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Sensex, Nifty cheers up on Union Budget 2017

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Major headlines:

·         ArunJaitelypropses IT for education, more skill centres

·         Ananth Kumar calls Budget 2017-18 revolutionary

·         Moody’s analyst says India’s budget fiscally prudent reforms key






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Indian Indices: Indian benchmarks gained momentum and were trading jubilantly in late afternoon session with frontline gauges surpassing their crucial levels of 28,000 (Sensex) and 8,650 (Nifty), as Finance Minister ArunJaitley made no reference to long-term capital gains tax on equities and also set a comfortable fiscal deficit target of 3.2% for the fiscal year 2017-18. Some support also came after FM unveiled a slew of measures in income tax, small housing and small and medium businesses, among others, in the Union Budget for 2017-18. Moreover, proposal to further liberaise FDI policy too uplifted the trading sentiments. On the sectoral front, banking sector stocks gained traction after Jaitley announced that the government will infuse another Rs 10,000 crore in public sector banks for re-capitalisation. Fertilisers stocks surged after FM committed to double farmer income in five years.

The BSE Sensex is currently closed at 28,141.64 up by 485.68 points or 1.76% after trading in a range of 27590.10 and 28157.41. There were 19 stocks advancing against 11 stocks declining on the index.

The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 1.22%, while Small cap index was up by 1.13%.

The CNX Nifty is shut up at 8716.40, up by 155.10 points or 1.81% after trading in a range of 8537.50 and 8726.25. There were 34 stocks advancing against 17 stocks declining on the index.




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Crporate Front: The Finance Minister ArunJaitley during the Union Budget presentation in Parliament on Wednesday said that the Modi government took two tectonic policy initiatives - passage of GST Bill and demonetization. FM Jaitley also assured that the effects of demonetisation is not expected to spill over to the next year.


Market Sentiment:

The market breadth on BSE was positive in the ratio of 1397: 1190, while 159 scrips remained unchanged.

Macroeconomic front:

The Finance Minister ArunJaitley during the Union Budget presentation in Parliament on Wednesday said that 5 per cent Tax Deducted at Source (TDS) on insurance agents will be removed.The Minister also said that Life Insurance Corporation of India (LIC) will come up with 8 per cent of the guaranteed scheme for senior citizen of the country.


On the global front:

On the global front, European markets were trading in green after good factory data from Europe and Asia. Asian markets were trading in green. Back home, in scrip specific development, TCPL Packaging edged higher after the company commenced the commercial production from its Flexible Packaging Unit (FPU) situated at village Dapada, Silvassa in the Union Territory of Dadra and Nagar Haveli, with effect from February 01, 2017.

Commodity Updates:

Commodity Prices (MCX):



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Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Realty up by 3.40%, FMCG up by 2.30%, Auto up by 2.23%, Bankex up by 2.21% and Capital Goods up by 1.77%, while IT down by 1.76% and TECK down by 1.32% were the few losing indices on BSE.

Top Nifty Movers:The top gainers on Nifty were ICICI Bank up by 4.48%, ITC up by 3.84% and Bank of Baroda up by 3.84%, GAIL India up by 3.25% and HDFC up by 3.23%. On the flip side, HCL Tech down by 3.52%, Tech Mahindra down by 3.36%, Idea Cellular down by 2.82%, TCS down by 2.81% and AurobindoPharma down by 2.37% were the top losers.


Global Signals:

The Asian markets were trading mostly in green; KOSPI Index increased 12.91 points or 0.62% to 2,080.48, Jakarta Composite increased 37.23 points or 0.7% to 5,331.34 and Nikkei 225 increased 106.74 points or 0.56% to 19,148.08. On the flip side, Hang Seng decreased 85.87 points or 0.37% to 23,274.91.

All the European markets were trading in green; France’s CAC increased 43.85 points or 0.92% to 4,792.75, UK’s FTSE 100 increased 47.06 points or 0.66% to 7,146.21 and Germany’s DAX increased 115.87 points or 1% to 11,651.18.



Budget Highlights of 2017

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Here are the highlights of this year's budget: 


Income Tax rate cut to 5 pc for individuals having income between Rs 2.5 lakh to Rs 5 lakh 


10 pc surcharge on individual income above Rs 50 lakh and upto Rs 1 cr to make up for Rs 15,000 cr loss of due to cut in personal I-T rate 


15 pc surcharge on income above Rs 1 cr to continue 


Of 3.7 cr individuals who filed tax returns in 2015-16, 99 lakh showed income below exemption limit 


Direct tax collection not commensurate with income and expenditure pattern 


Revenue deficit reduced to 2.1 pc from 2.3 pc for 2016-17 


Govt pegs fiscal deficit target at 3.2 per cent for 2017-18 and 3 per cent for next year. 


