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What should investors do with Reliance Industries post Q3 earnings: buy, sell or hold?

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Reliance Industries reported a net profit of Rs 20,539 crore in the third quarter of 2021-22, up 37.9% year-on-year as all business verticals saw strong growth, the oil-to-chemical (O2C).What Should Investors Do With Reliance Industries Post Q3 Earnings: Buy,  Sell Or Hold?

The share price of Reliance Industries (RIL), which reported a healthy set of numbers for the December quarter, slipped into the red after opening higher in the morning session on January 24 following weak market conditions.

Billionaire Mukesh Ambani-led Reliance Industries reported a net profit of Rs 20,539 crore in the third quarter of 2021-22, up 37.9 percent year-on-year as all business verticals saw strong growth, the oil-to-chemical (O2C), telecom and retail conglomerate said on January 21.

The net profit of the company was boosted by a one-time gain of Rs 2,836 crore from the sale of its upstream shale gas assets in Eagleford in Texas, USA, with which the company exited from the shale gas play in North America.

The consolidated revenue for the country’s most valuable company by market capitalisation rose 52.2 percent YoY to Rs 209,823 crore in the quarter. The company said that it clocked record earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization (EBIDTA) led by its O2C, oil and gas, retail and digital services.

Also read: Reliance Retail Q3 result | Net profit jumps 23% to Rs 2,259 crore backed by festive sales

The Jio Platforms business reported gross revenue of Rs 24,176 crore in the December quarter, up 13.8 percent after adjusting for Interconnect Usage Charges (IUC).

RIL said that healthy subscriber addition of 34.6 million was to some extent offset by the churn due to SIM consolidation and repurposing of customer retention.

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At 10.39 am, the stock was trading at Rs 2,449.85, down Rs 28.25, or 1.14 percent, on the National Stock Exchange. It touched an intraday high of Rs 2,504.10 and an intraday low of Rs 2,443.20.

Here's what brokerages say about the stock post December quarter earnings:

Morgan Stanley 

The firm has maintained its overweight call on the stock with the target at Rs 2,925 per share. "The firm reported 5 percent beat on earnings driven by higher telecom ARPUs, upstream gas EBIDTA and retail margin. However, the telecom subscriber churn is a key negative. Overall earnings upgrade story is firmly in play," it said.

Jefferies 

The research firm has maintained its buy call on the stock with the target at Rs 2,950 per share. RIL's EBITDA growth of 6 percent was ahead of estimates on a large beat in retail. Strong network expansion, revenue beat and profitability improvement were the key highlights.

Jio's subscriber churn was a disappointment, but strong margin performance surprised positively. Refining remains firm, while petchem has hit a soft patch on weak Chinese demand. Forecast 22 percent adjusted EPS CAGR over FY22-24, it said.

CLSA

The research firm has maintained its outperform rating with the target at Rs 2,850 per share. Q3 standalone EBITDA, EBIT and profit of 3-6 percent was ahead of estimates. The big upstream beat is partly offset by a slight miss in O2C. Higher retail profit drove a 6-7 percent consolidated EBITDA/EBIT beat. The brokerage firm has raised EPS estimates by 3-7 percent.

Macquarie

The firm has retained its underperform call with the target at Rs 2,850 per share. Retail revenue momentum, improved E&P profit are the positives. Refining margin improvement and lower-cost debt refinancing were the key positives. Jio subscriber churn, low tax rate, one-off disposal gain were the negatives. It raised FY22-24 EPS estimates by 1-2 percent on a higher energy division margin.

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Current economic landscape may not allow government to go for fiscal consolidation immediately: YES Bank chief economist

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"Expenditure needs are clearly cut-out and the government should not shy away from them to attain its objective of fiscal consolidation. The good thing is that resource generation might not be the biggest problem in FY23 as, with sticky inflation, nominal growth for the economy is likely to be close to 14 percent in FY23 on top of the 17.6 percent estimated for FY22.

It is that time of the year when markets await the Union Budget. From the time COVID-19 hit, the government has agreed to take a large GFD/GDP ratio (gross fiscal deficit/gross domestic product) in its stride, allowed for a sharp increase in its borrowing programme, leading to a significant increase in the public debt/GDP ratio. Expectedly, there are some calls for a fiscal consolidation, lest the debt becomes overly burdensome for future generations to pay or financial stability becomes an issue.

