

 

Company

Price (Rs)

% chg

Justdail

427.40

5.82

SKFindia

1408.25

3.55

Polaris

162.90

2.74

Ajantaphar

1806.35

2.69

Group ATopLosers

 

 

Union bank

154.55

-7.32

RTNPower

7.60

-5.00

Eclerx

1416.45

-3.66

CUB

152.40

-3.64

Market Statistics

 

 

 

BSE

NSE

Advances

1703

639

Declines

673

785

 

Technical view: Nifty held on to 8700 which will act as strong support while 8820 continues to act as stiff resistance. Bank Nifty also held 20000 which now will act as strong support while 20576 continues to be a strong resistance.


INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Indices

Support

Resistanes

Sensex

8725

8840

Nifty

28160

28520

 

Trading ideas: Engineers India (Buy above Rs 159 for target of Rs 167, SL at Rs 155.5): After oscillating in a tight trading range for the past few weeks, Engineers India has finally broken out from a "Pennant" pattern on daily charts. The stock also managed to close above its short term 50-DMA placed at Rs 153.5. It an ideal price-volume breakout with oscillators indicating an upward range shift signalling positive momentum to continue. We advise to Buy Engineers India above Rs 159, stop loss at Rs 155.5 and Target of Rs 167.


Corporate SnippetsThe Government is mulling the merger of about half a dozen state-owned consultancy firms like Engineering Projects (India) Ltd with Engineers India Ltd (EIL) to create a mega consultancy firm that can take on the might of global giants like Bechtel.

Reliance Jiorubbished BhartiAirtel’s statement on providing 35,000 points of interconnect to the company as “malicious” and “misleading”.

Federal BankLimited has partnered with online data and information portal Commodity Online for the distribution of loans against warehouse receipts and collateral management services across the country. 

Nifty Movers: The top gainers on Nifty were AurobindoPharma up by 1.38%, Power Grid up by 1.12%, HCL Tech up by 1.10%, Hero MotoCorp up by 1.07% and Tech Mahindra up by 0.77%. On the flip side, Hindalco down by 2.99%, Bank of Baroda down by 2.70%, Tata Steel down by 1.99%, ICICI Bank down by 1.77% and BHEL down by 1.70% were the top losers.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening: The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Consumer Durables up by 0.70%, IT up by 0.67%, TECK up by 0.52%, Realty up by 0.23% and Oil & Gas up by 0.07%, while Metal down by 1.38%, Bankex down by 0.92%, Capital Goods down by 0.77%, PSU down by 0.51%, Auto down by 0.51% were the losing indices on BSE.

 

 

On the global front: On the global front, Asian shares were trading mostly in green, barring Nikkei as investors grew more confident about the world’s second-largest economy. Japan’s core machinery orders rebounded more than expected in December from the prior month’s fall and are seen rising again this quarter - an encouraging sign of a pick-up in capital expenditure.

Global Signals: The Asian markets were trading mostly in green; KOSPI Index increased 5.91 points or 0.29% to 2,070.99, Shanghai Composite increased 12.58 points or 0.4% to 3,179.56, Jakarta Composite increased 20.1 points or 0.37% to 5,381.19, Taiwan Weighted increased 48.38 points or 0.51% to 9,591.63 and Hang Seng increased 76.74 points or 0.33% to 23,561.87.On the other hand, Nikkei 225 decreased 87.23 points or 0.46% to 18,920.37.Malaysia stock exchange was closed for the day on account of ‘Thaipusam’ holiday.

 

Dow Jones hits new highs as US$ rallies even as crude oil slumps which drags energy stocks

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Indian Indices: Asian markets will see a positive opening as the Japanese index gains with the yen weakening after 4 days of gains. The US$ rallied from oversold territory which saw stocks bounce back even as crude prices tumbled most in the last 3 months. This saw energy stocks drag the index lower from new highs even as financials outperformed.


Nifty saw volatility creep in ahead of the Central bank meeting today on interest rates. With consensus 25 basis point rate cut being priced in more emphasis will be on the policy outlook going forward with a 'dovish' stance being seen by most. Earnings beat by Bhel& Tata Steel should see more action on stocks as Nifty may remain range bound.


The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 28341.70, up by 6.54 points or 0.02% after trading in a range of 28305.91 and 28391.64. There were 17 stocks advancing against 13 stocks declining on the index.The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.45%, while Small cap index was up by 0.33%.The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 8779.25, up by 10.95 points or 0.12% after trading in a range of 8765.85 and 8782.85. There were 35 stocks advancing against 16 stocks declining on the index.

