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US indices close flat as oil and dollar rally with energy stocks seeing value buying. Going ahead, corporate results to set the trend for April as indices continue to look bottom heavy.

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Indian Indices: Asian markets opened flat to mildly positive as the US indices closed flat after 2 days of intraday volatility. The results season ahead should set the trend for the month of April as markets consolidate. Oil prices rallied along with the US Dollar while bond yields fell further to near 2.35% on the US 10 year treasury paper.

Nifty saw another burst above 9250 on strong foreign flows as old favorites like Reliance and L&T led from the front. With foreign investors buying heavily in March and the markets now @ new highs they will see pressure from corporate results to be announced next week onwards. With most good news being priced in, time to be cautious as any disappointment on results can see healthy correction in Nifty in second half of April.

The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 29867.85, down by 42.37 points or 0.14% after trading in a range of 29817.69 and 30007.48. There were 15 stocks advancing against 15 stocks declining on the index.

The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index gained 0.34%, while Small cap index was up by 0.71%.

The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 9231.70, down by 6.15 points or 0.07% after trading in a range of 9215.40 and 9264.95. There were 30 stocks advancing against 21 stocks declining on the index.




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Technical view: Nifty now faces resistance around 9330 on the upside with 9218 now acting as strong support. Bank Nifty faces resistance around 21750 while 21250 will act as strong support.




JISLJALEQS (Buy above 99, for Target of 108.5, Stop Loss at 95.5): Jain Irrigation Systems has given a fantastic triangle pattern breakout on daily as well as weekly charts. This comes after the stock consolidated with previous uptrend in place, hence, can be termed as a continuation of the previous trend. Breakout is accompanied by sharp surge in trading volumes. We advise to Buy JISLJALEQS above Rs 99, Stop Loss at Rs 95.5 and Target of Rs 108.5.

Derivative Snippets

In the last trading session, Nifty closed above 9200 for the first time ever. Nifty OTM call option strikes witnessed long build up while OTM put option strikes saw huge short selling. Short build up was seen in Bank Nifty weekly 06APR 21500PE strike, indicating 21500 levels as a new floor for Bank Nifty in this weekly series.

Amidst lowest expectation from the RBI credit policy in recent times, implied volatility of Index options tumbled in the last trading session.

FIIs were net buyers in cash market segment to the tune of Rs 534 cr. FII’s index future long/short ratio at 3.3x. Fresh long position in Index call options to the tune of ~24k contracts were created in the last trading session.



Nifty Movers: The top gainers on Nifty were BhartiInfratel up by 2.82%,Hindalco up by 2.17%, Adani Ports up by 1.91%, Maruti Suzuki up by 1.61% and Grasim Industries was up by 1.58%. On the flip side, HDFC down by 1.89%, ICICI Bank down by 1.15%, GAIL India down by 1.09%, Asian Paints down by 1.03% and SBI was down by 0.89% were the top losers..


Top Sectoral& Stock Screening: The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Realty up by 2.46%, Consumer Durables up by 1.87%, Metal up by 1.01%, Telecom up by 0.84% and Basic Materials was up by 0.83%, while IT down by 0.33%, TECK down by 0.17%, FMCG down by 0.15% and Bankex was down by 0.11% were the few losing indices on BSE.





On the global front: On the global front, Asian markets were trading mostly in red at this point of time, as investors move to the sidelines before a potentially tense meeting between Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping later this week. The US markets closed modestly in green in the last session, though the trade remained lackluster and the major averages spent the day bouncing back and forth across the unchanged line, ahead of some key events later this week.



Global Signals:Asian markets were trading mostly in red; Hang Seng decreased 45.51 points or 0.19% to 24,215.97, Nikkei 225 slipped 19.45 points or 0.1% to 18,790.80, KOSPI Index shed 7.16 points or 0.33% to 2,153.94, Jakarta Composite dipped 5.44 points or 0.1% to 5,646.38 and FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI was down by 5.08 points or 0.29% to 1,742.11.On the flip side, Shanghai Composite increased 34.16 points or 1.06% to 3,256.67 and Taiwan Weighted was up by 87.72 points or 0.89% to 9,899.24.