Can the government go for a fiscal consolidation immediately? The current economic landscape may not allow them to do so. The economy was anyways slowing over many quarters before COVID-19, implying structural impediments. With COVID-19, these impediments have probably only strengthened and thus the economy would need to be on policy crutches for full recovery to take shape.

Also Read:- As economies limp out of pandemic, here’s how CII wants policymakers to steer post-COVID recovery


A look at the data will make this clear. Advance GDP estimates (AE) published recently indicate that India is likely to grow at a real rate of 9.2 percent in FY22. The worry is weak private consumption demand and the still-frail consumer sentiment. The AE indicates that the private consumption expenditure will still be lower than the pre-COVID-19 level in FY22 by 2.9 percent. And, even more important is the fact that per capita GDP in FY22 at constant prices is at Rs 1,07,801 and this continues to be lower than the level of Rs 1,08,645 in FY20.

Government's policy focus has principally been on reforms strategies that boost the production sector. However, the missing link here is consumption demand and thus getting private investment demand back on track merely through the enablers of PLI (production linked incentive), etc, may not work as underutilisation of capacity remains high. Even the low interest rates of the central bank and negative real rates have not enthused credit flows for investment purposes.

Also read - Budget 2022: India set for modest fiscal consolidation amid slow economic recovery

With the onset of Omicron, the challenges of Budget-making have probably increased. The economy continues to remain multi-speed: both on the production side as also on the demand side. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has already removed the liquidity comfort from the system and some banks have gone ahead and increased the deposit rates. Sooner than later, the harsh tightening that the US Fed is launching itself into could mean that RBI would have to raise the repo rate.

With the economy still tender, the fiscal cannot contract when RBI is tightening. The role of the fiscal should continue to remain redistributive, try and push up job growth in the economy and continue its resource support for schemes such as the MNREGS (Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Scheme). While the government has been leading investments, there could be some worries with the implementation part, evident in the slow pace of capital expenditure in the current financial year. Thus, to provide a push to the economy, the government will have to better strategise the implementation of projects that will also enable job growth and help stabilise consumption demand.

eas that cry for attention are healthcare and education sectors. COVID-19 has exposed the need for large investments in both these areas. In the last budget, the healthcare sector allocations were raised by 137 percent, but this included the cost of vaccines as also water and sanitation. The need of the hour is to improve the healthcare and education infrastructure (access to education for poor in backward areas has been impacted). Health and education remain important as they can have implications for the future productivity of the workforce. Private-public participation could be the way forward here.

Expenditure needs are clearly cut out and the government should not shy away from them to attain its objective of fiscal consolidation. The good thing is that resource generation might not be the biggest problem in FY23 as, with sticky inflation, nominal growth for the economy is likely to be close to 14 percent in FY23 on top of the 17.6 percent estimated for FY22. This is likely to be beneficial for tax collection. Our calculations indicate that the government may target for a GFD/GDP of 5.8 percent for FY23, but with the GFD remaining large at Rs 15.4 trillion, entailing a borrowing programme of close to Rs 13 trillion.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts on Moneycontrol.com are their own and not those of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

As economies limp out of pandemic, here’s how CII wants policymakers to steer post-COVID recovery

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Confederation of Indian Industries urges policymakers to tackle two-speed recovery among other things Growth appears to be limping back after COVID battered economies around the world, thanks to policy support from governments as well as vaccination drives.

The Rise of the 'Gig Economy': A Case Study of Uber - Studying EconomicsHowever, to ensure that the recovery is even and sustained, policymakers need to tackle seven key issues going by a blog post from the Confederation of Indian Industries (CII).

Here’s a detailed look at them:

Tackle two-speed recovery

Recovery is two-speed with widespread differences, both inter-country and intra-country. The developed world, with much higher fiscal support and access to vaccines, has recovered much faster than developing and low-income countries. Within countries, contact-based sectors have been slower to pick up. The more vulnerable sections of society bore greater brunt of loss of jobs and livelihoods. Economic realities of a two-speed recovery have exacerbated inequalities making them stark and intense as never before. To address this, inclusion will have to be a key component of all policymaking.