 

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Group ATopGainers

 

 

Company

Price (Rs)

% chg

Titan

424.10

7.80

JPASSOCIT

13.59

4.14

FSL

44.80

3.94

BFUTILITIE

409.50

3.88

Group ATopLosers

 

 

GMDCLTD

115.80

-3.50

Natcophar

758.55

-3.45

UBL

796.45

-2.58

Amtekauto

37.80

-2.45

Market Statistics

 

 

 

BSE

NSE

Advances

1703

918

Declines

673

555

 

Technical view: Nifty will see support around 8700 while 8800 will act as resistance, break either side will see further up or down side. Bank Nifty will face resistance around 20576 while 20000 will act as support.


INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Indices

Support

Resistanes

Sensex

8735

8840

Nifty

28220

28595

 

Trading ideas: IBULHSGFIN (Buy above Rs 830 for target of Rs 865, SL at Rs 814): Stock has broken out from a cup and handle pattern on daily charts recently and has carried forward the momentum swiftly. The strong move has been accompanied with a solid rise in traded volumes. Other momentum oscillators also indicate the current momentum is here to stay. Our analysis of weekly chart also suggests, the stock is trending up in a rising channel which further accentuates our positive bias on the stock.


Corporate Snippets:

In a major blow to liquor baron Vijay Mallya, the Karnataka High Court ordered winding of the United Breweries (Holdings) Limited, the parent company of UB Group for recovering dues payable by UBHL-promoted Kingfisher Airlines Ltd.

Gujarat State Petronet Ltd (GSPL)has commissioned the Mandali-Becharaji pipeline to supply natural gas for manufacturing in the North Gujarat plants of Maruti Suzuki India Ltd (MSIL) and Honda Motors Scooters India (HMSI).

Addressing the need of pacing up constructions with skilled labour that would result in quicker delivery and hand overs, PNB Housing Finance Limited (PNBHFL) has signed an MOU with CREDAI West Bengal to train 1000 construction workers in Kolkata and nearby villages.

Nifty Movers: The top gainers on Nifty were Ambuja Cement up by 2.66%, ACC up by 2.32%, BhartiInfratel up by 2.09%, Hindalco up by 1.96% and Grasim Industries up by 1.78%.  On the flip side, Axis Bank down by 2.00%, ITC down by 1.23%, Dr. Reddy’s Lab down by 0.75%, Infosys down by 0.67% and Hindustan Unilever down by 0.64% were the top losers.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening: The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Consumer Durables up by 3.13%, Auto up by 0.79%, Realty up by 0.78%, Metal up by 0.67% and Oil & Gas up by 0.49%, while FMCG down by 0.55% and Bankex down by 0.15% were the losing indices on BSE.

 

 

 

On the global front: On the global front, Asian shares were trading mostly in red, with pressure on oil prices hitting energy shares. A summary of opinions from January 30-31 meeting showed that Bank of Japan board members saw improvements in exports, consumer spending and capital expenditure but warned that it may take time for inflation expectations to pick up.

 

Global Signals:The Asian markets were trading mostly in red; Jakarta Composite decreased 31.47 points or 0.58% to 5,350.01, KOSPI Index decreased 15.75 points or 0.76% to 2,059.46, Hang Seng decreased 10.9 points or 0.05% to 23,320.67, Shanghai Composite decreased 8.47 points or 0.27% to 3,144.62 and FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI decreased 1.16 points or 0.07% to 1,687.68.On the other hand, Taiwan Weighted increased 0.03 points or 0% to 9,554.59 and Nikkei 225 increased 46.13 points or 0.24% to 18,956.91.

 

Sensex falls, Nifty holds 8750 ahead of RBI policy

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Indian Indices: Indian equity benchmarks continued to trade sluggish in late afternoon session as investors remained on the sidelines ahead of the Reserve Bank of India's policy meeting due tomorrow. The RBI is expected to conduct its sixth and final bi-monthly monetary policy review of the current fiscal on February 7-8, 2017. Profit booking coupled with mixed global cues and a weak rupee, pulled the markets lower. Sentiments also remained downbeat with Commerce Minister NirmalaSitharaman’s statement that the proposed changes in the regime for issuing H-1B visas for skilled workers by the US government will have an impact on Indian companies and the Commerce Ministry will soon hold a meeting with the industry to discuss its strategy for dealing with it.Further, agency noted that under the new guidelines, three of the 21 state-run banks-- Central Bank of India, Indian Overseas Bank and United Bank of India will have positive reserves, who had negative distributable reserves under the earlier guidelines. Further it said that banks are required to appropriate 25% of their annual net profits towards statutory reserve.

The BSE Sensex is currently closed at 28364.83, down by 104.12 points or 0.37% after trading in a range of 28334.61 and 28483.41. There were 10 stocks advancing against 20 stocks declining on the index.The broader indices were trading mixed; the BSE Mid cap index was down by 0.02%, while Small cap index was up by 0.21%.

The CNX Nifty is currently shut down at 8768.30, down by 32.75 points or 0.37% after trading in a range of 8770.10 and 8809.30. There were 16 stocks advancing against 35 stocks declining on the index.

