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Mining Minister Pralhad Joshi announces India to stop thermal coal import by FY24

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Union Coal and Mines Minister Pralhad Joshi has announced that the government looks to stop the substitutable import of thermal coal from 2023-24. The government wants to bridge the substitutable shortfall by 2023-24, he told PTI on the sidelines of a two-day brainstorming session organised at Kevadia in neighbouring Bharuch district, about 90 km from Vadodara.

The government recently introduced an ordinance to amend regulations to open up coal mining to other firms outside the steel and power sectors, Joshi stated.

"Whatever the substitutable shortfall is there, we want to achieve it by 2023-2024. We want to stop the substitutable import of the coal."

The government may conduct an auction of 100 fully explored blocks, Joshi said. The latest move in the coal sector is expected to create an efficient energy market, thereby bringing more competition, while reducing coal imports.

Forex - Japanese Yen Fall Amid Rising Asian Stocks

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The Japanese yen fell against the U.S. dollar on Wednesday in Asia, while the Chinese yuan inched up as traders continued to focus on developments on the coronavirus front.

The USD/JPY pair gained 0.2% to 110.04 by 1:30 AM ET (05:30 GMT) as the Japanese yen lost some safe-haven appeal due to the uptick in Asian stocks today.

The USD/CNY pair rose 0.1% to 7.0012. The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has set the Yuan reference rate 7.0012 at versus Tuesday's fix at 6.9826.

Meanwhile, the US dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched up 0.1% to 99.370.

The Hubei province reported 132 deaths for Feb. 18. So far, China has 74,186 confirmed cases of the virus, according to government data.

While the new cases in Hubei fell for a second day, the World Health Organization cautioned that "every scenario is still on the table" in terms of the epidemic's evolution, and that it was too earlier to know if the epidemic was being contained.

"The market is trying to model itself on coronavirus and it's struggling really hard to understand how that goes and that's pushing capital in to the U.S.," said Chris Weston, head of research at Melbourne brokerage Pepperstone, in a Reuters report.

"The U.S. remains that least-dirty T-shirt, the best house in a fairly shabby-looking neighborhood. As a destination for capital, it's still the light that you look for."

The EUR/USD pair steadied at 1.0793 after falling to near a two-year low yesterday as investor sentiment in Germany deteriorated more than expected in February, adding to concerns about the ongoing weakness in the euro zone.

The Japanese yen fell against the U.S. dollar on Wednesday in Asia, while the Chinese yuan inched up as traders continued to focus on developments on the coronavirus front.

The USD/JPY pair gained 0.2% to 110.04 by 1:30 AM ET (05:30 GMT) as the Japanese yen lost some safe-haven appeal due to the uptick in Asian stocks today.

The USD/CNY pair rose 0.1% to 7.0012. The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has set the Yuan reference rate 7.0012 at versus Tuesday's fix at 6.9826.

Meanwhile, the US dollar index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched up 0.1% to 99.370.

The Hubei province reported 132 deaths for Feb. 18. So far, China has 74,186 confirmed cases of the virus, according to government data.

While the new cases in Hubei fell for a second day, the World Health Organization cautioned that "every scenario is still on the table" in terms of the epidemic's evolution, and that it was too earlier to know if the epidemic was being contained.

"The market is trying to model itself on coronavirus and it's struggling really hard to understand how that goes and that's pushing capital in to the U.S.," said Chris Weston, head of research at Melbourne brokerage Pepperstone, in a Reuters report.

"The U.S. remains that least-dirty T-shirt, the best house in a fairly shabby-looking neighborhood. As a destination for capital, it's still the light that you look for."

The EUR/USD pair steadied at 1.0793 after falling to near a two-year low yesterday as investor sentiment in Germany deteriorated more than expected in February, adding to concerns about the ongoing weakness in the euro zone.

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Dollar shines against euro, riskier peers as virus hit widens

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The dollar stood tall over the languishing euro and heavily sold exporter currencies on Wednesday, as investors reckoned with a deepening economic fallout from the coronavirus.