Monetary policy to be expansionary in major economies 


More steps will be taken to benefit farmers and the weaker sections; budget being presented during weak global economy 


Pace of remonetisation has picked up;demonetisation effects will not spill over to next year 


Functional autonomy of the railways to be maintained 


Demonetisation will help in transfer of resources from tax evaders to government: 


Merger of Railways Budget with General Budget brings focus on a multi-modal approach for development of railways, highways and inland water transport 


Only transient impact on economy due to demonetisation; long term benefit include higher GDP growth and tax revenue 


GDP will be bigger, cleaner after demonetisation 


Effects of demonetisation not expected to spill over to the next year, says Finance Minister 



Effects of demonetisation not expected to spill over to the next year, says Finance Minister 



Govt took two tectonic policy initiatives - passage of GST Bill and demonetisation 


Demonetisation was a continuation of series of measures taken by govt in 2 yrs; it is bold and decisive measure 


We are seen as engine of global growth; IMF sees India to grow fastest in major economies 


36 pc increase in FDI flow; forex reserves at USD 361 billion in January enough to cover 12 months needs 


CAD declined from 1 pc last year to 0.3 pc in first half of current fiscal: FM 



India has emerged as bright spot in the world: FM 



Uncertainty around commodity prices especially oil to have impact on emerging economies: FM 


Double digit inflation has been controlled; sluggish growth replaced by high growth; war on blackmoney launched: FM 


We have moved from discretionary based administration to policy based administration: FM Jaitley 


Agricultural sector is expected to grow at 4.1 per cent this fiscal, says Jaitley 


Demonetisation was a bold and decisive strike in a series of measures to arrive at a new norm of bigger, cleaner and real GDP 


Committed to double farm income in 5 yrs 


Plan, non-plan classification of expenditure done away with in the Budget for 2017-18 to give a holistic picture 


Mini labs by qualified local entrepreneurs to be set up for soil testing in all 648 krishi vigyan kendras in the country 


Budget presentation advanced to help begin implementation of schemes before onset of monsoon 


We will continue the process of economic reform for the benfit of poor 


Spend more in rural areas, infra, poverty alleviation, while maintaining fiscal prudence as guiding principle of Budget 


Our agenda for next year is to transform, energise and clean India 


World Bank expects GDP growth rate at 7.6 pc in FY18 and 7.8 pc in FY19 


Allocation under MNREGA increased to 48,000 crore from Rs 38,500 crore. This is highest ever allocation 


Rs 9,000 cr higher allocation for payment of sugarcane arrears 


Target of agriculture credit fixed at Rs 10 lakh cr in 2017-18 


Tax administration honouring the honest is one of the 10 pillars of Budget 2017-18 


National Testing agency to conduct all examinations in higher education, freeing CBSE and other agencies 


133-km road per day constructred under Pradhan Mantri Gram Sadak Yojana as against 73-km in 2011-14 


Govt to set up dairy processing fund of Rs 8,000 crore over three years with initial corpus of Rs 2,000 crore 


1 cr households to be brought out of poverty under Antodya Scheme 


Participation of women in MNREGA increased to 55 pc from 45 pc in past 


Modern law on contract farming will be drafted and circulated to states 


Dedicated micro-irrigation fund to be created with a corpus of Rs 5000 crore 


Market reforms will be undertaken, states will be asked to denotify perishables from Essential Commodities Act 


Space technology to be used for monitoring MNREGA implementation 


Sanitation coverage in villages has increased from 42 pc in Oct 2016 to 60 pc, a rise of 18 pc, says FM 


We propose to provide safe drinking water to 28,000 arsenic and fluoride affected habitations 


To construct one crore houses by 2019 for homeless. PM Awas Yojana allocation raised from Rs 15,000 cr to Rs 23,000 cr 


100 pc electrification of villages to be completed by May 2018 


27,000 cr on to be spend on PMGSY; 1 cr houses to be completed by 2017-18 for houseless 


PM Kaushal Kendras will be extended to 600 districts; 100 international skill centres to be opened to help people get jobs abroad 


The allocation for rural agri and allied sector in 2017-18 is record Rs 1,81,223 crore 


In higher education, we will undertake reforms in UGC, give autonomy to colleges and institutions 


A system of annual learning outcome in schools to be introduced; innovation fund for secondary education to be set up 


Two new AIIMS to be set up Jharkhand and Gujarat 


New rules regarding medical devices will be devised to reduce their cost 


1.5 lakh health sub centres to be converted to Health Wellness Centres 


National Housing Bank will refinance indiviual loans worth Rs 20,000 crore in 2017-18 


Rs 500 cr allocated to set up Mahila Shakti Kendras; Allocation raised from Rs 1.56 lakh cr to Rs 1.84 lakh cr for women & child welfare. 