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Top Movers (Group A)

 

 

Company

Cmp

% chg

Gainers

 

 

Unitech

6.69

16.15

Amtekauto

38.70

11.05

FSL

43.35

9.61

Trent

260.00

6.30

Losers

 

 

Jubilant

700.00

-6.40

Ramcocem

676.25

-5.36

Adanient

92.10

-5.20

JPassociat

13.08

-4.94

Market Statistics

 

 

 

BSE

NSE

Advances

1397

648

Declines

1190

811

 

Crporate Front: Mutual fund industry's asset base rose to all-time high of Rs 17.37 lakh crore at the end of January primarily on account of strong inflows in equity, income and money market segments, reported PTI.

 

Market Sentiment:

The market breadth on BSE was positive in the ratio of 1397: 1190, while 159 scrips remained unchanged.

Macroeconomic front:

The Central Board of Direct Taxes (CBDT) has entered into four unilateral Advance Pricing Agreements (APAs) pertaining to the manufacturing, financial and information technology sectors. Four APAs were signed on Monday. The international transactions covered in these agreements include contract manufacturing, IT-enabled services and software development services," the Finance Ministry said in a statement here.

 

On the global front:

On the global front, European markets were trading mostly in green with some encouraging company updates and gains in healthcare stocks helping to counter weakness in oil majors and eurozone banks. However, Asian markets were trading in red as economic and political uncertainty gripped global markets.


Commodity Updates:

Commodity Prices (MCX):

Commodity

Rs

% Chang

Gold

29248.00

0.19

Silver

42254.00

-0.08

Crude oil

3571.00

-0.22

Natural Gas

209.20

1.6

Alluminium

122.50

-0.45

Copper

391.80

-0.38

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Consumer Durables up by 0.54%, Capital Goods up by 0.51%, Power up by 0.50%, Bankex up by 0.14% and PSU up by 0.10%, while Metal down by 0.96%, Auto down by 0.84%, TECK down by 0.24%, IT down by 0.24% and Oil & Gas down by 0.15% were the top losing indices on BSE.

Top Nifty Movers:The top gainers on Nifty were Kotak Mahindra Bank up by 2.05%, BPCL up by 1.85%, BHEL up by 1.63%, Bank of Baroda up by 1.38% and BhartiInfratel up by 1.30%. On the flip side, Tata Motors - DVR down by 3.04%, Coal India down by 3.03%, Tata Motors down by 2.58%, ONGC down by 1.88% and Hindalco down by 1.58% were the top losers.

 

Global Signals:

Asian markets were trading mostly in red; Nikkei 225 decreased 65.93 points or 0.35% to 18,910.78, Hang Seng decreased 16.67 points or 0.07% to 23,331.57, Jakarta Composite decreased 12.33 points or 0.23% to 5,383.67, Shanghai Composite decreased 3.9 points or 0.12% to 3,153.09, FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI decreased 2.47 points or 0.15% to 1,688.77 and KOSPI Index decreased 2.45 points or 0.12% to 2,075.21. On the flip side, Taiwan Weighted increased 16.55 points or 0.17% to 9,554.56.

European markets were trading mostly in green; Germany’s DAX increased 11.25 points or 0.1% to 11,521.09 and UK’s FTSE 100 increased 15.92 points or 0.22% to 7,188.07. On the flip side, France’s CAC decreased 1.48 points or 0.03% to 4,776.60.

 

 

US stocks see profit booking as US$ falls with bond yields while Gold sees safe haven buying!!

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Indian Indices: Asian markets opened mildly in the red as weakness in European markets & profit booking in the US indices saw money being taken off the table. The Japanese 'Nikkei" was the big loser as the US$ fell which saw the Yen hit near 3 month highs. Gold prices rallied to near term highs as safe haven buying emerged with equities seeing profit booking.


Nifty closed @ 5 month highs as it closed above 8800.The RBI policy on Wednesday will see near term volatility till the event, however the trend continues to be 'buy the fall' as any weakness is seeing buying. With mutual fund inflows the strongest ever in the last 5 years expect retail participation to continue to drive indices higher albeit at a slower pace as nearness to 8900 will see caution prevail.


The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 28391.21, down by 48.07 points or 0.17% after trading in a range of 28361.97 and 28483.41. There were 14 stocks advancing against 16 stocks declining on the index.The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.28%, while Small cap index was up by 0.45%.The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 8784.75, down by 16.30 points or 0.19% after trading in a range of 8773.55 and 8809.30. There were 21 stocks advancing against 30 stocks declining on the index.

 

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Group ATopGainers

 

 

Company

Price (Rs)

% chg

Corpbank

54.20

10.95

ICRA

4379.85

7.0

Unitech

6.27

8.85

Trent

259.35

6.03

Group ATopLosers

 

 

Redington

103.10

-3.28

Muthootfin

342.00

-2.91

HDIL

68.60

-2.63

SREinfra

95.25

-2.56

Market Statistics

 

 

 

BSE

NSE

Advances

1703

770

Declines

673

693

 

Technical view: Nifty will find resistance around 8840 which is almost 80% of the retracement of the entire fall, while 8740 will act as support. Bank Nifty however is in blue sky territory with 20576 being the last resistance on the upside while 20200 acts as strong support.


INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Indices

Support

Resistanes

Sensex

8775

8840

Nifty

28357

28569

 

Trading ideas :RCF (Buy above Rs 62 for target of Rs 68, SL at Rs 59): Stock has broken out from a bullish flag pattern on daily charts continuing its prior uptrend. Our analysis of weekly charts indicate, RCF has also broken out from a triple bottom pattern in first week of Jan 2016. We expect the current momentum to be carried forward as other momentum oscillators are also indicating strength in the current upmove. We advise to Buy RCF above Rs 62, stop loss at Rs 59 and Target of Rs 68.


Corporate SnippetsONGC’s decision to invest USD11.5bn in Andhra Pradesh, at a time when gas prices in India are falling, may put its cash flow under pressure.

NTPChas decided to shut down old polluting power plants of capacity totalling roughly 11GW and replace those with new ones which are highly efficient.

CESChas bagged the power distribution franchisee for Bikaner city in Rajasthan. It plans to invest Rs1.35bn in the network in three years and hopes to clock a turnover of around Rs4bn.

Nifty Movers:  The top gainers on Nifty were BHEL up by 2.74%, BhartiInfratel up by 1.59%, BPCL up by 1.45%, Kotak Mahindra Bank up by 1.11% and GAIL India up by 0.98%. On the flip side, Tata Motors down by 2.06%, Tata Motors - DVR down by 1.91%, Zee Entertainment down by 1.56%, ACC down by 1.49% and Bajaj Auto down by 1.41% were the top losers.The top gainers on Nifty were BHEL up by 2.74%, BhartiInfratel up by 1.59%, BPCL up by 1.45%, Kotak Mahindra Bank up by 1.11% and GAIL India up by 0.98%.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening: The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were PSU up by 0.57%, Oil & Gas up by 0.56%, Consumer Durables up by 0.55%, Metal up by 0.53% and Capital Goods up by 0.35%, while Auto down by 0.91%, IT down by 0.16%, TECK down by 0.15% and Bankex down by 0.10% were the losers on BSE.The top gainers on the Sensex were Sun Pharma up by 1.12%, ITC up by 0.85%, GAIL India up by 0.82%, Tata Steel up by 0.65% and Cipla up by 0.60%.

 

 

On the global front: On the global front, Asian shares were trading mostly in red, as global cues dampened sentiments with economic and political fears sent investors seeking shelter in the yen. China is expected to report on Tuesday that foreign exchange reserves fell for the seventh straight month in January but at a much slower pace as authorities’ tightened controls on capital outflows and the surging US dollar lost some steam.

 

Global Signals: The Asian markets were trading mostly in red; Hang Seng decreased 12.39 points or 0.05% to 23,335.85, Nikkei 225 decreased 12.1 points or 0.06% to 18,964.61, Shanghai Composite decreased 10.35 points or 0.33% to 3,146.63, Jakarta Composite decreased 9.05 points or 0.17% to 5,386.95, KOSPI Index decreased 3.44 points or 0.17% to 2,074.22 and FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI decreased 2.93 points or 0.17% to 1,688.31. On the other hand, Taiwan Weighted increased 9.4 points or 0.1% to 9,547.41.

 

Sensex, Nifty end at 5 month high AmjujaPharma up

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Company Overview:

 

Idea Cellular is an Aditya Birla Group Company, India's first truly multinational corporation. Idea is a pan-India integrated GSM operator offering 2G and 3G services, and has its own NLD and ILD operations, and ISP license. Idea has won spectrum to launch 4G services across 10 key markets and has initiated multiple steps towards introduction of 4G LTE services on 1800 MHz, in a phased manner from calendar year 2016 onwards.With revenue in excess of $5 billion; revenue market share of nearly 18.2% (as on Q4FY15); and subscriber base of over 165 million, Idea is one of the top 3 mobile operators. Idea is the sixth largest mobile operator in the world, based on number of subscribers in single country operations (GSMA Intelligence). Idea carries a traffic of over 2 billion minutes a day.

Idea has a deep rooted network across the length and breadth of the country comprising of over 1,49,196 cell sites covering 7,513 towns and 3,63,580 villages as on Q1FY16.

Investment Rationale:

Vodafone-Idea merger Telecom behemoth in the making:

Vodafone and Idea Cellular issued a press release on 30 January 2017 highlighting that they are in a preliminary discussion to explore merger opportunities. This deal is likely to have large-scale ramifications in the telecom industry, as the merged company may emerge as a leader with ~42% revenue market share and a strong broadband network. It would also help reduce their annual capex by ~20-25% and improve EBITDA margin by ~500bp. Assuming both Vodafone and Idea have an equal stake, the combined entity should be valued at ~7x EV/EBITDA, reducing leverage by 10-15%, albeit with a low posttaxRoCE of 5%. We believe Idea’s stock is not a play on valuation, but on the likely improvement in its market standing post the merger, which should address the key concern around its earnings visibility.