The new coronavirus has caused 2,004 deaths in China and infected more than 74,000 people, while measures to contain it have paralyzed the economy and the supply chains it feeds.

Apple Inc (O:AAPL) has warned it will probably miss its March quarter sales guidance amid disrupted production and shopping habits. Car makers are idling plants for lack of parts.

The yield curve between U.S. three-month bills and 10-year notes inverted overnight, a bearish economic signal, and German investor confidence slumped as its economy stagnates, sending the euro cheaper than $1.08 for the first time since 2017.

"The market is trying to model itself on coronavirus and it's struggling really hard to understand how that goes and that's pushing capital in to the U.S.," said Chris Weston, head of research at Melbourne brokerage Pepperstone.

"The U.S. remains that least-dirty T-shirt, the best house in a fairly shabby-looking neighborhood. As a destination for capital, it's still the light that you look for."

Against a basket of currencies, the greenback is sitting by a four-month high at 99.452 (=USD). It touched a one-week high against the Australian and New Zealand dollars overnight.

Both Antipodean currencies are heavily exposed to China, and both have lost roughly 5% against the dollar this year . Norway's krone, sensitive to the global growth outlook via oil exports, has shed 6% in 2020 and slumped to an 18-year low overnight .

The euro (EUR=) has fallen 3.7% amid increasing signs of divergence between the European and U.S. economies.

The single currency last bought $1.0796. Moves in major currencies were slight in morning trade.

China says figures indicating a slowdown in new cases in recent days show the aggressive steps it has taken to curb travel and commerce are slowing the spread of the disease beyond central Hubei province and its capital, Wuhan.

That has not stopped worries mounting, with hedge funds turning to proxies from railway movements to port activity and air pollution to try and gauge how much production remains offline.

Gold is sitting above $1,600 an ounce for the first time since U.S.-Iran tensions in the Middle East sent it spiking in early January . Priced in euros, gold's value jumped almost 2% to a record high overnight (XAUEUR=R).

Investors are looking to the minutes from the Federal Reserve's January meeting, due to be released at 1900 GMT, for insight in to the Fed's thinking about virus risks.

European purchasing managers index numbers and part-month Korean export figures, both due on Friday, are also going to be closely watched for the first hard signs of economic impact.

"We assess the risks are firmly skewed towards the negative effects of COVID-19 lasting longer," Nomura analysts wrote in a note, using the World Health Organization's designation for the illness caused by the coronavirus.

"Therefore, we maintain our cautious view through positions in long USD/THB, long USD/CNH, long USD vs GBP, NZD and long AUD/NZD."

China's yuan was last steady at 7.0017 per dollar in offshore trade .

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Dollar shines against euro, riskier peers as virus hit widens

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The dollar stood tall over the languishing euro and heavily sold exporter currencies on Wednesday, as investors reckoned with a deepening economic fallout from the coronavirus.

The new coronavirus has caused 2,004 deaths in China and infected more than 74,000 people, while measures to contain it have paralyzed the economy and the supply chains it feeds.

Apple Inc (O:AAPL) has warned it will probably miss its March quarter sales guidance amid disrupted production and shopping habits. Car makers are idling plants for lack of parts.

The yield curve between U.S. three-month bills and 10-year notes inverted overnight, a bearish economic signal, and German investor confidence slumped as its economy stagnates, sending the euro cheaper than $1.08 for the first time since 2017.

"The market is trying to model itself on coronavirus and it's struggling really hard to understand how that goes and that's pushing capital in to the U.S.," said Chris Weston, head of research at Melbourne brokerage Pepperstone.

"The U.S. remains that least-dirty T-shirt, the best house in a fairly shabby-looking neighborhood. As a destination for capital, it's still the light that you look for."

Against a basket of currencies, the greenback is sitting by a four-month high at 99.452 (=USD). It touched a one-week high against the Australian and New Zealand dollars overnight.

Both Antipodean currencies are heavily exposed to China, and both have lost roughly 5% against the dollar this year . Norway's krone, sensitive to the global growth outlook via oil exports, has shed 6% in 2020 and slumped to an 18-year low overnight .