Institutionalise pandemic preparedness

COVID is not over yet. Concerns caused by the recent mutation show how fragile the recovery is. Also, COVID is not the last pandemic that the world will have to deal with. Given the severity of the health and economic crisis and the scale of loss of lives that pandemics can cause, countries should institutionalise pandemic preparedness.

Gradual easing of monetary policy

Led by the United States, governments and central banks across the world have been literally printing money leading to a surfeit of liquidity. However, this cannot continue forever, and the hope is that the withdrawal of this policy would be gradual. The process will place the dynamics of inflation, monetary policy, fiscal deficits and interest rates centre stage in the global economic thinking, and countries should start preparing for this beginning 2022.

Bring down emissions

The challenge of climate change requires urgent and substantive action by all. The earth’s carbon dioxide levels are the highest in the last three million years. Therefore, it is crucial to bring down emissions substantially within this decade itself to be able to achieve the goal of limiting temperature increases to 1.5 degrees.

Address disruption from tech adoption

The pandemic has fast-tracked technology adoption, which brings with it the issues of disruptions, dislocations, and friction. Policymaking needs to address these challenges.

Supply chains must prepare for black swans

The pandemic has caused unprecedented supply chain shocks leading to global shortages such as that of semiconductors. These shortages have affected businesses across the globe, due to their dependence on the complex just in time global supply chains. The shortages led to lower capacity use in user industries, in spite of demand being there. This in turn impacted investment and capacity expansion decisions. Economies need to deal with these shortages and plan for mitigating the impact of any such future global events on supply chains.

Implementing Universal Basic Income

In a two-speed world, economic policy should re-visit the idea of Universal Basic Income (UBI) as a social protection tool and a demand stabiliser. While the implementation would be easier for the developed world with resources available at its disposal, developing countries like India also need to start deliberating on some form of UBI.

Share Market Closing Note

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Sensex, Nifty recover smartly to end off days low; PSU banks fall, FMCG outperforms

Share Market Closing Bell! Sensex, Nifty end on a positive note – IT stocks  and Reliance Industries lead the surge | Zee Business

Sensex, Nifty recover smartly to end off days low; PSU banks fall, FMCG outperforms

CLOSING BELL Updates: All sectoral indices barring FMCG ended in the red with the midcap and smallcap indices shedding 2 percent each

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Topic :- Time:3.00 PM

Huge sell off happened in the market in last trading hour. Nifty spot if manages to close above 17600 level then expect some pull back in coming sessions and close below above mentioned level will result in some further fall. Avoid open positions for Monday. Though Nifty and Banknifty are showing some recovery now still its better to avoid.


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Topic :- Time:2.30 PM

CRUDOIL Trading View:

CRUDEOIL is trading at 6270.If it breaks and trade below 6260 level then expect some decline in it and if it manages to trade and sustain above 6285 level then some upmove can follow in it.

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Topic :- Time:1.30 PM

GOLD Trading View:

GOLD is trading at 48256.If it breaks and trade below 48220 level then expect some decline in it and if it manages to trade and sustain above 48300 level then some upmove can follow in GOLD.

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Topic :- Time:1.00 PM

Nifty recovered from its day lows however it is still trading in red zone. Nifty spot if manages to trade and sustain above 17680 level then some can be seen in the market and if it breaks and trade below 17640 level then some decline can follow in the market.

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Topic :- Time:12.30 PM

COPPER Trading View:

COPPER is trading at 758.60.If it manages to trade and sustain above 759.20 level then some upmove can follow in it and if it breaks and trade below 757.80 level then some decline can be seen in the Nifty.

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Topic :- Time:12.00 PM

Yet another day yet another fall. Nifty is falling continuously. All recovery hopes are on Reliance number now. Nifty spot if manages to trade and sustain above 17660 level then expect some further upmove and if it breaks and trade below 17620 level then some decline can be seen in the market.

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Topic :- Time:11.55 AM

Just In:

Paytm shares hit record low of Rs 980, discount to issue price at 54%.


