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Global indices in consolidation as Chinese Yuan sees huge volatility with US$ seeing profit booking on every rally

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Major headlines:

·         Asset deterioration a challenge for Indian banks.

·         Money has lost secrecy post demonetization

·         Key Indian equity indices open in green














Indian IndicesAsian markets opened flat to positive as US$ volatility versus Chinese yuan saw currency moves dominate recent market behaviour. The US$ is witnessing profit booking at every rally while the Chinese yuan had a very strong rally from oversold levels. The Dow Jones also hit 19999.63 as positive jobs report saw the US$ strengthen with equities jumping.

Nifty failed to cross the 200 DMA @ first attempt & late hour profit booking saw Nifty retreat to close below 8250. Bank Nifty however saw huge short covering & closed above its 200 DMA on value buying. For today expect another day of consolidation even as bulls make another attempt to cross 8280-8300 for Nifty to resume further uptrend. Weakness in IT stocks was the main culprit for Nifty under performance which saw banks being the best performing sector in rotation.

The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 26737.88, down by 21.35 points or 0.08% after trading in a range of 26720.09 and 26860.88. There were 12 stocks advancing against 18 stocks declining on the index.The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.24%, while Small cap index was up by 0.43%.The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 8237.15, down by 6.65 points or 0.08% after trading in a range of 8233.45 and 8263.00. There were 23 stocks advancing against 28 stocks declining on the index.





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Technical view: Nifty will find support around 8181 which was the low for last 3 days while 8280 will act as first resistance. Bank Nifty now finds strong support @ 18000 while 18350 will act as resistance.

Market Sentiment:

The market breadth on BSE was positive in the ratio of 1354:828, while 98 scrips remained unchanged.


Trading ideas :YESBANK (Buy above Rs 1250 for target of Rs 1300, SL at Rs 1224): Stock has witnessed a double bottom breakout on daily charts post the two days smart rally. Near term trend turned positive for the stock on close above both its 50 and 100 DMA in last weeks trade. Price volume breakout would lead to sustained momentum for the stock in coming sessions. We advise to Buy YESBANK above Rs 1250, stop loss at Rs 1224 and Target of Rs 1300.


MacroeconomicFront: Finance Minister ArunJaitley has said that the colour of funds has not changed by merely depositing them in banks as the money has now lost its 'anonymity' and can be identified with the owner. Commenting on the issue, Finance Minister ArunJaitley told the media, "When 86 per cent of a country's currency, constituting 12.2 per cent of its GDP, is squeezed out of the market and sought to be replaced by a new currency.

Corporate Snippets:SpiceJet is expected to order at least 92 Boeing Co 737 jetliners, as it looks to bolster its presence in the world's fastest growing aerospace market.


SBIwill take the lead among state-run lenders to launch branch less banking. The latest launch from the lender - SBI Digi Bank will have a financial superstore, a market place and end to end digitisation for all products and services. 


Pokarna Ltd has announced Pokarna Engineered Stone Ltd, its wholly-owned subsidiary, has partnered Swedish home furnishing products retailer IKEA in India, to serve as its exclusive quartz surfaces supplier and installation partner.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:  The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were FMCG up by 0.65%, Realty up by 0.33%, Capital Goods up by 0.22%, Bankex up by 0.21% and Metal up by 0.14%, while Oil & Gas down by 0.52%, Power down by 0.45%, Consumer Durables down by 0.35%, PSU down by 0.19% and Auto down by 0.17% were the losing indices on BSE.

Nifty Movers:The top gainers on Nifty were AurobindoPharma up by 1.65%, HCL Tech up by 1.56%, Eicher Motors up by 1.51%, Idea Cellular up by 1.51% and ITC up by 1.17%. On the flip side, Dr. Reddy’s Lab down by 2.22%, BPCL down by 1.56%, Mahindra & Mahindra down by 1.37%, Coal India down by 1.31% and ACC down by 1.26% were the top losers.




On the global front: On the global front, Asian shares were trading mixed, as investors focused on policymaker remarks later this week for direction. Chinese Vice Finance Minister Zhu Guangyao said that the country is confident to have reached an economic growth of 6.7 percent in 2016, within a targeted range set earlier in the year. China, which had been aiming for a 6.5-7 percent economic growth for 2016, boosted government spending, saw a housing rally and record high levels of bank lending last year.


Global Signals:The Asian markets were trading mixed; KOSPI Index increased 3.22 points or 0.16% to 2,052.34, Shanghai Composite increased 14.96 points or 0.47% to 3,169.28 and Hang Seng increased 39.55 points or 0.18% to 22,542.56. On the other hand, Taiwan Weighted decreased 34.71 points or 0.37% to 9,337.51, Jakarta Composite decreased 22.68 points or 0.42% to 5,324.34 and FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI decreased 4.36 points or 0.26% to 1,671.13.