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Domestic Market View :

Market mood to remain cautious on the last trading day of week

The Indian markets showing a lackluster trade ended marginally in red in the last session. Today, the start is likely to remain cautious and traders will be eyeing the major global developments following the mixed cues after an exit poll suggested British Prime Minister Theresa May’s Conservative party not getting majority. On the domestic front traders will be getting some support with UN trade report that despite stagnant foreign direct investment (FDI) inflow of $ 44 billion in 2016, India will most likely remain most favoured destination due to its attractiveness among MNCs for cross-border mergers and acquisitions. Meanwhile, Chief Economic Adviser Arvind Subramanian has expressed concern over growing protectionism in global markets and felt that India needs open markets to grow at 8-10%. He said that the biggest beneficiaries of the open market policy or globalisation have been middle income countries and the continuation of this is in their interest. There will be some buzz in the power and coal stocks on report that India’s coal imports in May declined 6 per cent due to lacklustre demand from the power sector and sufficient supply of domestic fuel.

Indian benchmarks settle with moderate losses; Nifty ends below 9650 mark

It turned out to be a lethargic performance from Indian benchmark indices on Thursday, as they failed to snap the session in the green territory and settled marginally below the neutral line. Today’s session largely remained characterized by choppiness, as the aimless indices moved only sideways in a tight band for most part of the day, as investors and foreign funds were adopting a cautious approach, ahead of key political and economic events in the U.S. and Europe. Sentiments remained subdued after Reserve Bank of India (RBI) raised concerns over the possibility of fiscal slippages due to the farm loan waivers. RBI Governor Urjit Patel said unless that state governments' budgets allow that fiscal space to go in for a loan waiver, it would be risky to tread on that path. RBI also cut the economic growth projection to 7.3% for the current fiscal from 7.4% earlier. The central bank, however, used a less hawkish tone and reduced the Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR) in its second bimonthly momany liquor stocks gained traction after Karnataka state government decided to send a proposal to the union government seeking to denotify the national highways (NH) pass through urban local bodies in Karnataka as local roads. Likewise, shares of steel companies were trading higher in an otherwise subdued market on the expectations of a revival in consumption during the current financial year 2017-18. The market breadth remained pessimistic, as there were 1328 shares on the gaining side against 1351 shares on the losing side, while 177 shares remained unchanged.netary policy for financial year 2017-18.

Traders turned anxious after chief economic adviser Arvind Subramanian expressed his unhappiness over the Reserve Bank's inflexibility on interest rates. He warned that real policy rates are becoming tighter and rising at a time of low inflation and slowing growth. However, losses remained capped with UNCTAD’s latest report that India would be the top prospective foreign direct investment (FDI) destination globally after the US and China. It also said that an improved economic outlook in major Asian economies such as India, China is likely to lift investor confidence and help boost FDI inflows by about 15 percent in 2017


Global Market Overview 

Asian markets end mixed on Thursday

Asian equity markets made a mixed closing on Thursday as investors awaited directional cues from three big upcoming events today and next week's Federal Reserve meeting. The European Central Bank (ECB) will announce its latest interest rate decision later today, with traders on the lookout for any hints of policy changes on rate and stimulus outlook. Polls have opened in the UK with the latest polls predicting a narrow victory for Theresa May's party over the main opposition Labour Party. Former FBI Director James Comey's testimony before the Senate Intelligence Committee also remained in the spotlight after he confirmed media reports that President Donald Trump demanded his loyalty and asked him to drop at least part of the bureau's investigation of former National Security Adviser Mike Flyn. Japanese shares ended lower as the yen edged higher in late Asian deals on a report that the Bank of Japan was re-calibrating its communications to acknowledge it is thinking about how to handle a withdrawal from its monetary stimulus. Meanwhile, Chinese shares ended higher after Chinese exports and imports data topped expectations. Exports advanced 8.7 percent year-on-year in dollar terms in May, faster than the 7.2 percent increase economists had forecast. Imports climbed 14.8 percent, much above expectations for 8.3 percent growth.

US markets closed higher following Comey's testimony

The US markets closed higher on Thursday, with the Nasdaq Composite Index finishing at a record, marking its 38th all-time closing high in 2017. The former FBI Director James Comey’s appearance in front of the US Senate Intelligence Committee concluded without any significant revelations. The street had signaled that above events don’t appear to threaten the stock market’s extended push into record territory, which has been driven by President Donald Trump’s promises of tax cuts, infrastructure spending and deregulation.

The Dow Jones added 8.84 points or 0.04 percent to 21,182.53, Nasdaq was up 24.38 points or 0.39 percent to 6,321.76, while S&P 500 edged higher by 0.65 points or 0.03 percent to 2,433.79

Economy Overview 

Indiato be one of the top prospective FDI destination: UNCTAD


The United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD), in its latest report ‘World Investment Report 2017’ has saidthat India would be the top prospective foreign direct investment (FDI) destination globally after the U.S. and China. The report however noted that although new liberalization efforts continue to improve the investment climate in India, tax-related concerns remain a deterrent for some foreign investors.


UNCTAD report said that an improved economic outlook in major Asian economies such as India, China is likely to lift investor confidence and help boost FDI inflows by about 15 per cent in 2017. Besides, it has said that the country’s renewed policy efforts to attract FDI may also contribute to higher inflows in 2017, adding that foreign multinational enterprises (MNEs) are increasingly relying on cross-border M&As (mergers and acquisitions) to penetrate the rapidly growing Indian market.


It said that in major recipients such as China, India and Indonesia, renewed policy efforts to attract FDI could contribute to an increase of inflows in 2017. However, the report found that FDI in India remained almost flat in year 2016 at about $44 billion, up only 1 per cent from 2015. At the same time India's outward FDI declined by about third from $7.572 billion in 2015 to $5.12 billion in 2016. UNCTAD has also reported that FDI inflows to developing Asia shrank by 15 per cent to $443 billion in 2016, the first decline since 2012.

Record jumpin FDI from $34,487 billion to $61,724 billion since 2013: Modi


Giving an overview of his three-year-old government, Prime Minister NarendraModi has said that there has been a record jump in Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) from $34,487 billion to $61,724billion since 2013. Terming India a bright spot in the cloudy global

economy, he said that doing business here has been made easier and the tax regime is more predictable and stable. He pointed out that the goods and services tax (GST) regime is also going to have long standing benefits for the nation.

Talking about his 'guiding tenet-reform to transform', Modi said that the reform agenda of government is comprehensive and inclusive, covering all sections of society, all regions of India and all aspects needing attention. He also said that it was a matter of immense happiness that a friendly spirit of competition has developed among the states for accelerating reforms and getting more investment.


On matters related to next-gen infrastructure for a new India, PM said that they are giving the added push to infrastructure projects with a special emphasis on timely completion. Adding further, he said that the government’s goal is a new India, powered by the skills and talent of the youth. He also said that substantial ground has been covered in the last three years and India is poised to scale newer heights of progress.

Farm loan waivers may harm country’s fiscal health, spur inflation: RBI


Raising concerns over the recent spate of farm loan waivers across the country, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor Urjit Patel has said that rush for such actions may harm the country’s fiscal health and may have inflationary spillovers. He said that past episodes have shown when there are significant fiscal slippages they do permeate through inflation sooner or later.