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Topic :- Time:11.30 AM

News Wrap Up:

1. Sensex down 500 points, Nifty near 17,600; MidCap index slips 1%

2. AIIB to invest $150 mn in development of data centers serving Asia

3. FPIs look to Budget for clarity on REIT, InvIT taxation rate

4. Seeking foreign investment, India to open $1 trn govt bond market

5. Reliance Industries may post strong growth in net profit, sales for Q3

6. Zomato slips 5%, nears record low; market cap falls below Rs 1-trn mark

7. Shoppers Stop surges 18%, hits 52-week high on strong Q3 earnings

8. Adani Wilmar to hit capital mkt with Rs 3,600 crore-IPO on January 27


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Topic :- Nifty Opening Note

Indian Stock Market Trading View For 21 Jan,2022

Global cues will dictate trend. Reliance result will have deep impact on the further market movement.

Nifty spot if manages to trade and sustain above 17780 level then expect some further upmove and if it breaks and trade below 17700 level then some decline can follow in the market. Please note this is just opening view and should not be considered as the view for the whole day.


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Fuel prices on January 21: Petrol, diesel prices today in Mumbai, Delhi, other cities

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Delhi reduced the VAT on petrol from 30 to 19.4 percent from December 1 midnight, bringing down the price by around Rs 8 to Rs 95.41 a litre

In Mumbai, a November 4 cut reduced the price of petrol to Rs 109.98 a litre, which remains unchanged. Diesel is at Rs 94.14 a litre (Representative image)

In Mumbai, a November 4 cut reduced the price of petrol to Rs 109.98 a litre, which remains unchanged. Diesel is at Rs 94.14 a litre (Representative image)

Petrol and diesel prices remain unchanged on January 21 - a notification issued by state-owned fuel retailers showed.

This comes after the Central government cut excise duty on November 4, 2021 to give relief from prices that had touched an all-time high.

The Central government cut the duty on petrol by Rs 5 per litre and that on diesel by Rs 10 a litre resulting in an equivalent reduction in retail pump rates. Following this, many states and Union Territories cut local sales tax or value-added tax (VAT) to give further relief to consumers.

In Delhi, fuel is relatively cheaper than the rest of the metros because the state government had earlier decided to reduce the VAT on petrol. Delhi reduced the VAT on petrol from 30 to 19.4 percent from December 1 midnight, bringing down the price by around Rs 8 to Rs 95.41 a litre. Diesel price also remains unchanged in the national capital at Rs 86.67 a litre.

In Mumbai, a November 4 cut reduced the price of petrol to Rs 109.98 a litre, which remains unchanged. Diesel is at Rs 94.14 a litre.

In Kolkata, petrol and diesel prices remained at Rs 104.67 and Rs 89.79. Petrol was at Rs 101.40 and diesel at Rs 91.43 in Chennai. In Hyderabad, petrol and diesel prices remained at Rs 108.20 per litre and Rs 94.62 per litre.

The states and union territories that had gone for VAT reduction after the excise duty cut by the Centre include Ladakh, Jammu and Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, Delhi, Sikkim, Mizoram, Daman and Diu, Karnataka and Puducherry. Others include Dadra and Nagar Haveli, Chandigarh, Chhattisgarh, Assam, Madhya Pradesh, Tripura, Gujarat, Nagaland, Punjab, Goa, Meghalaya, Odisha, Rajasthan, Arunachal Pradesh, Manipur, Andaman and Nicobar, Bihar, Uttarakhand, Uttar Pradesh and Haryana.

States that have so far not lowered VAT include are largely opposition ruled states including Maharashtra, Jharkhand and Tamil Nadu. TMC-governed West Bengal, Left-ruled Kerala, TRS-led Telangana and YSR Congress-ruled Andhra Pradesh have also not cut VAT.

Congress-ruled Punjab, which is due for election by March, has seen the biggest drop in petrol prices after it slashed VAT the most. The union territory of Ladakh saw the biggest fall in diesel rates.

