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US indices close flat as Fed leaves rates unchanged, commodities fall sharply as US Dollar gains ground with bond yields trading below 2.3%

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Indian Indices: Asian indices opened flat to mildly negative as US stocks closed almost unchanged after the US Federal Reserve left rates unchanged. Commodities had their biggest fall in recent times with the LME hitting fresh 3 month lows as copper prices plunged to 6 month lows. US Dollar saw return of strength as bond yields fell while oil prices also fell from intraday highs to close flat.


Nifty saw very narrow movements on Wednesday as markets lacked direction with 9350 being the proverbial turning point. Foreign investors booked profit while local mutual funds continued to buy with conviction. For today expect range bound trade with stock/sector movements being the order of the day as mid-cap profit booking seems to be on the cards.

The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 30085.00, up by 190.20 points or 0.64% after trading in a range of 30027.41 and 30098.82. There were 22 stocks advancing against 8 stocks declining on the index.

The broader indices too were going neck-in-neck to the benchmarks; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.53%, while Small cap index gained 0.57%.

The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 9350.55, up by 38.60 points or 0.43% after trading in a range of 9341.25 and 9361.40. There were 26 stocks advancing against 25 stocks declining on the index.




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Technical view: Nifty found strong support around 9270 while 9350 acts as resistance, any break either side will see the Nifty move higher or lower. Bank Nifty made lower lows and hit 22240 which should be the support while 22450 will act as minor resistance on the upside. 


VIP Industries (BUY Above 210 for Target of 221, Stop Loss at 204.5): After consolidating for over four weeks, the stock has finally broken out from a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern on the daily chart. The price outburst has been accompanied with smart uptick in traded volumes. Even the RSI has reversed from the 60 mark indicating strength in the current price up move. We recommend to buy VIP Industries for target of Rs 221.

Derivative Snippets

Godrej Properties, has sold over 1,000 apartments across three new project launches - Godrej Origins at The Trees in Mumbai, The Suites at Godrej Golf Links in Greater Noida, and Godrej 24 at Hinjawadi, Pune - since March 2017.

In the last trading session, markets ended on a lacklustre note. PSU Banks took center stage as the Government gave positive signals on creation of Bad Bank to deal with NPA issues.Muted action was seen in Nifty option strikes as markets remained flat. Weekly Nifty Bank OTM option strikes remained under selling pressure, indicating of a range bound activity in today’s expiry day trading session.

FIIs were net sellers in cash market segment to the tune of Rs 518 Cr.FII’s index future long/short ratio at 5x vs 5.2x.

Nifty Movers: The top gainers on Nifty were ICICI Bank up by 8.71%, Bank Of Baroda up by 1.90%, Indiabulls Housing up by 1.90%, SBI up by 1.74% and AurobindoPharma up by 1.71%. On the flip side, Hindalco down by 2.49%, Kotak Mahindra Bank down by 1.39%, BPCL down by 1.29%, Tata Motors down by 1.25% and Indian Oil Corp. down by 1.03% were the top losers.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening: The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Bankex up by 1.63%, Consumer Durables up by 1.19%, Capital Goods up by 0.74%, Healthcare up by 0.48%, PSU up by 0.47%, while Metal down by 0.93%, Realty down by 0.30%, Oil & Gas down by 0.22%, Auto down by 0.22%, IT down by 0.13% were the losing indices on BSE.



On the global front:The rupee though has made a marginally weak start against the US dollar after the US Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged and also signaled a further rate hike. The domestic steel stocks too are showing signs of strength despite the global metal stocks remaining under pressure amid inventory concerns in industrial metals. The government has approved a new policy that envisages Rs 10 lakh croreinvestment to create more capacity in the steel sector.


Global Signals:Most of the Asian markets were in red, Hang Seng decreased 101.43 points or 0.41% to 24,594.70, FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI declined by 14.58 points or 0.82% to 1,757.93, Shanghai Composite was lower by 1.6 points or 0.05% to 3,133.75 and Taiwan Weighted was down by 1.48 points or 0.01% to 9,953.85.On the other hand, KOSPI Index was up by 16.1 points or 0.73% to 2,235.77 and Jakarta Composite gained 16.59 points or 0.29% to 5,663.95.