 

Performance highlights:.

Challenges: Spectrum and revenue caps remain the key hurdles :In our view, the deal could face two key challenges: India’s telecom M&A rules do not allow revenue and subscriber market shares above 50%. Similarly, spectrum holding in each band is not allowed above 50%. The merger company’s revenue/subscriber caps and spectrum caps may get triggered in 7 and 6 circles, respectively. However, the merged company’s revenue/subscriber share is more than 60% in only one circle – Kerala. In the rest of the circles, it is between 50% and 60%. This may get resolved once RJio starts charging subscribers and taking revenue market share.Based on the current 50% band-wise spectrum cap, the merged company has ~33 MHz of excess spectrum, of which ~15 MHz is 900 MHz paired spectrum. Based on latest spectrum valuation (pro-rata for the remaining license term), the merged company may be able to generate over INR75b from the excess spectrum. This should support the merged company’s cash outflow toward liberalizing the administered spectrum, which is ~20% of the merged company’s spectrum.

How would the combined entity look :The merged company should have revenue of INR745b (1HFY17 annualized), assuming 20% lower revenue due to the weak outlook and revenue market share shrinkage. We expect the merged company to garner healthy EBITDA margin of 35%, at ~500bp discount to Bharti India wireless’ FY17E EBITDA margin. This implies about 500bp margin improvement, which could potentially come from network synergies, employee costs and SG&A.Improving combined EBITDA could improve Idea’s leverage, albeit by a moderate 10-15%. Current net debt to EBITDA of 5x could reduce to ~4x. This would still remain high for the merged company.Assuming about 20% synergy on total assets as well as EBITDA synergies, the merged company’s post-tax RoCE could improve to 5%, from 3-4% for Idea and Vodafone.

Financials :

 

Particulars

2016

2015

2014

Revenue

35816.55

31279.47

26179.47

Other Income

183.44

452.34

---

Total Income

35999.99

31731.81

26179.47

Expenditure

-23992.29

-21606.06

-18856.16

Interest

-1797.96

-931.66

-624.79

PBDT

10209.74

9194.09

6698.52

Depreciation

-6199.50

-4855.01

-4093.24

PBT

4010.24

4339.08

2605.28

Tax

-1393.58

-1529.24

-915.97

Net Profit

2616.66

2809.84

1689.31

 

Highlights the fact:

* Vodafone and Idea currently are the second and third largest telecom operators, respectively, in the Indian telecom industry. We thus believe that the merged entity could emerge as an industry leader, with combined revenue and subscriber market share of 42% and 36%, respectively, and blended ARPU of INR178.

* Bharti and RJio currently hold the highest spectrum (20% of market) and cell sites. They are also the most aggressive players in the industry, given their deep network and low capacity utilization. However, the merged company could pose a major challenge with combined spectrum share of ~23% and broadband cell sites of over 1,60,000 (close to Bharti’s 1,70,000 sites and ~40,000 lesser for RJio).

* Post-merger, the three strong operators –  the merged company, Bharti and RJio – could be equipped with equal armory to compete in the market. This scenario could support our expectation of an improving competitive landscape and industry ARPU accretion in 2HFY18.

the merger should impact bharti infratel’s tenancies

 

We expactBhartiInfratel to grow tenancies and rental revenues at 7% and 9%, respectively, over FY16-19E. We believe if this deal goes through, it will impact BhartiInratel’s tenancies given that 85% of the tenancies are derived from the top three operators. As the merged company may pair down unwanted network overlaps between the two entiies, we suspect a one time 10% tenancy reduction. Also as the merged company may have higher geographical coverage, we expect ti to offer potentially 30-40% reduction in annual tenancy.

 

 

VALUATION & OUTLOOK:

 

Assuming Vodafone is an equal shareholder, the combined entity should be valued at about 7x EV/EBITDA, factoring in 500bp EBITDA margin improvement. Vodafone should fetch EV of INR917b and equity value of INR360b.

We have not changed our estimates for Idea on the back of limited clarity on the deal. We put the stock under review until we gather more clarity on the likelihood of the deal and the potential impact of the same on valuations and earnings. We believe Idea is no more a play on valuation at potentially ~7x EV/EBITDA for the merged company. If the deal goes through, the merged company’s wherewithal to stand in the highly competitive market will be a key monitorable. Given the merged company’s superior spectrum/network position, higher revenue market share and ~20-25% lower capex requirement, the high FCF could be used to strengthen its market position.

Global indices consolidate as US$ stabilizes with Federal Reserve on hold!!