The euro (EUR=) has fallen 3.7% amid increasing signs of divergence between the European and U.S. economies.

The single currency last bought $1.0796. Moves in major currencies were slight in morning trade.

China says figures indicating a slowdown in new cases in recent days show the aggressive steps it has taken to curb travel and commerce are slowing the spread of the disease beyond central Hubei province and its capital, Wuhan.

That has not stopped worries mounting, with hedge funds turning to proxies from railway movements to port activity and air pollution to try and gauge how much production remains offline.

Gold is sitting above $1,600 an ounce for the first time since U.S.-Iran tensions in the Middle East sent it spiking in early January . Priced in euros, gold's value jumped almost 2% to a record high overnight (XAUEUR=R).

Investors are looking to the minutes from the Federal Reserve's January meeting, due to be released at 1900 GMT, for insight in to the Fed's thinking about virus risks.

European purchasing managers index numbers and part-month Korean export figures, both due on Friday, are also going to be closely watched for the first hard signs of economic impact.

"We assess the risks are firmly skewed towards the negative effects of COVID-19 lasting longer," Nomura analysts wrote in a note, using the World Health Organization's designation for the illness caused by the coronavirus.

"Therefore, we maintain our cautious view through positions in long USD/THB, long USD/CNH, long USD vs GBP, NZD and long AUD/NZD."

China's yuan was last steady at 7.0017 per dollar in offshore trade .

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Chhattisgarh CM Bhupesh Baghel invites investors from America to invest in state

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As Chhattisgarh government focuses on diversifying from core industries such as mineral and steel to strategically important areas like agro and food processing, IT and defence Chief Minister Bhupesh Baghel has invited American companies to invest across key sectors in the state.

Baghel, currently on a multi-city visit to the US, highlighted his state's investor-friendly and ease of doing business policies as he met representatives of various sectors and members of diaspora from the state inviting them to visit and invest in Chhattisgarh.

"We are a mineral rich state and have several mineral based-industries. We invite companies and investors from America to come and explore core sectors” as well those sectors and regions where there is untapped potential, Baghel told PTI in an interview.

Baghel, accompanied by a high-level official delegation, had over the weekend addressed students at the India Conference at Harvard. He addressed a business lunch Tuesday organized by the Consulate General of India in New York and the US India Strategic Partnership Forum (USISPF).

Baghel said over the next few years his government will focus on strengthening the purchasing power of people in his state.

The state government is also committed to poverty eradication and diversifying from core sectors such as minerals, steel, power to sectors of strategic importance such as agro and food processing, IT, bio ethanol, electronics, textile and apparel, engineering and defense, higher education, pharma and automobile and electric vehicles.

“My target is to see how to increase the purchasing power of the people. No matter how many industries we set up, if people do not have money to buy the products, then what is the benefit of the industries,” he said.

Baghel said that in order to maintain this balance, it is very important to increase the purchasing power, which will in turn benefit businesses and industries.

He underlined that the state government will work towards strengthening the purchasing power of the people, which will ensure demand and then the wheels of the industry will start turning and production will take off.

The state government is looking at making the citizens economically self-sufficient, create demand and let the industry move in to fulfill that demand.

He noted that Chattisgarh is rich in natural resources such as dense forest cover, water and mineral resources yet poverty is still prevalent in some areas. “Poverty eradication is most important. Sectors such as health, education and agro-based industries will help generate new job opportunities as well as increase people's income,” he said.

The state, which has a strong presence of several core sectors industries, is focussed on diversifying from the core areas to non-core areas.

India overtakes UK & France to become 5th largest world economy, says report

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India has emerged as the fifth-largest world economy in 2019, overtaking the UK and France, as per a report by US-based think tank World Population Review.

"India's economy is the fifth-largest in the world with a gross domestic product (GDP) of $2.94 trillion, overtaking the UK and France in 2019 to take the fifth spot," it said.

