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US stocks see profit booking as US$ falls with bond yields while Gold sees safe haven buying!!

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Indian Indices: Asian markets opened mildly in the red as weakness in European markets & profit booking in the US indices saw money being taken off the table. The Japanese 'Nikkei" was the big loser as the US$ fell which saw the Yen hit near 3 month highs. Gold prices rallied to near term highs as safe haven buying emerged with equities seeing profit booking.

Nifty closed @ 5 month highs as it closed above 8800.The RBI policy on Wednesday will see near term volatility till the event, however the trend continues to be 'buy the fall' as any weakness is seeing buying. With mutual fund inflows the strongest ever in the last 5 years expect retail participation to continue to drive indices higher albeit at a slower pace as nearness to 8900 will see caution prevail.

The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 28391.21, down by 48.07 points or 0.17% after trading in a range of 28361.97 and 28483.41. There were 14 stocks advancing against 16 stocks declining on the index.The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.28%, while Small cap index was up by 0.45%.The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 8784.75, down by 16.30 points or 0.19% after trading in a range of 8773.55 and 8809.30. There were 21 stocks advancing against 30 stocks declining on the index.





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Technical view: Nifty will find resistance around 8840 which is almost 80% of the retracement of the entire fall, while 8740 will act as support. Bank Nifty however is in blue sky territory with 20576 being the last resistance on the upside while 20200 acts as strong support.














Trading ideas :RCF (Buy above Rs 62 for target of Rs 68, SL at Rs 59): Stock has broken out from a bullish flag pattern on daily charts continuing its prior uptrend. Our analysis of weekly charts indicate, RCF has also broken out from a triple bottom pattern in first week of Jan 2016. We expect the current momentum to be carried forward as other momentum oscillators are also indicating strength in the current upmove. We advise to Buy RCF above Rs 62, stop loss at Rs 59 and Target of Rs 68.

Corporate SnippetsONGC’s decision to invest USD11.5bn in Andhra Pradesh, at a time when gas prices in India are falling, may put its cash flow under pressure.

NTPChas decided to shut down old polluting power plants of capacity totalling roughly 11GW and replace those with new ones which are highly efficient.

CESChas bagged the power distribution franchisee for Bikaner city in Rajasthan. It plans to invest Rs1.35bn in the network in three years and hopes to clock a turnover of around Rs4bn.

Nifty Movers:  The top gainers on Nifty were BHEL up by 2.74%, BhartiInfratel up by 1.59%, BPCL up by 1.45%, Kotak Mahindra Bank up by 1.11% and GAIL India up by 0.98%. On the flip side, Tata Motors down by 2.06%, Tata Motors - DVR down by 1.91%, Zee Entertainment down by 1.56%, ACC down by 1.49% and Bajaj Auto down by 1.41% were the top losers.The top gainers on Nifty were BHEL up by 2.74%, BhartiInfratel up by 1.59%, BPCL up by 1.45%, Kotak Mahindra Bank up by 1.11% and GAIL India up by 0.98%.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening: The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were PSU up by 0.57%, Oil & Gas up by 0.56%, Consumer Durables up by 0.55%, Metal up by 0.53% and Capital Goods up by 0.35%, while Auto down by 0.91%, IT down by 0.16%, TECK down by 0.15% and Bankex down by 0.10% were the losers on BSE.The top gainers on the Sensex were Sun Pharma up by 1.12%, ITC up by 0.85%, GAIL India up by 0.82%, Tata Steel up by 0.65% and Cipla up by 0.60%.



On the global front: On the global front, Asian shares were trading mostly in red, as global cues dampened sentiments with economic and political fears sent investors seeking shelter in the yen. China is expected to report on Tuesday that foreign exchange reserves fell for the seventh straight month in January but at a much slower pace as authorities’ tightened controls on capital outflows and the surging US dollar lost some steam.


Global Signals: The Asian markets were trading mostly in red; Hang Seng decreased 12.39 points or 0.05% to 23,335.85, Nikkei 225 decreased 12.1 points or 0.06% to 18,964.61, Shanghai Composite decreased 10.35 points or 0.33% to 3,146.63, Jakarta Composite decreased 9.05 points or 0.17% to 5,386.95, KOSPI Index decreased 3.44 points or 0.17% to 2,074.22 and FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI decreased 2.93 points or 0.17% to 1,688.31. On the other hand, Taiwan Weighted increased 9.4 points or 0.1% to 9,547.41.