Capital and development expenditure pegged at Rs 1.31 lakh cr for railways in 2017-18 from Budget 


Allocation for SCs increased from Rs 38,833 cr to Rs 52,393 cr, a rise of 35 per cent 


35 pc increase in allocation for SC to Rs 52,393 cr 


For senior citizens, Aadhaar based health cards will be issued 


Model Shops and Establishment Bill to open up additional opportunities for employment of women 


Select airports in tier-II cities to be taken up for operations, development on PPP mode 


New metro rail policy to be unveiled 


Railway tariffs to be fixed on the basis of cost, social obligation and competition 


Service charge on e-tickets booked through IRCTC will be withdrawn 


Delhi and Jaipur to have solid waste management plants and five more to be set up later 


Government proposes Coach Mitra facility to redress grievances related to rail coaches 


500 stations will be differently abled by providing lifts and escalators 


Unmanned railway level crossings to be eliminated by 2020 


Railway line of 3,500 km will be commissioned in 2017-18 as against 2,800 km in 2016-17 


Total allocation for rural, agri and allied sectors for 2017-18 is a record Rs 1,87,223 cr, up 24 per cent from last year 


Rs 1 lakh cr corpus for railway safety fund over five years 


A scheme for senior citizens to ensure 8 per cent guaranteed returns 


Dedicated micro-irrigation fund to be set up by NABARD to achieve mission of Per Drop, More Crop 


Digi Gaon will be launched to promote tele-medicine and education 


Crude oil strategic reserves to be set up in Odisha and Rajasthan apart from 3 already constructed 


Coverage of Fasal Bima Yojana to go up from 30 pc of cropped area to 40 pc in 2017-18 and 50 per cent next year 


For transport sector, including railways, road and shipping, government provides Rs 2.41 lakh crore 


Allocation of Rs 10,000 cr for Bharat Net project for providing high-speed broadband in FY18 


Allocation for national highways stepped up to Rs 64,000 cr from Rs 57,676 cr 


Budget allocation for highways stepped up to Rs 64,000 crore in FY18 from Rs 57,676 crore 


Dispute resolution in infrastructure projects in PPP mode will be institutionalised 


Rs 2,74,114 crore allocated for defence expenditure, excluding pension; This includes Rs 86,000 crore for defence capital 


Govt to further liberalise FDI policy 


Over 90 per cent of FDI proposls are now processed through automatic route 


FIPB will be abolished 


Trade Infrastructure Export Scheme to be launched in 2017-18; total allocation for infra at record Rs 3.96 lakh cr 


Second phase of solar power development to be taken up with an aim of generating 20,000 MW 


After demonetisation on Nov 8 last year, deposit of between Rs 2 lakh and Rs 80 lakh made in 1.09 cr bank accounts at an average of Rs 5.03 lakh till Dec 30 


More funds beyond Rs 10,000 cr for recapitalisation of banks will be provided if needed 


The shares of railway CPSCs like IRCTC and IRFC to be listed on various stock exchanges 


We are largely a tax non-compliant society 


New ETF with diverse stocks will be launched in 2017-18 


Of 76 lakh individuals who reported income of over Rs 5 lakh, 56 lakh are salaried 


Integrated public sector oil major to be created to match global giants 


Govt will amend the Multi-state Cooperative Act to protect the poor and gullible investors 


Urgent need to protect poor from chit fund schemes, draft bill placed in public domain 


Computer emergency response team to be set for cyber security of financial sector 


Govt to introduce two new schemes to promote BHIM App - referal bonus for users and cash back for traders 


Govt doubles distribution target under Mudra Yojana to Rs 2.44 lakh crore for 2017-18 


Over Rs 80 lakh deposits in 1.48 lakh cr at an average of Rs 3.31 cr per account 


Customs duty on LNG halved to 2.5 pc 


FPI to be exempt from indirect transfer provisions 


Political parties can receive donations in cheque, electronic mode; electoral bonds to be issued by RBI 


Maximum amount of cash donation a political party can receive will be Rs 2000 from any one source as part of effort to clean political funding 


Capital expenditure stepped up by 25.4 pc in FY18 over previous year 


Total expenditure in FY18 at Rs 21.47 lakh cr 


Duty exempted on various POS machines and iris readers to encourage digital payments 


Rs 7,200 cr revenue loss due to reduction in tax on smaller companies 


Govt mulling introduction of legal changes to confiscate assets of offenders, including economic offenders, who flee the country 


Govt to set up a web-based interactive platform for defence pensioners 


Head post offices to issue passports 


Govt considering option to amend Negotiable Instruments Act to ensure that holders of dishonoured cheques get payment 


FRBM review committee has recommended 60 pc debt to GDP ratio; 0.5 pc of GDP deviation from stipulated fiscal deficit targets


Payment regulatory board to be set up in RBI to regulate electronic payments, replacing Board for Regulation and Supervision in Payments and Settlements System 


3 yr period for long-term capital gains tax on immovalble property reduced to 2 years; base year indexation shifted from 1.4.1981 to 1.4.2001 


A proposal to receive all government receipts beyond a certain threshold through e-modes under consideration 

Global markets consolidate with sentiment turning sour as profit booking deepens against Trump rhetoric uncertainty.