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Budget 2022 | Support to real estate sector will positively impact entire economy

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While the government has continued to boost the real estate sector, it needs to be recognised as an industry. This will accelerate its growth, and make the sector more organised 

Budget 2022 | Support To Real Estate Sector Will Positively Impact Entire  Economy

The year 2022 is dubbed as a year of opportunity for the real estate industry. As per estimates, the economy is expected to grow steadily at 8-9 percent, stimulating demand for better infrastructure, and larger homes. Since the real estate sector is expected to contribute 13 percent to India’s GDP by 2025, the upcoming Union Budget is quintessential to discern the sector’s growth trajectory, and determine its larger impact on the national economy.

Amid the emergence of the new COVID-19 variant(s), the housing market remains bullish. We expect to see growing demand, especially for ready-to-move-in homes across the affordable and luxury segments. We are also confident that the strong focus on infrastructure will act as an impetus for the sector’s progress.

In last year’s budget, we witnessed landmark initiatives such as the boost to affordable housing through rate tax deduction on home loans, among other measures such as debt financing for REITs and InvITs, and infrastructure upgrades. The impact of these implementations has provided the sector with a strong foundation that led to the stimulation of affordable housing and the rental housing market. With the government aiming to build 20 million affordable homes in urban areas, we anticipate more sops such as extending rate tax deductions on home loans for another year more.

In addition, new regulations to encourage rental housing, single-window permits, and infrastructure status for the sector are some long-standing requests made by developers across India. We are also hopeful to see more states waive off property taxes, as seen in Maharashtra, for affordable projects under a certain size specification. The industry is also looking forward to revising the definition of affordable housing.

Another important expectation from the government is a reduction in the GST and input tax rates of construction raw materials to 5 percent (from the current 28 percent for cement, 18 percent for iron and steel, and 12 percent for kiln) or an input tax credit. These measures will give the sector a much-required breather without developers increasing property prices to sustain the rising input costs.

We also expect to see a GST waiver for under-construction projects, and are hopeful that the tax rebate on home loan interests can be extended to Rs 5 lakh (instead of the present Rs 2 lakh). The latter would ensure a stronger demand from the housing market, especially in the affordable segment.

The introduction of 5G will boost connectivity and reinvigorate the Smart Cities Mission. It will also lead to the introduction of newer businesses and services such as automated factories, smoother and faster supply chain solutions, and deeper penetration of education technology, impacting the lives of children and adults equally. This will also result in the increased demand for real estate space to set up data centres to support more digitisation. As per a Savills India report, the demand for such areas will touch 15-18 million square feet by 2025. A mechanism could be devised to ensure these services come at nominal costs so that the benefits can be accessed by a larger demographic.

This year has been declared as the International Year of Basic sciences for Sustainable Development by the United Nations. Being a sector that is heavily reliant on raw materials and resources for project completion, government-led incentives could encourage developers to invest in green projects that minimise the use of natural resources such as river sand, and encourage and subsidise the costs of alternatives such as robo sand. The government could also consider concessions for homebuyers to invest in green buildings akin to their policies while introducing electric vehicles.

In conclusion, while the government has continued to boost the real estate sector, we believe it needs to recognise real estate as an industry. This will accelerate its growth, make the sector more organised, and enable developers to avail loans at lower rates from banks and enter the priority sector.

We firmly believe the upcoming budget will give realty and its allied sectors much-needed support and encouragement. It will have a positive trickle-down effect on the entire economy — further paving the way for sustainable development across sectors, and boosting end-user consumption.

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UK consumer prices rise at fastest pace in almost 30 years

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Inflation measured by the consumer price index accelerated to 5.4% in the 12 months through December, the Office for National Statistics said Wednesday.UK consumer prices rise at fastest pace in almost 30 years | Business  Standard News

Consumer prices in the United Kingdom have risen at the fastest pace in almost 30 years as higher costs for energy, transportation, food and furniture squeezed household incomes.

Inflation measured by the consumer price index accelerated to 5.4% in the 12 months through December, the Office for National Statistics said Wednesday. That is the highest rate since March 1992, when inflation stood at 7.1%, and above the 5.1% seen a month earlier.

Economists warned that inflation is likely to rise further in coming months as the full impact of a recent surge in energy prices hits consumers. Gas and electricity bills for millions of households are expected to rise by 50% or more in April when a semi-annual adjustment in the energy price cap takes effect.

