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US indices correct after 8 days of gains as Federal rate hike acts as temporary pause in rally!!

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Major headlines:

·         Oil prices stablilise after Fed hike as tighter market looms

·         China’s yuan opens at weakest vs dollar since june 2008

·         Gold falls to over 10- month low as Fed signals more rate hikes














Indian Indices:  Asian markets opened weak with the exception of the Japanese 'Nikkei" index which traded higher on the back of a weaker yen. Initial reaction to the Federal Reserve rate hike saw bond yields rise & the US $ get stronger which as a follow through will see most Asian indices trade in the red. Gold prices hit new 1 year lows & oil prices also traded near US$50 which should see return of smart money to equity with Asian stocks becoming value picks after the sharp under performance.

Nifty continues to trade sideways with a negative bias as muted foreign flows combined with weak rhetoric on the impact of demonetization keeps the index in check. The rise in yields could see some more foreign money exit even as India remains in total opposition to the global markets with surplus cash in the system seeing our yields hit 6 year lows. For today expect smart money to buy the fall as we head closer to 8100 as nearness to budget in next 45 days should see value buying emerge.  

The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 26675.05, up by 72.21 points or 0.27% after trading in a range of 26407.58 and 26737.86. There were 15 stocks advancing against 15 stocks declining on the index. The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.38%, while Small cap index was up by 0.73%.





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Technical view: Nifty finds support @ 8100 & faces resistance around 8200, any breach either way will see move up or down. Bank Nifty also finds support around 18250 & faces resistance around 18600.


Market Sentiment:

The market breadth on BSE was positive in the ratio of 1349:715, while 104 scrips remained unchanged.


Trading ideas :        MOTHERSUMI Dec Fut (Sell below Rs 319  for Target of Rs 305 , SL at Rs 326): The stock has taken resistance on the upper band of the weekly channel and moving down. Multiple attempts to close above Rs 331 went futile, and stock also made a bearish engulfing pattern in yesterday's trade. Sustaining below Rs 319, stock would see a pennant breakdown. We advise to SELL Mothersumi Dec Fut at Rs 319, stop loss at Rs 326, and Target of Rs 305.


Macroeconomic Front:    Amid concerns of missing the GST rollout deadline of April 1, the government Wednesday came out with a report card detailing the efforts being made to reach a consensus on support legislations for timely implementation of the new indirect tax regime, reported PTI. "All efforts are being made to meet the necessary deadlines to ensure that GST is rolled out by April 1, 2017.

Corporate Snippets: Bharti Airtel and Vodafone India are pushing ahead the government’s broad agenda to move towards cashless economy, at a time when demonetization has crippled cash payments due to inadequate cash in the system.


Bajaj Electricals has entered in to a strategic alliance with the UK based firm Gooee to create lighting products and solutions on the Internet of Things platform.


Lupin has received approval from the US health regulator to market its Desoximetasone ointment, used for providing relief from inflatmmation and itching in a skin disease.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:  The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were IT up by 1.71%, TECK up by 1.30%, Realty up by 1.09%, Bankex up by 0.64% and Metal up by 0.50%, while Oil & Gas down by 0.59% and FMCG down by 0.38% were the losing indices on BSE.

Nifty Movers:   The top gainers on Nifty were TCS up by 2.58%, HCL Tech up by 2.17%, Infosys up by 1.58%, Mahindra & Mahindra up by 1.54% and IndusInd Bank up by 1.54%. On the flip side, Sun Pharma down by 1.58%, Tata Motors down by 1.17%, Bharti Airtel down by 1.04%, BPCL down by 1.03% and NTPC down by 0.98% were the top losers




On the global front:       On the global front, Asian shares were trading mostly in red, after the US Federal Reserve overnight indicated it would raise interest rates faster than expected in 2017. The rate hike in US would lead outflow of money from emerging market equities into US bonds which are considered as safer investment options. This is only for the second time in a decade that the Federal Reserve has raised its rate.


Global Signals:    The Asian markets were trading mostly in red; Hang Seng decreased 395.72 points or 1.76% to 22,060.11, Shanghai Composite decreased 14.79 points or 0.47% to 3,125.74, Taiwan Weighted decreased 8.17 points or 0.09% to 9,360.35, FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI decreased 7.03 points or 0.43% to 1,636.26 and Jakarta Composite decreased 6.37 points or 0.12% to 5,256.45.On the other hand, KOSPI Index increased 0.79 points or 0.04% to 2,037.66 and Nikkei 225 increased 92.84 points or 0.48% to 19,346.45.