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Sensex lower, Nifty ends at 8236; ONGC top losers

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Major headlines

·         India counts on Japan for ecofriendly cars logistics:

·         RBI imposes Rs 3 cr penalty on Lakshmi Vilas Bank

·         Cisco unveils initiatives to digitally empower girls in Rajasthan






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Indian Indices: Indian equity benchmarks continued to trade choppy in late afternoon session, as the quarterly reporting season kicked in, with investors concerned that the government's move to ban high-value notes would hit corporate earnings. Sentiments remained dampened with domestic rating agency, ICRA’s report that the advance estimate of 7.1 per cent GDP released by Central Statistical Organisation (CSO), will have major errors as it does not include the data for the months after demonetization. The agency pegged the expected growth for 2016-17 lower at 6.8 per cent. However, some support came with the Finance Minister ArunJaitley’s statement that the currency squeeze in November and December failed to hit revenue mop up, with direct and indirect tax collection from April to December showing a double-digit increase. For the period April - December 2016, Direct Tax and Indirect tax collection have shown a growth of 12.01% and 25% respectively over the corresponding period last year.

The BSE Sensex is currently shut down at 26726.55, down by -32.68 points or 0.12% after trading in a range of 26701.18 and 26860.88. There were 15 stocks advancing against 15 stocks declining on the index.The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.29%, while Small cap index was up by 0.50%.

The CNX Nifty is currently closed at 8236.05, up by -7.75 points or 0.09% after trading in a range of 8227.75 and 8263.00. There were 27 stocks advancing against 24 stocks declining on the index.




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Market Sentiment:

The market breadth on BSE was positive in the ratio of 1397: 1190, while 159 scrips remained unchanged.

Crporate Front:

Regrob, a real estate brokerage company in India, has started a new-initiative where they have turned their employees into leaders by making them CEO for a day. The idea behind the initiative is to create new business leaders from the existing team and motivating them to reach new heights. Regrob aims to tap into the strategic and entrepreneurial ideas of its team members.

Macroeconomic front:

Moody's Investors Service and its Indian affiliate, ICRA, have forecasted that they see subdued prospects for India's banks, with both identifying asset deterioration as a key challenge over the medium term. "Asset quality will remain a negative driver of the credit profiles of most rated Indian banks and the stock of impaired loans.


On the global front:

On the global front, European markets were trading mostly in red, as investors remained on sidelines ahead of fresh data from the euro zone and volatility in oil markets. Asian markets were trading mostly in red. Back home, value buying in Realty, Auto and FMCG stocks also supported the markets.

Commodity Updates:

Commodity Prices (MCX):



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Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were Realty up by 0.97%, Auto up by 0.40%, FMCG up by 0.37%, Bankex up by 0.33% and IT up by 0.26%, while Power down by 0.74%, Oil & Gas down by 0.60%, PSU down by 0.29%, Consumer Durables down by 0.20% and Metal down by 0.06% were the top losing indices on BSE.

Top Nifty Movers:The top gainers on Nifty were Tech Mahindra up by 1.28%, Eicher Motors up by 1.24%, Bajaj Auto up by 1.19%, HCL Tech. up by 1.18% and Indusind Bank up by 1.16%. On the flip side, Dr. Reddys Lab down by 3.02%, Coal India down by 1.86%, Asian Paints down by 1.76%, ONGC down by 1.73% and BPCL down by 1.50% were the top losers.


Global Signals:

Asian markets were trading mostly in red; Jakarta Composite decreased 32.53 points or 0.61% to 5,314.50, Taiwan Weighted decreased 29.8 points or 0.32% to 9,342.42, FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI decreased 5.43 points or 0.32% to 1,670.06 and KOSPI Index decreased 0.34 points or 0.02% to 2,048.78. On the flip side, Shanghai Composite increased 16.92 points or 0.54% to 3,171.24 and Hang Seng increased 55.68 points or 0.25% to 22,558.69.

European markets were trading mostly in red; Germany’s DAX decreased 24.15 points or 0.21% to 11,574.86 and France’s CAC decreased 11.69 points or 0.24% to 4,898.15. On the flip side, UK’s FTSE 100 increased 17.86 points or 0.25% to 7,227.91.