The government is under pressure to mitigate the jump in energy prices, with inflation now rising faster than wages. Soaring energy prices, supply chain backups and other issues led the Bank of England to raise interest rates last month for the first time in more than three years, increasing costs for borrowers, despite concern about the economic fallout from a surge in COVID-19 infections driven by the omicron variant.

What is of particular concern is that the change from November has come mainly from an increase in the price of food, said Kitty Ussher, chief economist for the Institute of Directors. Not only does this provide additional evidence that inflation is becoming endemic rather than transitory, it also bodes ill for households facing multiple rises in the cost of living this spring.

Also Read Like:- What do rising bond yields to signal to the markets?

The Bank of England, which tries to keep inflation below 2%, in December raised its benchmark interest rate to 0.25% from a record low 0.1%.

Shafiq Shabir, head of electronic trading at the broker Intertrader, said interest rates may climb to 1% by the end of this year following the eye-watering inflation figures.

Wage growth is expected to sit at 4.5% for 2022, meaning many will see their real-term incomes fall behind the increasingly tight cost of living.


Omicron poses limited downside to Indian economy, say economists: Poll

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Asia’s third-largest economy is in the midst of a resurgence in coronavirus cases driven by the new variant that has forced most states to impose localised restrictions.

Omicron Poses Limited Downside To Indian Economy, Say Economists: Poll

There is scant downside risk to the Indian economy in the last months of this financial year from the Omicron coronavirus variant, according to economists polled by Reuters who said New Delhi should focus on fiscal prudence in its February budget.

Asia’s third-largest economy is in the midst of a resurgence in coronavirus cases driven by the new variant that has forced most states to impose localised restrictions.

The January 11-18 poll of over 45 economists forecast 5.0% economic growth this quarter, a sharp downgrade from the 6.0% given in December, finishing the year at 9.2% compared with 9.5% in the previous month’s poll.

But nearly two-thirds of those responding to an additional question, 21 of 32, said there was limited downside to the outlook for the rest of this fiscal year which ends in March.

Nine said it was at risk of downgrades, and two said it was prone to upgrades. The median growth projection for the next fiscal year was upgraded to 8.0% from 7.5% a month ago.

The current phase of restrictions is not as harsh as it was during the previous waves. So, I think Omicron and the economic damage it inflicts is a Jan-March story and will only be limited to this fiscal year," said Madhavi Arora, lead economist at Emkay Global Financial Services.

Arora reckons the first quarter of the next financial year starting in April will get an extra boost once the third wave passes, assuming it does.

The latest poll also estimated economic growth at 14.7% for the same quarter.

Inflation was expected to peak at 5.8% this quarter and then fall, remaining under the Reserve Bank of India’s 6.0% upper threshold until at least the end of fiscal 2023-24, taking pressure off the Bank for future interest rate rises.

India’s finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman will present the country’s 2022/2023 federal budget on February 1, providing new targets for government spending, tax receipts, economic growth and fiscal deficits.

When asked what the government should focus on, 16 of 23 respondents said fiscal prudence rather than expansion, despite pandemic-related risks.

"India and other emerging markets will have to start thinking about consolidating their COVID-19 year budget deficits in a global monetary environment where the U.S. Fed is starting to normalise policy," said Miguel Chanco, senior Asia economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics.

"We are expecting quite aggressive tightening from the Fed this year and that is going to raise borrowing costs not just for India but for most EMs."

The country’s federal fiscal deficit surged to 135.1% in the April-November period of the last financial year but in the current year it narrowed to 46.2% for the same period, helped by a rise in tax collections.

The fiscal deficit target for next financial year was predicted to be 6.0%, and 5.5% for FY 2023/2024, both lower than this year’s 6.8%.

"They will be pretty conservative with spending and revenue projections," said Robert Carnell, head of Asia Pacific research at ING.

"It is really more of a revenue worry from Omicron, so I do not think you should be spending on the off-chance that Omicron is bad. Because that sort of bakes in the fact that the targets get missed at that point."

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How Can You Stay Away From Panic While Investing?

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The most dreaded situation that an investor must aim to avoid is a panic crisis. It is, however, easier said than done. When it comes to avoiding panic, it's important to understand how investments work. 