The size of the UK economy is $2.83 trillion and that of France is $2.71 trillion.

In purchasing power parity (PPP), India's GDP is $10.51 trillion, exceeding that of Japan and Germany. Due to India's high population, India's GDP per capita is $2,170 (for comparison, the US is $62,794), it said.

India's real GDP growth, however, it said is expected to weaken for the third straight year from 7.5 per cent to 5 per cent.

The think-tank in its review that India is developing into an open-market economy from its previous closed and inward "autarkic" policies.

The report observed that India's economic liberalisation began in the early 1990s and included industrial deregulation, reduced control on foreign trade and investment, and privatisation of state-owned enterprises.

"These measures have helped India accelerate economic growth," it said.

India's service sector is the fast-growing sector in the world accounting for 60 per cent of the economy and 28 per of employment, the report said, adding that manufacturing and agriculture are two other significant sectors of the economy.

The US-based World Population Review is an independent organisation without any political affiliations.

– EURUSD cautiously bearish; forms inverted hammer

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EURUSD appears to have slowed slightly – with the development of an inverted hammer pattern – ahead of the April 2017 gap of 1.0820 – 1.0777 following a descent, which deflected off the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) around 1.1095.

The short-term oscillators, although still negative, are showing a marginal increase in positive momentum. The MACD is deep in the negative region and below its red trigger line, though smoothing slightly, while the RSI has made a minor improvement in the oversold territory. That said, the nearing bearish cross of the 100-day SMA by the 50-day one and the distancing of the downward sloping Tenkan-sen from the blue Kijun-sen line, all suggest, that maybe the downward move may endure a while longer.

To the downside, immediate support could come from the April 2017 gap from 1.0820 to 1.0777, which also encapsulates the 1.0793 level, this being the 123.6% Fibonacci extension of the up leg from 1.0878 to 1.1238. A successful dive beneath this barrier could encounter the 138.2% Fibo extension of 1.0741 and if the bears persist, the 161.8% Fibo extension at 1.0655 may be next to draw traders’ attention.

Otherwise, if buying interest picks up, initial resistance could come from the 1.0878 level from October 2019 ahead of a limiting region from 1.0925 to 1.0940. Overrunning this, the 1.0991 inside swing low could deter the pair from testing the area of the upcoming bearish cross of the 50- and 100-day SMAs currently around 1.1058. Clearing this too, the 1.1095 high and the 200-day SMA at the Ichimoku cloud, may prove difficult to surpass.

Overall, in the very short-term, the market is strongly bearish if the pair remains below the 1.0878 low, while a move back above this level could turn it back to neutral.


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Forex - Dollar Mixed as Chinese Stimulus Papers Over Economic Ills

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The dollar was mixed against developed-market peers in early trading on Monday after hitting a new four-month high in overnight trading.

The greenback was also a touch weaker against the Chinese yuan after the People’s Bank of China added to its already extensive stimulus measures since the outbreak of the Covid-19 virus in cutting its medium-term financing rate to a new record low.

The measures reflated Chinese asset markets still further, leaving the benchmark stock index where it was before the New Year holiday, but have done little to lift the uncertainty over the path of the Chinese economy as it struggles with the virus outbreak.

By 3:40 AM ET (0840 GMT), the dollar index, which tracks the dollar against half a dozen developed-market currencies, was at 99.007, thanks largely to gains against the Japanese yen in the wake of data showing that the Japanese economy shrunk at an annual pace of 6.3% in the fourth quarter.

That number was far worse than the 3.7% drop expected and came after a hike in the country’s consumption tax in October.

"Annualization always exaggerates trends," said UBS Wealth Management chief economist Paul Donovan on a morning briefing, noting the one-off hits from a sales tax increase in October and a subsequent typhoon.

By 3:45 AM ET, USD/JPY was at 109.86, up 0.1%. The dollar was also a touch stronger against Sterling at $1.3029, while EUR/USD edged up from last week’s lows to $1.0838.