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Major headlines:

·         Property prices fell due to cash crunch

·         Retail inflation likely to be below 5% survey

·         Speaker to take call on Budget














Indian Indices: Asian markets opened flat as after 2 days of weakness some consolidation may keep indices range bound.Dow Jones had another triple digit selloff as sentiment turned weak with profit booking the theme for this week.Gold prices rallied as buying defensive assets aginst the back drop of risk off trade played out.

Nifty will see sharp volatility for today as we prepare for the Union Budget against the global back drop of uncertainty at its highest in recent months.The lingering rumour of change in LTCG(long term capital gain) tax will be key in deciding market trend in the very short term.For once India may be in the sweetest spot ever as it continues to be the best destination against the global back drop of uncertainty as the resumption of normalcy after the demonetization exercise will trigger huge local consumption led spending even as the Government prepares to unleash huge tax breaks to spur the economy.

The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 27662.21, up by 6.25 points or 0.02% after trading in a range of 27590.10 and 27725.16. There were 14 stocks advancing against 16 stocks declining on the index.

The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.15%, while Small cap index was up by 0.14%.





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Technical view: Nifty will find support around 8400 while 8720 will act as resistance. Bank nifty finds support @ 19021 which is the 100 DMA while 19800 will act as resistance.

Market Sentiment:

The market breadth on BSE was negative in the ratio of 808:1371, while 153 scrips remained unchanged.


Trading ideas :WOCKPHARMA Feb Fut (Sell below Rs 648 for Target of Rs 636 ,SL at Rs 654): Stock is moving in a downtrend after it took resistance at its 50-DMA and made a short term top around Rs 728 on 6th Jan 2016.

 Multiple attempts to close above the 50-DMA went futile, and the stock has further witnessed a fresh breakdown from a bearish pennant formation. This would lead to a phase of fresh down trend. We advise to SELL WOCKPHARMA Feb Fut below Rs 648, stop loss at Rs 654, and Target of Rs 636.

Corporate Snippets:

NatcoPharma said a US District Court has ruled in favour of its marketing partner Mylan by invalidating Israel-based Teva Pharmaceuticals’ patents related to multiple sclerosis drug Copaxone 40 mg/mL.

Rural Electrification Corp (REC)has signed loan agreement with Tamil Nadu's power generation and transmission utilities for financial assistance of Rs68.90bn.

Lokesh Machines Ltd has signed up with Taiwanese company Tongtai Machine & Tool Co Ltd to manufacture hi-speed vertical machining centre model EZ5 for the Indian market as well as for re-export from its new facility at Kallakal near Hyderabad.

Nifty Movers:   The top gainers on Nifty were Bank of Baroda up by 2.45%, Grasim Industries up by 2.16%, SBI up by 2.13%, Maruti Suzuki up by 1.56% and Tata Motors - DVR up by 1.19%.  On the flip side, Idea Cellular down by 4.45%, HCL Tech down by 3.72%, TCS down by 2.75%, AurobindoPharma down by 2.46% and Tech Mahindra down by 2.26% were the top losers.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening: The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Realty up by 1.03%, PSU up by 0.88%, Capital Goods up by 0.70%, Consumer Durables up by 0.63% and Oil & Gas up by 0.61%, while IT down by 2.24%, TECK down by 1.88%, Metal down by 0.31% and Power down by 0.18% were the losing indices on BSE.



On the global front: On the global front, Asian shares were trading mostly in green, taking cues from Chinese manufacturing data and as investors awaited the latest views from the Federal Reserve on monetary policy in its first review of the year. China’s official manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) continued in expansion in January, as the mainland economy shows signs of stabilizing, reaching 51.3, down slightly from 51.4 in December.


Global Signals: The Asian markets were trading mostly in green; KOSPI Index increased 10.9 points or 0.53% to 2,078.47, Jakarta Composite increased 30.63 points or 0.58% to 5,324.73 and Nikkei 225 increased 111.41 points or 0.59% to 19,152.75.On the other hand, Hang Seng decreased 165.55 points or 0.71% to 23,195.23.China, Malaysia and Taiwan stock exchange has been closed for the day on account of holiday.


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