The business cycle and the market cycle are discussed. When we try to understand these cycles, we see that they come in a variety of forms. The emotional cycle of an investor, not the market cycle, is what requires our attention here. We're all humans, so we have feelings. When it comes to trading, though, it is usually our emotions that cost us. This article explains the emotional investing cycle.

An investor goes through a series of psychological stages. Assume that an investor takes a long position at the start of the curve. We can see that the trader begins with a favourable viewpoint, and that he or she has a positive outlook on the market in general. When the market is rising, his optimism transforms into exhilaration, as he feels the market will continue to favour his investments. His exhilaration develops into thrill as the market rises. He is overjoyed with his investment and believes he has landed a terrific deal. The stock in which he invested is now all over the headlines. He is overjoyed with his investments. This is the time in the cycle where the financial risk is highest.

This is the point at which the market plummets. Because the stock is saturated, the market swings against the investor's wishes. At first glance, we can deduce that he is concerned about his profession. He believes, however, that this is a temporary effect and that the market will soon resume its upward trend. The market continues to move against his wishes. The investor is now denial about the abrupt drop in the value of his investment. When the market fails to recover, he becomes fearful of the market and his investment. Then there's the point of no return. The investor has gotten himself into a pickle. He's at a loss for what to do and is on the verge of panic.


The investor is emotionally stimulated in the panic zone, and his emotions cause him to want to close a position regardless of the present market price or market scenario. This is the cycle's most susceptible stage. He reaches a point of pessimism, where he has lost all hope and is depressed. As a result of this, the investor feels helpless and panicked, he shorts his position and exits the transaction. He cuts his losses and exits his transaction when the financial potential is at its peak.

Because he lacks a risk management strategy, the trader finds himself in this situation. He would have set a stop-loss at a level he could manage if he had designed his strategy around the risk he was willing to take. However, because there was no stop-loss in place, the trader believes the investment will recover and that he can always make up for the loss he has already suffered. It has been scientifically shown that when you are emotionally charged, a separate portion of your brain is active, and you stop thinking properly.


Conclusion


We're all terrified, which is understandable. When certain risk management strategies are implemented, however, the damage caused by the panic situation can be reduced. In high-value trades, even the tiniest absence in the risk management approach might result in the loss of the entire trading account. For many investors, this may mean losing all of their money and possibly jeopardising their careers.


It's hardly rocket science to devise risk management solutions. To use a risk management technique to the benefit of your assets and total portfolio, all you need is a strong grasp of the market. A Certified Investment Advisor can assist you in determining your risk tolerance and planning your investments to line with your long-term financial goals.

Best Long-Term Investment Strategies to Follow in 2022

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Every household discusses long-term investing strategies. The family's breadwinners must budget for a variety of expenses throughout their lives, such as retirement, children's education, healthcare, emergency circumstances, home purchases, and so on. Almost everyone's first plan is to make the most of their savings or to invest in assets. However, they are time-tested strategies that may be less risky, but wealth does not rise as quickly as it could. The times have changed, and so have the alternatives for long-term investment planning. Are you one of those that still invests in the traditional way, or are you a savvy investor?


What Does It Mean to Invest Long-Term?


Although many people use the term "long-term investment" to describe their intentions for securing their family's financial needs, it is a frequent misunderstanding that has led to inadequate financial planning. Insurance is the finest alternative to pursue in order to assure financial stability. Long-term investment plans, on the other hand, will help you establish the greatest and most effective financial strategy if you want to make your money work for you and expand your wealth.

Any investment that is made for more than three years is called a long term investment. Some investors keep their money for up to ten years. Trading techniques that have been successful in the past have always focused on making a move when the conditions are right for the investment. This has different ramifications for different people. While some may require shorter investment sprints, others may be forced to hang on to their assets for extended periods of time. It all boils down to how much danger you're willing to take.


Typical Long-Term Financial Goals

There could be a variety of motivations for long-term investment planning. However, the most typical goals are usually as follows:


• Children's education

• Making preparations for a child's marriage

• Purchasing a home, apartment, or parcel of land

• Making preparations for retirement

The fact that all anticipated and unplanned expenses are paid from the funds available is a crucial motivator for long-term investment planning. You won't have to pay interest or other fees, as you would if you had obtained the funds through a loan. Still debating whether or not to make a long-term investment?