Global indices in consolidation as Chinese Yuan sees huge volatility with US$ seeing profit booking on every rally

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Major headlines:

·         Asset deterioration a challenge for Indian banks.

·         Money has lost secrecy post demonetization

·         Key Indian equity indices open in green














Indian IndicesAsian markets opened flat to positive as US$ volatility versus Chinese yuan saw currency moves dominate recent market behaviour. The US$ is witnessing profit booking at every rally while the Chinese yuan had a very strong rally from oversold levels. The Dow Jones also hit 19999.63 as positive jobs report saw the US$ strengthen with equities jumping.

Nifty failed to cross the 200 DMA @ first attempt & late hour profit booking saw Nifty retreat to close below 8250. Bank Nifty however saw huge short covering & closed above its 200 DMA on value buying. For today expect another day of consolidation even as bulls make another attempt to cross 8280-8300 for Nifty to resume further uptrend. Weakness in IT stocks was the main culprit for Nifty under performance which saw banks being the best performing sector in rotation.

The BSE Sensex is currently trading at 26737.88, down by 21.35 points or 0.08% after trading in a range of 26720.09 and 26860.88. There were 12 stocks advancing against 18 stocks declining on the index.The broader indices were trading in green; the BSE Mid cap index was up by 0.24%, while Small cap index was up by 0.43%.The CNX Nifty is currently trading at 8237.15, down by 6.65 points or 0.08% after trading in a range of 8233.45 and 8263.00. There were 23 stocks advancing against 28 stocks declining on the index.





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Technical view: Nifty will find support around 8181 which was the low for last 3 days while 8280 will act as first resistance. Bank Nifty now finds strong support @ 18000 while 18350 will act as resistance.

Market Sentiment:

The market breadth on BSE was positive in the ratio of 1354:828, while 98 scrips remained unchanged.


Trading ideas :YESBANK (Buy above Rs 1250 for target of Rs 1300, SL at Rs 1224): Stock has witnessed a double bottom breakout on daily charts post the two days smart rally. Near term trend turned positive for the stock on close above both its 50 and 100 DMA in last weeks trade. Price volume breakout would lead to sustained momentum for the stock in coming sessions. We advise to Buy YESBANK above Rs 1250, stop loss at Rs 1224 and Target of Rs 1300.


MacroeconomicFront: Finance Minister ArunJaitley has said that the colour of funds has not changed by merely depositing them in banks as the money has now lost its 'anonymity' and can be identified with the owner. Commenting on the issue, Finance Minister ArunJaitley told the media, "When 86 per cent of a country's currency, constituting 12.2 per cent of its GDP, is squeezed out of the market and sought to be replaced by a new currency.

Corporate Snippets:SpiceJet is expected to order at least 92 Boeing Co 737 jetliners, as it looks to bolster its presence in the world's fastest growing aerospace market.


SBIwill take the lead among state-run lenders to launch branch less banking. The latest launch from the lender - SBI Digi Bank will have a financial superstore, a market place and end to end digitisation for all products and services. 


Pokarna Ltd has announced Pokarna Engineered Stone Ltd, its wholly-owned subsidiary, has partnered Swedish home furnishing products retailer IKEA in India, to serve as its exclusive quartz surfaces supplier and installation partner.

Top Sectoral& Stock Screening:  The top gaining sectoral indices on the BSE were FMCG up by 0.65%, Realty up by 0.33%, Capital Goods up by 0.22%, Bankex up by 0.21% and Metal up by 0.14%, while Oil & Gas down by 0.52%, Power down by 0.45%, Consumer Durables down by 0.35%, PSU down by 0.19% and Auto down by 0.17% were the losing indices on BSE.

Nifty Movers:The top gainers on Nifty were AurobindoPharma up by 1.65%, HCL Tech up by 1.56%, Eicher Motors up by 1.51%, Idea Cellular up by 1.51% and ITC up by 1.17%. On the flip side, Dr. Reddy’s Lab down by 2.22%, BPCL down by 1.56%, Mahindra & Mahindra down by 1.37%, Coal India down by 1.31% and ACC down by 1.26% were the top losers.