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Major headlines:

·         Telecom subscriber base crossed 1.12 bn in NOV

·         Government awards 6.26 lakh people to promote digital payments

·         Railways add 2 new features to its mobile app

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Indices

Support

Resistanes

Sensex

8525

8660

Nifty

27565

27950

 

Indian Indices: Asian markets opened in the green as value buying emerged after the recent bout of profit booking. With base metals seeing resumption of demand commodities could be clear gainers this year. Oil prices saw an uptick while Gold consolidated around US$ 1200.


Nifty saw bouts of profit booking through the day but managed to close in the green as Pharma stocks saw a sharp rebound. With the Rupee showing extreme strength & results of corporates surprising on the upside any fall would be an opportunity to buy since the left out feeling looms large. For today expect Pharma& IT to see value buying while commodities & banks could see profit booking.


The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 28228.56, up by 1.95 points or 0.01% after trading in a range of 28180.11 and 28280.58. There were 20 stocks advancing against 10 stocks declining on the index.The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index surged 1.05%, while Small cap index was up by 0.80%.

The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 8734.90, up by 0.65 points or 0.01% after trading in a range of 8717.75 and 8748.25. There were 30 stocks advancing against 21 stocks declining on the index.

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Group ATopGainers

 

 

Company

Price (Rs)

% chg

Suntv

681.60

23.51

RCOM

37.75

11.85

Unitech

5.36

10.74

Glenmark

954.00

5.07

Group ATopLosers

 

 

ICRA

4025.65

-2.34

ICICIBANK

280.35

-1.82

ACC

1411.30

-1.69

Exideind

206.55

-1.48

Market Statistics

 

 

 

BSE

NSE

Advances

808

770

Declines

1371

693

 

Technical view: Nifty will make an attempt till 8780-8800 which should act as resistance while 8600 will act as strong support. Bank Nifty sees resistance closer to 20283 while 19800 acts as strong support.


Market Sentiment:

The market breadth on BSE was negative in the ratio of 808:1371, while 153 scrips remained unchanged.

 

Trading ideas :PNB (Buy above Rs 143 for target of Rs 150, SL at Rs 139.5): Stock has seen decent accumulation in the past five weeks with higher top and higher bottom formation in place. After this consolidation, PNB has broken out from a rounding bottom formation giving a close above crucial resistance of Rs 141. Past few days have seen volume spurting with price action on higher side indicating strength in the current momentum. We advise to Buy PNB above Rs 143, stop loss at Rs 139.5 and Target of Rs 150.

Corporate Snippets:

Dishman Pharmaceuticals and Chemicals Ltdhas received an Establishment Inspection Report (EIR) from the US health regulator on closure of inspection of its Bavla facility in Gujarat

NLC is installing 500 MW solar power plants for Rs. 21.70 billion at various places in Tamil Nadu. It said the power plants are expected to generate 83 crore unit of power per annum.

IL&FS Engineering and Construction Company Ltdhas received Letter of Intent for two Rural Electrification Works under DeenDayalUpadhyay Gram JyotiYojana, and Integrated Power Development Works of West Bengal State Electricity Distribution Company Limited, Kolkata worth  Rs5.16bn.

Nifty Movers: The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were PSU up by 0.82%, Power up by 0.58%, Metal up by 0.40%, Bankex up by 0.35% and Oil & Gas was up by 0.33%, while Consumer Durables down by 0.71%, IT down by 0.53%, Auto down by 0.41% and Capital Goods was down by 0.04% were the few losing indices on BSE.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening: The top gainers on Nifty were BhartiInfratel up by 2.62%, Bank of Baroda up by 2.45%, Indusind Bank up by 1.76%, Idea Cellular up by 1.55% and BHEL was up by 1.40%. On the flip side, ICICI Bank down by 1.43%, Infosys down by 1.27%, Eicher Motors down by 1.17%, Tata Motors - DVR down by 0.96% and Bosch was down by 0.83% were the top losers.

 

On the global front: On the global front, Asian markets were exhibiting mixed trend with Chinese market declining after resuming the trade from the long Lunar New Year holidays. China raised the interest rates in open-market operations. The US markets made a flat closing in last session after showing a choppy trade amid uncertainty about monthly jobs report as well as the impact of President Donald Trump's policies.

Global Signals: Asian markets were trading mixed; Jakarta Composite rose 4.75 points or 0.09% to 5,358.47, FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI increased 6.15 points or 0.37% to 1,679.63, Taiwan Weighted gained 8.61 points or 0.09% to 9,437.58 and Nikkei 225 was up by 39.27 points or 0.21% to 18,953.85.On the flip side, Hang Seng decreased 111.88 points or 0.48% to 23,072.64, Shanghai Composite declined 18.07 points or 0.57% to 3,141.10 and KOSPI Index decreased 2.93 points or 0.14% to 2,068.08.

 

Nifty to outperform global indices as budget spurs rural spending with tax cuts!!