The Best Long-Term Investment Strategies to Implement in 2022

If you haven't already started planning for long-term investing, you should do so right away. For those who have already invested, now is the moment to reconsider your plan.

Check out the following long-term financial methods to help you make better financial decisions.


• Set up a PPF account.

Public provident funds are one of the most conventional long-term investing techniques. You must have overheard the seniors in the house discussing their retirement plans. PPF is one of the most tax-efficient and secure investment solutions. This investment carries no risk, and a fixed return is guaranteed at maturity. According to statistics, the PPF interest rate for the first quarter of 2022 - 23 is 8% per annum.

When it comes to PPF, you'll have to wait 15 years (which is the lock-in term) before you can withdraw your money. In the fifth year, partial withdrawal is permitted, but only under specified conditions. You can claim a deduction for PPF contributions up to Rs.1.50 lakhs under Section 80 C of the Income Tax Act.


• Make a gold investment

If you've ever been around elders in the house, you'll notice that their approach to investing is primarily concentrated on gold purchases (in the form of gold coins, biscuits, or ornaments). Currently, one can invest in gold through mechanisms such as Gold ETFs, Gold Mutual Funds, Gold Deposit Schemes, and so on. Despite the fact that the price of gold fluctuates, many people still see it as a profitable investment. The easiest method to get the most out of your gold investment is to keep track of market demand and supply and buy gold when the moment is perfect.


Consider Real Estate Investing

Another conventional and popular investing method is real estate. One can buy a house or piece of land for personal use or rent it out. In any event, the long-term rewards of these expenditures are considerable. However, it is critical that the investor waits until the conditions are ideal before making a move. Property values can fluctuate dramatically over time or take years to appreciate significantly.

Real estate investments necessitate a large sum of money, and the rewards are rarely immediate. Furthermore, there are a number of con artists that lure individuals in with attractive deals only to take their money and leave them with nothing. Make certain you're prepared.


• Put money into mutual funds

People have grown rather familiar with mutual funds when it comes to investments, thanks to considerable marketing by numerous service providers. Mutual fund investments have become more popular because to companies like HDFC, ICICI, and Reliance. AMCs (Asset Management Companies) are the companies that handle these funds, and they are governed by SEBI. As a result, there is a level of trust in these services in terms of adherence to criteria and the manner in which investment advice is offered.

It is possible to take money out of mutual fund investments for a shorter period of time. Long-term investments, on the other hand, are recommended for better returns. In order to choose the most appropriate sort of mutual fund, one should be aware of the numerous types accessible. Equity mutual funds, for example, are riskier than debt mutual funds. However, if you are willing to take that risk, you can invest in an equity mutual fund.


Invest in the Stock Market

Many people may not have discussed the possibility of stock market investments being seen as a long-term investment. However, if the investment is managed properly, it might be a very good option. Investing correctly can not only increase your financial holdings, but it will also provide you with tax benefits. However, be cautious about how you make your investments. When market dynamics are not analysed before making a move, the stock market can bring significant rewards while also causing losses.

This is why, before investing in the stock market, you should contact with an investment professional. There is a certain theme-based trading technique (recommended by a well-known investment advisor) that is ideal for anyone wishing to invest in the stock market for the long term. This strategy contains a number of themes and tactics that may be appropriate for specific segments. You can choose a strategy and plan your investments based on the experts' advice, depending on your desired investment style.

Not only will you be able to better control risk, but you will also have recommendations based on substantial study, making it easier to make stock market investment decisions.


A Word of Advice: Never Base Your Decisions on Assumptions.


You should never make judgments based on assumptions, whether you're investing in gold or the stock market. If you trust weather forecasts from the weather department more than the assumption that a given weather condition will occur, you shouldn't make financial decisions based on assumptions.


Make it a habit to consult with experts who are knowledgeable about the assets you're considering. To get a proper conclusion, compare their recommendations to market figures, historical data, and the experiences of persons who have made similar investments. To ensure that your decisions are based on data-driven knowledge, you should always consult with an investing advisor.

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