On the global front: On the global front, Asian shares were trading mixed, as investors focused on policymaker remarks later this week for direction. Chinese Vice Finance Minister Zhu Guangyao said that the country is confident to have reached an economic growth of 6.7 percent in 2016, within a targeted range set earlier in the year. China, which had been aiming for a 6.5-7 percent economic growth for 2016, boosted government spending, saw a housing rally and record high levels of bank lending last year.


Global Signals:The Asian markets were trading mixed; KOSPI Index increased 3.22 points or 0.16% to 2,052.34, Shanghai Composite increased 14.96 points or 0.47% to 3,169.28 and Hang Seng increased 39.55 points or 0.18% to 22,542.56. On the other hand, Taiwan Weighted decreased 34.71 points or 0.37% to 9,337.51, Jakarta Composite decreased 22.68 points or 0.42% to 5,324.34 and FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI decreased 4.36 points or 0.26% to 1,671.13.


Market Timing Signals for Stock Market Investing

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The stock market is a very important and appealing starting point of returns for commonly companies and share holders. The stock market formulates it feasible for a very large number of investors to procure stakes at a party that they tell the difference and swear by. Populace who have been trading in corporation shares have perceived it growing to be a tradition and then in many instances, their standard basis of revenue. It is an exceedingly productive industry also for the share holder just the once he becomes acclimatized to the decrees of the business. He can monitor his well-merited wealth nurturing in manifolds if he is persistent and committed enough. Let us have a look at the market timing signals for stock market investing. However immediately resembling each added action that anybody can imagine, there is an explicit time to be active in the stock market. There is a plain equation that every acquainted patron will swear by. You should know the simple equation for investing in the share market. This is the fair decree- Comprehend it perfectly! Be familiar with the BULLS from the BEARS.

Obtain when the market is LOW

Test out for the sensitive index. If for any raisin d'Arezzo it continues illustrating a descending inclination, it typically indicates that now is the right time to procure shares. As this is the time a tremendous figure of corporation shares would have gone down the drain. Memorize: a prodigious figure of businesses, not each and every one of them! Several companies in all earthly probability will illustrate a differing tendency and could essentially stay put or in all earthly probability will yet demonstrate an aloft movement even at the same time as the bazaar is declining. Those are the exemptions you could act fit to pass up. As for the shares illustrating a ‘typical’ diminishing tendency with the stock market in a cry off, it only means that now is the time to procure some of those shares!

Put on the market when the market is FAR ABOVE TYPICAL

This is the opposite case panorama. Provided you have already previously invested in certain number of shares and you see the index rising as a trend. Classically it only means that in a very large number of probability, your shares would have also grown in value (in all earthly probability will not forever be the case, as a result be vigilant).  If as a result, it is selling time galore!

Word of warning:

Whilst following the mentioned equation, more and more be greatly vigilant and exceedingly tolerant. Such as, if the shares that you had purchased some days ago begin demonstrating an augment in worth, do not vend instantaneously! Hang around really tolerantly and monitor if the shares would realize in worth any more. This show of endurance will forever prove gratifying since you will be waiting for your shares to realize in worth to their utmost probable ‘far above typical’ before you swiftly sell them. In a similar way goes the procuring scenery. On no account procure just as soon as the market sinks. Stay, since it might go downward some (or in all earthly probability will be even a whole lot!) points further before you consider procuring. This patience will certainly pay off. At the moment, suppose a condition where you have purchased shares for a cost which you sensed was pretty competitive. Yet the simple proposition remains that you now detect that share prices have plummeted after your procurement of those shares. Do not be alarmed and trade off your shares. Dread and the consequential rushed vacillations would merely formulate issues shoddier for you. What you ought to fairly accomplish is hang around. There will positively appear a time when the stock prices of the company you bought shares of, will climb again. Therefore simply stay unwearyingly.

Timing the market

Be of the knowledge that it is improbable for anybody to time the stock market. It is a subject of utter opportunity. Several issues – financial, opinionated, Acts of God and societal factors have an imperative role to play in instigating the sudden ups and downs that the stock market goes through. All things measured, having the acquaintance and taking a careful step will definitely bear out gratifying and assist you to discover a perfect sense of timing in the stock market.

Thus, we have learn a lot about market timing signals for stock market investing.


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