Trading is expected to be relatively quiet on Monday, not just because of the U.S. President’s Day holiday, but also because of key business sentiment surveys later in the week. ‘Flash’ purchasing managers indices from IHS Markit are due on Friday.

Nordea analyst Martin Enlund argued in a note at the weekend that the euro may be close to its near-term lows.

“Hard data looks terrible in Germany, but maybe we shouldn’t care too much about it?” Enlund wrote, adding that the usually-reliable Ifo survey “suggests that we are close to peak negativity around German hard data.”

However, he acknowledged a risk that the euro’s decline could prompt further U.S. tariffs from President Donald Trump, an action that could stop any euro turnaround in its tracks.

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Euro Pound (EUR/GBP) Exchange Rate Flat as Covid-19 Plays ‘Second Fiddle’

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The Euro Pound Sterling (EUR/GBP) exchange rate remained flat, leaving the pairing trading at around £0.8315.

The single currency was left under pressure at the start of the week as worries about weakening Eurozone growth weighed on the currency.

The new threat to the global economy, Covid-19 continued to weigh on markets, with Eurozone investors fearing the bloc will be dragged into a recession.

Added to this, the German economy stagnated in the final quarter of 2019, which saw renewed fears of a recession.Added to this, at the end of last week’s session, EUR hit a 33-month low against the US Dollar (USD). Since the start of January, EUR has slumped by around 2.3%.

Sterling (GBP) Flat as UK and EU Will ‘Rip Each Other Apart’

Last week, the Pound remained under pressure as traders fretted about the future trade relationship between the UK and European Union.

On Sunday, France warned the UK to expect a battle with the bloc in post-Brexit trade talks, dampening GBP sentiment.

The country’s Foreign Minister, Jean-Yves Le Drian said the two sides would ‘rip each other apart’.

He also added that the UK’s goal to achieve a free trade deal by the end of 2020 would be tough.

Euro Pound Outlook: Will Strong UK Labour Market Buoy GBP?

Looking ahead to Tuesday, the Pound (GBP) could rise against the Euro (EUR) following the release of UK labour market statistics.

If December’s unemployment remains at current lows, and wage growth rises higher than expected, GBP will jump.

Meanwhile, disappointing German data could send the single currency lower.

If Germany’s ZEW economic sentiment index falls further than expected in February, the Euro Pound (EUR/GBP) exchange rate will slump.

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Forex - Japanese Yen Slips on GDP Data; Chinese Yuan Rises

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The yen traded slightly lower on Monday in Asia after Japan reported a much deeper economic contraction than expected.

The USD/JPY pair inched up 0.1% 109.81 after the Cabinet Office reported today that Japan’s GDP in the December quarter fell an annualized 6.3%, faster than the expected 3.7% contraction.

The drop, which followed a revised 0.5% gain in July-September, was the biggest since a 7.4% decline marked in April-June 2014.

Meanwhile, the USD/CNY pair fell 0.2% to 6.9760

On Sunday, China reported 1,933 new confirmed cases of the coronavirus, down from 2,009 the previous day, and 100 new deaths, down one from 142 the previous day.

The economic impact of the epidemic is still unknown. Some analysts have estimated that China's annual growth could slow to between 4% and 5%, down from the 6% annual growth estimated by the government.

The AUD/USD pair gained 0.2% to 0.6727.

The GBP/USD pair was near flat at 1.3043. The U.K. will release a slew of data this week, including the December jobs report and the latest inflation figures.

Reports on retail sales, manufacturing and services PMI data for February are also due.

The EUR/USD pair traded 0.1% higher to 1.0838. The euro fell to its lowest level against the U.S. dollar since April 2017 last Friday after Germany, the eurozone’s largest economy, reported that GDP growth stagnated at the end of 2019. The European Central Bank is scheduled to publish the minutes of its January meeting on Thursday.

The U.S. dollar index inched up 0.1% to 99.037. Financial markets on stateside will be closed on Monday for Presidents Day.

The Federal Reserve is due to release the minutes of its January meeting on Wednesday. There are also several Fed policymakers scheduled to speak during the week, including Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, Dallas 


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