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Major headlines:

·         DishmanPharma receives EIR report from USFDA for Bavla facility

·         Tata Motors registers 46,349 units sale in Jan 2017

·         Tax incentives to corporates to cost Rs 83.492 cr in FY 17

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Indices

Support

Resistanes

Sensex

8525

8660

Nifty

27565

27950

 

Indian Indices: Asian markets opened in the green ex Japan which continues to see profit booking as the yen strengthens against the US$.With the Federal Reserve leaving rates unchanged & indicating no hurry for any further action US stocks closed marginally higher.The Japanese yen continues to see strength against the greenback which indicates the rally in US$ may be short lived.


Nifty saw hardly any volatility with strong buying emerging after no change in LTCG was announced. This saw short covering & value buying lift indices sharply higher as the left out buying spurred stock prices higher.For today expect consolidation around 8700 levels with sector/stock out performance continuing.


The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 28167.28, up by 25.64 points or 0.09% after trading in a range of 28078.08 and 28194.00. There were 15 stocks advancing against 15 stocks declining on the index.The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.80%, while Small cap index was up by 0.63%.The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 8719.55, up by 3.15 points or 0.04% after trading in a range of 8692.05 and 8727.00. There were 23 stocks advancing against 28 stocks declining on the index.

 

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Group ATopGainers

 

 

Company

Price (Rs)

% chg

Tatacomm

772.30

7.00

Godrejind

463.15

6.25

Adanient

96.25

5.95

Cummins

896.00

5.54

Group ATopLosers

 

 

Renuka

14.90

-3.87

Hindalco

192.45

-3.27

HDIL

64.10

-3.03

Unitech

4.86

-2.99

Market Statistics

 

 

 

BSE

NSE

Advances

808

770

Declines

1371

693

 

Technical view: Nifty will attempt 8780 which was the 10th October 2016 high & which will act as resistance, while 8537 will act as strong support.Bank Nifty will find resistance @ 20283 while 19800 will act as strong support.


Market Sentiment:

The market breadth on BSE was negative in the ratio of 808:1371, while 153 scrips remained unchanged.

 

Trading ideas :BHARATFIN (Buy above Rs 803 for target of Rs 845,SL at Rs 782): Stock has witnessed classic inverse head and shoulder pattern breakout on daily charts. Also, on hourly charts stock has given a breakout after consolidating in a range for quite some time. The breakout have been accompanied with stellar volumes, and the stock is likely to continue its prior up trend. Other momentum oscillators also indicate strength in the current upswing We advise to Buy BHARATFIN above Rs 803, stop loss at Rs 782 and Target of Rs 845.

Corporate Snippets:

Indian Oil Corporationis set to foray into retail, pipeline and refinery sectors in Bangladesh, Myanmar, Vietnam and Nepal.

Grasim industruessaid it is not making any "large investment" into Idea Cellular as part of the proposed merger between Idea and Vodafone.

SonaAutocomp Holding Limited has entered into an agreement with JTEKT Corporation, to sell its entire stake in Sona Koyo Steering SystemsLimited (SKSSL) for Rs4.19bn.

Nifty Movers: The top gainers on Nifty were Idea Cellular up by 3.63%, NTPC up by 2.49%, BhartiAirtel up by 2.25%, ITC up by 2.13% and Axis Bank up by 2.12%.

On the flip side, Hindalco down by 2.34%, Tata Motors down by 2.15%, Mahindra & Mahindra down by 2.10%, Bosch down by 1.66% and GAIL India down by 1.56% were the top losers.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:

The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were FMCG up by 1.03%, Oil & Gas up by 0.93%, PSU up by 0.71%, TECK up by 0.67% and IT up by 0.60%, while Metal down by 0.78%, Auto down by 0.64%, Capital Goods down by 0.35% and Realty down by 0.19% were the losing indices on BSE.

 

 

On the global front: On the global front, Asian shares were trading mostly in red, on tensions between Iran and the US, over a ballistic missile test by Tehran this week and even the tenor of President Donald Trump’s phone calls with world leaders. Japanese policymakers rejected Trump’s charges of currency manipulation on Wednesday. Prime Minister Shinzo Abe defended the Bank of Japan’s huge stimulus program and said it was to reflate the economy, and was not currency manipulation.

Global Signals:The Asian markets were trading mostly in red; Nikkei 225 decreased 159.88 points or 0.83% to 18,988.20, Hang Seng decreased 157.24 points or 0.67% to 23,161.15, Taiwan Weighted decreased 4.47 points or 0.05% to 9,443.48 and KOSPI Index decreased 3.19 points or 0.15% to 2,077.29.On the other hand, FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI increased 4.68 points or 0.28% to 1,676.22 and Jakarta Composite increased 15.09 points or 0.28% to 5,342.25.China market remains closed for the final day of Lunar New Year holidays that started on 27 January 2017.

 

Sensex, Nifty cheers up on Union Budget 2017

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Major headlines:

·         ArunJaitelypropses IT for education, more skill centres

·         Ananth Kumar calls Budget 2017-18 revolutionary

·         Moody’s analyst says India’s budget fiscally prudent reforms key

INDEX PERFORMANCE

 

 

Index

Close

% Chg

Sensex

27,141.64

1.76

Nifty

8,716.40

1.81

Indian Indices: Indian benchmarks gained momentum and were trading jubilantly in late afternoon session with frontline gauges surpassing their crucial levels of 28,000 (Sensex) and 8,650 (Nifty), as Finance Minister ArunJaitley made no reference to long-term capital gains tax on equities and also set a comfortable fiscal deficit target of 3.2% for the fiscal year 2017-18. Some support also came after FM unveiled a slew of measures in income tax, small housing and small and medium businesses, among others, in the Union Budget for 2017-18. Moreover, proposal to further liberaise FDI policy too uplifted the trading sentiments. On the sectoral front, banking sector stocks gained traction after Jaitley announced that the government will infuse another Rs 10,000 crore in public sector banks for re-capitalisation. Fertilisers stocks surged after FM committed to double farmer income in five years.

The BSE Sensex is currently closed at 28,141.64 up by 485.68 points or 1.76% after trading in a range of 27590.10 and 28157.41. There were 19 stocks advancing against 11 stocks declining on the index.

The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 1.22%, while Small cap index was up by 1.13%.

The CNX Nifty is shut up at 8716.40, up by 155.10 points or 1.81% after trading in a range of 8537.50 and 8726.25. There were 34 stocks advancing against 17 stocks declining on the index.

MARKET INDICATORS

·           

 

Top Movers (Group A)

 

 

Company

Cmp

% chg

Gainers

 

 

Indiacem

161.85

11.20

Bhartfin

804.65

9.39

Manapuram

84.50

7.17

Edelweiss

118.05

7.12

Losers

 

 

Suzlon

16.25

-5.19

JetAirways

390.00

-3.13

Hathway

36.35

-2.94

TCS

2172.00

-2.60

Market Statistics

 

 

 

BSE

NSE

Advances

1397

648

Declines

1190

811

 

Crporate Front: The Finance Minister ArunJaitley during the Union Budget presentation in Parliament on Wednesday said that the Modi government took two tectonic policy initiatives - passage of GST Bill and demonetization. FM Jaitley also assured that the effects of demonetisation is not expected to spill over to the next year.


 

Market Sentiment:

The market breadth on BSE was positive in the ratio of 1397: 1190, while 159 scrips remained unchanged.

Macroeconomic front:

The Finance Minister ArunJaitley during the Union Budget presentation in Parliament on Wednesday said that 5 per cent Tax Deducted at Source (TDS) on insurance agents will be removed.The Minister also said that Life Insurance Corporation of India (LIC) will come up with 8 per cent of the guaranteed scheme for senior citizen of the country.

 

On the global front:

On the global front, European markets were trading in green after good factory data from Europe and Asia. Asian markets were trading in green. Back home, in scrip specific development, TCPL Packaging edged higher after the company commenced the commercial production from its Flexible Packaging Unit (FPU) situated at village Dapada, Silvassa in the Union Territory of Dadra and Nagar Haveli, with effect from February 01, 2017.


Commodity Updates:

Commodity Prices (MCX):

Commodity

Rs

% Chang

Gold

28941.00

-0.0

Silver

42190.00

0.67

Crude oil

3585.00

-0.8

Natural Gas

218.30

2.58

Alluminium

218.30

2.58

Copper

122.30

-0.33

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Realty up by 3.40%, FMCG up by 2.30%, Auto up by 2.23%, Bankex up by 2.21% and Capital Goods up by 1.77%, while IT down by 1.76% and TECK down by 1.32% were the few losing indices on BSE.

Top Nifty Movers:The top gainers on Nifty were ICICI Bank up by 4.48%, ITC up by 3.84% and Bank of Baroda up by 3.84%, GAIL India up by 3.25% and HDFC up by 3.23%. On the flip side, HCL Tech down by 3.52%, Tech Mahindra down by 3.36%, Idea Cellular down by 2.82%, TCS down by 2.81% and AurobindoPharma down by 2.37% were the top losers.

 

Global Signals:

The Asian markets were trading mostly in green; KOSPI Index increased 12.91 points or 0.62% to 2,080.48, Jakarta Composite increased 37.23 points or 0.7% to 5,331.34 and Nikkei 225 increased 106.74 points or 0.56% to 19,148.08. On the flip side, Hang Seng decreased 85.87 points or 0.37% to 23,274.91.

All the European markets were trading in green; France’s CAC increased 43.85 points or 0.92% to 4,792.75, UK’s FTSE 100 increased 47.06 points or 0.66% to 7,146.21 and Germany’s DAX increased 115.87 points or 1% to 11,651.18.

 

 

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